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Updated Week 7 PPR Rankings (Top 400)

Welcome to Week 7 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 7 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates:

These rankings are a consensus from four of our lead fantasy football columnists - Nick MarianoPierre Camus, Brandon Murchison, Scott Engel, and Dominick Petrillo - who have all analyzed the NFL matchups and game slates for Week 7.

And in case you weren't aware, our very own Nick Mariano was ranked #11 overall in 2018 out of ~120 industry experts, and was ranked #9 overall the year before. So be sure to follow his rankings every week!

 

Week 7 Fantasy Football Rankings (PPR)

You can also see our Week 7 ranks for Half-PPR and Standard scoring.

Note that quarterbacks, defenses and kickers are all grouped separately towards the bottom. Each of those positions is ranked on their own. This is to allow owners to compare running backs, wide receivers and tight ends for their FLEX spot (without seeing QB, DEF, K mixed in).

Last updated on Friday 10/23 at 7:00 am ET:

Tier Rank Player Name Pos
1 1 Alvin Kamara RB
1 2 Aaron Jones RB
1 3 DeAndre Hopkins WR
1 4 Davante Adams WR
1 5 Kareem Hunt RB
1 6 Ezekiel Elliott RB
1 7 Derrick Henry RB
1 8 Stefon Diggs WR
1 9 Mike Davis RB
2 10 Julio Jones WR
2 11 Kenny Golladay WR
2 12 Travis Kelce TE
2 13 D.K. Metcalf WR
2 14 Tyreek Hill WR
2 15 Joe Mixon RB
2 16 James Conner RB
2 17 Calvin Ridley WR
3 18 James Robinson RB
3 19 Chris Carson RB
3 20 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
3 21 Allen Robinson II WR
3 22 Keenan Allen WR
3 23 A.J. Brown WR
3 24 Todd Gurley II RB
3 25 Terry McLaurin WR
3 26 Ronald Jones II RB
3 27 Chris Godwin WR
3 28 Tyler Lockett WR
3 29 Will Fuller V WR
3 30 George Kittle TE
3 31 Josh Jacobs RB
3 32 Robert Woods WR
3 33 Amari Cooper WR
3 34 Robby Anderson WR
3 35 Chase Claypool WR
3 36 Michael Thomas WR
3 37 Cooper Kupp WR
4 38 Mike Evans WR
4 39 David Johnson RB
4 40 Kenyan Drake RB
4 41 David Montgomery RB
4 42 Tyler Boyd WR
4 43 Antonio Gibson RB
4 44 CeeDee Lamb WR
4 45 Odell Beckham Jr. WR
4 46 D.J. Chark Jr. WR
4 47 D'Andre Swift RB
4 48 Darrell Henderson RB
4 49 D.J. Moore WR
4 50 Jamison Crowder WR
4 51 Darius Slayton WR
5 52 Devonta Freeman RB
5 53 Devin Singletary RB
5 54 Travis Fulgham WR
5 55 Brandin Cooks WR
5 56 Tee Higgins WR
5 57 James White RB
5 58 Darren Waller TE
5 59 Boston Scott RB
5 60 Jerick McKinnon RB
5 61 JuJu Smith-Schuster WR
5 62 T.J. Hockenson TE
5 63 Christian Kirk WR
5 64 Mike Williams WR
5 65 Laviska Shenault Jr. WR
5 66 Adrian Peterson RB
5 67 Hunter Henry TE
5 68 Jarvis Landry WR
5 69 Justin Jackson RB
5 70 Julian Edelman WR
5 71 Deebo Samuel WR
5 72 Michael Gallup WR
5 73 Marvin Jones Jr. WR
5 74 Melvin Gordon III RB
6 75 Phillip Lindsay RB
6 76 John Brown WR
6 77 Jerry Jeudy WR
6 78 Tim Patrick WR
6 79 Chase Edmonds RB
6 80 J.D. McKissic RB
6 81 Mecole Hardman WR
6 82 Keelan Cole WR
6 83 Robert Tonyan TE
6 84 Dalton Schultz TE
6 85 Cole Beasley WR
6 86 Golden Tate WR
6 87 Evan Engram TE
6 88 Brandon Aiyuk WR
7 89 James Washington WR
7 90 Henry Ruggs III WR
7 91 Rob Gronkowski TE
7 92 A.J. Green WR
7 93 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR
7 94 Noah Fant TE
7 95 Frank Gore RB
7 96 Damien Harris RB
7 97 Jamaal Williams RB
7 98 Hayden Hurst TE
7 99 Austin Hooper TE
7 100 Jared Cook TE
7 101 Randall Cobb WR
7 102 Jonnu Smith TE
7 103 Demarcus Robinson WR
7 104 Latavius Murray RB
7 105 Adam Humphries WR
7 106 Russell Gage WR
7 107 Diontae Johnson WR
7 108 Jimmy Graham TE
7 109 Damiere Byrd WR
7 110 Eric Ebron TE
7 111 Greg Ward WR
8 112 Breshad Perriman WR
8 113 N'Keal Harry WR
8 114 Logan Thomas TE
8 115 Danny Amendola WR
8 116 Joshua Kelley RB
8 117 Emmanuel Sanders WR
8 118 Darnell Mooney WR
8 119 Darren Fells TE
8 120 Le'Veon Bell RB
8 121 Tyler Higbee TE
8 122 Anthony Miller WR
8 123 Rex Burkhead RB
8 124 Kendrick Bourne WR
8 125 Malcolm Brown RB
8 126 Zack Moss RB
8 127 Duke Johnson Jr. RB
8 128 Tre'Quan Smith WR
8 129 Larry Fitzgerald WR
8 130 Andy Isabella WR
8 131 Scotty Miller WR
8 132 Lamical Perine RB
9 133 D'Ernest Johnson RB
9 134 Jeff Smith WR
9 135 JaMycal Hasty RB
9 136 Drew Sample TE
9 137 Brian Hill RB
9 138 Corey Davis WR
9 139 Hunter Renfrow WR
9 140 DeSean Jackson WR
9 141 Dontrelle Inman WR
9 142 Giovani Bernard RB
9 143 Greg Olsen TE
9 144 Leonard Fournette RB
9 145 Nelson Agholor WR
9 146 Cordarrelle Patterson WR
9 147 Tony Pollard RB
9 148 Anthony Firkser TE
9 149 Josh Reynolds WR
9 150 Richard Rodgers TE
9 151 Gerald Everett TE
9 152 Chris Conley WR
9 153 Chris Thompson RB
10 154 Jordan Akins TE
10 155 Cam Akers RB
10 156 Sterling Shepard WR
10 157 Isaiah Wright WR
10 158 Rashard Higgins WR
10 159 John Hightower WR
10 160 Curtis Samuel WR
10 161 Kerryon Johnson RB
10 162 Ian Thomas TE
10 163 Corey Clement RB
10 164 James O'Shaughnessy TE
10 165 Cedrick Wilson WR
10 166 Dion Lewis RB
10 167 KJ Hamler WR
10 168 Darrell Daniels TE
10 169 Tyler Johnson WR
10 170 Cameron Brate TE
11 171 Gabriel Davis WR
11 172 Olamide Zaccheaus RB
11 173 DaeSean Hamilton WR
11 174 Kenny Stills WR
11 175 Wayne Gallman RB
11 176 Tyler Eifert TE
11 177 David Moore WR
11 178 Chris Herndon IV TE
11 179 Tyler Kroft TE
11 180 Jalen Guyton WR
11 181 Jeff Wilson Jr. RB
11 182 Kalif Raymond WR
11 183 Austin Mack WR
11 184 Denzel Mims WR
11 185 Braxton Berrios WR
11 186 Benny Snell Jr. RB
11 187 Dan Arnold TE
11 188 Raheem Mostert RB
11 189 Royce Freeman RB
11 190 Collin Johnson WR
11 191 Jeremy McNichols RB
11 192 Justin Watson WR
11 193 Albert Okwuegbunam TE
11 194 Mike Thomas WR
11 195 Vance McDonald TE
12 196 Jesse James TE
12 197 Darrel Williams RB
12 198 David Njoku TE
12 199 Will Dissly TE
12 200 Ito Smith RB
12 201 Dawson Knox TE
12 202 Van Jefferson WR
12 203 Jason Croom TE
12 204 Byron Pringle WR
12 205 Anthony McFarland Jr. RB
12 206 Christian Blake WR
12 207 Cole Kmet TE
12 208 Kyle Juszczyk RB
12 209 Trent Taylor WR
12 210 Darrius Shepherd WR
12 211 Carlos Hyde RB
12 212 Ke'Shawn Vaughn RB
12 213 Harrison Bryant TE
12 214 Isaiah McKenzie WR
12 215 Cam Batson WR
12 216 K.J. Hill WR
13 217 Freddie Swain WR
13 218 Peyton Barber RB
13 219 Jalen Richard RB
13 220 Ryan Izzo TE
13 221 Ryan Griffin TE
13 222 Ty Johnson RB
13 223 Jace Sternberger TE
13 224 C.J. Board WR
13 225 Kaden Smith TE
13 226 Damion Ratley WR
13 227 Dontrell Hilliard RB
13 228 Travis Homer RB
13 229 JJ Arcega-Whiteside WR
13 230 Jason Witten TE
13 231 Seth Roberts WR
13 232 Nick Vannett TE
13 233 Keith Kirkwood WR
13 234 Miles Sanders RB
13 235 Jaylen Samuels RB
13 236 AJ Dillon RB
13 237 LeSean McCoy RB
13 238 Trenton Cannon RB
13 239 T.J. Yeldon RB
13 240 Devontae Booker RB
13 241 Marvin Hall WR
13 242 Demetrius Harris TE
13 243 Darwin Thompson RB
13 244 Cam Sims WR
13 245 Jason Huntley RB
13 246 Malik Taylor WR
13 247 Ryquell Armstead RB
13 248 Josh Hill TE
14 249 Alex Armah RB
14 250 Marcedes Lewis TE
14 251 Patrick Mahomes II QB
14 252 Russell Wilson QB
14 253 Cethan Carter TE
14 254 Josh Allen QB
14 255 Noah Brown WR
14 256 Kyler Murray QB
14 257 Ryan Nall RB
14 258 Equanimeous St. Brown WR
14 259 Aaron Rodgers QB
14 260 Deshaun Watson QB
14 261 Jakobi Meyers WR
14 262 Pharaoh Brown TE
14 263 Jakob Johnson RB
14 264 Blake Bell TE
14 265 Matthew Stafford QB
14 266 Matt Ryan QB
14 267 Justin Herbert QB
14 268 Tanner Hudson TE
15 269 Elijhaa Penny RB
15 270 Alec Ingold RB
15 271 Ben Roethlisberger QB
15 272 Ray-Ray McCloud WR
15 273 Tom Brady QB
15 274 Dare Ogunbowale RB
15 275 Ryan Tannehill QB
15 276 Josh Adams RB
15 277 Jacob Hollister TE
15 278 Cam Newton QB
15 279 Drew Brees QB
15 280 C.J. Prosise RB
15 281 Joe Burrow QB
15 282 Jaydon Mickens WR
15 283 Carson Wentz QB
15 284 Gardner Minshew II QB
15 285 Ted Ginn Jr. WR
15 286 Luke Stocker TE
15 287 DeAndre Washington RB
15 288 Adam Trautman TE
15 289 Eno Benjamin RB
15 290 DeeJay Dallas RB
15 291 Cyril Grayson Jr. WR
15 292 Teddy Bridgewater QB
15 293 Samaje Perine RB
15 294 Jared Goff QB
15 295 Virgil Green TE
15 296 Andy Dalton QB
15 297 MyCole Pruitt TE
15 298 Derek Carr QB
15 299 Chris Manhertz TE
15 300 Kyle Allen QB
15 301 Daniel Jones QB
15 302 Baker Mayfield QB
15 303 Jimmy Garoppolo QB
15 304 Foster Moreau TE
15 305 Nick Foles QB
15 306 Drew Lock QB
15 307 Sam Darnold QB
15 308 Brett Rypien QB
15 309 Antonio Gandy-Golden WR
15 310 C.J. Beathard QB
15 311 Tyler Ervin RB
15 312 Jarrett Stidham QB
16 313 Javon Wims WR
16 314 Case Keenum QB
16 315 Jake Butt TE
16 316 Nick Mullens QB
16 317 Alex Smith QB
16 318 Taysom Hill QB
16 319 Harrison Butker K
16 320 Geoff Swaim TE
16 321 Younghoe Koo K
16 322 Wil Lutz K
16 323 Lee Smith TE
16 324 Jeremy Sprinkle TE
16 325 Mason Crosby K
16 326 Temarrick Hemingway TE
16 327 Nick Keizer TE
16 328 Matt Prater K
16 329 Bryan Edwards WR
16 330 Zane Gonzalez K
16 331 Ross Dwelley TE
16 332 Devin Asiasi TE
16 333 Ryan Succop K
16 334 Tyler Bass K
16 335 Michael Badgley K
16 336 Jaeden Graham TE
16 337 Greg Zuerlein K
16 338 Michael Burton RB
16 339 Daniel Carlson K
16 340 Jason Myers K
16 341 Zay Jones WR
16 342 Randy Bullock K
16 343 Khari Blasingame RB
16 344 Graham Gano K
16 345 Stephen Gostkowski K
17 346 Anthony Sherman RB
17 347 Robbie Gould K
17 348 Brandon Powell WR
17 349 Deon Yelder TE
17 350 Jake Elliott K
17 351 Keith Smith RB
17 352 Nick Folk K
17 353 Gunner Olszewski WR
17 354 Levine Toilolo TE
17 355 Cody Parkey K
17 356 Luke Willson TE
17 357 Joe Flacco QB
17 358 Derek Carrier TE
17 359 Dustin Hopkins K
17 360 Jalen Hurts QB
17 361 Donald Parham Jr. TE
17 362 Kai Forbath K
17 363 Johnny Mundt TE
17 364 Auden Tate WR
17 365 Buffalo Bills DST
17 366 Reggie Gilliam RB/TE
17 367 Andy Janovich RB
17 368 Los Angeles Rams DST
17 369 Kansas City Chiefs DST
17 370 Philadelphia Eagles DST
17 371 Riley Ridley WR
17 372 Taywan Taylor WR
17 373 Tampa Bay Buccaneers DST
17 374 J.J. Taylor RB
17 375 New England Patriots DST
17 376 Los Angeles Chargers DST
17 377 Kalen Ballage RB
17 378 Trayveon Williams RB
17 379 New York Giants DST
17 380 Chicago Bears DST
17 381 Pittsburgh Steelers DST
17 382 Cleveland Browns DST
17 383 Nick Westbrook-Ikhine WR
17 384 Washington Football Team DST
17 385 San Francisco 49ers DST
17 386 Joey Slye K
17 387 Ka'imi Fairbairn K
17 388 Tyron Johnson WR
17 389 New Orleans Saints DST
17 390 Kenjon Barner RB
17 391 Isaiah Zuber WR
17 392 Chris Boswell K
17 393 Brandon McManus K
17 394 Marquez Callaway WR
17 395 Deon Cain WR
17 396 Ty Montgomery RB
17 397 Pharoh Cooper WR
17 398 KeeSean Johnson WR
17 399 Dante Pettis WR
17 400 Cairo Santos K
17 401 Andre Roberts WR
17 402 Jonathan Brown K
17 403 Sam Ficken K
17 404 Quez Watkins WR
17 405 Donovan Peoples-Jones WR
17 406 DeAndre Carter WR
17 407 Alex Erickson WR
17 408 Tyrie Cleveland WR
17 409 Diontae Spencer WR
17 410 Trent Sherfield WR
17 411 Deonte Harris WR
17 412 Quintez Cephus WR
17 413 Bennie Fowler III WR
17 414 John Ross WR
17 415 Keke Coutee WR
17 416 Cincinnati Bengals DST
17 417 Richie James Jr. WR
17 418 Vyncint Smith WR
17 419 Dallas Cowboys DST
17 420 Green Bay Packers DST
17 421 Seattle Seahawks DST
17 422 Tennessee Titans DST
17 423 Sam Sloman K
17 424 Arizona Cardinals DST
17 425 Las Vegas Raiders DST
17 426 Atlanta Falcons DST
17 427 New York Jets DST
17 428 Jacksonville Jaguars DST
17 429 Detroit Lions DST
17 430 Carolina Panthers DST
17 431 Denver Broncos DST
17 432 Houston Texans DST


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Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




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Break The Slate: DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Picks - Week 7

Hi there, RotoBallers, and welcome back to Break The Slate! If you read this article regularly, then you know what we're about here, but if you are a new reader, let me quickly summarize our goals with this article. We'll spend each week discussing a few plays at each position for the DraftKings main slate that can add tournament-winning upside and/or juicy value to our NFL DFS rosters. I'll highlight my favorite players and breakdown my reasoning behind them.

I try to update the article on Saturdays to reflect any significant injuries or late-breaking news, as the landscape of the slate can change quickly in the NFL, and I definitely recommend you checking those out. Hits and misses were the theme of Week 6, with Derrick Henry and Ronald Jones II coming through huge for us at the RB position, while players like DeVante Parker and Jonnu Smith hurt us due to injuries. Week 7 is shaping up to be a fun slate and I'm excited to dig in! Remember, the NFL is ever-evolving from week to week, which gives us an opportunity to apply what we've learned on the next slate.

These DraftKings lineup recommendations are based on matchups, projected ownership, overall upside/talent levels, opportunity, and other factors such as Vegas odds, home-field advantage, and more. There are quite a few great plays available, so read on to find out which players are the best for Week 7. Be sure to also check out our weekly FanDuel DFS lineup picks and lots of other great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win big! Good luck with your DraftKings DFS lineups, let's Break The Slate together!

 

DraftKings DFS Quarterbacks - Week 7 Picks

Josh Allen - BUF @ NYJ ($7,700)

Josh Allen's evolution was one of the hot topics over the first month of the season, but he's now logged a couple of relatively disappointing outings in his last two starts. Allen gets the mother of all bounce-back matchups against the abysmal New York Jets this week. He destroyed the Jets in Week 1, posting 33.2 DK points on 312 yards passing and 57 yards rushing that resulted in 3 TDs. There's reason to believe Allen will get back on track against a New York defense that's allowing opposing QBs to complete passes at nearly a 72% clip and is relinquishing over eight yards per attempt. Another reason to consider the Bills signal caller - especially in GPPs - is that his ownership should be noticeably depressed with all the other eye-catching QB options that are available on this slate.

Kyler Murray - SEA @ ARI ($7,100)

While Josh Allen will be contrarian, Kyler Murray will be chalk city this week. However, it's hard to argue with the play, as Murray's combination of production and matchup is hard to ignore. The second-year QB leads the position in rushing yards with 370 and has accounted for 6 TDs on the ground this season. He's also proven efficient when asked to throw the ball, posting 1,487 yards and 10 TDs. The matchup is a great one, as the Seahawks have been routinely shredded by opposing QBs. Seattle has allowed the fourth-most DK points in the NFL to the QB position and ranks 31st in the league in passing yards allowed. This game comes in with a "high and tight" O/U and point spread...and there's lots of paths that lead to this one turning into a true shootout.

Joe Burrow - CLE @ CIN ($5,500)

Those of you looking to pay down at the QB position might want to consider Cincy rookie Joe Burrow. The LSU product has looked every bit the part of a number-one draft pick, despite, ya know...playing for the Bengals. Burrow has thrown for 1,617 yards - the eighth-most in the NFL - and toasted the Browns for 316 yards and 3 TDs in their Week 2 matchup. Speaking of TDs, the rookie hasn't thrown for one in his last two games, so I think we can expect some positive regression in that department at some point. As for the matchup, it's an intriguing one, as the Browns rank bottom-five in the NFL in completions, passing yards, and passing TDs allowed.

 

DraftKings DFS Running Backs - Week 7 Picks

Alvin Kamara - CAR @ NO ($7,900)

Alvin Kamara in Week 7 reminds me a lot of Derrick Henry in Week 6...we have an uber-talented player in an absolute smash matchup. Yes, of course he could "fail", but why overthink it?

Kamara has posted 150.6 DK points this season - the most by a RB - and has combined for 20-or-more carries/targets in every Saints game to this point. He'll square off against a Panthers Defense that's allowed the second-most DK points in the NFL to the RB position, are tied with Houston for the most TDs allowed (8) in the league, and - perhaps most importantly in Kamara's case - are relinquishing a ridiculous 85.5% catch rate to RBs out of the backfield.

Aaron Jones - GB @ HOU ($7,200)

Speaking of Derrick Henry's Week 6 matchup...Aaron Jones wins the prize egg this week, as he's set to square off against a struggling Houston Texans Defense. The Texans contained Henry for a decent portion of the game last week before eventually allowing him to explode for 212 yards on the ground. It was the fourth time this season they've allowed a 100-plus yard rusher. Houston ranks dead last in the NFL in DK points, rushing yards, and rushing TDs allowed to the RB position. It's an appetizing matchup for Jones, a player with a lower floor than most "elite" RBs, but a guy that carries as much upside as anyone in the league, as evidenced by his 48.6 DK point performance against the Lions in Week 2.

Jerick McKinnon - SF @ NE ($5,800)

The revolving door at the RB position continues for the San Francisco 49ers, as Raheem Mostert went down yet again last week. With Tevin Coleman on IR, Jerick McKinnon will once again be asked to step into the lead role for this Niners backfield. He performed well in two games as the top option in San Fran, rushing for 92 yards and 2 TDs on 28 carries, and catching 10 of 12 targets for 82 yards, in Weeks 3 and 4. There are a couple of reasons to be skittish here...Niners rookie JaMychal Hasty received nine carries when Mostert left last week and the matchup against the New England Patriots is a tough one. Taking those drawbacks into account, McKinnon is an explosive, dual-threat back with a sub-$6k price tag. He's worth a long look.

DraftKings DFS Wide Receivers - Week 7 Picks

DeAndre Hopkins - SEA @ ARI ($8,200)

I'm normally a fan of paying down at WR, but as with Alvin Kamara this week, some spots are just too good to ignore. Arizona's DeAndre Hopkins is such an example. Hopkins tops the WR salary scale, but draws what can only be described as a smash matchup against the Seattle Seahawks this week. Seattle's secondary is a shell of its former self. The team that was once upon a time a matchup that we went out of our way to avoid with WRs is now one that we want to target. The Seahawks rank dead last in the NFL in DK points, receiving yards, and catches allowed to the WR position. It will be tough for them to slow down Nuk, a player that has been outstanding in his new Arizona home, and has went for over 130 receiving yards in three of the Cards six contests on an average of 12.2 targets per game. Seattle is a true funnel defense that's allowing just 3.73 yards per carry on the ground, so we can expect the Arizona passing attack to be deployed often in this matchup.

Terry McLaurin - DAL @ WAS ($5,800)

I honestly feel as though I could include Terry McLaurin in this column every week. He remains frozen in this mid-to-high-$5k price range, despite being one of the most explosive receivers in the game. McLaurin's production is undoubtedly hurt by both Washington's QB situation and overall offense, though his volume has stayed consistent despite the revolving door at QB. McLaurin has been targeted 58 times this season (11.6 targets per game), which is good for the fifth-most targets in the league. He and the WFT offense draw a "circle it on your calendar" matchup against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 7. The 'Boys struggles on defense this season have been well documented, but just to reinforce how bad it is, this Dallas unit ranks in the bottom-five in the NFL in DK points, receiving yards, TDs, and yards per target allowed to the WR position. We're targeting upside at WR and "The Jet" has both the talent and usage needed to crush his salary in this matchup.

Mike Williams - JAX @ LAC ($4,700)

This year has been the weirdest one that many of us have ever seen, so in true 2020 fashion, we're talking about the LA Chargers passing attack. A combination of injuries to Tyrod Taylor, Austin Ekeler, and a large portion of the LA defense has forced rookie Justin Herbert into action earlier than expected. The results have been surprisingly-good, at least from a fantasy perspective. Mike Williams has a pretty non-existent fantasy floor, but I love his upside in GPP formats. Williams had a nice game LA's last time out, racking up 109 yards and 2 TDs on five catches in an overtime loss to New Orleans. Keenan Allen left that game early, so Williams did see an uptick in usage, but the upside is there even if Allen returns this week. His juicy aDOT of 18.2 is one of the highest in the league and he's accounted for 27.7% of the Chargers air yards this season. He'll face a Jags secondary that's allowing nine yards per catch to opposing WRs. This definitely isn't a "safe" play, but is one that could pay big dividends in large-field tournaments.

 

DraftKings DFS Tight Ends - Week 7 Picks

Travis Kelce - KC @ DEN ($6,300)

If you've played NFL DFS regularly this season, chances are you're pretty frustrated with the TE position. I know I certainly am, as the position has consistently been a weak spot in my lineups. Hopefully, we can change that this week, as we finally get Travis Kelce back on the main slate. The KC tight end has been the most consistent producer at the position this season, churning out an average of 19.3 DK points per game. That consistency can be attributed to his steady role in this high-powered Chiefs offense. Kelce leads the NFL in TE targets (53), receptions (37), yards (470), and TDs (5). The matchup against Denver isn't a standout one, but the Broncos have allowed 73% catch rate to opposing TEs this season. Kelce's talent and usage in this offense make him virtually matchup proof and a solid bet to end any drought you might be experiencing at the TE position.

Austin Hooper - CLE @ CIN ($4,000)

Remember Austin Hooper? You know, the guy that signed the highest TE deal in history over the offseason. Nobody would blame you if you forgot about Hooper, as he was basically non-existent in this Browns offense for the first month of the season. However, Cleveland must have realized how much they're paying the guy, because he's actually getting some looks as of late. Hooper has been targeted 23 times over Cleveland's last three games, snagging 15 catches for 143 yards and a TD. This production is what fantasy forecasters had in mind for him this year and he has a great chance to keep it going this week against the Bengals, a team that ranks 30th in the NFL in receiving yards allowed to the TE position.



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The King's Week 7 Fantasy Football Lineup Rankings (Premium Content)


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NFL Survivor Pool Picks (Week 7) - Targets and Avoids

It started off as a great day of football but the decision to have just two 4 p.m. games quickly backfired when the Dolphins-Jets and Bucs-Packers became blowouts after the first quarter. Another decision that is still, and will continue to be, scrutinized is the Texans decision to go for two. It was the right decision. Houston's defense was awful Sunday and Romeo Crennel, a defensive guy, knew his team wouldn't be able to stop Tennessee. A two-point conversion would've iced the game. They had the right play, the receiver was wide open, but the ball got deflected. I'm always in the belief when you can control a situation and finish something, then go for it.

Underdogs went 9-5 against the spread with six outright upsets. The biggest was the Broncos beating the Patriots in Foxborough which knocked out around 20 percent of remaining entrants in pools. Majority of entrants chose the Dolphins which required no sweat in an easy win against the Jets. My survivor plays went 3-1 straight-up. The Vikings were an avoid and they got blown out.

Week 7 kicks off with the Giants at the Eagles Thursday night. The Colts, Dolphins, Ravens, and Vikings are on bye.

 

Survivor League Week 7

Teams favored by a touchdown or more in Week 7; Bills -13.5 @ Jets, Chiefs -9 vs. Broncos, Chargers -7.5 vs. Jaguars, Saints -7.5 vs. Panthers.

If you're reading this article on Thursday or later, these lines are from Tuesday. Check the current spreads and see how the line moved.

I also give out my three top plays against the spread. That can be found at the bottom of the column.

