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Daily Fantasy Golf DraftKings Picks (PGA DFS): ZOZO Championship

Welcome back, RotoBallers! In his 10th season on the PGA Tour, Jason Kokrak was finally able to hit the lottery out in Las Vegas for his first career title. The 35-year-old entered the week as one of just a few players that had played Shadow Creek in the past, and it showed to be an advantage that helped propel him over the finish line.

Kokrak provided a complete effort that saw him rank eighth in strokes gained tee to green, but it was his astronomical 10.293 shots gained putting over the field that helped him put up a tournament-leading 26 birdies. The victory qualifies Kokrak for the 2021 Masters, and we will also see him tee it up at Augusta in November after punching his ticket earlier in the year.

I take great pride in the research and energy I put into my selections from a mathematical standpoint, but my numbers or information aren't always the law. If you have any questions about a particular player from a PGA DFS or PGA betting perspective, please feel free to contact me on Twitter @Teeoffsports. Many golfers barely miss out on being mentioned here by fractions of a percent, and I am more than happy to discuss my feelings or stance on anyone that may have caught your eye. Like always, the purpose of this piece is to help you put together your optimal daily fantasy golf lineups for DraftKings, whether that be from a GPP perspective or a cash-game mentality. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS articles to help you win big!

 

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - ZOZO Championship

We have a special treat for all you RotoBallers and golf enthusiasts. In addition to this article, be sure to also check out Spencer's PGA DFS Rankings Wizarda powerful and interactive data spreadsheet, allowing user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you would like to create your own spreadsheet, you will need to make a copy under "file, make a copy." We hope you enjoy!

 

ZOZO Championship - PGA DFS Overview

Sherwood Country Club

7,006 Yards - Par 72 - Greens Bentgrass

The Chevron World Challenge, now known as the Hero World Challenge, took place at Sherwood Country Club from 2000 to 2013. The event consists of only 18 players, so it is difficult to gauge too much from the past, but we have seen the average winning score hover right around 16-under par. With a field that will have nearly five times the number of participants this go-around, I'd anticipate we see that number boosted, but it is important to realize what you see is not exactly what you get in the yardage.

Playing as a par-72 that measures under 7,100 yards, added distance won't do as much as it might seem like on paper. Don't get me wrong, proper accuracy with distance is never a negative, but this is a ball-strikers venue that will reward second shots. It is one of the reasons why we have seen Tiger Woods win here five times in the past, and players will be tested with approach shots from various ranges.

Bunkers come into play both off the tee and around the greens, and we will get a unique situation with their being five par-five holes for the week. There are two additional par-fours that play under 400 yards, and we will see most of the scoring come during this seven-hole stretch.

 

Let's Look At The Stats

Stat Sherwood Tour Average
Driving Distance N/A 281
Driving Accuracy N/A 62%
GIR Percentage N/A 65%
Scrambling Percentage N/A 57%
Average Three-Putts Per Round N/A 0.55

In Vegas, as of Monday, Jon Rahm leads the way at 10/1 and is followed by Xander Schauffele at 11/1 and Rory McIlroy and Justin Thomas at 12/1.

 

Key Stats

  • Par-Five Birdie or Better Percentage 20%
  • Ball Striking 20%
  • Weighted Proximity 15%
  • Strokes Gained Approach 15%
  • Bent Putting + Scramble (Weighted) 10%
  • Birdie or Better + Bogey Avoidance (Weighted) 10%
  • Sand Save Percentage 10%

 

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

 

High-Priced DraftKings DFS Players 

There are five players this week priced above $10,000:

Xander Schauffele ($11,200)

It was somewhat jarring to see Xander Schauffele listed as the man to beat on DraftKings, but it isn't easy to make that strong of a case against it being factual. The 26-year-old has finished inside the top-five in his last three events and hasn't ended a tournament worse than 25th since the Travelers Championship in June. I believe we get a slight decline this week in ownership because of him being listed at the top of the board, and I don't mind buying back in at $11,200 when a lot of the industry is still frustrated with Xander being unable to close out events.

Jon Rahm ($11,000)

We are going to have to use ownership, stats and other factors to decipher where we want to go for the week between our big four golfers. All have upside for victory and shouldn't be entirely discounted, but that doesn't provide the answer to what is proper. If you are playing a plethora of lineups, I don't mind spreading out my exposure a little more than usual, but DFS players that only play a few games will need to make some tough decisions. Personally, I prefer Schauffele over Rahm, but we are talking about fractions of a percent.

Justin Thomas ($10,600)

Early returns have Justin Thomas as the projected highest owned player for the ZOZO Championship, but can you really blame anyone? The 27-year-old gets a venue that will reward second shots and par-five scoring, and Thomas ranks first compared to the field in both categories. You might not be able to handpick a better venue than Sherwood Country Club for the 13-time PGA Tour winner, and I believe he should have been listed as the highest-priced player on the board.

Rory McIlroy ($10,400)

As much as I want to keep going down the Rory McIlroy road, it eventually becomes counterintuitive to keep gaining negative-EV performances out of him from a DFS perspective. McIlroy hasn't paid off his salary in quite some time, and while he is technically adequately priced for the week, I wouldn't play him as much more than a contrarian option in the $10,000 range. I'd like to see a top-five performance before buying back in right now.

Tyrrell Hatton ($10,000)

Tyrrell Hatton brings with him two consecutive top-three results after finishing last weekend in a share of third place, but there is no other way to say it; this increase is too much. Hatton should be in the low-$9,000 range, and I will let him beat me if it comes down to it.

 

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Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

Collin Morikawa ($9,800)

We saw some life from Collin Morikawa last weekend at Shadow Creek for the first time since his victory at the PGA Championship. Morikawa's 12th place result was aided by him gaining nearly six shots with his irons, and he receives the perfect venue to keep the momentum rolling again. Ownership always wants to get back onto the young American, so I doubt we get a version of him that is under 15%, but his upside is about as good as anyone in the field.

Webb Simpson ($9,700)

This general interpretation of Webb Simpson's skillset just isn't fair. The American has transformed himself into a statistical monster in 2020, but we continue to believe that it can't be possible for him to maintain this level with the way he is priced. There are only 78 players in this field, which will push Simpson into being very popular, but I have a hard time justifying Rory McIlroy or Tyrrell Hatton being above him in salary. Simpson should be considered value.

Viktor Hovland ($9,200)

If approach play is an expected benchmark needed to find success at the ZOZO Championship, Viktor Hovland might be the poster boy for the tournament. Hovland is ranked inside the top-10 in strokes gained approach compared to the field, and he is impressively grading out first in weighted proximity - a number you can find in my DFS model.

Daniel Berger ($8,900)

I keep mentioning this point about Daniel Berger, but it hasn't stopped the carpet from slowly being pulled from underneath him when it comes to his price tag. Right before and after the restart, Berger was playing like a freight train that looked like he might be the best golfer in the world, but we knew that wasn't exactly sustainable. As a result, his four more recent finishes between 17th to 34th place have been viewed as a disappointment, but it is fair to say that negative regression across the board has hit his game at once. If we want to move the American back into the $8,000 range because of a few subpar results by his standards, it is going to mean that I find myself significantly overweight to the field. Berger is perfectly suited to find success in California.

Joaquin Niemann ($8,400)

We have beaten the drum the last few weeks that Joaquin Niemann was underpriced, and we finally get a correction on the Chilean. Still, though, Niemann is someone I have properly priced in the high $8,000 section, and I believe there is still value to be had on the explosive youngster.

 

Low-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

Abraham Ancer ($7,800)

After a run that looked like Abraham Ancer was closing in on his first PGA Tour title, things sputtered for the 21st-ranked player in the world for two months. Ancer could only provide one top-40 result in that time frame, but he seems to have regained some of his form with two top-30 finishes in Vegas - including a fourth place at the Shriners Open. The 29-year-old has the ball-striking acumen to keep his momentum rolling at Sherwood Country Club and should be considered a potential longshot to capture the title.

Brian Harman ($7,300)

Brian Harman hasn't finished outside the top-40 in his last seven starts but gets priced as the 33rd choice on DraftKings. The shorter venue should play into his quality short game, and I believe he is one of the better cash-game options on the board because of his recent success and price tag.

Cameron Smith ($7,200)

Similar to what I just said about Brian Harman, Cameron Smith has provided six straight top-40 finishes and enters the week priced at only $7,200. Even in a no-cut event, the safer routes will hold value in cash-game builds, and it isn't as if either player mentioned doesn't have the potential to crack the top-10.

Sebastian Munoz ($7,200)

The second-rated golfer in my model when it comes to inequality in price differential, Sebastian Munoz is quickly beginning to transform himself into a player to be reckoned with weekly. The Colombian has contributed five top-27 finishes over his last six events and continues to add to this region of lower-priced options with safety and upside.

Kevin Na ($6,900)

Nearly four strokes gained off the tee at the Shriners mixed with about 1.5 with his irons at the CJ Cup has Kevin Na trending in the right direction for the ZOZO Championship. Na is the fourth-ranked player in my model when looking at Bentgrass putting and scrambling, and his overall proximity totals should add another level of optimism. We have seen in the past that the 37-year-old is a threat to win when located at any price, and this week is no different.

Adam Hadwin ($6,700)

I understand the pricing for Adam Hadwin. His most significant advantage typically comes because of his ability to make the cut, and the lack of that in California takes away some of the reason to play him. However, there is a hidden upside available to the Canadian that some might be overlooking. Hadwin ranks inside the top-25 in proximity, sand save percentage and Bent putting, as well as being inside the top-10 over his last 24 rounds around the green. None of those statistics necessarily guarantee him to score, but I do think his overall nature of consistency makes him hard to ignore at $6,700.

Corey Conners ($6,600), Kevin Streelman ($6,600), Brendan Steele ($6,500)

There are a few options lower than this in price that will still be playable, but the bottom of the board starts to shrink up rather quickly. None of that means we can't take our chances with a Danny Lee, Mark Hubbard or Carlos Ortiz if we need to open up some salary elsewhere, but I do think we lose some of the win equity present once we bypass this area. Conners, Streelman and Steele all should be viewed as hit-and-miss options, but a ball-strikers course firmly places them in a territory of being under consideration.

 

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big in 2020.



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Daily Fantasy Golf FanDuel Picks (PGA DFS) - ZOZO Championship

Hello RotoBaller PGA family! Jason Kokrak took down an elite field at Shadow Creek to claim his first victory on the PGA Tour. Kokrak, as well as many of the other CJ Cup contenders, were highlighted in this column last week, so I hope you some of you guys had a nice payday on FanDuel!

This week's ZOZO Championship shares lots of similarities to the CJ Cup. It's an elite, limited field with just 78 players in a no-cut format. We're also dealing with a golf course in Sherwood Country Club that we don't regularly see on the PGA Tour's schedule. In this article we'll discuss some of the standout PGA DFS plays available on FanDuel for the ZOZO Championship. While it's impossible to hit on every player, we'll touch on some different plays across all price ranges, breaking the groups down into "High", "Mid", and "Low" price options.

Like always, the purpose of this piece is to help you put together your optimal daily fantasy golf lineups for FanDuel, whether that be from a GPP perspective or a cash-game mentality. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

 

ZOZO Championship @ Sherwood - PGA DFS Overview

Sherwood Country Club

7,006 Yards - Par 72 - Greens: Bent - Designer: Jack Nicklaus

Sherwood Country Club is a beautiful Jack Nicklaus layout that contains both breathtaking views and difficult decisions for the players. It's a strategic golf course with several risk/reward holes, including the drivable Par-4 opener and FIVE Par-5s that can be played either aggressively or conservatively. In true Nicklaus fashion, this is a layout that places emphasis on position off the tee and requires a precise second shot. The length will be no problem for the players in this week's field, but Nicklaus' routing - that includes multiple doglegs - will prevent an all-out "Bomb & Gauge" assault. We already mentioned the layouts unique number of Par-5s (five) and Sherwood will also throw five Par-3s at this field...which will force me to weight both Par-5 and Par-3 scoring fairly heavily. Like last week, players will face Bentgrass green surfaces.

Despite Sherwood's lack of length on the scorecard, I look for it to provide a fairly stern test for the field. I'll be leaning accuracy and total driving over sheer distance when considering off the tee stats, while attempting to target sharp ball strikers with hot irons. I never give too much weight to putting, but I'll glance at splits on Bent, while also sneaking a peek at scrambling/bogey avoidance.

Let's Look At The Stats

Stat Sherwood CC Tour Average
Driving Distance N/A 281
Driving Accuracy N/A 62%
GIR Percentage N/A 65%
Scrambling Percentage N/A 57%
Average Three-Putts Per Round N/A 0.55

 

Key Stats

  • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green
  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Par 5: Birdies or Better Gained
  • Par 3: Birdies or Better Gained
  • SG: Putting (Bent)
  • Driving Accuracy
  • Scrambling

 

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for FanDuel (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event including DFS lineup picks for DraftKings/FanDuel, betting advice and DFS prop picks.

High-Priced FanDuel DFS Players 

Justin Thomas ($11,800)

Justin Thomas demonstrated some frustration by tossing his ball in the water as he walked off the 72nd hole at Shadow Creek last week. I imagine JT's anger continues to grow as he just can't seem to put it all together as of late. Thomas by no means played bad at the CJ Cup en route to a T12, but the putter continually failed him, as he gained six strokes T2G yet lost nearly a stroke on the greens. At some point in the near future, JT will have everything clicking and there's a strong chance that happens this week at the ZOZO on a Sherwood layout that rewards accuracy off the tee, strategic thinking, and sharp iron play...all tools that Thomas possesses in spades.

Xander Schauffele ($11,600)

Xander was one of our favorites in this column last week and he rewarded us by nearly winning at Shadow Creek, eventually settling for a runner-up position in spite of a final-round 66. There are some rumblings that Schauffele isn't closing out golf tournaments, but I find that argument to be pretty thin, as actual wins can sometimes be flukey (Jason Kokrak shot 64 Sunday, not much you can do about that). Rather than nitpicking the fact that he lost, I'm focused on the positive that Xander continues to reliably offer great DFS returns for us by giving himself chances in tons of tournaments. There is a tiny concern of a "hangover" this week, but we have to believe that his rock-solid tee-to-green abilities will once again put him in great position at Sherwood.

Webb Simpson ($11,300)

I don't remember ever feeling bad about rostering Webb Simpson. The dude is just always consistent. Since missing the cut at the Charles Schwab in the first event of the restart, Webb has posted a win, four top-10s, and two top-25s, against just one missed cut over 10 starts. The only layouts that I'm somewhat reluctant to roster the light hitter are long ones, but this week's 7,000-yard Sherwood course is certainly nothing to worry about. The Jack Nicklaus-design will actually play right into Webb's strengths...accuracy off the tee, great iron play, and the ability to scramble & make putts. Simpson logged a top-five on this course in 2013 at the World Challenge charity event and he's perhaps my favorite play on the board this week due to his ever-consistent form and the course fit.

Collin Morikawa ($11,100)

Morikawa has been rather quiet since his huge PGA Championship win, but there are some signs that he's emerging from the post-major-win haze. He posted a that's-more-Morikawa-like mark of +5.8 strokes on Approach last week at the CJ Cup - his best iron performance since the PGA. We also have to believe that Sherwood CC is tailor made for his game with its demand for precision. The youngster emerged victorious on a Jack Nicklaus-designed Muirfield Village layout earlier this year at the Workday Open and has the tools needed to get the job done this week. He stands just 51st in this field in Driving Distance over the last 24 rounds, but ranks fifth in Fairways Gained...the aspect off the tee that I'm targeting on this golf course.

Tyrrell Hatton ($10,900) 

The Englishman heads to the ZOZO in the midst of an absolute heater. Hatton captured the BMW Championship in Europe two weeks ago and followed the victory up with an eye-opening performance last week at the CJ Cup. He gained a MASSIVE 9.2 strokes on Approach at Shadow Creek to lead the field in that category en route to a T3 finish. Like some of the other players we've already discussed, Hatton isn't a bomber, which won't be a huge detriment to him this week. My only concern is "narrative based" and I worry that he might simply run out of steam at some point after flying to Las Vegas and contending on the heels of a win in Europe. Mental and physical fatigue is something that we just can't accurately predict for DFS purposes, but we have seen it happen with these guys before, so I feel that it is worth a mention. All that said...Hatton is a terrific play on paper.

Tiger Woods ($10,300)

Call me sentimental, but I'm gonna at least give the Big Cat a look this week. Tiger's play hasn't exactly been encouraging in the limited starts he's made this year, but this week's situation seems to be the best one for him in quite awhile. He's won on this Sherwood layout FIVE times and finished runner-up FIVE times over the 13-year period that it played host to his charity World Challenge event. This is a second-shot golf course that requires strategic thinking and - while he's struggled in many ways this year - he's still gained strokes on Approach in every start he's made in 2020. We have to imagine that Woods is gearing himself up for a title defense and - if he's physically able - will be competitive at his old stomping grounds this week.

 

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Mid-Priced FanDuel DFS Players

Matthew Wolff ($10,200)

If you guys read this column last week, then you know that I was in on Matthew Wolff. That decision proved to be disastrous on what was an otherwise awesome week at the CJ Cup. Wolff played shockingly-bad at Shadow Creek - so bad that I was actually apologizing to people in the RotoBaller PGA Premium Slack thread - posting an opening-round 80 and never improving much. So, the emotional side of me wants to avoid Wolff in every way possible this week due to him tanking many lineups for me last week, BUT the analytical side of me says this is actually a sharp bounce-back spot for the youngster.

