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RotoBaller PGA: One And Done Staff Picks - BMW Championship


Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud of our weekly PGA “One and Done” column. In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

It was a sleepy week for the boys and I at the Northern Trust, as we failed to get much going with our selections in Boston. Spencer's homeboy Jason Day ejected on Friday and failed to make the weekend, while Josh and I didn't fare much better with our selections of Adam Scott and Patrick Reed. So there wasn't a lot of movement in our OAD standings as we head to Olympia Fields for the second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs.

There are only 70 players in the field for the BMW Championship, but there is no shortage of elite options available, so let's see who the boys will be rolling with at the first FedExCup playoff start.

Editor's Note: Golf is back! Come join the fun and win big with RotoBaller. Get our full-season PGA and DFS Premium Pass for 50% off! Our exclusive DFS Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, DFS Projections and weekly DFS/betting articles! Sign Up Now!

 

One And Done Staff Picks Overview

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud to announce the weekly PGA “One and Done” column will be back for a second season.

In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and FanDuel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course that highlights the best fits for the week's course. And you can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

 

One and Done Selections - BMW Championship

Joe Nicely - Scottie Scheffler

Alternate - Matthew Wolff

I carved out a small lead in this contest by being aggressive in a couple of key spots, with Daniel Berger at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude and Collin Morikawa at the PGA Championship being two that especially stand out. There are several "safe" options available to me this week at the BMW Championship, but I'm going to continue going with my gut and attempt to attack this OAD contest without fear.

With that attitude in mind, I landed on Scottie Scheffler this week at Olympia Fields. The 24-year-old doesn't have the experience in these "big" events that I would normally target, but a round of 59 en route to a T4 finish in last week's Northern Trust illustrates that he certainly has the talent needed to compete and a T4 on the strength of a gritty final round a couple of weeks ago at the PGA Championship shows that he has the mental toughness needed to handle pressure situations.

There's some risk with Scheffler, as he can be volatile, but with the no-cut nature of this week's event I want a player that has the ability to post low scores on this long Olympia Fields layout and he ranks fourth in this elite field in Birdies Gained over his last 12 rounds, while gaining strokes T2G in four straight starts.

Yearly Earnings - $5,516,475

Yearly Cuts Made - 18/22

 

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Like what you read today? You can show your support for Joe by using promo code NICE when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer!

 

Spencer Aguiar - Tiger Woods

Alternate - Jon Rahm

My chances for victory are looking slim after Jason Day decided to go on an early vacation during last week's Northern Trust, and I am running out of time (and players) in my quest to mount a comeback. From a game theory perspective, I assume I have three more premier shots at a massive payday in Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm and Bryson DeChambeau. That doesn't mean I can't find additional purses elsewhere, but the main benefit for me is that I know I will get a free crack at the trio since Joe and Josh have used them earlier in the season. All of that is fine and dandy, but I am going to have to be extremely selective if I want to maximize my current paltry implied win percentage in this contest, which can be labeled somewhere between "longshot" and "forget about it."

I think there are a few routes I could take this weekend that would make logical sense. Scottie Scheffler and Viktor Hovland both have upside to yield a solid payday at the BMW Championship, or I could decide to go for the gusto right now and deploy Jon Rahm at a venue that should suit his game. All three of those options were firmly in play as directions I considered taking, but I have decided to go rogue and stalk my pray with the 'Big Cat' himself.

The thing about selecting Woods here is that we don't have many more opportunities to take the 82-time PGA Tour winner this season. Outside of the Masters, there is no guarantee of when we will see him in action again, and it could be difficult to get the 44-year-old in a situation where he isn't entering the event off of a multi-week absence. Woods' game has been a hot putter away from finding success the past two starts, and it shouldn't hurt matters that he needs a minimum of a top-six showing to have any chance at East Lake. I'd imagine Tiger wants to keep his season alive and build some momentum leading up to the final two majors of the year, and I believe we get whatever his best effort is in Illinois. This selection isn't for the faint of heart, but I need to take a leap of faith if I want to get myself back into the mix.

Yearly Earnings - $4,097,201

Yearly Cuts Made - 16/22

 

Josh Bennett - Collin Morikawa

Alternate - Daniel Berger

I have a lot of ground to make up in a short period of time, but I have some top dogs left still that hopefully can cut into this big deficit. This week ball-striking will be at a premium, especially off the tee, and there really hasn’t been a much better ball-striker this year than Morikawa. There is no need to be long on this golf course, the ball just has to be put in the correct places for a good look at the green. Morikawa is good enough off the tee to do that, and when you get the irons in his hand it’s lights out. The greens should have a little more California feel to them this week which he should be a little more comfortable on. Although I don’t usually dive too deeply into putting on different grass types, we know that Collin struggles putting so any tiny advantage on the greens for him just brings his potential that much higher. He also racks up birdies in bunches, so one bad day in the first two rounds won’t hurt him in a no-cut and he can easily get back into things with three really good rounds. Looking for him to get at least into the top 5 so I can fire off another big gun for the Tour Championship and get myself back in this thing.