 

Top Survivor Picks for Week 7

Bills -13.5 @ Jets

Not only are the Jets winless but they're also 0-6 against the spread. There's really not much to say about this game, only whether the Jets will cover. It's really remarkable to not have covered a game yet but that should eventually end.

Bills 30 - Jets 19

 

Packers -3.5 @ Texans

Both these teams have similarly explosive offenses, but the one difference in the stats are the Packers are fifth in converting third down's while Houston is 21st. Green Bay hadn't been tested before Sunday and they got a refreshing wake-up call, especially their defense. The Texans Defense though is so bad giving up 6.1 yards per play, 27th, and 23rd in opponent third-down conversion percentage. Aaron Rodgers should pick apart the secondary.

Packers 31 - Texans 23

 

Chargers -7.5 vs. Jaguars

The Chargers could really be 5-0. They should have beaten the Chiefs, had a great chance to beat the Panthers, and blew leads to the Bucs and Saints. Justin Herbert has been getting better by the week. Their defense ranks 17th in yards per play, 10th in getting off the field on third down, and fifth in opponent red zone touchdown percentage. But they have looked a lot better than the stats and they're fresh off a bye.

I wrote this last week about Jacksonville; "the Jaguars are who we thought they were before the season; a bad team." The Chargers should finally cruise to a win.

Chargers 26 - Jaguars 14

 

Chiefs -9 @ Broncos

Denver played a great game Sunday in New England but six field goals just won't come close to cutting it against Kansas City. I don't care how great your defense is, you won't hold Kansas City to less than 17 points or less. The Broncos offense ranks 27th in yards per play, 29th in third down conversions, and 30th in scoring touchdowns in the red zone. They may very well cover but you can't beat the best offense like that.

Chiefs 28 - Broncos 20

 

Rams -5.5 vs. Bears

Chicago keeps winning despite an offense similarly bad to Denver's; 28th in yards per play, 27th in third down conversions, and 26th in touchdowns in the red zone. Their defense is in the top six in those defensive categories. The Rams though have had all their wins come against the NFC East. They've lost to the Bills and 49ers. Jared Goff struggles in bad weather and a good pass rush. The weather will be fine in LA but the Bears pass rush will put him under immense pressure. Sean McVay better have a good plan to get the ball out of Goff's hands quick.

Another point is if the Bears are actually good and since the Rams have played a cake schedule, shouldn't this line be three. I think that's a big tell from the Vegas bookmakers.

Rams 24 - Bears 17

 

Top Survivor Picks to Avoid 

 

Saints -7.5 vs. Panthers

This game goes either two ways; the Saints come off their bye and win convincingly or struggle immensely. I can't get over the memory of last year when New Orleans came off a bye at 7-1, and were double-digit favorites over the Falcons only to be beat 26-9. The Saints don't look like a team that should be favored by more than a touchdown over anyone. Not even Carolina despite them looking awful against the Bears. However the Panthers have been up-and-down and this is a divisional game which usually tends to be close.

Saints 23 - Panthers 21

 

Browns -3.5 @ Bengals

This teams met on Thursday night football in Week 2 with the Browns winning 35-30. The game was not as close as the score was but Joe Burrow would not go down. Both teams are off losses, but Cleveland got blown out and you wonder how they'll respond. A road divisional favorite of 3.5 is too much with a guy like Burrow on the other side.

Bengals 23 - Browns 21

 

Best Bets for Week 7

  • Packers -3.5 @ Texans
  • Dallas -1.5 @ Washington - Cowboys are off an embarrassing blowout loss on national television. Teams in that situation usually rebound the following week.
  • Chargers -7.5 vs. Jaguars

 

Running Totals

  • Last week: 2-1
  • 2020 season total: 9-9
  • 2019 season total: 23-26-2


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FAB Bidding - Week 7 Waiver Wire Targets

Whether it's injuries, bye-week blues, or simply poor performance, we've got the waiver-wire cure...but it just might cost you! Alongside our famous waiver wire pickups list and our weekly waiver wire columns by position, this column focuses on suggested waiver wire bidding percentages for fantasy football owners in leagues using a Free Agent Budget (FAB). In case you were not aware, several fantasy sports platforms are switching from FAAB to FAB in 2020, and RotoBaller will make that change as well.

As a caveat, these prices do not by any means indicate how much these free agent players will go for. Each league values players differently and will continue to do so. These values are here to provide a baseline or priority order to understand roughly how much you should be looking to spend on a particular player. Specific needs are always reasonable cause for a manual override.

Week 6 saw many backup players score TDs and a few key players got hurt, but I think most of us will take this for 2020. Another four-team bye week cometh, as BAL, IND, MIA, and MIN take a break. With that in mind, here are my median FAB bid ranges and adds heading into Week 7, with Yahoo rostership rates from Monday night.

 

FAB Waiver Wire Bids - Quarterbacks

Let me say very quickly, if Justin Herbert (55% rostered), Gardner Minshew II (52%) or Teddy Bridgewater (45%) are available then I’d target them first. I’d be firing around 8-10% of my FAB at Herbert if I really needed a QB, with roughly 2-4% at Minshew and Bridgewater.

Derek Carr (QB, LV) - FAB Bid: 1-2%

23% rostered

Carr and the Raiders enjoyed a bye-week vacation after handing the Chiefs their first loss of 2020 in Week 5. The matchup is a tough one against a stout Tampa Bay defense that just held Aaron Rodgers to peanuts but had yielded 290 yards and three TDs to Justin Herbert in Week 4. There’s some opportunity for Carr to step up with Darren Waller and big-play machine Henry Ruggs III.

Kyle Allen (QB, WAS) - FAB Bid: 1-2%

3% rostered

This is a pure desperation matchup play as Allen and the Washington Football Team draw a downward Dallas defense. Without a steady RB stable to run over the Cowboys’ front seven, Allen and his receivers (including his WR-esque RBs) will look for holes. Dallas has allowed 13 passing touchdowns with zero interceptions generated since Week 1, leaving a window or two for Allen to perform. Not well enough to win the game, but to have a good fantasy day.

 

FAB Waiver Wire Bids - Running Backs

Boston Scott (RB, PHI) - FAB Bid: 25-30%

14% rostered

Scott has disappointed with minimal usage in 2020 but the stars may be aligning here for Week 7. The Eagles are on a short week and Miles Sanders is expected to miss 1-2 games, so Scott’s the next man up. Despite poor results thus far in 2020, we can’t forget that he put up 138 total yards and three TDs against the Giants in Week 17 last season after torching them for 128 yards and a score in Week 8. I know it’s a different year and the Eagles are injured, but Scott has been a capable runner and receiver for Philly. I expect Corey Clement to work in some but Scott is a top-24 RB for Week 7 and worth an add.

J.D. McKissic (RB, WAS) - FAB Bid: 5-6%

12% rostered

We were told Antonio Gibson would receive more work so what happens? McKissic touches the ball 14 times for 84 total yards in a green-light matchup against the Giants. Classic. He may be heavily involved as a receiver against Dallas in a game that could see 60 total points. I know the Cowboys just crapped themselves on MNF but hopefully, they put up more of a fight with another week to get situated. Either way, you start RBs against Dallas.

JaMycal Hasty (RB, SF) - FAB Bid: 1-3%

0% rostered

Hasty looked like San Francisco’s best back after Raheem Mostert left with an ankle injury. This was Mostert’s first game back and reinjury risk is always possible, while Jerick McKinnon simply didn’t run well (and was barely used in Week 5). I don’t see how we can put Hasty above McKinnon off one game (and I don’t think anyone is) but Mostert’s most likely joining Tevin Coleman on the IR. McKinnon is solid but not a workhorse. Perhaps Hasty has more to offer than simple dynasty upside in 2020.

 

FAB Waiver Wire Bids - Wide Receivers

Here’s hoping you got Chase Claypool (49% rostered as of Monday night), who should be a top priority if available. I want to be sure Mike Williams (45%) is healthy but ditto him. And if DeSean Jackson (24%) is active for a game against the Giants, you try to play him because he simply hates them.

Travis Fulgham (WR, PHI) - FAB Bid: 8-10%

31% rostered

Fulgham has scored in three straight games alongside 50-plus yards and a whopping 23 combined targets in his last two. I recognize Fulgham’s week was largely fueled by a rather goofy fadeaway from Carson Wentz on 4th and 9 from the 18, but Fulgham had the perfect timing and positioning to bring it down. It wasn’t the only time Wentz simply tossed it high to Fulgham, and that trust could lead to more big games against NYG and DAL these next two weeks. He’s shown enough now to remain involved even as Jalen Reagor, Alshon Jeffery, and DeSean Jackson work their way back, though his floor will likely be quite low once that occurs.

Sterling Shepard (WR, NYG) - FAB Bid: 10-12%

29% rostered

New York Giants head coach Joe Judge said that Shepard’s Week 7 status may “come down to a pregame workout” ahead of their Thursday night game against Philadelphia. The short week stunts his chances but NYG is in need of reinforcements as Darius Slayton is dinged (but likely to play) and C.J. Board suffered a frightful injury on Sunday. Even if he’s unavailable for Week 7, he could knock on the top-30 WR door often whenever he does return.

Corey Davis (WR, TEN) - FAB Bid: 8-10%

26% rostered

The Titans activated Davis from the COVID-19 list on Monday as he joins up with Ryan Tannehill’s top-10 status. He and A.J. Brown both saw eight targets in Week 1 (their only game together thus far) as the Titans prepare for an uphill battle against Pittsburgh’s defense. Davis had at least 69 yards or a touchdown in his first three games  Don’t be shocked if he doesn’t pop in the return but note that Week 8 against Cincinnati could yield fun times.

Tim Patrick (WR, DEN) - FAB Bid: 5-8%

18% rostered

Patrick’s now surpassed 100 yards in two straight games and has a nice 4-43-1 line in the game before those. We can’t expect this to continue once K.J. Hamler and Noah Fant come back, but Denver should also need to throw a lot in Week 7 against Kansas City’s juggernaut offense. Patrick has earned your consideration, but if you haven’t played him by now then the window for prime results has likely closed.

Demarcus Robinson (WR, KC) - FAB Bid: 3-6%

1% rostered

Robinson led Kansas City wideouts with six targets and 69 yards in their sloppy win over Buffalo. The execution wasn’t sloppy, but the rain was coming down and led to a run-heavy attack. But it was great to see Robinson step up with Sammy Watkins out unless you had the catchless Mecole Hardman. This doesn’t cement him as the No. 2 -- far from it -- but it shows he’s capable and trusted enough to have that within range.

 

FAB Waiver Wire Bids - Tight Ends

Dallas Goedert (TE, PHI) - FAB Bid: 10-15%

41% rostered

Goedert is eligible to return from the injured reserve in Week 7, but we may not see him until Week 8. Keep an eye on his availability and practice reports this week, especially with Zach Ertz out for roughly a month. Goedert would still be a solid pickup even if Ertz were healthy, but Philly’s many injuries leave ample opportunity for Goedert to step into whenever he’s ready. He’d be a weekly top-10 play given the state of TEs in 2020. This is an add worth erring on the "week too early" side.



Darren Fells (TE, HOU) - FAB Bid: 4-5%

5% rostered

Fells exploded for 6-85-1 on a season-high seven targets in a tight loss to Tennessee in Week 6. It was his second straight strong game (and the second straight game without Jordan Akins active). He’ll slide back to low-end TE2 territory if Akins is active for Week 7 against Green Bay, but stands tall as a top-12 option if Akins is out. Who knew Houston's offense had such potential? It's almost like some mysterious shroud was limiting them this whole time.

Irv Smith Jr. (TE, MIN) - FAB Bid: 3-5%

9% rostered

Big Irv has caught 4-of-5 targets in consecutive weeks now, with 64 yards in Week 5 and 55 yards (and a two-point conversion) in Week 6. The Week 7 bye may leave him available in most formats and temper the waiver appetite but two weeks is a pattern in the football world. With Smith Jr. overtaking Kyle Rudolph, we may have a top-16 TE option come Week 8’s date with the Packers.

Trey Burton (TE, IND) - FAB Bid: 3-5%

20% rostered

Burton scored a one-yard TD as the QB in the Wildcat formation and then added a receiving TD alongside 58 yards on four catches. That makes three consecutive games with at least five targets as Indianapolis hits their bye week, but we must note Mo Alie-Cox was out. Philip Rivers loves having a reliable, athletic TE and Burton could be the guy, but we’ll need to see how much work he gets when he, Jack Doyle, and Alie-Cox are all active.

Anthony Firkser (TE, TEN) - FAB Bid: 0-1% 

1% rostered

Firkser feasted against Houston in Week 6, catching 8-of-9 targets for 113 yards and a touchdown. Jonnu Smith missed a chunk of the game with a reported minor knee sprain and is questionable for Week 7, so monitor Smith’s practice reports and add Firkser in deeper leagues should Jonnu miss the (bad) matchup against Pittsburgh.

 

FAB Waiver Wire Bids - Defense/Special Teams

Philadelphia Eagles Defense (vs NYG) - 31% rostered - FAB Bid: 3-5%

Los Angeles Chargers Defense (vs. JAX) - 29% - FAB Bid: 1-2%

Cleveland Browns Defense (at CIN) - 24% - FAB Bid: 0-1%

Apologies, my time is a bit thin this Monday but just know that squaring off against the Giants, Jaguars, and Bengals is typically a plus move for streaming. The Giants and Jags both have implied team totals of roughly 20 points per early Vegas lines, which is low. I don't love Cleveland being on the road but it's a get-right spot for them against a rookie QB who may be forced to take risks late.



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Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups List

RotoBaller has brought back for the 2020 NFL season our ultimate Fantasy Football Draft Sleepers and Waiver Wire Pickups List. Be sure to also try our other lineup tools too!

iPhone Fantasy Football App - Draft SleepersAndroid Fantasy Football App - Draft Sleepers
Using your phone? You can also download our free app which includes player news, notifications, injury alerts & articles.

 

 
 

2020 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire by NFL Position

ALL - RB - WR - TE - QB - DEF

 

Dallas Goedert (TE, PHI) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in All Leagues ROSTERED: 41% of Leagues ANALYSIS: If you consider yourself a good fantasy GM, this post won't surprise you. It made some sense to drop Goedert back in September's end when he fell down injured and was put in IR, but you'd be not very intelligent if you're not targeting... Read More

1 month ago

Jeremy McNichols (RB, TEN) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 1% of Leagues ANALYSIS: As a 2017 fifth-round pick by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers out of Boise State, it was a very slow start to the professional career of running back Jeremy McNichols, taking just two carries for four yards with no targets in the passing game... Read More

1 month ago

Royce Freeman (RB, DEN) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 2% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Melvin Gordon is currently dealing with strep-throat (could be worse) and potential discipline from his recent DUI arrest, and while he could return this week, that remains up in the air, which leaves a window of opportunity open for Royce Freeman to build... Read More

1 month ago

Anthony Firkser (TE, TEN) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team PPR Leagues ROSTERED: 0% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Jonnu Smith has been the man at tight end for the top-tier Tennessee Titans squad so far this season, with Anthony Firkser serving as second-fiddle during Smith's breakout season. However, with Smith being held out of the Titans' last contest against the... Read More

1 month ago

Zach Pascal (WR, IND) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 6% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Pascal has had an interesting season so far. He has had four games with four or fewer targets, but he has also had a two with seven or more. One of those better performances was last week when he caught four of seven... Read More

1 month ago


T.J. Yeldon (RB, BUF) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team PPR Leagues ROSTERED: 1% of Leagues ANALYSIS: I won't sugarcoat it: from a surface-level view, the prognosis on T.J. Yeldon looks rather grim. Former Alabama back had very little to show for his first year with the Buffalo Bills in 2019 and has had just a single week to... Read More

1 month ago

JaMycal Hasty (RB, SF) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 0% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Raheem Mostert is probably heading to the IR due to a high-ankle sprain. This left the 49ers backfield in need of a "hasty" replacement (couldn't resist mate), in the form of JaMycal Hasty, a rookie running back out of Baylor. Hasty first saw... Read More

1 month ago

Boston Scott (RB, PHI) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 13% of Leagues ANALYSIS: As if the Eagles hadn't enough injury woes to deal with already, mostly related to their receiving corps, it's now time for their rushers to start falling down. Enter Miles Sanders, who got injured yesterday and had to leave the field after playing... Read More

1 month ago

Sterling Shepard (WR, NYG) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 29% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Sterling Shepard got injured 15 snaps into his Week 2 game. Following that, the Giants dropped him into the Injured Reserve and after missing four straight games he's eligible to return and everything points toward a TNF comeback, facing the Eagles. The minute... Read More

1 month ago

Preston Williams (WR, MIA) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team PPR Leagues ROSTERED: 25% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Miami Dolphins wide receiver Preston Williams has established himself as the clear No. 2 receiver on the team behind DeVante Parker. The second-year pro has now caught touchdowns in three of his past four games. His biggest game along that stretch was... Read More

1 month ago


Gus Edwards (RB, BAL) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 4% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Injury alert! Injury alert! Nobody loves Baltimore's backfield, but that monster of a unit lost one of its three heads yesterday with Mark Ingram II falling down injured. With Ingram out, Gus Edwards was the most benefited rusher of the Ravens leading the... Read More

1 month ago

Darren Fells (TE, HOU) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 5% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Jordan Akins suffered a concussion back in Week 4, and he's been out the past two games. That has put veteran Darren Fells in the spotlight during those two matches, which he absolutely took advantage of. Although he was only targeted 2 times... Read More

1 month ago

Tim Patrick (WR, DEN) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team PPR Leagues ROSTERED: 18% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Tim Patrick and the Denver Broncos were forced out of the schedule a week ago due to COVID reasons. It was something to fear, given that the pause might interrupt Patrick's two-game streak of hitting 14+ PPR points (14.3 and 23.3)... but... Read More

1 month ago

Adam Humphries (WR, TEN) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team PPR Leagues ROSTERED: 9% of Leagues ANALYSIS: I was way higher on Adam Humphries last season than I was entering 2020. All he went on to do last year, though, was log 374 yards on 37 receptions with 2 TDs over 12 games. That was bad. This season, though,... Read More

1 month ago

Travis Fulgham (WR, PHI) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in All Leagues ROSTERED: 31% of Leagues ANALYSIS: I don't think I need to remind you, but if you remember what happened last weekend you know that Week 5 left fantasy GMs debating whether they wanted to pick Travis Fulgham or Chase Claypool from the waivers pool. For some reason (some four... Read More

1 month ago


J.D. McKissic (RB, WAS) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team PPR Leagues ROSTERED: 11% of Leagues ANALYSIS: The large difference in opportunities between Antonio Gibson (86 through Week 6) and J.D. McKissic (58) doesn't align with the amount of snaps played by each player so far: 199 McKissic, 174 Gibson. That is all you need to know to get... Read More

1 month ago

Rashard Higgins (WR, CLE) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 0% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Let's get rid of the bad things first: Rashard Higgins has played just three games, his usage has been rather paltry, and he's stuck in an offense that boasts two of the best rushers and two of the best receivers in the league. Cool.... Read More

1 month ago

Devin Duvernay (WR, BAL) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 1% of Leagues ANALYSIS: The sample is as tiny as it gets, but hey, we're here looking for bargains and buried gems. These are Duvernay's weekly points per snap: 0.2, 0.5, 1.3, 0.1, 0.4, and 0.2. These are Duvernay's weekly points per touch: 2.2, 2.9, 4.4, 1.4,... Read More

1 month ago

John Hightower (WR, PHI) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 0% of Leagues ANALYSIS: With the absolutely bonkers ascension of both Greg Ward and most of all Travis Fulgham among Philly's wideouts, John Hightower has been relegated to a super-deep background. It'd be disrespectful to put Hightower at the same level of any of those two, obviously,... Read More

1 month ago

Demarcus Robinson (WR, KC) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 1% of Leagues ANALYSIS: What if I told you Demarcus Robinson just led all Chiefs' wideouts in receiving yards this past Monday? That's a fact, and he did so to the tune of five catches on six targets for 69 yards. All things considered, it's a shame... Read More

1 month ago


Henry Ruggs III (WR, LV) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 47% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Although it is still more probable than not to find Ruggs in your WW pool of available players, chances are this is the last time you can get him for free this season. Even though the rookie has missed two of five games,... Read More

1 month ago

Derek Carr (QB, LV) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 2QB Leagues ROSTERED: 23% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Everybody hates Derek Carr. That's the only reason you can still find the Raiders QB available in more than three out of four Yahoo! fantasy leagues. Why? Because Carr has been great so far this season, even though Las Vegas' 3-2 record and overly-tight wins... Read More

1 month ago

Damiere Byrd (WR, NE) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 4% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Fantasy GMs have yet to catch up with New England's receiver Damiere Byrd. I can't blame them so much, though, as these Patriots offense--when it comes to the passing game--has sucked a bit in 2020 with Tom Brady out of town and replaced... Read More

1 month ago

Breshad Perriman (WR, NYJ) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 8% of Leagues ANALYSIS: New York Jets' marquee free-agent acquisition Breshad Perriman has played all of two and a half games this season... He completed the first game of the year putting up a dud (4.7 PPR points), then got injured in Week 2 (3.2 points on... Read More

1 month ago

Christian Kirk (WR, ARI) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 40% of Leagues ANALYSIS: With five of six maximum games played, Kirk is currently the WR46 in total points through Week 6. He was forced out of Week 3 with a groin injury, but even looking at a per-game average he's right in the same position with... Read More

1 month ago


James Washington (WR, PIT) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 10% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver James Washington had his best outing of the season in Week 6 against the Cleveland Browns. He caught four passes for 68 yards and a touchdown in the game. He led the Steelers with seven targets, while no one... Read More

1 month ago

Marquez Valdes-Scantling (WR, GB) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 30% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Green Bay Packers wide receiver Marquez Valdes-Scantling has all the stars aligned for a productive fantasy stretch ahead. He's the clear No. 2 receiver on the team behind Davante Adams while Allen Lazard (core muscle) is sidelined. Lazard had core muscle surgery a... Read More

1 month ago

Russell Gage (WR, ATL) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team PPR Leagues ROSTERED: 27% of Leagues ANALYSIS: And just like that, we're ready to buy back into the Atlanta Falcons offense, right? Following two straight disastrous outings and the firing of head coach Dan Quinn, the Falcons offense came alive in a big way in Week 6, dropping 40... Read More

1 month ago

La'Mical Perine (RB, NYJ) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 18% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Maybe, just maybe, you have heard about this guy Le'Veon Bell being cut by the New York Jets. Well, with Bell out of town everything the Jets backfield has to show for is a 58-year-old Frank Gore and 22-year old La'Mical Perine, a 2020... Read More

1 month ago

Jamaal Williams (RB, GB) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 25% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Williams' 2020 season has been a rollercoaster of performances. Rounding the numbers, he's scored 8-8-3-18-3 PPR points in the five games he's played, showing all of a near-zero floor, RB1 ceiling, and also a couple of average-FLEX-games. Considering Green Bay drafted A.J. Dillon... Read More

1 month ago


Logan Thomas (TE, WAS) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 15% of Leagues ANALYSIS: It is Terry McLaurin and then, maybe, there are the rest of Washington's skill-position players. McLaurin's been target 58 times in six games (27% of all Washington's targets), sure, but Logan Thomas is second with 36 (17%) himself. Perhaps you didn't expect that coming... Read More

1 month ago

Trey Burton (TE, IND) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 20% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Only four tight ends broke the 20-PPR mark in Week 6, including Trey Burton. He finished TE3 with 21.9 points on the day against Cincinnati helping Indianapolis get the comeback victory this past Sunday. It's been a wild season at the Colts tight... Read More

1 month ago

Keelan Cole (WR, JAX) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 29% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Although Keelan Cole couldn't help Jacksonville get a W this past Sunday, he put on his best performance of the season and it can't be argued he was the lone really bright light of the offense against Detroit. It's been like that all... Read More

1 month ago

Jimmy Garoppolo (QB, SF) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 2QB Leagues ROSTERED: 21% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Jimmy Garoppolo entered Sunday's game against the Rams quite under pressure. It was normal, considering the putrid performance he put on a week ago when he could only score all of 0.1 FP against Miami. He was banged-up back then, sure, but that fantasy... Read More

1 month ago

Kirk Cousins (QB, MIN) - Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 39% of Leagues ANALYSIS: When I first checked the fantasy-point tracker on Sunday, I saw something I couldn't believe. Through two quarters, Kirk Cousins was sitting at almost two negative fantasy points. He had committed three interceptions and thrown no touchdowns at all. He was, simply put, mediocre. Until... Read More

1 month ago


Trey Burton (TE, IND) - Week 6 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team PPR Leagues ROSTERED: 1% of Leagues ANALYSIS: There have been a lot of moving pieces at the tight end position this season, not to mention the rotation that has already occurred at tight end for the Indianapolis Colts. At first, the main man on the food chain was thought... Read More

1 month ago

Cameron Brate (TE, TB) - Week 6 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 2% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Being a tight end in a Tom Brady-led offense has proven quite fruitful in the past, but there wasn't much hope surrounding Cameron Brate coming into the 2020 season with O.J. Howard and Rob Gronkowski occupying the same position for Tampa Bay, even... Read More

1 month ago

J.D. McKissic (RB, WAS) - Week 6 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team PPR Leagues ROSTERED: 6% of Leagues ANALYSIS: It has been a tough year for running backs, and the continuous flow of injuries has only piled on to the already up-hill climb. Despite the uncertain start to his season, and the lack of voluminous work out of the running game,... Read More

1 month ago

Tim Patrick (WR, DEN) - Week 6 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team PPR Leagues ROSTERED: 17% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Tim Patrick had a stellar performance in his last game. In Week 4 against the Jets, Patrick tallied six receptions, 113 yards, and a touchdown. With teammate Courtland Sutton on injured reserve, Patrick stepped up and delivered. His 21 targets through four... Read More

1 month ago

Mike Thomas (WR, CIN) - Week 6 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team PPR Leagues ROSTERED: 0% of Leagues ANALYSIS: This will become the most savage move of any fantasy GM in your league if you pull it off, believe me. Thomas' upside is entirely tied to A.J. Green's status after he got sidelined this past Sunday with (supposedly; there are some... Read More

1 month ago


Nelson Agholor (WR, LV) - Week 6 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 2% of Leagues ANALYSIS: There are only two pass-catchers active (not injured) in the NFL with 11 or fewer targets averaging 9+ PPR points per game and with 30+ through five games: Raiders WRs Henry Ruggs III and Nelson Agholor. Las Vegas QB Derek Carr has been... Read More

1 month ago

Olamide Zaccheaus (WR, ATL) - Week 6 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 8% of Leagues ANALYSIS: It might sound ridiculous, but I think we can consider the Falcons some sort of Dallas-lite: an undercooked version of what the Cowboys have put on the field through the first five weeks of the 2020 season. Atlanta has three great wideouts in... Read More

1 month ago

Jalen Guyton (WR, LAC) - Week 6 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 1% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Outside of veterans Keenan Allen and Mike Williams (and TE Hunter Henry) the Chargers aren't offering reliable weapons to rookie QB Justin Herbert. Austin Ekeler is injured and with that, his pass-catching prowess is gone. That has allowed Jalen Guyton to be on... Read More

1 month ago

Preston Williams (WR, MIA) - Week 6 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 22% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Although Preston Williams has featured heavily in Miami's start of the season (he only trails DeVante Parker with 235 to the WR1's 255 snaps), he has been a little bit disappointing in terms of production. In five play, although Williams is the WR2... Read More

1 month ago

Mecole Hardman (WR, KC) - Week 6 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 40% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Take a look at Hardman's week-to-week targets from the 2019 season, then look at his weekly fantasy outcomes, and you'll get an idea of the player Mecole Hardman is: the biggest of boom/bust wide receivers. Well, perhaps not the biggest, but he's definitely... Read More

1 month ago


Mike Williams (WR, LAC) - Week 6 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 40% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Mike Williams' profile as a receiver is that of a boom/bust asset. He's a deep threat and a walking big-play waiting to happen. That cuts his upside on a play-to-play basis, and will always lead to horrific games when things don't go his... Read More

1 month ago

Justin Jackson (RB, LAC) - Week 6 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team PPR Leagues ROSTERED: 42% of Leagues ANALYSIS: The Chargers backfield was always going to be manned by Austin Ekeler after his 2019 explosion. With the departure of Melvin Gordon came the arrival of rookie Joshua Kelley, though, so the backfield seemed to be on track to be shared among... Read More

1 month ago

Alexander Mattison (RB, MIN) - Week 6 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in All Leagues ROSTERED: 40% of Leagues ANALYSIS: While Chase Claypool and Travis Fulgham are undoubtley going to be the two darlings of the Week 6 WW pickups--they finished as overall no. 1 and no. 2 in PPR leaderboards this past weekend--let's not forget about the most valuable under-the-radar guy out there:... Read More

1 month ago

Cole Beasley (WR, BUF) - Week 6 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team PPR Leagues ROSTERED: 28% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Cole Beasley has been sneakily productive so far this season. Through four games, Beasley has finished as a top-45 receiver each week, providing a nice floor for fantasy managers. In those four games, he has averaged six targets as well. His steady... Read More

1 month ago

Brian Hill (RB, ATL) - Week 6 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED: 21% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Atlanta Falcons running back Brian Hill has been an extremely effective No. 2 back for the team over the first five weeks of the season. In Week 5 against the Carolina Panthers, Hill carried the ball six times for 39 yards and caught... Read More

1 month ago


 




Categories
2020 Fantasy Football Advice 2020 Fantasy Football Matchups and Start/Sit 2020 Fantasy Football Projections & ADP Analysis Editor Note Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups NFL Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

Week 7 Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2020 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

We had some surprise defenses crack the top-10 in Week 6 with the Atlanta Falcons picking off Kirk Cousins seemingly at will and the Tampa Bay Bucs easily handling Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Even with that, we were able to get six of the top-10 defensive units, but the Indianapolis Colts may be showing some cracks in the armor, and Washington offensive ineptitude surprisingly flipped the script and allowed the Giants to finish as the only top-10 unit in that matchup.