He literally grew up at Sherwood CC, living just seven miles away from the course. Wolff says that he's played it "1,000's of times", which should give him a leg up on this week's field with many competitors that have probably never seen the course. It doesn't seem like a great fit on paper for the "Bomb & Gauge" specialist, but - prior to last week's debacle - he had been trending up both with his iron play and his around the green game. Despite the frustration I feel from his "performance" at Shadow Creek, I'll keep an eye on his ownership projections and will use him in GPPs if he's going underowned.

Viktor Hovland ($10,100)

This kid just continues to impress me and remains one of my favorite young players on the PGA Tour. Hovland stumbled out of the gate a bit last week with an opening-round 75, but played the rest of the week in 11-under par to snag a share of 12th place in the CJ Cup. His strength lies in his world-class ball striking and he heads to Sherwood ranked second in this field in both Good Drives & Greens In Regulation Gained over his last 12 measured rounds. Yes, the short game is still a work in progress, but the youngster has actually gained strokes both around and on the greens in his last two starts, both of which were on very difficult golf courses (Winged Foot & Shadow Creek), and Bent has been by far his preferred putting surface. The only drawback with Hovland is that he's struggling to put four rounds together, but I love his explosive tee-to-green ability on tough layouts and like getting four guaranteed rounds out of him in these no-cut events.

Bubba Watson ($9,900)

We were ahead of the curve on Bubba last week, as he was one of our favorites at Shadow Creek. We snagged him at $8.4k in the CJ Cup, but FanDuel has bumped him all the way up to $9.9k on this slate. Can we stick with him? The ball-striking numbers indicate that we probably should, even at this higher price point. Bubba has been a machine as of late and leads this field in SG: T2G, Good Drives Gained, and GIRs Gained over his last 12 rounds. We can also consider that he's one of the few players in the field that has some actual competitive rounds at Sherwood under his belt. Watson went 6th/9th/3rd over his last three appearances in the World Challenge charity event that was held here from 2000 to 2013. The putter is the big concern here, as he managed a T7 last week despite once again losing strokes putting (-1.7) at Shadow Creek.

Joaquin Niemann ($9,700)

Yet another player that we liked at the CJ Cup, Niemann has also received a FD price bump on the strength of a sixth-place finish last week. As with Bubba Watson, the numbers indicate that we can stay the course with the young Chilean. He gained 7.6 strokes T2G at the CJ Cup and his irons were especially sharp, as a mark of +4.7 SG: Approach indicates. Niemann checks multiple boxes for us at Sherwood...he stands 17th in the field in Good Drives Gained, ninth in GIRs Gained, and fourth in Scrambling Gained. As a bonus, Bentgrass is traditionally his best putting surface. Overall, just a lot to like tee-to-green for the youngster this week.

 

Low-Priced FanDuel DFS Players

Russell Henley ($9,200)

Man...Henley was sooo close last week. We loved his ball-striking ability going into the CJ Cup and - while he certainly performed in that area, gained 3.4 strokes on Approach - we were lucky enough to have his spotty putter wake up and get him into contention. His ridiculous mark of 9.0 SG: Putting is undoubtedly an outlier that he won't be able to repeat this week, but he's still a very solid DFS option on a Sherwood layout that caters to ball strikers. Henley has quietly been the best iron player on the PGA Tour since the restart and grades out first in this field in SG: Approach over the last 36 rounds. We're hoping the putter stays at least warm this week, as his irons should once again give him plenty of scoring opportunities.

Sebastian Munoz ($8,700)

He's been easy to overlook with all the star-studded fields we've seen over the past couple of months, but Sebastian Munoz has been under-the-radar excellent since late summer. His T9 last week at the CJ Cup was his THIRD top-10 finish since August. Munoz is getting it done by being solid in all facets of the game and he's now gained strokes T2G in seven of his last 10 starts. There's a strong chance that he'll go overlooked again this week, but he's one of the stronger value options available on this slate.

Cameron Smith ($8,600)

As long as the DFS sites continue to price Cameron Smith too cheap, I'm going to continue going to the well with the Aussie. FD has raised his price tag this week, but $8.6k still feels like a value for what we're getting with him. Smith's usual downfall is his often-inconsistent ball striking, but he's now gained strokes on Approach in seven consecutive starts, including last week at the CJ Cup, where he posted a very solid T11. In addition to his trending iron play, Smith boasts one of the best short games in the world and grades out seventh in this field in SG: Short Game. He's posted top-25 finishes in five of his last six starts and feels way too cheap here.

Brian Harman ($8,300)

Speaking of too cheap...Brian Harman feels like a he's on the clearance rack here at $8.3k. Harman managed a decent T28 last week on a Shadow Creek track that was very long. He should find Sherwood's 7,000-yard scorecard much more manageable. Harman is by no means a statistical beast, but he's very accurate off the tee (10th in the field in Fairways Gained) and has been a consistent performer over the last couple of months, posting top-15 finishes in half of his last six starts.

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big in 2020.



More PGA DFS Analysis

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RotoBaller PGA: One And Done Staff Picks - ZOZO Championship

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud of our weekly PGA “One and Done” column. In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

Close calls have been the name of the game for me in this OAD contest, as Tyrrell Hatton was unable to get himself across the finish line over the weekend at Shadow Creek. His payout did add onto my total $565,500, but it most likely won't be enough since I am still down nearly 2.3 million dollars. Josh found himself in a similar situation with a surging Bubba Watson, but victories are the only way out of this hole we have dug ourselves into.

There are just four tournaments left in this 2020 contest, and the clock is just about to strike midnight. Can either of us strike up a formula to give ourselves a chance? Or is Joe's victory a foregone conclusion? Let's find out who the guys are selecting to get some answers.

 

One And Done Staff Picks Overview

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud to announce the weekly PGA “One and Done” column will be back for a second season.

In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and FanDuel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course that highlights the best fits for the week's course. And you can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

 

One and Done Selections - ZOZO Championship

Joe NicelyTyrrell Hatton

Alternate - Joaquin Niemann

How disastrous was my Matthew Wolff last week? I’m not gonna lie, a pick going that wrong can shake your confidence in a hurry...especially when it comes on the heels of a Harris English missed cut at the Shriners.

Luckily, I still have a lead in this OAD contest with the season winding down, although Spencer and Josh don’t seem to be willing to go down without a fight. I’m gonna try to land a haymaker this week with Tyrrell Hatton, a scrapper if I’ve ever seen one. The Englishman has been white hot as of late, notching a victory at the BMW in Europe two weeks ago and posting a T3 last week at the CJ Cup. I am a bit worried about the fatigue factor with Hatton, but it is tough to ignore a player that gained over NINE strokes on Approach last week at Shadow Creek. We’re making some educated guesses as to how this week’s Sherwood Country Club layout will play, but we can expect plenty of long irons to be required...an area where Hatton thrives

Yearly Earnings - $7,811,657

Yearly Cuts Made - 25/30

 

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Spencer Aguiar - Viktor Hovland

Alternate - Scottie Scheffler

I am playing a numbers game right now. Down nearly 2.3 million with only four events left is not promising, but I have a total in mind (1.5 million) that I would like to be at entering the Masters. If I can get there, which isn't very likely, watch out. Bryson is coming.

Part of the issue with my plan is that next week's Bermuda Championship pays less than some of my wagers. I know I've been accused of tampering with Joe's players while they were in Las Vegas, but what is this schedule? No-cut event after no-cut event. Payouts that equal a birdie in my Skins game. Joe is running out the clock with the refs in his back pocket.

Unfortunately, options are thin for me in California, as I have used the top-11 priced golfers on the board. I believe any conventional wisdom is out the window since I need a victory, but I can't find a "safer" spot to go than Viktor Hovland. Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have a ton of win equity sprinkled between them, and I feel like my best course of action is to take the discounted version of those two and hope he catches fire with his putter for a few days. The deck seems to be stacked against me, but I will continue to count cards for as long as this is mathematically possible to do so.

Yearly Earnings - $5,528,192

Yearly Cuts Made - 24/30

 

Josh Bennett - Matthew Wolff

Alternate - Russell Henley

Joe whiffed on Wolff last week, so now is a great time to jump on him in a perfect bounce-back spot. Spencer still has him available and wouldn’t be surprised if he used him as well, but we’re mostly worried about how to catch Joe right now. The popular saying with Wolff this week is that it’s a “home game” for him. That’s great, and maybe it helps? However, there are plenty of guys that play poorly at courses they are familiar with or live near too, so I am not using that as my reasoning for using him, although I hope it is helpful.

After looking over the course, I think this place will really favor a long hitter that also plays well from the 175-200 yard range. The long hitter part is obvious by now for Wolff. He should have a significant advantage there on all the par 5’s and a handful of par 4’s. The majority of the other holes will leave him with shots in the yardage range I mentioned earlier. Although he isn’t spectacular in proximity from that range, you don’t necessarily need to be when the greens are large like they are here. Birdies are hard to come by anyway from that far away, so I’m more concerned about being able to get it on the green and make par.

A guy with his length will be able to make up birdies on many other holes. I looked over at the GIR % from the 175-200 range and Wolff pops into the top 15 in 2020 in that statistic, so he’ll give himself tons of chances for birdie (even if they’re long chances), and easy finishes for par. One thing I will trust with his experience on the course is knowing the greens, which I think gives him a leg up on putting, so if he’s consistently getting the ball onto the green he shouldn’t have any problems at minimum walking away with easy pars on those holes. If he can get lucky and roll a few of the longer ones in, I think there’s a chance he could even run away with this thing.

Yearly Earnings - $4,589,627

Yearly Cuts Made - 25/30

 

Running Totals

Joe Nicely Spencer Aguiar Josh Bennett
Sony Open Webb Simpson $455,400 Abraham Ancer $27,390 Webb Simpson $455,400
American Express Sungjae Im $162,475 Paul Casey $63,399 Sungjae Im $162,475
Farmers Insurance Tiger Woods $181,875 Hideki Matsuyama $22,950 Jon Rahm $817,500
Waste Management Jon Rahm $170,768 Webb Simpson $1,314,000 Hideki Matsuyama $97,212
Pebble Beach Jason Day $382,200 Patrick Cantlay $181,350 Jason Day $382,200
Genesis Invitational Bubba Watson $0 Dustin Johnson $234,825 Dustin Johnson $234,825
WGC Mexico Dustin Johnson $45,500 Justin Thomas $320,667 Tommy Fleetwood $125,500
Puerto Rico Open Alex Noren $0 Jhonattan Vegas $75,750 Alex Noren $0
Honda Classic Tommy Fleetwood $483,000 Tommy Fleetwood $483,000 Louis Oosthuizen $0
Arnold Palmer Invitational Rory McIlroy $330,731 Tony FInau $0 Xander Schauffele $72,424
Charles Schwab Rickie Fowler $0 Matt Kuchar $0 Patrick Reed $243,750
RBC Heritage Matt Kuchar $25,205 Justin Rose $129,575 Kevin Kisner $0
Travelers Championship Bryson DeChambeau $233,470 Sungjae Im $16,872 Bryson DeChambeau $233,470
Rocket Mortgage Viktor Hovland $131,875 Patrick Reed $0 Viktor Hovland $131,875
Workday Hideki Matsuyama $59,830 Rickie Fowler $59,830 Justin Rose $0
Memorial Patrick Cantlay $51,925 Xander Schauffele $171,585 Patrick Cantlay $51,925
3M Open Sam Burns $34,577 Bubba Watson $0 Tony Finau $250,800
WGC-St.Jude Daniel Berger $695,000 Collin Morikawa $106,200 Rory McIlroy $46,500
Barracuda Ryan Moore $69,475 Sam Burns $0 Denny McCarthy $20,883
PGA Championship Collin Morikawa $1,980,000 Daniel Berger $192,208 Brooks Koepka $69,500
Wyndham Championship Justin Rose $0 Billy Horschel $697,600 Paul Casey $37,440
Northern Trust Patrick Reed $23,169 Jason Day $0 Adam Scott $21,565
BMW Championship Scottie Scheffler $106,780 Tiger Woods $22,496 Collin Morikawa $106,780
Tour Championship Xander Schauffele $1,665,000 Rory McIlroy $280,090 Daniel Berger $186,850
Safeway Open Brendan Steele $41,391 Harold Varner III $41,391 Sam Burns $214,500
U.S. Open Tony Finau $302,236 Jon Rahm $101,797 Justin Thomas $302,236
Corales Puntacana Will Zalatoris $117,000 Patrick Rodgers $93,000 Kristoffer Ventura $9,580
Sanderson Doc Redman $46,200 Charley Hoffman $201,300 Will Zalatoris $0
Shriners Harris English $0 Joaquin Niemann $125,417 Rickie Fowler $0
CJ Cup Matthew Wolff $16,575 Tyrrell Hatton $565,500 Bubba Watson $314,438

 

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Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big in 2020.



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PGA DFS: Expert Roundtable - ZOZO Championship

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Hello RotoBallers and thanks for joining us for the ZOZO Championship! This is a new article that we're offering each week as part of our PGA Premium subscription, and we hope that you will find it useful.

Be sure also to read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

 

RotoBaller PGA Expert Roundtable

ZOZO Championship

The Expert Roundtable article is an attempt to get you inside the minds of our PGA DFS staff for every tournament.

We've got a new addition to the Expert Roundtable this week, as Tommy Bell has moved on from fantasy writing for the moment. We'll be joined by friend of the site, Andrew Poore (@AndrewPutters), co-host of The Turn Fantasy Golf Podcast that's available here at RotoBaller every week. Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar, Josh Bennett, and Andrew Putters will answer the same set of questions each week to give you an idea of how they are viewing the PGA DFS slate. Let's tee it up!

 

Who is your favorite DFS value play?

  • Joe Nicely: Cameron Smith ($7.2k)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Sebastian Munoz ($7,200), Ryan Palmer ($7,100), Daniel Berger ($8,900), Abraham Ancer ($7,800)
  • Josh Bennett: Cameron Champ (6,800)
  • Andrew Putters: Kevin Kisner ($6.8k)

 

Who is your favorite DFS “high priced” play?

  • Joe Nicely: Collin Morikawa ($9.8k) & Webb Simpson ($9.7k)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Justin Thomas ($10,600)
  • Josh Bennett: Justin Thomas (10,600)
  • Andrew Putters: Collin Morikawa ($9.8k)

 

Who is your top GPP play?

  • Joe Nicely: Matthew Wolff ($9.1k) *DUCKS*
  • Spencer Aguiar: Collin Morikawa ($9,800)
  • Josh Bennett: Tommy Fleetwood (8,500)
  • Andrew Putters: Bubba Watson ($8.7k) - I’m predicting low ownership.

 

Who is your top Cash-Game play?

  • Joe Nicely: Russell Henley ($8.1k)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Webb Simpson ($9,700), Daniel Berger ($8,900), Viktor Hovland ($9,200)
  • Josh Bennett: Matthew Wolff (9,100)
  • Andrew Putters: Abraham Ancer ($7.8k)

 

Which popular golfer will you be “fading”?

  • Joe Nicely: Underweight on Rory McIlroy ($10.4k)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Matthew Wolff ($9,100), Bubba Watson ($8,700)
  • Josh Bennett: Tyrrell Hatton (10,000)
  • Andrew Putters: Patrick Reed ($9.6k)

 

What stands out as the most important stat for this golf course?

  • Joe Nicely: Total Driving, SG: Approach
  • Spencer Aguiar: Ball Striking, Par-Five Birdie or Better Percentage
  • Josh Bennett: SG Approach
  • Andrew Putters: Strokes Gained Approach w/ top 75 in Strokes Gained Putting

 

Who is your favorite DFS “dart throw”?

  • Joe Nicely: Mackenzie Hughes ($6.5k) - Unreliable, but can randomly pop for high finishes.
  • Spencer Aguiar: Kevin Na ($6,900)
  • Josh Bennett: Dylan Frittelli (6,300)
  • Andrew Putters: Say it ain’t so Jordan Speith ($6.9k) He is tooooo cheap. 

 

What is your favorite bet of the week? (Any type)

  • Joe Nicely: Matthew Wolff (28/1), Brian Harman & Cameron Smith (80/1)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Dallas Cowboys (+1) over the Washington Redskins - Hey, it says any type...
  • Josh Bennett: Adam Scott (45/1)
  • Andrew Putters: Justin Rose and/or Gary Woodland T10. You can get either one close to 6/1 and one of them will finish inside the T10.

 

Make a “bold prediction” for this week:

  • Joe Nicely: Tiger top five
  • Spencer Aguiar: Matthew Wolff ($9,100) & Tiger Woods ($9,000) both disappoint owners with finishes outside the top-20.
  • Josh Bennett: Mikumu Horikawa finishes top 15
  • Andrew Putters: Patrick Cantlay will finish outside the T10. Therefore fade him, his recent form is not up to his level of play.

 

Who is your favorite overall DFS golfer and why?

  • Joe Nicely: Webb Simpson ($9.7k) - The dude is just rock-solid in every aspect. 
  • Spencer Aguiar: Justin Thomas ($10,600) - I believe Justin Thomas wins this weekend in California, making him a must-add if we want to find success in a no-cut tournament. 
  • Josh Bennett: Collin Morikawa (9,800) - Price should probably be a little higher. Can squeeze him in with a guy like JT still. His iron play from longer distances is insane and he should crush this event
  • Andrew Putters: Collin Morikawa ($9.5k) California tournaments mean something to him.

 

What is your optimal DFS lineup building strategy?

