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NHL DFS for FanDuel, DraftKings (9/28): Value Plays, Goalies, Power Plays, Core 4, Stacks

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey this time of year is a different experience with the showdown slates. The goal is to keep things simple during this time of year. Keep it simple stupid applies here.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Nikita Kucherov who can be a volume shooter tends to be a better play just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings and Fanduel for Monday, September 28th, 2020 at 8:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @ChrisWasselDFS as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

Please note this is the third game in four nights for both teams. 

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 9/28

  • Dallas Stars (+140) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-160)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis 

Team Goalie GAA Goalie SS Goalie RBS Goalie GSAA Goalie QS%
Anton Khudobin 2.72 -- 8th 32.58 2 0.4 47.8
Andrei Vasilevskiy 1.97 -- 2nd 29.91 1 6.05 58.3

The numbers I use will be a bit different than Jorge's but the goal is the same. Goalies are ranked based on a minimum of eight starts (more than one round basically).This is to keep you informed of overall statistics from an individual goaltending standpoint. Goalie SS is simply goalie shots seen. Goalie RBS is what we call a really bad start where a goaltender has a save percentage of .850 or less. Goalie GSAA is goals saved above average and the quality start percentage is where a goaltender posts above the league average in save percentage.

Now, what has been lost in some of the big picture numbers is that Anton Khudobin has been more of a victim overreacting to what Tampa Bay does in this round. If anyone has noticed, the Lightning place a premium on creating traffic in front of a goaltender with speed. Players do not stay in a spot long as they are often moving. That movement and Tampa Bay's ability to attack quickly has hurt Dallas often in this series. It has forced Khudobin to cheat way more than usual in the last three games and the result have been Lightning wins.

Andrei Vasilevskiy has had his moments too but as often is the case, the Russian goalie has found a way to play his best when the game matters most. He has made the saves in this series that Khudobin has failed to make. Yes, Khudobin faces more shots but the quality of chances are far greater from Tampa Bay. It is not to say that Dallas has not had their moments. It is just that Tampa Bay executes at a more efficient level.

Power Play Analysis

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
Dallas Stars 23.2% -- 2 85.5% -- 2
Tampa Bay Lightning 22.2% -- 4 80% -- 12

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate!

The Dallas power play has been vital in their ability to advance through the first three rounds. With Jamie Benn scoring at will and a top unit that features players like John Klinbgberg and Joe Pavelski. Also, do not forget about Alexander Radulov and Miro Heiskanen who are both dangerous as well. Yet this power play in Games 2-4 has gone away from its working formula and become too cute. The results have been a disaster including another 0 for 3 in Game 4.

Tampa Bay's power play went belly up versus the New York Islanders. It then began to bounce back in Games 2 and 3 of this series. The return of Steven Stamkos in Game 3 gave everyone a lift from top to bottom and that had an effect on the man advantage. Tampa Bay looked energized and raring to go throughout the contest. The five-man unit struck fear into the hearts of the Dallas penalty killers throughout Wednesday night. This resulted in Tampa Bay going 3 for 4 on Friday night including the game winner in overtime from Kevin Shattenkirk.

Game 5 was a bit more subdued with only a few power plays handed out. At times, it felt more like a Game 7. The double overtime affair was quite physical as the players were allowed to play.

 

NHL DFS Core Plays- Showdown

Captain Picks

  • Victor Hedman ($13,500 DK/ $12,000  FD) - Hedman had one of his worst possession nights in the playoffs but still managed yet another double digit fantasy effort behind five shots on goal and four blocked shots. That meant hitting both bonuses on DraftKings as well. Even when he is off, he is on just enough to hit value. The Tampa Bay blueliner has hit double digit fantasy points in four straight and six of his previous seven outings now. There are few players who can deliver that kind of consistency from his position.
  • Nikita Kucherov ($16,200 DK/ $14,500  FD) - Kucherov is the most expensive player on the slate but also carries the highest ceiling of all skaters in this game. He had one assist, three shots on goal, and three scoring chances in Game 5 versus the Dallas Stars. He is the most dangerous player on the ice especially when that first unit power play is in rhythm. With the power play unit a bit neutralized on Saturday, look for a better effort on Monday night.
  • Jamie Benn ($12,300 DK/ $14,000  FD) - The temptation is to go with Tyler Seguin who is piling up assists including three in Game 4 on Saturday night. However, Seguin has not scored in 14 postseason games and Benn does not have that kind of drought working against him. On the other hand, Benn has just one assist in this series despite 12 shots on goal and 11 scoring chances. Maybe he is due but this is a higher risk captain pick than most for Game 6.

 

Value Picks

  • Ondrej Palat ($8,400 DK/ $10,000  FD) - Palat has been skating with the top Lightning line all postseason long. Palat is cheaper than his other linemates but allows you to get exposure to the top line and the top powerplay line as well. He has scored double-digit DK points in eight of his last 11 games. If needing salary relief, Palat can be viable in tournaments for the captain role due to his recent form and salary savings that he provides. Furthermore, Palat has carried a nice floor and had 3+ shots in six of his last seven games. There will be no Steven Stamkos for the rest of this series so there is zero fear of Palat's time getting reduced.
  • Corey Perry ($4,000 DK/ $7,500  FD) - Perry's wife joined the bubble and magically he now has three goals in his last two games while playing with Tyler Seguin. It is just crazy that Perry is the sniper and Seguin is the passer now. In Stanley Cup Final games, Perry has nine points in ten career contests. He does have a flair for the dramatic to a point and the price is extremely reasonable still despite the uptick in production.
  • Anthony Cirelli ($6,200 DK/ $8,000  FD) - Cirelli can be a bit of a gamble given his higher than expected DraftKings price but still carries some value. He can average a couple shots a night with a couple blocks as well. That gives him somewhat of a floor and the increased ice time is a bonus. If there are a few more power plays in Game 6, this will help as well. He is on the second line and that does not expect to change which typically means the second power play unit.

 

Stacks

  • TB1- Palat, Hedman, Kucherov, Point
  • DAL1- Benn, Seguin, Radulov (Perry will sometimes play with Seguin)
  • TBPP1- Kucherov, Hedman, Palat, Point
  • TB3 - Goodrow, Gourde, Coleman

 

Player Pool

C-  Pavelski, Seguin, Gourde, Cirelli, Point 

W- Kucherov, Benn, Radulov, Palat, Perry/Maroon, 

D- Hedman, Sergachev, Klingberg, Heiskanen

G- Vasilevskiy, Khudobin

 

 

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NHL DFS for FanDuel, DraftKings (9/26): Value Plays, Goalies, Power Plays, Core 4, Stacks

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey this time of year is a different experience with the showdown slates. The goal is to keep things simple during this time of year. Keep it simple stupid applies here.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Nikita Kucherov who can be a volume shooter tends to be a better play just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings and Fanduel for Saturday, September 26th, 2020 at 8:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @ChrisWasselDFS as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

Please note this is the back end of a back-to-back. Friday night produced a crazy 5-4 result not from a scoreboard standpoint but from an attacking perspective. Dallas excelled at even strength early while Tampa Bay delivered on the man advantage. 

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 9/26

  • Dallas Stars (+140) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-160)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis 

Team Goalie GAA Goalie SS Goalie RBS Goalie GSAA Goalie QS%
Anton Khudobin 2.81 -- 9th 32.22 2 -0.92 45.5
Andrei Vasilevskiy 1.96 -- 2nd 29.78 1 6.39 60.9

The numbers I use will be a bit different than Jorge's but the goal is the same. Goalies are ranked based on a minimum of eight starts (more than one round basically).This is to keep you informed of overall statistics from an individual goaltending standpoint. Goalie SS is simply goalie shots seen. Goalie RBS is what we call a really bad start where a goaltender has a save percentage of .850 or less. Goalie GSAA is goals saved above average and the quality start percentage is where a goaltender posts above the league average in save percentage.

Now, what has been lost in some of the big picture numbers is that Anton Khudobin has been more of a victim overreacting to what Tampa Bay does in this round. If anyone has noticed, the Lightning place a premium on creating traffic in front of a goaltender with speed. Players do not stay in a spot long as they are often moving. That movement and Tampa Bay's ability to attack quickly has hurt Dallas often in this series. It has forced Khudobin to cheat way more than usual in the last three games and the result have been Lightning wins.

Andrei Vasilevskiy has had his moments too but as often is the case, the Russian goalie has found a way to play his best when the game matters most. He has made the saves in this series that Khudobin has failed to make. Yes, Khudobin faces more shots but the quality of chances are far greater from Tampa Bay. It is not to say that Dallas has not had their moments. It is just that Tampa Bay executes at a more efficient level.

Power Play Analysis

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
Dallas Stars 23.8% -- 2 85.2% -- 2
Tampa Bay Lightning 22.5% -- 3 79.8% -- 12

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate!

The Dallas power play has been vital in their ability to advance through the first three rounds. With Jamie Benn scoring at will and a top unit that features players like John Klinbgberg and Joe Pavelski. Also, do not forget about Alexander Radulov and Miro Heiskanen who are both dangerous as well. Yet this power play in Games 2-4 has gone away from its working formula and become too cute. The results have been a disaster including another 0 for 3 in Game 4.

Tampa Bay's power play went belly up versus the New York Islanders. It then began to bounce back in Games 2 and 3 of this series. The return of Steven Stamkos in Game 3 gave everyone a lift from top to bottom and that had an effect on the man advantage. Tampa Bay looked energized and raring to go throughout the contest. The five-man unit struck fear into the hearts of the Dallas penalty killers throughout Wednesday night. This resulted in Tampa Bay going 3 for 4 on Friday night including the game winner in overtime from Kevin Shattenkirk.

 

NHL DFS Core Plays- Showdown

Captain Picks

  • Victor Hedman ($13,200 DK/ $12,500  FD) - Hedman has enjoyed three excellent games against the Dallas Stars and now has ten goals on the playoffs. He could be the favorite for the Conn Smythe even with Nikita Kucherov enjoying the postseason he has. The reason is simple. Hedman dominates and impacts the game like few defenseman could from the blueline. He has scored double digits in five of his last six DFS outings. This is in spite of just one block over the last three games.
  • Nikita Kucherov ($16,500 DK/ $15,000  FD) - Kucherov is the most expensive player on the slate but also carries the highest ceiling of all skaters in this game. He had two assists, five shots, and four more scoring chances in Game 4 against the Dallas Stars. He is the most dangerous player on the ice especially when that first unit power play is in rhythm. With three goals on the power play on Friday night, the Tampa Bay Lightning man advantage is rolling.
  • Jamie Benn ($12,000 DK/ $14,000  FD) - If you want look at Dallas then Benn is your guy. Tyler Seguin has just two goals on the postseason, so it has been painful. Also, Miro Heiskanen, other than a few flashes, has been largely inept at scoring goals. Benn has not fared much better but does have nine scoring chances and eight shots in the last three contests. The problem is Dallas just cannot convert many of those opportunities. Benn has been in front of Andrei Vasilevskiy a ton. Seguin may be a sneaky pick tonight if one is looking to go completely against the grain.

 

Value Picks

  • Ondrej Palat ($8,200 DK/ $10,500  FD) - Palat has been skating with the top Lightning line all postseason long. Palat is cheaper than his other linemates but allows you to get exposure to the top line and the top powerplay line as well. He has scored double-digit DK points in eight of his last 11 games. If needing salary relief, Palat can be viable in tournaments for the captain role due to his recent form and salary savings that he provides. Furthermore, Palat has carried a nice floor and had 3+ shots in five of his last six games.
  • Kevin Shattenkirk ($4,600 DK/ $9,500  FD) - Shattenkirk is the main defensive cog on the Tampa Bay power play not named Victor Hedman. That does add some value as the defenseman can get some points just by the product of the Lightning forwards. The key is how occupied those forwards have kept the Dallas penalty killers. This makes shots from the point even more dangerous and gives room for players like Shattenkirk to make plays.
  • Jason Dickinson ($3,600 DK/ $6,500  FD) - Dickinson is minimum or near minimum price in all formats and has nine shots and five scoring chances in his previous four games. He is a risk worth taking as nothing more than a punt play to fill out rosters while saving a few dollars on some of the bigger choices. Dickinson was normally playing bottom six minutes but is averaging around 16 minutes a night in the Stanley Cup Final. He has played well and executed better than most Dallas forwards this series.

 

Stacks

  • TB1- Palat, Hedman, Kucherov, Point
  • DAL1- Benn, Seguin, Radulov
  • TBPP1- Kucherov, Hedman, Palat, Point
  • TB3 - Goodrow, Gourde, Coleman

 

Player Pool

C-  Pavelski, Seguin, Gourde, Cirelli, Point 

W- Kucherov, Benn, Radulov, Palat, Perry/Maroon, 

D- Hedman, Sergachev, Klingberg, Heiskanen

G- Vasilevskiy, Khudobin, Oettinger?

 

 

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NHL DFS for FanDuel, DraftKings (9/25): Value Plays, Goalies, Power Plays, Core 4, Stacks

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey this time of year is a different experience with the showdown slates. The goal is to keep things simple during this time of year. Keep it simple stupid applies here.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Nikita Kucherov who can be a volume shooter tends to be a better play just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings and Fanduel for Saturday, September 25th, 2020 at 8:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @ChrisWasselDFS as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

Please note this is the front end of a back-to-back which is unprecedented in the Stanley Cup Final. 

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 9/25

  • Dallas Stars (+140) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-160)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis 

Team Goalie GAA Goalie SS Goalie RBS Goalie GSAA Goalie QS%
Anton Khudobin 2.72 -- 9th 32.09 2 0.83 47.6
Andrei Vasilevskiy 1.89 -- 2nd 29.77 1 7.58 63.6

The numbers I use will be a bit different than Jorge's but the goal is the same. Goalies are ranked based on a minimum of eight starts (more than one round basically).This is to keep you informed of overall statistics from an individual goaltending standpoint. Anton Khudobin took over for Ben Bishop and ran with the starting job in these playoffs. Goalie SS is simply goalie shots seen. Goalie RBS is what we call a really bad start where a goaltender has a save percentage of .850 or less. Goalie GSAA is goals saved above average and the quality start percentage is where a goaltender posts above the league average in save percentage.

Now, what has been lost in some of the big picture numbers is that Anton Khudobin has been more of a victim overreacting to what Tampa Bay does in this round. If anyone has noticed, the Lightning place a premium on creating traffic in front of a goaltender with speed. Players do not stay in a spot long as they are often moving. That movement and Tampa Bay's ability to attack quickly has hurt Dallas often in this series. It has forced Khudobin to cheat way more than usual in the last two games and the result have been Lightning wins in both.

Andrei Vasilevskiy has had his moments too but as often is the case, the Russian goalie has found a way to play his best when the game matters most. He has made the saves in this series that Khudobin has failed to make. Yes, Khudobin faces more shots but the quality of chances are far greater from Tampa Bay. It is not to say that Dallas has not had their moments. It is just that Tampa Bay executes at a more efficient level.

Power Play Analysis

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
Dallas Stars 24.7% -- 2 84.6% -- 2
Tampa Bay Lightning 19.4% -- 6 82.1% -- 7

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate!

The Dallas power play has been vital in their ability to advance through the first three rounds. With Jamie Benn scoring at will and a top unit that features players like John Klinbgberg and Joe Pavelski. Also, do not forget about Alexander Radulov and Miro Heiskanen who are both dangerous as well. Yet this power play in Games 2 and 3 has gone away from its working formula and become too cute. The results have been a disaster.

Tampa Bay's power play went belly up versus the New York Islanders. It then began to bounce back in Games 2 and 3 of this series. The return of Steven Stamkos in Game 3 gave everyone a lift from top to bottom and that had an effect on the man advantage. Tampa Bay looked energized and raring to go throughout the contest. The five-man unit struck fear into the hearts of the Dallas penalty killers throughout Wednesday night.

 

NHL DFS Core Plays- Showdown

Captain Picks

  • Victor Hedman ($13,200 DK/ $12,500  FD) - Hedman has enjoyed two great games against the Dallas Stars and now has ten goals on the playoffs. He could be the favorite for the Conn Smythe even with Nikita Kucherov enjoying the postseason he has. The reason is simple. Hedman dominates and impacts the game like few defenseman could from the blueline. He has scored double digits in four of his last five DFS outings. This is in spite of no blocks over the last two games.
  • Nikita Kucherov ($16,500 DK/ $15,000  FD) - Kucherov is the most expensive player on the slate but also carries the highest ceiling of all skaters in this game. He is coming off two very good performances where he had two points in each game (1 goal, 3 assists overall). Kucherov had eight shots and six scoring chances between Games 2 and 3 combined. He is the most dangerous player on the ice especially when that first unit power play is in rhythm. Hint. It is right now.
  • Jamie Benn ($12,000 DK/ $13,500  FD) - If you want to go a bit contrarian then Benn is your guy. Tyler Seguin has done so little, it is painful. Also, Miro Heiskanen, other than a few flashes, has been largely inept at scoring goals. Benn has not fared much better but does have six scoring chances and six shots in the last two contests. The problem is Dallas just cannot convert many of those opportunities. Benn has been in front of Andrei Vasilevskiy a ton and might want to shoot more and pass to Seguin less. That may go for every Dallas player at this juncture.

 

Value Picks

  • Ondrej Palat ($8,200 DK/ $10,500  FD) - Palat has been skating with the top Lightning line all postseason long and has filled in nicely for Steven Stamkos. Palat is cheaper than his other linemates but allows you to get exposure to the top line and the top powerplay line as well. He has scored double-digit DK points in seven of his last ten games. If needing salary relief, Palat can be viable in tournaments for the captain role due to his recent form and salary savings that he provides. With or without Brayden Point and Steven Stamkos, Palat has carried a nice floor and had 3+ shots in four of his last five games.
  • Jamie Oleksiak ($3,400 DK/ $8,000  FD) - Oleksiak has been playing mostly on the second defense pairing. If he can muster around 20 minutes a night (almost all even strength time), that is fine. He can block quite a few shots and will provide occasional offense when his shot comes close or hits the net. Oleksiak has been an asset on DraftKings in particular blocking 3+ shots a night over his previous four contests. That block bonus is important and helps the defender easily exceed value.
  • Jason Dickinson ($3,600 DK/ $6,500  FD) - Dickinson is minimum or near minimum price in all formats and has seven shots and four scoring chances in his previous three games. He is a risk worth taking as nothing more than a punt play to fill out rosters while saving a few dollars on some of the bigger choices. Dickinson was normally playing bottom six minutes but is averaging around 16 minutes a night in the Stanley Cup Final. He has looked reasonably solid despite the elevated role. Furthermore, he has scored twice in this series and has been one of Dallas' more dangerous threats. Go figure!

 

Stacks

  • TB1- Palat, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Stamkos?
  • DAL1- Benn, Seguin, Radulov
  • TBPP1- Kucherov, Hedman, Palat, Point
  • TB3 - Goodrow, Gourde, Coleman

 

Player Pool

C-  Pavelski, Seguin, Gourde, Cirelli, Point 

W- Kucherov, Benn, Radulov, Palat, Perry/Maroon, Stamkos?

D- Hedman, Sergachev, Klingberg, Heiskanen

G- Vasilevskiy, Khudobin, Oettinger?