I've been mentioning this for weeks, but it bears repeating that scoring and yards are at an all-time high this year. 4,621 points or 25.4 points per game so far this season and are gaining 363.3 yards per game, which are both the most through the first five weeks of any season in the Super Bowl era. With offenses putting up video game numbers, it means that we can't continue to judge a defense solely by the number of points they allow or the number of yards they give up. Those numbers will naturally be higher than we're used to. Instead, we need to look for which offensive lines are truly weak points and which defenses will either be blitz-heavy or get consistent pressure with their pass rush. These are all incredibly important pieces of information in determining which defenses to play in any given week.

Remember that picking the right defense is not about identifying who will allow the fewest points, but who will cause the most turnovers or tally the most sacks since that has a higher correlation to weekly fantasy DST leaders. That means that, as much these rankings are about the talent on the defensive side of the ball, it is equally about taking advantage of the lack of talent on the offensive side. Starting the right defense every week can be a difference-maker, so remember to check back here during the week as I will make updates once we get more information on some of these injuries and also get a better sense of the weather for the game.

 

Week 7 Defenses To Start & Stream: Tiers & Rankings

Below are my Week 7 defense tiers and rankings, or which defenses to stream, start and target off the waiver wire for Week 7 of the NFL and fantasy football season. Our weekly tiered defense rankings are a guide to making waiver wire pickups to improve your lineups, and to decide which defenses to start, sit, target, avoid or stream for Week 7. I've broken out our defense rankings into tiers with analysis on each matchup. Some of these Week 7 defenses have good matchups and are not widely-owned, representing fantasy scoring opportunities if they are available on your league's waiver wire for a Week 7 pickup or add.

Returning for this year: Confidence Ratings (out of 15) - Since every league's DST scoring is different, projections don't always make a ton of sense. The confidence rating, which Bill Dubiel started last year, is a guideline for how much more I like one team over another instead of a straight point projection. A zero means "do not start," then the confidence rises from there. I take a lot of factors into account: opponent injuries, home-field advantage, weather (which will be updated during the week), etc. We still have only one game of in-season data to work with, so this week's rankings weigh schedule and personnel heavier than they will down the line.

Typically the top three tiers will be DSTs you should target, with Tier 4 being options in deep leagues and Tier 5 being desperation plays or good defenses in horrendous matchups.

 

Tier 1 Defenses

Rank Tier DST Week 7 Opponent Confidence Rating
1 1 Buffalo Bills Defense @ NYJ 13.9
2 1 Philadelphia Eagles Defense vs. NYG 13.5
3 1 Kansas City Chiefs Defense @ DEN 12.3
4 1 Los Angeles Rams Defense vs. CHI 11.8

Perhaps I'm about to be overly hard on the Bills as a life-long Bills fan, but their defense is concerning me right now. Yes, the Jets are a terrible offense. They rank 31st in passing yards, 26th in sacks allowed, 31st in drives ending in a score, and 15th in rushing and now are without Le'Veon Bell. But, as the Chiefs showed on Monday night, the Bills can be run on, even though Frank Gore and the Jets offensive line are not Clyde Edwards-Helaire and the Chiefs unit. This is clearly not the same Bills defense that we've seen over the last couple of years. In addition to being gashed by the run, they are dead last in pressure rate. If you are not creating pressure, then you don't give yourself much chance to add fantasy points through sacks and turnovers. With Sam Darnold coming back, the Jets should become a little better on offense, though not much. I know you simply want to play defenses going up against the Jets, and the Bills have enough talented defensive players that you have to imagine they can take advantage of this matchup, but I could just as easily see the Eagles as the #1 DST this week due to their ability to create pressure.

The Eagles have started to get healthier on defense and are currently fourth in the NFL with 21 sacks. The Giants are 25th in the NFL with 17 sacks allowed, so I expect a healthy Eagles defensive front to get in Daniel Jones' face throughout the game which is good news since the Giants are already third-worst in the NFL with 18.4% of drives ending in a turnover. Even without the pressure, the Giants simply aren't a good offense right now. They're 27th passing yards, 28th in rushing yards, and 25th in drives ending in a score. If the Eagles are without Miles Sanders and Zach Ertz, who both left hurt on Sunday, the already sputtering offense will be even more short-handed which could lead to some short fields for the Giants. However, that's not enough to scare me off using this Eagles unit against one of the worst offenses in the NFL.

The Chiefs defense came to play Monday night against a solid Bills offense. The Chiefs send blitzes at one of the highest rates, and although they didn't sack Josh Allen, they were in his face all night long. Kansas City is 7th in the league in pressure rate, tops in quarterback knockdown rate at 1o.6%, and 9th in quarterback hurries. That will be useful against a Denver offensive line that is 22nd in sacks allowed and 5th-worst in the league with 16.7% of drives ending in a turnover. Obviously, having Drew Lock, Melvin Gordon, and Phillip Lindsay back will help the Broncos offense overall, but they don't have the firepower to keep up with the Chiefs and their defense is too banged up to keep the Chiefs from scoring. That will mean the Broncos will be forced to pass in the second half, which will lead to more blitzes, sacks, and turnovers for the Chiefs defense.

The Rams had been riding high on defense before falling short against the 49ers on Sunday night. However, maybe you're noticing a trend, but the Bears offense is simply not as good as the 49ers with all their pieces back. The Bears are 15th in sacks allowed, 18th in passing yards, 25th in rushing yards, and 27th in drives ending in points. While their sack numbers aren't egregious, the Rams defense is 5th in the league in sacks and 5th in drives ending in points against. With Jalen Ramsey likely shadowing Allen Robinson, I don't expect the Bears to be able to move the ball much in this game, which will allow more chances for Aaron Donald and company to get to a super immobile Nick Foles.

 

Tier 2 Defenses

Rank Tier DST Week 7 Opponent Confidence Rating
5 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense  vs. LV 10.9
6 2 San Francisco 49ers Defense   @ NE 10.6
7 2 New York Giants Defense @ PHI 10.3
8 2 Pittsburgh Steelers Defense @ TEN 9.8

Tampa Bay thoroughly dominated Green Bay on Sunday, so it's not too much to expect a similar outing against a lesser-talented Las Vegas team. It's clear that losing Vita Vea didn't inhibit the Bucs' ability to stop the run. They're tops in the NFL with only 3.0 yards allowed per carry, which should help them against a Raiders' offense that relies heavily on Josh Jacobs. The Bucs are 3rd-best in pressure rate at 28.3% and second-best sack total, which means that, despite the Raiders not allowing many sacks this season, the Bucs should still be able to generate pressure on Derek Carr and the offense. That's good news considering Las Vegas is 9th-worst in the league in drives ending in turnovers. I expect Tampa Bay to score nearly at will against this Las Vegas defense, and even if the Raiders do put up points, they will also likely cough up a few turnovers. Tampa Bay is just playing too well to bet against right now.

The 49ers came to play on Sunday against the Rams, starting to look a little more like the playoff contenders they've been in recent years. Despite their rash of injuries, they are still fifth in the league in pressure rate, third in quarterback knockdowns and fourth in quarterback hurries. As we saw on Sunday against the Broncos, this is not the same Patriots offense, even with Cam Newton back. They are 17th in sacks allowed, 30th in passing yards, 7th-worst in drives ending in points, and worst in the league in drives ending in an offensive turnover at 19.2%. The Patriots are unlikely to put up lots of points against this 49ers defense, which raises their defensive floor and it wouldn't surprise me if San Francisco can also notch a few sacks and force some turnovers.

I honestly can't believe I have the Giants this high, but here we are. They just finished as a top-10 unit against Washington and now will face an Eagles offense that will be without Miles Sanders and Zach Ertz and possibly still without Alshon Jeffrey and DeSean Jackson. This is also an Eagles offense that is dead last in sacks allowed, 26th in yards per play, and 27th in drives ending in a turnover. Also, this Giants defense hasn't been as bad as many think. James Bradbury has been great in shadow coverage against opponents' top receivers, and the team is 9th in pressure rate, 10th in sacks, and 10th in quarterback knockdowns. With the Eagles not even entirely sure who will be starting for them at right guard on Thursday, I expect the Giants to be able to get into Carson Wentz's face throughout what should be an ugly game with lots of turnovers.

The Steelers absolutely dismantled the Browns on Sunday. Now they will get a much stiffer test in the Tennessee Titans. I think the Steelers are the best defense in the NFL, but the Titans are no joke on offense, so it moves Pittsburgh down a little bit in our weekly ranks. The Titans offense is second in the league in drives that end in a score, fourth in the league in yards per play, and best in the league in sacks allowed. However, there is only so far down that I can drop a Steelers defense that is the best pressure defense in the NFL by a large margin. Their 38.9% pressure rate is well above the second-best rate of 29.2%. The Steelers blitz the most in the league (46.3%), have the most quarterback hurries, and are 2nd-best in yards per rushing attempt at 3.3 yards. Add to that the fact that the Titans just lost starting left tackle Taylor Lewan to a torn ACL, and I think the Steelers will be able to get some pressure on Ryan Tannehill in this game.

 

Tier 3 Defenses

Rank Tier DST Week 6 Opponent Confidence Rating
9 3 Los Angeles Chargers Defense vs. JAX 9.3
10 3 Cleveland Browns Defense @ CIN 8.9
11 3 New England Patriots Defense vs. SF 8.6
12 3 New Orleans Saints Defense vs. CAR 8.3
13 3 Chicago Bears Defense @ LAR 7.7
14 3 Washington Football Team Defense vs. DAL 7.5
15 3 Green Bay Packers Defense @ HOU 6.9

The Chargers are fresh off the bye and have two weeks to prepare for a Jaguars offense that has been struggling with consistency of late. While Jacksonville is 6th in passing yards, Minshew has also thrown 11 interceptions, the offensive line has given up the 18th most sacks, and the Jaguars have the 7th-most drives ending in a turnover. The Chargers may only have eight sacks on the season, but they are 11th in pressure rate and 3rd in quarterback hurries. The Chargers are getting healthier on defense with Melvin Ingram and Justin Jones back both at practice. If either one of them, or both, is able to return on Sunday, it would be a big boost to a pass rush that could wreak havoc on an over-matched Jaguars offensive line.

As I mentioned above, the Browns got trampled on Sunday by the Steelers, but their defense had been playing good football up until that point. They will also face a much softer test this week. The Bengals are 31st in the NFL in sacks allowed, 24th in drives ending in points, and have an offensive line that has been below average in almost every blocking metric. The Browns defense is 6th in the NFL in rushing defense, allowing only 3.6 yards per attempt, but they have been destroyed through the slot. That means the Bengals only hope is Joe Burrow to Tyler Boyd. If the Browns can build an early lead against a bad Bengals Defense and force passing downs, it will give more opportunity for sacks for a defense that is 2nd in the NFL in quarterback hurries and 2nd-best in the league in drives that end in an offensive turnover at 18.2%.

The Patriots defense certainly wasn't the reason they lost to the Broncos on Sunday. They are 4th in the league in pressure rate and best in the league in drives ending in a defensive turnover. That pressure will be a factor on Sunday considering the 49ers are 27th in the league in sacks allowed and may not have as strong of a running game with Raheem Mostert out to keep the Patriots from coming after Jimmy Garropolo. What keeps me from pushing the Patriots into the top-10 is the fact that their defensive faults have been overshadowed a bit by the talent-level of opponents and gamescript. They are 18th in the NFL in yards per play allowed, 13th in yards allowed per carry, 15th in drives ending in a score, and 27th in yards allowed per pass attempt. The 49ers offense is middle of the road in drives ending in turnover and has been much better at protecting the ball with Jimmy G and Deebo Samuel back in the lineup. I expect them to take better care of the ball and scheme ways to take advantage of a Patriots defense that is giving up a fair amount of yards per play and surviving by slowing down the pace of play.

The Saints will come off their bye week with two weeks to prepare for a Carolina offense that is 19th in sacks allowed and just scored 16 points against the Bears. Teddy Bridgewater has been solid for the Panthers, but he also has five interceptions to only six touchdowns on the season. With the Saints offense expected to get Michael Thomas back, they should exploit a vulnerable Panthers Defense and force Bridgewater to have to throw often to keep up. That will leave open opportunities for a defense that had the bye week to get healthy. What this comes down to for me is simply that the Saints have been a strong defensive unit for a couple of years now and have too many good players to keep giving up this many yards and touchdowns through the air. With Sean Payton and company coming out of the bye week, I expect them to begin to right the ship.

The Bears defense showed up to play against a solid Panthers offense on Sunday, but this still a defense that is underperforming its previous levels. They are 21st in pressure rate, 24th in quarterback hurry percentage, and 15th in drives ending in an offensive turnover. The best way to slow down the Rams offense is to get pressure on Jared Goff. However, the Bears pressure rate matched up against a Rams offense that is 4th in the league in sacks allowed doesn't give me confidence that Goff will be under a lot of pressure. That means he can manage an offense that is 10th in yards per play and 4th in expected points contributed by the offense.

What we saw from the Cowboys offense on Monday night made me even more confident in playing the Washington defense against them. The Cowboys may be 21st in sacks allowed, but their cobbled together offensive line gave up a ton of pressure against the Cardinals, and the task won't be any easier against a Washington team that is 8th in sacks, 13th in pressure rate, and 11th in quarterback hurry rate. The Cowboys offense is 31st in the NFL in offensive drives ending in a turnover and clearly doesn't have the firepower to score quickly with Andy Dalton under center. I don't expect Washington to handle them the way Arizona did, but a few turnovers and sacks seem likely.

The Bills' offense set the league on fire for the first four weeks, but we've seen the return of frazzled Josh Allen. The strong-armed quarterback has continued to score points and gain yardage with his legs, but he has also begun turning the ball over a bit more and the Bills are now 25th in the league drives ending in a turnover. The Jets get pressure at a below-average rate and their offense continues to put the defense in poor positions, but if Josh Allen is trending towards past issues with inaccuracy and holding onto the ball too long, it's likely going to lead to some questionable decisions, sacks, and maybe turnovers.

 

Tier 4 Defenses

Rank Tier DST Week 7 Opponent Confidence Rating
16 4 Dallas Cowboys Defense @ WAS 6.7
17 4 Tennessee Titans Defense vs. PIT 6.3
18 4 New York Jets Defense vs. BUF 5.9
19 4 Denver Broncos Defense vs. KC 5.1
20 4 Cincinnati Bengals Defense vs. CLE 4.9
21 4 Seattle Seahawks Defense @ ARI 4.4
22 4 Atlanta Falcons Defense vs. DET 3.9

 

Tier 5 Defenses

Rank Tier DST Week 7 Opponent Confidence Rating
23 5 Arizona Cardinals Defense vs. SEA 3.4
24 5 Jacksonville Jaguars Defense vs. LAC 2.9
25 5 Las Vegas Raiders Defense vs. TB 2.3
26 5 Detroit Lions Defense @ ATL 1.9
27 5 Houston Texans Defense vs. GB 1.1
28 5 Carolina Panthers Defense @ NO 0.9
29 5 Miami Dolphins Defense BYE 0.0
30 5 Baltimore Ravens Defense BYE 0.0
31 5 Indianapolis Colts Defense BYE 0.0
32 5 Minnesota Vikings Defense BYE 0.0


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Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




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2020 Fantasy Football Advice Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Lineup Picks Editor Note NFL Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

Thursday Night Football DFS Lineup Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings

We move onto week 7 where we get a riveting NFC East showdown as the New York Giants take on the Philadelphia Eagles. This game has an under/over of 45 with the Eagles being favored by 4.5 points.

In this article, I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Thursday Night Football slate on October 22nd (Week 7). These lineups can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you have any questions you can follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with myself and other NFL DFS analysts any time you'd like!

 

DFS Quarterbacks

As both teams are in contention for the NFC East title, their two young quarterbacks will need to bring their "A" game in order for their team to pull out the win on Thursday night. Daniel Jones will be leading this Giants offense and while he hasn't been amazing from a fantasy perspective, the Giants offense as a whole has struggled partly due to them losing their best offensive weapon in Saquan Barkley early on in the season. Jones has thrown for over 1,200 yards through six games but is struggling from protecting the football as he has thrown six interceptions and only three touchdowns. The Eagles have a top 12 defense against the pass (allowing 233.2 passing yards per game to opponents) but have only recorded two interceptions on the season so far.

Carson Wentz is the more seasoned quarterback and should be able to produce more points than Daniel Jones. Wentz has thrown for over 1,400 yards through six games and has eight touchdown passes while also throwing nine interceptions. Wentz has had a revolving door when it comes to his receivers as he has been unable to throw to a consistent stable group all season long which has led to his high turnover number. When looking back at his past four weeks, Wentz has eclipsed 20 DK points in three of those games while rushing for three touchdowns in four of those games. The Giants are allowing opponents to throw for 242.3 yards per game which ranks 17th in the league so this looks to be a solid match for Wentz.

Analysis: Wentz is the safer option but both are viable in tournament builds. Only one QB should be used in cash lines but stacking them in the same line could be a tournament strategy on this slate.

 

DFS Running Backs

Both star backs for the Giants and Eagles will be missing this game so it looks like we will turn to their backups on the depth chart to roster for our showdown contests this week. The New York Giants lost Saquan Barkley early in the season and brought in free-agent running back Devonta Freeman to carry the rock for the remainder of the 2020 season. Freeman has seen an increase in touches as he has been inserted as the main back and has seen a combined 35 carries over the last two weeks. Behind Freeman are Wayne Gallman Jr. and Dion Lewis have both conceded carries to Freeman. Gallman has been more involved when compared to Lewis and looks to be the back-up running back in this Giants backfield. When looking at the matchup, the Eagles are allowing opponents to rush for 120 yards per game which ranks 20th in the league. If the Giants want to win this game, they should look to pound the rock early with Freeman.

Miles Sanders will be missing this game which means Boston Scott will absorb the lead back duties in his absence. Scott has served as the backup to Sanders all season long and has been involved in the passing game when he has seen the field which means he brings upside in full point per reception sites like DraftKings. Corey Clement will serve as the back up running back to Boston Scott and when Scott drew the start in week 1, Clement saw six total carries and two passing targets. The Giants have been stingy against opposing ground games as they rank eighth in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (106.5) so this looks to be a tough matchup for the Eagles rushing attack. If you do decide to roster an Eagles running back, the upside will come from the passing game by running underneath routes and dump-off passes from Wentz.

Analysis: Devonta Freeman and Boston Scott will both see plenty of carries in this game with Freeman having a better matchup. Both backs are viable for cash games due to the volume they will see. Their backups could be used in tournaments as value plays but they do come with risk.

 

DFS Wide Receivers

The wide receiver position on this slate is a tad underwhelming but there could be some good tournament plays on both sides of this game. For the Giants, they rely heavily on Darius Slayton and Golden Tate as their main receiving options. Slayton leads the team with 44 total targets and has close to a 20%team target share while Golden Tate ranks second of all Giants receivers in targets and receptions. CJ Board looks to be the third wide receiver that is utilized in this Giants offense but doesn't offer much upside since Jones looks heavily at Slayton and Tate.

The Eagles have struggled to have a consistent wide receiver group out on the field throughout the 2020 season. Travis Fulgham has emerged as a top target while both DeSean Jackson, Jalen Reagor, and Alshon Jeffery have all been out due to injuries. Fulgham has seen 23 total targets over the last two games and has posted three straight games of double-digit fantasy points while also recording a receiving touchdown in each game. Fulgham has become a go-to player for Wentz and is viable in all formats. Outside of him, John Hightower and Greg Ward have seen significant snaps and they form the strong receiving trio that the Eagles have been rolling out over the past several weeks.

Analysis: Fulgham and Slayton are the two best receiving options on the slate. Tate offers a solid floor that can be used in cash games while Ward and Hightower offer upside in tournaments.

 

DFS Tight Ends

Both teams have great receiving options at the tight end position when fully healthy. For the Eagles, Zach Ertz injured himself against Baltimore and is already labeled as out for the Thursday night game against the Giants. Back-up tight end Dallas Goedert has been on injured reserve since dislocating his ankle early in the season and while he is progressing well, there is some doubt that he will miss the Thursday night game as well. It seems as if former Green Bay Packers tight end Richard Rodgers will draw the start for week 7 and this is encouraging news as he saw over 60% of snaps in his last game played. If other Eagles receiving options are also out, Rodgers could see a bump in targets which increases his upside. The Giants have been a strong defense against opposing tight ends as they are allowing only eight fantasy points per game against the position so consider Rodgers a riskier tournament play that carries upside.

The Giants have one of the better overall tight ends in the game in Evan Engram but he has been off to a relatively quiet start to the 2020 season. Engram has only eclipsed double-digit fantasy points in one of his six games played and has only seen a combined five targets over his last two games played. On the flip side, he ranks second in total targets (35) on the Giants offense and is tied for the second-most receptions (18)on the squad as well. The Eagles have struggled against opposing tight ends as they are allowing the position to average 18.9 fantasy points per game.

Analysis: Engram looks to be the safer pick despite his recent stats. He draws a better matchup and is the better overall tight end in this game. Rodgers could have a decent game with the volume but the matchup is much tougher.

 

DFS Defense/Special Teams

With this game featuring a low total, both defenses could be in play. The Giants' defense is intriguing as they have recorded 15 sacks on the season and Wentz has been sacked 25 times through the first six games. When factoring in the pressure that Wentz could be under, the Giants could force several turnovers which makes them an interesting tournament play. On the other side of this game, the Eagles Defense has generated 21 sacks on the season and Daniel Jones has been sacked 17 times on the season. They too as a unit can generate pressure and force mistakes which also makes them a viable tournament option. For the kickers, Graham Gano has been fantastic for the Giants as he has connected on 15 out of 16 field-goal attempts and is averaging 12.5 fantasy points per game over his last four games played.

Analysis: Both defenses are in play as they have the ability to get to opposing quarterbacks and generate pressure/ turnovers. Graham Gano has been excellent for the Giants and is getting plenty of chances so he is viable in all formats. 

 

Good luck, RotoBallers, and remember to mix it up and don't be afraid to be different in these large field GPPs!



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Monday Night Football DFS Lineup Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings

Week 6 of the NFL season is coming to a close but don't fret because we have yet another Monday Night Football doubleheader on tap this week with two exciting matchups between the Chiefs and Bills in the AFC and the Cowboys and Cardinals in the NFC. Vegas likes both of these games to be high scoring and so there should be no shortage of fantasy points.

Today I'll be providing you with my daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for Monday Night Football on October 19th, 2020 (Week 6). These lineups can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on FanDuel.

If you have any questions you can follow me on Twitter @ThunderDanDFS and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with myself and other NFL DFS analysts any time you'd like!

 

DFS Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

This slate is absolutely loaded with offensive talent, but Mahomes is easily still the best QB on the slate. He's facing a Bills secondary that was handled by Ryan Tannehill and the Titans receivers last week and I expect a big bounce-back performance from the Chiefs this week after losing to the Raiders last week.

The Bills are giving up the fifth-most fantasy points to QBs this season and Mahomes will look to lead this KC offense up and down the field with his strong arm and scrambling ability that allows him to extend plays and find open receivers. He's always a threat to run for a TD, too. Paying up for him and pairing him with a few pass-catchers is a good idea on this slate.

Kyler Murray

While Josh Allen is always a compelling option, I am going to bypass him today and grab some shares of Kyler Murray and the Arizona passing game against what has been a horrible Cowboys Defense this season. Dallas is allowing a 107.9 QB rating to opposing passers this season, fifth-worst in the league. Meanwhile, Murray is averaging nearly 28 DraftKings points per game this season and continues to pile up rushing yards and rushing touchdowns (5), giving him an excellent floor and ceiling.

 

DFS Running Backs

Ezekiel Elliott

Zeke is the easily the class of this set of running backs I'd make every effort to get him in your lineup if possible. With Dak Prescott out for the season, expect the Cowboys to attempt to lean on Elliott and the running game as much as possible to keep Andy Dalton from having to throw 40+ times. Zeke has a nice matchup here as the Cardinals have given up the 11th-most fantasy points to running backs and he's pretty game-script proof, too, as he's been averaging nearly five catches per game and is very much involved in the passing game.

Zack Moss/T.J. Yeldon

I'm looking for value somewhere on this slate and there really isn't another lead back that I feel like paying for with CEH having a tough matchup, Kenyan Drake stuck in a timeshare with Chase Edmonds, and Buffalo's starter Devin Singletary coming off a lackluster game against the Titans. Moss should be good to go for this game and is the Bills' best runner between the tackles. He also is likely to get touches down around the goal line, too. Keep an eye out for any limitations on his workload as they could ease him back into action. Yeldon is a dart throw as he had a random good game against Tennesee with Singletary struggling, but Moss's return could ruin him.

