LPL DFS Picks for 7/14/20: DraftKings, FanDuel League of Legends Daily Fantasy

Hey everyone, I'm back! I want to start with a big thanks to all of you who reached out via various media to send their condolences and well wishes following the untimely death of my brother in law. I'm going to start easing back into things here and slowly getting back on track with my LoL analysis and content.

Not quite sure what to think of both of those series from last night yet, although one thing is certain and it's that V5 is for real. BLG and SNG took turns throwing that series back and forth after SNG decided they had no interest in a clean sweep. It got ugly and bloody in the final game, but my man Meteor and his crew couldn't hang on and Suning continues to win games despite the fact they aren't getting much respect around the league as a legit team yet.

Let's move on to tomorrow morning's slate, now. 'll provide my League of Legends advice, analysis, and picks, for this LPL slate on DraftKings and FanDuel that locks at 5:00 AM on Tuesday, July 14th, 2020. Make sure you follow me on Twitter @Mr_Malmanger as I often post starting lineups when I see them and other useful info for the slate.

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5:00 AM: Team WE (-700) vs. LNG

World Elite versus the likes of LNG should be a roll for WE, and that's what I would have told you in the spring too. It is what I told you in spring, "this spot is a lay-up for WE." What followed that was one of the weirdest series we had seen in a minute with LNG taking down WE with a 2-1 victory. Teacherma brought out the Nocturne mid in the deciding game, and Maple's Zoey was on pointe as LNG won in style. One of the problems WE had in that series was it was smack dab in the middle of a week in which they played four games in a mad dash to try to qualify for the playoffs. This time around, WE won't have another game until next Monday, and it is LNG who will face the quick turn around facing IG on Thursday morning.

Statistically speaking, the only advantage we see LNG has is in first blood percentage, surprisingly enough. LNG cannot translate their decent frost blood percentage into much, and they lag in other early game metrics. First turret percentage, rift heralds, and gold differential at fifteen minutes are all solidly in favor of WE. Drakes, barons, damage output, CSM, and vision statistics all favor the side of WE. I think we have seen Teacherma shore up some of his problems in the mid lane adding the Karma to his champion pool. That was one thing we saw LNG able to exploit in the spring match that they won't be able to in this one. I'll take WE here for the 2-0 revenge win over the side of LNG.

Top WE Plays:

• Beishang - JNG
• Juimeng - ADC
• Missing - SUP 
• Morgan - TOP

 

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7:00 AM: LGD (-575) vs. Rogue Warriors

At first glance, another matchup looks like a gimmie for one side, but it turned out not to be that way when these teams last met. On the last day of the spring split, we saw RW take a 2-1 over LGD. That was a very different LGD squad than the one RW will face today. They have made upgrades across the board except for their two constants Kramer and Peanut. This iteration of LGD is one that should handle RW, despite the laters recent run of form. RW are flying high coming off their first series win of the split, but facing reality, as it was a hard-fought series over one of the (other) worst teams in the league.

LGD has advantages early with a substantial lead in first blood percentage, first turret, and gold differential at 15 minutes. RW does have a higher rift herald percentage, but LGD controls the other primary monster objectives better. LGD has better vision control, while RW holds the edge in damage output. RW has a more scrappy style, and they are the fastest team in the LPL this split from a combined kills standpoint. Both sides are back in action on Friday, but LGD is entering a gauntlet of big names on their schedule. They face VG, WE, EDG, RNG, and FPX in the next two weeks, all teams near them in the standings that they will need to overcome if they hope to make the playoffs. I like LGD to win here, but with their schedule taking a turn for the worse, I think we could see them looking ahead a bit in this match, setting them up for an upset.

I think we're going to need to hedge this match on Tuesday as anytime RW is involved, you're sure to see fireworks. I think LGD wins but if RW is able to pull it out they are likely to be the highest-scoring team on the slate, therefore they demand some GPP exposure.

Top LGD Plays: 

• Peanut - JNG
• Kramer - ADC
• Mark - SUP
• Xiye - MID

Top RW Plays:

• Haro - JNG
• Zwuji - ADC
• Ley - SUP
• Holder - TOP

 

Summary

1. Even with LGD being a slower LPL team, the second match should be better from a fantasy standpoint. I'll look to take my full stacks from that one, and small stacks from the WE/LNG series. That will likely be the most popular strategy on Tuesday morning.
2. We might have to mix it up a bit to get different if you're not willing to play either of these dogs. Taking a captain from the team, you're small stacking, or small stacking the LGD/RW side could be a way to get different.
3. Knight as a one-off in an SNG/V5 stack proved to be the nuts last night, one of the junglers could be that guy tonight given how heavily these teams lean on them.
4. WE will likely be the chalk tonight pushing towards 50% with LNG coming in sub 10% likely. That leaves LGD at roughly 30% and RW at 20%, but I wouldn't be surprised to see RW pull ahead in ownership like BLG did last night.

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