  • Joe Nicely: Avoiding the mid-high $7k range. 
  • Spencer Aguiar: I don’t love going below $6,400. It may be a no-cut, but the value gets bad quickly. 
  • Josh Bennett: stars and Scrubs
  • Andrew Putters: Selecting the highest priced golfer that brings value to my lineup and working my way down.

 

Who is your pick to win the tournament?

  • Joe Nicely: Webb Simpson
  • Spencer Aguiar: Justin Thomas
  • Josh Bennett: Collin Morikawa (9,800)
  • Andrew Putters: Collin Morikawa ($9.5k)

 

Is there a question you would like to have answered every week? Hit us up on Twitter @RotoBallerPGA. We would love to hear your feedback and ideas!

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big in 2020.



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DraftKings Core Four (PGA DFS): ZOZO Championship (Premium Content)


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DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - ZOZO Championship (Premium Content)


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PGA DFS Vegas Report - ZOZO Championship (Premium Content)


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PGA DFS Hole By Hole Breakdown: ZOZO Championship


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The Turn: Fantasy Golf Pod & Video (PGA DFS) - ZOZO Championship

Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) is joined by Andrew Poore (@AndrewPutters) to discuss the ZOZO Championship, breaking down the PGA DFS slates for daily fantasy golf contests on FanDuel and DraftKings. Scroll down to checkout the YouTube link!

Be sure to subscribe to The Turn Podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast Network. Like and Subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well!

Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210, XM 87) - every weekday morning between 6-7 AM ET, and every weekend morning from 6-8 am ET as well. You can also find new weekly shows on the site under RotoBaller Radio podcasts.

 

ZOZO Championship @ Sherwood

My buddy @andrewputters and I recap Jason Kokrak's first PGA Tour win at the CJ Cup. We recap what we got right (a lot!) and what we got wrong (Matthew Wolff) last week on a slate that resulted in a deep DraftKings run for Joe. The PGA Tour heads to California's Sherwood Country Club for the ZOZO Championship and the Big Cat is BACK...we share our PGA DFS strategy and favorite plays for the ZOZO in Episode 20 of The Turn. Check it out below!

 

Thanks for listening to today's episode! Be sure to tune in throughout the week, and to also follow RotoBaller on Twitter, YouTube and iTunes for the latest fantasy news and analysis.

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. In his own words, "I couldn't have done it without all the hard work the entire RotoBaller PGA team puts in each and every week."

Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big in 2020.

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Horse For The Course: PGA DFS - ZOZO Championship @ Sherwood

Hello PGA DFS family and thanks for joining me here at RotoBaller! The always-talented, but previously-winless Jason Kokrak notched the first PGA Tour victory of his career at the CJ Cup. Kokrak's putter was white-hot, which enabled him to outlast Xander Schauffele and Russell Henley at Shadow Creek.

It was a weird week for HFTC, as some of our highlighted players - Xander Schauffle and Russell Henley - were in the mix to win the CJ Cup, while we had rough luck with a Dustin Johnson WD and a bizarrely-bad performance from Matthew Wolff! We go from one unknown course to another, as the ZOZO Championship has been relocated to Sherwood Country Club this year due to COVID-19. Calling Sherwood an "unknown" isn't really accurate, as it played host to Tiger Woods' Hero Challenge for over a decade, though we haven't seen the layout on the PGA Tour schedule since 2013.

Horse For The Course is an article that highlights players in this week's field with elite course history and is part of our free PGA DFS content here at RotoBaller. For my favorite DFS plays of the week check out my Core Four article here at RotoBaller every Wednesday. It's part of our amazing PGA Premium package that includes an all-new PGA Research Station, Lineup Builder & Optimizer, and some of the best articles in the PGA DFS industry! You can sign up now using Promo Code: NICE for an extra discount at checkout!

 

ZOZO Championship @ Sherwood Overview

Like last week's CJ Cup, the ZOZO Championship is part of the PGA Tour's usual "Asia Swing", but has been relocated to the U.S. this year due to COVID-19. Also like last week, we'll be dealing with a limited - and rather elite - field of 78 players in a no-cut format.

The big news is that defending ZOZO champion, Tiger Woods, is coming out of hibernation this week. Woods has not looked sharp in his limited 2020 starts, but will be teeing it up on a Sherwood Country Club layout on which he held his annual Hero Challenge charity event from 2000 to 2013 (Tiger won five of those). He'll be joined by several elite holdovers from last week's CJ Cup, including Xander Schauffele, Justin Thomas, and Rory McIlroy. Dustin Johnson is also expected to return to action following a positive COVID-19 test last week and will also be joined by several of Japan's rising stars that are playing on ZOZO sponsor's exemptions.

While we don't have any recent course history to chew through, we'll look back at some results from the Hero Challenge at Sherwood and try our best to find some players with a nice course fit.

You can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. And be sure to read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS articles to help you win big!

 

The Course: Sherwood Country Club

Par 72 - 7,006 Yards, Greens: Bent, Designed By: Jack Nicklaus

Sherwood Country Club is a beautiful Jack Nicklaus layout that contains both breathtaking views and difficult decisions for the players. It's a strategic golf course with several risk/reward holes, including the drivable Par-4 opener and FIVE Par-5s that can be played either aggressively or conservatively. In true Nicklaus fashion, this is a layout that places emphasis on position off the tee and requires a precise second shot. The length will be no problem for the players in this week's field, but Nicklaus' routing - that includes multiple doglegs - will prevent an all-out "Bomb & Gauge" assault. We already mentioned the layouts unique number of Par-5s (five) and Sherwood will also throw five Par-3s at this field...which will force me to weight both Par-5 and Par-3 scoring fairly heavily. Like last week, players will face Bentgrass green surfaces.

Despite Sherwood's lack of length on the scorecard, I look for it to provide a fairly stern test for the field. I'll be leaning accuracy and total driving over sheer distance when considering off the tee stats, while attempting to target sharp ball strikers with hot irons. I never give too much weight to putting, but I'll glance at splits on Bent, while also sneaking a peek at scrambling/bogey avoidance.

 

Recent Champions & Winning Scores

  • N/A
  • N/A
  • N/A
  • N/A
  • N/A

 

The Horse

Webb Simpson

DraftKings: $9,700
FanDuel:
 $11,300
Notable Course History: World Challenge - T5 ('13), T7 ('12), T13 ('11)

In golf’s modern era of mind-blowing distance and power, Webb Simpson is something of a throwback. Luckily for us, there are still a few stops left on the PGA Tour schedule that reward accuracy and precision over sheer distance and I believe that Sherwood will prove to be that type of venue this week. 

Simpson’s game is certainly one of substance over style and it’s pretty tough to argue with his results over the last few years, as Webb has amassed three wins and has remarkably missed just six cuts in 63 starts since the 2018 season. 

While his game isn’t one we want to target on every course (though we basically could), we have to believe that Sherwood CC is a perfect fit for his game. Simpson posted top-seven finishes over the last two years that Tiger’s Hero event was held on this course. He ranks 15th in this field in Fairways Gained and first in Scrambling over recent rounds, attributes that put him in great position to succeed this week.

 

The Ponies

Matthew Wolff

DraftKings: $9,100
FanDuel: $10,200

Notable Course History: N/A

I’m sure a lot of you guys are like me and almost get sick just at the mention of Matthew Wolff’s name. I was heavily invested in the 21-year-old last week at the CJ Cup and was absolutely shocked when Wolff fired an opening-round 80 at Shadow Creek. Things didn’t get any better throughout the week, as he struggled to get anything going en route to an almost-DFL finish. 

Perhaps an overlooked aspect of DFS is being able to put our emotions aside in order to make the best decisions. My anger is telling me, “SCREW WOLFF!”, but my mind tells me that this is an intriguing bounce-back spot for a couple reasons. We can expect the youngster’s ownership to plummet after he torched so many lineups as a chalky play last week. I also really love the “course history” angle that’s in play with Wolff and Sherwood Country Club. He grew up about seven miles from the course and has played it “1,000’s of times” (Wolff’s words) with friends over the years. 

Now, that course knowledge obviously won’t be worth a dime if Wolff hits the ball like he did last week, BUT we’ve often talked about how his unorthodox swing makes him prone to volatility. So, while things could continue to be ugly, there’s also a very real chance that the cat that finished second in both the U.S. Open and the Shriners shows back up this week.

Tiger Woods

DraftKings: $9,000
FanDuel: $10,300
Notable Course History: Hero Challenge - Five-time winner

This is a course-history-based column, so while we might not mention Tiger Woods based on his recent form, he definitely deserves consideration due to his monster track record at Sherwood Country Club.

Woods is the defending ZOZO champion and I wouldn’t be a bit surprised if he had some input as to where this tournament would be held when it was decided to relocate it to the U.S. due to COVID-19. Sherwood is a dream spot for him...he hosted his annual Hero Challenge charity event on this course from 2000 thru 2013, and won on this layout five times over those years, compiling a scoring average of 68.46 (by far the best mark in this week’s field) over 48 competitive rounds. It plays to all his strengths...shot placement, precision iron play, and strategic thinking. So, while we haven’t seen any recent sparks from Tiger, we know that this course is a perfect fit and we also know that he should be gearing his game up in preparation for the upcoming Masters.

 

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Bubba Watson

DraftKings: $8,700
FanDuel: $9,900
Notable Course History: World Challenge - T3 ('13), T9 ('12), T6 ('11)

Last week on my podcast The Turn (you should subscribe, we’ve been KILLING it since the restart) we spent a good chunk of time talking about Bubba Watson and why he was such an intriguing option at Shadow Creek. Bubba paid off our intuition, knocking out a nice T7 in the CJ Cup. 

I’m on him again this week, as he’s not only demonstrated unbelievably-good form as of late, but also has some history at Sherwood. In the last three Hero Challenge events that were held at Sherwood, Watson went: T3-T9-T6. He comes into this week’s ZOZO not only armed with that course knowledge, but also in fire form from tee to green. Watson leads this week’s field in both Strokes Gained: Tee to Green and Ball Striking over recent rounds, while grading out second in SG: OTT and third in SG: Approach.  He gained 10.9 strokes T2G at the CJ Cup (second in the field) and recorded a T7 despite losing 1.7 strokes putting. Obviously, we’re hoping for a warmer putter this week, but Watson is an absolute ball-striking beast at the moment.

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big in 2020.



More PGA DFS Analysis

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Daily Fantasy Golf DraftKings Picks (PGA DFS): CJ Cup

Welcome back, RotoBallers! Martin Laird captured the first leg of the Vegas stretch on Sunday at TPC Summerlin, defying physics with a few of his shots during the final round. Not only did Laird find a way to make eagle from a buried lie near the lip of the bunker, but he proceeded to get up-and-down at the par-three 17th after looking like double-bogey was in play.

While we didn't pinpoint Laird in our article last week, I am incredibly pleased with what transpired. Justin Suh, who was our longshot value at TPC Summerlin, took home a top-10 result at just $6,200, and it helped matters out that one of our biggest fade recommendations (Collin Morikawa) missed the cut on Friday. We will look to keep the momentum going for the second consecutive week in my hometown, so let's roll the dice once again.

I take great pride in the research and energy I put into my selections from a mathematical standpoint, but my numbers or information aren't always the law. If you have any questions about a particular player from a PGA DFS or PGA betting perspective, please feel free to contact me on Twitter @Teeoffsports. Many golfers barely miss out on being mentioned here by fractions of a percent, and I am more than happy to discuss my feelings or stance on anyone that may have caught your eye. Like always, the purpose of this piece is to help you put together your optimal daily fantasy golf lineups for DraftKings, whether that be from a GPP perspective or a cash-game mentality. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS articles to help you win big!

 

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - CJ Cup

We have a special treat for all you RotoBallers and golf enthusiasts. In addition to this article, be sure to also check out Spencer's PGA DFS Rankings Wizarda powerful and interactive data spreadsheet, allowing user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you would like to create your own spreadsheet, you will need to make a copy under "file, make a copy." We hope you enjoy!

 

CJ Cup - PGA DFS Overview

Shadow Creek

7,527 Yards - Par 72 - Greens Bentgrass

We are going to have an uphill climb in what to expect for the CJ Cup this week. I wish I had more information about the venue since it is located in my city, but Shadow Creek is one of the most exclusive clubs in the country, and I can't say I have much first-hand knowledge when it comes to the ins-and-outs of the property.

Originally designed and opened by Tom Fazio in 1990, you may remember Tiger Woods/Phil Mickelson holding their original match at the venue in 2018. It is tough to decipher too much from a matchplay contest where neither man played their best golf, but we still can take a few things away from what we witnessed.

At 7,527 yards, we should expect distance to be an advantage, which is emphasized by three of the par-fives stretching over 570 yards. Long iron proximity becomes something that we can target in our research, and we might want to add some around the green numbers because of the length of second shots. On weeks where it isn't easy to know what to forecast numerically, I like to keep things steady with basic modeling that doesn't get overly complex. The cream typically rises to the top in these shallow field events, and I wouldn't expect much of that to change in Vegas.

 

Let's Look At The Stats

Stat Shadow Creek Tour Average
Driving Distance N/a 281
Driving Accuracy N/A 62%
GIR Percentage N/A 65%
Scrambling Percentage N/A 57%
Average Three-Putts Per Round N/A 0.55

In Vegas, as of Monday, Dustin Johnson and Jon Rahm lead the way at 10/1 and are followed by Justin Thomas at 12/1 and Rory McIlroy/Xander Schauffele at 14/1.

 

Key Stats

  • Strokes Gained Off The Tee 20%
  • Par-Five Birdie or Better 20%
  • Proximity 175+ Yards 15%
  • Driving Distance 15%
  • Strokes Gained Around the Green 10%
  • Bent Putting + Scrambling 10%
  • Overall Birdie or Better + Bogey Avoidance 10%

 

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

 

High-Priced DraftKings DFS Players 

There are six players this week priced above $10,000:

Jon Rahm ($11,300)

Six players located above $10,000 should give us some semblance of how tightly priced casinos and DFS sites view the top of the board to be for the CJ Cup. I can't deviate too much from the narrative since I have the big five participating in this event as the deserving five choices (in not necessarily the same order), but it does give us a more complex handicapping strategy to consider. Early returns are suggesting that Rahm and Rory McIlroy might be your two lowest owned players in this range, but I do believe it is important to not get caught up entirely in a strategy that tries to fade the chalk. With that being said, Rahm and McIlroy would have been my preferred options in a vacuum situation, which will only help push me into owning a slightly larger portion of the duo.

Dustin Johnson ($11,100)

In a week where we aren't sure how many players have prior first-hand experience at the property, Dustin Johnson enters the contest as the clubhouse leader with his course record of 66. That number only takes into account rounds since the Fazio restoration in 2008, but it might surprise some to see six-under par as the best round on record over the last 12 seasons. I don't want to go down this path of making Shadow Creek sound as if it is a test that is going to mimic what we just saw transpire at Winged Foot since the exclusivity of the property doesn't exactly allow tons of rounds from quality golfers, but I do believe the comparison to TPC Summerlin is not fair in the sense that this week could see a winning score that is closer to what we would expect at a venue that isn't yielding birdies in bunches. We know Johnson plays slightly more challenging courses well, and I would expect that we see him use his driving prowess to provide another quality effort.

*** DJ has withdrawn from the event because of COVID.

Justin Thomas ($10,800)

The cat has been out of the bag for years with Justin Thomas' results in no-cut tournaments, and that alone is going to inflate the American to perhaps being the most owned player on the slate. It seems likely that the winner will come from within this range, so I wouldn't necessarily overthink ownership totals to try and be contrarian. However, the decision will have to be yours. I don't have many negative things to say about this group, and you are going to have to figure out what bothers you while trying to separate the fivesome.

Rory McIlroy ($10,600)

We haven't seen the best out of Rory McIlroy since the restart, but I am finding it difficult to ignore his three consecutive top-12 results. I realize it is hard to write home about a 12th and a seventh during two tournaments that featured subsided fields, but that portrayal is exactly what makes me believe the Irishman is undervalued for the week. His eighth-place result at the U.S. Open came at a venue that didn't exactly highlight his preferred course difficulty, and I think we see him use his added length to compete for a title this weekend in Vegas.

Xander Schauffele ($10,300)

When the GIR percentage in a tournament goes down, we typically see Xander Schauffele take some steps above the rest of the field. Schauffele is arguably the best golfer in the world when it comes to hitting greens, and the added distance of second shots should only increase his advantage. The no-cut narrative will boost his ownership, but I can't find too many alarming factors to use against him in Vegas.

Matthew Wolff ($10,000)

BOOO! Matthew Wolff landing inside the $10,000 range means I have to talk about him. For those that follow this article closely, you will know that I don't discuss the American often. I essentially live by the mindset that he is playable when distance and scoring will be manageable and out of play when he can get himself into trouble off the tee. That didn't work perfectly when we saw Wolff come second at the U.S. Open a few weeks ago, but I hate to admit that the youngster does seem to be morphing into a much steadier player. The 21-year-old is still marginally overpriced because of his recent success, but I don't think it is as pronounced as it used to be in the past.

 

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Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

Daniel Berger ($9,300)

Daniel Berger has provided a handful of respectable finishes in a row, but it is a far cry from what the 13th-ranked player in the world was generating right before and after the restart. I do think it is fair to say that some regression to the mean has taken place for the American, but what should we consider a suitable price on Berger? For me, somewhere in the mid $9,000 range is the correct going rate, and I believe we are saving a few hundred dollars at $9,300.