 

 

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NHL DFS Prop Picks for 9/23/20 - Monkey Knife Fight

The puck drops on Game Three of the Stanley Cup Final Wednesday, a great opportunity to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Tampa Bay Lightning rebounded in Game Two of the Cup Final, jumping out to a 3-0 lead and hanging on for a 3-2 victory to even up the series after the Dallas Stars took the opening game of the series with a 4-1 victory in Game One.

Through the first two games, the Lightning have carried more of the play, with 59% of score-adjusted shot attempts and 55% of expected goals during 5-on-5 play. Can they continue that territorial edge in Game Three?

Here are some prop angles to consider for Wednesday’s Tampa Bay-Dallas matchup on Monkey Knife Fight:

TAMPA BAY-DALLAS

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Anton Khudobin MORE THAN 27.5 SAVES

Throughout the postseason, Khudobin is averaging 30.2 saves per 60 minutes and he has 28 or more saves in five straight games. The Lightning have generated 30.6 shots per 60 minutes in the playoffs, with the opposition recording 27.94 saves per 60 minutes. All of this steers towards the over.

Andrei Vasilevskiy LESS THAN 27.5 SAVES

While Vasilevskiy has played very well in the playoffs, posting a .929 save percentage, he also doesn’t face a lot of shots so Vasilevskiy has averaged 24.5 saves per 60 minutes in the postseason. He has recorded 27 or fewer saves in seven of the past eight games. From the Stars’ perspective, they have generated 29.21 shots per 60 in the playoffs, with opposing goaltenders averaging 26.23 saves per game. Given the typical shot distributions that Khudobin and Vasilevskiy have faced in the playoffs, it’s reasonable to see one recording more than 27 saves and one with fewer than 28 saves.

Nikita Kucherov MORE THAN 0.5 ASSISTS

Tampa Bay’s playmaking winger leads the playoffs with 22 assists and 28 points in 21 games but this isn’t an automatic over because Kucherov has put up those 22 assists in just 11 games, recording zero assists in the other 10 games. This is a slight lean more than an overpowering angle but it’s tough to ignore Kucherov’s overall productivity.

Victor Hedman 3.5 SHOTS ON GOAL + BLOCKS

Tampa Bay’s star defender has been attacking more offensively in the playoffs, averaging 3.19 shots on goal per game in the postseason. Paired with 40 blocked shots (1.90 per game) makes it pretty easy to like Hedman for at least four shots on goal plus blocks in Game Three.

RAPID FIRE

John Klingberg -0.5 fantasy points vs. Miro Heiskanen 

Heiskanen has had a breakout performance in the postseason, producing 23 points in 23 games, generating 49 shots on goal. At the same time, he has slumped recently, with just two assists in the past seven games so that does open the door for Klingberg, who has long been the most productive blueliner for Dallas but started slowly in the postseason. Nevertheless, Klingberg has picked up his production lately, with six assists in the past four games and has 19 points and 39 shots on goal in 22 playoff games.

Brayden Point -0.5 fantasy points vs. Jamie Benn

Point has been a dynamic offensive leader for the Lightning, taking on even more responsibility with Steven Stamkos out of the lineup, and Point has 26 points and 55 shots on goal in 19 playoff games. He has been battling an injury suffered against the Islanders in the Eastern Conference Final so he has been held off the scoresheet in two of the past three games. Benn has turned in a vintage playoff performance, producing 18 points and 62 shots on goal in 23 games though he has been held without a point in each of the first two games of the Stanley Cup Final.

As a reminder, here are point totals when it comes to MKF fantasy hockey points:

OFFENSE:

Goals = 3

Assists = 2

Shots on Goal = 1

Blocked Shots = 1

Shootout Goals = 1

GOALIE:

Goals against = -1 pt

Save= 0.2 pts

 

 

 

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FanDuel, DraftKings NHL DFS Lineup Picks (9/23/20): Daily Fantasy Hockey Advice

Wednesday brings Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Final with Tampa Bay and Dallas tied at one win apiece. The Stars will be looking to rebound after losing Game 2 by a score of 3-2 to the Lightning on Monday. Puck drop will be right around 8:00 PM EST.

Remember, an over/under of 6 dictates offense when looking around for plays, but an over/under of 5 or sometimes 5.5 tilts towards the goalies. With only two teams remaining in the playoffs, there will be some tough DFS lineup choices to make for Game 3.

This article will provide you with my daily fantasy hockey lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel for September 23, 2020. The picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. For Wednesday, DraftKings and  FanDuel will be offering Showdown contests only. Before picking for Showdown Captain Mode contests, it is important to note, the Captain in DraftKings and Fanduel is a crucial pick to add to a roster since the player you draft will earn 1.5x the standard fantasy point value for each statistic. DraftKings Participants can learn more about the rules for NHL Showdown Captain Mode through the following link www.draftkings.com/help/rules/3/127.

FanDuel provides a somewhat similar format where a participant would select a captain and four utility players under a $55,000 salary cap. Goaltenders are not available to be chosen under this FanDuel format. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @awlenn. Let's go!!

 

DFS Forwards to Consider

#86 Nikita Kucherov - RW,  TB vs. DAL (FD - $15,000, DK - $11,200)

Hard not to add Lightning forward Nikita Kucherov to DFS lineups as he has had a Conn Smythe worthy postseason in 2020. The Russian winger recorded two assists and fired six shots on goal in a Game 2 victory over Dallas. Kucherov has been a huge asset to his team as he leads the Stanley Cup Playoffs with 28 points in 21 games. If DFS contestants decide to add an expensive player, Kucherov is the man to build your lineup around.

#21 Brayden Point- C, TB vs. DAL (FD - $11,000, DK - $9,000)   

Despite battling an undisclosed injury earlier in the playoffs, Tampa Bay's first line centerman Brayden Point has been excellent. Points plays in between wingers Nikita Kucherov and Ondrej Palat. These three forwards also play on the team's first power-play unit. After having a challenging first game in the series, Point was able to notch a power-play goal in Game 2.  He is averaging 11.5 FFPG.

 

Others To Consider:

Jamie Benn has been held scoreless in the first two games of the final. The three previous matches, the former Kelowna Rocket, tallied three goals and added an assist. Look for Benn to bounce back in Game 3. He makes for a cheaper option for DraftKings players with a salary of $ 8,200.

Ondrej Palat may be an option as a flex roster spot for Showdown contestants. The Czech left winger scored a power-play goal in Game 2 against Dallas.

For DFS Showdown players, here are some players to consider, Tyler Seguin, Ondrej Palat, Joe Pavelski, Alexander Radulov Blake Coleman, Anthony Cirelli

 

DFS Defenders to Consider

#77 Victor Hedman - D, TB vs. DAL (FD - $12,000 DK - $9,400)

If you decide on a defenseman for a flex/utility spot for Showdown play, Tampa Bays Victor Hedman will fit well into DFS lineups. Hedman has been solid on the blueline throughout the Stanley Cup Playoffs for the Lightning. In-Game 2 on Monday, Hedman had two helpers and three shots. Both assists came on Lighting power-plays. For DraftKings contestants, the Lightning defenseman is a bit of a bargain with a salary of $ 9,400.

Other choices for Tuesday Showdown may include Miro Heiskanen, John Klingberg, Kevin Shattenkirk, or Mikhail Sergachev.

 

DFS Goalie to Consider

#88 Andrei Vasilevskiy G, TB vs. DAL (DK- $10,200)

Remember, goalies can only be picked for DraftKings contests and not FanDuel. Taking two netminders is an option for DraftKings participants. If one decides to take just one goalie, Andrei Vasilevskiy could be a wise option. Vasilevskiy made 27 saves on 29 shots on Monday. He has a record of 15 wins, six losses, and a goals-against-average of 1.89 in the Stanley Cup Playoffs.

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NHL DFS Power Play for FanDuel, DraftKings: DFS Value Plays, Goalies Matrix, Stacks (9/21)

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey is one of my favorite sports to watch and play from a DFS perspective and I am thrilled to be covering this sport over at RotoBaller! As always, I will do my best to give you the stats and info you need to build the best lineups possible for your GPP and cash game NHL contests on DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Alex Ovechkin who is a volume shooter tends to be a better play there just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings and Fanduel for Monday, September 21st, 2020 at 8:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 9/21

  • Dallas Stars (+123) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-143)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis Matrix

Team Rank GA Rank SA Rank GF Rank SF Total
Tampa Bay 11 3 6 1 7.25
Dallas 17 19 5 10 10.75

The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

 

Power Play Matrix

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
Dallas Stars 5 8
Tampa Bay Lightning 13 9

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate! The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

 

NHL DFS Core Plays- Stanley Cup Finals Showdown Edition

Captain Picks

  • Nikita Kucherov ($16,500 DK/ $15,500 FD) - Kuch has the highest upside of any skater on the slate. While he carries the highest salary on the slate, he is worth spending up for since he also provides the best floor. Kuch is coming off a five-shot performance in game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals and the Lightning will need his offensive firepower to come through if they want to win Game 2. On the season, Kucherov has notched three assists in three games played against Dallas while taking 13 total shots so he has found success against them in limited action.
  • Tyler Seguin ($12,900 DK/ $ FD) - Seguin has been very quiet offensively over the last 10 games played as he has only produced one point during that stretch. He is taking 2.5 shots per game and seeing plenty of ice-time but is just not able to find the net. As the cold streak goes on, people will hop off of the Seguin bandwagon which means lower ownership could be seen over the next few games. The Lightning looks like they matched the top Dallas line with their third line which has been one of the better defensive lines on the team (posted a 56% corsi and limiting opponents to just 20 scoring chances per 60 minutes of ice time). Seguin stands to be more of a tournament play as of right now but once they gain home-ice advantage, the line matching could work in his favor.
  • Anton Khudobin ($15,300 DK/ $) - The Stars have gone 3-0 against Tampa so far this year so with knowing this, it might be best to consider looking at Khudobin. On the season, the Lightning are scoring on average two goals per game and was only able to muster up one goal in the opening game of the series. Khudobin has been on quite a hot streak from a fantasy scoring perspective as he has produced 20+ DK points in six of his last seven games played.

 

Value Picks

  • Alexander Radulov ($7,600 DK/ $ FD) - Radulov has found success against the Lightning as he has notched three points in three games played against them this year (1 goal, 2 assists). He is in a little bit of a point streak as he has notched a point in each of his last four games played. While his shot volume is a tad bit worrisome, he has shown that he can find ways of scoring with his linemates.
  • Barclay Goodrow ($4,600 DK/ $ FD) - The Lightning's third line was the lone Tampa Bay line that was able to score a goal in the opening game of the series. Goodrow had an assist which actually makes it back to back games where he has produced a point. While he doesn't offer a high shot volume, he isn't afraid to block shots which are a nice way to rack up some peripheral stats. Goodrow is best used in tournament formats just because of the low floor that he has when it comes to fantasy scoring.
  • Joel Kiviranta ($5,200 DK/ $ FD) - Kiviranta is down in the Stars bottom six for forwards which means he won't see much ice-time but he has truly made the most of his opportunity throughout the playoffs. In nine postseason games, Kiviranta has produced six points and is averaging two shots per game. He could provide some salary relief for your dfs lineups if you're looking to spend up at the captain spot.

 

Stacks

  • DAL1- Benn, Seguin, Radulov
  • TB1- Palat, Point, Kucherov
  • TB3- Goodrow, Gourde, Coleman
  • TB2- Janmark, Pavelski, Gurianov

 

Player Pool

C- Seguin, Point, Pavelski, Gourde

W- Kucherov, Radulov, Benn, Coleman, Palat, Gurianov, Kiviranta, Janmark

D- Heiskanen, Hedman, Sergachev, Klingberg, Lindell, Shattenkirk

G- Khudobin

 

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NHL DFS for FanDuel, DraftKings (9/19): Value Plays, Goalies, Power Plays, Core 4, Stacks

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey this time of year is a different experience with the showdown slates. The goal is to keep things simple during this time of year. Keep it simple stupid applies here.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Nikita Kucherov who can be a volume shooter tends to be a better play just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings and Fanduel for Saturday, September 19th, 2020 at 7:30 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @ChrisWasselDFS as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 9/19

  • Dallas Stars (+140) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-160)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis 

Team Goalie GAA Goalie SS Goalie RBS Goalie GSAA Goalie QS%
Anton Khudobin 2.62 -- 9th 32.11 1 1.69 50
Andrei Vasilevskiy 1.82 -- 2nd 30.69 0 8.45 63.2

The numbers I use will be a bit different than Jorge's but the goal is the same. Goalies are ranked based on a minimum of eight starts (more than one round basically).This is to keep you informed of overall statistics from an individual goaltending standpoint. Anton Khudobin took over for Ben Bishop and ran with the starting job in these playoffs. Goalie SS is simply goalie shots seen. Goalie RBS is what we call a really bad start where a goaltender has a save percentage of .850 or less. Goalie GSAA is goals saved above average and the quality start percentage is where a goaltender posts above the league average in save percentage.

Now, what has been lost in some of the big picture numbers is that Anton Khudobin was excellent against Vegas in the Conference Finals posting a .950 save percentage with an even strength save percentage that was even higher. Vegas was able to generate quite a few high-danger chances and the Dallas goaltender was more than up to the task. As for Andrei Vasilevskiy his work load has lessened a little bit since the New York Islanders typically averaged less than 30 shots per contest. He continued to play well and make enough key saves to be the top overall goaltender of these playoffs so far.

Power Play Analysis

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
Dallas Stars 27.3% -- 2 83.6% -- 5
Tampa Bay Lightning 17.9% -- 8 83.3% -- 6

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate!

Dallas enjoys a considerable advantage here and this could be the key to the series. For some reason, not only has the Dallas power play performed during the playoffs, it is one of the league's most feared. It has been vital in their ability to advance through the first three rounds. With Jamie Benn scoring at will and a top unit that features players like John Klinbgberg and Joe Pavelski. Also, do not forget about Alexander Radulov and Miro Heiskanen who are both dangerous as well.

Tampa Bay's power play went into the drink against the New York Islanders -- particularly over the final three or four games of the series. It will be intriguing to see how it looks against a Dallas penalty kill that bends but typically does not break. A healthy Brayden Point (if he really is 100%) would go a long way combined with Nikita Kucherov obviously.

 

NHL DFS Core Plays- Showdown

Captain Picks

  • Victor Hedman ($13,800 DK/ $12,500  FD) - Hedman had great final two games against the New York Islanders and was a big reason why Tampa Bay was able to weather New York's dump and place attack. Not only was Hedman is usual shots and blocks beast, he scored goals in each of the final two contests. His Game 6 line was a goal on six shots and four blocks. His double-digit point runs DFS wise have ranged from 2-4 games in these playoffs so he may have another performance in him for Game 1 -- even on limited rest.
  • Nikita Kucherov ($16,200 DK/ $15,500  FD) - Kucherov is the most expensive player on the slate but also carries the highest ceiling of all skaters in this game. He is coming off two so-so performances by his standards but the good news is he has 3+ shots on goal in his previous six games. The chances have been there but he did not score a goal in the final four games of the New York series. He leads the postseason among forwards in points with 26 but only has six goals.
  • Jamie Benn ($12,000 DK/ $15,000  FD) - If you want to be different in tournaments, Jamie Benn is worth taking more than just a look at. His final three games of the Vegas series reminded people of the old Benn who would just hit everything in sight and create space for himself. He had four points in the final three games of the series with 13 shots on net, three goals, and nine scoring chances. The best part was he only averaged about 17 minutes a night so he should not be overly taxed for Game 1. Dallas has had a few more days off which should also help. A Dallas alternative could be Anton Khudobin for DraftKings with the save bonus always a possibility.

 

Value Picks

  • Ondrej Palat ($8,200 DK/ $10,500  FD) - Palat has been skating with the top Lightning line all postseason long and has filled in nicely for Steven Stamkos. Palat is cheaper than his other linemates but allows you to get exposure to the top line and the top powerplay line as well. He has scored double-digit DK points in six his last nine games. If needing salary relief, Palat can be viable in tournaments for the captain role due to his recent form and salary savings that he provides. With or without Brayden Point, Palat has carried a nice floor and had 3+ shots in each of the final four games of the New York series.
  • Erik Cernak ($4,800 DK/ $6,500  FD) - Cernak has been playing mostly on the second defense pairing at even strength with Mikhail Sergachev. If he can muster around 17-19 minutes a night (almost all even strength time), that is fine. He can block quite a few shots and will provide occasional offense when his above average slap shot comes close or hits the net. Cernak could be a surprise difference maker for Tampa Bay in this series.
  • Corey Perry ($3,400 DK/ $6,500  FD) - Perry is minimum or near minimum price in all formats and has six shots and four scoring chances in his previous two games. He is a risk worth taking as nothing more than a punt play to fill out rosters while saving a few dollars on some of the bigger choices. Perry typically only plays 12-14 minutes a night but he could see some second-unit power play time in front of the net. Patrick Maroon would be the Tampa version of Perry basically as a secondary option.

 

Stacks

  • TB1- Palat, Hedman, Kucherov, Point
  • DAL1- Benn, Seguin, Radulov
  • TBPP1- Kucherov, Hedman, Palat, Point

 

Player Pool

C-  Pavelski, Seguin, Gourde, Cirelli, Point 

W- Kucherov, Benn, Radulov, Palat, Perry/Maroon

D- Hedman, Sergachev, Klingberg, Heiskanen

G- Vasilevskiy, Khudobin

 

 

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NHL DFS Power Play for FanDuel, DraftKings: DFS Value Plays, Goalies Matrix, Stacks (9/17)

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey is one of my favorite sports to watch and play from a DFS perspective and I am thrilled to be covering this sport over at RotoBaller! As always, I will do my best to give you the stats and info you need to build the best lineups possible for your GPP and cash game NHL contests on DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Alex Ovechkin who is a volume shooter tends to be a better play there just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings and Fanduel for Thursday, September 17th, 2020 at 8:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 9/17

  • Tampa Bay Lightning (-155) vs. New York Islanders (+133)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis Matrix

Team Rank GA Rank SA Rank GF Rank SF Total
NY Islanders 4 23 22 13 8.5
Tampa Bay 11 3 6 1 12.25

The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

 

Power Play Matrix

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
New York Islanders 17 8
Tampa Bay Lightning 8 16

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate! The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

 

NHL DFS Core Plays- Showdown Edition

Captain Picks

  • Nikita Kucherov ($16,800 DK/ $15,500) - The skater that has shown the most consistency while having the best upside has been Nikita Kucherov. He has scored double-digit DK points in all five games against the Islanders and has recorded nine total points so far in the series. On the season, Kuch has registered 11 total points in just eight games played against the Islanders with three of those points coming on the powerplay. Even though Kucherov carries a high price tag,  he will carry heavy ownership in both cash games and tournament contests which makes him a lock.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy ($16,200 DK) - Vasilevskiy could be an intriguing option at the captain spot on this slate. He is seeing a solid number of shots per game and has produced double-digit DK points in four of the five games so far this series. On the season, Vasilevskiy has averaged just two goals allowed per game against New York while accruing a record of 4-2-1 in seven total games this season.
  • Ondrej Palat ($12,000 DK/ $11,000) - If you are wanting to get an upside player for a lower price point, look no further than Palat. With Stamkos still out, Palat has inserted himself onto the top line for Tampa all throughout the playoffs and has been doing a great job complimenting Kucherov on the other wing of the top line. He has taken 12 shots over his last three games and has recorded a goal in two of his last three games as well. While he might not be as consistent as Kucherov, he does have a high-ceiling that would be great in tournament builds.

