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The 2021 NBA season is finally underway and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, November 30th.
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Single Stat NBA Totals
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
LaMarcus Aldridge OVER 14.5 Points - I start off with LaMarcus Aldridge, and I see some great value off of the bat here. Aldridge's number is already up at 15.5 on most sportsbooks, with odds at -116. Aldridge has hit this number in 12 of 19 games this season and has hit this number in five consecutive games. The Knicks are solid against centers scoring, but not enough to make a huge difference. My early projections show Aldridge scoring 16.3 points tonight, so I really like this play.
Andrew Wiggins OVER 17.5 Points - I see some value with Andrew Wiggins here as well. Wiggins is in the same situation as Aldridge, with his number actually being a point higher on sportsbooks and the odds at -116. Wiggins had a slow start to the season but has picked it up of late, hitting this number in four of his last five games and seven of his last ten. The Kings struggle to guard shooting guards and small forwards, allowing +3.96 points above the league average. My early projections have Wiggins at 19.4 points tonight, creating another solid value play.
Stephen Curry OVER 5.5 Assists - This number is just far too low for Curry, both on PrizePicks and on sportsbooks. Curry has hit this number in each of his last five games and in 14 of 19 total games this season. The Kings allow slightly below the league average in assists against point guards (-0.31), but again, not enough to make a difference. I have Curry projected for 6.7 assists tonight, making it a third great value play.
Other Recommendations - Julius Randle OVER 4.0 Assists, Andrew Wiggins OVER 4.5 Rebounds, Pascal Siakam OVER 6.5 Rebounds, Jerami Grant OVER 19.5 Points
Overall recommendation for this play: POWER
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