 

DFS Wide Receivers

DeAndre Hopkins

I am not sure how much analysis you need here but Hopkins is one of the league leaders in targets, catches, yards, and is averaging nearly 24 DK points a game even while scoring two touchdowns this season. He's facing a Cowboys team that has allowed the second-most fantasy points to receivers this season and there's really no reason not to think that Nuk won't get his against this Dallas secondary.

Christian Kirk

If we are looking for another receiver to stack with Kyler, then Kirk is probably my favorite. He caught five of his seven targets for 78 yards last week and is a safer play than Andy Isabella or Larry Fitzgerald. Kirk operates in the slot a good bit and the middle of this Cowboys' defense is definitely a soft spot that Murray would be wise to exploit.

Mecole Hardman

The Chiefs will be without Sammy Watkins this week and therefore we can give both Hardman and Demarcus Robinson a hard look as both speedsters should get a nice uptick in snaps and hopefully targets. Hardman is the guy I want the most shares of on this slate. His big-play ability on deep routes down the field and kick-returning abilities give him a ceiling that you won't find in any other cheap receiver. He's already found the end zone twice this season and averaging nearly 15 yards per reception.

 

DFS Tight Ends

Travis Kelce

Kelce is the best tight end in the game and is one of Mahomes' top targets week in and week out. He's quite possibly my favorite play on the entire slate here as he has a clear mismatch against the Bills linebacker corps. Buffalo's a bit banged up on defense and is allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to tight ends this season. Jonnu Smith exploited them last week and Kelce should absolutely feast over the middle of the field in this game. Don't get cute, Kelce should be in 100% of your lineup and could double up or even triple up every other tight end's output on this slate.

 

DFS Defense/Special Teams

Chiefs Defense

The Chiefs defense really let me down last week as the Raiders piled up 40 points on them and they actually put up a negative number. They couldn't stop the run and couldn't get off the field on third down. Before that outing against Las Vegas, however, they had not allowed a team to score more than 20 points and they've created 8 turnovers this season. The Bills run game is not good, so if KC can stop the run then they should be able to pin their ears back and put pressure on Josh Allen, who can be guilty of trying to extend plays too long which results in sacks or ill-advised throws that turn into picks.

 

Good luck, RotoBallers, and remember to mix it up and don't be afraid to be different in these large field GPPs on two-game slates!



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Sunday Night Football DFS Lineup Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings

We get a fun Sunday Night Football matchup that highlights an NFC West showdown featuring the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers. This game has an under/over of 49.5 with the Los Angeles Rams favored by 3 points.

In this article, I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Sunday Night Football slate on October 18th (Week 6). These lineups can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you have any questions you can follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with myself and other NFL DFS analysts any time you'd like!

 

DFS Quarterbacks

This seems to be a more lopsided choice when comparing the two quarterbacks that are in play for this showdown. Jared Goff has gotten off to a great start to his 2020 campaign as he has completed over 72% of his passes for over 1,000 yards and six total touchdowns. Goff has done a great job limiting his interceptions through the first quarter of the season as he has only been picked off twice so far this season. In Goff's career against the 49ers,  he has played six games and thrown for 1,184 yards and 12 touchdowns while only getting picked off three times. The San Fran defense has been very good against the pass (even with all of the injuries) as they are allowing opponents to throw for 215 yards per game. While they have been stingy defensively, Goff has weapons around him that could make him a viable option on this slate.

On the other side of this game, San Francisco has been struggling over the past couple of weeks due to inconsistent play and injuries. Jimmy Garappolo had a solid showing in his first two games of the season as he averaged 195 passing yards and threw for four touchdowns while not throwing a pick. He was then injured and had to miss some time and looked really rough in his last start against Miami. He has not done well in his career against the Rams as he has averaged 261 passing yards per game but has been sacked eight times and picked off five times in a three-game span. The Rams passing defense has looked very strong this season as they are allowing opponents to throw for only 197 yards per game which is the second-best in the league.

Analysis: Goff looks to be the stronger play when comparing him to Garoppolo. He is showing better form and just has an overall better history against his opponent. Jimmy G. is a tournament play but does carry risk as he was benched in his most recent game.

 

DFS Running Backs

While the running back situation for both teams could seem a tad messy, there are some viable fantasy plays that we will be able to find and use for this showdown slate. For the 49ers, they got a huge boost in the running game with Raheem Mostert being back and healthy in the lineup. Mostert was off to a strong start in his first two weeks despite getting injured early on against the NY Jets. He saw 11 carries in his return for 90 yards and while that doesn't seem like a ton, the game script of them falling behind to the Dolphins surely played into that. Mostert is averaging 79 rushing yards per game and while he only has one rushing touchdown, he is often utilized in the passing game as well which helps his fantasy stock even more. When healthy, he is the clear cut de-facto running back for this San Fran team and makes for a great play in all formats. Jerick McKinnon seems to have slid into the backup running back role and should see some time in the passing game or even when Mostert needs a break so if looking for a value tournament play, McKinnon would be the move.

The Rams look to have a bit of a crowded backfield as they are working Cam Akers back into the fold from his injury that has kept him out a few weeks. Malcolm Brown has seen the steadiest snap count of the group but Darrell Henderson Jr. leads the running back group when it comes to total touchdowns scored. When glancing at the depth chart, it looks as if Henderson Jr. has asserted himself as the top running back as of right now and it is hard to argue as he has seen 43 carries over the last three games played while Brown has seen only 24 carries over the same span. Henderson Jr. is the safest play while Brown and Akers jockey for position as to who will be the backup running back for the time being.

Analysis: Mostert is the strongest play from this group as he has seen the steadiest snap count (when healthy) and has been the most reliable fantasy back out of this group. Henderson Jr. makes for a solid play and could be used in cash games but the crowded backfield hinders his upside. Brown and Akers look to be tournament plays in hopes they vulture a touchdown away from Henderson Jr.

 

DFS Wide Receivers

The receiving groups for both sides can be pretty explosive which makes these guys great fantasy targets in this matchup. The Rams have one of the best-receiving tandems in the league in Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods. Kupp has become a great security blanket for Goff while Woods has become the explosive downfield playmaker in this Rams offense. Kupp leads the team in receptions (28) and yards (363) while Woods carries the highest DK average of 16.1 DK points per game. Outside of the main two receivers for the Rams, they have veteran Josh Reynolds and rookie speedster Van Jefferson Jr. Reynolds is seeing more consistent snaps and is getting more consistent targets, specifically over the last three games (13 targets over the last three games).

The 49ers are finally starting to get their receiving room healthy which will only aid the offense as a whole. Kendrick Bourne has seen a steady amount of targets through the first five weeks which can also be attributed to the injuries to Aiyuk, Samuel, and Kittle. Brandon Aiyuk has seen the second-most receiving targets through the first five weeks (22) with 19 of those coming over the last three games played. Deebo Samuel is finally healthy after missing the first three weeks due to an injury and saw 11 targets through his first two games (eight total targets in his most recent game played).

Analysis: With several options at the receiver position, you can play several of them in cash and feel comfortable. Kupp and Woods are the best options for the Rams and both can be deployed in cash games. Samuel and Aiyuk are the bright spots in the 49ers receiving room and could be cash game viable as well. Reynolds Jr, Jefferson, and Bourne will see snaps but remain tournament plays due to their inconsistency in fantasy scoring.

 

DFS Tight Ends

One of the top tight ends will be featured on this slate and it will be hard to not want to press the lock button on George Kittle. The 49ers tight end is widely considered to be a top-three tight end in the game and is one of the key focal points in the San Fran offense. Kittle holds the largest target share on the team with a 16.76%  and has the most targets on the team with 29. This is even more impressive to think about since he has missed time already due to a knee injury. Kittle has racked up 24 catches on his 29 targets and leads all San Fran receivers in receiving yards (271). Kittle draws a favorable matchup against the Rams as he has averaged over five catches for 89.5 receiving yards per game while also hauling in three career passing touchdowns against the Rams Defense.

While tight ends aren't featured as much in the Rams offense as the 49ers feature theirs, they have a solid duo that most teams in the league would love to have. Tyler Higbee has been their primary offensive tight end weapon as he has recorded the third-most catches on the team (15) but leads the team in touchdown receptions (3). Gerald Everett is the other main tight end option for the Rams and while he doesn't quite see the same volume as Higbee, he has recorded a 90% completion percentage on passes thrown his way.

Analysis: Kittle is one of the top plays on the slate and is one of the best cash game and tournament picks on the slate. For the Rams, their duo of tight ends in Higbee and Everett are better off used for tournament lineups just with the lower floor they have compared to Kittle.

 

DFS Defense/Special Teams

This should be a good defensive battle as both defenses have played well so far this season. The Rams are holding opponents to just 18 points per game while the 49ers are holding opponents to just 22 points per game. The one major stat that jumps out in this matchup is that the Rams are tied for a league-leading high with 20 sacks and the 49ers are allowing 3.6 sacks per game. This could be very good for the Rams defense and they could be in strong consideration for cash games and even the captain spot in tournaments. With this also being a good defensive matchup, both Sam Sloman and Robbie Gould could get some opportunities if drives stall for their respective offenses.

Analysis: The Rams defense is in play for cash games while the 49ers Defense could be used in tournaments. Both kickers are viable in tournaments, especially if you're needing salary relief for your roster construction.

 

Good luck, RotoBallers, and remember to mix it up and don't be afraid to be different in these large field GPPs!



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Break The Slate: DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Picks - Week 6

Hi there, RotoBallers, and welcome back to Break The Slate! If you read this article regularly, then you know what we're about here, but if you are a new reader, let me quickly summarize our goals with this article. We'll spend each week discussing a few plays at each position for the DraftKings main slate that can add tournament-winning upside and/or juicy value to our NFL DFS rosters. I'll highlight my favorite players and breakdown my reasoning behind them.

I try to update the article on Saturdays to reflect any significant injuries or late-breaking news, as the landscape of the slate can change quickly in the NFL, and I definitely recommend you checking those out. It was a really nice slate for us in Week 5, especially at the WR position, as our highlighted players CeeDee Lamb, Robby Anderson, and Darius Slayton all killed it for us, while our sneaky pick of Teddy Bridgewater at QB also paid dividends. Of course not everything worked out, as Dak Prescott left early with a season-ending injury and our attempt to gain some floor at TE with George Kittle failed miserably. That's how it goes in NFL DFS kids. Week 6 is shaping up to be an interesting - though perhaps frustrating - slate. As I write this, the juiciest matchup of the week - ATL vs MIN - is facing the possibility of being delayed due to COVID-19 concerns! As a result, I'll leave Falcons and Vikings players out of this week's column, but will circle back around to that matchup in the Saturday Updates section, when we'll (hopefully) know more about the status of that game. Remember, the NFL is ever-evolving from week to week, which gives us an opportunity to apply what we've learned on the next slate.

These DraftKings lineup recommendations are based on matchups, projected ownership, overall upside/talent levels, opportunity, and other factors such as Vegas odds, home-field advantage, and more. There are quite a few great plays available, so read on to find out which players are the best for Week 6. Be sure to also check out our weekly FanDuel DFS lineup picks and lots of other great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win big! Good luck with your DraftKings DFS lineups, let's Break The Slate together!

 

DraftKings DFS Quarterbacks - Week 6 Picks

Matthew Stafford - DET @ JAX ($6,300)

What a difference a week makes! We go from a plethora of options in Week 5, to very few legitimate ones in Week 6. There are several elite QBs available on this slate, but the problem lies in their matchups, as none of the available spots scream out as true slam-dunk situations.

One matchup that is juicy is Matt Stafford squaring off against the Jags. The Jacksonville organization is pathetic in several areas, but defending the pass has proven to be their most glaring weakness on the field this season. The Jags defense ranks dead last in the NFL in Yards Per Attempt (8.83), and stand 28th in the league in both passing yards and TDs allowed.

Stafford has yet to post a true "spike" game, but there are signs that it's coming. The Lions signal caller's Average Target Depth is 10.0 yards, which trails only Aaron Rodgers and Kirk Cousins among QBs that have started every game for their team. He's also been boosted by the return of his top WR, Kenny Golladay, who has injected this Detroit offense with some life after missing the first two games of the season. The expected game environment is juicy, with both a tight point spread (DET -3.5) and high point total (54.0).

*SATURDAY UPDATE: A weird week at the QB position, as for the first time this season I find myself actually looking to pay down. With the ATL vs MIN game appearing set to go after some COVID concerns earlier in the week (we'll touch on several plays from this matchup), Kirk Cousins ($6.1k) immediately pops into consideration against an ATL defense that has allowed the most DK points in the NFL to the QB position. Taking Week 1 out of the equation, Ryan Fitzpatrick ($5.9k) is averaging 27.35 DK points over Miami's last four games and he squares off against a Jets secondary that is allowing 8.25 yards per attempt. Tennessee's Ryan Tannehill ($5.9k) continues to be relentlessly efficient and posted 30 DK points on just 28 attempts Tuesday night against Buffalo. The price is right...with volume being the only concern in a matchup against the Texans that figures to be a "ride Derrick Henry" game for Tennessee.

 

DraftKings DFS Running Backs - Week 6 Picks

Derrick Henry - HOU @ TEN ($7,300)

While there are very few slam-dunk spots at the QB position, there are some juicy matchups available for RBs this week. Tennessee's Derrick Henry has a dream "usage + matchup" situation against the Houston Texans. Henry has received a massive 101 carries this season, which ranks second in the NFL behind Josh Jacobs' 105 in total carries, despite the Titans only playing four games. His eye-popping carry per game average of 25.25 leads the league, while his 28 Red Zone rushing attempts is also atop the NFL.

Henry hasn't exactly been ultra-efficient - his average of 3.7 yards per carry is pretty pedestrian - but he should find some easy sledding this week against a Texans Defense that has allowed the most rushing yards in the NFL (706) and is relinquishing a massive 5.19 yards per carry to the RB position - the fourth-highest average in the league.

James Robinson - DET @ JAX ($6,800)

We touched on this DET vs JAX matchup at the QB position with Matthew Stafford and James Robinson presents us with an opportunity to grab another piece of exposure in this game. The Lions have been brutally-bad against the run. Detroit has allowed an average of 32.8 DK points per game to opposing runners and is relinquishing a staggering 5.57 yards per carry on the ground, a mark that tied for worst in the league.

Robinson underwhelmed last week, posting just 11.0 DK points against Houston. However, his usage remained encouraging, as he toted the rock 13 times and was targeted seven times in the pass game. Volume is king in DFS and Robinson has now touched the ball 17 or more times in all five of Jacksonville's game this season. This matchup against Detroit is a juicy rebound spot.

Ronald Jones II - GB @ TB ($6,000)

Do any of you guys wanna join the #FreeRonaldJones campaign with me? Jones II is a talented back that has finally been given a chance to shine thanks to Leonard Fournette's absence and Tampa's banged-up receiving corps. He's made the most of the opportunity, rushing for over 100 yards in each of the Bucs' last two games, while also corralling nine of 14 targets. We're hoping that Jones II has worked his way into Bruce Arians' good graces with his performances over the last couple of weeks and that an expected-to-return Fournette will just be a footnote in this offense, as Green Bay offers a surprisingly good matchup. The Packers are allowing a very chunky 4.76 yards per carry to the RB position, and rank 31st in the NFL in both catch % and yards per target allowed to RBs.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: Lots to unpack here at RB...we love Aaron Jones' ($7.6k) talent, but the matchup against Tampa Bay presents his biggest challenge to date. Alexander Mattison ($7.2k) feels like one of the larger decisions on this slate. With pricing delayed due to the Tuesday night game, DKings was able to adjust his price, which means we (thankfully) won't see a 70%-owned-$5k Mattison. He'll step right in to Dalvin's Cook role in a dreamy matchup against an ATL defense that's relinquishing nearly 140 total yards per game to the RB position. With some very good options available at RB this week, I'll neither be "all in" or "all out" on Mattison, but will definitely grab some exposure in this smash spot, while the RB on the other side of this matchup, Todd Gurley II ($6.3K), presents a unique pivot opportunity against a Vikes defense that allowed 561 yards on the ground this season. Carolina's Mike Davis ($7.0k) continues to produce "CMC Lite" numbers thanks to his huge role in this Panthers offense. The matchup against Chicago isn't great this week, but the volume/production is hard to ignore. On the other side of CHI vs CAR, David Montgomery ($5.8k) might not actually be good at football, but he's getting all the work he can handle out of the Bears backfield in the absence of Tarik Cohen and will square off against a Panthers Defense that is dead last in the NFL in DK points allowed the the RB position. Two strong standouts in the mid-$5k range are Antonio Gibson ($5.5k) and Myles Gaskin ($5.4k), players whose price tags don't really reflect the amount of volume they are consistently receiving in their respective offenses. With Denver's Melvin Gordon ($6.0k) now officially ruled "Out", Phillip Lindsay ($4.3k) becomes the most intriguing salary saver at the position.

DraftKings DFS Wide Receivers - Week 6 Picks

DeVante Parker - NYJ @ MIA ($6,300)

The ATL vs MIN is a treasure trove at the WR position, but since we're in wait-and-see mode on that game, we'll slide down the salary scale to Miami's DeVante Parker at $6.3k. Parker hasn't been the target monster that he was last season, but he's proven himself to be extremely efficient this year by posting double-digit DK output in each of Miami's last four games. He turned three targets into 50 yards and a TD last week against the Niners and recorded 10 catches for 110 yards on 12 targets in Week 4 against Seattle. We can consider Parker's target counts of the last two weeks outliers and I expect him to fall somewhere in the middle against the Jets. New York's Pierre Desir has little chance of slowing down Parker and this surprisingly-good Dolphins air attack. The Jets Defense ranks last in the league in allowed catch % to the WR position (71.9%) and stands 30th in the NFL in yards per target (9.88).

Kenny Golladay - DET @ JAX ($6,200)

We've already touched on Matt Stafford and James Robinson in this matchup. You can toss Kenny Golladay in the mix to complete a nice little game stack. Golladay missed the first two games of the year with a hamstring injury, but he's been productive since returning in Week 3, snagging 10 of 15 targets for 109 yards and 2 TDs in over two games. He'll square off against a Jags secondary that's been routinely gashed this season and is coming off allowing an 8/161/1 torch job to Brandin Cooks last week. Jacksonville is relinquishing nearly nine yards per target to opposing wideouts and will throw barely-drafted rookie Chris Claybrooks at Golladay in this game.

Tee Higgins - CIN @ IND ($4,700)

Obviously, we want to look for terrific matchups when constructing DFS rosters, but sometimes - especially when trying to take down a GPP - we must be willing to consider a player that's in perhaps a less-than-plus matchup due to talent, price, or usage. In Bengals rookie WR Tee Higgins, we find all three of those. Higgins has developed rapidly at the pro level and despite being targeted 30 (!) times over Cincy's last four games, his DK salary has remained frozen in this $4.5-5k price range (his price has actually decreased $200 from last week!). The volume is hard to ignore, but more importantly, Higgins is receiving quality targets. He has a healthy aDOT of 14.0 and has accounted for 25.2% of the Bengals' Air Yards this season. This Colts Defense isn't one we want to go out of our way to target, but second-year CB Rock Ya-Sin's 57.7 PFF Grade isn't enough to scare me off the cheap upside that Higgins brings to the table.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: With ATL vs MIN set to go, receivers in this matchup jump to the top of our Week 6 target list...Calvin Ridley ($7.8k) is perhaps better with Julio Jones ($6.7k) in the lineup, while both Adam Thielen ($7.3k) and Justin Jefferson ($6.0k) draw a dream matchup against a Falcons secondary that has succeeded in stopping NO ONE this season and is 31st in the NFL in yards per target allowed to the WR position. Philly funnels offenses to the air, which should put the explosive, yet inconsistent, Marquise Brown ($6.5k) on our GPP radars. The Jets offense is gross, but Jamison Crowder ($6.1k) has been a true standout, breaking the 20-DK point mark every time he's suited up this season. Both Terry McLaurin ($5.7k) and A.J. Brown ($5.6k) are high-upside options, especially at this price point. D.J. Chark's availability might not be known until Sunday morning, but if he can't go, Laviska Shenault ($5.2k) would immediately jump into my player pool. Chase Claypool ($5.2k) broke the slate last week, but I'm not scared to go right back to the well with Diontae Johnson now ruled out for Week 6. The same can be said for Houston's Brandin Cooks ($5.0k), who gets another winnable matchup against the Titans on the heels of a monster performance in Week 5.

 

DraftKings DFS Tight Ends - Week 6 Picks

Mark Andrews - BAL @ PHI ($6,500)

Mark Andrews' fantasy production has generally depended on his unbelievable efficiency. However, Andrews heads into Week 6 on the heels of his highest-volume game of the season last week against the Bengals. The Ravens stud TE was targeted nine times against Cincy, posting a rock-solid 6/56/1 stat line. Volume is the largest concern with the talented Andrews (he was only targeted three times in Week 4), but we have to feel confident that the opportunities will be there this week against Philly's true funnel defense. The Eagles are allowing just 3.35 yards per carry on the ground, which routinely forces opponents to the air. Opposing pass attacks have found success with TEs against Philly, as the Eagles have allowed the highest completion rate (86.5%) in the NFL to the position.

Jonnu Smith - HOU @ TEN ($5,200)

It seems like forever since we had a chance to roster Jonnu Smith on the Main Slate. I'm jumping at the opportunity to get the Titans TE back in my lineups this week. The matchup is neutral-at- best, with Houston ranking middle of the pack statistically against the TE position, but I'm willing to bet on Smith's elite volume (6.75 targets per game) and eye-opening athletic ability (12.3 yards per catch) at this palatable price tag.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: The TE position is a wasteland this week from my perspective and I will be leaning heavily on the two players highlighted in this week's original writeup.



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FanDuel NFL DFS Lineup Picks for Week 6 - Daily Fantasy Football

Here we are, Week 6. As COVID-19 continues to rear its ugly head and cause chaos throughout the league, the 2020 season has progressed relatively well. With some big names banged up heading into the weekend, keep your eyes open for those sneaky value plays as they can make the difference between a winning or a losing lineup.

As far as injuries are concerned, the names worth monitoring include Dalvin Cook, Julio Jones, Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, JuJu Smith-SchusterBaker Mayfield, D.J. Chark, A.J. Brown, Julian Edelman, Darius Slayton, Noah Fant, Diontae Johnson, Jarvis Landry, Russell Gage, Leonard Fournette, Hayden Hurst, A.J. Green, and Rob GronkowskiChristian McCaffrey and Nick Chubb, of course, will not play on Sunday. Lastly, after a Falcons' player and coach tested positive for the virus, the matchup with Minnesota may end up getting rescheduled. As of this writing, it is still on; however, as we have learned over recent weeks, that can change very quickly.

In this article, I will be providing you with my Week 6 daily fantasy football lineup picks on FanDuel. These lineups can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on FanDuel. Be sure to also check out our weekly DraftKings DFS lineup picks and lots of other great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win big! Feel free to give me a follow on Twitter @DennisMClausen. Good luck, RotoBallers.

 

FanDuel Quarterbacks - Week 6 Picks

Gardner Minshew II, QB - vs. DET ($7,200)

Minshew wasn't in the best of spirits after Jacksonville dropped its most recent contest to the Houston Texans, marking the team's fourth loss in a row. While the second-year signal-caller hasn't played horribly throughout the first five weeks of the 2020 campaign, he will need to step it up a notch if he hopes to turn the Jaguars' miserable season around. Lucky for him, he will square off against the Lions in Week 6, with Detroit allowing 31.8 points per outing, which is good for fourth-worst on the year. Minshew has been an adequate DFS asset as well, logging at least 19.84 fantasy points in four of his five games this season.

Kirk Cousins, QB - vs. ATL ($7,100)

Cousins, who has historically been one of the league's most accurate quarterbacks from year-to-year, has struggled during the unforgiving 2020 season. In the first three weeks, the veteran threw six interceptions, tying his total from last year in only a quarter of the time it took for him to hit that mark in 2019. Though he has a long way to go before being a consistently capable DFS option, the Vikings will play the Falcons on Sunday, with Atlanta allowing some less-than-impressive numbers on the defensive end. Dalvin Cook may not be in the lineup, but luckily, Alexander Mattison should be able to fill the void with no trouble at all and keep the pressure off Cousins by making some noise out of the backfield.

Also Consider: Ryan Fitzpatrick ($7,400), Matthew Stafford ($7,300), Teddy Bridgewater ($6,900), Daniel Jones ($6,700)

 

FanDuel Running Backs - Week 6 Picks

Alexander Mattison, RB - vs. ATL ($7,000)

After Dalvin Cook, one of this year's most productive fantasy backs sustained an adductor injury during the loss to the Seahawks on Sunday, Mattison came in for relief. As usual, the 22-year-old delivered, finishing with 112 yards off of 20 carries to go along with three grabs for 24 yards. While Cook hasn't been officially ruled out for the Week 6 meeting with the Atlanta Falcons, things aren't looking promising regarding his availability, which should open the door for Mattison to get his fair share of touches. It is reasonable to expect big things from the former Boise State Bronco; however, he will likely be a popular addition to DFS lineups, making him less desirable in tournament play for those looking to play the contrarian role.

James Robinson, RB - vs. DET ($6,500)

When the Jaguars released Leonard Fournette during the offseason, speculation swirled as to who would serve as the team's workhorse moving forward, primarily after Ryquell Armstead was diagnosed with the Coronavirus on multiple occasions (along with a groin injury) and Devine Ozigbo hindered by a bum hamstring. Robinson, who was signed as an undrafted free agent in April, emerged and has since racked up 333 yards and three touchdowns on the ground in addition to 19 catches for 183 yards. Although he didn't look the best against the Texans, he has a strong chance to get it together against a Lions Defense that has allowed just over 170 yards per game to opposing rushers.

Also Consider: Mike Davis ($7,500), Kareem Hunt II ($6,900), David Montgomery ($5,900), Ronald Jones II ($5,800), Antonio Gibson  ($5,800), Myles Gaskin ($5,700), Devonta Freeman ($5,600)

 

FanDuel Wide Receivers - Week 6 Picks

Adam Thielen, WR - vs. ATL ($7,400)

After Stefon Diggs was dealt to Buffalo during the offseason, some became concerned that Thielen would be less productive, primarily since opposing defenses would be paying even more attention to him as the undisputed No. 1 wideout for the team. That hasn't been the case, nonetheless, as he has scored in all but one game during his first five games of the year. With the Falcons having arguably the worst defense in the league, the sky is the limit for Thielen heading into the weekend.

Allen Robinson, WR - @ CAR ($7,000)

Despite getting off to an impressive start, Bears head coach Matt Nagy still isn't satisfied, especially with the offense underperforming, at least according to his standards. Robinson, who got off to a rough inception of the season, has since turned things around by grabbing 27 of his 39 targets throughout the last three games while also finding the end zone twice during that span. With the veteran looking to keep Chicago in the win column--along with a new contract, he may have more incentive to produce against the Carolina Panthers in Week 6.

Robby Anderson, WR - vs. CHI ($6,500)

Anderson has upped his game from last season. He has racked up a minimum of eight targets in all but one game thus far and appears to have dethroned D.J. Moore as the No. 1 wideout for the Panthers. Currently, the former Temple Owl is ranked seventh in targets (47), fourth in receptions (36), and fourth in yards (490). He continues to mesh well with Teddy Bridgewater, and despite the relatively challenging matchup, he still has a higher ceiling than most, especially with a rostering cost that is well below where it should be considering how well he has played throughout the first five weeks.