Hideki Matsuyama ($9,200)

Hideki Matsuyama burned the industry a week ago at TPC Summerlin and should see some reduced ownership across the board at Shadow Creek. I'm less worried about his missed cut than usual since we are guaranteed four rounds out of the Japanese sensation, and Matsuyama tends to be a golfer that can exceed his finishing position on DFS sites because of his ball-striking acumen.

Viktor Hovland ($9,000)

Off the tee success, quality long irons and the ability to score on par-fives is a relatively simplistic overview of what Viktor Hovland does well, and it should help that Shadow Creek appears like it will demand similar traits to find success. The 23-year-old has struggled early in his career around the greens, but we have seen a slight improvement as of late in that area of his game.

Scottie Scheffler ($8,800)

Let's try to erase Scottie Scheffler's missed cut at the Shriners Open out of our memory bank. We can't take much away from a golfer firing a six-under par through two rounds and missing the cut, and it shouldn't be a deterrent while making your builds. Scheffler has shown some flashes of brilliance over his last two events and should be able to find a better rhythm in his third consecutive start since recovering from COVID.

Sungjae Im ($8,700)

It may come as a surprise to some, but Sungjae Im, not Bryson DeChambeau, led the Shriners Open in strokes gained off the tee at TPC Summerlin. Im added to his resume by ranking first in accuracy and greens in regulation, and any improvement with his putter might turn the South Korean into a threat to exceed the expectation level around him at Shadow Creek.

Paul Casey ($8,000)

A lack of perceived upside typically keeps Paul Casey's ownership down in more significant events, and it looks to be the case once again this weekend. The Englishman's $8,000 price tag is low enough so we don't have to worry about what his exact win equity is for the tournament, and it gives us a golfer that should have a decent shot to exceed his salary on DFS sites.

 

Low-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

Justin Rose ($7,800)

Ranked fourth in my model compared to the field in par-five birdie or better percentage, Justin Rose's volatility should be viewed as a positive in this no-cut event. Rose has been known to come out of left field in the past, and the combination of long iron proximity and Bentgrass greens should only add to the allure around the Englishman.

Shane Lowry ($7,600)

After leading through two rounds during last week's BMW PGA Championship, Shane Lowry fired a final round 73 on Sunday to slip into 13th place. It was a disappointing culmination to the Irishman's event, but it should help keep him under the radar at Shadow Creek. Lowry is currently projected to be just two percent owned on DraftKings, and there will be contrarian value to be had for those that are willing to take a gamble.

Bubba Watson ($7,300)

I'm not sure if Bubba Watson's finishes are telling the complete story of how well he is striking the ball. Watson has gained a combined 22.2 strokes off the tee and with his irons over his last four events, and it has just been a poor putter that has held him back each weekend. Perhaps Watson could take a page out of Sergio's book and try putting with his eyes closed, but I wouldn't be shocked if we see it all come together for him soon.

Sebastian Munoz ($7,000)

I am pretty surprised to see Sebastian Munoz projected to carry under 10 percent ownership for the CJ Cup. It has been seven events since Munoz has missed a cut, and while that isn't something he will need to worry about this weekend in Las Vegas, his five top-27 finishes in his previous six events will go a long way. The 27-year-old is a threat to fall within that qualifying zone once again and should be considered a bargain at his going rate of $7,000.

Ryan Palmer ($6,700)

We have grown accustomed to volatility while rostering Ryan Palmer, but an event like the CJ Cup naturally lends itself to taking a more aggressive approach. Palmer is a quality par-five scorer who gains strokes tee-to-green, and it is going to be challenging to find more upside than he presents in this $6,000 range.

Dylan Frittelli ($6,600)

A ranking of 12th off the tee compared to the field over his previous 24 rounds is enough to give Dylan Frittelli a second look, and the picture becomes a little clearer when we peek at his ability to save par around the greens, as well as score on par-fives. The South African has generated six top-34 results in his last eight events, which means we should be viewing him as someone who is underpriced.

Cameron Champ ($6,400)

It is tough to like much about the form Cameron Champ is bringing to the event, but if firepower turns into the name of the game at Shadow Creek, there aren't many players in the world that possess more of it than the American. Champ is a GPP-only option that becomes less intriguing as the ownership rises, but I could be convinced to purchase a share or two at the right total.

Joohyung Kim ($6,400)

Joohyung Kim entered the beginning of 2019 ranked 2006th in the world but has turned in four worldwide victories and an additional 12 top-6 results in his last 31 events. All of this has moved him up to 117th in the 'Official World Golf Rankings,' and have I mentioned that he is only 18 years old? Kim doesn't have enough concrete statistical data in my model to provide confidence of what exactly he is as a player quite yet, but there are a ton of interesting categories that are showing him to be a potential phenom.

Harry Higgs ($6,300)

Ranked inside the top-30 of my model compared to the field in both driving distance and strokes gained off the tee, Harry Higgs is a golfer that can quickly move up this leaderboard if we get handed a course that is moderate in difficulty. Higgs has bounced back and forth between top-15 finishes and results outside the top-50 in his last four events, but his ability to gain strokes with his driver should come in handy.

 

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Daily Fantasy Golf FanDuel Picks (PGA DFS) - CJ Cup @ Shadow Creek

Hello RotoBaller PGA family! Veteran Martin Laird held off Matthew Wolff and Austin Cook last week to win the Shriners Hospitals For Children Open for the second time in his career.

We stay in Las Vegas this week, but the CJ Cup @ Shadow Creek certainly has a different vibe than the Shriners. It's an elite, limited field that will be teeing it up at legendary Shadow Creek Golf Course. With a no-cut format and zero course history to evaluate, this will be an interesting PGA DFS week. In this article we'll discuss some of the standout PGA DFS plays available on FanDuel for the CJ Cup. While it's impossible to hit on every player, we'll touch on some different plays across all price ranges, breaking the groups down into "High", "Mid", and "Low" price options.

Like always, the purpose of this piece is to help you put together your optimal daily fantasy golf lineups for FanDuel, whether that be from a GPP perspective or a cash-game mentality. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

 

CJ Cup @ Shadow Creek - PGA DFS Overview

Shadow Creek Golf Course

7,527 Yards - Par 72 - Greens: Bent - Designer: Tom Fazio

Shadow Creek is legendary. A spare-no-expense project of Las Vegas billionaire Steve Wynn to lure high rollers into town, Shadow Creek is what it would look like if you could pick up and move a lush Georgia golf course and then plop it right down in the middle of the Nevada desert. We can expect beautiful and pristine conditions this week. Considered one of America's best golf courses, this Tom Fazio layout is shrouded in mystery. A longtime home for Vegas' resident high rollers and visiting celebrities, Shadow Creek is a tough nut to crack when trying to determine how the best players in the world will fare.

Now owned by MGM resorts, the course was renovated by Fazio in 2008 and lengthened to a more-modern 7,500-plus yards. Since the redesign, Dustin Johnson holds the course record at 66, which is kind of incredible considering the number of pros that routinely play here. If we adhere to the legend that Shadow Creek is unbelievably tough, we would want to target "grinders" this week. However, with the course playing at this yardage - and with four Par-5s on the scorecard that will probably only be reachable by the longest players in the field - we must also consider those with plenty of distance to their game. Anytime we're dealing with an unfamiliar layout, I tend to fall back towards leaning on overall Tee to Green ability as my default "go to" stat. That will once again be the case for me this week and I'll also give a bump to distance, as well as players that have traditionally been successful at major championship venues and/or "tough" golf courses. You can also glance at putting splits on Bent if you give much weight to putting.

Let's Look At The Stats

Stat Shadow Creek Tour Average
Driving Distance N/A 281
Driving Accuracy N/A 62%
GIR Percentage N/A 65%
Scrambling Percentage N/A 57%
Average Three-Putts Per Round N/A 0.55

 

Key Stats

  • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green
  • Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
  • Par 5: Birdies or Better Gained
  • SG: Approach
  • SG: Putting (Bent)
  • Driving Distance
  • Scrambling

 

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for FanDuel (PGA DFS)

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High-Priced FanDuel DFS Players 

Dustin Johnson ($12,000) *W/D - PIVOT TO JUSTIN THOMAS*

No hesitation with going straight to the top of the salary scale with Dustin Johnson this week. I expect DJ to get a lot attention in the DFS industry this week. With such little to go on as it pertains to Shadow Creek, Johnson holding the course record is at least something tangible. Even without that nugget, I would be all over DJ in this spot, as he's basically "course proof". He's the guy I always want on long, tough layouts. Johnson frustratingly only has one major championship, but his track record in golf's biggest events is pristine, as he's posted six top-10s in majors since winning the U.S. Open in 2016. We also know that DJ slays it in elite, limited-field events, as he has six career WGC victories. Johnson leads this CJ Cup field in SG: Total, T2G, Ball Striking, and Approach over the last 24 rounds.

Jon Rahm ($11,900)

Jon Rahm is kind of a "Next Gen" DJ in that he's basically "course proof" at this point. We've seen the Spaniard win on two of the PGA Tour's toughest stops recently with victories at Muirfield Village and Olympia Fields, so if we expect Shadow Creek to play difficult, Rahm has the ability to grind it out due to his length and surprisingly-sharp touch around the greens. We know that the course will play long this week, which is right in his wheelhouse. Rahm ranks third in the field in Driving Distance over recent rounds and also pops in at sixth in Good Drives Gained.

Xander Schauffele ($11,500)

Whenever "plays well on hard golf courses" is a focus for me, Xander Schauffele immediately pops on my radar. Schauffele is a player that I've relentlessly targeted in majors over the past couple of years and he's responded with fabulous performances on golf's toughest stages by posting a ridiculous seven top-10s in 13 major starts since 2017.

The California native is making his first start since another impressive outing at a major championship, a fifth-place finish in the U.S. Open at Winged Foot. It was just the latest in a long streak of quality outings for Schauffele. Since the PGA Tour's restart, he's made 11 of 11 cuts with 10 top-25s! Those results have came on many layouts that we can consider "difficult",  like the aforementioned Winged Foot, East Lake, Olympia Fields, TPC Harding Park, and Muirfield Village. I don't have any knowledge of Xander's familiarity level with Shadow Creek, but it's a good bet that the tougher it plays, the better it is for his prospects this week.

Matthew Wolff ($11,200)

Matthew Wolf was highlighted in this article last week, but I'm going right back to the well with the young bomber. Wolff came up just short in a sudden-death playoff at the Shriners, but it was after overcoming a "sluggish" opening-round 68 to shoot 66-61(!)-66 over his last three rounds at TPC Summerlin. The dude is perhaps the most explosive player in the game at the moment and - while we don't expect super-low scoring at Shadow Creek this week - the 21-year-old has demonstrated the ability to take it deep on even the toughest of layouts, dropping rounds of 65 at both Winged Foot and TPC Harding Park over the last couple of months.

Tony Finau ($10,600) *W/D - PIVOT TO HIDEKI MATSUYAMA*

Really love Tony here, with my only concern being any lingering effects from his positive COVID-19 test of a week ago. It's something I'll monitor as the week progresses and hopefully we can get some reports as to just how serious it was for him. Strictly talking golf, Finau appears to be a tremendous fit on paper. His major championship track record is impeccable and he always pops for me on these types of long layouts. He handles long Par-4s with ease and is one of the players in the field that should be able to take advantage of these stretched-out Par-5s.

 

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Mid-Priced FanDuel DFS Players

Viktor Hovland ($10,100)

In the absence of concrete stats from the week's golf course, I'm gonna lean on tee-to-green ability and ball striking. My guy V-Hova checks those boxes in neon Sharpie. The youngster is a player that I'm quickly learning to target on long, difficult layouts. After coming out of the restart blazing, it seemed like Hovland it a bit of a wall, as his normally-excellent ball striking became a bit spotty for about a month. However, the youngster looked recharged at Winged Foot, gaining 8.5 strokes T2G and 4.3 on Approach en route to a T13...his second finish inside the top-13 in two career U.S. Open starts. The short game is always the concern with Hovland, but he's actually gained strokes putting in three of his last four starts and Bent is statistically his best surface.

Louis Oosthuizen ($9,700)

As we move into what we normally consider the "mid range", there's honestly not a lot that I'm crazy about, as I find myself more interested in taking a "Stars & Scrubs"-type of approach in this no-cut event. One of the players that does stick out at this price point is Louis Oosthuizen. Oosthuizen's classic swing is something that I'll trust on just about any type of layout. Oosty not only has a history of playing very well on major-championship golf courses, but he's also been in razor-sharp form, posting top-25 finishes in five of his last six starts while gaining strokes T2G in each. As the course difficulty gets cranked up, so does the South African's average strokes gained per round. Oosthuizen averages gaining .82 strokes per round on "Difficult" courses, versus marks of .61 and .53 on layouts classified as "Average" and "Easy".

Sergio Garcia ($9,500)

I probably won't personally play Sergio Garcia (there's bad history there), but I can understand the thought process behind rostering the Spaniard. Similar to Louis Oosthuizen, Garcia is a veteran that has seen every type of golf course in the world and can handle pretty much any layout that you throw at him thanks to his historically-good tee-to-green ability. Most of the buzz surrounding Sergio's win at Sanderson Farms was on his unique "putting with his eyes closed" routine on the greens, but his recent ball striking shouldn't be overlooked. He gained a massive seven strokes on Approach in Jackson (+12 T2G) and follow the victory up with another strong iron demonstration last week at the Shriners, where he gained just over four strokes on Approach.

Joaquin Niemann ($8,800)

Niemann is an elite, young ball striker that I've started targeting on long, tough layouts. He popped up for a near-win in the BMW Championship at Olympia Fields at the end of August, eventually finishing in third place. Niemann followed that outing up with a top-25 finish at Winged Foot and he sufficiently knocked the rust off with a T13 last week at the Shriners. Tee to green, the Chilean is as talented as perhaps anyone on the PGA Tour, but his downfall often comes with the flat stick. The silver lining is that Niemann's only positive putting splits come on Bentgrass greens, which is what he'll be dealing with this week at Shadow Creek.

 

Low-Priced FanDuel DFS Players

Russell Henley ($8,500)

I'm really digging the "low" end of the salary scale this week and we'll kick things off with Russell Henley. Henley is a player that I was invested in heavily last week and he posted a ho-hum T27 at the Shriners thanks to losing over a stroke putting for the week. However, I'm willing to reload with him this week on a Shadow Creek layout that we expect to demand great tee-to-green performances from the players in this field. The Georgia Bulldog has been on a ball striking tear and has gained strokes with his irons in eight straight starts, which has resulted in three top-10s since July.

Jason Kokrak ($8,500)

Some may see Jason Kokrak's missed cut at the Shriners last week and run the other way. I'm willing to bet on a Kokrak rebound though, as the guy didn't play bad at Summerlin in his first start since the U.S. Open, falling short of the weekend despite a pair of 68's. Shadow Creek should be a better fit for him, as he routinely brings his best game at "big ballparks". Kokrak ranks 14th in the field in Driving Distance, while standing 25th in Good Drives Gained.

Bubba Watson ($8,400)

Bubba Watson is a player that I usually only give serious DFS consideration to on a handful of select layouts (Augusta, Riviera, River Highlands), but I'm intrigued by some seeming similarities between Shadow Creek and Augusta National, as both are tree lined with sprawling, slopey Bentgrass greens. In addition to that narrative based line of thinking, Watson has been striking the ball beautifully as of late, but just hasn't been able to putt it into the ocean. He's gained strokes T2G in each of his last seven starts, including a very impressive performance with his irons at Winged Foot, where he gained just over six strokes on Approach. This one makes my stomach a little queasy, but I'm willing to take the risk in this no-cut event.

Cameron Smith ($8,100)

Like the aforementioned Bubba, Cameron Smith is a guy that I rarely roster. However, I was on Smith last week at the Shriners a bit and I'm willing to go back to him for the CJ Cup. Smith's short game is one of the best in the world, but he's often undone by spotty ball striking. The Aussie has settled into a nice groove with his irons as of late. He gained 2.8 strokes on Approach last week at the Shriners, which was his sixth straight start with positive Approach numbers. Also, in a nugget that's totally devoid of statistical reasoning, Smith has always been in beast mode during the month of October for some reason.

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big in 2020.



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PGA DFS Vegas Report - CJ Cup (Premium Content)


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RotoBaller PGA: One And Done Staff Picks - CJ Cup

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud of our weekly PGA “One and Done” column. In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

It was a quiet weekend on the OAD front for our crew at the Shriners Open, as I was the only member that earned a payday with Joaquin Niemann's 13th place result in Vegas. Unfortunately, chipping away at Joe's lead isn't going to get the job done, and the prospects continue to look bleaker and bleaker for Josh and I with each passing event.

We do have a substantial purse up for grabs during our second league of the Vegas stretch, but the time to make a move will have to be now. With a field barely over 70 players, options are slightly more condensed to choose from because of what has transpired early in the season, and it will be interesting to see where the guys decide to go for one of the bigger tournaments left on the schedule.

 

One And Done Staff Picks Overview

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud to announce the weekly PGA “One and Done” column will be back for a second season.

In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and FanDuel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course that highlights the best fits for the week's course. And you can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

 

One and Done Selections - CJ Cup @ Shadow Creek

Joe Nicely - Matthew Wolff

Alternate - Louis Oosthuizen

Ok, so I'm coming off my first complete and total misfire in awhile, as Harris English missed the cut last week at the Shriners. The player that I should have rolled with last week was Matthew Wolff, a young man whose game looked absolutely electric at TPC Summerlin.