Value Picks

  • Josh Bailey ($6,600 DK/ $8,000 FD) - Bailey has been a little inconsistent throughout the series but that shouldn't deter you from rostering him on this showdown slate. In eight games on the season against the Lightning, Bailey has produced eight total points (2 goals, 6 assists) against them. He is priced at $6,600 which seems a little too cheap for someone who has averaged a point per game against an opponent throughout the season.
  • Cal Clutterbuck ($2,000 DK/ $6,500 FD) - The Islanders look to have switched up their lines and Cal Clutterbuck has seen time on the top line with Barzal and Lee. This is a major upgrade for Clutterbuck as he is skating with the two most talented players on the team. He saw 20 minutes of ice-time which is a tremendous bump up from what he was used to earlier in the series while he was skating on a lowe line. At just $2,000, his price point is too good to pass up on since he will be getting your dfs lineups exposure to the top line of the Islanders.
  • Anthony Cirelli ($6,000 DK/ $7,500 FD) - Anthony Cirelli was bumped up to the top Lightning line with Brayden Point being unable to play in this past Tuesday's game. Point's status is still up in the air and this is a situation worth monitoring as we get close to puck drop. Cirelli saw a heavy workload as he saw 31 minutes of ice-time on Tuesday's game and we all know that more ice-time leads to more fantasy opportunities.  If Cirelli draws the start on the top line for the Lightning, he will be viable in all formats.

 

Stacks

  • TB1- Palat, Cirelli, Kucherov
  • NYI3- Martin, Pageau, Eberle
  • TB3- Goodrow, Gourde, Coleman

 

Player Pool

C- Barzal, Pageau, Cirelli, Gourde

W- Kucherov, Lee, Palat, Bailey, Coleman, Beauvillier, Eberle, Clutterbuck

D- Hedman, Pulock, Shattenkirk, Sergachev, Toews

G- Vasilevskiy

 

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FanDuel, DraftKings NHL DFS Lineup Picks (9/14/20): Daily Fantasy Hockey Advice

The Dallas Stars are on the verge of advancing to their first Stanley Cup Final in twenty years! Dallas leads Vegas 3-1 going into Game 5. Western Conference Finals continue tonight, beginning at 8 PM EST.

Remember, an over/under of 6 dictates offense when looking around for plays, but an over/under of 5 or sometimes 5.5 tilts towards the goalies. With being a low scoring series so far, some tough DFS lineup choices will have to be made.

This article will provide you with my daily fantasy hockey lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel for September 14, 2020. The picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. For today, DraftKings and  FanDuel will be offering Showdown contests only. Before picking for Showdown Captain Mode contests, it is important to note, the Captain in DraftKings and Fanduel is a crucial pick to add to a roster since the player you draft will earn 1.5x the standard fantasy point value for each statistic. DraftKings Participants can learn more about the rules for NHL Showdown Captain Mode through the following link www.draftkings.com/help/rules/3/127.

FanDuel provides a somewhat similar format where a participant would select a captain and four utility players under a $55,000 salary cap. Goaltenders are not available to be chosen under this FanDuel format. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @awlenn. Let's go!!

 

DFS Forwards to Consider 

Jamie Benn - LW, VGK vs. DAL (FD - $15,500, DK - $12,000)

Not too long ago, Stars owner Tom Gaglardi and team President Jim Lites called out Tyler Seguin and Jamie Benn for lack of production. As Seguin continues to struggle offensively, Stars captain Jamie Benns's play has trended in a positive direction through the postseason. In-Game 4, Been potted a power-play goal with four shots on goal against Vegas. In the Stars last five-games, the Victoria, British Columbia native is averaging a point a game with two goals and three assists.  In that five-game span, Benn has peppered Vegas netminders with 14 shots on goal.

 

William Karlsson- C, VGK vs. DAL (FD - $11,000, DK - $12,300)   

As Max Pacioretty and Mark Stones offensive production has slowed down for Vegas, Center William Karlsson will need to step up in tonight's Game 5. Karlsson has been averaging 9.3 FPPG throughout the postseason. In-game 3 against Dallas, Karlsson had an assist, three shots on goal, and three hits. Karlsson will play both on the Knights power-play and penalty kill. He has notched a goal on the power-play and scored another on the teams' penalty kill.

 

Others To Consider

Max Pacioretty needs to get on the scoresheet for Vegas in Game 5. Pacioretty hasn't produced much offensively for Vegas in this postseason but did have an excellent regular season.

Alexander Radulov may be an option as a flex roster spot for Showdown contestants. The Russian winger continues to add points to his playoff total as he tallied a power-play assist in Game 4 against Vegas.

For DFS Showdown players, here are some players to consider, Tyler Seguin, Jonathan Marchessault, Joe Pavelski, Reilly Smith, Alex Tuch, Denis Gurianov

 

DFS Defenders to Consider

Miro Heiskanen - D, VGK vs. DAL (FD - $9,000 DK - $11,400)

If you decide on a defenseman for a flex/utility spot for Showdown play, Miro Heiskanen will fit in well on DFS lineups. Heiskanen has a total of 28.1 FPTS  in the Star's last five games. He didn't have a very productive Game 4 but in Game 3 Heiskanen recorded an assist and had seven hits versus the Golden Knights. The Finnish born defenseman has been consistent on the blueline for Dallas throughout the playoffs.

Other choices for Tuesday Showdown may include Nate Schmidt, Shea Theodore, John Klingberg.

 

DFS Goalie to Consider

Anton Khudobin G, VGK vs. DAL (DK- $10,600)

Let's face it, Dallas would not be one win away from advancing to the Stanley Cup Final without the stellar play of goaltender Anton Khudobin. Khoduboin has stood on his head throughout the playoffs as he allowed just one goal on 33 shots in a Game 4 victory over Vegas.  He now has a record of 11 wins and just six losses in the playoffs. If a DraftKings participant decides to take a goalie, Khudobin makes for a cheaper option at his salary.

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FanDuel, DraftKings NHL DFS Lineup Picks (9/15/20): Daily Fantasy Hockey Advice

The New York Islanders are hoping to extend their stay in the bubble going into Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals! Tampa Bay leads the series against New York 3-1. Puck drop should be right around 8 PM EST on Tuesday.

Remember, an over/under of 6 dictates offense when looking around for plays, but an over/under of 5 or sometimes 5.5 tilts towards the goalies. Goals for the Lightning and Islanders have been easier to come by as opposed to their counterparts series in the Western Conference. Tampa Bay and New York have combined for 26 goals scored in four games. Tuesday may offer more players to pick that could provide an offensive spark to DFS lineups than what was available in Monday's game.

This article will provide you with my daily fantasy hockey lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel for September 15, 2020. The picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. For Tuesday, DraftKings and  FanDuel will be offering Showdown contests only. Before picking for Showdown Captain Mode contests, it is important to note, the Captain in DraftKings and Fanduel is a crucial pick to add to a roster since the player you draft will earn 1.5x the standard fantasy point value for each statistic. DraftKings Participants can learn more about the rules for NHL Showdown Captain Mode through the following link www.draftkings.com/help/rules/3/127. FanDuel provides a somewhat similar format where a participant would select a captain and four utility players under a $55,000 salary cap. Goaltenders are not available to be chosen under this FanDuel format. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @awlenn. Let's go!!

 

DFS Forwards to Consider 

Nikita Kucherov - RW, TB vs. NYI (FD - $15,000, DK - $16,200)

Kucherov is easily having a Conn Smythe Trophy (Playoff  MVP) like postseason. In a 4-1 Game 4 win over New York, the Russian winger had two assists and three shots on goal. The Islanders have had a tough time shutting down Kucherov as he has racked up nine points in just four conference final games. One should consider picking Kucherov as Captain for DFS Showtime lineups with the Tamp Bay forward leading the league in playoff points with 25 in just 17 playoff games.

 

Matthew Barzel- C, TB vs. NYI (FD - $14,000, DK - $9,000)   

Islanders first-line center Matthew Barzel will need to be playing at the top of his game for the Islanders to win Game 5 against the Lighting. Barzel ranks third in points on his Islanders team with five goals and 15 assists. The speedy center leads the Islanders forwards in ice time averaging 19:28 minutes a game. Tampa Bay has been able to contain the 23-year-old as he has just two assists in the series. Look for the young forward to breakout and have a massive game on Tuesday.

 

Others To Consider

Should Brayden Point be available on Tuesday, the Lightning center needs to be an automatic pick. Point has been dealing with an undisclosed injury since Game 2. He is tied with his teammate Nikkita Kucherov in leading the NHL in points with 25.

For DFS Showdown players, here are some forwards to consider,  Brock Nelson, Anders Lee, Ondrej Palat, Anthony Beauvillier, Blake Coleman.

 

DFS Defenders to Consider

Victor Hedman- D,  TB vs. NYI (FD - $11,000 DK - $9,200)

If you decide on a defenseman for a flex/utility spot for Showdown play, Lightning defenseman Victor Hedman will fit in well on DFS lineups. Arguably the most talented defenseman in the NHL, Hedman tallied a goal and four blocked shots in a Game 2 Lightning victory. He has been relatively quiet in the last two games, but he did have a total of 11.6 FPTS during that time.

Other choices for Tuesday Showdown may include Ryan Pulock, Mikhail Sergachev, Kevin Shattenkirk, Devon Toews.

 

DFS Goalie to Consider

Andrei Vasilevskiy - G,  TB vs. NYI  (DK - $15,900)

The Russian netminder could be a great pick as a flex player or captain for DraftKings contestants. Vasilevskiy fought off 27 of 28 Islanders shots in a 4-1 victory over New York in Game 4. He leads playoff goalies with 13 wins while having a 0.931 SV%.

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NHL DFS for FanDuel, DraftKings (9/13): Value Plays, Goalies, Power Plays, Core 4, Stacks

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey this time of year is a different experience with the showdown slates. The goal is to keep things simple during this time of year. Keep it simple stupid applies here.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Nikita Kucherov who can be a volume shooter tends to be a better play just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings and Fanduel for Sunday, September 13th, 2020 at 3:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @ChrisWasselDFS as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 9/13

  • New York Islanders (+125) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-145)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis 

Team Goalie GAA Goalie SS Goalie RBS Goalie GSAA Goalie QS%
Semyon Varlamov 2.26 -- 5th 25.83 2 -1.13 62.5
Andrei Vasilevskiy 1.98 -- 3rd 31.56 0 6.42 56.3

The numbers I use will be a bit different than Jorge's but the goal is the same. Goalies are ranked based on a minimum of eight starts (more than one round basically).This is to keep you informed of overall statistics from an individual goaltending standpoint. New York still uses Semyon Varlamov far more than Thomas Greiss so we will use Varlamov's numbers as seen above. Goalie SS is simply goalie shots seen. Goalie RBS is what we call a really bad start where a goaltender has a save percentage of .850 or less. Goalie GSAA is goals saved above average and the quality start percentage is where a goaltender posts above the league average in save percentage.

Now, Game 3 showed Vasilevskiy to be a bit more vulnerable. New York effectively used counter plays along with the low to high play with much success. That was led mainly by the second line. Semyon Varlamov made enough timely saves with 34 on 37 shots. New York rallied in support of Varlamov after the Tampa Bay Lightning overcame a two goal deficit. Varlamov also helped himself with several key saves which was something Vasilevskiy could not accomplish. Even without two of their key forwards, Tampa Bay was able to dominate chances as the game went on.

 

Power Play Analysis

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
New York Islanders 15.7% -- 15 83.1% -- 5
Tampa Bay Lightning 22.2% -- 8 78.2% -- 15

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate!

Tampa Bay enjoys an advantage here and went 1 for 1 on the power play while making the Islanders' power play almost punchless. Now, with Alex Killorn returning, that only helps Tampa Bay even more. If Brayden Point were able to somehow play in Game 4 then that would tip the scales even more. New York has its work cut out for them when it comes to containing the Lightning.

 

NHL DFS Core Plays- Showdown

Captain Picks

  • Victor Hedman ($14,100 DK/ $11,000  FD) - Hedman had a clunker of a performance which dropped his price a good deal on FanDuel ($2,000). That alone may be a reason to get back aboard the Hedman train before it leaves the station. Hedman has points in six of his last eight games plus enjoys good shot and block potential. Do not let the one block and one shot from Game 3 influence one's decision too much.
  • Nikita Kucherov ($16,200 DK/ $15,500  FD) - Kucherov is the most expensive player on the slate but also carries the highest ceiling of all skaters in this game. He is coming off a four shots, four scoring chance, and one assist performance in Game 3. That is below Kucherov's normal level of production these playoffs. Typically, the Russian right winger bounces back in a big way. He is extremely dangerous on the power play and has been able to easily create space no matter which defensive pairing goes up against the forward. It is difficult to keep an all-world talent down for two games in a row.
  • Brock Nelson ($13,200 DK/ $13,500  FD) - If you want to be different in tournaments, Brock Nelson is worth a look. The Islanders second line is the one to look at. Arguably, the first one has been relegated already. Nelson just keeps scoring and anchors the second line which had six points (two goals). Tampa Bay has not figured how to fully contain this second line that is flanked by Anthony Beauvillier and Josh Bailey. Nelson's influence on the power play is also essential. There is some talk that New York may consider using full correlation when it comes to the man advantage. Either way, Nelson is the goal scorer of the trio and the one most likely to get 3+ shots on net.

 

Value Picks

  • Ondrej Palat ($8,200 DK/ $11,500  FD) - Palat has been skating with the top Lightning line all postseason long and has filled in nicely for Steven Stamkos. Palat is cheaper than his other linemates but allows you to get exposure to the top line and the top powerplay line as well. He has scored double-digit DK points in six of seven games. If needing salary relief, Palat can be viable in tournaments for the captain role due to his recent form and salary savings that he provides. With the uncertainty of Brayden Point's status, Palat may be even more of a focal point on offense. Point may be a game-time decision again for Game 4.
  • Ryan McDonagh ($4,600 DK/ $7,000  FD) - McDonagh has been playing occasionally alongside Victor Hedman. The veteran defender has scored five points over his last three games played and has notched points against the Islanders in two of the first three contests. He had an ugly Game 3 which will definitely drop his ownership percentage. It certainly dropped his FanDuel price which makes picking him somewhat easier.
  • Matt Martin ($2,000 DK/ $6,500  FD) - Martin is minimum or near minimum price in all formats and has double-digit points in three of his last five games. It is at least worth a flier on the showdown slate as it is basically like a free square allowing one to spend up everywhere else. With the fourth line having such an active presence against Tampa Bay, it is viable to take a flier on Martin.

 

Stacks

  • TB1- Palat, Hedman, Kucherov, Point?
  • NYI2- Beauvillier, Nelson, Bailey
  • TBPP1- Kucherov, Hedman, Sergachev, Palat (at press time)

 

Player Pool

C-  Barzal, Nelson, JGP, Gourde, Cirelli, Point (DTD - GTD)

W- Kucherov, Eberle, Lee, Palat, Martin

D- Hedman, Sergachev, Toews, Pulock

G- Vasilevskiy

 

 

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NHL DFS for FanDuel, DraftKings (9/12): Value Plays, Goalies, Power Plays, Core 4, Stacks

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey this time of year is a different experience with the showdown slates. The goal is to keep things simple during this time of year. Keep it simple stupid applies here.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Nikita Kucherov who can be a volume shooter tends to be a better play there just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings and Fanduel for Saturday, September 12th, 2020 at 8:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @ChrisWasselDFS as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 9/12

  • Dallas Stars (+140) vs. Vegas Golden Knights (-160)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis 

Team Goalie GAA Goalie SS Goalie RBS Goalie GSAA Goalie QS%
Anton Khudobin 2.77 -- 10th 31.83 1 -0.45 43.8
Robin Lehner 1.92 -- 3rd 24.29 1 1.62 50

The numbers I use will be a bit different than Jorge's but the goal is the same. Goalies are ranked based on a minimum of eight starts (more than one round basically).This is to keep you informed of overall statistics from an individual goaltending standpoint. Goalie SS is simply goalie shots seen. Goalie RBS is what we call a really bad start where a goaltender has a save percentage of .850 or less. Goalie GSAA is goals saved above average and the quality start percentage is where a goaltender posts above the league average in save percentage.

Now, in the three games this series, Khudobin has looked better in two of them (Games 1 and 3). Lehner looked more solid in Game 2. Both were a bit banged up in Game 3 but are 100% to go for tonight. Dallas needs to watch Khudobin though. He was getting beyond aggressive in the late stages of Game 3 and yet it worked against Vegas, somehow. Vegas expects to adjust there. The key in Game 4 will be the first ten minutes. Dallas needs to keep things more even like in Games 1 and 3.

 

Power Play Analysis

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
Dallas Stars 25.9% -- 2 88.9% -- 3
Vegas Golden Knights 19% -- 7 82.9% -- 7

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate!

Dallas has one of the most dangerous power plays next to Tampa Bay and some would argue with the likes of Joe Pavelski and a resurgent Jamie Benn -- more dangerous. Vegas is just as formidable on the power play but a lot of their chances in the first three games have not resulted in goals -- sometimes due to bad luck and sometimes due to the aggressive play of Anton Khudobin.

 

NHL DFS Core Plays- Showdown

Captain Picks

  • Robin Lehner ($16,200 DK) - Lehner was sharp in game 2 of the series against Dallas as he recorded a 24 save shutout and generated a 26.8 DK point performance. He posted back-to-back shutouts in his last two games played and had a bit of a down Game 3. This series has been a bit of a yo-yo for Vegas so the expectation is an "up" performance for them as they make adjustments. The only risk with Lehner is he is seeing less than 25 shots per 60 in these playoffs. It is the type of low-shot output where Lehner has to get the win and a quality start of two goals allowed or less to hit value basically.
  • Max Pacioretty ($15,000 DK/ $14,500 FD  ) - The top offensive choice for Vegas is always in consideration, especially on a showdown slate. Pacioretty has found success against the Stars this year as he has recorded four points in five games played against Dallas this season. He has been active on the offensive end in the early portion of this series as he is averaging more than four shots on goal in this postseason. If he can keep up the volume shooting and generate a few points, Pacioretty could easily be one of the highest-scoring players in this game. He comes off his worst game of the postseason in Game 3 with two shots and just one scoring chance created.
  • Anton Khudobin ($15,600 DK) - If you are wanting a lower owned play on this slate, look no further than Khudobin for the Stars. Khudobin has done really well in the net for the Stars throughout the postseason as he has filled in for Ben Bishop. He has gone 10-6 and carries a .915 save percentage which shows the good form he has been in throughout the playoffs. With Vegas being the favorite, it should lower the ownership on Khudobin for tournaments and factoring how low scoring this series has been so far, Khudobin could be a great DraftKings play as his potential for hitting the save bonus (35+ saves) is far higher than Lehner at this juncture.

