RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~145 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~180
ANALYSIS: It'll probably be a while before we truly know who the quarterback is in New Orleans, but the fact he re-signed in New Orleans back in March means that Winston had to think he had a very, very good shot at winning the job over Taysom Hill. He should think that because Jameis Winston is a better quarterback than Taysom Hill. Hill's a fun player who can hold his own at quarterback, but the Saints starting Hill over the course of a full season just doesn't make sense to me. You have Michael Thomas. You have a quarterback with the arm strength of Jameis Winston. Hill won't be starting.
The last time Winston was an NFL starter, he threw for 5,109 yards and 33 touchdowns. Yes, he also led the league with 30 interceptions, posting the first-ever 30/30 season in NFL history, but I think we should attribute some of that to the nature of the Bruce Arians offense. He still finished as the fantasy QB5 in that season. Obviously, a Sean Payton offense isn't a Bruce Arians offense, but aging Drew Brees finished QB8 in 2018, the last time he played at least 15 games in a season.
If Payton trusts Winston to run the full offense in 2021, there's a ton of upside here, with Winston a potential top-10 fantasy quarterback. If you can get a top-10 guy at this draft stock, wow!
UPDATE: Winston has been named the starter and it's all systems go for the former Florida State quarterback. Taysom Hill still figures to be a usage vulture and he could steal scores at the line, but this was the best-case scenario for Winston. He's a low-risk pick who could pay off huge this season.
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