Yearly Earnings - $3,455,243

Yearly Cuts Made - 18/22

 

Running Totals

Joe Nicely Spencer Aguiar Josh Bennett
Sony Open Webb Simpson $455,400 Abraham Ancer $27,390 Webb Simpson $455,400
American Express Sungjae Im $162,475 Paul Casey $63,399 Sungjae Im $162,475
Farmers Insurance Tiger Woods $181,875 Hideki Matsuyama $22,950 Jon Rahm $817,500
Waste Management Jon Rahm $170,768 Webb Simpson $1,314,000 Hideki Matsuyama $97,212
Pebble Beach Jason Day $382,200 Patrick Cantlay $181,350 Jason Day $382,200
Genesis Invitational Bubba Watson $0 Dustin Johnson $234,825 Dustin Johnson $234,825
WGC Mexico Dustin Johnson $45,500 Justin Thomas $320,667 Tommy Fleetwood $125,500
Puerto Rico Open Alex Noren $0 Jhonattan Vegas $75,750 Alex Noren $0
Honda Classic Tommy Fleetwood $483,000 Tommy Fleetwood $483,000 Louis Oosthuizen $0
Arnold Palmer Invitational Rory McIlroy $330,731 Tony FInau $0 Xander Schauffele $72,424
Charles Schwab Rickie Fowler $0 Matt Kuchar $0 Patrick Reed $243,750
RBC Heritage Matt Kuchar $25,205 Justin Rose $129,575 Kevin Kisner $0
Travelers Championship Bryson DeChambeau $233,470 Sungjae Im $16,872 Bryson DeChambeau $233,470
Rocket Mortgage Viktor Hovland $131,875 Patrick Reed $0 Viktor Hovland $131,875
Workday Hideki Matsuyama $59,830 Rickie Fowler $59,830 Justin Rose $0
Memorial Patrick Cantlay $51,925 Xander Schauffele $171,585 Patrick Cantlay $51,925
3M Open Sam Burns $34,577 Bubba Watson $0 Tony Finau $250,800
WGC-St.Jude Daniel Berger $695,000 Collin Morikawa $106,200 Rory McIlroy $46,500
Barracuda Ryan Moore $69,475 Sam Burns $0 Denny McCarthy $20,883
PGA Championship Collin Morikawa $1,980,000 Daniel Berger $192,208 Brooks Koepka $69,500
Wyndham Championship Justin Rose $0 Billy Horschel $697,600 Paul Casey $37,440
Northern Trust Patrick Reed $23,169 Jason Day $0 Adam Scott $21,565

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big in 2020.



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Dissecting Contact Quality In Search Of Fantasy Bargains

Of the 1,015 hitters sampled(1) between 2015 and 2019, there were only 14 instances of hitters making more productive contact against pitches outside of the strike zone than against pitches inside of the strike zone based on xwOBAcon. Based on the same sample, the average hitter was a whopping .116 points better against pitches inside... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 23rd, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 23rd, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Lineup Order Risers and Fallers: AL West 2020 Review

It’s the offseason and there are about to be a bunch of moving parts. This allows for speculation in terms of players gaining or losing playing time, moving up or down a batting order and much more. The idea here is to highlight some lineup situations for each team and some potential winners or losers... Read More


2021 1st & 2nd Year Players with James Anderson - Benched with Bubba (Episode 317)

Bubba (@bdentrek) is joined by James Anderson (@RealJRAnderson) on episode 317. The guys will go over 30+ first and second-year players. They will discuss their current ADP's in the 2 Early Mocks, what to expect of the players in 2021, and much more. They also go over some listener questions, compare Juan Soto to Mike... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 21st, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 21st, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 20th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 20th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Bubba and Bat Flip 54: 2 Early Mocks APD Player Debates - Benched with Bubba (Episode 316)

Bubba (@bdentrek) is joined by Bat Flip Crazy (@BatFlipCrazy) to take a deeper look at the 2 Early Mocks ADP. They go over some of the positions and look at players with similar ADPs and debate. Going around the diamond discussing some players people are high on and some they are down on with a... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 18th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 18th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 17th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 17th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


2021 Early Mock ADP Values & Reaches: WPC+ Videocast

Pierre Camus and Nicklaus Gaut prepare for the 2021 fantasy baseball season with a look at early mock draft results from the RotoBaller Expert mock. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller... Read More


Statcast Season Review: 2020 Barrel Leaders (Hitters)

The 2020 MLB season will always be one for the record books, even if everything that took place will have multiple asterisks attached to it. Evaluating Statcast numbers is a nice way to find hot and cold hitters, as well as underachievers and overachievers. Now that the regular season is over, let's reflect on the... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 16th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 16th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 15th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 15th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Daily MLB Injury Roundup for October 14th, 2020

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for October 14th, 2020. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Bubba and Bat Flip 53: 2 Early Mocks APD Trends & More - Benched with Bubba (Episode 315)

Bubba (@bdentrek) is joined by Bat Flip Crazy (@BatFlipCrazy) to take a deeper look at the 2 Early Mocks ADP. They dig into trends, some interesting risers/fallers, and much more. They also go over some listener questions at the end to keep the Fantasy Baseball information coming even in the offseason. Be sure to subscribe... Read More