 

Value Picks

  • Paul Stastny ($5,600 DK/ $9,500 FD) - It looks like the Knights switched up their lines a bit last game and Stastny was bumped down to the third line but was joined by their top point-getter in Pacioretty. Stastny definitely gets a bump with skating alongside a winger like that and he still seems valuable minutes on their 2nd team power-play unit. While he doesn't offer the most upside in the world, he is a great stacking piece especially at the price point he is at. Eventually this line wound up playing second line minutes in Game 3. Expect more of that in Game 4 as Stastny is always dangerous on the man advantage and gets down the middle of the ice well.
  • Nicolas Roy ($3,000 DK/ $7,000 FD) - Another beneficiary of Pacioretty getting bumped down to the third line for Vegas is Nicolas Roy. While the 3rd line for Vegas was solid last series, there is no denying that Roy gets a boost skating with Stastny and Pacioretty over Tuch and Cousins. As a line, they posted a nearly 60 corsi and generated several scoring chances throughout game 3. Roy was able to register a shot on goal and a few scoring chances. Again, it comes down to execution. Roy is high-risk but at that price, is a punt play of value picks here.
  • John Klingberg ($6,800 DK/ $9,000 FD) - One of the better offensive defensemen in the league is John Klingberg. Klingberg sees plenty of ice time as he skates with both the top line and the top power-play line for the Stars. While the matchup against Vegas is tough, he has notched a goal already in this series, and at just $6,800, he is great value when considering the offensive upside and ice time. The last two games has dropped his price on FanDuel enough, that his value is greater there. Expect his ownership to drop on DraftKings as well as people will be lower on him.

 

Stacks

  • VGK1- Marchessault, Karlsson, Smith
  • DAL2- Janmark, Pavelski, Radulov
  • VGK2- Pacioretty, Stastny, Roy

 

Player Pool

C- Karlsson, Pavelski, Stastny, Seguin

W- Pacioretty, Stone, Radulov, Benn, Smith, Roy, Janmark, Kiviranta

D- Theodore, Heiskanen, Klingberg, McNabb, Schmidt

G- Lehner, Khudobin

 

 

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NHL DFS for FanDuel, DraftKings (9/11): Value Plays, Goalies, Power Plays, Core 4, Stacks

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey this time of year is a different experience with the showdown slates. The goal is to keep things simple during this time of year. Keep it simple stupid applies here.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Nikita Kucherov who can be a volume shooter tends to be a better play there just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings and Fanduel for Friday, September 11th, 2020 at 8:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @ChrisWasselDFS as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 9/11

  • New York Islanders (+140) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-160)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis 

Team Goalie GAA Goalie SS Goalie RBS Goalie GSAA Goalie QS%
Semyon Varlamov 2.21 -- 5th 25.18 2 -0.90 64.3
Andrei Vasilevskiy 1.86 -- 2nd 31.33 0 6.24 57.1

The numbers I use will be a bit different than Jorge's but the goal is the same. Goalies are ranked based on a minimum of eight starts (more than one round basically).This is to keep you informed of overall statistics from an individual goaltending standpoint. New York still uses Semyon Varlamov far more than Thomas Greiss so we will use Varlamov's numbers as seen above. Goalie SS is simply goalie shots seen. Goalie RBS is what we call a really bad start where a goaltender has a save percentage of .850 or less. Goalie GSAA is goals saved above average and the quality start percentage is where a goaltender posts above the league average in save percentage.

Now, in both games this series, Vasilevskiy has two quality starts to Varlamov's one. Also, the Tampa Bay netminder has utilized better rebound control and has sealed his crease better. Varlamov allowed a key goal to Victor Hedman in Game 2 when he forgot to seal off the short side post. It is why game by game trending has to be included in overall postseason analysis. Vasilevskiy did see more shots in Game 2 and looked to be in a better rhythm because of it. Varlamov saw 21 shots and stopped 19.

 

Power Play Analysis

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
New York Islanders 16.2% -- 15 82.5% -- 11
Tampa Bay Lightning 20.5% -- 8 79.6% -- 16

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate!

 

NHL DFS Core Plays- Showdown

Captain Picks

  • Victor Hedman ($13,500 DK/ $13,000  FD) - Hedman looks to again be one of the better overall plays on this slate when looking at his recent form and pricepoint. He has had double-digit scores in six of his last seven games played and has generated ten total points over that seven-game span! In his last four games, Hedman has a goal in each of them with seven points. With how well he has been playing it is hard to look past Hedman in all formats on this showdown slate. When one adds in his floor with blocked shot potential plus the uncertainty of Brayden Point's injury, Hedman is almost a lock.
  • Nikita Kucherov ($15,900 DK/ $16,000  FD) - Kucherov is the most expensive player on the slate but also carries the highest ceiling of all skaters in this game. He is coming off of a five-point performance in game 1 of this series plus the game winning goal in Game 2 and has recorded 12 total points in his last five games played. Kucherov is averaging three shots per game against the Islanders and has generated eight total points against them in five games played. He is certainly viable in tournament formats since his salary in the captain spot is so high but he also brings multi-point scoring upside which could help take down the bigger prizes in tournaments.
  • Jordan Eberle ($10,800 DK/ $11,500  FD) - If you want to be different in tournaments, Jordan Eberle should be considered again. Eberle has been playing some great hockey as of late as he has scored a point in four of his last five games and has three points in four contests against Tampa Bay. Throw out Game 2 as the entire first line was just average at best. Some may consider Anthony Beauvillier but Eberle is on that top unit power play which means in theory, more chances.

 

Value Picks

  • Ondrej Palat ($8,000 DK/ $11,000  FD) - Palat has been skating with the top Lightning line all postseason long and has filled in nicely for Steven Stamkos. Palat is cheaper than his other linemates but allows you to get exposure to the top line and the top powerplay line as well. He has scored double-digit DK points in five of six games. If needing salary relief, Palat can be viable in tournaments for the captain role due to his recent form and salary savings that he provides. With the uncertainty of Brayden Point's status, Palat may be even more of a focal point on offense.
  • Ryan McDonagh ($4,400 DK/ $8,000  FD) - McDonagh has been playing occasionally alongside Victor Hedman. The veteran defender has scored five points over his last two games played and has notched points against the Islanders in both games of this series. He had a solid Game 2 including that saucer pass which set up the Kucherov game winner. He becomes an excellent cheap alternative from the blueline for those looking to save a few dollars.
  • Matt Martin ($2,000 DK/ $6,000  FD) - Martin is minimum price in all formats and has double-digit points in two of his last four games. It is at least worth a flier on the showdown slate as it is basically like a free square allowing one to spend up everywhere else. With Derick Brassard likely out again, he is the most valuable Islander for his pricepoint.

 

Stacks

  • TB1- Palat, Hedman, Kucherov
  • NYI2- Beauvillier, Nelson, Bailey
  • TBPP1- Kucherov, Hedman, Sergachev, Palat (at press time)

 

Player Pool

C-  Barzal, Nelson, JGP, Gourde, Cirelli, Point (DTD - GTD)

W- Kucherov, Eberle, Lee, Palat, Martin

D- Hedman, Sergachev, Toews, Pulock

G- Vasilevskiy

 

 

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NHL DFS Power Play for FanDuel, DraftKings: DFS Value Plays, Goalies Matrix, Stacks (9/10)

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey is one of my favorite sports to watch and play from a DFS perspective and I am thrilled to be covering this sport over at RotoBaller! As always, I will do my best to give you the stats and info you need to build the best lineups possible for your GPP and cash game NHL contests on DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Alex Ovechkin who is a volume shooter tends to be a better play there just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings and Fanduel for Thursday, September 10th, 2020 at 8:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 9/10

  • Vegas Golden Knights (-155) vs. Dallas Stars (+141)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis Matrix

Team Rank GA Rank SA Rank GF Rank SF Total
Vegas 12 24 24 7 12.75
Dallas 17 19 5 10 16.75

The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

Power Play Matrix

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
Vegas Golden Knights 11 8
Dallas Stars 5 5

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate! The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

 

NHL DFS Core Plays- Showdown Edition

Captain Picks

  • Robin Lehner ($16,500 DK) - Lehner was sharp in game 2 of the series against Dallas as he recorded a 24 save shutout and generated a 26.8 DK point performance. He has now posted back-to-back shutouts in his last two games played and if he draws the start, he could carry his recent form into game 3. Lehner has gone 2-0 against Dallas throughout the season and in those two starts only allowed three total goals while averaging 19.6 DK points per game. Dallas has only been able to muster up one goal scored in the first two games so the Golden Knights are really grinding it out on the defensive end which makes Lehner (or Fleury) a great option for the captain spot.
  • Max Pacioretty ($15,300 DK/ $15,500 FD  ) - The top offensive choice for Vegas is always in consideration, especially on a showdown slate. Pacioretty has found success against the Stars this year as he has recorded four points in four games played against Dallas this season. He has been active on the offensive end in the early portion of this series as he is averaging four shots on goal in the first two games played. If he can keep up the volume shooting and generate a few points, Pacioretty could easily be one of the highest-scoring players in this game.
  • Anton Khudobin ($15,900 DK) - If you are wanting a lower owned play on this slate, look no further than Khudobin for the Stars. Khudobin has done really well in the net for the Stars throughout the postseason as he has filled in for Ben Bishop. He has gone 9-6 and carries a .912 save percentage which shows the good form he has been in throughout the playoffs. With Vegas being the favorite, it should lower the ownership on Kudobin for tournaments and factoring how low scoring this series has been so far, it wouldn't surprise me if Khudbin and Dallas were able to squeak out a win while they have the home-ice advantage.

 

Value Picks

  • Paul Stastny ($5,400 DK/ $9,000 FD) - It looks like the Knights switched up their lines a bit last game and Stastny was bumped down to the third line but was joined by their top point-getter in Pacioretty. Stastny definitely gets a bump with skating alongside a winger like that and he still seems valuable minutes on their 2nd team power-play unit. While he doesn't offer the most upside in the world, he is a great stacking piece especially at the price point he is at,
  • Nicolas Roy ($3,000 DK/ $7,000 FD) - Another beneficiary of Pacioretty getting bumped down to the third line for Vegas is Nicolas Roy. While the 3rd line for Vegas was solid last series, there is no denying that Roy gets a boost skating with Stastny and Pacioretty over Tuch and Cousins. As a line, they posted a 56.25 corsi and generated eight scoring chances throughout game 2. Roy was able to register a shot on goal and record a point so I wouldn't be surprised if this third line for Vegas is able to generate good puck possession numbers and scoring chances again if they are skating together.
  • John Klingberg ($6,400 DK/ $9,500 FD) - One of the better offensive defensemen in the league is John Klingberg. Klingberg sees plenty of ice time as he skates with both the top line and the top power-play line for the Stars. While the matchup against Vegas is tough, he has notched a goal already in this series, and at just $6,400, he is great value when considering the offensive upside and ice time.

 

Stacks

  • VGK1- Marchessault, Karlsson, Smith
  • DAL2- Janmark, Pavelski, Radulov
  • VGK3- Pacioretty, Stastny, Roy

 

Player Pool

C- Karlsson, Pavelski, Stastny

W- Pacioretty, Stone, Radulov, Benn, Smith, Roy, Janmark, Kiviranta

D- Theodore, Heiskanen, Klingberg, McNabb

G- Lehner, Khudobin

 

 

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NHL DFS Power Play for FanDuel, DraftKings: DFS Value Plays, Goalies Matrix, Stacks (9/9)

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey is one of my favorite sports to watch and play from a DFS perspective and I am thrilled to be covering this sport over at RotoBaller! As always, I will do my best to give you the stats and info you need to build the best lineups possible for your GPP and cash game NHL contests on DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Alex Ovechkin who is a volume shooter tends to be a better play there just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings and Fanduel for Wednesday, September 9th, 2020 at 8:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 9/9

  • New York Islanders (+148) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-175)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis Matrix

Team Rank GA Rank SA Rank GF Rank SF Total
NY Islanders 4 23 22 13 8.5
Tampa Bay 11 3 6 1 12.25

The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

 

Power Play Matrix

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
New York Islanders 14 13
Tampa Bay Lightning 8 17

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate! The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

 

NHL DFS Core Plays- Showdown

Captain Picks

  • Brayden Point ($13,500 DK/ $15,500  FD) - Point looks to be one of the better overall plays on this slate when looking at his recent form and pricepoint. He has had double-digit scores in six of his last seven games played and has generated 16 total points over that seven-game span! In four games played against the Islanders this season, Point has recorded seven total points (three goals and four assists) and has taken 10 shots on goal. With how well he has been playing it is hard to look past Point in all formats on this showdown slate.
  • Nikita Kucherov ($13,500 DK/ $15,000  FD) - Kuch is the most expensive player on the slate but also carries the highest ceiling of all skaters in this game. He is coming off of a five-point performance in game 1 of this series and has recorded 11 total points in his last four games played. Kucherov is averaging three shots per game against the Islanders and has generated seven total points against them in four games played. He is certainly viable in tournament formats since his salary in the captain spot is so high but he also brings multi-point scoring upside which could help takedown tournaments.
  • Jordan Eberle ($13,500 DK/ $10,500  FD) - If you are wanting to take a stab at an Islanders player to be different in tournaments, Jordan Eberle should be considered. Eberle has been playing some great hockey as of late as he has scored a point in four straight games and is averaging 14.5 DK points over that four-game time-span. His shot volume has increased and has taken 14 shots over the last four games played and has three points in three games against Tampa this season.

 

Value Picks

  • Ondrej Palat ($7,600 DK/ $9,500  FD) - Palat has been skating with the top Lightning line all postseason long and has filled in nicely for Steven Stamkos. Palat is cheaper than his other linemates but allows you to get exposure to the top line and the top powerplay line as well. He has scored double-digit DK points in five straight games and has had one point scored in six straight games played. If needing salary relief, Palat can be viable in tournaments for the captain role due to his recent form and salary savings that he provides.
  • Kevin Shattenkirk ($5,400 DK/ $8,000  FD) - Shattenkirk has been moved up to the top defenseman line and is skating alongside Victor Hedman. The veteran defender has scored five points over his last two games played and has notched five points in just four games against the Islanders this season. He had a fantastic game 1 as he posted an individual corsi of 70.59 while generating seven scoring chances.
  • Derick Brassard ($4,000 DK/ $7,500  FD) - Brassard is priced all the way down at $4,000 which seems too good of a value to pass up. Against Tampa this season, he has had three points scored in four games and has been pretty active offensively in his most recent games. He has scored two goals in his last four games played and has taken close to 10 shots during that span so he has shown some spark in his offensive game that is intriguing enough to include him in your lineups.

 

Stacks

  • TB1- Palat, Point, Kucherov
  • NYI2- Beauvillier, Nelson, Bailey
  • TBPP1- Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Palat, Killorn

 

Player Pool

C- Point, Barzal, Nelson, JGP, Gourde

W- Kucherov, Eberle, Lee, Palat, Brassard

D- Hedman, Sergachev, Toews, Pulock

G- Vasilevskiy

 

 

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FanDuel, DraftKings NHL DFS Lineup Picks (9/8/20): Daily Fantasy Hockey Advice

Tuesday brings more exciting Stanley Cup playoffs! The Western Conference Finals continue with Game 2 beginning at 8 pm EST. The Vegas Golden Knights will try and even up the series at one game apiece as they faceoff against the Dallas Stars. Dallas defeated Vegas in Game 1 by the score of 1-0.

Remember, an over/under of 6 dictates offense when looking around for plays, but an over/under of 5 or sometimes 5.5 tilts towards the goalies.  With only one goal scored amongst the two teams in Game 1, tough DFS lineup choices will have to be made.

This article will provide you with my daily fantasy hockey lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel for September 8, 2020. The picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. For Tuesday, DraftKings will be offering both Classic and Showdown contests. For Classic competitions, DFS lineups will be picked based on a pool of players playing tonight and tomorrow.

For those playing the Showdown Captain Mode, the Captain in DraftKings and Fanduel is a crucial pick to add to a roster since the player you draft will earn 1.5x the standard fantasy point value for each statistic. DraftKings Participants can learn more about the rules for NHL Showdown Captain Mode through the following link www.draftkings.com/help/rules/3/127.FanDuel provides a somewhat similar format where a participant would select a captain and four utility players under a $55,000 salary cap. Goaltenders are not available to be chosen under this FanDuel format. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @awlenn. Let's go!!

 

DFS Forwards to Consider 

Max Pacioretty - LW, VGK vs. DAL (FD - $14,500, DK - ($15,300 Showdown/Classic $7,300)

Golden Knights forward, Max Pacioretty is due for a big game Tuesday night. Through the Knights' last four games, Pacioretty has been held pointless. Despite being pointless, Pacioretty helped DFS lineups in other ways with 32.8 FPTS during that time. The New Canaan, Connecticut native, has netted five goals and added two assists in two 12 Vegas postseason games. Pacioretty ranks 12th in the playoffs with 47 shots on goal. He has a shooting percentage 0f 10.6.

Jamie Benn- LW, VGK vs. DAL (FD - $15,500, DK - $8,600 Showdown/Classic $5,600)   

Benns play has steadily improved with each Stars playoff game. The former Kelowna Rockets player has two goals and two helpers in his last five games. Through those five matches, Benn has added 12 shots on goal. On Monday, Benn assisted on the lone Dallas goal, which resulted in a Game 1 victory over Vegas.

 

Others To Consider

Like his teammate Max Pacioretty, Mark Stone will need to contribute more offensively in Game 2 tonight.  Look for Stone to regroup and have a strong game tonight like he has played throughout most of the playoffs.

Alexander Radulov may be an option as a flex roster spot for Showdown contestants. The Russian winger scored a pair of big goals and had four shots on goal in a Game 7 win against Colorado on September 4.

Other forwards worth looking into include if competing in DraftKings Classic contests, which continues into Wednesday, Nikita Kucherov, Anders Lee, Ondrej Palat, Brayden Point, Brock Nelson, Mathew Barzel, Joe Pavelski

For DFS Showdown players, here are some players to consider, Tyler Seguin, Jonathan Marchessault, Joe Pavelski, William Karlsson.

 

DFS Defenders to Consider

Miro Heiskanen - D, VGK vs. DAL (FD - $10,000, DK - $,7,800 Showdown/Classic $ 5,400)

If you decide on a defenseman for a flex/utility spot for Showdown play, Miro Heiskanen could be a good fit. He obviously would be a wise choice for DraftKings Classic lineups as well. Heiskanen has a total of 46.4 FPTS  in the Stars last four games, as his play has been excellent throughout the playoffs.

Other choices for Tuesday Showdown may include Nate Schmidt, Shea Theodore, John Klingberg.

Choices for Classic worth considering  Mikhail Sergachev, Ryan Pulock, Devon Toews, Kevin Shattenkirk, Victor Hedman, Nate Schmidt, Shea Theodore, John Klingberg

 

DFS Goalie to Consider

Robin Lehner G, VGK vs. DAL (DK- $11,400 Showdown/Classic $8,200)

Marc-Andre Fleury G, VGK vs. DAL (DK- $11,400 Showdown/Classic $8,200)

Vegas has the best goaltending tandem in the league.  Regardless of who starts tonight, it would be wise to take that netminder for DFS Classic and Showdown lineups. Despite a loss, Fleury stopped 24 of 25 Dallas shots on Sunday, while Lehner posted a shutout and made 14 saves in his last outing.

