RADIO
When working your way through a fantasy football draft, it is going to be crucial to get a few values into your roster.
This helps build a strong roster, as you do not want to be drafting a player if you can get their production two-to-three rounds later. The average draft position (ADP) of the players below fall in line with where they land in the consensus fantasy football rankings as well. This means they can certainly be bargains within your fantasy football draft.
The ADP numbers below are based on 12-team PPR leagues.
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Five Fantasy Football ADP Values
Running back is always an interesting position because we are either pressed to draft them early or forced to take them later on. David Johnson has an ADP of 41.2 and is being taken as the 21st RB off the board in most cases. Houston has been clear in using their top backs over the last few seasons as Lamar Miller and Carlos Hyde both handled a heavy workload. Hyde finished as an RB23 last season in PPR, and that is with him just catching ten balls. Johnson is a far better receiving back and would tack on more in that department. Miller finished RB22 in PPR back in 2018 and RB14 in 2017. Once again, without much in the passing game. Duke Johnson has not had a major impact on killing the fantasy value for Houston's top backs.
Johnson makes perfect sense for those looking to load up at other positions within the first three rounds. While it will be tough for him to crack that top ten list, he is easily somebody who can finish in the 11-15 range and is being drafted as RB21. If you are looking late in drafts, Zack Moss has an ADP of 123.1. Yes, Devin Singletary is going to get his touches, but this is looking like a split workload, and I prefer the latter in ADP. Frank Gore had 166 rushing attempts, and this is still going to be a more run-heavy team. Moss has a better chance of getting goal-line touches over the smaller Singletary. While we won't put a ton of stock into the offseason praise, Moss is clearing going to be involved in this offense. Taking a shot on Moss towards the later rounds is well worth it.
Robert Woods is coming off a WR21 season where he had just three total touchdowns on 139 targets and 90 receptions. Woods is due for positive touchdown regression, especially in a high-volume passing attack. Jared Goff was tied with Jameis Winston for pass attempts last season, and Woods ranked 8th in total targets among wide receivers. There isn't any reason to believe this type of volume will go down for Woods. The backfield is somewhat of a mystery, and the defense slipped a bit last year. This is also going to be a team that plays quick. The volume for Woods is what I love most, and he has a great chance to finish as a WR1.
The Detroit Lions were one of the better fantasy offenses early on when Matthew Stafford was healthy. Stafford has been one of the more durable quarterbacks in the game, and this is more of a blip on the radar compared being a long term issue. Detroit allowed 26.4 points per game last season and have one of the poorer defenses in the NFL. There are going to be plenty of shootouts for Detroit this season. Stafford had 2,500 passing yards and 19 touchdowns at the halfway point last season before missing the rest of the year. He has a great supporting cast with Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones, while TJ Hockenson is a name to watch for a year-two leap. Stafford is sitting outside the top ten in quarterbacks drafted, yet I like him over Aaron Rodgers and Carson Wentz who are going before him.
Hayden Hurst is one of the many players that were traded over the offseason. He landed himself in Atlanta after they let Austin Hooper walk in free agency. Hurst as an ADP of 113.5, which is very close to Hooper. Hurst is going behind a spotty Jared Cook, Rob Gronkowski, and Tyler Higbee. I rather sit back a few rounds to grab Hurst out of these names. Hurst jumps into a pass-heavy Atlanta offense which is the opposite from his time in Baltimore. He is going to be an every-down tight end and have minimal focus on him with Calvin Ridley and Julio Jones. Atlanta has had a top ten scoring tight end in the last two seasons, and Hurst can come in and make it three in a row. Hurst can certainly finish just outside those major top five names and be a steal for your fantasy drafts.