Perhaps I'm a week late, but I'm not letting this kid pass me by again. If I go down for a second time in Vegas (this is Spencer's home court after all, so it's possible that he tampered with Harris English's equipment last week), it's gonna be swinging with Matty Wolff.

He's ridiculously long off the tee, which will come in handy on this 7,500-plus yard Shadow Creek masterpiece, but the 21-year-old has also been firing on all cylinders with his irons and has gained over six strokes on Approach in his last two starts. In addition to the ball striking, Wolff's touch around the greens continues to evolve, and he stands sixth in this elite field in SG: ATG over the last 12 rounds.

This might not be the most creative pick I've ever made in this contest, but it is one that I'm making with a truckload of conviction. I'm rolling the dice on Wolff and betting that he leaves Sin City as the week's big winner.

Yearly Earnings - $7,795,082

Yearly Cuts Made - 24/29

 

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Spencer Aguiar - Tyrrell Hatton

Alternate - Scottie Scheffler

Man, what I would give to cancel the Tour Championship from this contest. Not only did it result in Joe earning a 1.665 million dollar "victory" with Xander Schauffele, but it also took away Rory McIlroy from my player pool. If you have the Irishman left at your disposal, it will have to be here or the Masters, and I would lean towards this being the ideal spot to use your big gun.

Sadly, that option is off the table for me, and it has resulted in a last-minute switch-up that I didn't anticipate making. These have never historically gone well in recent memory, but I've decided to deploy Tyrrell Hatton over Scottie Scheffler. I have to assume Joe is going to rollout Matthew Wolff, and it just seemed to be more logical of a decision to take the guy coming into the event off of a win than playing the guy who just missed the cut.

Hatton has won three of his last 13 worldwide events, and while this is clearly a swing for the fence and hope for the best situation, I feel as if there may be a better location to play Scheffler at down the stretch. Hatton's starts on tour might be limited, and it probably doesn't make sense for me to leave the 10th-ranked player in the world on my board when I am down nearly three million dollars.

Yearly Earnings - $4,962,692

Yearly Cuts Made - 23/29

 

Josh Bennett - Bubba Watson

Alternate - Gary Woodland

After Rickie’s slip up last week I’m pretty sure there’s no chance I can catch Joe now, but we’re sure going to try! Going to need some weird things to happen, so hopefully that starts with Bubba winning another golf tournament.

We’ve learned that Bubba is only good on “Bubba tracks”, but he’s actually been playing good all over the place recently which is a good sign heading into a place where they haven’t played an event before. The course will favor a long hitter, and with Bubba’s ability to move the ball in both directions he should be able to take some angles down the fairways that others won’t be able to.

He’s also great with longer irons in his hands which will benefit him on a course where half the holes will require a shot over 175 yards to the green. His game around the green is not good, but if he can just have an above average week near and on the greens we will see his name near the top of the leaderboard. Hopefully it’s at the very top of the leaderboard, I need it.

Yearly Earnings - $4,275,189

Yearly Cuts Made - 24/29

 

Running Totals

Joe Nicely Spencer Aguiar Josh Bennett
Sony Open Webb Simpson $455,400 Abraham Ancer $27,390 Webb Simpson $455,400
American Express Sungjae Im $162,475 Paul Casey $63,399 Sungjae Im $162,475
Farmers Insurance Tiger Woods $181,875 Hideki Matsuyama $22,950 Jon Rahm $817,500
Waste Management Jon Rahm $170,768 Webb Simpson $1,314,000 Hideki Matsuyama $97,212
Pebble Beach Jason Day $382,200 Patrick Cantlay $181,350 Jason Day $382,200
Genesis Invitational Bubba Watson $0 Dustin Johnson $234,825 Dustin Johnson $234,825
WGC Mexico Dustin Johnson $45,500 Justin Thomas $320,667 Tommy Fleetwood $125,500
Puerto Rico Open Alex Noren $0 Jhonattan Vegas $75,750 Alex Noren $0
Honda Classic Tommy Fleetwood $483,000 Tommy Fleetwood $483,000 Louis Oosthuizen $0
Arnold Palmer Invitational Rory McIlroy $330,731 Tony FInau $0 Xander Schauffele $72,424
Charles Schwab Rickie Fowler $0 Matt Kuchar $0 Patrick Reed $243,750
RBC Heritage Matt Kuchar $25,205 Justin Rose $129,575 Kevin Kisner $0
Travelers Championship Bryson DeChambeau $233,470 Sungjae Im $16,872 Bryson DeChambeau $233,470
Rocket Mortgage Viktor Hovland $131,875 Patrick Reed $0 Viktor Hovland $131,875
Workday Hideki Matsuyama $59,830 Rickie Fowler $59,830 Justin Rose $0
Memorial Patrick Cantlay $51,925 Xander Schauffele $171,585 Patrick Cantlay $51,925
3M Open Sam Burns $34,577 Bubba Watson $0 Tony Finau $250,800
WGC-St.Jude Daniel Berger $695,000 Collin Morikawa $106,200 Rory McIlroy $46,500
Barracuda Ryan Moore $69,475 Sam Burns $0 Denny McCarthy $20,883
PGA Championship Collin Morikawa $1,980,000 Daniel Berger $192,208 Brooks Koepka $69,500
Wyndham Championship Justin Rose $0 Billy Horschel $697,600 Paul Casey $37,440
Northern Trust Patrick Reed $23,169 Jason Day $0 Adam Scott $21,565
BMW Championship Scottie Scheffler $106,780 Tiger Woods $22,496 Collin Morikawa $106,780
Tour Championship Xander Schauffele $1,665,000 Rory McIlroy $280,090 Daniel Berger $186,850
Safeway Open Brendan Steele $41,391 Harold Varner III $41,391 Sam Burns $214,500
U.S. Open Tony Finau $302,236 Jon Rahm $101,797 Justin Thomas $302,236
Corales Puntacana Will Zalatoris $117,000 Patrick Rodgers $93,000 Kristoffer Ventura $9,580
Sanderson Doc Redman $46,200 Charley Hoffman $201,300 Will Zalatoris $0
Shriners Harris English $0 Joaquin Niemann $125,417 Rickie Fowler $0

 

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Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big in 2020.



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DraftKings Core Four (PGA DFS): CJ Cup @ Shadow Creek (Premium Content)


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PGA DFS: Expert Roundtable - CJ Cup

Please enjoy this PGA Premium article free for a limited time.

Hello RotoBallers and thanks for joining us for the CJ Cup! This is a new article that we're offering each week as part of our PGA Premium subscription, and we hope that you will find it useful.

Be sure also to read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

 

RotoBaller PGA Expert Roundtable

CJ Cup

The Expert Roundtable article is an attempt to get you inside the minds of our PGA DFS staff for every tournament.

Our four top golf writers - Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar, Josh Bennett, and Tommy Bell - will answer the same set of questions each week to give you an idea of how they are viewing the PGA DFS slate. Let's tee it up!

 

Who is your favorite DFS value play?

  • Joe Nicely: Russell Henley ($7.1k) & Jason Kokrak ($7.0k)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Sebastian Munoz ($7,000), Joaquin Niemann ($7,500), Bubba Watson ($7,300), Sungjae Im ($8,700)
  • Josh Bennett: Ryan Palmer (6,700)
  • Tommy Bell: Joaquin Niemann ($7,500)

 

Who is your favorite DFS “high priced” play?

  • Joe Nicely: Xander Schauffele ($10.3k) & Matthew Wolff ($10k)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Rory McIlroy ($10,600)
  • Josh Bennett: Justin Thomas (10,800)
  • Tommy Bell: Justin Thomas ($10,800)

 

Who is your top GPP play?

  • Joe Nicely: Hideki Matsuyama ($9.2k)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Rory McIlroy ($10,600)
  • Josh Bennett: Gary Woodland (7,700)
  • Tommy Bell: Si Woo Kim ($7,100)

 

Who is your top Cash-Game play?

  • Joe Nicely: Louis Oosthuizen ($8.5k)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Daniel Berger ($9,300), Viktor Hovland ($9,000)
  • Josh Bennett: Viktor Hovland (9,000)
  • Tommy Bell: Joaquin Niemann ($7,500)

 

Which popular golfer will you be “fading”?

  • Joe Nicely: Abraham Ancer ($8.2k)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Mackenzie Hughes ($6,800)
  • Josh Bennett: Scottie Scheffler (8,800)
  • Tommy Bell: Jon Rahm ($11,300)

 

What stands out as the most important stat for this golf course?

  • Joe Nicely: SG: T2G, SG: Approach, SG: OTT
  • Spencer Aguiar: Strokes Gained Off the Tee, Par-Five Birdie or Better %
  • Josh Bennett: SG: Approach
  • Tommy Bell: SG: Off-the-Tee, Proximity 175-200, SG: Around-the-Green

 

Who is your favorite DFS “dart throw”?

  • Joe Nicely: Bubba Watson ($7.3k) & Cameron Smith ($6.8k)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Harry Higgs ($6,300), Joohyung Kim ($6,400) - Very minimal on Kim. There is a large level of combustibility present.  
  • Josh Bennett: Cameron Champ (6,400)
  • Tommy Bell: Adam Hadwin ($6,700)

 

What is your favorite bet of the week? (Any type)

  • Joe Nicely: Louis Oosthuizen (50/1), Bubba Watson (66/1)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Rory McIlroy (14/1)
  • Josh Bennett: Gary Woodland (60/1)
  • Tommy Bell: Daniel Berger (25/1) 

 

Make a “bold prediction” for this week:

  • Joe Nicely: Brooks Koepka WDs
  • Spencer Aguiar: Justin Rose, Jason Day and Bubba Watson all come within the top-20
  • Josh Bennett: The winner is under 6500 on DK
  • Tommy Bell: Daniel Berger and Justin Thomas play 5 holes in a crazy playoff 

 

Who is your favorite overall DFS golfer and why?

  • Joe Nicely: Matt Wolff ($10.0k) - Love his length, current form, and confidence. 
  • Spencer Aguiar: Rory McIlroy ($10,600) - We are going to need the winner with this being a no-cut contest, and I am going to go heavy on the player that I think presents the best win equity for the week. 
  • Josh Bennett: Gary Woodland (7,700) - He's typically a top ball striker and is a much higher caliber player than his price. A birdie maker as well in a no-cut event at his price is always worth a shot even in poor form.
  • Tommy Bell: Joaquin Niemann ($7,500) - Solid course fit. HUGE upside. A very low price tag. What else can I ask for?

 

What is your optimal DFS lineup building strategy?

  • Joe Nicely: Stars & Scrubs
  • Spencer Aguiar: Stars & Scrubs
  • Josh Bennett: Balanced
  • Tommy Bell: Fairly balanced

 

Who is your pick to win the tournament?

  • Joe Nicely: Matthew Wolff
  • Spencer Aguiar: Rory McIlroy
  • Josh Bennett: Justin Thomas
  • Tommy Bell: Daniel Berger

 

Is there a question you would like to have answered every week? Hit us up on Twitter @RotoBallerPGA. We would love to hear your feedback and ideas!

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big in 2020.



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Horse For The Course: PGA DFS - The CJ Cup @ Shadow Creek

Hello PGA DFS family and thanks for joining me here at RotoBaller! It was a "Marty Party" in Las Vegas, as veteran journeyman Martin Laired emerged victorious from the Shriners Hospitals For Children Open for the second time in his career (#CourseHistoryMatters), fighting off Matthew Wolff and Austin Cook in a sudden-death playoff.

It was a big week for HFTC, as lots of our highlighted players (Bryson DeChambeau, Patrick Cantlay, and Matthew Wolff) were in the mix to win the Shriners! We go from a TPC Summerlin course where we had tons of history to dissect, to a mysterious Shadow Creek layout for which we have none. This is gonna be an interesting week...

Horse For The Course is an article that highlights players in this week's field with elite course history and is part of our free PGA DFS content here at RotoBaller. For my favorite DFS plays of the week check out my Core Four article here at RotoBaller every Wednesday. It's part of our amazing PGA Premium package that includes an all-new PGA Research Station, Lineup Builder & Optimizer, and some of the best articles in the PGA DFS industry! You can sign up now using Promo Code: NICE for an extra discount at checkout!

 

CJ Cup @ Shadow Creek Overview

Last week's Shriners field was incredibly strong, especially for a Swing Season event, but it doesn't hold a candle to the elite players that will tee it up in this week's CJ Cup. Guaranteed money and no cut will do that, as only 78 players will tee it up this week. Normally held at Nine Bridges in Korea, this year's CJ Cup was moved due to COVID-19. Players will convene at legendary Las Vegas layout Shadow Creek, a club that is shrouded in mystery and somewhat mythic status in the golf (and gambling) community. Long camera shy, Shadow Creek hosted The Match between Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson a couple of years ago, but other than that debacle, we've never seen the ultra-private course featured on TV.

Obviously, this situation throws a big monkey wrench in the traditional course history angle that we take in this column each week. So, we'll use this space to discuss some players, the course, and DFS strategy. Sound cool? Ok, let's tee this thing up!

You can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. And be sure to read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS articles to help you win big!

 

The Course: Shadow Creek Golf Course

Par 72 - 7,527 Yards, Greens: Bent, Designed By: Tom Fazio (Fazio Renovation in 2008)

Shadow Creek is legendary. A spare-no-expense project of Las Vegas billionaire Steve Wynn to lure high rollers into town, Shadow Creek is what it would look like if you could pick up and move a lush Georgia golf course and then plop it right down in the middle of the Nevada desert. We can expect beautiful and pristine conditions this week. Considered one of America's best golf courses, this Tom Fazio layout is shrouded in mystery. A longtime home for Vegas' resident high rollers and visiting celebrities, Shadow Creek is a tough nut to crack when trying to determine how the best players in the world will fare.

Now owned by MGM resorts, the course was renovated by Fazio in 2008 and lengthened to a more-modern 7,500-plus yards. Since the redesign, Dustin Johnson holds the course record at 66, which is kind of incredible considering the number of pros that routinely play here. If we adhere to the legend that Shadow Creek is unbelievably tough, we would want to target "grinders" this week. However, with the course playing at this yardage - and with four Par-5s on the scorecard that will probably only be reachable by the longest players in the field - we must also consider those with plenty of distance to their game. Anytime we're dealing with an unfamiliar layout, I tend to fall back towards leaning on overall Tee to Green ability as my default "go to" stat. That will once again be the case for me this week and I'll also give a bump to distance, as well as players that have traditionally been successful at major championship venues and/or "tough" golf courses. You can also glance at putting splits on Bent if you give much weight to putting.

 

Recent Champions & Winning Scores

  • N/A
  • N/A
  • N/A
  • N/A
  • N/A

 

The Horse

Dustin Johnson

*UPDATE: W/D DUE TO TESTING POSITIVE FOR COVID-19*

DraftKings: $11,100
FanDuel:
 $12,000
Notable Course History: N/A

I expect DJ to get a lot attention in the DFS industry this week. With such little to go on as it pertains to Shadow Creek, Johnson holding the course record is at least something tangible. Even without that nugget, I would be all over DJ in this spot, as he's basically "course proof". He's the guy I always want on long, tough layouts. Johnson frustratingly only has one major championship, but his track record in golf's biggest events is pristine, as he's posted six top-10s in majors since winning the U.S. Open in 2016. We also know that DJ slays it in elite, limited-field events, as he has six career WGC victories.

He's a statistical beast and ranks first in this CJ Cup field in SG: Total, T2G, Ball Striking, and Approach over the last 24 rounds. Johnson has won twice since the restart (three times if you wanna count the TOUR Championship), and posted strong finishes in both the PGA Championship (T2) and the U.S. Open (T6). The only reason I can think of to completely fade DJ this week is that things all line up almost too perfectly, which will elevate his ownership to very high levels.

 

The Ponies

Xander Schauffele

DraftKings: $10,300
FanDuel: $11,500

Notable Course History: N/A

Whenever "plays well on hard golf courses" is a focus for me, Xander Schauffele immediately pops on my radar. Schauffele is a player that I've relentlessly targeted in majors over the past couple of years and he's responded with fabulous performances on golf's toughest stages by posting a ridiculous seven top-10s in 13 major starts since 2017.

The California native is making his first start since another impressive outing at a major championship, a fifth-place finish in the U.S. Open at Winged Foot. It was just the latest in a long streak of quality outings for Schauffele. Since the PGA Tour's restart, he's made 11 of 11 cuts with 10 top-25s! Those results have came on many layouts that we can consider "difficult",  like the aforementioned Winged Foot, East Lake, Olympia Fields, TPC Harding Park, and Muirfield Village. I don't have any knowledge of Xander's familiarity level with Shadow Creek, but it's a good bet that the tougher it plays, the better it is for his prospects this week.

Finally, we must also take into account the "Nagels Bagels Rule", which says that Xander always performs exponentially better in no-cut events. (Sorry buddy, I had to do it!)

Matthew Wolff

DraftKings: $10,000
FanDuel: $11,200
Notable Course History: N/A

Matthew Wolf was highlighted in this article last week, but I'm going right back to the well with the young bomber. Wolff came up just short in a sudden-death playoff at the Shriners, but it was after overcoming a "sluggish" opening-round 68 to shoot 66-61(!)-66 over his last three rounds at TPC Summerlin. The dude is perhaps the most explosive player in the game at the moment and - while we don't expect super-low scoring at Shadow Creek this week - the 21-year-old has demonstrated the ability to take it deep on even the toughest of layouts, dropping rounds of 65 in at both Winged Foot and TPC Harding Park over the last couple of months.