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FanDuel, DraftKings NHL DFS Lineup Picks (9/7/20): Daily Fantasy Hockey Advice

It’s Labor Day, and the Eastern Conference Finals begins at 8 pm EST. The Tampa Bay Lightning will be all set to take on the scrappy New York Islanders. The last time New York made the Eastern Conference Finals was way back in 1993. In contrast, Tampa Bay has made the conference final twice in the previous three years.

Remember, an over/under of 6 dictates offense when looking around for plays, but an over/under of 5 or sometimes 5.5 tilts towards the goalies. Tough choices have to be made with only one game being played tonight!

This article will provide you with my daily fantasy hockey lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel for September 7, 2020. The picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. For Monday, DraftKings will only be offering the NHL Showdown Captain Mode for contestants. Participants can learn more about the rules for NHL Showdown Captain Mode through the following link www.draftkings.com/help/rules/3/127.FanDuel provides a somewhat similar format where a participant would select a captain and four utility players under a $55,000 salary cap. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @awlenn. Let's go!!

 

DFS Forwards to Consider 

Nikita Kucherov - RW,  TB vs. NYI (FD - $14,o00, DK - $15,300)

Tampa Bay Lightning head coach Jon Cooper said Nikita Kucherov would be playing in Game 1 against the Islanders. Kucherov has been out of Tampa Bay's lineup since Game 5 of their second-round series against Boston with an undisclosed injury. With having a week off and being hopefully healthy, The Russian forward should be a strong pick under the Captain slot for DFS lineups. The Captain in DraftKings and Fanduel is a crucial pick to add to a roster since the player you draft will earn 1.5x the standard fantasy point value for each statistic. Before getting hurt, Kucherov was putting up points on a nightly basis. Playing in 13 games in August, Kucherov netted four goals and added 12 assists.

Brayden Point- C, TB vs. NYI (FD - $15,500, DK - $13,500)   

Besides having a strong regular season for Tampa Bay, center Brayden Point has excelled in the postseason for his team as well. Point is riding a six-game point streak going into the Eastern Conference Finals. In-Game five last series against Boston, Point had two assists with two shots on goal. He would fit nicely into a  DFS Lineup as a flex/utility player or potentially even as a lineups captain.

 

Others To Consider

Islanders center Mathew Barzal has been a spark plug in the Islanders lineup all season long.  Barzal has scored two goals and added two assists in his last five playoff games.

Brock Nelson may be an option as a flex roster spot. The Islanders forward was a huge factor in defeating the Flyers in seven-games during second-round playoff action. The Warroad, Minnesota native has seven goals and eight assists in 16 Islanders playoff games.

Other forwards worth looking into include Anthony Beauvillier, Anders Lee, Ondrej Palat, Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Anthony Cirelli, Josh Bailey.

 

DFS Defenders to Consider

Victor Hedman - D, TB vs. NYI (FD - $10,000, DK - $,12,900)

If you decide on a defenseman for a flex/utility spot, Tampa Bays Victor Hedman should be one to consider. Hedman logs a ton of ice time for the Lightning averaging 26:00 of ice time through 13 playoff games. The Swedish defenseman has five goals and nine points in 12 playoff games and is a plus-11 rating.

Other choices for Monday may include Mikhail Sergachev, Ryan Pulock, Devon Toews, Kevin Shattenkirk.

 

DFS Goalie to Consider

Andrei Vasilevskiy- G, TB vs. NYI  (FD - DK- $10,800)

If a DraftKings contestant decides to take a goalie, Lightning netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy is a captain or flex/utility pick option. Vasllevskiy play has been stellar for many years while playing for Tampa Bay. Through 13 Lightning playoff games, the Russian goaltender has a record of ten wins, three losses, and a goals-against-average of 1.91.

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NHL DFS Power Play for FanDuel, DraftKings: DFS Value Plays, Goalies Matrix, Stacks (9/4)

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey is one of my favorite sports to watch and play from a DFS perspective and I am thrilled to be covering this sport over at RotoBaller! As always, I will do my best to give you the stats and info you need to build the best lineups possible for your GPP and cash game NHL contests on DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Alex Ovechkin who is a volume shooter tends to be a better play there just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings and Fanduel for Friday, September 4th, 2020 at 4:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 9/4

  • Dallas Stars (+114) vs. Colorado Avalanche (-132)
  • Vancouver Canucks (+220) vs. Vegas Golden Knights (-235)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis Matrix

Team Rank GA Rank SA Rank GF Rank SF Total
Vegas 12 24 24 7 19.5
Vancouver 9 11 20 22 12.75
Colorado 1 22 17 4 9.5
Dallas 17 19 5 10 14.25

The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

Power Play Matrix

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
Dallas 5 18
Colorado 7 10
Vancouver 8 5
Vegas 9 15

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate! The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

NHL DFS Core Four

The Core 4 picks are to help you construct your cash game lineups while also giving you plays that you can use and build around in GPPs. Stacking is critical in NHL DFS so you might want to pair these suggestions with a linemate or two, especially when building your tournament lineups.

 

1) DFS Center: Nathan MacKinnon ($8,500 DK/ $8,800 FD)

The safest player on this slate is Nathan MacKinnon regardless of the price tag. He has incredible numbers against the Stars as he has recorded 16 points in 11 games against them. What is interesting to note is that 4 of those points have come on the powerplay while the other 12 were at even strength. He is closing to averaging four shots per game against them and has notched a goal scored in back-to-back games. His ownership will be really high in cash games but with having such a high floor, he is almost a near lock.

Other Top Center Plays: 

  • Nazem Kadri ($5,200 DK/ $5,900 FD)
  • Tyler Seguin ($6,100 DK/ $6,800 FD)

 

2) DFS Winger: Jamie Benn  ($5,400 DK/ $7,600 FD)

Jamie Benn provides great value for your lineups over on DK at the wing position. While he is the third-highest priced winger on FD at $7,600, he is the seventh-highest priced winger on DK coming in at just $5,400. He has been outstanding in this series against the Avalanche as he has produced eight points so far in this series. He has been very active on the offensive end as he has scored three goals over his last four games played and also registered 13 shots during that four-game span as well. If you're needing a player that has is in great form that is also in a paced up game, Benn is a clear cut choice for your cash game lineups.

Other Top Winger Plays: 

  • Max Pacioretty ($7,000 DK/ $7,700 FD)
  • Mikko Rantanen ($6,800 DK/ $8,000 FD)

 

3) DFS Defenseman: Cale Makar ($5,800 DK / $5,600 FD)

Cale Makar has really come on strong from a fantasy perspective in the back-half of this series. He has produced four straight games of double-digit DK performances while also notching seven points during that four-game stretch. Makar has seen tons of ice-time throughout this series as he is averaging over 24 minutes per game which of course is always needed from a fantasy scoring perspective. He has 11 total points in 11 games played against Dallas and carries one of the higher floors on this slate.

Other Defenseman Plays: 

  • Shea Theodore ($6,400 DK/ $6,500 FD)
  • Miro Heiskanen ($5,300 DK/ $6,000 FD)

 

4) DFS Goalie: Robin Lehner/ Marc-Andre Fleury

With Vegas being the largest favorite on the slate, it is hard to pass up one of the best teams in the NHL to record a win in a Game 7 situation. While Lehner has been shaky his past several starts, we could end up seeing Fleury get the nod since both teams are on the end of a back-to-back situation. This is a situation to monitor before the puck drops later tonight as both goalies are viable in all formats.

 

DFS Value Plays

 

DFS Value Plays: Center

  • Joe Pavelski ($4,800 DK/ $5,300 FD)
  • Paul Stastny ($4,300 DK/ $4,200 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Wing

  • Denis Gurianov ($4,500 DK/ $5,400 FD)
  • Andre Burakovsky ($4,600 DK/ $5,200 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Defensemen

  • Alec Martinez ($4,600 DK/ $3,900 FD)
  • Samuel Girard ($ 3,400 DK/ $4,600 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Goalie

  • Anton Khudobin ($7,600 DK/ $7,400 FD)

 

Top Team and DFS Line Stacks

This should be an exciting slate as both games are game 7 in their respective series! Dallas takes on the Avs in the early game on this slate and this sets up to be another high-scoring affair. So far, these teams are combining to score eight goals per game with five out of the six games hitting the over. Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avs with nine total points while Mikko Rantanen leads the scoring efforts with four total goals throughout the series. On the Stars side of things, Denis Gurianov leads Dallas with seven points scored while Jamie Benn has been their primary goal scorer with three goals.

Colorado carries the home-ice advantage but in a shocking surprise have gone 1-2 while being the home team. The usual suspects are all in play as the MacKinnon line looks to be one of the top line stacks on the slate. While being the home team, they are generating 43 scoring chances per 60 minutes of ice-time while also creating 13.68 high danger opportunities. The Seguin line for the Stars has been picked on a bit this series as they have had a low corsi number (42.55) and are allowing 33 scoring chances and only generating 24.9 scoring chances per 60 minutes of ice-time. The Pavelski line has picked up the slack for Seguin's line as they have produced a 61.82 corsi and are creating 35 scoring chances per 60 minutes. They are one of the better value lines to look at on this slate as this should be an exciting contest between these two teams.

The night game features Vegas and Vancouver and this one could go several ways. Vegas looked like they were easily going to win this in five but Thatcher Demko has stepped up in a big way to help keep the Canucks postseason chances alive. Vancouver has rattled off two straight wins to force a game 7 which should be one of the more entertaining games to watch this postseason. The top line for Vegas has been extremely strong when they have been the home team as they have produced a 65.85 corsi and are generating 55.61 scoring chances per 60. While they are one of the more expensive stacks on the slate, their production can't be overlooked. If you're needing a value line, Vegas's third line has been very solid as they're generating 40.6 scoring chances per 60 and creating 15 high danger chances per 60.

If you're wanting to really get different in large-field tournaments, getting a few pieces from Vancouver would most likely be the way to go due to lower ownership. They switched up their lines and it looks like they have placed Miller on the same line with Pettersson and Boser which is a great scoring line. In the regular season, they posted a 58.63 corsi and generated 30 scoring chances per 60. If there is a Canucks line that poses to be a big scoring threat to Vegas, it would be the Pettersson line or stacking the full powerplay line

Top Stacks (In order):

  • COL1- Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen
  • VGK1- Pacioretty, Karlsson, Stone
  • DAL1 - Benn, Seguin, Radulov
  • VGK2- Marchessault, Stastny, Smith

Value  Stacks:

  • DAL2- Janmark, Pavelski, Gurianov
  • COL2- Burakovsky, Kadri, Nichushkin
  • VGK3- Cousins, Roy, Tuch

 

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NHL DFS Power Play for FanDuel, DraftKings: DFS Value Plays, Goalies Matrix, Stacks (9/3)

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey is one of my favorite sports to watch and play from a DFS perspective and I am thrilled to be covering this sport over at RotoBaller! As always, I will do my best to give you the stats and info you need to build the best lineups possible for your GPP and cash game NHL contests on DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Alex Ovechkin who is a volume shooter tends to be a better play there just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings and Fanduel for Thursday, September 3rd, 2020 at 7:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 9/3

  • Philadelphia Flyers (-104) vs. New York Islanders(-112)
  • Vegas Golden Knights (-240) vs. Vancouver Canucks (+200)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis Matrix

Team Rank GA Rank SA Rank GF Rank SF Total
Vegas 12 24 24 7 19.5
NY Islanders 4 23 22 13 14.5
Vancouver 9 11 20 22 12.75
Philadelphia 3 21 13 18 14.75

The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

 

Power Play Matrix

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
New York 11 17
Philadelphia 23 14
Vancouver 6 6
Vegas 7 15

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate! The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

 

NHL DFS Core Four

The Core 4 picks are to help you construct your cash game lineups while also giving you plays that you can use and build around in GPPs. Stacking is critical in NHL DFS so you might want to pair these suggestions with a linemate or two, especially when building your tournament lineups.

 

1) DFS Center: Brock Nelson ($5,900 DK/ $6,500 FD)

Nelson has been a steady presence for this Islanders hockey club throughout this postseason and with Mathew Barzal banged up, Nelson might need to take on an even bigger role. He has registered three points in his last two games against the Flyers and recorded back-to-back double-digit DK performances. In eight games against Philly, Nelson has scored three goals and four assists and is averaging 12.5 DK points per game. With the lack of upside on this slate from the center position, Nelson gives you a solid floor to rely on in cash games.

Other Top Center Plays: 

  • William Karlsson ($6,200 DK/ $5,600 FD)
  • Kevin Hayes ($5,300 DK/ $5,500 FD)

 

2) DFS Winger: Max Pacioretty  ($7,400 DK/ $7,600 FD)

If you are going to spend up at any position for any player on this slate, it has to be for Max Pacioretty. He has been a staple in this article over the past week because of the high floor and high ceiling that he has in this matchup. Pacioretty has taken 23 shots against Vancouver this season which means he is averaging close to five shots per game. In addition, he has registered 10 total points in just seven games played against the Canucks all season long which tells us Vancouver still has no clue on how to slow down Pacioretty. He is viable in all formats and will be one of the higher owned players on this slate.

Other Top Winger Plays: 

  • Claude Giroux ($5,600 DK/ $7,300 FD)
  • Jordan Eberle ($5,100 DK/ $5,400 FD)

 

3) DFS Defenseman: Shea Theodore ($6,700 DK / $6,700 FD)

The pricetag is getting high for Theodore but he has been the most consistent player for all of the teams playing on this slate. Against Vancouver in the playoffs, Theodore is averaging 18.4 DK points per game and has had four of those five games played go for double-digit points (with the fifth game scoring 9.5 DK points). On the season, Theodore has dominated Vancouver by recording 12 points in seven games played as five of those points have come on the powerplay.  With the high floor that Shea brings it is hard to not lock him into your cash game lineup.

Other Defenseman Plays: 

  • Alexander Edler ($5,600 DK/ $4,400 FD)
  • Ivan Provorov ($5,200 DK/ $5,700 FD)

 

4) DFS Goalie: Robin Lehner  ($8,200 DK/ $8,600 FD)

With Vegas being the largest favorite on the slate it makes sense to go right back to using Robin Lehner. While Vancouver got the best of the Golden Knights in their last game, Lehner only made 17 total saves which is not ideal from a fantasy scoring perspective. He did a great job limiting the Canucks to just two goals allowed but unfortunately, the Golden Knights offense was pretty quiet scoring one goal all game long. Lehner is 2-2 against Vancouver in the postseason and is only allowing 1.53 goals allowed per game and sporting a .940 save percentage against them. Also, throw into the fact that he has shut them out twice throughout the postseason, it is hard to consider any other goalie on this slate for cash game and tournament lineups.

 

DFS Value Plays

 

DFS Value Plays: Center

  • J.G. Pageau ($5,000 DK/ $4,800 FD)
  • Nicolas Roy ($2,800 DK/ $3,600 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Wing

  • Brock Boeser ($4,700 DK/ $5,800 FD)
  • Derick Brassard ($3,000 DK/ $4,200 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Defensemen

  • Alec Martinez ($4,700 DK/ $4,000 FD)
  • Devon Toews ($ 4,300 DK/ $3,900 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Goalie

  • Semyon Varlamov ($7,800 DK/ $7,900 FD)

 

Top Team and DFS Line Stacks

The Islanders will be considered the "home team" in this game 6 matchup which goes in their favor. When they have had the home-matching advantage this series, they have gone 2-0 while averaging three goals scored while limiting Philly to just 1.5 goals per game. When digging into the line matchups, it seemed as if the Nelson line for New York spent a lot of time skating with the Couturier line which seemed to be a relatively high-event matchup with the Couturier line having a better corsi and more scoring chances. On the flip side, the Barzal line for New York spent a lot of time skating with the third and fourth line of the Flyers and ended up generating 13 scoring chances and seven high-danger opportunities in their two "home games". If Barzal is healthy and good to go, this top line for New York could be in a prime spot to generate a few points and be one of the highest-scoring lines on the slate.

Vegas has a chance to close out the series tonight against the Canucks and Vegas odds think that they will be able to do so. The Golden Knights are the largest favorites on the slate and are 2-0 against Vancouver when they were considered to be the away team in this series. Vancouver looks like they do a straight line match where they take their top line and match it with the opposing team's top line which actually works in the Golden Knights favor. The Horvat line for the Canucks has had a 39 corsi and is allowing 44 scoring chances attempted per 60 minutes of ice-time throughout this series which is really high. The Golden Knights top line has been stellar this series as they have posted a strong corsi of 63 while generating 55 scoring chances per 60 minutes of ice-time. One way to get contrarian in tournaments is by stacking the top Vegas power-play line which gets you some exposure to both of their top lines. Vancouver has been one of the worst penalty kill teams throughout the postseason and this is an area that Vegas succeeds at. If you are looking for more of a value line, the third line for Vegas featuring Alex Tuch is definitely in play. They have held their own on the offensive end by scoring three goals and five assists over their last five games played.

 

Top Stacks (In order):

  • VGK1- Pacioretty, Karlsson, Stone
  • NY1- Lee, Barzal, Eberle
  • PHI1- Giroux, Couturier, Voracek
  • NYI2- Beauvillier, Nelson, Bailey

Value  Stacks:

  • VGK3- Cousins, Roy, Tuch
  • PHI2- Farabee, Hayes, Konecny
  • NYI3- Brassard, Pageau, Komarov

 

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FanDuel, DraftKings NHL DFS Lineup Picks (9/3/20): Daily Fantasy Hockey Advice

Thursday features a two-game main slate which starts at 7:00 pm ET for DraftKings and FanDuel with the Philadelphia Flyers facing off versus the New York Islanders. The nightcap features the Vegas Golden Knights clashing against the Vancouver Canucks.

Remember, when looking around for plays, an over/under of 6 dictates offense, but an over/under of 5 or sometimes 5.5 tilts towards the goalies. There are several games at 6.5, as that has become the new norm in hockey now.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy hockey lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on 9/3/20. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @ChrisWasselDFS. Let's get to it, shall we?

 

DFS Forwards to Consider

Brock Nelson - C, NYI vs PHI (FD - $6,500, DK - $5,900)

Injuries to Mathew Barzal and Sean Couturier make Nelson an easy choice on Thursday. His three goals in the last two games and penchant for 3+ shots on goal are what we are looking for here. Nelson becomes a more cost-effective alternative over Elias Pettersson. Why? Vancouver, if they get stifled again, will struggle to get shots which lowers Pettersson's floor. Can Vancouver sustain playing this way? That is a big problem.

Some other choices might include Kevin Hayes and Bo Horvat. Also, do watch the Vegas middle six. Something tells me, Vegas could light the lamp a bit more tonight.

Mark Stone - W, VGK vs VAN (FD - $7,800, DK - $6,800)

The forward rose in price but has been off the last three games -- despite a goal and four assists. He has several quality chances but just three shots on the net (despite double digit attempts). It has to be asked is Stone hiding some kind of injury? There is no way of knowing. However, as long as he keeps producing points, no one cares. Max Pacioretty is the other on the wing alternative from Vegas. At some point, Stone should hit the net more often. It may be tonight.