Also Consider: Kenny Golladay ($7,200), DeVante Parker ($6,400), Justin Jefferson ($5,900), Chase Claypool ($5,500), Curtis Samuel ($5,100)

 

FanDuel Tight Ends - Week 6 Picks

Jonnu Smith, TE - @ PHI ($5,800)

Due to a quad injury, Smith practiced in a limited capacity on Thursday. Nonetheless, he could be good to go in Week 6 against the visiting Texans. Although Houston has fared well against players at the tight end position, the four-year pro may see an uptick in looks from Ryan Tannehill, resulting from the absence of Corey Davis, who has been sidelined while battling, you guessed it, COVID-19.

Also Consider: T.J. Hockenson ($5,700), Mike Gesicki ($5,600)



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Updated Week 6 PPR Rankings (Top 400)

Welcome to Week 6 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 6 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates:

These rankings are a consensus from four of our lead fantasy football columnists - Nick MarianoPierre Camus, Brandon Murchison, Scott Engel, and Dominick Petrillo - who have all analyzed the NFL matchups and game slates for Week 6.

And in case you weren't aware, our very own Nick Mariano was ranked #11 overall in 2018 out of ~120 industry experts, and was ranked #9 overall the year before. So be sure to follow his rankings every week!

 

Week 6 Fantasy Football Rankings (PPR)

You can also see our Week 6 ranks for Half-PPR and Standard scoring.

Note that quarterbacks, defenses and kickers are all grouped separately towards the bottom. Each of those positions is ranked on their own. This is to allow owners to compare running backs, wide receivers and tight ends for their FLEX spot (without seeing QB, DEF, K mixed in).

Last updated on Sunday 10/18 at 9:00 am ET:

Tier Rank Player Name Pos
1 1 Ezekiel Elliott RB
1 2 DeAndre Hopkins WR
1 3 Adam Thielen WR
1 4 Derrick Henry RB
1 5 Davante Adams WR
1 6 Tyreek Hill WR
1 7 Mike Davis RB
1 8 Alexander Mattison RB
1 9 James Robinson RB
2 10 Aaron Jones RB
2 11 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
2 12 Stefon Diggs WR
2 13 Jonathan Taylor RB
2 14 Allen Robinson II WR
2 15 Calvin Ridley WR
2 16 Kareem Hunt RB
2 17 Kenny Golladay WR
3 18 Miles Sanders RB
3 19 James Conner RB
3 20 David Montgomery RB
3 21 Travis Kelce TE
3 22 Robert Woods WR
3 23 Todd Gurley II RB
3 24 Mike Evans WR
3 25 George Kittle TE
3 26 Raheem Mostert RB
3 27 Joe Mixon RB
3 28 CeeDee Lamb WR
3 29 A.J. Brown WR
3 30 Cooper Kupp WR
3 31 Ronald Jones II RB
3 32 DeVante Parker WR
3 33 Amari Cooper WR
3 34 Antonio Gibson RB
3 35 Will Fuller V WR
3 36 Robby Anderson WR
3 37 Justin Jefferson WR
4 38 JuJu Smith-Schuster WR
4 39 Terry McLaurin WR
4 40 Myles Gaskin RB
4 41 Odell Beckham Jr. WR
4 42 Mark Andrews TE
4 43 Devin Singletary RB
4 44 Marquise Brown WR
4 45 David Johnson RB
4 46 Jamison Crowder WR
4 47 Tyler Boyd WR
4 48 D.J. Moore WR
4 49 Kenyan Drake RB
4 50 Darius Slayton WR
4 51 Jonnu Smith TE
5 52 D.J. Chark Jr. WR
5 53 Chris Godwin WR
5 54 Chase Claypool WR
5 55 Laviska Shenault Jr. WR
5 56 Julio Jones WR
5 57 T.Y. Hilton WR
5 58 Jarvis Landry WR
5 59 Brandin Cooks WR
5 60 Devonta Freeman RB
5 61 Julian Edelman WR
5 62 Chase Edmonds RB
5 63 Darrell Henderson RB
5 64 Tee Higgins WR
5 65 Mecole Hardman WR
5 66 Michael Gallup WR
5 67 Mark Ingram II RB
5 68 Deebo Samuel WR
5 69 Evan Engram TE
5 70 Christian Kirk WR
5 71 Phillip Lindsay RB
5 72 T.J. Hockenson TE
5 73 Travis Fulgham WR
5 74 Mike Gesicki TE
6 75 Golden Tate WR
6 76 Jerry Jeudy WR
6 77 John Brown WR
6 78 Preston Williams WR
6 79 Robert Tonyan TE
6 80 Brandon Aiyuk WR
6 81 Keelan Cole WR
6 82 Russell Gage WR
6 83 Adrian Peterson RB
6 84 Dalton Schultz TE
6 85 Marvin Jones Jr. WR
6 86 Curtis Samuel WR
6 87 Cole Beasley WR
6 88 Zach Ertz TE
7 89 James White RB
7 90 Randall Cobb WR
7 91 Nyheim Hines RB
7 92 Eric Ebron TE
7 93 Tyler Higbee TE
7 94 Austin Hooper TE
7 95 N'Keal Harry WR
7 96 Greg Ward WR
7 97 Scotty Miller WR
7 98 Damien Harris RB
7 99 Cam Akers RB
7 100 Anthony Miller WR
7 101 James Washington WR
7 102 Zach Pascal WR
7 103 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR
7 104 Tim Patrick WR
7 105 Demarcus Robinson WR
7 106 Hayden Hurst TE
7 107 Duke Johnson Jr. RB
7 108 J.K. Dobbins RB
7 109 Larry Fitzgerald WR
7 110 Frank Gore RB
7 111 A.J. Green WR
8 112 Jimmy Graham TE
8 113 Jerick McKinnon RB
8 114 Andy Isabella WR
8 115 Darnell Mooney WR
8 116 Gabriel Davis WR
8 117 J.D. McKissic RB
8 118 Kendrick Bourne WR
8 119 Damiere Byrd WR
8 120 Irv Smith Jr. TE
8 121 Rex Burkhead RB
8 122 Chris Conley WR
8 123 D'Andre Swift RB
8 124 Olamide Zaccheaus RB
8 125 Jeff Smith WR
8 126 Adam Humphries WR
8 127 Cordarrelle Patterson WR
8 128 Malcolm Brown RB
8 129 Danny Amendola WR
8 130 Miles Boykin WR
8 131 D'Ernest Johnson RB
8 132 Darren Fells TE
9 133 Isaiah Ford WR
9 134 Josh Reynolds WR
9 135 Logan Thomas TE
9 136 Tyler Eifert TE
9 137 Dontrelle Inman WR
9 138 Drew Sample TE
9 139 Rob Gronkowski TE
9 140 Leonard Fournette RB
9 141 Willie Snead IV WR
9 142 Zack Moss RB
9 143 Gus Edwards RB
9 144 Kenny Stills WR
9 145 Brian Hill RB
9 146 Trey Burton TE
9 147 Tony Pollard RB
9 148 John Hightower WR
9 149 Jamaal Williams RB
9 150 Chris Thompson RB
9 151 Lamical Perine RB
9 152 Tyler Johnson WR
9 153 Giovani Bernard RB
10 154 Cedrick Wilson WR
10 155 Kalif Raymond WR
10 156 Ian Thomas TE
10 157 Cameron Brate TE
10 158 Isaiah Wright WR
10 159 Breshad Perriman WR
10 160 Devin Duvernay WR
10 161 Braxton Berrios WR
10 162 Jack Doyle TE
10 163 Kyle Rudolph TE
10 164 Wayne Gallman RB
10 165 Byron Pringle WR
10 166 Dion Lewis RB
10 167 Chris Herndon IV TE
10 168 Darrel Williams RB
10 169 DaeSean Hamilton WR
10 170 Gerald Everett TE
11 171 Matt Breida RB
11 172 Van Jefferson WR
11 173 Collin Johnson WR
11 174 Boston Scott RB
11 175 Marcus Johnson WR
11 176 OlaBisi Johnson WR
11 177 Mike Boone RB
11 178 Auden Tate WR
11 179 Ke'Shawn Vaughn RB
11 180 Rashard Higgins WR
11 181 Dan Arnold TE
11 182 Dawson Knox TE
11 183 David Njoku TE
11 184 Mike Thomas WR
11 185 Darrius Shepherd WR
11 186 Jakeem Grant WR
11 187 Tyler Kroft TE
11 188 Ito Smith RB
11 189 Benny Snell Jr. RB
11 190 Nick Vannett TE
11 191 Royce Freeman RB
11 192 James O'Shaughnessy TE
11 193 Jordan Wilkins RB
11 194 Kerryon Johnson RB
11 195 Anthony McFarland Jr. RB
12 196 Nick Boyle TE
12 197 Jeff Wilson Jr. RB
12 198 Sterling Shepard WR
12 199 Kyle Juszczyk RB
12 200 Anthony Firkser TE
12 201 C.J. Board WR
12 202 Jake Butt TE
12 203 Chad Beebe WR
12 204 Ryan Izzo TE
12 205 Trent Taylor WR
12 206 Dante Pettis WR
12 207 Isaiah McKenzie WR
12 208 Vance McDonald TE
12 209 Peyton Barber RB
12 210 Damion Ratley WR
12 211 T.J. Yeldon RB
12 212 Ashton Dulin WR
12 213 Daurice Fountain WR
12 214 Darrynton Evans RB
12 215 Darwin Thompson RB
12 216 Jeremy McNichols RB
13 217 Marcedes Lewis TE
13 218 Christian Blake WR
13 219 Justin Watson WR
13 220 Jakobi Meyers WR
13 221 Richard Rodgers TE
13 222 Ryan Griffin TE
13 223 Jace Sternberger TE
13 224 Dontrell Hilliard RB
13 225 Tyler Ervin RB
13 226 Noah Brown WR
13 227 Trenton Cannon RB
13 228 Darrell Daniels TE
13 229 JJ Arcega-Whiteside WR
13 230 Harrison Bryant TE
13 231 Kaden Smith TE
13 232 Jaylen Samuels RB
13 233 Antonio Gandy-Golden WR
13 234 C.J. Ham RB
13 235 AJ Dillon RB
13 236 Ty Johnson RB
13 237 Adam Shaheen TE
13 238 Corey Clement RB
13 239 Pharaoh Brown TE
13 240 Demetrius Harris TE
13 241 Albert Okwuegbunam TE
13 242 Dare Ogunbowale RB
13 243 Alex Armah RB
13 244 Jordan Howard RB
13 245 Marvin Hall WR
13 246 Chris Manhertz TE
13 247 Lynn Bowden Jr. RB
13 248 Ryan Nall RB
14 249 KeeSean Johnson WR
14 250 Ameer Abdullah RB
14 251 Jaydon Mickens WR
14 252 Ryquell Armstead RB
14 253 Javon Wims WR
14 254 Gunner Olszewski WR
14 255 JaMycal Hasty RB
14 256 Jesse James TE
14 257 Josh Adams RB
14 258 Patrick Laird RB
14 259 Jason Huntley RB
14 260 DeAndre Washington RB
14 261 Tanner Hudson TE
14 262 Buddy Howell RB
14 263 Eno Benjamin RB
14 264 Cole Kmet TE
14 265 Andy Janovich RB
14 266 Lee Smith TE
14 267 Patrick Ricard RB
14 268 C.J. Prosise RB
15 269 Taywan Taylor WR
15 270 J.J. Taylor RB
15 271 Riley Ridley WR
15 272 Jakob Johnson RB
15 273 Justice Hill RB
15 274 Blake Bell TE
15 275 Qadree Ollison RB
15 276 Cethan Carter TE
15 277 MyCole Pruitt TE
15 278 Durham Smythe TE
15 279 Patrick Mahomes II QB
15 280 Kyler Murray QB
15 281 Trayveon Williams RB
15 282 Josh Allen QB
15 283 Luke Stocker TE
15 284 Devin Asiasi TE
15 285 Aaron Rodgers QB
15 286 Lamar Jackson QB
15 287 Deshaun Watson QB
15 288 Cyril Grayson Jr. WR
15 289 Ross Dwelley TE
15 290 Ben Roethlisberger QB
15 291 Matthew Stafford QB
15 292 Ryan Fitzpatrick QB
15 293 Kirk Cousins QB
15 294 Nick Keizer TE
15 295 Cam Newton QB
15 296 Brandon Powell WR
15 297 Gardner Minshew II QB
15 298 Ryan Tannehill QB
15 299 Tom Brady QB
15 300 Jared Goff QB
15 301 Tyler Conklin TE
15 302 Matt Ryan QB
15 303 Andy Dalton QB
15 304 Trevon Wesco TE
15 305 Joe Burrow QB
15 306 Teddy Bridgewater QB
15 307 Daniel Jones QB
15 308 Quintez Cephus WR
15 309 Trent Sherfield WR
15 310 Carson Wentz QB
15 311 Nick Mullens QB
15 312 Steven Mitchell Jr. WR
16 313 Nick Foles QB
16 314 Baker Mayfield QB
16 315 Philip Rivers QB
16 316 Cam Sims WR
16 317 Jimmy Garoppolo QB
16 318 Kyle Allen QB
16 319 Donovan Peoples-Jones WR
16 320 Deon Cain WR
16 321 Alex Erickson WR
16 322 Joe Flacco QB
16 323 Drew Lock QB
16 324 Jaeden Graham TE
16 325 Jeremy Sprinkle TE
16 326 Levine Toilolo TE
16 327 Jalen Hurts QB
16 328 Marcus Baugh TE
16 329 Brett Rypien QB
16 330 Justin Tucker K
16 331 C.J. Beathard QB
16 332 Deon Yelder TE
16 333 Harrison Butker K
16 334 Zane Gonzalez K
16 335 Greg Zuerlein K
16 336 Rodrigo Blankenship K
16 337 Johnny Mundt TE
16 338 Stephen Gostkowski K
16 339 Matt Prater K
16 340 Mason Crosby K
16 341 Aldrick Rosas K
16 342 Dan Bailey K
16 343 Joey Slye K
16 344 Jason Sanders K
16 345 Chris Boswell K
17 346 Younghoe Koo K
17 347 Jarrett Stidham QB
17 348 Robbie Gould K
17 349 Nick Folk K
17 350 Alex Smith QB
17 351 Sam Sloman K
17 352 Ka'imi Fairbairn K
17 353 Ryan Succop K
17 354 Graham Gano K
17 355 Tyler Bass K
17 356 Cody Parkey K
17 357 Randy Bullock K
17 358 Jake Elliott K
17 359 Cairo Santos K
17 360 Sam Ficken K
17 361 Dustin Hopkins K
17 362 Brandon McManus K
17 363 Baltimore Ravens DST
17 364 Indianapolis Colts DST
17 365 New England Patriots DST
17 366 Los Angeles Rams DST
17 367 Miami Dolphins DST
17 368 Pittsburgh Steelers DST
17 369 Washington Football Team DST
17 370 New York Giants DST
17 371 Chicago Bears DST
17 372 Kansas City Chiefs DST
17 373 Carolina Panthers DST
17 374 Tennessee Titans DST
17 375 San Francisco 49ers DST
17 376 Arizona Cardinals DST
17 377 Green Bay Packers DST
17 378 Tampa Bay Buccaneers DST
17 379 Cincinnati Bengals DST
17 380 Minnesota Vikings DST
17 381 Cleveland Browns DST
17 382 New York Jets DST
17 383 Detroit Lions DST
17 384 Denver Broncos DST
17 385 Buffalo Bills DST
17 386 Dallas Cowboys DST
17 387 Philadelphia Eagles DST
17 388 Jacksonville Jaguars DST
17 389 Houston Texans DST
17 390 Atlanta Falcons DST


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Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

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Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




Categories
2020 Fantasy Football Advice 2020 Fantasy Football Matchups and Start/Sit 2020 Fantasy Football Projections & ADP Analysis Editor Note Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups NFL Analysis RotoBaller - All Fantasy Sports Articles

Week 6 Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2020 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

I was riding high after predicting eight out of the top ten defenses two weeks ago, but we saw some craziness this Sunday (along with some top tier defenses postponed or canceled), which caused only a 50% success rate in identifying top-10 units. Miami throttling San Francisco was truly a surprise, as was a Kansas City defense that hadn't allowed more than 20 points in any game this season allowing 40 points to Las Vegas.

I touched on this last week, but teams have now scored 3,900 points or 25.6 points per game so far this season and are gaining 367.4 yards per game which are both the most through the first five weeks of any season in the Super Bowl era. With offenses putting up video game numbers, it means that we can't continue to judge a defense solely by the number of points they allow or the number of yards they give up. Those numbers will naturally be higher than we're used to. Instead, we need to look for which offensive lines are truly weak points and which defenses will either be blitz-heavy or get consistent pressure with their pass rush. These are all incredibly important pieces of information in determining which defenses to play in any given week.

Remember that picking the right defense is not about identifying who will allow the fewest points, but who will cause the most turnovers or tally the most sacks since that has a higher correlation to weekly fantasy DST leaders. That means that, as much these rankings are about the talent on the defensive side of the ball, it is equally about taking advantage of the lack of talent on the offensive side. Starting the right defense every week can be a difference-maker, so remember to check back here during the week as I will make updates once we get more information on some of these injuries and also get a better sense of the weather for the game.

 

Week 6 Defenses To Start & Stream: Tiers & Rankings

Below are my Week 6 defense tiers and rankings, or which defenses to stream, start and target off the waiver wire for Week 5 of the NFL and fantasy football season. Our weekly tiered defense rankings are a guide to making waiver wire pickups to improve your lineups, and to decide which defenses to start, sit, target, avoid or stream for Week 6. I've broken out our defense rankings into tiers with analysis on each matchup. Some of these Week 6 defenses have good matchups and are not widely-owned, representing fantasy scoring opportunities if they are available on your league's waiver wire for a Week 6 pickup or add.

Returning for this year: Confidence Ratings (out of 15) - Since every league's DST scoring is different, projections don't always make a ton of sense. The confidence rating, which Bill Dubiel started last year, is a guideline for how much more I like one team over another instead of a straight point projection. A zero means "do not start," then the confidence rises from there. I take a lot of factors into account: opponent injuries, home-field advantage, weather (which will be updated during the week), etc. We still have only one game of in-season data to work with, so this week's rankings weigh schedule and personnel heavier than they will down the line.

Typically the top three tiers will be DSTs you should target, with Tier 4 being options in deep leagues and Tier 5 being desperation plays or good defenses in horrendous matchups.

 

Tier 1 Defenses

Rank Tier DST Week 6 Opponent Confidence Rating
1 1 Baltimore Ravens Defense @ PHI 13.4
2 1 New England Patriots Defense vs. DEN 12.9
3 1 Indianapolis Colts Defense vs. CIN 12.1
4 1 Pittsburgh Steelers Defense vs. CLE 11.6

Yes, Philadelphia is set to get a little bit healthier on offense with the returns of Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson, and they just put up 29 points on the Steelers, but they are also the third-largest underdog on the slate, according to Las Vegas.  The Eagles are still going to be hobbled on the offensive line, and Lane Johnson is getting a second opinion on his troublesome knee, which is an even bigger issue than their beleaguered receiving corps. Philadelphia has allowed the third-most sacks in the league, with 19 in only five games. The relentless pressure has also caused Carson Wentz to throw nine interceptions, which is the most in the league. As I mentioned above, I'm not really concerned if the Eagles are able to put up 20 points in this game since most teams are doing that relatively consistently this year. The Ravens defense hasn't been elite this year, ranking only 14th in pressure ate, but they are 6th in the NFL in sacks and should find themselves in the backfield consistently on Sunday, racking up sacks and causing a few interceptions. All of which makes them one of the best bets at DST in Week 6.

Holding the Chiefs offense in check the way the Patriots did during the first half last Monday night was a truly impressive feat; however, I'm not sure we should have expected much different from Bill Belichick. Yes, the Chiefs wound up with 26 points and the win, but their offense was stalled way more than usual. Belichick has always been an incredible defensive coach, but now his task gets significantly easier on Sunday, even if the Denver Broncos get Drew Lock back under center. The Patriots may only have six sacks on the season, but they are second in the NFL in pressure rate at 30.9% and third in the league with 26 quarterback hurries, numbers that are more impressive when you consider that three of the four teams the Patriots have played are in the top-13 in pressure allowed. Meanwhile, the Broncos were 28th in the league with 13 sacks allowed before missing this Sunday with a "BYE" and simply don't have the playmakers to scare these Patriots defenders. Yes, Jerry Jeudy will be good, but he's not somebody that is going to consistently get the better of Stephon Gilmore, who should be back from his COVID diagnosis on Sunday. I expect the Patriots to control this game and cause lots of problems for the Broncos offense.

The Colts are the second-largest favorite according to Vegas odds, but this game will hinge on the health of their defense. Star linebacker Darius Leonard missed Sunday's game against the Browns with a groin injury and, despite playing, fellow linebackers Anthony Walker and Bobby Okerele were banged up during the week and came into the game hobbled. As a result, the Colts gave up 385 yards to the Browns and lost 32-23. The Colts were able to pick Baker Mayfield off twice, but only got one sack against the Browns stalwart offensive line. It will be a much different story on Sunday against a Bengals offensive line that has been one of the worst in football, allowing a league-leading 22 sacks, including seven last week to a Ravens team that has consistently gotten less pressure on the quarterback than Indianapolis. That's good news for a Colts defense that is 8th in the NFL in pressure rate and 9th in quarterback hurry percentage. With Phillip Rivers more likely to find success against the Bengals Defense than he did against the Browns, and the Bengals likely playing this game without A.J. Green (who admittedly wasn't really productive when in) the Colts should get up early in this game and take advantage of a weak Bengals offensive line.

As I mentioned above, the Browns don't give up a lot of sacks, but Baker Mayfield is still one of the more turnover-prone quarterbacks in the league. Only 53.2% of his passes have been on target, according to Pro Football Reference, and he was one of the worst quarterbacks in the league last year when pressured. So far this season, he has only been pressured on 13.5% of dropbacks and has been hurried a total of 13 times in five games. That has allowed him to curtail some of his mistakes (even though there have been a few head-scratching throws); however, the Steelers have the third-highest blitz percentage at 38.7% and the best pressure rate in the league at 38.1%. Since the Steelers are second in the league with only 3.3 yards allowed per rush, the Browns may have to turn to Baker more often than they want. If he is not able to stand in a clean pocket, he's more liable to make mistakes that lead to turnovers. Pairing that with the likely low-scoring total in this division rivalry, and I like the Steelers as a high floor offense with a good chance at a defensive touchdown.

 

Tier 2 Defenses

Rank Tier DST Week 6 Opponent Confidence Rating
5 2 Miami Dolphins Defense  vs. NYJ 11.3
6 2 Washington Football Team Defense @ NYG 10.4
7 2 Tennessee Titans Defense vs. HOU 10.2
8 2 Los Angeles Rams Defense @ SF 9.8

The Dolphins defense just manhandled a near-full strength 49ers team, so it makes sense to have faith in them to put up a similarly inspired effort against an undermanned Jets team. Le'Veon Bell came back, but his usage continued to be questionable. Sam Darnold missed last week, as did left tackle Mekhi Bechton, but they may return this weekend which would be a boon for the Jets. The Dolphins as a unit have been fairly average on the year, ranking 13th in pressure rate and 16th in hurry percentage despite being tied for 7th in sacks. This pick is really more about the ineptitude of the Jets offense that is 25th in the league in sacks allowed and 28th in total yards.

If we're attacking the Jets, then we should also be attacking the other New Jersey (sorry, New York) team. The Giants put up 30+ points against the Cowboys, but that is more about Dallas featuring one of the worst defenses in the league than the Giants all of the sudden becoming a strong offense. Devonta Freeman lacks explosiveness and Darius Slayton gives the Giants one consistent weapon on the outside, but he doesn't have much help. Washington got Chase Young back this Sunday, which is great news for a pass rush that suffered a bit without him. However, on the year, they are 3rd in the league in interceptions, sixth in the league in sacks, 12th in quarterback hurry rate, and will now face a Giants team that is 27th in total yards and 26th in sacks allowed. I think Washington will be a surprisingly high-scoring defensive unit this week.

As of this writing, the Titans have only played one half of football in two weeks, but they look pretty good for a team that was a bit short-handed due to their COVID designations. Another week should allow them to get talented players that Kristian Fulton and Jeffrey Simmons back in the fold. Coming into Tuesday night's game, they are fourth in the league in pressure rate and first in quarterback knockdowns, despite having only four sacks. That tells me that a big week is coming, and who better to have it against than a Texans offensive line that is 28th in sacks allowed. The Titans defense is 7th in the league in drives ending in points, so I expect them to keep this from turning into a truly high-scoring affair, especially with Derrick Henry grinding down a weak Texans Defense, so I feel more confident in using the Titans this weekend.

As I mentioned above, the Dolphins defense held the 49ers to 259 yards of offense, picked off two passes, and registered five sacks. They've also consistently generated a worse pass rush than the Rams throughout the season. That makes me a little bullish on a Rams defense that is 9th in the NFL in pressure rate and tied for first in sacks. The 49ers are 29th in the league in sacks allowed and are clearly discombobulated right now as they recover from a slew of injuries, which means it's the wrong time to have to face Aaron Donald. The Rams defense has been steadily improving on the season, so I look for Los Angeles to take advantage of a beaten-down 49ers team.

 

Tier 3 Defenses

Rank Tier DST Week 6 Opponent Confidence Rating
9 3 New York Giants Defense vs. WAS 9.1
10 3 Kansas City Chiefs Defense @ BUF 8.9
11 3 Chicago Bears Defense @ CAR 8.4
12 3 New York Jets Defense @ MIA 8.1
13 3 San Francisco 49ers Defense  vs. LAR 7.9
14 3 Denver Broncos Defense @ NE 7.6
15 3 Cleveland Browns Defense @ PIT 7.1

OK, we all know the Giants defense is not that good, but Washington's offense may be worse. They benched Dwayne Haskins and got even worse production from Kyle Allen and Alex Smith. It was great seeing Smith back on the field, but he was hit constantly and he clearly doesn't have the mobility that he used to. The Giants are 11th in pressure rate and 12th in sacks, but this play is simply about attacking one of the worst offenses in the NFL. If Alex Smith starts again, which should be expected, the Giants really only have to worry about stopping Terry McLaurin and can go to work on an offensive line that is 31st in the NFL in sacks allowed with 21 in five games.

The Bills offense has been an elite offense this season, but they looked relatively mediocre in a first half without John Brown and both starting right guard Jon Feliciano and his back-up Brian Winters. That's not a great sign against a Chiefs defense that is 7th in the league in pressure rate. Josh Allen has gotten away with a few questionable throws heading into Tuesday night, and then had those decisions come back to bite him against the Titans on national television. The Chiefs were exposed against the Raiders on Sunday, but this is still a strong defensive unit that blitzes the 6th-most in the league and could cause problems for replacements on the Bills'offensive line. I think this game will be fast-paced and involve a fair share of sacks and turnovers.

The Bears defense has so far lacked the bite of recent seasons, ranking 18th in pressure rate, 16th in sacks, and 23rd in quarterback hurry percentage. They're also 12th in the number of drives ending in scores and will face off against a surprisingly strong Panthers offense that has the fourth-most yards in the league. The Panthers have allowed the 15th-most sacks in the NFL, so it's likely that the Bears bring down Bridgewater a couple of times, but this isn't the slam dunk game people would have assumed once Christian McCaffrey went down.