We know Wolff is a bomber (trails only Cam Champ in this week's field in Driving Distance), which will put Shadow Creek's driveable Par-4 and all four Par-5s in play for him this week, but he's also thriving in other facets. He gained over SIX strokes on Approach in the Shriners last week and finished T4 in Scrambling %. He's playing with what seems like an almost immeasurable level of confidence at the moment and it feels like a win is coming soon.

 

 

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Viktor Hovland

DraftKings: $9,000
FanDuel: $10,100
Notable Course History: N/A

As I mentioned in the course preview, in the absence of concrete stats from the week's golf course, I'm always gonna lean on tee-to-green ability and ball striking. My guy V-Hova checks those boxes in neon Sharpie. The youngster is a player that I'm quickly learning to target on long, difficult layouts. After coming out of the restart blazing, it seemed like Hovland it a bit of a wall, as his normally-excellent ball striking became a bit spotty for about a month. However, the youngster looked recharged at Winged Foot, gaining 8.5 strokes T2G and 4.3 on Approach en route to a T13...his second finish inside the top-13 in two career U.S. Open starts. The short game is always the concern with Hovland, but he's actually gained strokes putting in three of his last four starts and Bent is statistically his best surface.

Louis Oosthuizen

DraftKings: $8,500
FanDuel: $9,700
Notable Course History: N/A

While his game is pretty much the polar opposite of Dustin Johnson's, Louis Oosthuizen's classic swing is something that I'll trust on just about any type of layout. Oosty not only has a history of playing very well on major-championship golf courses, but he's also been in razor-sharp form, posting top-25 finishes in five of his last six starts while gaining strokes T2G in each. As the course difficulty gets cranked up, so does the South African's average strokes gained per round. Oosthuizen averages gaining .82 strokes per round on "Difficult" courses, versus marks of .61 and .53 on layouts classified as "Average" and "Easy".

Russell Henley

DraftKings: $7,100
FanDuel: $8,500
Notable Course History: N/A

There's lots to love at the top of the salary scale this week, and since the CJ Cup is a no-cut event, we are free to be aggressive with lineup construction. Russell Henley leads off the "this guy feels too cheap" category at $7.1k. Henley doesn't have the name recognition of many in this field, but his ball striking has been legitimately world class as of late. Over the last 24 rounds, Henley ranks third in this week's elite field in SG: Approach and second (!) in SG: T2G, while also grading out seventh in Good Drives Gained and third in Scrambling Gained.

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big in 2020.



More PGA DFS Analysis

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy golf articles and weekly analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:


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DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - CJ Cup (Premium Content)


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The Turn: Fantasy Golf Pod & Video - CJ Cup @ Shadow Creek

Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) is joined by Andrew Poore (@AndrewPutters) to discuss the CJ Cup @ Shadow Creek, breaking down the PGA DFS slates for daily fantasy golf contests on FanDuel and DraftKings. Scroll down to checkout the YouTube link!

Be sure to subscribe to The Turn Podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast Network. Like and Subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well!

Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210, XM 87) - every weekday morning between 6-7 AM ET, and every weekend morning from 6-8 am ET as well. You can also find new weekly shows on the site under RotoBaller Radio podcasts.

 

CJ Cup @ Shadow Creek

*NOTE: DUSTIN JOHNSON & TONY FINAU HAVE WITHDRAWN FROM THE CJ CUP

My buddy @andrewputters and I recap a surprising Martin Laird victory at the Shriners. We dive into what we got right and what we got wrong last week. The PGA Tour stays in Las Vegas this week with an upgraded field at legendary Shadow Creek Golf Course...we share our PGA DFS strategy and favorite plays for the CJ Cup in Episode 19 of The Turn. Check it out below!

 

Thanks for listening to today's episode! Be sure to tune in throughout the week, and to also follow RotoBaller on Twitter, YouTube and iTunes for the latest fantasy news and analysis.

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. In his own words, "I couldn't have done it without all the hard work the entire RotoBaller PGA team puts in each and every week."

Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big in 2020.

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PGA DFS Hole-By-Hole Breakdown: The CJ Cup


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Daily Fantasy Golf DraftKings Picks (PGA DFS): Shriners Open

Welcome back, RotoBallers! Did anyone see the possibility for Sergio Garcia to regain some putting form at the Sanderson Farms? If you answered no, you probably weren't much different than the Spaniard, who was putting with his eyes closed throughout the event.

While it almost sounds like an outlandish story that can't be true, Garcia admitted after his round on Saturday that this is a strategy he has deployed numerous times throughout his career, including during his only major championship victory at Augusta. Sometimes seeing is believing, and who am I to question the now 11-time PGA Tour winner.

I take great pride in the research and energy I put into my selections from a mathematical standpoint, but my numbers or information aren't always the law. If you have any questions about a particular player from a PGA DFS or PGA betting perspective, please feel free to contact me on Twitter @Teeoffsports. Many golfers barely miss out on being mentioned here by fractions of a percent, and I am more than happy to discuss my feelings or stance on anyone that may have caught your eye. Like always, the purpose of this piece is to help you put together your optimal daily fantasy golf lineups for DraftKings, whether that be from a GPP perspective or a cash-game mentality. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS articles to help you win big!

 

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Shriners Open

We have a special treat for all you RotoBallers and golf enthusiasts. In addition to this article, be sure to also check out Spencer's PGA DFS Rankings Wizarda powerful and interactive data spreadsheet, allowing user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you would like to create your own spreadsheet, you will need to make a copy under "file, make a copy." We hope you enjoy!

 

Shriners Open - PGA DFS Overview

TPC Summerlin

7,251 Yards - Par 71 - Greens Bentgrass

The PGA Tour brings a star-studded field to Las Vegas for the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open, which is a welcoming sight after a few substandard contests in a row. Measuring in as a 7,251 yard par-71, Bobby Weed masterminded the property on the rugged desert terrain, with Fuzzy Zoeller serving as his consultant. The course itself meanders through arroyos and canyons and features lush Bentgrass greens to go along with friendly Bermuda rough.

I've noted before that I don't play a ton of golf, but TPC Summerlin is a venue that I have teed it up at in the past. Only 15 minutes away from my house, the property is one of the most visually aesthetic in the city, but for what it brings in looks, you lose some of the difficulty along the way. One hundred and two bunkers were redone in 2018 to try and add a little more challenge, but it hasn't appeared to do much with the average winning score coming in at 22-under par during that time frame.

In my opinion, the only real defense for the course itself would be wind. Many people don't realize just how breezy Vegas can get throughout the year, and it does appear as if gusts are in the forecast. We will see if that holds accurate after an extremely subdued last few weeks, but it is worth noting that we might want to find golfers that play well in conditions that are a little tougher. The three par-fives and two short par-fours are the most accessible holes, and four of these are included during the final six-hole stretch. There is a challenging par-three 17th, but that will be the only real test for players coming home. Overall, golfers that can demonstrate ball-striking ability and strategy off the tee should exploit TPC Summerlin in an ideal situation, and it is not as if we should be anticipating anything that will be too grueling for the field.

 

Let's Look At The Stats

Stat TPC Summerlin Tour Average
Driving Distance 295 281
Driving Accuracy 59% 62%
GIR Percentage 72% 65%
Scrambling Percentage 54% 57%
Average Three-Putts Per Round 0.53 0.55

In Vegas, as of Monday, Bryson DeChambeau leads the way at 7/1 and is followed by Webb Simpson at 11/1, Patrick Cantlay at 16/1 and Tony Finau and Hideki Matsuyama at 20/1. Kevin Na, your defending champion, enters the week at 70/1.

 

Key Stats

  • Strokes Gained Off the Tee 17.5%
  • Weighted Bent Putting + Scrambling 15%
  • Par-Five Birdie or Better Percentage 15%
  • Weighted Total Driving 15%
  • Sand Save 12.5%
  • Proximity 125-175 Yards 12.5%
  • Proximity 200+ Yards 12.5%

 

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

 

High-Priced DraftKings DFS Players 

There are four players this week priced above $10,000:

Bryson DeChambeau ($11,800)

There are some weeks where you can get contrarian to find an edge in DFS contests, but it won't be easy to think outside the box for the Shriners Open. TPC Summerlin has proven to be a venue that consistently has the same names rise to the top, and I believe it is essential to look at course history before handicapping the event. That is never a narrative that you hear me discuss for this article, as I am a firm believer that stats and current form tell more of the picture than past results at a venue, but the top of the DFS board reads like a "who's who" for past success. Bryson DeChambeau's three consecutive top-seven results at the property, including his victory in 2018, will go a long way, but it won't come cheaply at $11,800.

Webb Simpson ($11,000)

A victory here in 2013 to go along with four other top-20 results in his other six attempts shows that TPC Summerlin has quietly been one of Webb Simpson's go-to locations. We always discuss his dominance at places like the Wyndham Championship, but Vegas has quietly turned into a location where the American has popped, even when he hasn't ridden the best form into the week. I believe gamers looking for a rebate in price can safely go down to the seventh-ranked player in the world, but we shouldn't be getting much deviation in ownership between Simpson and DeChambeau. Everyone above $10,000 will be popular.

Patrick Cantlay ($10,400)

Patrick Cantlay will provide us our first real thinking spot at $10,400. The American grades out as my fifth-ranked golfer in terms of overall DFS modeling, but he does come in below the likes of Bryson DeChambeau, Webb Simpson, Tony Finau and Hideki Matsuyama. The margins are so thin that I wouldn't necessarily blame anyone for pivoting to the 13th-ranked player in the world, but it is worth noting that Cantlay isn't bringing the same form to the week of previous seasons, which might prevent him from adding his fourth consecutive top-two finish at TPC Summerlin to his resume. We are nitpicking here, but I could argue that Cantlay might end up being my odd man out for no other reason than strength around him.

Tony Finau ($10,200)

Surprisingly, Tony Finau is my first "true value" of the week, as the big-hitter from Utah should be priced $200 more on DraftKings. Again, we are talking fractions of a percent when it comes to expected output, but I like to pinpoint where there are deviations from my model to actual pricing. With all that being said, I always find it challenging to pay up in salary for Finau, who has proven to have trouble getting himself across the finish line. I am done predicting where Finau's next victory will happen, but TPC Summerlin is a good location for his style, and I wouldn't be surprised if he finds himself having another chance on Sunday.

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Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

Hideki Matsuyama ($9,900)

I'll be interested to see where Hideki Matsuyama falls with his actual ownership. As of right now, the Japanese sensation is expected to generate 15% for DraftKings contests, but I could see that number falling as gamers shift to other options around him. Matsuyama's ball-striking nature should give him a chance to grow from his 16th-place result here last season, and his overall makeup places him as perhaps the safest option under $10,000. I realize my happy-go-lucky disposition for every golfer is wearing thin, but it should explain how correctly priced a board we have received. Sometimes it just isn't easy to find value.

Collin Morikawa ($9,800)

From a pure upside perspective, Collin Morikawa is an intriguing route for GPP contests. His two missed cuts in his previous three events will take him off my board when it comes to cash games, but the American provides us with the same caliber upside as the top of the board, just at a reduced salary price. Saving a few dollars is never a bad thing, and it might allow you more maneuverability in roster construction.

Jason Day ($9,500)

I'd be negligent if I didn't discuss Jason Day during an event in my hometown. My affinity for the Aussie has not been hidden, but I want to make it clear that he earns his spot in this write-up because of his skills. Day's ability to scramble, play out of the bunker and score on par-fives will come in handy at TPC Summerlin, and he provides DFS participants an extremely intriguing situation to grab a top-tiered player at less than five percent.

Sungjae Im ($9,300)

It was a swing and a miss for Sungjae Im last weekend in Mississippi after fluttering to a 28th-place result at the Sanderson Farms. Lofty ownership from the previous week that doesn't result in a top-10 finish will typically account for most DFS players going underweight in the following contest, and that narrative is shaping up early in the week. Im is only projected to be nine percent owned, but I'd be careful in avoiding the 22-year-old. Im has a 15th-place finish on his record here in 2018 and showed some life last Sunday with a final round 66.

Joaquin Niemann ($8,100)

I think it is important to check how someone missed a cut when doing research. After a 10th-place showing in 2018 at TPC Summerlin, Joaquin Niemann failed to make the weekend last year, missing the cut on the number. Two rounds of 69 shouldn't indicate any potential issues, and the Chilean has the upside to make birdies in bunches - something that can play to his advantage if he gets hot.

Brian Harman ($8,000)

Brian Harman's lack of robust finishes has kept him subdued in salary for the last few months, but it continues to provide us a situation to grab the lefty at a reduced price tag. Harman has provided back-to-back top-18 results at this week's venue, and his ability to scramble and get up-and-down out of bunkers should give him an edge over most of the field.

 

Low-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

Doc Redman ($7,900)

I guess we have to discuss Doc Redman, who is projected to be the highest owned player this week under $8,000. I typically don't find as much value as most on the 22-year-old, but I agree that Redman is underrated for this week's contest. I do think we have potential pivot situations possible, but I won't be entirely avoiding the American as I sometimes do.

Cameron Smith ($7,800)

Speaking of potential pivots, Cameron Smith gives us someone that has shown to be capable of winning on tour but isn't a name that most seem to want to roster. The Aussie enters the week having produced four straight top-45 results, and he hasn't finished outside of 13th in his previous two showings in Vegas. Golfers like Smith are typically where I like to shift when ownership clouds a section, and his five percent projected total has me raising both eyebrows.

Harold Varner ($7,500)

It is hard to compile all of what Harold Varner III has done over the past few years and not feel as if he has underachieved. The American has only produced one top-10 showing on tour in 2020, and he hasn't exactly been a beacon for consistency with eight missed cuts in 17 tournaments. However, despite all the negative traits we can highlight of why he hasn't found more success, Varner seems to be trending towards a golfer ready to achieve more in his career. Three top-29 finishes over his last four tournaments is an encouraging sign, and his ability to gain strokes off the tee shouldn't be discounted.

Aaron Wise ($7,400)

There are a lot of players in the field with a Las Vegas backstory, but Aaron Wise takes it to another level. The 24-year-old experienced his first big break at the property in 2016 when he finished 10th, and his success at the venue can be easily explained. Wise uses TPC Summerlin as his home course and is coached by Jeff Smith - one of the head teaching pros at the property. It has been a rocky past few seasons for the Oregon product, but he might be trending in the right direction after finishing last week in 17th-place.

Lanto Griffin ($7,300)

There is a relatively solid built-in floor for Lanto Griffin, entering the week having made his last seven cuts. An 18th-place finish at TPC Summerlin in 2019 adds to the sanguinity, and it is not as if gamers are flocking to the 68th-ranked player in the world. Griffin should be someone to consider for cheap in cash-game contests, and his par-five scoring might help him to crack another top-25 result.

Luke List ($7,000)

Three straight top-20 results for Luke List in Vegas has turned the Vanderbilt product into a trendy sleeper this week. List has been shaky as of late, but his eighth-place result at the Corales Puntacana should add some optimism that the 141st-ranked player in the world can keep his streak alive in Sin City.

Adam Schenk ($6,900)

I realize we aren't talking about bank-breaking results, but DFS sites have refused to do much with Adam Schenk's price tag. The American has executed nine consecutive made cuts, but it has gone relatively unnoticed because of some subpar weekends. I will continue to play Schenk until he sees an increase that places him in the $7,000 range, and I believe he once again presents one of the better values on the board.

Chesson Hadley ($6,700)

It was a disappointing result for Chesson Hadley in Mississippi, but it might be a blessing in disguise if it allows us to grab last week's chalk at a quiet ownership total. Hadley has not finished worse than 18th in his last three trips to Vegas and has two top-seven results during that time frame.

Matt Jones ($6,600)

Ranked seventh in my model in par-five birdie or better percentage, Matt Jones also grades inside the top-25 in weighted Bentgrass putting + scrambling, sand save percentage and overall par-five scoring. Jones has produced two top-30 finishes at this week's venue during the last four years and also has made three cuts.

MJ Daffue ($6,500)

I wouldn't feel comfortable playing a ton of MJ Daffue, but there are a few things to like about his recent form. Daffue rides into the week off of a 12th-place showing at the Sanderson Farms, and he has birdied nearly 60% of his par-fives during the eight trackable rounds I have on him. A 72.22 GIR percentage has the South African as someone to keep an eye on going forward.

Beau Hossler ($6,500)

It is funny what two years can do to a young player. In 2018, I selected Beau Hossler to find his breakthrough victory in Vegas at odds of 55/1, and it feels as if everything has gone wrong for the Mission Viejo native since that moment. Hossler is a world-class putter when he gets it rolling, and we have gotten a small taste of that with him ranking third compared to the field over his last 100 rounds on Bentgrass greens.

Justin Suh ($6,200)

I think we sometimes don't realize how good a younger player is until their breakout performance happens on a bigger stage. After missing the first four cuts of 2020, Suh has delivered two top-25 finishes since the Barracuda, and none of it should come as that big of a surprise to the American after spending 26 weeks as the number one amateur in the world between 2018-2019.

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big in 2020.



More PGA DFS Analysis

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy golf articles and weekly analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:


Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks


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The Turn: Fantasy Golf Pod & Video - Shriners Hospitals For Children Open

Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) is joined by Andrew Poore (@AndrewPutters) to discuss the Shriners Hospitals For Children Open, breaking down the PGA DFS slates for daily fantasy golf contests on FanDuel and DraftKings. Scroll down to checkout the YouTube link!

Be sure to subscribe to The Turn Podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast Network. Like and Subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well!

Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210, XM 87) - every weekday morning between 6-7 AM ET, and every weekend morning from 6-8 am ET as well. You can also find new weekly shows on the site under RotoBaller Radio podcasts.