Also, Consider:

It is a prudent idea to go exploring for more secondary scoring on Thursday. With just two games, searching for differences is even more essential.

Exploring the second and third lines this time of year has to be done more than the top power-play units, etc. Typically, games feature less penalties on average as the playoffs move along. Even strength play develops more and more importance. Finally, look at players like Tyler Motte even. Then, there exists the Tanner Pearson's and Tyler Toffoli's of the world too. That Philadelphia line two stack is not too far fetched along with a side order of value defensemen.

 

DFS Defenders to Consider

Shea Theodore - D, VGK vs VAN (FD - $6,700, DK - $6,700)

This is the chalk choice and should garner most or all of the ownership on Thursday as he is the only blue-chip defenseman on this slate. Every other one has obvious flaws. Theodore has 3+ shots on net in each of his last four games and points in consecutive contests.

His floor is a bit low normally when it comes to blocks but that is partially because the opponent does not generate a ton of shots and chances on net. Theodore's power play value against a bottom-third penalty kill also cannot be overlooked in this scenario either.

Alex Edler - D, VAN vs VGK (FD - $4,400, DK - $5,800)

Easily, this boils down to the floor potential of Edler versus the offensive upside of Quinn Hughes. With Vegas expected to compile 30-35+ shots again tonight, taking advantage of Edler again is a good idea (especially with the DraftKings' bonuses). His floor is higher and can even create some offense too. Edler had three scoring chances in Game 5 despite Vancouver firing less than 20 shots on net.

With value and punt defensemen, one may have to dig slightly deeper than usual. Yes, taking a shot at players like Adam Pelech and Nick Leddy are not bad choices. Philippe Myers is still out there as well if one is desperate enough on Thursday evening.

 

DFS Goalie to Consider

Robin Lehner - G, VGK vs VAN  (FD - $8,600, DK - $8,100)

This is all about taking a goalie most likely to win and that would be Lehner, as he is expected to start on Thursday night. Lehner only faced 17 shots and gave up two goals in the Game 5 loss on Tuesday night.

For DraftKings, choosing a goalie like Thatcher Demko introduces the idea of a 35+ save bonus. That is risky but has a pretty good chance of occurring tonight.

For FanDuel, if one feels a little squeamish on Demko, then maybe risk Carter Hart. Remember Philadelphia and New York have played a bit of a wild series but was that Game 5 overtime a momentum changer for Hart and the Flyers? That is an excellent question.

We will be in the RotoBaller Premium Slack Chat throughout the afternoon and evening.

Also, if there are any other questions, the expert chat will be open once again on Thursday. Good luck today.

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FanDuel, DraftKings NHL DFS Lineup Picks (9/2/20): Daily Fantasy Hockey Advice

Wednesday, second-round playoff action begins at 5 pm EST. The Dallas Stars will be facing off against the Colorado Avalanche in Game 6 of their second-round matchup. Dallas leads the series 3-2 and is on the cusp of advancing to the Western Conference Finals for the first time since 2008.

Remember, when looking around for plays, an over/under of 6 dictates offense, but an over/under of 5 or sometimes 5.5 tilts towards the goalies. Tough choices have to be made on these two game slates!

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy hockey lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel for September 2, 2020. The picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. For Wednesday, DraftKings will only be offering the NHL Showdown Captain Mode for contestants. Participants can learn more about the rules for NHL Showdown Captain Mode through the following link www.draftkings.com/help/rules/3/127.FanDuel provides a somewhat similar format where a participant would select a captain and four utility players under a $55,000 salary cap. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @awlenn. Let's go!!

 

DFS Forwards to Consider 

Nathan MacKinnon - C,  COL vs. DAL (FD - $16,o00, DK - $17,100)

Regardless of tonight's outcome, Avalanche forward Nathan MacKinnon could be a strong pick under the Captain slot for DFS lineups. The Captain in DraftKings and Fanduel is a crucial pick to add to a roster since the player you draft will earn 1.5x the standard fantasy point value for each statistic. MacKinnon continued his playoff point streak to 13 games on Monday. In-Game 5, MacKinnon scored a goal on six shots. During MacKinnons 13 game point streak, he's tallied eight goals, 15 helpers, and 60 shots on goal.

Mikko Rantanen- RW, COL vs. DAL (FD - $15,000, DK - $9,200)   

Like his teammate Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen has been outstanding for Colorado in this year's playoffs. Rantanen has a point streak of eight games where he has netted five goals and added eight assists. Through 13 contests, the Finnish forward has 44 shots on goal. He now sits third in the NHL with 18 playoff points, including six goals and 12 assists. He would fit nicely into a  DFS LIneup as a Flex/Utility player.

 

Others To Consider: 

Streaky Tyler Seguin is in the midst of a hot streak. All seven of the center's playoff points have come in the last six Stars contests.

Nazem Kadri may be an option as a flex roster spot. The Avalanche center netted a goal in Game 5 versus Dallas. He now sits second in the league with eight playoff goals, only behind Vancouver's Bo Horvat who has nine goals.

Jamie Benn is also a streaky player like Stars teammate Tyler Seguin. Through five games against Colorado, Benn has scored three goals and added five assists.

Other forwards worth looking into include Gabriel Landeskog, Alexander Radulov, Joe Pavelski, Andre Burakovsky, Dennis Gurianov.

 

DFS Defenders to Consider

Cale Makar - D, COL vs. DAL (FD - $9,000, DK - $8,000)

If you decide on a defenseman for a flex/utility spot, 21-year-old Cale Makar is always an option. Makar had a helper in Game 5 to extend his point streak to four games. The talented player ranks third in points by a defenseman with three goals and eleven assists.

Miro Heiskanen - D,  COL vs. DAL (FD - $10,000, DK - $8,000)

Dallas blueliner Miro Heiskanen has been a bright spot for his team all season long. He is riding a six-game point streak where he has posted two goals and eight assists. The Finnish defenseman would be an excellent addition as a flex/utility player.

Other choices for Monday may include John Klingberg, Ryan Graves, Esa Lindell, Sam Girard.

 

DFS Goalie to Consider

Anton Khudobin- G, COL vs. DAL (DK- $9,800)

Khudobin seems likely to start in tonight's Game 6. Stars Coach Rick Bowness Game 5 decision to start Ben Bishop was a bad one. Bishop has been unfit to play for most of the playoffs and was eventually pulled due to poor play during Game 5. In relief of Bishop, Khudobin allowed two goals on 22 shots.

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NHL DFS Power Play for FanDuel, DraftKings: DFS Value Plays, Goalies Matrix, Stacks (9/1)

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey is one of my favorite sports to watch and play from a DFS perspective and I am thrilled to be covering this sport over at RotoBaller! As always, I will do my best to give you the stats and info you need to build the best lineups possible for your GPP and cash game NHL contests on DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Alex Ovechkin who is a volume shooter tends to be a better play there just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings for Tuesday, September 1st, 2020 at 7:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 9/1

  • New York Islanders (-115) vs. Philadelphia Flyers (-105)
  • Vancouver Canucks (+197) vs. Vegas Golden Knights (-235)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis Matrix

Team Rank GA Rank SA Rank GF Rank SF Total
Vegas 12 24 24 7 19.5
NY Islanders 4 23 22 13 14.5
Vancouver 9 11 20 22 12.75
Philadelphia 3 21 13 18 14.75

The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

 

Power Play Matrix

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
New York 13 14
Philadelphia 22 17
Vancouver 7 7
Vegas 8 18

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate! The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

 

NHL DFS Core Four

The Core 4 picks are to help you construct your cash game lineups while also giving you plays that you can use and build around in GPPs. Stacking is critical in NHL DFS so you might want to pair these suggestions with a linemate or two, especially when building your tournament lineups.

 

1) DFS Center: Mathew Barzal ($6,500 DK/ $6,100 FD)

The center position is an interesting position on this slate. While there are some good options, the centers on this slate have not been as consistent as other positions. Barzal has scored a point in three out of his last four games played which offers one of the best floors relative to everyone else at his position. In seven games against Philadelphia, Barzal has generated eight total points and is averaging 10.1 DK points per game.

Other Top Center Plays: 

  • Brock Nelson ($5,800 DK/ $6,300 FD)
  • William Karlsson ($6,100 DK/ $5,800 FD)

 

2) DFS Winger: Max Pacioretty  ($7,100 DK/ $7,900 FD)

 

Other Top Winger Plays: 

  • Mark Stone ($6,600 DK/ $7,400 FD)
  • Jordan Eberle ($5,000 DK/ $5,200 FD)

 

3) DFS Defenseman: Shea Theodore ($6,400 DK / $6,500 FD)

Theodore provides the highest ceiling from all defensemen on this slate. He has been on quite a hot streak as of late since he has recorded seven points in just his last four games played while also taking 18 shots on goal during that span. On the season, Theodore has notched 11 points in just six games played against Vancouver (five of those coming on the power play) while also taking a total of 25 shots on goal. If you want the best overall play at the position, look no further than Theodore.

Other Defenseman Plays: 

  • Alexander Edler ($5,600 DK/ $4,600 FD)
  • Ryan Pulock ($5,400 DK/ $4,900 FD)

 

4) DFS Goalie: Robin Lehner  ($8,100 DK/ $8,700 FD)

Lehner carries the highest price tag on the slate but he also has been exceptional in the postseason which warrants his high cost. Lehner is 2-1 against Vancouver throughout the postseason with his two victories also being shutouts which is ideal from a fantasy standpoint. He is carrying a .952 save percentage against the Canucks and is averaging 20.4 DK points against them this postseason. With Vegas having the home-ice advantage, Lehner looks positioned to be one of the highest-scoring players on the slate and is viable in all formats.

 

DFS Value Plays

 

DFS Value Plays: Center

  • J.G. Pageau ($4,800 DK/ $5,000 FD)
  • Nicolas Roy ($2,700 DK/ $3,600 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Wing

  • Alex Tuch ($4,600 DK/ $4,600 FD)
  • Josh Bailey ($4,500 DK/ $4,900 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Defensemen

  • Alec Martinez ($4,600 DK/ $3,900 FD)
  • Devon Toews ($ 4,300 DK/ $4,000 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Goalie

  • Semyon Varlamov ($7,700 DK/ $8,300 FD)

 

Top Team and Line DFS Stacks

We have similar situations on tonight's slate as both the Islanders and Golden Knights are up 3-1 in their series and are looking to close things out here in game 5. The Islanders are averaging 3.25 goals scored per game in this series while the Flyers continue to struggle on the offensive end. Philadelphia has only scored six goals in this series which averages out to be 1.5 goals per game. The best line for the Flyers has been their second line featuring Kevin Hayes. He has produced five points in his last five games played with three of those being goals. If the Flyers pull out a win, that means their second line was able to generate chances in their matchup. From the Islanders side, the Nelson line has played really well despite being matched up against the Flyers top line. They generated 16 total scoring chances in the first two games of this series while having five high-danger opportunities.

Vegas has looked pretty dominant throughout the series as they have posted two shutouts while scoring 15 goals throughout their first four games played. They return as the home team in this game which gives them the line matching advantage over Vancouver. Looking back at their two games played as the home team in this series, Vegas went 1-1 and scored a combined seven goals. As a whole, they averaged 12 high-danger scoring chances and 37 scoring chances in those first two games while being above 50 in the corsi department. The two lines to really target from Vegas are their top line and third line. The top line provides the most upside while the third line gets to pick on the bottom six for Vancouver. The Roy line for Vegas dominated their matchup in the first two games by generating 14 scoring chances while also creating seven high-danger opportunities. If looking for value, this is a great spot to look for in tournaments.

Top Stacks (In order):

  • VGK1- Pacioretty, Karlsson, Stone
  • NYI2- Beauvillier, Nelson, Bailey
  • NY1- Lee, Barzal, Eberle
  • VGK2- Marchessault, Stastny, Smith

Value  Stacks:

  • PHI2- Farabee, Hayes, Konecny
  • VGK3- Cousins, Roy, Tuch
  • NYI3- Johnston, Pageau, Komarov

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FanDuel, DraftKings NHL DFS Lineup Picks (9/1/20): Daily Fantasy Hockey Advice

Philadelphia and Vancouver could be heading home after Tuesday's playoff action. Games begin at 4 pm EST as the New York Islanders face off against the Philadelphia Flyers. The second game features the Vancouver Canucks as they try and stave off elimination against the Vegas Golden Knights.

Remember, when looking around for plays, an over/under of 6 dictates offense, but an over/under of 5 or sometimes 5.5 tilts towards the goalies.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy hockey lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel for September 1st, 2020. The picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. For Tuesday, FanDuel, and DraftKings are not offering the split game option. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @awlenn. Let's go!!

 

DFS Forwards to Consider 

Mark Stone - RW, VGK vs. VAN (FD - $7,400, DK - $6,600)

Vegas forward Mark Stone has been a massive contributor to his team's impressive playoff run. Stone is tied with teammate Shea Theodore for the team lead in points with 14 (6 goals-8 assists). Having linemates like  Max Pacioretty and William Karlsson have helped to elevate Stones' play. Pacioretty had two goals and an assist while Karlsson added a goal in Game 4. This line should continue to be dominant, and it might be worth adding and stacking this line to your DFS lineup.

Elias Pettersson- C, VGK vs.VAN (FD - $7,400, DK - $7,100)  

The NHL is loaded with talented players under the age of 25. Vancouver centerman Ellias Pettersson is most certainly on the list. His team is down to Vegas 3-1, but it hasn't stopped Pettersson from contributing to his Canucks team on the scoreboard. Pettersson has four points ( 2 goals and 2 assists) in four games against Vegas. The budding NHL phenom ranks second in the NHL with 17 points ( 6 goals - 11 assists) and has 33 shots on goal this postseason.

 

Others To Consider: 

If one is considering stacking their DFS lineup with Vegas players, Jonathan Marchessault may be worth adding. Marchessault sees ice time on the Knights' first powerplay unit playing left wing.

Reilly Smith has been a big part of the Knights playoff success. The second line winger has four goals and seven assists in twelve Vegas postseason games.

For whatever reason, Philadelphia's top players have had trouble burying the biscuit this postseason. Despite only scoring three goals, Kevin Hayes has been relatively consistent elsewhere with three goals and ten assists in 13 Flyers games.

Other forwards worth looking into include Alex Tuch, Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Anthony Beauvillier, J.T. Miller, Josh Bailey, Brock Boeser, Jakub Voracek.

 

DFS Defenders to Consider

Shea Theodore - D, VGK vs. VAN (FD - $6,500, DK - $6,400)

Vegas defenseman Shea Theodore should be an automatic pick for NHL DFS when Vegas is playing. Theodore has at least a point in the Knight's last six games. To make the case even more vital in picking Theodore, he also has a point in nine of twelve Vegas postseason games.

Theodore has a blistering shot from the point and leads his team in shots on goal with 42. He has also been known to block a shot or two as he ranks fifth on his team with 17 blocked.  As most NHL DraftKings contestants know, each blocked shot in a game counts for + 1.5 points.

Quinn Hughes - D, VGK vs. VAN (FD - $5,600, DK - $5,000)

Rookie defenceman Quinn Hughes had a rough Game 4 against Vegas. Despite having a +/- rating of -2, Hughes managed to add a couple of assists. He is averaging 23:24 of ice time a game, which is tops amongst his Canucks teammates. Canucks head coach Travis Green will rely on Hughes to help Vancouver avoid a second-round elimination.

Other choices for Monday may include Ryan Pulock, Ivan Provorov, Nate Schmidt, Travis Sanheim, Alexander Edler.

 

DFS Goalie to Consider

Seymon Varmalov - G, NYI vs. PHI (FD - $8,300,  DK- $7,700)

Islanders netminder Seymon Varmalov continues to be a rock in between the pipes during the 2020 postseason. While the Islanders have had a superior playoff run, Varmalov has recorded two shutouts with nine wins and two losses. His goals-against average of 1.69 is tops in the playoffs.  Varmalov has proven he is a reliable pick for DFS lineups.

One would assume the three-time Stanley Cup champion Marc Andre Fleury will be starting for Vegas in Game 5. Fleury is 3-0 this postseason for Vegas and can be counted on to play well in big games.

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NHL DFS Power Play for FanDuel, DraftKings: DFS Value Plays, Goalies Matrix, Stacks (8/31)

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey is one of my favorite sports to watch and play from a DFS perspective and I am thrilled to be covering this sport over at RotoBaller! As always, I will do my best to give you the stats and info you need to build the best lineups possible for your GPP and cash game NHL contests on DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Alex Ovechkin who is a volume shooter tends to be a better play there just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings for Monday, August 31st, 2020 at 7:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 8/31

  • Boston Bruins (+100) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-120)
  • Dallas Stars () vs. Colorado Avalanche ()

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis Matrix

Team Rank GA Rank SA Rank GF Rank SF Total
Colorado 1 22 17 4 9.5
Tampa Bay 11 3 6 1 7
Boston 14 18 6 8 9.75
Dallas 17 19 5 10 14.25

The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
Boston 7 10
Tampa Bay 10 13
Dallas 9 7
Colorado 4 16

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate! The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

 

NHL DFS Core Four

The Core 4 picks are to help you construct your cash game lineups while also giving you plays that you can use and build around in GPPs. Stacking is critical in NHL DFS so you might want to pair these suggestions with a linemate or two, especially when building your tournament lineups.

 

1) DFS Center: Nathan MacKinnon ($8,500 DK/ $8,700 FD)

For the first time since the postseason began, MacKinnon was held limited to single-digit DK points in their loss to the Stars. He was limited to just two shots on goal but he was able to record an assist which helped make up for the lack of offensive involvement. The Avs are in a must-win scenario which means Mackinnon and the rest of his linemates will need to step up and have a big game if they want to keep their playoff dreams alive. MacKinnon will once again see high ownership in cash games but could see a drop in tournaments due to the other viable options at the center position.

Other Top Center Plays: 

  • Brayden Point ($5,700 DK/ $7,900 FD)
  • Nazem Kadri ($5,3000 DK/ $6,000 FD)

 

2) DFS Winger: Nikita Kucherov ($7,400 DK/ $8,300 FD)

Kucherov has been a major problem for the Bruins this year. In nine games this season, Kuch has produced 11 total points while averaging over three shots on goal per game. In the postseason series against Boston, he has scored double-digit DK points in every game while also taking over three shots per game as well. Kucherov is viable in all formats and will be a popular target on this slate.

Other Top Winger Plays: 

  • Mikko Rantanen ($6,900 DK/ $7,700 FD)
  • Jamie Benn ($5,300 DK/ $7,700 FD)

 

3) DFS Defenseman: Victor Hedman ($5,600 DK / $6,700 FD)

Another Lightning player that has really stepped it up this series has been Victor Hedman. He has scored four points in four games and has recorded over 20+ DK points in three of his last four games played. What has been really impressive is how active he has been on the offensive end. He has taken 17 shots on goal throughout this series and when a streaky shooter like Hedman gets going, he is hard to stop. When factoring in that he has 11 blocked shots in the series as well, Hedman makes for a great tournament target on this slate.

