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Are You For Real? Surprising MLB Pitcher Starts from Week 23
Using Hard Hit Rates to Win Your Fantasy Baseball League
Welcome to this little crash course on hard hit rates. Use this helpful tool in the battle for fantasy baseball supremacy. Hard hit rate relates to several things: the velocity at which a baseball leaves the bat after contact is made, the hang time, the angle at which it is hit, amongst others involved in an algorithm... Read More
RotoBaller Writers' League: Pros vs. Joes draft recap
The first RotoBaller Pros vs. Joes league drafted Thursday night with a mix of self-proclaimed "expert" writers and some lucky readers who were ready to put their advice to good use. The league was set to standard 5x5 rotisserie rules, with the following roster positions: 2 C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, 5 OF, Util, 8 P,... Read More
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Early Strategy and Tips: For Every J.D. Martinez There Are 12 Emilio Bonifacios
This article first appeared on the Metro news publication. With Opening Day mercifully arriving yesterday, all leagues have held their drafts. The only thing left to do, of course, is play the games. Here are a few tips to help you navigate the waters in the early going. Early Fantasy Baseball Strategy and Tips DO:... Read More
Auction Musings: RotoBaller Writers' League Draft
The RotoBaller writers’ league conducted its draft on Thursday night. It was my final draft of 2016, and I realized in the lead-up to the event that it was the my only auction that didn’t involve keeper considerations. This meant two things – 1) the draft didn’t conclude until after 1:00 a.m., leaving me bleary-eyed... Read More
Breaking Down the RotoBaller Writers League Auction Draft
We here at RotoBaller HQ held our big writers’ league auction draft last night with some of the finest in the biz. We ran a 12 team roto league with 2 catchers, a CI and MI, 5 OFs, 8 P slots, and 5 bench. The auction budget was $260. Here are the results. Here’s the... Read More
Nick Mariano's Heavily Owned Players in 2016
Alright folks, the big week before Opening Day is upon us and that means that draft lobbies are popping off like Who Let the Dogs Out just came on at a party. What? That’s not a thing? Don’t be ridiculous. I have plenty of teams already with a few more to be drafted and figured... Read More
Reliever Values in Saves+Holds Leagues
Ah, the saves+holds league. Welcome to a progressive community that embraces relief pitchers of all types, not just those fortunate few who selfishly hoard the game’s final outs. Here, players like Darren O'Day and Andrew Miller can flourish. Here, you need not worry about role stifling Dellin Betances’ value or (to use an example from... Read More
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Industry Mock Draft Reactions: Steals of the Draft
Welcome to the third installment of breaking down the industry mock draft that we hosted last Thursday. Yup, we’re getting into the meat of things by asking everyone who they thought the steal of the draft was. As is tradition, I’ll be following everyone’s thoughts with a brief commentary of my own because it’s my... Read More
Industry Mock Draft Reactions: Reaches of the Draft
Now we find ourselves with the final question to be answered regarding the industry mock draft that we hosted last Thursday. Now we’re looking at those go-go-gadget picks, asking everyone who they thought the reach of the draft was. As is tradition, I’ll be following everyone’s thoughts with a brief commentary of my own because... Read More
Industry Mock Draft Reactions: Most Regrettable Pick?
Back again with more insight into the industry mock draft that took place last Thursday. This time we’re looking at the picks that each of us wished we could give the ol’ Men in Black memory wipe to everyone else. Again, I’ll be following everyone’s thoughts with a brief commentary of my own because it’s... Read More
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Finding Draft Sleepers & Undervalued ADP Draft Picks
Premium Subscribers can click here to access the full version of the ADP Draft Sleepers Tool. Try The ADP Draft Sleepers Tool 2017 draft season is over :(, but check out our other premium offerings.
Industry Mock Draft Reactions: Which Pick Were You Most Proud Of?