 

Shriners Hospitals For Children Open

My buddy @andrewputters and I recap a surprising Sergio Garcia victory at the Sanderson. We dive into what we got right and what we got wrong last week. The PGA Tour heads to Las Vegas this week with an upgraded field...we share our PGA DFS strategy and favorite plays for the Shriners in Episode 18 of The Turn. Check it out below!

 

Thanks for listening to today's episode! Be sure to tune in throughout the week, and to also follow RotoBaller on Twitter, YouTube and iTunes for the latest fantasy news and analysis.

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. In his own words, "I couldn't have done it without all the hard work the entire RotoBaller PGA team puts in each and every week."

Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big in 2020.

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PGA DFS: Expert Roundtable - Shriners Hospitals For Children Open

Please enjoy this PGA Premium article free for a limited time.

Hello RotoBallers and thanks for joining us for the Shriners Hospitals For Children Open! This is a new article that we're offering each week as part of our PGA Premium subscription, and we hope that you will find it useful.

Be sure also to read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

 

RotoBaller PGA Expert Roundtable

Shriners Hospitals For Children Open

The Expert Roundtable article is an attempt to get you inside the minds of our PGA DFS staff for every tournament.

Our four top golf writers - Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar, Josh Bennett, and Tommy Bell - will answer the same set of questions each week to give you an idea of how they are viewing the PGA DFS slate. Let's tee it up!

 

Who is your favorite DFS value play?

  • Joe Nicely:  Kristoffer Ventura ($7.1k) & James Hahn ($7.0k)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Joaquin Niemann ($8,100), Brian Harman ($8,000), Adam Schenk ($6,900), Matt Jones ($6,600)
  • Josh Bennett: Talor Gooch (6,800)
  • Tommy Bell: Doc Redman (7,900)

 

Who is your favorite DFS “high priced” play?

  • Joe Nicely: Webb Simpson ($11.0k) & Collin Morikawa ($9.8k)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Webb Simpson ($11,000)
  • Josh Bennett: Webb Simpson ($11,000)
  • Tommy Bell: Collin Morikawa ($9,800)

 

Who is your top GPP play?

  • Joe Nicely: Scottie Scheffler ($9.4k) & Russell Henley ($8.4k)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Jason Day ($9,500), Scottie Scheffler ($9,400), Sungjae Im ($9,300)
  • Josh Bennett:  Rickie Fowler (9,000)
  • Tommy Bell: Aaron Wise ($7,400)

 

Who is your top Cash-Game play?

  • Joe Nicely:  Denny McCarthy ($7.7k)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Cameron Smith ($7,800)
  • Josh Bennett: Denny McCarthy (7,700)
  • Tommy Bell: Joaquin Niemann ($8,100)

 

Which popular golfer will you be “fading”?

  • Joe Nicely: Kevin Na ($8.6k) - My fade last week was Sergio...do with that info whatever you like 🙂
  • Spencer Aguiar: I don’t have a ton of natural fades of players yielding 10%+ ownership. However, I won’t have a ton of Collin Morikawa ($9,800) or Russell Henley ($8,400) because both are overvalued for me at their price tags. 
  • Josh Bennett: Kevin Na (8,600)
  • Tommy Bell: Webb Simpson ($11,000)

 

What stands out as the most important stat for this golf course?

  • Joe Nicely: Total Driving, SG: Approach, Bent Putting
  • Spencer Aguiar: Strokes Gained Off The Tee, Bent Putting + Scrambling
  • Josh Bennett: SG: Approach
  • Tommy Bell: SG Tee-to-Green, Bentgrass Putting, Par 5 Scoring

 

Who is your favorite DFS “dart throw”?

  • Joe Nicely: So many! Schenk ($6.9k), Malnati ($6.7k), McCumber ($6.5k), Suh ($6.2k)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Justin Suh ($6,200)
  • Josh Bennett: Nick Taylor (6,400)
  • Tommy Bell: Luke List ($7,000)

 

What is your favorite bet of the week? (Any type)

  • Joe Nicely: Russell Henley (50/1) & Denny McCarthy (66/1)
  • Spencer Aguiar: Justin Suh top-five (80/1) on Bovada (Ties pay in full). Number should be half of that.
  • Josh Bennett: Denny McCarthy top 10 (+700)
  • Tommy Bell: Joaquin Niemann (50/1)

 

Make a “bold prediction” for this week:

  • Joe Nicely: Spencer gets detained for sneaking on to the grounds at TPC Summerlin in an attempt to give Jason Day a dinner invitation. 
  • Spencer Aguiar: I convince Jason Day to come have dinner at my house.
  • Josh Bennett: William McGirt top 10
  • Tommy Bell: Niemann finds himself in a crazy three-way playoff with Bryson and Morikawa

 

Who is your favorite overall DFS golfer and why?

  • Joe Nicely: Collin Morikawa ($9,800) - Great course fit with tons of win equity at a sub-$10k price tag. 
  • Spencer Aguiar: Joaquin Niemann ($8,100) - Niemann is probably the golfer that gives you the most bang for your buck. He has the firepower off the tee and ability to catch fire with his putter to scorch TPC Summerlin. 
  • Josh Bennett: Denny McCarthy (7,700) - He's one of the best putters on Tour and his irons have been great recently. The two things I'm looking for in a player this week he does well. Great price to fit in any kind of build as well.
  • Tommy Bell: Joaquin Niemann ($8,100) - A course that should fit him really well, and he can get as hot as anyone on tour when the putter gets going.

 

What is your optimal DFS lineup building strategy?

  • Joe Nicely: With this salary scale you can go either way. 
  • Spencer Aguiar: Stars & Scrubs
  • Josh Bennett: Balanced
  • Tommy Bell: Very Balanced

 

Who is your pick to win the tournament?

  • Joe Nicely: Webb Simpson
  • Spencer Aguiar: Webb Simpson
  • Josh Bennett: Collin Morikawa
  • Tommy Bell: Collin Morikawa

 

Is there a question you would like to have answered every week? Hit us up on Twitter @RotoBallerPGA. We would love to hear your feedback and ideas!

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big in 2020.



More PGA DFS Analysis

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy golf articles and weekly analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:


Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks


More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks


Categories
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RotoBaller PGA: One And Done Staff Picks - Shriners Open

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud of our weekly PGA “One and Done” column. In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

Last weekend turned into a bit of a debacle with my selection of Sungjae Im, as I didn't realize I had already taken him earlier in the season at the Travelers Championship. I don't even have a good excuse for doing that with the event taking place after the restart, but I did catch a small break with Charley Hoffman's sixth-place finish being my alternate choice.

Unfortunately, not much changed at the top of the leaderboard for Josh and I after Joe earned a respectable $46,200 out of Doc Redman, and you can't help but feel as if this contest has been over for the last few weeks. However, with all that being said, you just never know. Josh has tried to sneak in Webb Simpson about four times throughout the year-long contest, and I have proven to be successful in terms of double-dipping in each of the past two seasons - (Brooks Koepka at the 2019 Tour Championship).  We will have to see if either one of us can pull off the bait-and-switch when it matters most.

 

One And Done Staff Picks Overview

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud to announce the weekly PGA “One and Done” column will be back for a second season.

In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and FanDuel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course that highlights the best fits for the week's course. And you can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

 

One and Done Selections - Shriners

Joe Nicely - Harris English

Alternate - Cameron Smith

The Shriners has morphed into one of the best events on the Swing Season schedule on an annual basis. This year it boasts its strongest-ever field as players prepare for the first leg of back-to-back tournaments in Las Vegas (the CJ Cup will be held at Shadow Creek next week).

Unfortunately for me, most of the elite options at the top of the board are no longer available to me in this marathon of an OAD contest. Guys like Bryson, Webb, Cantlay, and Morikawa are long gone for Team J-Nice. As a result, I’m going with a player who has been posting elite results, even though he doesn’t have quite the name recognition of some of the other stars in the field.

Harris English has been perhaps the most consistent golfer in the world this year. The Georgia Bulldog (Yuck! Go Vols!) made 18 of 20 cuts in the 2019-20 season with six top-10 finishes among those and he heads to Vegas on the heels of an impressive fourth-place showing in the U.S. Open. This week’s TPC Summerlin layout fits English’s precise, fairways-and-greens style perfectly and he logged a T4 on this layout back in 2017.

Yearly Earnings - $7,795,082

Yearly Cuts Made - 24/28

 

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Like what you read today? You can show your support for Joe by using promo code NICE when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer!

 

Spencer Aguiar - Joaquin Niemann Jason Day

Alternate - Scottie Scheffler

I am in a position where I have to shoot for the moon and hope for the best with every selection. To me, that means upside golfers, and I feel as if my two best choices are Scottie Scheffler or Joaquin Niemann after already playing Hideki Matsuyama, Webb Simpson, Patrick Cantlay and Sungjae Im (twice).

I realize we have a disparity in pricing for DFS and Vegas between these two, but I wouldn't look at that too closely when making your selection. Niemann is a golfer that should be 35-40/1 in this field, and I do think we are relatively close to what is proper on Scheffler. I have decided to save the American for somewhere else down the stretch and will try to grab him in a spot where he is back clicking on all cylinders after missing a few weeks with COVID.

Niemann is an intriguing choice for a few reasons. His ability to make birdies in bunches is rivaled by very few golfers in the world, and it shouldn't hurt his chances that Bentgrass has historically been the only surface he has been a positive expected putter per round. It will be important for the 47th-ranked player in the world to improve his par-five scoring output if he wants to compete for a title, but Niemann's long iron ability could quickly turn his scoring trajectory around if he can locate the fairway off the tee.

Yearly Earnings - $4,837,275

Yearly Cuts Made - 22/28

 

Josh Bennett - Rickie Fowler

Alternate - Matthew Wolff

Coming down to the wire here and I need a couple W’s to have a chance. I don’t have many big shots left, but I have a couple that can hopefully work some magic. Unfortunately, at the moment I’m not sure we can classify Rickie as a “big shot” based on his poor recent form (for a big shot’s standards, anyway), but he’s been re-tooling his swing a bit and has had some time off so I have a feeling his game could be in really good shape. Or, it could be in even worse shape. Either way, it’s a good play for me, he’s typically a world class player and in normal Rickie form he could top 5 this event with no problem (as he showed in 2018).

Good iron players and good putters are who I targeted this week in all other contests, and we know by know that Rickie is one of the best putters on tour and when he’s good it’s because of his irons and his putter. Needing a couple really good weeks in a row here, hopefully Rickie gets us started on the right foot.

Yearly Earnings - $4,275,189

Yearly Cuts Made - 24/28

 

Running Totals

Joe Nicely Spencer Aguiar Josh Bennett
Sony Open Webb Simpson $455,400 Abraham Ancer $27,390 Webb Simpson $455,400
American Express Sungjae Im $162,475 Paul Casey $63,399 Sungjae Im $162,475
Farmers Insurance Tiger Woods $181,875 Hideki Matsuyama $22,950 Jon Rahm $817,500
Waste Management Jon Rahm $170,768 Webb Simpson $1,314,000 Hideki Matsuyama $97,212
Pebble Beach Jason Day $382,200 Patrick Cantlay $181,350 Jason Day $382,200
Genesis Invitational Bubba Watson $0 Dustin Johnson $234,825 Dustin Johnson $234,825
WGC Mexico Dustin Johnson $45,500 Justin Thomas $320,667 Tommy Fleetwood $125,500
Puerto Rico Open Alex Noren $0 Jhonattan Vegas $75,750 Alex Noren $0
Honda Classic Tommy Fleetwood $483,000 Tommy Fleetwood $483,000 Louis Oosthuizen $0
Arnold Palmer Invitational Rory McIlroy $330,731 Tony FInau $0 Xander Schauffele $72,424
Charles Schwab Rickie Fowler $0 Matt Kuchar $0 Patrick Reed $243,750
RBC Heritage Matt Kuchar $25,205 Justin Rose $129,575 Kevin Kisner $0
Travelers Championship Bryson DeChambeau $233,470 Sungjae Im $16,872 Bryson DeChambeau $233,470
Rocket Mortgage Viktor Hovland $131,875 Patrick Reed $0 Viktor Hovland $131,875
Workday Hideki Matsuyama $59,830 Rickie Fowler $59,830 Justin Rose $0
Memorial Patrick Cantlay $51,925 Xander Schauffele $171,585 Patrick Cantlay $51,925
3M Open Sam Burns $34,577 Bubba Watson $0 Tony Finau $250,800
WGC-St.Jude Daniel Berger $695,000 Collin Morikawa $106,200 Rory McIlroy $46,500
Barracuda Ryan Moore $69,475 Sam Burns $0 Denny McCarthy $20,883
PGA Championship Collin Morikawa $1,980,000 Daniel Berger $192,208 Brooks Koepka $69,500
Wyndham Championship Justin Rose $0 Billy Horschel $697,600 Paul Casey $37,440
Northern Trust Patrick Reed $23,169 Jason Day $0 Adam Scott $21,565
BMW Championship Scottie Scheffler $106,780 Tiger Woods $22,496 Collin Morikawa $106,780
Tour Championship Xander Schauffele $1,665,000 Rory McIlroy $280,090 Daniel Berger $186,850
Safeway Open Brendan Steele $41,391 Harold Varner III $41,391 Sam Burns $214,500
U.S. Open Tony Finau $302,236 Jon Rahm $101,797 Justin Thomas $302,236
Corales Puntacana Will Zalatoris $117,000 Patrick Rodgers $93,000 Kristoffer Ventura $9,580
Sanderson Doc Redman $46,200 Charley Hoffman $201,300 Will Zalatoris $0

 

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DraftKings Core Four (PGA DFS): Shriners Hospitals For Children Open (Premium Content)


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PGA DFS Vegas Report - Shriners Open (Premium Content)


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PGA DFS Hole-By-Hole Breakdown: Shriners Hospitals for Children Open


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Horse For The Course: PGA DFS - Shriners Hospitals For Children Open

Hello PGA DFS family and thanks for joining me here at RotoBaller! Sergio Garcia is undoubtedly one of the best ball strikers of his generation, but we all know that it has always been an adventure for the Spaniard on the greens. So, Garcia took the unorthodox step of closing his eyes on all putts last week in Jackson. It actually worked...as the veteran posted an out-of-nowhere win at the Sanderson Farms Championship for the 11th PGA Tour victory of his career and his first win in the U.S. since the 2017 Masters.

After a decent field for the Sanderson, we head to Las Vegas for the Shriners Hospitals For Children Open and what is an unbelievably-strong field for a Swing Season event. This is gonna be a fun week, let's dive in!

Horse For The Course is an article that highlights players in this week's field with elite course history and is part of our free PGA DFS content here at RotoBaller. For my favorite DFS plays of the week check out my Core Four article here at RotoBaller every Wednesday. It's part of our amazing PGA Premium package that includes an all-new PGA Research Station, Lineup Builder & Optimizer, and some of the best articles in the PGA DFS industry! You can sign up now using Promo Code: NICE for an extra discount at checkout!

 

Shriners Hospitals For Children Open Overview

Last week's Sanderson Farms field was actually pretty decent, but the field that is assembling in Vegas for this week's Shriners Hospitals For Children Open is borderline elite - especially when we consider that this is a "Swing Season" event. The Shriners will be the first of two back-to-back tournaments in Las Vegas (which probably helped strengthen this week's field) with the CJ Cup at Shadow Creek on tap for next week.

The Shriners is traditionally one of the better events of the fall, but we've never seen a lineup like this. Kevin Na triumphed over Patrick Cantlay in a playoff last year and both will be back this week. They'll be joined by an elite group of players. Bryson DeChambeau is set to make his first start since winning the U.S. Open. He'll be joined by the runner-up at Winged Foot, Matthew Wolff, as well as the year's other major champion, Collin Morikawa. We also have world-class players like Tony Finau, Webb Simpson, Hideki Matsuyama, and Jason Day teeing it up at TPC Summerlin. In addition to the superstars, there's a very nice mix of accomplished veterans and young, up-and-comers that will be in action at TPC Summerlin. This should be a great week for making DFS lineups, let's tee it up!

You can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. And be sure to read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS articles to help you win big!

 

The Course: TPC Summerlin

Par 71 - 7,255 Yards, Greens: Bent, Designed By: Bobby Weed/Fuzzy Zoeller

Fairly short by modern standards at just over 7,200 yards, this Las Vegas track has reachable Par-5s and a driveable Par-4 - which allows players to rack up birdies - but is short enough to bring every player in the field into the mix. The fairways are wide and firm with huge Bentgrass green complexes that generally roll on the slow side. Summerlin routinely ranks as one of the easiest courses on the PGA Tour schedule, but we have seen wind and weather occasionally play a factor on this layout that sits at high elevation. While this course is on the shorter side, we haven't traditionally seen bombers have a huge advantage here, as the past winners of the Shriners have mostly been sharp ball strikers or been on fire with the putter...like last year's winner, Kevin Na. I'll be targeting ball striking and Strokes Gained: Approach this week, as well as players that can rack up birdies.

 

Recent Champions & Winning Scores

  • Kevin Na (-23)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (-21)
  • Patrick Cantlay (-9)
  • Rod Pampling (-20)
  • Smylie Kaufman (-16)

 

The Horse

Bryson DeChambeau

DraftKings: $11,800
FanDuel:
 $12,200
Notable Course History: T4 ('20), Win ('19), T7 ('18), T36 ('17)

There’s been a lot of words written about Bryson DeChambeau over the last few months, so I don’t know that I have many fresh superlatives to add here. Obviously, what he’s done this season both physically and mentally (the mental toughness and strategic thinking needed to undertake this transformation often goes overlooked) has been unbelievably impressive. 