I know we don't want to pick on the Dolphins offense after what they just did to San Francisco, but we've seen enough of Ryan Fitzpatrick to know that turnovers are always on the table when he takes the field. The Jets' secondary has struggled, but they are 9th in the NFL with five interceptions, tied for third in quarterback knockdowns, and are 17th in the NFL in pressure rate, so they still have a little bit of pep, unlike the offensive side of the ball. Maybe I'm alone here, but I think we could just as easily see the Dolphins throw two interceptions and yield three-plus sacks as I can see them turn in another rout.

This hasn't been a great season for the 49ers, and they've lost some key pieces on the defensive line, but they are still 5th in the NFL in pressure rate and 7th in quarterback knockdowns, which means they're getting after the quarterback. The Rams have only allowed seven sacks total on the season and are third in the league in total yards, so they will score points and keep the 49ers from putting up a massive fantasy total, but we all know how Jared Goff's play diminishes when he's under pressure, so there's a chance we can see Bad Goff on Sunday in a messy game overall. I think the 49ers are too well-coached to come out and lay another egg.

An extra week means the Patriots will most likely be starting Cam Newton in this game instead of Jarrett Stidham, which is, as I'm sure you know, a massive difference. The Broncos defense is still 6th in the NFL in pressure rate and 5th in quarterback hurry percentage, but they banged up enough that I'm not sure they can contain a well-coached Patriots offense for the entire game. I just don't see a lot of upside in the matchup, especially with how the Broncos offense put their defense in bad positions throughout the entire game against the Jets. However, I think the Broncos can get to Cam a couple of times, and I can't envision this being a high-scoring, or exciting, football game.

The Browns have played really solid defense of late, including a strong game in limiting an admittedly average Colts offense. The Steelers have a near-elite offensive line that has allowed only six sacks in four games and should have little problem with a Browns pass rush that has a mediocre 19.6% pressure rate. However, the Browns do lead the league in quarterback hurries with 30, which could cause problems for Ben Roethlisberger since the veteran loves to hold the ball a little longer than he should. Chase Claypool was superb last week, but if Diontae Johnson misses next week, Claypool will really need to deliver against since JuJu Smith-Schuster will likely get a heavy dose of Denzel Ward. I expect this to be a grinding, low-scoring game that should keep the fantasy DST floors relatively safe.

 

Tier 4 Defenses

Rank Tier DST Week 6 Opponent Confidence Rating
16 4 Buffalo Bills Defense vs KC 6.9
17 4 Green Bay Packers Defense @ TB 6.3
18 4 Carolina Panthers Defense vs. CHI 6.1
19 4 Cincinnati Bengals Defense @ IND 5.3
20 4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense vs. GB 4.9
21 4 Arizona Cardinals Defense @ DAL 4.5
22 4 Jacksonville Jaguars Defense vs. DET 4.2

 

Tier 5 Defenses

Rank Tier DST Week 6 Opponent Confidence Rating
23 5 Houston Texans Defense @ TEN 3.8
24 5 Philadelphia Eagles Defense vs. BAL 3.1
25 5 Detroit Lions Defense @ JAX 2.7
26 5 Dallas Cowboys Defense vs ARI 2.1
27 5 Atlanta Falcons Defense @ MIN 1.2
28 5 Minnesota Vikings Defense vs. ATL 0.9
29 5 New Orleans Saints Defense BYE 0.4
30 5 Las Vegas Raiders Defense BYE 0.3
31 5 Los Angeles Chargers Defense BYE 0.0
32 5 Seattle Seahawks Defense BYE 0.0


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Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Fantasy Football Analysis


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




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NFL Survivor Pool Picks (Week 6) - Targets and Avoids

Five weeks into the season and we're starting to see who some teams really are. We already knew the Jets and Giants were awful, but are the Rams actually good? They're 4-1 with all their wins coming against the NFC East and their lone loss against the Bills. It'll also be real interesting to see how the Saints play in the coming weeks with Drew Brees unable to zip a throw in.

Underdogs went 8-6 against the spread with four outright upsets. The biggest was the Raiders beating the Chiefs which knocked out around 25 percent of remaining entrants in pools. The Dolphins beating the Niners did a little damage too. My survivor plays went 5-1 straight-up. None of my avoids lost but the Saints and Seahawks both had to come back late to win.

This is a difficult week with only three teams favored by a touchdown or more, but there is one play I really like and it's a team you won't want to choose again. There is no Thursday night football this week due to COVID rescheduling. The Chargers, Raiders, Saints, and Seahawks are on bye.

 

Survivor League Week 6

Teams favored by a touchdown or more in Week 6; Colts -8 vs. Bengals, Ravens -8 @ Eagles, and Dolphins -8 vs. Jets.

If you're reading this article on Thursday or later, these lines are from Tuesday. Check the current spreads and see how the line moved.

I also give out my three top plays against the spread. That can be found at the bottom of the column.

 

Top Survivor Picks for Week 6

Lions -3.5 @ Jaguars

You won't get another chance to take the Lions. They fit one of my favorite gambling trends; road favorite off a bye. The trend is 63-26 since 2002. RJ Bell explained why the trend is so successful.

"The team that's traveling is clearly better. Because you can't be favored on the road unless you're clearly better. But because you're clearly better, you have the distractions on the road. You might be looking ahead. You might be a little beat up from last week. Whatever it is, it's going to cause you not to play your best game; you're more susceptible to a team you think you should easily beat, even more susceptible on the road. That's why road favorites are so dangerous. Well, when you have a bye, all that stuff goes out the window. If you haven't played for two weeks, you're not going to look ahead. You're going to be focused on that team. You're not going to be tired. All the things that make traveling tough, you have that total focus."

The Lions are 1-3 and have held a double-digit lead in all three of their losses. The Jaguars are who we thought they were before the season; a bad team. They surprised many with their Week 1 against the Colts but have since lost four in a row. The stats point to Jacksonville but the eye test points to Detroit. If the Lions shore up their defense, particularly in the red zone and on third down, they could run away with this one.

Lions 27 - Jaguars 16

 

Colts -8 vs. Bengals

Cincinnati better figure out a way to protect Joe Burrow because he's been getting crushed. Now they face a ferocious Colts Defense that's first in opponent yards per play. Phillip Rivers was awful Sunday but should rebound against an average Bengals Defense. They allow 159 rushing yards per game, 29th in the league. That will allow Indy to go back to the running game to open up the passing game. Colts will control this through and through.

Colts 24 - Bengals 13

 

Ravens -8 @ Eagles

As I keep saying, Baltimore beats up on bad teams. Are the Eagles bad though? It's unclear because their win over the 49ers two weeks ago doesn't seem so good after they got blown out by Miami. Philly is off a tough loss to Pittsburgh in which their defensive front looked better, but will they be able to stop the Ravens rushing attack? They're 17th in that department and even if they do slow down Baltimore, their offense won't be able to keep up. Baltimore is fifth in opponent yards per play, and fifth in getting off the field on third down.

Ravens 30 - Eagles 20

 

Panthers -2.5 vs. Bears

Chicago is the most overrated 4-1 team I can ever remember. They should've lost to the Lions, barely beat the Giants, should've lost to Falcons, were a no-show against the Colts, and somehow beat the Bucs last Thursday. Their offense is bottom-ten in yards per play, third-down conversions, touchdowns in the red zone. But their defense is top-ten in all those statistical categories. But the defense will have their hands full with the Panthers offense. They rank sixth in yards per play and are sixth in converting on third down. Teddy Bridgewater has looked better and more comfortable each week. If they can put up 20 points in this one, they should win.

Panthers 23 - Bears 17

 

Top Survivor Picks to Avoid 

Dolphins -8 vs. Jets

You probably think I'm crazy to lean toward the Jets here but, Miami is off their biggest win of the season. This is a divisional game with an over/under at 47.5. That's pretty low for current NFL standards with 59 percent of games going over the total. A lower total means less points will be scored which gives you a lean to the underdog. The stats are pretty even for these teams with Miami's defense ranking 27th in opponent yards per play and the Jets, 22nd.

Dolphins 23 - Jets 21

 

Vikings -3.5 vs. Falcons

Minnesota may be an appealing survivor pick because they're playing the putrid Falcons and when would you be able to take Minnesota again? Atlanta is also off firing their general manager and head coach. Their owner won't even commit to Matt Ryan in the future. The team is a mess. But there are just too many question marks with not only the Falcons but Vikings too. How will Minnesota respond after a gut-wrenching last-second loss in Seattle. Their defense seems to be much improved in the past two weeks but the Falcons will throw, throw, and throw. I don't trust the Vikings in this spot.

Vikings 31 - Falcons 30

 

Best Bets for Week 6

  • Lions -3.5 vs. Jaguars - Road favorite off a bye.
  • Panthers -2.5 vs. Bears - Chicago will get exposed in this spot.
  • 49ers +3.5 vs. Rams - Niners have lost two in a row, and looked awful Sunday. Rams haven't beat anyone good yet. I'll take the home team and the hook.

 

Running Totals

  • Last week: 2-1
  • 2020 season total: 7-8
  • 2019 season total: 23-26-2


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OwnersBox NFL DFS Lineup Picks for Week 6 - Daily Fantasy Football

Hey there RotoBallers! If you haven't had a chance to check out the weekly fantasy offerings over at OwnersBox, now is the time! OwnersBox is a new weekly fantasy platform that offers plenty of game setups to fulfill your desire to draft throughout the season! Over at OwnersBox,  you can participate in snake drafts and select 1, 2, 3, or 4-week tournament-style bracket contests.

In this article, I will be providing you with my weekly fantasy football lineup picks on OwnersBox for contests that start in Week 6. I will pick out two players at each position: a short-term option (for one-week drafts) and a long-term option (for drafts lasting between two and four weeks). As always, be sure to monitor news from the league in this crazy COVID-19 season. Game postponements and cancellations can happen at any time.

Be sure to also check out our other great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win big no matter what your preferred weekly fantasy platform happens to be. If you sign up for OwnersBox this week, you'll get $25 free in OwnersBucks, which can be redeemed to play in real money games.

 

OwnersBox Quarterbacks

One-Week Drafts:

Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) @BUF

Mahomes and the Chiefs travel to Buffalo in what should be one of the highest-scoring games on the slate. The Bills have struggled against the pass in the early going, ranking just 24th in pass defense DVOA and allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per game to the position. Mahomes as the top QB off the board in one-week drafts in a no-brainer.

Also consider: Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) vs. KC

 

Two-to-Four-Week Drafts:

Cam Newton (New England Patriots) vs. DEN, vs. SF, @BUF, @NYJ

Newton has tested negative for COVID-19 after missing a handful of weeks and will presumably be back under center in Week 6 against the Broncos. Denver's pass defense ranks 18th in DVOA and is allowing the seventh-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. In Week 7, he will take on the 49ers at home. San Francisco's once-dominant defense has crumbled in 2020. After allowing Ryan Fitzpatrick to shred them in Week 5, the 49ers are allowing the 14th-most fantasy points per game and rank 23rd in DVOA vs. the pass.

Week 8 brings a fantastic road matchup against the Bills. Revisit the Patrick Mahomes section above to see just how generous Buffalo has been to opposing passing offenses this season. Newton finishes up this fantastic four-game stretch with a road matchup against the Jets. New York's pass-funnel defense ranks 31st in pass DVOA and ninth against the run.

Also consider: Ben Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) vs. CLE, @TEN, @BAL, @DAL

 

OwnersBox Running Backs

One-Week Drafts:

Derrick Henry (Tennessee Titans) vs. HOU 

Henry found the end zone twice more in Week 5's Tuesday night game and delivered a vicious stiff-arm to cornerback Josh Norman, which you can check out below. The veteran running back is a good bet to score again in Week 6 against a Houston run defense that is allowing the seventh-most fantasy points per game to running backs.

Derrick Henry epic stiff-arm!

Also consider: Mike Davis (Carolina Panthers) vs. CHI

 

Two-to-Four-Week Drafts:

Ezekiel Elliott (Dallas Cowboys) vs. ARI, @WAS, @PHI, vs. PIT

Elliott is always an excellent fantasy option and he could see his team's offense skew a bit more run-heavy after the season-ending injury to Dak Prescott. He will face the Cardinals in Week 6 in what should be a high-scoring game. Look for Dallas to be in the red zone plenty against the Cardinals Defense. In Week 7, Elliott will square off against Washington on the road. Washington is tough against the pass but just average vs. the run, which bodes well for Zeke's outlook.

A road matchup against the Eagles follows. Philly ranks 15th in run defense DVOA. The only tough matchup in this four-game stretch is Elliott's Week 9 showdown with the Steelers. Pittsburgh's run defense has been tough but they did show some cracks, allowing Miles Sanders to score twice in Week 5.

Also consider: Aaron Jones (Green Bay Packers) @TB, @HOU, vs. MIN, @SF

 

OwnersBox Wide Receivers

One-Week Drafts:

DeAndre Hopkins (Arizona Cardinals) @DAL

Hopkins proved he has over a Week 4 ankle injury last week, popping off for 131 yards and a score against the Jets last week. He draws a pristine matchup against a leaky Dallas secondary in Week 6. The Cowboys are allowing the third-most WR fantasy points per game this season, giving up big games to Robert Woods, Calvin Ridley, Tyler Lockett, D.K. Metcalf, Odell Beckham Jr., and Darius Slayton. Hopkins is a smash selection as the first WR off the board.

Also consider: Kenny Golladay (Detroit Lions) @JAX

 

Two-to-Four-Week Drafts:

Davante Adams (Green Bay Packers) @TB, @HOU, vs. MIN, @SF

Adams struggled with a hamstring injury over the first few weeks of the season but he was reportedly close to playing in Week 4. He should be close to 100% coming off a Week 5 bye. When Adams is healthy, he is one of the safest, highest-ceiling WRs in fantasy, thanks to the lack of receiving options around him. He will take on Tampa Bay in Week 6 in what is a tough matchup. Of course, I like his chances any week regardless of matchup difficulty. Week 7 brings a road matchup against a Houston pass defense that has been very average against the pass this season.

The Vikings have been one of the top matchups for receivers this season, having allowed the sixth-most fantasy points per game to the position through the first five weeks.  Adams finishes up with the 49ers in Week 9. San Francisco's pass defense ranks just 23rd in pass defense DVOA. They are also much tougher against the run, which should push even more work onto Adams' plate.

Also consider: Tyreek Hill (Kansas City Chiefs) @BUF, @DEN, vs. NYJ, vs. CAR

 

OwnersBox Tight Ends

One-Week Drafts:

Mark Andrews (Baltimore Ravens) @PHI

Andrews has been up-and-down this season but he's on a hot streak of late, having caught three touchdowns in his last two games. He will take on an Eagles Defense that is allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per game to the tight end position. As the clear No. 1 option in the Baltimore passing game, Andrews is likely to find the end zone again this weekend.

Also consider: George Kittle (San Francisco 49ers) vs. LAR

 

Two-to-Four-Week Drafts:

Travis Kelce (Kansas City Chiefs) @BUF, @DEN, vs. NYJ, vs. CAR

Kelce is in a great spot over the next four games of the season. He will face a Bills Defense that is allowing the third-most fantasy points per game to the tight end this weekend. In Week 7, he travels to Denver in another plus matchup. The Broncos have allowed the 11th-most FPP to the position.

The Jets pass defense is one of the worst in the league, as mentioned above in the Cam Newton section, and has allowed three touchdowns to tight ends over the past four games. Kelce wraps up this stretch against the Panthers in his only "tough" matchup on the slate. Carolina has been stingy against enemy tight ends but they haven't faced anyone on the level of Kelce this season.

Also consider: Jonnu Smith (Tennessee Titans) vs. HOU, vs. PIT, @CIN, vs. CHI



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The King's Week 6 Fantasy Football Lineup Rankings (Premium Content)


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Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.

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FAB Bidding - Week 6 Waiver Wire Targets

Crack that piggybank and recruit some reinforcements! Alongside our famous waiver wire pickups list and our weekly waiver wire columns by position, this column focuses on suggested waiver wire bidding percentages for fantasy football owners in leagues using a Free Agent Budget (FAB). In case you were not aware, several fantasy sports platforms are switching from FAAB to FAB in 2020, and RotoBaller will make that change as well.

As a caveat, these prices do not by any means indicate how much these free agent players will go for. Each league values players differently and will continue to do so. These values are here to provide a baseline or priority order to understand roughly how much you should be looking to spend on a particular player. Specific needs are always reasonable cause for a manual override.

The injuries were lighter in Week 5, but losing the NE/DEN contest surely tilted many a roster. With four teams on bye for Week 6 -- SEA, LAC, NO, LV -- having depth is more important than ever. Don't shy away from the "boring" add to plug in. Here are my median FAB bid ranges and adds heading into Week 6, with Yahoo rostership rates from Monday night.

 

FAB Waiver Wire Bids - Quarterbacks

Ryan Fitzpatrick (QB, MIA) - FAB Bid: 1-2%

21% rostered

The Dolphins will want to see Tua Tagovailoa in action eventually, but Fitzmagic season is in full effect. The Harvard alum wisely targeted San Francisco’s practice-squad DB Brian Allen often in Week 5, resulting in 350 yards and three scores in a blowout of the reigning NFC champs. And now he gets a green-light matchup with the Jets in Week 6, meaning Fitzpatrick and the Miami offense are solid plays once again. I recognize the 49ers were broken, but Fitz ranks top-five in aggression per NFL's Next Gen Stats and that will play in fantasy.

Kirk Cousins (QB, MIN) - FAB Bid: 1-2%

32% rostered

Cousins went 27-of-39 on throws for 249 yards and two touchdowns with an interception (and fumble lost) in Week 5. It wasn’t impressive as the Vikings ran all over the Seahawks, even once Dalvin Cook left with a groin injury. The 39 pass attempts blew away his previous season-high mark of 27 and may foreshadow Week 6’s date with a vulnerable Atlanta defense. Especially as Kirk was just one of five qualified QBs with an intended-air-yards mark of 10 or more entering Week 5.

The Falcons just got DJ Moore right and should offer little opposition to Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson, but even a limited Cook or his backups could gash ATL. Perhaps they’ll be stiffer in hopes of proving that now-ousted Dan Quinn was the problem and not them. Cousins is a viable streamer for those seeking 18-20 points.

 

FAB Waiver Wire Bids - Running Backs

Alexander Mattison (RB, MIN) - FAB Bid: 10-15%

40% rostered

I’ll mention Mattison even though his rostered rate is slightly above the usual threshold. Dalvin Cook left Sunday night’s game with a groin injury and is receiving an MRI on Monday, which left Mattison in a smash spot against Seattle that yielded 136 total yards.

While he was momentarily banged up and Mike Boone also ran well, that highlights how all three RBs are talented and that Seattle’s D is in rough shape. If Mattison is the starter next week against Atlanta then you’ll want him plugged in. The Vikings have a bye in Week 7 and may elect to give Cook rest through then. Plus, you get all sorts of Hamilton-themed smack talk to drop:

Jamaal Williams (RB, GB) - FAB Bid: 3-6%

15% rostered

While Williams is a running back, he’s needed as a receiver right now given Green Bay’s injuries.  The Packers have little depth beyond Davante Adams, who is presumed back for Week 6, with an inconsistent Marquez Valdes-Scantling and upstart Robert Tonyan blossoming at tight end. This left Williams with an 8-95-0 receiving line alongside a poor 8-10-0 rushing line for Week 4. They won’t grind Aaron Jones into the ground, leaving Williams able to benefit from a vengeful Aaron Rodgers who is out to prove he’s still a king in today’s NFL.

*There simply aren’t many low-owned RBs that are ready to help in Week 6. If you need a running back on the roster then go after the insurance-policy backs such as Tony Pollard (what Mattison was) and hope to hit it big moving forward. I'm not here to conjure up names just to squeeze into a column -- if they aren't worth your FAB, I won't force it.

 

FAB Waiver Wire Bids - Wide Receivers

Chase Claypool (WR, PIT) - FAB Bid: 20-25%

14% rostered

Claypool erupted for four total touchdowns on Sunday, catching seven passes for 110 yards and three TDs while adding a two-yard TD rush for fun. He rallied for PIT once Diontae Johnson left with a back issue, which tacks on to his recent concussion and a toe injury to give him a frightful list of woes to overcome. Monitor Johnson's injury reports as the week progresses but Pittsburgh may not put this genie back in the bottle. If you have to make one add this week, it's Claypool.

Preston Williams (WR, MIA) - FAB Bid: 8-10%

22% rostered

Whew, about time! We knew we just had to wait for a matchup with San Francisco to get Williams right, right? He was the main beneficiary of the aforementioned Brian Allen matchup, securing 106 yards with a 32-yard touchdown mixed in on his four catches. The lower volume remains concerning, but this should keep him above Isaiah Ford on the depth chart. Miami won’t explode for 43 points often, but facing the Broncos in Week 6 should offer another opportunity to roll.

Travis Fulgham (WR, PHI) - FAB Bid: 8-10%

3% rostered

Fulgham showed that last week’s 2-57-1 line wasn’t a flash-in-the-pan scenario, as he dominated Pittsburgh’s defense for 10 catches, 152 yards, and a score on 13 targets. He and Greg Ward both did well with Philly trailing often (yet Zach Ertz still stunk). Philly will eventually return Alshon Jeffery, DeSean Jackson, Jalen Reagor, and Dallas Goedert, so don’t get attached to double-digit targets. 

Tyler Johnson (WR, TB) - FAB Bid: 2-3%

0% rostered

The good news is that Johnson logged 61 yards on four receptions (six targets) in his first real taste of NFL action. The bad news is that it took injuries to Chris Godwin and Justin Watson, as well as Mike Evans and Scotty Miller being dinged up, to get Johnson there. It's hard to see those stars aligning yet again for Week 6's home date with the Packers, but it's not impossible. Aaron Rodgers and the Pack will surely push Tom Brady and the Bucs to action, and if Johnson is running in three-wide sets then you have a solid dart throw on your hands.

Olamide Zaccheaus (WR, ATL) - FAB Bid: 3-6%

8% rostered

Zaccheaus only managed a 13-yard catch in Week 5 after dropping that 8-86-0 line in Week 4. It was a disappointing follow-up, but it's promising that he stayed on the field and remained in the rotation with Julio Jones out. Russell Gage only had a 2-16-0 line as well, so it's not like Zaccheaus was the only one left out. And it's not like he was out there to run block:

Other WRs of Note:

  • Laviska Shenault Jr. (JAX, 34%) 4-5% - Two strong weeks in a row, targets trending up.
  • Christian Kirk (ARI, 34%) 4-5% - Season-high 7 tgts, 78 yds, DAL & SEA matchups coming.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling (GB, 33%) 3-4% - Still No. 2 WR for Rodgers, that has value.
  • N'Keal Harry (NE, 32%) 3-4% - Harry with 28 tgts thru 4 games, getting Cam back?
  • Cole Beasley (BUF, 29%) 2-3% - BUF throwing a ton, he’ll be needed against KC in Wk. 6.
  • Scotty Miller (TB, 29%) 2-3% - Goose egg hurt, but still a solid play if Godwin’s out.
  • Alshon Jeffery (PHI, 18%) 1-2% - Don’t forget about him, PHI is about to get crowded.
  • James Washington (PIT, 9%) 1-2% - Claypool draws spotlight, but JW viable if Diontae out.
  • Breshad Perriman (NYJ, 8%) 3-4% - Take Jeff Smith’s targets and give them to Perriman.
  • Darnell Mooney (CHI, 1%) 3-4% - Drew more tgts than Miller again, Foles missed open TD.
  • Nelson Agholor (LV, 2%) 1-2% - 3 TDs is great, only 11 tgts is not. Ted Ginn-ish at best.
  • Gabriel Davis (BUF, 2%) 2-3% - Unreliable w/ both Diggs and Brown healthy.
  • Cedrick Wilson (DAL, 2%) 0-1% - DAL defense may require lots of passing, Dalton will do.
  • Demarcus Robinson (KC, 0%) 0-1% - May step into potent offense if Watkins misses time.

 

FAB Waiver Wire Bids - Tight Ends

Darren Fells (TE, HOU) - FAB Bid: 2-3%

2% rostered

Fells found open space (read: busted coverage) for a 44-yard TD to fuel a 2-57-1 line on the day, enough for a top-3 TE week in half-PPR formats. He's TD-dependent and has only seen more than two targets in a game once so far, but we're all hoping Week 5's 30-14 victory signals a renaissance for Deshaun Watson and the Texans offense. Tennessee's defense offers stiffer competition than Jacksonville next week, but not by much. The Titans have quietly allowed opposing TEs to find paydirt in each of their first three games this season.

Gerald Everett (TE, LAR) - FAB Bid: 1-2% 

1% rostered

Everett caught all four of his targets for 90 yards against Washington while Tyler Higbee only had two catches/targets for 12 yards. It’s fair to question the hierarchy, especially after Higbee popped in the second half of 2019 after an injury sidelined Everett. Regardless, it's much closer to even than most people would think:

His ceiling is certainly the highest of these players, but he did just face Washington...so. Week 6's date at San Francisco should require more firepower as the Niners hope to rebound from embarrassment. Mike Gesicki just hung 91 yards on SF so perhaps Everett can replicate his 90-yard day there.

Irv Smith Jr. (TE, MIN) - FAB Bid: 1-2%

6% rostered

Big Irv established season-high marks with four catches on five targets for 64 yards against Seattle, building momentum for a date with Atlanta’s beleaguered defense in Week 6. Kyle Rudolph has averaged two targets through five games and isn’t ramping up, so we hope this is a sign that Smith is getting more involved. I'm tempering expectations and you may not want to hold him through Minnesota's Week 7 bye, but do note the recent upward trend here.

Cameron Brate (TE, TB) - FAB Bid: 1-2%

2% rostered

Brate answered the Week 5 call with five receptions for 44 yards on six targets, offering a midrange safety blanket for Tom Brady with O.J. Howard out. Rob Gronkowski topped 50 yards himself but didn’t look terribly graceful on his feet. Neither has a high ceiling these days, but the Bucs receiving corps is battered and needs both TEs to complement Mike Evans. If you simply need a solid 30-40 yards with decent red-zone usage then Brate fits the bill.

 

FAB Waiver Wire Bids - Defense/Special Teams

Miami Dolphins Defense (vs. NYJ) - FAB Bid: 0-1%

2% rostered

I realize the Dolphins typically elicit giggles, but they just bounced Jimmy Garoppolo after one half of play and now face the Jets. With confidence in their sails, Miami will look to build on Week 5’s five-sack, three-turnover performance against a reeling Jets team. Tack on that it’s a home matchup for Miami and you’ve got a good recipe to serve up on Sunday. Even as the Jets ease Le'Veon Bell and potentially Breshad Perriman back in, they are not to be feared. They simply get put into holes early and often, which leaves them taking risks and making mistakes for the majority of the game.

Minnesota Vikings Defense (vs. ATL) - FAB Bid: 0-1%

29% rostered

Matt Ryan and the Falcons have looked lost lately, which is exactly what the Vikings defense needs to see. While they just posted a season-high four sacks against Russell Wilson and the Seahawks, the Vikes’ D has struggled on the whole. They’ve surrendered at least 23 points in each game thus far, but have faced the likes of Aaron Rodgers, DeShaun Watson, and Russell Wilson. If you can’t scoop Miami then take a look at Minny, who open as 3.5-point favorites per Vegas sportsbooks.