So as you may or may not know, we here at RotoBaller hosted an industry mock draft last Thursday night with some dapper gents. We are gathered here today on this webpage for part one of the reactions to the draft. Outside of discussing the awesomeness that is Jung Ho Kang’s tattoo of himself, we... Read More
Industry Mock: Rapid Reactions and Lessons Learned
On Thursday night we at RotoBaller hosted an industry mock draft with some cool people from RotoGraphs, the NY Post, BaseballHQ, RotoExperts, SportingNews, Baseball Prospectus, TheFantasyFix, We Talk Fantasy Sports, and of course we had our own cohort of RotoBaller reps. There will more on the draft as a whole, be on the lookout for... Read More
Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball Part 10: Minor League Stats
Once you've grown accustomed to having advanced tools to help make fantasy decisions, it can be disorientating to be without them. Prospects are increasingly becoming a focal point in both real and fantasy baseball, but the minors simply do not have all of the data available for MLB players. For example, advanced plate discipline stats,... Read More
Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball Part 9: PITCHf/x
One of the most fundamental questions in fantasy sports is if a player's current performance is sustainable. PITCHf/x is a publicly available pitch tracking system that provides a lot of different data to help fantasy owners make this determination for mound breakouts and busts alike. The first data point, and the easiest to understand, is... Read More
Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball Part 8: Batted Ball Distribution for Pitchers
The league average batted ball distribution in 2015 was 20.9% liners, 45.3% grounders and 33.8% flies. Last time, we took a brief look at how pitchers may specialize in either grounders or fly balls. Fly ball pitchers have a BABIP advantage over their ground ball-inducing counterparts, since fly balls (.129 BABIP in 2015) consistently have... Read More
Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball Part 7: BABIP for Pitchers
While FIP is a useful tool to predict a pitcher's future ERA performance, fantasy owners should remember that ERA, not FIP, is what really matters in most formats. This means that we are interested in the "luck" that separates the two statistics. Some of this is unpredictable, but we can and should predict some of... Read More
ADP Draft Sleepers Tool: Find Draft Day Gems
RotoBaller Premium Subscribers can click here to access the ADP Draft Sleepers Tool. RotoBaller’s ADP Draft Sleepers Tool is a powerful yet simple tool that can help you unearth fantasy baseball gems on draft day. It's a sleek tool that's easy to use, and will have a huge effect on your draft selections and help you... Read More
Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball Part 6: FIP and xFIP
The first advanced pitching stat most fantasy owners encounter is FIP. FIP stands for Fielding Independent Pitching, and attempts to measure a pitcher's actual skill instead of the effects of luck or his supporting cast. According to the DIPS theory that the metric is based upon, pitchers control only Ks, BBs (and HBP) and home... Read More
Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball Part 5: Lineups, Runs and RBI
To this point, this column has focused exclusively on trying to predict and validate HRs and batting average. There is a reason for this--modern sabermetrics tend to reject the idea of a "clutch RBI guy" and therefore do not bother inventing predictive metrics for it. Runs and RBI are team dependent stats, and are unhelpful... Read More
Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball Part 4: Plate Discipline for Hitters
No matter how high a particular player's BABIP may be, his average will be mediocre at best if he strikes out too much. This is why fantasy owners have known for years that players like Adam Dunn, Mark Reynolds, and Chris Davis are potential drains on a fantasy team's batting average. Furthermore, players that whiff... Read More
Early Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft: Maneuvering the Middle Rounds
Here are the usual suspects (in draft order): Jacob Bogardus, Brad Johnson, Alex Brock, Harris Yudin, Max Petrie, Josh Leonard, Ross Williamson, Andrew Miller (from The Fantasy Fix), Nick Mariano (myself), Tom Bellucco, Brian Dunshee (also from The Fantasy Fix), and Edward Suletan. Reminder - this was a traditional 5x5 redraft 23 round mock with... Read More
Early Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft: Points of Contention from Rounds 5-7
Here are the usual suspects (in draft order): Jacob Bogardus, Brad Johnson, Alex Brock, Harris Yudin, Max Petrie, Josh Leonard, Ross Williamson, Andrew Miller (from The Fantasy Fix), Nick Mariano (myself), Tom Bellucco, Brian Dunshee (also from The Fantasy Fix), and Edward Suletan. Reminder: This is a traditional 5x5 redraft 23 round mock with 2... Read More
Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball Part 3: Batted Ball Distribution
In the first post of this series, I referenced that Chris Davis's BABIP is not explained by that post alone, and that we would consider him again in the future. He was not considered in Part 2. He will be considered here. Davis managed an above average overall BABIP of .319 in 2015, despite the... Read More
Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball Part 2: HR/FB for Hitters
Using BABIP to predict a player's batting average is great. Average is a category in many league formats, and every hit is an opportunity to steal a base or score a run. But most owners find the long ball sexier. Every HR comes with a guaranteed run scored and at least one RBI--and maybe more.... Read More
Early Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft: The Fourth Round Pitching Run
The lineup (in draft order): Jacob Bogardus, Brad Johnson, Alex Brock, Harris Yudin, Max Petrie, Josh Leonard, Ross Williamson, Andrew Miller (from The Fantasy Fix), Nick Mariano (myself), Tom Bellucco, Brian Dunshee (also from The Fantasy Fix), and Edward Suletan. We put together a traditional 5x5 redraft 23 round mock with 2 catchers, a corner... Read More
Early Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft: Third Round Breakdown
The lineup (in draft order): Jacob Bogardus, Brad Johnson, Alex Brock, Harris Yudin, Max Petrie, Josh Leonard, Ross Williamson, Andrew Miller (from The Fantasy Fix), Nick Mariano (myself), Tom Bellucco, Brian Dunshee (also from The Fantasy Fix), and Edward Suletan. Scroll to the bottom for an image of the draftboard. We put together a traditional 5x5... Read More
Early Mock Draft 2016: Analyzing the Second Round
If you haven't read the first round analysis yet, you should definitely do that! Click that and then come right back here. I'll know. For those of you that want to view the draft board in all of it's glory, here it is: As a reminder, here's the lineup: Jacob Bogardus, Brad Johnson, Alex Brock,... Read More
Early 2016 Mock Draft: Analyzing the First Round
Hey everyone, we here at RotoBaller just couldn’t wait any longer. We ran our first fantasy baseball mock draft this week because the fiending is real. A special thanks to Andrew and Brian who joined us from The Fantasy Fix. The lineup (in draft order): Jacob Bogardus, Brad Johnson, Alex Brock, Harris Yudin, Max Petrie,... Read More
Art of the Deal: Helping Your Fantasy Baseball Team Through Trades
The Art Of The Fantasy Baseball Trade Negotiation You’ve chosen your team but your draft didn’t go exactly as you had planned. Maybe someone ignited a run for starting pitching earlier than you had anticipated and you got caught with your knickers down. You failed to react quickly enough and now you are stuck... Read More