DeChambeau heads to the Shriners for his first start since winning the U.S. Open. There’s always the chance of a hangover when a player is coming off a major-championship victory, but Bryson doesn’t seem like the type of guy that loses focus. In addition to his work ethic, he’s been an absolute BEAST in previous trips to TPC Summerlin, sandwiching a win in 2019 between a T4 and a T7. His Strokes Gained: Total number trails only Patrick Cantlay by a sliver and he carries a 67.44 scoring average over his four Shriners appearances. 

While his course history is overly impressive, we must take into account that this isn’t the “same” DeChambeau that’s played this course in the past. In fact, we’ve seen him miss cuts at a couple of courses on which he’s won in his previous iteration (Muirfield Village and TPC Boston). However, I think Bryson’s new style will only help him at Summerlin, a course where length isn’t a requirement, but where it is certainly an advantage on the Par-5s and driveable Par-4s. We have to assume that his game will be firing off the tee (he's gained strokes OTT in EVERY start this calendar year!), with the question mark being his approach play and putting. If he is making putts, this could be another dominant performance from Bryson. 

 

The Ponies

Patrick Cantlay

DraftKings: $10,400
FanDuel:
$11,700
Notable Course History: 2nd ('20), 2nd ('19), Win ('18)

I’m a huge Patrick Cantlay “truther” and a big believer in his game. Unfortunately, 2020 hasn’t been the type of year that I envisioned for Cantlay, a player that broke through in a big way last year with a win at The Memorial, a top-five in the PGA Championship, and a top-10 at the Masters.

The 28-year-old hasn’t necessarily played bad since the restart (he’s consistently gained strokes T2G), but he also hasn’t been the type of good that we’ve come to expect...logging just one top-10 in eight starts since the COVID-19 layoff. 

Cantlay heads into a massive “get right” situation this week at the Shriners. He’s been downright dominant at TPC Summerlin, posting a win and two runner-up finishes over the last three years. His 66.67 scoring average on this layout is the best in the field and Bent is historically his best putting surface. Despite his lack of strong recent results, Cantlay's DFS price tag hasn't really budged. He comes in this week behind only Bryson DeChambeau and Webb Simpson, guys that many will flock to. It's early in the week as I write this, but if Cantlay could be a very interesting pivot at the top of the board if his ownership is projected to be substantially lower than that of Webb and Bryson. 

Matthew Wolff

DraftKings: $9,600
FanDuel: $11,000
Notable Course History: T18 ('20)

Matthew Wolff doesn't have the extensive course history that's normally needed to be included in this write-up, but a T18 in his lone Shriners start last year, combined with his sub-$10k price tag on DraftKings makes him worth a mention. Still just 21-years-old (hard to believe), Wolff had himself quite a little stretch since the restart, logging a runner-up finish at the Rocket Mortage, a top-five at the PGA Championship, and most recently a runner-up outing at the U.S. Open.

Wolff brings a little more volatility into play than we're used to at the top of the board, but his upside is basically off the charts. He's one of - if not the most - explosive players currently on the PGA Tour and his ability to go low is hard to ignore, not just on a weekly basis, but especially on this TPC Summerlin track that will require tons of birdies. Wolff grades out seventh in this field in Birdies or Better Gained using long-term metrics, while using recent-rounds only he ranks inside the top-five in SG: Total, T2G, OTT, and DK Points Scored.

I was honestly pretty surprised to see Wolff this far down the salary scale after the summer he's put together. While it's not a huge discount from the top guys, it is definitely enough savings to consider starting your lineups with him and fading the big boys.

 

 

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Russell Henley

DraftKings: $8,400
FanDuel: $9,700
Notable Course History: T37 ('20), MC ('19), T24 ('17), 10th ('16)

It's sort of an "out of sight, out of mind" situation for Russell Henley this week, as he last teed it up over a month ago. With Henley somewhat out of the DFS consciousness, we'll probably see guys with great recent form like Zach Johnson, Will Zalatoris, and Cameron Davis soak up tons of ownership in this price range. I like those guys too, but Henley is a guy we shouldn't ignore. He closed out the summer on a legit heater, going T9-T8-T25 in his last three starts of the season. His iron play has been a revelation and he stands first in this rather elite field in both SG: T2G and Approach if we stretch back 24 rounds. Of course, there's a downside in the form of his putting stroke. Henley ranks just 115th in this Shriners field in SG: Putting, although he did look much better on the greens over his last three starts of the season.

Denny McCarthy

DraftKings: $7,700 
FanDuel: $9,200
Notable Course History: T9 ('20), T15 ('19), MC ('18), MC ('16)

Over the last few weeks, I keep running into Denny McCarthy during my research process. It didn’t work out great at Corales (T41), but it did pay huge dividends last week at the Sanderson (T6), when D-Mac logged his second top-10 in his last five starts.

He’s popping for me again this week. His track record at TPC Summerlin is strong - T9/T15 last two years - and he’s a tremendous Bent putter (McCarthy is great on every surface). The concern with him is always his ball striking, though we have reason to believe that he’s in a nice groove T2G, as he heads to Vegas off an outing at the Sanderson in which he gained strokes on the field in every statistical category. There aren't many events on the schedule where a guy can just blatantly putt his way to victory, but Kevin Na showed that it is possible on this track last year. I'm giving McCarthy a bump this week, as these huge greens are easy to hit, but difficult to navigate...and McCarthy is the best putter on the PGA Tour. 

Aaron Wise

DraftKings: $7,400
FanDuel: $8,600
Notable Course History: MC ('20), T15 ('19), T32 ('18), T10 ('17)

In 2018 it looked as though Aaron Wise was on the verge of being a true superstar. On the heels of an NCAA individual title in 2016 while at Oregon and a win in his lone season on the then-Web.com Tour in 2017, Wise won the AT&T Byron Nelson in just his 18th start as a PGA Tour member in 2018. He would score a couple of additional top-five finishes and multiple top-25s that season en route to winning PGA Tour Rookie of the Year honors. Since that sparkling rookie season, Wise has - to put it mildly - mostly struggled. 

The youngster is a prodigious driver of the ball, but we can chalk his inconsistency up to spotty-at-best iron play and a putting stroke that put him 185th in Total Putting on the PGA Tour last season. His faults aside, we can try to ride some positive momentum with Wise this week, as the Las Vegas resident heads to TPC Summerlin off one of his best performances in recent memory. He gained strokes in every facet at the Sanderson, including 3.4 strokes on Approach and 3.2 strokes Putting. Wise has a career scoring average of 68.71 at Summerlin and has top-15 finishes in two of his four career Shriners starts. 

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big in 2020.



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Daily Fantasy Golf FanDuel Picks (PGA DFS) - Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

Hello RotoBaller PGA family! If only Sergio Garcia had started putting with his eyes closed 20 years ago! The ball-striking Spaniard rode a very unique putting routine to a surprise win at the Sanderson Farms Championship last week.

We go from a solid field in Mississippi to a borderline elite one this week in Las Vegas, as the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open boasts a very strong entrant list and will be the first of back-to-back tournaments in Sin City. In this article we'll discuss some of the standout PGA DFS plays available on FanDuel for the U.S. Open. While it's impossible to hit on every player, we'll touch on some different plays across all price ranges, breaking the groups down into "High", "Mid", and "Low" price options.

Like always, the purpose of this piece is to help you put together your optimal daily fantasy golf lineups for FanDuel, whether that be from a GPP perspective or a cash-game mentality. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

 

Shriners Hospitals for Children Open - PGA DFS Overview

TPC Summerlin

7,255 Yards - Par 71 - Greens: Bent - Designer: Bobby Weed/Fuzzy Zoeller

Fairly short by modern standards at just over 7,200 yards, this Las Vegas track has reachable Par-5s and a driveable Par-4 - which allows players to rack up birdies - but is short enough to bring every player in the field into the mix. The fairways are wide and firm with huge Bentgrass green complexes that generally roll on the slow side. Summerlin routinely ranks as one of the easiest courses on the PGA Tour schedule, but we have seen wind and weather occasionally play a factor on this layout that sits at high elevation. While this course is on the shorter side, we haven't traditionally seen bombers have a huge advantage here, as the past winners of the Shriners have mostly been sharp ball strikers or been on fire with the putter...like last year's winner, Kevin Na. I'll be targeting ball striking and Strokes Gained: Approach this week, as well as players that can rack up birdies.

 

Let's Look At The Stats

Stat TPC Summerlin Tour Average
Driving Distance 295 281
Driving Accuracy 59% 62%
GIR Percentage 72% 65%
Scrambling Percentage 54% 57%
Average Three-Putts Per Round 0.53 0.55

 

Key Stats

  • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green
  • Birdies or Better Gained
  • Par 5: Birdies or Better Gained
  • SG: Off the Tee
  • SG: Putting (Bent)
  • SG: Approach

 

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for FanDuel (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event including DFS lineup picks for DraftKings/FanDuel, betting advice and DFS prop picks.

High-Priced FanDuel DFS Players 

Bryson DeChambeau ($12,200)

There aren't any bad options at the top of the salary scale, as the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open is truly loaded with elite options. It's probably not a bad idea to start with Bryson DeChambeau, a guy that is fresh off an ultra-impressive win at the U.S. Open and has a pristine track record at TPC Summerlin. DeChambeau has been an absolute BEAST in previous trips to TPC Summerlin, sandwiching a win in 2019 between a T4 and a T7. His Strokes Gained: Total number for this event trails only Patrick Cantlay by a sliver and he carries a 67.44 scoring average over his four Shriners appearances. Yes, there are other very legitimate options at the top of the salary scale this week, but DeChambeau might be the only player that has the ability to truly run away with this tournament if things are clicking.

Webb Simpson ($11,900)

Webb Simpson's style is basically on the other end of the spectrum than Bryson DeChambeau's, but it is perhaps no less effective on "regular" PGA Tour layouts. Simpson has certainly been bulletproof at TPC Summerlin, as he's posted a win, four top-10s, and never missed a cut in eight Shriners starts since 2010. While DeChambeau unquestionably has the ability to dominate with his power, Simpson's fairways-and-greens attack is more consistent, which is why he's only missed three cuts since November of 2018. He brings lots of stability to roster builds, while still possessing an amount of win equity that shouldn't be ignored.

Patrick Cantlay ($11,700)

Patrick Cantlay hasn’t necessarily played bad since the restart (he’s consistently gained strokes T2G), but he also hasn’t been the type of good that we’ve come to expect...logging just one top-10 in eight starts since the COVID-19 layoff.

Cantlay heads into a massive “get right” situation this week at the Shriners. He’s been downright dominant at TPC Summerlin, posting a win and two runner-up finishes over the last three years. His 66.67 scoring average on this layout is the best in the field and Bent is historically his best putting surface. Despite his lack of strong recent results, Cantlay's DFS price tag hasn't really budged, which might make him something of a contrarian play at the top of the board this week.

Tony Finau ($11,400)

It's frustrating to see Tony Finau not winning golf tournaments, but his consistency of late can't be ignored. Finau has posted top-10s in five of his last eight starts. He brings that strong form to a TPC Summerlin track where he's made six cuts in six career starts with four top-16 finishes. Like Webb Simpson, Finau brings a feeling of stability to the table this week, which makes him perfect a perfect core piece to build around.

Matthew Wolff ($11,100) 

I could make the argument that Matthew Wolff and Cantlay's salary should be flip-flopped this week, as Wolff has undoubtedly been in better form. He heads to Vegas off an impressive runner-up finish at the U.S. Open - his second top-five finish in a major in two months. However, TPC Summerlin is far from a major-type layout. It's a good thing for us that Wolff has proven himself adept on birdie-fest tracks as well as tough ones. The 21-year old finished runner-up in a shootout earlier this year at the Rocket Mortgage and his lone PGA Tour victory was a 21-under par victory at the 3M last year. He's one of - if not the most - explosive player in golf at the moment.

 

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Mid-Priced FanDuel DFS Players

Cameron Davis ($9,900)

The young Aussie just continues to impress. Cameron Davis was featured in this write-up last week and didn't disappoint, posting a T6 at the Sanderson after holding a share of the 54-hole lead. Davis has now ran off five-straight made cuts with three top-15s among those. He heads to Vegas ranked first in the field in Birdies or Better Gained and third in SG: Par 5s over recent rounds. In his lone career start at TPC Summerlin two years ago he posted a T28 and there's a great chance that he improves on that finish this week.

Russell Henley ($9,700)

Henley hasn't teed it up in over a month, so it might be easy to forget that he closed out the 2019-20 season on a legit heater, going T25-T8-T9 in his last three starts. So while it might be a case of "out of sight, out of mind" with Henley for some DFS players, I'm interested in jumping right back on him despite his recent inactivity. His iron play has been a revelation and he stands first in this rather elite field in both SG: T2G and Approach if we stretch back 24 rounds. Of course, there's a downside in the form of his putting stroke, though he has looked better on the greens in his more recent starts.

Will Zalatoris ($9,700)

After a T8 at the U.S. Open and a T6 at Corales, the Willie Z bubble finally popped last week at the Sanderson. The youngster finished at even par after 36 holes to miss the cut at Country Club of Jackson. Despite last week's underwhelming performance, I see this week's Shriners as a nice bounce-back opportunity for Zalatoris, a player that ranks 12th in this field in Birdies or Better Gained over the last 12 rounds. He's very familiar with these types of birdie-fest-layouts from his time on the Korn Ferry Tour and has a great chance to rebound at reduced ownership this week.

Denny McCarthy ($9,200)

I've been in on Denny McCarthy lately and he’s popping for me again this week. His track record at TPC Summerlin is strong - T9/T15 last two years - and he’s a tremendous Bent putter (McCarthy is great on every surface). The concern with him is always his ball striking, though we have reason to believe that he’s in a nice groove T2G, as he heads to Vegas off an outing at the Sanderson in which he gained strokes on the field in every statistical category. There aren't many events on the schedule where a guy can just blatantly putt his way to victory, but last year Kevin Na proved that it is possible on this track. I'm giving McCarthy a bump this week, as these huge greens are easy to hit, but difficult to navigate...and McCarthy is the best putter on the PGA Tour.

Cameron Smith ($9,100)

I rarely find Cameron Smith in my lineups because he's so tough to put a finger on statistically and his ball striking is routinely poor. However, the Aussie is something of a "gut" play for me this week, as he heads to Vegas with an intriguing blend of good recent form and strong course history. Smith has posted top-25s in three of his last four starts (gaining strokes on Approach in all four) and he's went T10-T13 in his last two starts at TPC Summerlin. I'm not letting him anywhere near my core builds, but I love him as a "boom or bust" GPP play.

Low-Priced FanDuel DFS Players

Kristoffer Ventura ($8,800)

The youngster has been a popular DFS value option over the last couple of weeks. Ventura fell short at Corales, but responded nicely last week with a T6 outing at the Sanderson. This week's Shriners field is undoubtedly stronger, though Ventura still feels underpriced at just $8.8k. He grades out 10th in this field in SG: Putting on Bent and has gained strokes T2G in five of last six starts on the PGA Tour. Couple that recent form with a solid T18 result in last year's Shriners and Ventura tops my list of value plays this week.

Lanto Griffin ($8,700)

Lanto is a player that's easy to overlook in DFS because he doesn't really standout in any particular statistical area. What he does manage to do is be "pretty darn solid" in every facet of the game (14th in this field in SG: T2G), which makes him the type of guy that you don't see on TV all week, but at the end of the tournament he's posted a sneaky T12 or something. True to form, he logged a quiet T18 in last year's Shriners.

Stewart Cink ($8,600)

I don't know what's gotten into Stewart Cink lately, but the 47-year-old is partying like it's 1999. We've seen the veteran play well in short spurts over the last couple of years, but Cink's irons have been firing like never before as of late. He's gained over five strokes on Approach in each of his last two starts...a win at the Safeway and a T12 last week at the Sanderson. This TPC Summerlin track is manageable for veterans due to its relative lack of length, so it wouldn't be a surprise to see Cink continue to play well this week if he keeps the irons going.

Tyler McCumber ($8,000)

Our "What the hell, let's roll with it!" play of the week is Tyler McCumber at $8k. After missing seven straight cuts, McCumber has exploded for a runner-up finish (Corales) and a T6 (Sanderson) in his last two starts. Golf is a weird game, so chances are this is an unsustainable level of play for the son of PGA Tour-lifer Mark McCumber. However, he's been doing it with amazing ball striking both with his driver and his irons, rather than just an insanely hot putter, which makes me more willing to gamble on riding the wave with him this week.

Justin Suh ($7,200)

I'm reaching deep into my bag of tricks for you boys this week. If you have read this column all the way to the end, THANK YOU! A fun little dart throw this week is Justin Suh at just $7.2k. The class that included Collin Morikawa, Viktor Hovland, and Matthew Wolff was supposed to produce four superstars, as Suh was just as decorated in college as those other three. While that trio has found instant success on the PGA Tour, Suh has struggled mightily to find his way. We can chalk a lot of his troubles up to a nagging wrist injury that has finally healed. Couple reasons to keep an eye out for Suh this week...he lived in Las Vegas for a time after college and spent a huge chunk of his practice time playing at TPC Summerlin and he reunited with his college golf coach during the COVID-19 downtime, which has helped him to finishes of T21 at the Barracuda and T14 at Corales in his only two PGA Tour starts since the layoff.

 

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