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Monday & Tuesday Night Football DFS Lineup Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings

This week is a tad different as we are treated to a Monday and Tuesday two-game slate. The Monday night game features the Los Angeles Chargers and New Orleans Saints while the Tuesday night game features the Buffalo Bills and Tennessee Titans. The Saints and Chargers game has an under/over of 49.5 with the Saints favored by 8 while the Titans and Bills game has an under/over of 42.5 with the Bills being a 3 point favorite.

In this article, I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Monday and Tuesday Night Football slate on October 12th and 13th (Week 5). These lineups can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you have any questions you can follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with myself and other NFL DFS analysts any time you'd like!

 

DFS Quarterbacks

Josh Allen - The quarterback with the most upside on this slate is Josh Allen. Allen carries a very big price tag on DK but the offense starts and revolves around him. Allen has been much more efficient this season in the passing game as he is averaging 331.5 passing yards per game but what is even more impressive has been his decision making and ball security as he has only thrown one interception all season long. The upside that Allen presents is that he can score in both the air and on the ground as he has thrown 12 passing touchdowns while also having three rushing touchdowns as well. The Titans have struggled to defend the run as they are allowing over 166 yards per game and this could be a week where they get a heavy dose of Allen and Singletary run-pass options.

Ryan Tannehill - While playing Tannehill might not be the most exciting thing to do on this slate, his pricepoint really opens up salary for the rest of your lineup. Tannehill could be without both Corey Davis and Adam Humphries which does limit his upside a bit but it does look like he will have at least A.J. Brown and Jonnu Smith for their game. Tannehill is averaging 21 DK points per game through the first three weeks of the season and could be in a decent spot as the Bills have struggled against the pass this year allowing 280 passing yards per game. With a lot of the Bill's defensive attention going to Henry and the run game, Tannehill could have his opportunities downfield in one-on-one matchups.

Other Plays: Drew Brees

 

DFS Running Backs

Alvin Kamara - Kamara is by far the most electric running back on this slate and carries the most upside as well. He has produced 20+ DK points in all four games so far this season and has been a touchdown machine as he has found paydirt seven times (four rushing, three receiving). Kamara has been heavily involved in the receiving game as he has been targeted 35 times through the first four games of the season which leads the team (next closest is Sanders with 22). The Chargers Defense has been average defending the run and even worse against the pass so Kamara could be deployed in all formats with confidence.

Devin Singletary - While Singletary might not be the flashiest running back choice on this slate, he does provide a solid floor for your lineups, especially if his backup running back is ruled out. Singletary is involved in both the passing and running game for the Bills and while he might get vultured from Allen or concede some snaps to Moss, he makes the most of his workload. Singletary draws a very favorable matchup against Tennessee as they rank 31st in the league in run defense as they allow 166 rushing yards per game. With a lot of attention going to Josh Allen and his running abilities, Singletary could be a viable tournament option especially if he can find the end zone.

Other Plays: Derrick HenryZack Moss, Justin Jackson

 

DFS Wide Receivers

Keenan Allen - Allen has been on fire through the first quarter of the season and it doesn't seem like he is slowing down anytime soon. He carries a team-high 35.8% team target share percentage and is averaging over 12 targets per game. Allen has seen even more attention from his rookie quarterback and with Ekeler being place don the IR, he could receive more attention in the passing game. The Saints secondary has been banged up over the past couple weeks and could be without Marshon Lattimore as he is listed as questionable and Janoris Jenkins already being labeled as out. If they are missing several of their key pieces, Allen could have a big night. He is easily one of the best cash game options in the league and is certainly viable for tournament lineups as well.

A.J. Brown - Brown is listed as questionable heading into Tuesday nights game but with Davis and Humphries both looking like they will be unable to play due to Covid-19, it is hard to imagine the Titans not rolling out their top receiving option against the Bills. Brown has only played in one game this season but really emerged during his 2019 campaign as the go-to guy for Ryan Tannehill in this Titans offense. In his lone action of the 2020 season, Brown recorded five catches on eight total targets for 39 yards against Denver and this should be a stat line that could easily be the floor for Brown in his matchup tonight. The Bills have allowed opposing teams to throw for over 280 yards per game which ranks 28th in the league so this seems like a favorable matchup for the Titans passing game which would also allude to Brown having a big game.

Tre'Quan SmithThis is another week for the Saints without Michael Thomas which means Tre'Quan Smith could see a heavy workload yet again. Smith has seen an increased workload and an increase in targets with Thomas's absence as he has racked up 17 targets and two receiving touchdowns over his last three games played. The Chargers defense has been hit with injuries, especially in their secondary and they have allowed opponents to rack up 263 passing yards per game which rank 24th in the league. We all know Brees at home is always in play and with how the Chargers have suffered in passing coverage, we can assume that both Smith and Sanders will be heavily involved in the offensive gameplan tonight.

Other Plays: Stefon Diggs, Emmanuel Sanders, Cole Beasley,  Marquez Callaway, Jalen Guyton, Kalif Raymond

 

DFS Tight Ends

Hunter Henry - When healthy, Hunter Henry has been one of the more consistent fantasy tight ends in the league. He ranks second on the Chargers when it comes to team target share (19%) and could only see more of an increase with Austin Ekeler being out for multiple weeks. Henry has been a solid security blanket for this Chargers offense and while his ceiling might not be the highest, he is viable for cash game formats. Henry draws a favorable matchup as the Saints are tied with the most targets allowed to opposing tight ends (44) and are in the bottom three when it comes to yards allowed to the position throughout the first four games of the season (330).

Jonnu Smith - If you're looking for a tight end with a high ceiling, Smith would be your guy. He is tied for the team-high in targets (20) and has produced double-digit DK points in three games so far this season. Smith is the leading receiver on this team when it comes to touchdown receptions as he has three touchdowns and draws a favorable matchup against a Chargers defense who has allowed 233 receiving yards and three touchdown catches to opposing tight ends this season.

Other Plays: Dawson Knox

 

DFS Defense/Special Teams

The defensive options on his two-game slate are rather tough since none of these defenses have looked stellar like we have seen in prior years. The Bills are the highest priced defense and could be viewed as the safest option since several playmakers for the Titans could be out for this game. The Titans have only coughed up one turnover on the season so far which is the second-lowest in the league so the Bills would need to generate pressure on Tannehill and force him into a mistake of some sort. If looking to save salary at this position, you can go on the opposite side of the game and pay down for the Titans offense with the hopes that this game stays a low scoring affair.

Defensive Rankings:

  1. Buffalo Bills Defense
  2. New Orleans Saints Defense
  3. Tennessee Titans Defense
  4. Los Angeles Chargers Defense

 

Good luck, RotoBallers, and remember to mix it up and don't be afraid to be different in these large field GPPs!



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Sunday Night Football DFS Lineup Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings

We get a strong Sunday Night Football matchup as the Minnesota Vikings take on the Seattle Seahawks! The Vikings and Seahawks game currently has a 56.5 over/under with the Seahawks being favored by 7 points.

In this article, I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for Sunday Night Football on October 11th, 2020 (Week 5). These lineups can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on FanDuel. Lineup construction can differ greatly from FanDuel to DraftKings with the biggest difference being the Captain and MVP slots. On DK, you'll pay 1.5x the salary of a player in order to roster them as your captain while the price doesn't change on FanDuel.

If you have any questions you can follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with myself and other NFL DFS analysts any time you'd like!

 

DFS Quarterbacks

The two quarterbacks on this slate are very different in the way they play the game and the way they run the offense. Kirk Cousins is the quintessential game manager quarterback for the Vikings while Russell Wilson is the big-time clutch playmaker for the Seahawks. Cousins has been pretty average throughout the first four games of the season as he has thrown for six touchdowns and thrown for six interceptions while racking up 883 yards. The matchup against the Seahawks Defense is pretty favorable as they are allowing over 400 yards per game through the air. This could be a game where more is asked of Cousins and the passing game which makes him viable for tournaments.

Russell Wilson has been one of the most dominant fantasy players throughout the first quarter of the season. He is averaging 321 passing yards per game while also accumulating 16 total touchdowns (four per game average) during that four-game span. He has posted 30+ DK points in three out of four games played and carries the highest ceiling on the showdown slate. The Vikings haven't done so well against the pass as they rank 29th in the league against the pass, allowing 291.8 yards per game through the air. Wilson is the best overall play on the slate and is viable in all formats since he carries a high floor and also has the highest possible ceiling as well.

Analysis: Both quarterbacks are viable on this slate with Wilson being the best option for all formats. Cousins could be used for cash but he does carry some risk with his inconsistent play.

 

DFS Running Backs

This game features some of the best running games in the league. The Vikings have a top-5 running back in Dalvin Cook and he has gotten off to a very strong start to his 2020 season. Cook is averaging 106 rushing yards per game and is getting close to three targets per game. Cook has found paydirt six times to start the season and is the catalyst to this Vikings offense. The Seahawks run defense has been stellar so far through four games as they are allowing only 75 yards per game on the ground so this will be a big challenge for the Vikings rushing attack. Backing up Cook is Alexander Mattison who has held down the back up role for the Vikings over the last several years. He sees 6-7 carries per game but would only be used as a deep shot salary saving option in tournaments.

The Seahawks have a stable of backs but when Chris Carson is healthy, he is a tough back to bring down. Carson is the do-it-all back for the Seahawks as he has five touchdowns (two rushing, three receiving) and has recorded double-digit DK points throughout the first four weeks of the season. The Vikings have gotten gashed on the ground to start the season as they are allowing opponents to run for 134.8 yards per game so Seattle could have a big game on the ground if they get the running game established early on. Carlos Hyde mainly backs up Carson but he is listed as questionable so it could be Travis Homer getting back up duties should Hyde not be able to play.

Analysis: Both running attacks are vital to their team's success which makes both Cook and Carson in play. Carson has a better matchup while Cook has been the more explosive fantasy player so far. Mattison does get several touches and would be considered a long shot tournament play should he get any goal-line looks.

DFS Wide Receivers

We have some explosive options at the receiver position in this matchup. For the Vikings, they are led by veteran receiver Adam Thielen and rookie receiver Justin Jefferson. Thielen leads all receivers with a 31% target share while also hauling in the most catches (20). Justin Jefferson has filled the void left behind by Stefon Diggs and has proved to be a reliable outside option as he has recorded 16 catches on 20 total targets on the season. He has produced back-to-back 100-yard performances and has seen 14 targets over that two-game stretch. The Vikings utilize their backs and tight ends in the passing game as well which means receivers outside of Thielen and Jefferson really don't see many targets. OlaBisi Johnson saw seven combined targets throughout the first two games but has seen a sharp decline in snaps which makes him a deep tournament punt.

The Seahawks have two dominant receivers in Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf. They have been on the field for 90% of all offensive snaps and they both carry over a 20% target share on the team. Both receivers are averaging 19+ DK points per game and make for great options in all formats. The Vikings have struggled through the first quarter of the season as they are allowing opponents to throw for over 400 yards per game which bodes well for opposing receivers. Rounding out the receiving crew for the Seahawks is David Moore who often gets forgotten about since he gets overshadowed by Lockett and Metcalf. Moore is used in three wide-receiver sets and has the third-highest target share of all Seahawks receivers. If you're looking for a cheaper receiving option for tournaments, Moore could warrant consideration.

Analysis: Thielen, Lockett, and Metcalf are the top receiving options on the slate and fit well for all formats. Jefferson is a tad riskier but is still viable in all formats as well. Johnson and Moore could be better fitted for tournaments due to lower snap counts and lower volume.

 

DFS Tight Ends

The tight end position in this showdown matchup doesn't truly present the upside that we have seen on other showdown slates. For the Seahawks, their best tight end option is long-time NFL veteran Greg Olsen. Olsen has seen an uptick in targets as he has seen 13 targets combined over his last two games while he has hauled in 10 of those targets for catches. Behind Olsen is Will Dissly and Jacob Hollister but they are not as involved in the passing game as Olsen is.

On the other side of this game, The Vikings have two solid tight ends that see the field over 60% of all offensive snaps in  Irv Smith Jr. and Kyle Rudolph. The downside with the Vikings is that they rarely utilize the tight ends in the passing game as both tight ends combine for less than four targets per game. With how good the rushing attack is and how the Vikings force-feed their receivers, the tight ends for the Vikings are nothing more than long shot tournament punts.

Analysis: Olsen is really the only consistent tight end play on the slate that would be viable for cash games due to volume and target share. The combo of Rudolph and Smith Jr. are tournament plays but carry a very low floor.

 

DFS Defense/Special Teams

With the over/under set at 56.5, it might be best to fade both defenses on this slate. Both teams have struggled against the pass which could create a bit of a back and forth contest through the air if both ground games begin to sputter. When also factoring in the high-scoring potential of this game, both kickers could be viable in all roster formats. Jason Myers has not had too many opportunities when it comes to field goal chances since the Seahawks have been able to convert many of their drives into touchdowns so a good chunk of his points comes from extra-point tries. Dan Bailey has seen more field goal opportunities than Myers but their offense has not been as elite as the Seahawks has been so if the Vikings stall out on drives, Bailey could see several opportunities.

Analysis: Both defenses have struggled so it is best to fade them in cash games while both kickers could be viable due to the high-scoring potential of this game.

 

Good luck, RotoBallers, and remember to mix it up and don't be afraid to be different in these large field GPPs!



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Break The Slate: DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Picks - Week 5

Hi there, RotoBallers, and welcome back to Break The Slate! If you read this article regularly, then you know what we're about here, but if you are a new reader, let me quickly summarize our goals with this article. We'll spend each week discussing a few plays at each position for the DraftKings main slate that can add tournament-winning upside and/or juicy value to our NFL DFS rosters. I'll highlight my favorite players and breakdown my reasoning behind them.

I try to update the article on Saturdays to reflect any significant injuries or late-breaking news, as the landscape of the slate can change quickly in the NFL, and I definitely recommend you checking those out. It was a really solid slate for us in Week 4, especially at the RB position, as our highlighted players Alvin Kamara, Dalvin Cook, and Mike Davis all killed it for us. Week 5 is shaping up to be an interesting slate and I can't wait to dive in! Remember, the NFL is ever-evolving from week to week, which gives us an opportunity to apply what we've learned on the next slate.

These DraftKings lineup recommendations are based on matchups, projected ownership, overall upside/talent levels, opportunity, and other factors such as Vegas odds, home-field advantage, and more. There are quite a few great plays available, so read on to find out which players are the best for Week 5. Be sure to also check out our weekly FanDuel DFS lineup picks and lots of other great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win big! Good luck with your DraftKings DFS lineups, let's Break The Slate together!

 

DraftKings DFS Quarterbacks - Week 5 Picks

Dak Prescott & Daniel Jones - NYG @ DAL ($7,400 & $5,400)

I'm listing these two together because this is a game that we should be heavily focused on. Dak Prescott is obviously the preferred play here, as he's having an unbelievably-productive season and leads all QBs in DraftKings points scored through four weeks. On paper this isn't a great matchup for Prescott...the Giants have allowed the sixth-fewest DK points in the NFL to the QB position. However, we all know that games aren't played on paper and looking at the QBs New York has faced brings a different perspective to that stat. We can also count on Dallas' turnstile defense to force Prescott and the offense to stay aggressive throughout this one.

Speaking of the Cowboys' barely-there defensive unit...Daniel Jones is an interesting salary saver this week and a unique way to get some exposure to this matchup. Jones' game log isn't pretty, but he's faced one of the toughest QB-matchup schedules in the league thus far (Steelers, Bears, 49ers, Rams). Things are going to get MUCH EASIER for the second-year pivot this week, as the Cowboys have relinquished over 1,000 passing yards and 11 TDs to opposing QBs, and have yet to hold an opponent to under 20 real points this season.

Teddy Bridgewater - CAR @ ATL ($5,900)

DFS is a format where we want to unapologetically target teams with flaws. Atlanta has lots of problems, but their secondary is the biggest. Through four weeks the Falcons are dead last in the NFL in DK points allowed to the QB position, while relinquishing the most passing TDs and second-most passing yards in the league. We suspected that Teddy Bridgewater would come in and be something of a "game manager" for Carolina this year, but Teddy B has topped 34 pass attempts in three of Carolina's four games this season and should continue to be pressed into carrying a heavier load during Christian McCaffrey's absence. This matchup carries a high projected point total (54) and tight point spread (ATL -2.5), which adds up to Bridgewater being one of the most intriguing value plays on the slate.

 

DraftKings DFS Running Backs - Week 5 Picks

Clyde Edwards-Helaire - LV @ KC ($6,800)

Perhaps the most highly-touted rookie fantasy prospect heading into the year, Clyde Edwards-Helaire made a huge splash in the season-opener against Houston, rushing for 138 yards and a TD. Edwards-Helaire has failed to cross the century mark on the ground since, but his steady workload in this explosive Chiefs offense - especially in the passing game - is very encouraging. CEH was targeted just twice in that Week 1 game, but he's received 17 looks over KC's three subsequent games. He draws a smash matchup against a Raiders defense that has relinquished 276 receiving yards (the second-most in the NFL) to opposing RBs this season. Las Vegas is also being gashed on the ground, allowing a massive 5.36 yards per carry, a mark that ranks 29th in the NFL.

James Robinson - JAX @ HOU ($6,700)

The Houston Texans run defense is a spot that I've targeted relentlessly this year. It paid off again last week, as one of our highlighted players in this column, Dalvin Cook, smoked Houston for 130 yards and 2 TDs on 27 carries. Through four weeks the Texans have relinquished 651 rushing yards to opposing RBs - the most in the NFL - and have allowed a 100-yard rusher in three of their four games. Jacksonville's James Robinson has turned into an under-the-radar bell cow in the absence of Leonard Fournette. Robinson has handled a staggering 84% of Jacksonville's backfield touches through four weeks, with touch counts of 17/19/17/21 this season.

 

DraftKings DFS Wide Receivers - Week 5 Picks

CeeDee Lamb - NYG @ DAL ($6,000)

We've already touched on this matchup at the QB position (and have one more play still to come!), but I don't think you can get too much exposure to this Dallas offense at the moment. Amari Cooper is certainly the top option in this high-powered passing attack, but he will draw shadow coverage from New York's James Bradberry (a player that's been the lone bright spot in this Giants secondary), which should pave the way for CeeDee Lamb to do some damage out of the slot against NY's rookie slot corner Darnay Holmes, who has been consistently torched this year. Lamb is proving to be everything Dallas hoped he would be when they spent a first-round pick on him earlier this year. The rookie has been targeted 29 times through four games (second in targets to Cooper) and has responded with 21 catches for 309 yards and 2 TDs.

Robby Anderson - CAR @ ATL ($5,900)

After years of being in the purgatory that is the New York Jets offense, Robby Anderson has seemingly found a nice home in Carolina with his former college coach Matt Rhule. Anderson has been a key cog in this Panthers attack and leads Carolina in WR targets with 34 through their first four games. He's not only seeing heavy volume, he's also been productive, posting 377 yards and a TD on 28 catches. Anderson's mouth has to be watering at the prospect of facing the joke that is the Falcons secondary this week. Atlanta's attempt at retooling their defensive backfield this offseason has failed miserably, as they rank bottom-five in the NFL in DK points (167.50), receiving yards (822), and yards per target (9.79) allowed to the WR position. Like life in Jurassic Park, offenses will find a way against this Falcons pass defense and they are fresh off a Sunday-night trouncing at the hands of a Green Bay pass-catching corps that was without their top-two options.

Darius Slayton - NYG @ DAL ($4,800)

Darius Slayton is our last player from the Giants vs Cowboys matchup, and man, he is in a potential blowup spot. Slayton has failed to crack 10 DK points since a 31.2 DK point explosion in the season opener, but the volume has been there, with target counts of: 7/7/6 over NY's last three. He also carries a healthy aDOT of 12.40, an attractive stat against this Cowboys Defense that has struggled to stop anything - they've allowed the second-most DK points in the NFL to the WR position - but that has been especially susceptible to deep threats and is allowing nearly 9.50 yards per targets to opposing WRs. This is a list of some of the outings Dallas has allowed to opposing WRs through four games: Robert Woods - 6/105/0, Calvin Ridley - 7/109/2, DK Metcalf - 4/110/1, Tyler Lockett - 9/100/3, OBJ - 5/81/2.

 

DraftKings DFS Tight Ends - Week 5 Picks

George Kittle - MIA @ SF ($6,600)

Honestly, this is a "frustration write-up". I'm a fan of trying to save salary at TE, but the position has been so consistently gross this season that I'm considering paying all the way up for George Kittle this week, simply in an attempt to get some sort of meaningful production from the roster spot. When he's healthy, Kittle is a safe bet to produce. He returned from a knee injury to lay the smack down on Philly last week, dropping a ridiculous 15/183/1 stat line on Sunday Night Football. The matchup against Miami isn't great on paper - they rank fifth in the NFL in DK points allowed to the TE position - but let's be honest, if the Niners continue to scheme Kittle the ball in the fashion they did last week, the Dolphins aren't going to contain him.

Eric Ebron - PHI @ PIT ($4,000)

If you just read the Kittle write-up, then you know that he absolutely trucked the Eagles last week. He's not the only tight end to do so...Philly is allowing a ridiculous 9.20 yards per target to the TE position this season, while also relinquishing a league-worst 86.7 catch percentage to opposing TEs. Eric Ebron's numbers certainly haven't been gaudy this season, but his role in this Steelers offense continues to evolve, as his targets have steadily increased each week. Ebron went from a single look in Week 1, to five in Week 2, and seven in Pittsburgh's most recent game, which he converted into five catches for 52 yards and a TD. He's ran pass routes on 94.4% of his snaps and (hopefully) represents a ray of hope in what's been a dark season for value tight ends.



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FanDuel NFL DFS Lineup Picks for Week 5 - Daily Fantasy Football

In what has been an interesting NFL season, Week 5 is here. Undoubtedly, from a fantasy perspective, things have been challenging as COVID-19 continues to rear its ugly head across the league. With the Buffalo/Tenessee and New England/Denver contests both delayed by a few days--at least for now--navigating the player pool is a little more complicated.

As usual, there are some players worth monitoring, as injuries also continue to take its toll on things. Lamar Jackson (knee), Mark Andrews (thigh), and Marquise Brown (knee) are questionable for Baltimore heading into Sunday but will still suit up. Joe Mixon (shin), who has practiced sparingly over the last few days, is also expected to be in the lineup for Cincinnati. In Week 4, the fantasy world saw yet another running back head to the injured reserve as Nick Chubb will miss some significant time after injuring his knee against the Cowboys. As a result, Kareem Hunt may see a spike in attention from DFS managers.

In this article, I will be providing you with my Week 5 daily fantasy football lineup picks on FanDuel. These lineups can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on FanDuel. Be sure to also check out our weekly DraftKings DFS lineup picks and lots of other great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win big! Feel free to give me a follow on Twitter @DennisMClausen. Also, check back by Sunday morning for some more updates as injuries continue to roll in through the weekend. Good luck, RotoBallers.

 

FanDuel Quarterbacks - Week 5 Picks

Dak Prescott, QB - vs. NYG ($8,700)

Prescott will square off against the Giants and former head coach Jason Garrett, who is now the offensive coordinator for the team after being relieved of his coaching duties by Jerry Jones during the offseason. Prescott has put together an impressive season throughout the first four weeks and has compiled at least 29 fantasy points in three of his previous four contests. Historically, he has also played well against New York, racking up 17 touchdowns and only three interceptions to go along with a 61.3 completion percentage in eight career meetings.

Kyler Murray, QB - @ NYJ ($8,300)

Murray has taken an enormous step forward in what has been an impressive sophomore season thus far. He hasn't accrued less than 24 fantasy points during his four games and will be matched up against a Jets team that isn't very good. While his five interceptions are a little worrisome, his 68.8 completion percentage and four rushing touchdowns help offset that mark.

 

FanDuel Running Backs - Week 5 Picks

Ezekiel Elliott, RB - vs. NYG ($9,000)

While Elliott hasn't surpassed the 100-yard mark on the ground this season, he has certainly made up for it by catching at least seven passes in each of his previous three outings. Like Dak Prescott, he has also played well against New York during his career, racking up three touchdowns and averaging 4.4 YPC in his six meetings with the club. Although previous success doesn't guarantee future results, it could be a good sign of how things will go in Week 5.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB - vs. LV ($7,900)

Edwards-Helaire ran for 138 yards and a touchdown off 25 carries during the Week 1 win over the Texans. However, since then, he hasn't been as productive--at least rushing the ball--but has been involved on the receiving end. He has a chance to get back on track against the Raiders on Sunday, with Las Vegas allowing the most fantasy points per game to the running back position on the year.

 

FanDuel Wide Receivers - Week 5 Picks

DeAndre Hopkins, WR - @ NYJ ($8,700)

While some were concerned that Hopkins would regress in his new home in Arizona, that couldn't be further from the case. He has received at least nine targets in each game this season and has surpassed the 100-yard mark twice. Regardless of who he is matched up against, the veteran is always in the running to make a dent on the fantasy end, especially with Kyler Murray looking his way so often.

Calvin Ridley, WR - vs. CAR ($8,300)

Ridley has put together a monster season by hitting the 100-yard mark and double-digit targets in his first three games of the 2020 campaign. While he fizzled out during the Monday night showdown with the Green Bay Packers, he may not have been at 100 percent after dealing with a bum ankle heading into that one. With Julio Jones in real danger of missing Week 5, Ridley could be even more involved against the Carolina Panthers.

 

FanDuel Tight Ends - Week 5 Picks

George Kittle, TE - vs. MIA ($7,100)

After missing two weeks of action, Kittle returned to the lineup in Week 4 and caught all 15 of his targets for 183 yards and a score. Although it is unlikely that he could produce a similar output, he has a strong chance of putting on another stellar performance against the Dolphins. With such a generous rostering cost, Kittle may have the highest ceiling heading into Week 5.

Tyler Higbee, TE - @ WAS ($6,000)

After going off for three touchdowns against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 2, Higbee caught just six catches in the two weeks following. With Washington allowing tight ends to do some damage during the 2020 season, Higbee could be a sneaky option, especially against those who will be hesitant to roster him due to his recent poor performances.



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Updated Week 5 PPR Rankings (Top 400)

Welcome to Week 5 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 5 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates:

These rankings are a consensus from four of our lead fantasy football columnists - Nick MarianoPierre Camus, Brandon Murchison, Scott Engel, and Dominick Petrillo - who have all analyzed the NFL matchups and game slates for Week 5.

And in case you weren't aware, our very own Nick Mariano was ranked #11 overall in 2018 out of ~120 industry experts, and was ranked #9 overall the year before. So be sure to follow his rankings every week!

 

Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings (PPR)

You can also see our Week 5 ranks for Half-PPR and Standard scoring.

Note that quarterbacks, defenses and kickers are all grouped separately towards the bottom. Each of those positions is ranked on their own. This is to allow owners to compare running backs, wide receivers and tight ends for their FLEX spot (without seeing QB, DEF, K mixed in).