Other Defenseman Plays: 

  • Miro Heiskanen ($5,400 DK/ $5,800 FD)
  • Cale Makar ($5,800 DK/ $5,600 FD)

 

4) DFS Goalie: Andrei Vasilevskiy  ($8,000 DK/ $8,500 FD)

Vasilevskiy has played pretty well throughout the series against Boston so far. He is allowing two goals per game which is solid when taking into account that Boston has one of the best scoring lines in all of hockey in Marchand, Bergeron, and Pastrnak. He is making 27.5 saves per game which is a good amount of volume from a fantasy goalie perspective. With how well Tampa has been playing defensively and the shot volume that Vasilevskiy is seeing, it is hard to pass him up in all formats.

DFS Value Plays

 

DFS Value Plays: Center

  • Joe Pavelski ($4,700 DK/ $5,600 FD)
  • David Krejci ($4,300 DK/ $6,400 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Wing

  • Denis Gurianov ($4,400 DK/ $5,200 FD)
  • Blake Coleman ($4,300 DK/ $3,800 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Defensemen

  • Mikhail Sergachev ($3,800 DK/ $4,700 FD)
  • Charlie McAvoy ($4,300 DK/ $4,300 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Goalie

  • Anton Khudobin ($7,400 DK/ $7,500 FD)

 

Top Team and Line DFS Stacks

We are back to seeing two-game slates with some really high-powered offenses facing off tonight. Tampa Bay is leading the series 3-1 and is looking to end the series with the home-ice advantage tonight. The top line for Tampa has performed really well throughout the postseason as they have generated a 64.53 corsi and 33 scoring chances per 60 minutes of ice-time in all games played while they were considered to be the home team. In the first two games of the series, the Point line had above an 80 corsi and generated 17 scoring chances. They looked to be matched with the top two lines for Boston which only benefited the Lightning. Boston will throw everything they have at the Lightning but with the line matching advantage, it is hard to ignore the numbers that the top line for the Lightning produced in their previous games this series.

The nightcap game on the slate features the Avs and Stars. This series has not disappointed from an offensive standpoint and Dallas has really shocked everyone by keeping up and outscoring a high powered offense like Colorado. With the Avs getting home-ice advantage for this game, the Avs top line will be put in a great spot to succeed. In the first two games of the series, they were matched up against the Stars fourth line and dominated the puck possession battle while generating 19 scoring chances in that two-game span. The Avs second line saw a good dose of the top two Stars lines and the Pavelski line looked to really stand out in that matchup. This once again is a great game to target from a game stack option and with it being a limited slate, mini stacks from this game are definitely an option.

Top Stacks (In order):

  • COL1- Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen
  • TB1- Palat, Point, Kucherov
  • DAL1- Benn, Seguin, Radulov
  • BOS1- Marchand, Bergeron, Pastrnak

Value  Stacks:

  • DAL2- Janmark, Pavelski, Gurianov
  • COL2- Burakovsky, Kadri, Nichushkin
  • TB3- Goodrow, Gourde, Coleman
  • BOS2- Debrusk, Krejci, Kase

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NHL DFS Power Play for FanDuel, DraftKings: DFS Value Plays, Goalies Matrix, Stacks (8/30)

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey is one of my favorite sports to watch and play from a DFS perspective and I am thrilled to be covering this sport over at RotoBaller! As always, I will do my best to give you the stats and info you need to build the best lineups possible for your GPP and cash game NHL contests on DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Alex Ovechkin who is a volume shooter tends to be a better play there just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings for Sunday, August 30th, 2020 at 6:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 8/30

  • Colorado Avalanche (-135) vs. Dallas Stars (+115)
  • Philadelphia Flyers (+102) vs. New York Islanders (-118)
  • Vegas Golden Knights (-225) vs. Vancouver Canucks (+190)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis Matrix

Team Rank GA Rank SA Rank GF Rank SF Total
Vegas 12 24 24 7 19.5
NY Islanders 4 23 22 13 14.5
Vancouver 9 11 20 22 12.75
Colorado 1 22 17 4 9.5
Philadelphia 3 21 13 18 14.75
Dallas 17 19 5 10 14.25

The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
Colorado 4 17
Dallas 9 7
Philadelphia 22 5
New York 24 14
Vegas 8 15
Vancouver 6 5

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate! The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

NHL DFS Core Four 

The Core 4 picks are to help you construct your cash game lineups while also giving you plays that you can use and build around in GPPs. Stacking is critical in NHL DFS so you might want to pair these suggestions with a linemate or two, especially when building your tournament lineups.

 

1) DFS Center: Nathan MacKinnon ($8,500 DK/ $8,800 FD)

It really is getting old typing up Nathan MacKinnon but let's face it, he is the best player on the slate, and barring an injury, should be the highest-scoring player almost night in and night out. He has recorded 13 points in his last five games played while also notching five goals during that span. He is averaging an impressive 28 DK points per game and has been firing the puck like a mad man (25 shots on goal over his last four games). He is viable in all formats and should see extremely high ownership in cash games.

Other Top Center Plays: 

  • Mathew Barzal ($6,300 DK/ $6,400 FD)
  • Tyler Seguin ($6,700 DK/ $7,600 FD)

 

2) DFS Winger: Mark Stone ($6,400 DK/ $7,300 FD)

Stone was able to notch a goal in Saturday nights win against Vancouver which came on the powerplay. While he hasn't been a big-time volume shooter, he is still a constant scoring threat that has recorded three goals in his last four games played. His linemate Max Pacioretty was not on the bench during the third period of the game last night so if Pacioretty is forced to miss some time due to injury, Vegas will need Stone to step up even more from an offensive threat standpoint.

Other Top Winger Plays: 

  • Jamie Benn ($5,600 DK/ $7,700 FD)
  • Anders Lee ($5,800 DK/ $7,000 FD)

 

3) DFS Defenseman: Shea Theodore ($6,200 DK / $6,400 FD)

One of the best defensemen in the postseason has been Theodore and he is reasonably priced on both sites. He has taken 20 shots on goals over his last four games and has recorded six points during that time span. Theodore is constantly involved on the offensive end and has notched powerplay assists in back-to-back games. From a lineup standpoint, he is fantastic for cash games since his floor is so high.

Other Defenseman Plays: 

  • Ryan Pulock ($5,200 DK/ $4,800 FD)
  • Cale Makar ($6,000 DK/ $5,600 FD)

 

4) DFS Goalie: Semyon Varlamov  ($7,800 DK/ $7,800 FD)

Varlamov turned out a really strong performance Saturday night as he stopped 26 out of 27 shots while recording 20.7 DK points. Varlamov has been a beast throughout the postseason as he has racked up a .935 save percentage and a 1.69 goals allowed averaged. With the Flyers still showing their inconsistency on offense, Varlamov looks like a viable goalie pick in both cash and tournament lineups.

DFS Value Plays

 

DFS Value Plays: Center

  • Joe Pavelski ($5,200 DK/ $5,600 FD)
  • Paul Stastny ($3,700 DK/ $4,600 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Wing

  • Brock Boeser ($4,700 DK/ $5,900 FD)
  • Alex Tuch ($4,200 DK/ $4,500 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Defensemen

  • Devon Toews ($4,300 DK/ $3,800 FD)
  • Ian Cole ($3,400 DK/ $3,500 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Goalie

  • Anton Khudobin ($7,600 DK/ $7,500 FD)

 

Top Team and Line DFS Stacks

The first game of this three-game slate is a game stack worthy candidate based on the high scores of the first three games of this series. So far, the Avs and Stars have combined for 25 goals scored and it doesn't seem like they will be slowing down anytime soon. Both teams have generated over 30 high danger scoring chances throughout the series so far with the Avalanche having four more scoring chances and a better corsi number. Both top lines will be popular choices in tournaments but one way to get different is by looking at their second lines. Both the Pavelski line for Dallas and the Kadri line for Colorado generated positive corsi numbers and multiple scoring chances throughout game 3.

The Flyers and Islanders are on the end of a back-to-back so there could be some fatigue that plays into this game. New York had a strong offensive showing as they doubled the high danger opportunities that the Flyers had at even strength play. The Barzal line for the Islanders posted a 63.64 corsi and had three high-danger opportunities throughout the game. The real surprise was how well the third line played as the JGP line racked up 11 scoring chances with four high-danger opportunities. If you are looking for a lower owned value stack, the Pageau line is one to target.

The nightcap game is also on the end of a back-to-back with Vegas carrying the largest Vegas total on the entire slate. Robin Lehner pitched a shutout while Vegas was able to get goal-scoring contributions from all over their roster. While the Golden Knights only had two more scoring chances than Vancouver, they almost doubled their high-danger opportunities (11 to 6). The top three lines for Vegas all played well with their top line generating the most scoring chances (six) but their second line posting a strong 76 corsi. Another value line to consider on this slate is their third line as they had four scoring chances and actually notching a goal as well. If you're wanting to be contrarian and go against the chalk, the best line for Vancouver was the Pettersson line as they had three total scoring opportunities.

Top Stacks (In order):

  • VGK1- Pacioretty, Karlsson, Stone
  • COL1- Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen
  • DAL1- Benn, Seguin, Radulov
  • NYI1- Lee, Barzal, Eberle
  • VGK2- Marchessault, Stastny, Smith
  • VAN2- Pearson, Pettersson, Toffoli

Value  Stacks:

  • VGK3- Cousins, Roy, Tuch
  • DAL2- Janmark, Pavelski, Gurianov
  • NYI3- Brassard, Pageau, Komarov
  • COL2- Burakovsky, Kadri, Nichushkin

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FanDuel, DraftKings NHL DFS Lineup Picks (8/30/20): Daily Fantasy Hockey Advice

Sunday features a three-game main slate which starts at 6:00 pm ET for DraftKings and FanDuel with the Philadelphia Flyers facing off versus the New York Islanders. That follows the Dallas Stars clashing against the Colorado Avalanche. The nightcap features the Vegas Golden Knights clashing against the Vancouver Canucks.

Remember, when looking around for plays, an over/under of 6 dictates offense, but an over/under of 5 or sometimes 5.5 tilts towards the goalies. There are several games at 6.5, as that has become the new norm in hockey now.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy hockey lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on 8/30/20. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @ChrisWasselDFS. Let's get to it, shall we?

 

DFS Forwards to Consider

Nathan MacKinnon - C, COL vs DAL (FD - $8,800, DK - $8,500)

MacKinnon's offensive production has been otherworldly in these playoffs. That includes ten points in his last four games with 5+ shots in each game. Add in a few blocks here and there and MacKinnon is just a machine. Arizona could not stop the center once he got going and Dallas has had a tough time containing him. With all the scoring chances and power play opportunities, MacKinnon and the top line plus whomever that top defensive pairing is will gain some value once more.

Some other choices might include Sean Couturier and even Kevin Hayes. Also, do watch the Vegas middle six. Something tells me, Vegas could continue some of that momentum tonight.

Mark Stone - W, VGK vs VAN (FD - $7,300, DK - $6,400)

The forward steadied in price with the back end of the back to back later tonight. Stone scored a goal, had a couple scoring chances, nearly hit the post a couple times, and looked more like the winger we come to expect in the playoffs. Overall, Stone enjoys a solid matchup against the Vancouver middle six. Also, there is that Vegas power play to consider which could strike at any time.

Also, Consider:

It is a prudent idea to go exploring for more secondary scoring on Sunday. With three games, searching for differences is still paramount.

Exploring the second and third lines this time of year has to be done more than the top power-play units, etc. Typically, games feature less penalties on average as the playoffs move along. Even strength play develops more and more importance. Finally, look at players like Tyler Motte even. Then, there exists the Tanner Pearson's and Tyler Toffoli's of the world too. That Philadelphia line two stack is not too far fetched along with a side order of value defensemen. Even take a look at the Corey Perry's and Jamie Benn's of the world.

 

DFS Defenders to Consider

Miro Heiskanen - D, DAL vs COL (FD - $5,700, DK - $5,700)

This is a solid option with Theodore on the back end of a back to back while Heiskanen is well rested. The defenseman has had points in four straight games and carries a floor almost comparable to the Vegas top defender.

His floor is a bit low normally but lately that has not been the case. In his last game, he had several shots and a couple blocks. Heiskanen can be a bit of a floor risk but that is okay when your team keeps scoring goals at 4-5+ goals a game since the middle of the Calgary series.

Alex Edler - D, VAN vs VGK (FD - $4,500, DK - $5,300)

Easily, this boils down to the floor potential of Edler versus the offensive upside of Quinn Hughes. With Vegas expected to compile 30-35+ shots again tonight, taking advantage of Edler one more time is prudent. His floor is higher and can even create some offense too. Edler had three scoring chances, three shots, and four blocks in Game 3;

With value and punt defensemen, one may have to dig slightly deeper than usual. Yes, taking a shot at players like Adam Pelech and Nick Leddy are not bad choices. Ryan Graves is still out there as well if one is desperate enough on Sunday evening.

 

DFS Goalie to Consider

Robin Lehner - G, VGK vs VAN  (FD - $8,600, DK - $8,100)

This is all about taking a goalie most likely to win and that would be Lehner, provided he starts, on Sunday night. Lehner posted a shutout as Vegas took a 2-1 series lead over Vancouver. It may be worth a gamble to roll the dice on what is not broken.

For DraftKings, choosing a goalie like Jacob Markstrom introduces the idea of a 35+ save bonus. That is risky but has a slight chance of occurring tonight.

For FanDuel, if one feels a little squeamish on Markstrom, then maybe risk Carter Hart provided he starts. Remember Philadelphia and New York are also on the back end of a back to back as well. Maybe at some point Anton Khudobin plays like the Khudobin we remember.

 

We will be in the RotoBaller Premium Slack Chat throughout the afternoon and evening.

Also, if there are any other questions, the expert chat will be open once again on Sunday. Good luck today.

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NHL DFS Power Play for FanDuel, DraftKings: DFS Value Plays, Goalies Matrix, Stacks (8/29)

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey is one of my favorite sports to watch and play from a DFS perspective and I am thrilled to be covering this sport over at RotoBaller! As always, I will do my best to give you the stats and info you need to build the best lineups possible for your GPP and cash game NHL contests on DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Alex Ovechkin who is a volume shooter tends to be a better play there just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings for Saturday, August 29th, 2020 at 12:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 8/29

  • Tampa Bay Lightning (-110) vs. Boston Bruins (-110)
  • Philadelphia Flyers (+106) vs. New York Islanders (-116)
  • Vegas Golden Knights (-190) vs. Vancouver Canucks (+170)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis Matrix

Team Rank GA Rank SA Rank GF Rank SF Total
Vegas 12 24 24 7 19.5
NY Islanders 4 23 22 13 14.5
Vancouver 9 11 20 22 12.75
Philadelphia 3 21 13 18 14.75
Tampa Bay 11 3 6 1 7
Boston 14 18 6 8 9.75

The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
Tampa Bay 10 13
Boston 7 10
Philadelphia 22 5
New York 24 14
Vegas 8 15
6 7
Vancouver 6 5

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate!

 

NHL DFS Core Four 

The Core 4 picks are to help you construct your cash game lineups while also giving you plays that you can use and build around in GPPs. Stacking is critical in NHL DFS so you might want to pair these suggestions with a linemate or two, especially when building your tournament lineups.

 

1) DFS Center: William Karlsson ($6,000 DK/ $5,700 FD)

The center position is a tad tough today as all of the centers could be viable but they also offer somewhat low floors at times. Karlsson is arguably the safest choice since he will be skating on the best line of the night. He has recorded three points in his last four games played and has reached double-digit DK points in two of those contests.

Other Top Center Plays: 

  • Mathew Barzal ($6,900 DK/ $6,400 FD)
  • Brayden Point ($6,100 DK)

 

2) DFS Winger: Max Pacioretty ($6,900 DK/ $7,800 FD)

This is one of the easier decisions on the slate with how well Pacioretty has been playing. He has continued his hot streak of recording a point in three straight games and has now taken 20 shots over his last four games played. Even though he is the highest priced winger on the slate, he offers upside that is hard to match so he is as close to a lock button as there is on this slate.

Other Top Winger Plays: 

  • David Pastrnak ($7,900 DK)
  • Anders Lee ($5,800 DK/ $7,000FD)

 

3) DFS Defenseman: Alexander Edler  ($5,300 DK / $4,500 FD)

We have been on Edler the past few Vancouver slates and he has been as active as can be so there is no reason to stop rolling the dice on him now. He has now had three straight double-digit DK performances and is averaging over eight peripheral stats per game over that stretch which is ideal for your cash game lineups.

Other Defenseman Plays: 

  • Ryan Pulock ($5,200 DK/ $4,800 FD)
  • Shea Theodore ($6,200 DK/ $6,400 FD)

 

4) DFS Goalie: Robin Lehner  ($8,200 DK/ $8,400 FD)

You will need to check before roster lock but we will trust the Vegas odds and go with the largest favorite on the slate which is Vegas. Lehner was roughed up in his previous start as he allowed four goals on 26 shots which was the complete opposite performance that he had during the first game of this series. Fleury could be given a chance to start this game and the Golden Knights will need a big performance from whoever tends the net since they could be down 2-1 if they have another poor outing tonight.

 

DFS Value Plays

DFS Value Plays: Center

  • J.G. Pageau ($4,700 DK/ $4,900FD)
  • Paul Stastny ($3,800 DK/ $4,600 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Wing

  • Tyler Toffoli ($4,700 DK/ $5,600 FD)
  • Alex Tuch ($4,200 DK/ $4,500 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Defensemen

  • Alec Martinez ($4,200 DK/ $3,800 FD)
  • Troy Stetcher ($3,000 DK/ $3,800 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Goalie

  • Semyon Varlamov/ Thomas Greiss

 

Top Team and Line DFS Stacks

Hockey is finally coming back this weekend after a short break and the same thoughts will carry over from the slate that didn't play on Thursday. For the main slates on both sites, it looks like they are featuring two-games while there is an option to play all day long on DK.

Boston plays host to Tampa Bay as they are down 2-1 in their series with a pivotal game 4 occurring early this afternoon. The Lightning went off for seven goals which is shocking given how sound defensively Boston usually is. When recapping the game, the biggest takeaway early on was the time spent on the powerplay for the Lightning. They were able to record three powerplay goals in the first two periods and they really unloaded as they scored four total goals in the second period alone. The depth for the Lightning played really well as their Coleman line generated six high-danger opportunities throughout the game and were able to pick on the second line of the Bruins. Both top lines played well from a corsi standpoint and the Bergeron line generated five scoring chances throughout the game.  This should a competitive game and I am sure people will chase this game since it is the early game (people always love having exposure to the earliest game on the slate) and also for the seven-point outing that the Lightning had last game.

The Flyers finally woke up from their offensive slump and was able to squeak out a 4-3 victory but the Islanders showed grit and determination as they fought back from a 3-0 deficit to force overtime. The Islanders' best line throughout the first two games has been their second line as they have posted positive corsi numbers in both games while leading the team with 16 total scoring chances. Since Philly had the line matching advantage, the Islanders should control the matchups which should give them the edge from a  matchup standpoint.

From the game yesterday, Philly had their Hayes line match with the Barzal line of the Islanders while the Couturier line of Philly matched up with the Nelson line for New York. This looks as if it could be swapped for this game which means the top line of New York could be in a better spot from a line stacking standpoint. The Flyers top line has done a great job of controlling the puck but is allowing 15.2 high danger chances per 60 minutes of ice time so far in their series against the Islanders. This bodes well for Barzal and company as they have a rate of 17 high-danger opportunities per 60 minutes of ice time against the Flyers in the playoffs.

Vegas was really disappointing in game 2 of their series with the Canucks and with Vancouver gaining the line matching advantage, Vegas needs to have a strong performance to make up the fact that they lost a game where they were considered to be the home team. The top line for Vegas was extremely dominant as they posted a 72 corsi and generated 13 scoring chances in game 2 but the main difference between the first and second game was how Vancouver mixed their lines up and threw Pettersson down on the second line with Toffoli and Pearson. This group was matched with the Stastny line and shut them down which really hindered the depth of the Golden Knights. Stastny and company were only able to generate a 41 corsi and three scoring chances while they ended up allowing six scoring chances and four high-danger opportunities.

With Vancouver being the home team, it wouldn't surprise us to see them flip the line matching and have the Pettersson line stay with the Karlsson line and have the Horvat line match with the Statsny line. With that being said, the Stastny line looks to be a much better play than they were in the first two games but still doesn't carry as much upside as the Karlssson line does. From Vancouver, the Pettersson line deserves some looks just based on how well they were able to generate chances while the Horvat line gets an easier overall matchup against the Stastny line. If you are looking to take down a big field tournament, Vancouver could be the team that helps you win it all based on lower ownership.

Top Stacks:

  • VGK1- Pacioretty, Karlsson, Stone
  • BOS1- Marchand, Bergeron, Pastrnak
  • TB1- Palat, Point, Kucherov
  • VGK2- Marchessault, Stastny, Smith
  • NYI1- Lee, Barzal, Eberle
  • NYI2- Beauvillier, Nelson, Bailey
  • VAN1- Miller-Horvat- Boeser
  • VAN2- Pearson, Pettersson, Toffoli

Value  Stacks:

  • VGK3- Cousins, Roy, Tuch
  • TB1- Goodrow, Gourde, Coleman
  • PHI2- Farabee, Hayes, Konecny

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FanDuel, DraftKings NHL DFS Lineup Picks (8/29/20): Daily Fantasy Hockey Advice

Saturday features a two-game main slate which starts at 7:00 pm ET for DraftKings and FanDuel with the Philadelphia Flyers facing off versus the New York Islanders. The nightcap features the Vegas Golden Knights clashing against the Vancouver Canucks. Please note that these teams have had two extra days of rest due to the NHL players canceling the games Thursday and Friday night. 

Remember, when looking around for plays, an over/under of 6 dictates offense, but an over/under of 5 or sometimes 5.5 tilts towards the goalies. There are several games at 6.5, as that has become the new norm in hockey now.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy hockey lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on 8/29/20. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @ChrisWasselDFS. Let's get to it, shall we?

 

DFS Forwards to Consider

Elias Pettersson - C, VGK vs VAN (FD - $7,300, DK - $6,600)

Pettersson's speed makes up for the fact that his line just cannot hold up against the Vegas top line but for several moments of time. Those moments often produce results though. Game 2 was no exception. Pettersson only had three scoring chances and all they led to points for the center. He had three shots on goal as well. It is just one of those things where the forward makes the most of his opportunities. That is a huge part of why Vancouver's PDO is so high currently.

Some other choices might include Sean Couturier and even Kevin Hayes. Also, do watch the Vegas middle six. Something tells me, Vegas bounces back a bit tonight.

Mark Stone - W, VGK vs VAN (FD - $7,300, DK - $6,400)

The forward remains vital and on the Vegas top power play unit which could be lethal against a penalty kill ranked in the bottom third. Stone scored a few goals in the opening round and enjoyed some nice efforts against the Chicago Blackhawks. Stone and Vegas need to get off to a fast start. That start begins with Stone and Max Pacioretty. While Pacioretty has scored in three straight games, Stone has sputtered a bit. This doesn't expect to continue.

Also, Consider:

It is a prudent idea to go exploring for more secondary scoring on Thursday. With just two games, searching for differences is paramount.

Exploring the second and third lines this time of year has to be done more than the top power-play units, etc. Typically, games feature less penalties on average as the playoffs move along. Even strength play develops more and more importance. Finally, look at players like Tyler Motte even. Then, there exists the Tanner Pearson's and Tyler Toffoli's of the world too. That Philadelphia line two stack is not too far fetched along with a side order of value defensemen.

 

DFS Defenders to Consider

Shea Theodore - D, VGK vs VAN (FD - $6,400, DK - $6,200)

This is a solid option with Theodore up against a yes, porous defense. Vancouver, behind Jacob Markstrom did keep things mostly under control even when the ice tilted. Theodore is one of those players that is a sustained threat for years to come. Theodore is going up against one of the worst penalty kills in hockey.

His floor is a bit low normally but lately that has not been the case. In his last game, he had several shots and a couple blocks. Theodore is a bit of a floor risk but that is okay when you have four assists in the last couple contests and several posts hit too.

Alex Edler - D, VAN vs VGK (FD - $4,500, DK - $5,300)

Easily, this boils down to the floor potential of Edler versus the offensive upside of Quinn Hughes. With Vegas expected to compile 35-40+ shots again tonight, taking advantage of Edler one more time is prudent. His floor is higher and has even contributed offensively the past couple games too. That is a huge bonus. Even his DraftKings price is still a hair below market average.

With value and punt defensemen, one may have to dig slightly deeper than usual. Yes, taking a shot at players like Adam Pelech and Nick Leddy are not bad choices.

 

DFS Goalie to Consider

Jacob Markstrom - G, VAN vs VGK  (FD - $7,400, DK - $7,300)

This is all about taking a goalie most likely to start and that will be Markstrom. It appears likely Semyon Varlamov will face Carter Hart but Markstrom has some intriguing qualities.

For DraftKings, choosing Markstrom leads itself to the possibility of the 35-save bonus. He nearly hit it in Game 1 and smashed through it in Game 2. That bonus is like getting a goalie win. So even if Markstrom does not win on Saturday, the points may just be enough.

For FanDuel, if one feels a little squeamish on Markstrom, then wait to see who starts for Vegas or maybe risk Carter Hart one more time. Hart is due for one of those gems if short-term history is accurate.

 

We will be in the RotoBaller Premium Slack Chat throughout the afternoon and evening.

Also, if there are any other questions, the expert chat will be open throughout the weekend. Good luck today. There will be some advice on the afternoon game on social media as well.

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FanDuel, DraftKings NHL DFS Lineup Picks (8/27/20): Daily Fantasy Hockey Advice

Thursday features a two-game main slate which starts at 7:00 pm ET for DraftKings and FanDuel with the Philadelphia Flyers facing off versus the New York Islanders. The nightcap features the Vegas Golden Knights clashing against the Vancouver Canucks.

Remember, when looking around for plays, an over/under of 6 dictates offense, but an over/under of 5 or sometimes 5.5 tilts towards the goalies. There are several games at 6.5, as that has become the new norm in hockey now.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy hockey lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on 8/27/20. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @ChrisWasselDFS. Let's get to it, shall we?

 

DFS Forwards to Consider

Elias Pettersson - C, TAM vs BOS (FD - $7,300, DK - $6,800)

Pettersson's speed makes up for the fact that his line just cannot hold up against the Vegas top line but for several moments of time. Those moments often produce results though. Game 2 was no exception. Pettersson only had three scoring chances and all they led to points for the center. He had three shots on goal as well. It is just one of those things where the forward makes the most of his opportunities. That is a huge part of why Vancouver's PDO is so high currently.

Some other choices might include Sean Couturier and even Kevin Hayes. Also, do watch the Vegas middle six. Something tells me, Vegas bounces back a bit tonight.

Mark Stone - W, VGK vs VAN (FD - $7,300, DK - $6,700)

The forward remains vital and on the Vegas top power play unit which could be lethal against a penalty kill ranked in the bottom third. Stone scored a few goals in the opening round and enjoyed some nice efforts against the Chicago Blackhawks. Stone and Vegas need to get off to a fast start. That start begins with Stone and Max Pacioretty. While Pacioretty has scored in three straight games, Stone has sputtered a bit. This doesn't expect to continue.

Also, Consider:

It is a prudent idea to go exploring for more secondary scoring on Thursday. With just two games, searching for differences is paramount.

Exploring the second and third lines this time of year has to be done more than the top power-play units, etc. Typically, games feature less penalties on average as the playoffs move along. Even strength play develops more and more importance. Finally, look at players like Tyler Motte even. Then, there exists the Tanner Pearson's of the world too. That Phialdelphia line two stack is not too far fetched along with a side order of value defensemen.

 

DFS Defenders to Consider

Shea Theodore - D, VGK vs VAN (FD - $6,400, DK - $6,200)

This is a solid option with Theodore up against a yes, porous defense. Vancouver, behind Jacob Markstrom did keep things mostly under control even when the ice tilted. Theodore is one of those players that is a sustained threat for years to come. Theodore is going up against one of the worst penalty kills in hockey.

His floor is a bit low normally but lately that has not been the case. In his last game, he had several shots and a couple blocks. Theodore is a bit of a floor risk but that is okay when you have four assists in the last couple contests and several posts hit too.

Alex Edler - D, VAN vs VGK (FD - $4,500, DK - $5,400)

Easily, this boils down to the floor potential of Edler versus the offensive upside of Quinn Hughes. With Vegas expected to compile 35-40+ shots again tonight, taking advantage of Edler one more time is prudent. His floor is higher and has even contributed offensively the past couple games too. That is a huge bonus. Even his DraftKings price is still a hair below market average.

With value and punt defensemen, one may have to dig slightly deeper than usual. Yes, taking a shot at players like Adam Pelech and Nick Leddy are not a bad choice.

 

DFS Goalie to Consider

Jacob Markstrom - G, VAN vs VGK  (FD - $7,400, DK - $7,400)

This is all about taking a goalie most likely to start and that will be Markstrom. At press time, no other goalie was confirmed because Philadelphia and New York are on the back end of a back to back. It appears likely Semyon Varlamov will face Carter Hart but Markstrom has some intriguing qualities.

For DraftKings, choosing Markstrom leads itself to the possibility of the 35-save bonus. He nearly hit it in Game 1 and smashed through it in Game 2. That bonus is like getting a goalie win. So even if Markstrom does not win on Thursday, the points may just be enough.

For FanDuel, if one feels a little squeamish on Markstrom, then wait to see who starts for Vegas or maybe risk Carter Hart one more time. Hart is due for one of those gems if short-term history is accurate.

We will be in the RotoBaller Premium Slack Chat throughout the afternoon and evening. Also, if there are any other questions, the expert chat will be open throughout Sunday. Good luck today. 

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NHL DFS Power Play for FanDuel, DraftKings: DFS Value Plays, Goalies Matrix, Stacks (8/27)

Welcome, RotoBallers. Hockey is one of my favorite sports to watch and play from a DFS perspective and I am thrilled to be covering this sport over at RotoBaller! As always, I will do my best to give you the stats and info you need to build the best lineups possible for your GPP and cash game NHL contests on DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you are new to playing NHL DFS, there are several things to know that will help you get caught up to speed. The first thing to know is that stacking lines is important and correlating your plays can pay off. In hockey, if someone scores a goal, there's a good chance that some on his team will receive an assist on that goal, so you want to build lineups around players skating together. The second thing is to make sure you look at the two sites and see the different ways to obtain points. On DraftKings, you get bonus points for 5+ shots or 3+ blocked shots so someone like Alex Ovechkin who is a volume shooter tends to be a better play there just because he can rack up additional points based on his style of play.

Today I'll be bringing you my NHL lineup picks, analysis and advice for NHL DFS contests on DraftKings for Thursday, August 27th, 2020 at 7:00 PM. Be sure to also check out our awesome NHL tools including our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, Projections, and DFS Cheat Sheets! Feel free to follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks as I am happy to engage with readers and try to answer your questions. Good luck RotoBallers!

 

NHL DFS Analysis and Picks for 8/27

  • Philadelphia Flyers (-112) vs. New York Islanders (-104)
  • Vegas Golden Knights (-186) vs. Vancouver Canucks (+160)

 

NHL DFS Goalie Analysis Matrix

Team Rank GA Rank SA Rank GF Rank SF Total
Vegas 12 24 24 7 19.5
NY Islanders 4 23 22 13 14.5
Vancouver 9 11 20 22 12.75
Philadelphia 3 21 13 18 14.75

The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents that they are facing every slate so this is always slate specific.

Matchup PP% Opp PK %
Philadelphia 19 8
New York 10 6
Vegas 7 15
Vancouver 6 7

 

The Power Play matrix is to help locate matchups that can be exploited should there be an odd-man advantage during the game. Just like the goalie matrix above, the teams are matched up based on their own power play percentage rank and their opponent's penalty kill percentage. When looking at this matrix, you will want to look for teams that succeed in the power play rank while their opponent has a poor penalty kill rank. The matrix above takes the averages of four categories and creates a rating scale to help you decide which goalies to use, which goalies to target against, and conversely which teams could be viable from a stacking standpoint. It looks at four categories: Goals Allowed (GA), Shots Allowed (SA), Goals For (GF), Shots For (SF). The higher the overall rating in the last column indicates that it is a more dangerous matchup for that team's goalie while it might be beneficial to stack against him. I match and sync this every day to the actual opponents to ensure we get the correct data for each slate!

 

NHL DFS Core Four 

The Core 4 picks are to help you construct your cash game lineups while also giving you plays that you can use and build around in GPPs. Stacking is critical in NHL DFS so you might want to pair these suggestions with a linemate or two, especially when building your tournament lineups.

 

1) DFS Center: William Karlsson ($5,900 DK/ $5,700 FD)

The center position is a tad tough today as all of the centers could be viable but they also offer somewhat low floors at times. Karlsson is arguably the safest choice since he will be skating on the best line of the night. He has recorded three points in his last four games played and has reached double-digit DK points in two of those contests.

Other Top Center Plays: 

  • Mathew Barzal ($6,900 DK/ $6,500 FD)
  • Kevin Hayes ($5,400 DK/ $5,300 FD)

 

2) DFS Winger: Max Pacioretty ($7,000 DK/ $7,800 FD)

This is one of the easier decisions on the slate with how well Pacioretty has been playing. He has continued his hot streak of recording a point in three straight games and has now taken 20 shots over his last four games played. Even though he is the highest priced winger on the slate, he offers upside that is hard to match so he is as close to a lock button as there is on this slate.

Other Top Winger Plays: 

  • Tyler Toffoli ($5,500 DK/ $5,600 FD)
  • Anders Lee ($6,200 DK/ $6,700 FD)

 

3) DFS Defenseman: Alexander Edler  ($5,400 DK / $4,500 FD)

We have been on Edler the past few Vancouver slates and he has been as active as can be so there is no reason to stop rolling the dice on him now. He has now had three straight double-digit DK performances and is averaging over eight peripheral stats per game over that stretch which is ideal for your cash game lineups.

Other Defenseman Plays: 

  • Ryan Pulock ($5,700 DK/ $5,200 FD)
  • Shea Theodore ($6,200 DK/ $6,400 FD)

 

4) DFS Goalie: Robin Lehner  ($8,000 DK/ $8,200 FD)

You will need to check before roster lock but we will trust the Vegas odds and go with the largest favorite on the slate which is Vegas. Lehner was roughed up in his previous start as he allowed four goals on 26 shots which was the complete opposite performance that he had during the first game of this series. Fleury could be given a chance to start this game and the Golden Knights will need a big performance from whoever tends the net since they could be down 2-1 if they have another poor outing tonight.

 

Value Plays

 

DFS Value Plays: Center

  • J.G. Pageau ($4,900 DK/ $4,800 FD)
  • Paul Stastny ($4,400 DK/ $4,600 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Wing

  • Tanner Pearson ($4,500 DK/ $4,400 FD)
  • Alex Tuch ($4,200 DK/ $4,500 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Defensemen

  • Alec Martinez ($4,200 DK/ $3,800 FD)
  • Troy Stetcher ($3,200 DK/ $3,800 FD)

 

DFS Value Plays: Goalie

  • Semyon Varlamov/ Thomas Greiss

 

Top Team and Line DFS Stacks

With this being a two-gamer, it makes it a tad tougher from a roster construction standpoint in tournaments. We can anticipate Vegas being the high-owned team with the Flyers and Islanders being somewhat split. Vancouver will be the least owned team based on the Vegas odds so if you are in a large tournament, getting some shares of Vancouver would not be a bad idea especially if they go off and score five goals as they did in their previous game.

The Flyers finally woke up from their offensive slump and was able to squeak out a 4-3 victory but the Islanders showed grit and determination as they fought back from a 3-0 deficit to force overtime. The Islanders' best line throughout the first two games has been their second line as they have posted positive corsi numbers in both games while leading the team with 16 total scoring chances. Since Philly had the line matching advantage, the Islanders should control the matchups which should give them the edge from a  matchup standpoint.

From the game yesterday, Philly had their Hayes line match with the Barzal line of the Islanders while the Couturier line of Philly matched up with the Nelson line for New York. This looks as if it could be swapped for this game which means the top line of New York could be in a better spot from a line stacking standpoint. The Flyers top line has done a great job of controlling the puck but is allowing 15.2 high danger chances per 60 minutes of ice time so far in their series against the Islanders. This bodes well for Barzal and company as they have a rate of 17 high-danger opportunities per 60 minutes of ice time against the Flyers in the playoffs.

Vegas was really disappointing in game 2 of their series with the Canucks and with Vancouver gaining the line matching advantage, Vegas needs to have a strong performance to make up the fact that they lost a game where they were considered to be the home team. The top line for Vegas was extremely dominant as they posted a 72 corsi and generated 13 scoring chances in game 2 but the main difference between the first and second game was how Vancouver mixed their lines up and threw Pettersson down on the second line with Toffoli and Pearson. This group was matched with the Stastny line and shut them down which really hindered the depth of the Golden Knights. Stastny and company were only able to generate a 41 corsi and three scoring chances while they ended up allowing six scoring chances and four high-danger opportunities.

With Vancouver being the home team, it wouldn't surprise us to see them flip the line matching and have the Pettersson line stay with the Karlsson line and have the Horvat line match with the Statsny line. With that being said, the Stastny line looks to be a much better play than they were in the first two games but still doesn't carry as much upside as the Karlssson line does. From Vancouver, the Pettersson line deserves some looks just based on how well they were able to generate chances while the Horvat line gets an easier overall matchup against the Stastny line. If you are looking to take down a big field tournament, Vancouver could be the team that helps you win it all based on lower ownership.

Top Stacks:

  • VGK1- Pacioretty, Karlsson, Stone
  • VGK2- Marchessault, Stastny, Smith
  • NYI1- Lee, Barzal, Eberle
  • NYI2- Beauvillier, Nelson, Bailey
  • VAN1- Miller-Horvat- Boeser
  • VAN2- Pearson, Pettersson, Toffoli

Value  Stacks:

  • VGK3- Cousins, Roy, Tuch
  • PHI2- Farabee, Hayes, Konecny

 

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