Last updated on Sunday 10/11 at 9:30 am ET after the Patriots-Broncos game was cancelled:

Tier Rank Player Name Pos
1 1 Alvin Kamara RB
1 2 Ezekiel Elliott RB
1 3 DeAndre Hopkins WR
1 4 Dalvin Cook RB
1 5 Kareem Hunt RB
1 6 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
1 7 D.K. Metcalf WR
1 8 James Robinson RB
1 9 Adam Thielen WR
2 10 Tyreek Hill WR
2 11 Tyler Lockett WR
2 12 Mike Davis RB
2 13 Josh Jacobs RB
2 14 Stefon Diggs WR
2 15 Chris Carson RB
2 16 Amari Cooper WR
2 17 George Kittle TE
3 18 Derrick Henry RB
3 19 Michael Thomas WR
3 20 Keenan Allen WR
3 21 Travis Kelce TE
3 22 Calvin Ridley WR
3 23 James Conner RB
3 24 Allen Robinson II WR
3 25 Jonathan Taylor RB
3 26 Joe Mixon RB
3 27 Todd Gurley II RB
3 28 Mike Evans WR
3 29 D.J. Chark Jr. WR
3 30 Robby Anderson WR
3 31 JuJu Smith-Schuster WR
3 32 Justin Jefferson WR
3 33 Cooper Kupp WR
3 34 Darren Waller TE
3 35 David Johnson RB
3 36 Robert Woods WR
3 37 Antonio Gibson RB
4 38 D.J. Moore WR
4 39 Terry McLaurin WR
4 40 CeeDee Lamb WR
4 41 Will Fuller V WR
4 42 DeVante Parker WR
4 43 Mark Andrews TE
4 44 Miles Sanders RB
4 45 Kenyan Drake RB
4 46 Tyler Boyd WR
4 47 Diontae Johnson WR
4 48 Marquise Brown WR
4 49 Odell Beckham Jr. WR
4 50 Jerick McKinnon RB
4 51 Ronald Jones II RB
5 52 Devin Singletary RB
5 53 Darius Slayton WR
5 54 Michael Gallup WR
5 55 Jamison Crowder WR
5 56 Golden Tate WR
5 57 A.J. Brown WR
5 58 Hunter Henry TE
5 59 John Brown WR
5 60 Myles Gaskin RB
5 61 Jarvis Landry WR
5 62 Deebo Samuel WR
5 63 David Montgomery RB
5 64 T.Y. Hilton WR
5 65 Tyler Higbee TE
5 66 Tee Higgins WR
5 67 Laviska Shenault Jr. WR
5 68 Devonta Freeman RB
5 69 Scotty Miller WR
5 70 Russell Gage WR
5 71 Jonnu Smith TE
5 72 Dalton Schultz TE
5 73 Mark Ingram II RB
5 74 Joshua Kelley RB
6 75 Evan Engram TE
6 76 Brandon Aiyuk WR
6 77 Zach Ertz TE
6 78 Le'Veon Bell RB
6 79 Emmanuel Sanders WR
6 80 Sammy Watkins WR
6 81 Tre'Quan Smith WR
6 82 Brandin Cooks WR
6 83 Hunter Renfrow WR
6 84 Hayden Hurst TE
6 85 Mike Gesicki TE
6 86 Greg Ward WR
6 87 A.J. Green WR
6 88 Zach Pascal WR
7 89 Curtis Samuel WR
7 90 Raheem Mostert RB
7 91 Latavius Murray RB
7 92 Cole Beasley WR
7 93 Adam Humphries WR
7 94 Randall Cobb WR
7 95 Darrell Henderson RB
7 96 Eric Ebron TE
7 97 Malcolm Brown RB
7 98 Christian Kirk WR
7 99 Nyheim Hines RB
7 100 D'Ernest Johnson RB
7 101 Chase Edmonds RB
7 102 Olamide Zaccheaus RB
7 103 Preston Williams WR
7 104 Mecole Hardman WR
7 105 Mo Alie-Cox TE
7 106 Jimmy Graham TE
7 107 Anthony Miller WR
7 108 Greg Olsen TE
7 109 Keelan Cole WR
7 110 Justin Jackson RB
7 111 Damiere Byrd WR
8 112 David Moore WR
8 113 Larry Fitzgerald WR
8 114 Henry Ruggs III WR
8 115 J.K. Dobbins RB
8 116 Isaiah Ford WR
8 117 Austin Hooper TE
8 118 Jared Cook TE
8 119 Alexander Mattison RB
8 120 Logan Thomas TE
8 121 Rob Gronkowski TE
8 122 Darnell Mooney WR
8 123 Jeff Smith WR
8 124 Dontrelle Inman WR
8 125 Andy Isabella WR
8 126 Frank Gore RB
8 127 Drew Sample TE
8 128 Kendrick Bourne WR
8 129 Duke Johnson Jr. RB
8 130 Nelson Agholor WR
8 131 Jalen Guyton WR
8 132 Zack Moss RB
9 133 Brian Hill RB
9 134 Jordan Akins TE
9 135 Miles Boykin WR
9 136 Kalif Raymond WR
9 137 Chris Herndon IV TE
9 138 Cordarrelle Patterson WR
9 139 J.D. McKissic RB
9 140 Gabriel Davis WR
9 141 Ian Thomas TE
9 142 Cedrick Wilson WR
9 143 Chris Hogan WR
9 144 Braxton Berrios WR
9 145 Julio Jones WR
9 146 James Washington WR
9 147 Gus Edwards RB
9 148 Chris Conley WR
9 149 Demarcus Robinson WR
9 150 Cam Akers RB
9 151 Willie Snead IV WR
9 152 Ke'Shawn Vaughn RB
9 153 Tyler Eifert TE
10 154 Darren Fells TE
10 155 Chase Claypool WR
10 156 Josh Reynolds WR
10 157 Kenny Stills WR
10 158 Chris Thompson RB
10 159 Cameron Brate TE
10 160 John Hightower WR
10 161 Boston Scott RB
10 162 Giovani Bernard RB
10 163 Jeff Wilson Jr. RB
10 164 Jordan Howard RB
10 165 Dan Arnold TE
10 166 Jack Doyle TE
10 167 Jakeem Grant WR
10 168 Kyle Rudolph TE
10 169 Tony Pollard RB
10 170 DaeSean Hamilton WR
11 171 Van Jefferson WR
11 172 Travis Homer RB
11 173 Dawson Knox TE
11 174 Matt Breida RB
11 175 Dion Lewis RB
11 176 OlaBisi Johnson WR
11 177 Trent Taylor WR
11 178 Zay Jones WR
11 179 Travis Fulgham WR
11 180 Mike Williams WR
11 181 Wayne Gallman RB
11 182 Isaiah Wright WR
11 183 Jalen Richard RB
11 184 Irv Smith Jr. TE
11 185 Tyler Johnson WR
11 186 Nick Vannett TE
11 187 Devin Duvernay WR
11 188 Jordan Wilkins RB
11 189 Leonard Fournette RB
11 190 Gerald Everett TE
11 191 Deonte Harris WR
11 192 Christian Blake WR
11 193 Noah Fant TE
11 194 Darrel Williams RB
11 195 Auden Tate WR
12 196 Damion Ratley WR
12 197 Trey Burton TE
12 198 Isaiah McKenzie WR
12 199 Nick Boyle TE
12 200 Jake Butt TE
12 201 Cole Kmet TE
12 202 Lamical Perine RB
12 203 Dontrell Hilliard RB
12 204 Jaydon Mickens WR
12 205 Anthony Firkser TE
12 206 Tyron Johnson WR
12 207 Will Dissly TE
12 208 Adam Trautman TE
12 209 Benny Snell Jr. RB
12 210 Peyton Barber RB
12 211 David Njoku TE
12 212 Anthony McFarland Jr. RB
12 213 Devontae Booker RB
12 214 Richard Rodgers TE
12 215 James O'Shaughnessy TE
12 216 Harrison Bryant TE
13 217 Freddie Swain WR
13 218 Daurice Fountain WR
13 219 Jakobi Meyers WR
13 220 Mike Thomas WR
13 221 Ito Smith RB
13 222 Ashton Dulin WR
13 223 Deontay Burnett WR
13 224 T.J. Yeldon RB
13 225 Cyril Grayson Jr. WR
13 226 DeeJay Dallas RB
13 227 Vance McDonald TE
13 228 Darwin Thompson RB
13 229 Darrynton Evans RB
13 230 JJ Arcega-Whiteside WR
13 231 Kyle Juszczyk RB
13 232 Antonio Gandy-Golden WR
13 233 Jaylen Samuels RB
13 234 Carlos Hyde RB
13 235 Ryan Izzo TE
13 236 Royce Freeman RB
13 237 Corey Clement RB
13 238 Noah Brown WR
13 239 Tyler Kroft TE
13 240 Donald Parham Jr. TE
13 241 Collin Johnson WR
13 242 J.J. Taylor RB
13 243 Josh Hill TE
13 244 KeeSean Johnson WR
13 245 C.J. Board WR
13 246 Trenton Cannon RB
13 247 Jason Witten TE
13 248 Chad Beebe WR
14 249 Gunner Olszewski WR
14 250 Ted Ginn Jr. WR
14 251 C.J. Ham RB
14 252 Ryan Nall RB
14 253 Blake Bell TE
14 254 Russell Wilson QB
14 255 Seth Roberts WR
14 256 K.J. Hill WR
14 257 Patrick Mahomes II QB
14 258 Albert Okwuegbunam TE
14 259 Artavis Pierce RB
14 260 Kaden Smith TE
14 261 Alex Armah RB
14 262 Dak Prescott QB
14 263 Lamar Jackson QB
14 264 Lawrence Cager WR
14 265 Josh Allen QB
14 266 Dare Ogunbowale RB
14 267 Alec Ingold RB
14 268 Josh Adams RB
15 269 Kyler Murray QB
15 270 Rashard Higgins WR
15 271 Deshaun Watson QB
15 272 Chris Manhertz TE
15 273 Patrick Laird RB
15 274 Drew Brees QB
15 275 Adam Shaheen TE
15 276 Teddy Bridgewater QB
15 277 Foster Moreau TE
15 278 Dede Westbrook WR
15 279 JaMycal Hasty RB
15 280 Ryan Griffin TE
15 281 Brandon Powell WR
15 282 Marcus Johnson WR
15 283 Matt Ryan QB
15 284 Quez Watkins WR
15 285 Mike Boone RB
15 286 Gardner Minshew II QB
15 287 Kirk Cousins QB
15 288 Dezmon Patmon WR
15 289 Tom Brady QB
15 290 Ben Roethlisberger QB
15 291 Daniel Jones QB
15 292 Jared Goff QB
15 293 Pharoh Cooper WR
15 294 C.J. Prosise RB
15 295 Joe Burrow QB
15 296 Demetrius Harris TE
15 297 Justin Herbert QB
15 298 Javon Wims WR
15 299 MyCole Pruitt TE
15 300 Tanner Hudson TE
15 301 Patrick Ricard RB
15 302 Donovan Peoples-Jones WR
15 303 Dante Pettis WR
15 304 Ryan Tannehill QB
15 305 Ryan Fitzpatrick QB
15 306 Jacob Hollister TE
15 307 Eno Benjamin RB
15 308 Justice Hill RB
15 309 Derek Carr QB
15 310 Philip Rivers QB
15 311 Carson Wentz QB
15 312 Nick Mullens QB
16 313 Jimmy Garoppolo QB
16 314 Baker Mayfield QB
16 315 Jeremy McNichols RB
16 316 Qadree Ollison RB
16 317 Nick Foles QB
16 318 Jarrett Stidham QB
16 319 Devin Asiasi TE
16 320 Isaiah Zuber WR
16 321 Joe Flacco QB
16 322 Kyle Allen QB
16 323 Theo Riddick RB
16 324 Ameer Abdullah RB
16 325 Keith Smith RB
16 326 Ross Dwelley TE
16 327 Jakob Johnson RB
16 328 Mack Hollins WR
16 329 Justin Tucker K
16 330 Diontae Spencer WR
16 331 Taywan Taylor WR
16 332 Harrison Butker K
16 333 Wil Lutz K
16 334 Cethan Carter TE
16 335 Greg Zuerlein K
16 336 Jason Myers K
16 337 Jordan Thomas TE
16 338 Robbie Gould K
16 339 Lee Smith TE
16 340 Zane Gonzalez K
16 341 Darrell Daniels TE
16 342 C.J. Beathard QB
16 343 Rodrigo Blankenship K
16 344 Joey Slye K
16 345 Ka'imi Fairbairn K
17 346 Lynn Bowden Jr. RB
17 347 Luke Stocker TE
17 348 Brandon Zylstra WR
17 349 Stephen Gostkowski K
17 350 Alex Erickson WR
17 351 Michael Badgley K
17 352 Ryan Succop K
17 353 Virgil Green TE
17 354 Anthony Sherman RB
17 355 Jeremy Sprinkle TE
17 356 Daniel Carlson K
17 357 Randy Bullock K
17 358 Trent Sherfield WR
17 359 Jason Sanders K
17 360 Reggie Gilliam RB/TE
17 361 Levine Toilolo TE
17 362 Graham Gano K
17 363 Taysom Hill QB
17 364 Jalen Hurts QB
17 365 DeAndre Washington RB
17 366 Sam Ficken K
17 367 Elliott Fry K
17 368 Marquez Callaway WR
17 369 Josh Malone WR
17 370 Los Angeles Rams DST
17 371 Tampa Bay Buccaneers DST
17 372 Tyler Conklin TE
17 373 Nick Keizer TE
17 374 Andy Janovich RB
17 375 Arizona Cardinals DST
17 376 Pittsburgh Steelers DST
17 377 DeAndre Carter WR
17 378 Stephen Anderson TE
17 379 Jaeden Graham TE
17 380 Steven Mitchell Jr. WR
17 381 Tyler Bass K
17 382 Sam Sloman K
17 383 Chris Boswell K
18 384 Dalton Keene TE
18 385 Stephen Carlson TE
18 386 Johnny Mundt TE
18 387 Dan Bailey K
18 388 Trevon Wesco TE
18 389 Luke Willson TE
18 390 Cam Sims WR
18 391 Bennie Fowler III WR
18 392 Jake Elliott K
18 393 Derek Carrier TE
18 394 Aldrick Rosas K
18 395 Cairo Santos K
18 396 Cody Parkey K
18 397 Buddy Howell RB
18 398 Jason Huntley RB
18 399 Elijhaa Penny RB
18 400 Byron Pringle WR
18 401 Andre Roberts WR
18 402 Johnny Holton WR
18 403 Baltimore Ravens DST
18 404 James Proche WR
18 405 San Francisco 49ers DST
18 406 Keelan Doss WR
18 407 Indianapolis Colts DST
18 408 Jason Moore WR
18 409 Buffalo Bills DST
18 410 New Orleans Saints DST
18 411 Kansas City Chiefs DST
18 412 Dustin Hopkins K
18 413 Seattle Seahawks DST
18 414 Chicago Bears DST
18 415 Cleveland Browns DST
18 416 Dallas Cowboys DST
18 417 Philadelphia Eagles DST
18 418 Houston Texans DST
18 419 Tennessee Titans DST
18 420 Los Angeles Chargers DST
18 421 Atlanta Falcons DST
18 422 Jacksonville Jaguars DST
18 423 Washington Football Team DST
18 424 New York Jets DST
18 425 Miami Dolphins DST
18 426 Carolina Panthers DST
18 427 New York Giants DST
18 428 Minnesota Vikings DST
18 429 Robert Griffin III QB
18 430 Mitchell Trubisky QB
18 431 Cincinnati Bengals DST
18 432 Las Vegas Raiders DST
18 433 Younghoe Koo K


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Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




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NFL Survivor Pool Picks (Week 5) - Targets and Avoids

A month into the season and coaching is somehow getting worse and worse. The Chargers were in every position to upset the Bucs but Anthony Lynn had them run the ball up 24-7, with under a minute to go from their own 10. The Chargers proceeded to fumble and Tom Brady converted for a touchdown. 24-14 at halftime and that was it. If you've been reading this column for some years, you know I've been an early Bill O'Brien hater and been saying for four years he shouldn't be the coach.

Favorites went 10-5 straight up in Week 4 and 7-7-1 against the spread. My best bets went 1-2 against the spread, survivor plays went 3-0 and avoids went 0-3. The Ravens and Rams were the plays in survivor pools last week. LA gave everyone a scare but came through. The 49ers were the biggest favorite to lose outright.

This week we have another full slate kicking off with the Bucs and Bears Thursday night. Bye weeks also begin with the Lions and Packers off.

 

Survivor League Week 5

Teams favored by a touchdown or more in Week 5; Chiefs -13.5 vs. Raiders, Ravens -13.5 vs. Bengals, Cowboys -9.5 vs. Giants, Rams -8 @ Washington, Seahawks -7 vs. Vikings, Saints -7.5 vs. Chargers, Steelers -7 vs. Eagles, and Cardinals -7 @ Jets.

If you're reading this article on Thursday or later, these lines are from Tuesday. Check the current spreads and see how the line moved.

I also give out my three top plays against the spread. That can be found at the bottom of the column.

 

Top Survivor Picks for Week 5

RAVENS -13.5 vs. Bengals

Baltimore beats up on bad teams. They get into trouble when facing elite teams. The Ravens, who average 160 rushing yards per game, third most, will be able to run the ball all over Cincy. The Bengals allow 158 yards on the ground per game, 27th in the league.

Joe Burrow is going to be very good, but he's taking way too many big hits. Baltimore will blitz Burrow and get to the rookie.

Ravens 31- Bengals 14

 

CHIEFS -13.5 vs. Raiders

Kansas City is the best team in football. They rarely make mistakes, and when they do, you better make them pay. Just ask New England. The Raiders don't have the offense or defense to keep pace with the defending Super Bowl champions.

Chiefs 37 - Raiders 21

 

Rams -8 @ WASHINGTON

Are the Rams actually good? Their three wins have come against the Cowboys, Eagles, Giants, all NFC East teams. Their lone loss was against Buffalo where they fell down 28-3, then scored 29 unanswered, and then lost. It's too early to know about the Rams. The fact that they couldn't blow out the Giants was telling though. Jared Goff was 25-32 for 200 yards, a touchdown and no interceptions. 55 of those passing yards came on a Cooper Kupp catch-and-run. Goff is not good when facing a good pass rush, which Washington has. He's also bad in cold weather, which it shouldn't be cold Sunday, but there is a chance of rain.

Washington is 30th in yards per play and Aaron Donald is going to constantly pressure Dwayne Haskins. However, Washington's defense will make some plays, but the Rams pull it out late.

Rams 24 - Washington 19

 

STEELERS -7 vs. Eagles

The Eagles offense is abysmal. They're averaging 4.5 yards per play, tied for last with the Jets. The Steelers are off a bye (COVID postponement) and have a defense that's second in opponent yards per play with 4.8. Pittsburgh's offense is average and Philly's defense does rank in the top-five in yards per play and third down's. But how much can their defense hold up against a legitimate two-dimensional offense with an offense that stinks?

Steelers 21 - Eagles 13

 

COWBOYS -9 vs. Giants

The Giants Defense somehow ranks sixth in opponent yards per play, but now they face a statistically great offense. Dak Prescott has been putting up such good numbers, because their defense is so bad. The Giants offense is 29th in yards per play, 27th in third-down conversion percentage, and dead last in scoring touchdowns in the red zone. If there's a game the Cowboys Defense can play well, it's this one.

Cowboys 28 - Giants 10

 

Cardinals -7 @ JETS

Can it get any worse for the Jets? Their loss to practice squad quarterback Brett Rypien on a short week was embarrassing. Sam Darnold gave the team a chance, but the defense couldn't get off the field and make the stops when they needed to. Now the defense faces a dynamic dual-threat quarterback, Kyler Murray, and plethora of weapons.

Arizona's defense is average but if the Jets can't convert touchdowns in the red zone, like they couldn't last week, then this game is over.

Cardinals 23 - Jets 14

 

Top Survivor Picks to Avoid 

SAINTS -7.5 vs. Chargers

The Chargers put up a really good fight Sunday in Tampa Bay and they should have won. This game in April seemed daunting but without fans on a Monday night in New Orleans, it seems to be just another game. Drew Brees's arm strength is shot and the Chargers Defense has looked good. They're above average in opponent yards per play and third-down conversion percentage, but they force field goals in the red zone ranking third in that category. The Saints are 12th in scoring touchdowns in the red zone. That's the key to this game.

A7.5 is too much to lay especially considering how much Justin Herbert has been improving by game.

Saints 27 - Chargers 26

 

SEAHWKS -7 vs. Vikings

Seattle has finally taken the leash off Russell Wilson and their offense has looked dominant. Wilson's rainbow throws are pure beauty. Their offense is second in yards per play and they're averaging 35.5 points per game, second in NFL. They should have no problem against a Vikings Defense that ranks 25th in opponent yards per play. But Seattle's defense has not shown me anything. They're 29th in opponent yards per play and 30th in getting off the field on third down's. The Vikings have two very good offensive weapons in Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson that will expose the Seahawks secondary.

Seahawks 38 - Vikings 35

 

TEXANS -6 vs. Jaguars

Houston will either blow out Jacksonville or lose a close one. They have a new interim head coach in Romeo Crennel so this game is really a crapshoot.

Texans 24 - Jaguars 17

 

Best Bets for Week 4

  • Vikings +7 @ Seattle - Notes above. Backdoor cover will be wide open late too if they're down two scores.
  • Washington +8 vs. Rams - Washington's front-seven will keep them in this game.
  • Panthers +2.5 @ Falcons - I'm getting points against a team that is nothing short of a mess. The Falcons are poorly coached, can't play defense, and make one boneheaded play after another.

 

Running Totals

  • Last week: 1-2
  • 2020 season total: 5-7
  • 2019 season total: 23-26-2


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Week 5 Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2020 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

After successfully predicting eight out of the top ten defenses last week, we may be starting to hit our groove. Some of them felt a bit like gimmes, but the Jets in the top-10 was the subject of criticism and watching the Bills round into form a bit was also nice. The only two outliers here were my faith in the Seahawks Defense to capitalize on Ryan Fitzpatrick's mistakes, and my belief that the Cardinals Defense could curtail the Christian McCaffrey-less Panthers. However, the Cam Newton news on Saturday (after the rankings were published) also drastically shifted the defensive landscape.

Now four weeks in, certain stats have started to stabilize and we have a good idea that the limited preseason may be impacting defenses more than offenses. Entering Monday night, teams had scored 3,151 points, which was already the most through the first month of any season in the Super Bowl era. On top of that, there has been a combined average of 13.65 penalties per game, down from an average of 18.54 through the same stretch last season. All of this is causing offenses to put up video game numbers, which means that we can't continue to judge a defense solely by the number of points they allow. Those numbers will naturally be higher than we're used to. Instead, we need to look for which offensive lines are truly weakpoints and which defenses will either be blitz-heavy or get consistent pressure with their pass rush. These are all incredibly important pieces of information in determining which defenses to play in any given week.

Remember that picking the right defense is not about identifying who will allow the fewest points, but who will cause the most turnovers or tally the most sacks since that has a higher correlation to weekly fantasy DST leaders. That means that, as much these rankings are about the talent on the defensive side of the ball, it is equally about taking advantage of the lack of talent on the offensive side. Starting the right defense every week can be a difference-maker, so remember to check back here during the week as I will make updates once we get more information on some of these injuries and also get a better sense of the weather for the game.

 

Week 5 Defenses To Start & Stream: Tiers & Rankings

Below are my Week 5 defense tiers and rankings, or which defenses to stream, start and target off the waiver wire for Week 5 of the NFL and fantasy football season. Our weekly tiered defense rankings are a guide to making waiver wire pickups to improve your lineups, and to decide which defenses to start, sit, target, avoid or stream for Week 5. I've broken out our defense rankings into tiers with analysis on each matchup. Some of these Week 5 defenses have good matchups and are not widely-owned, representing fantasy scoring opportunities if they are available on your league's waiver wire for a Week 5 pickup or add.

Returning for this year: Confidence Ratings (out of 15) - Since every league's DST scoring is different, projections don't always make a ton of sense. The confidence rating, which Bill Dubiel started last year, is a guideline for how much more I like one team over another instead of a straight point projection. A zero means "do not start," then the confidence rises from there. I take a lot of factors into account: opponent injuries, home-field advantage, weather (which will be updated during the week), etc. We still have only one game of in-season data to work with, so this week's rankings weigh schedule and personnel heavier than they will down the line.

Typically the top three tiers will be DSTs you should target, with Tier 4 being options in deep leagues and Tier 5 being desperation plays or good defenses in horrendous matchups.

 

Tier 1 Defenses

Rank Tier DST Week 2 Opponent Confidence Rating
1 1 Pittsburgh Steelers Defense  vs.PHI 14.1
2 1 New England Patriots Defense vs. DEN 13.4
3 1 Baltimore Ravens Defense vs. CIN 12.1
4 1 Los Angeles Rams Defense @ WAS 11.4

Having a game postponed due to positive COVID tests is never a good thing, but it did give the Steelers an extra few days to gameplan for Carson Wentz and the Eagles. Coming into Sunday's victory over to the 49ers, the Eagles offense was a shell of itself. Repeated injuries to their offensive line, as well as to Dallas Goedert, DeSean Jackson, and Jalen Reagor left Wentz with practice squad wide receivers. Even though the Eagles scored 25 points and won the game on Sunday night, they only gained 267 yards of total offense against a defense that has been decimated by injuries. Alshon Jeffrey may come back next week, but he's going to be incredibly rusty, and the Eagles offensive line will still be the walking wounded, especially with the revelation that Lane Johnson will have to play the entire season through injury. Through four games, the Eagles are allowing a tremendous amount of pressure, tied for 29th in the NFL in sacks allowed, and the Steelers lead the league in blitz percentage (51.2%) and pressure rate (46.5%). San Francisco was able to get to Wentz three times despite losing yet another defensive lineman (Ezekiel Ansah) to injury, so I expect the Steelers to make his life miserable this weekend.

Holding the Chiefs offense in check the way the Patriots did during the first half on Monday night was a truly impressive feat; however, I'm not sure we should have expected much different from Bill Belichick. Yes, the Chiefs wound up with 26 points and the win, but their offense was stalled way more than usual. Belichick has always been an incredible defensive coach, but now his task gets significantly easier on Sunday against Brett Rypien (most likely) and the Denver Broncos. Fresh off of throwing three interceptions and almost giving the game away against the Jets, Rypien looks like fresh meat to the Patriots coaching staff. The Patriots may only have six sacks on the season, but they are sixth in the NFL in pressure rate at 26.9% and seventh in the league with 19 quarterback hurries, numbers that are more impressive when you consider that three of the four teams the Patriots have played are in the top-13 in pressure allowed. Meanwhile, the Broncos are 28th in the league with 13 sacks allowed and simply don't have the playmakers to scare these Patriots defenders. Yes, Jerry Jeudy will be good, but he's not somebody that is going to consistently get the better of Stephon Gilmore right now. I expect the Patriots to control this game and cause lots of problems for Rypien. UPDATE: Stephone Gilmore recently tested positive for COVID, which will likely downgrade this defense, slightly, when I update the rankings after Thursday's game. 

The Ravens surprisingly allowed 343 total yards to Washington in their 31-17 victory on Sunday, coming away with only one sack and one turnover against Dwayne Haskins, who had been on the verge of demotion before the game began. To make matters more troubling, Washington is currently 25th in the league with 13 sacks allowed, so the fact that the Ravens couldn't get to Haskins often is mildly concerning and a microcosm of their larger issues. On the season, the Ravens are tied for a disappointing 15th in the league with nine sacks and are 22nd with only a 20.4% pressure rate. Those numbers simply aren't going to do it. However, the Bengals may be just what the doctor ordered. Despite their victory against Jacksonville, and Joe Mixon's big day, the Bengals offensive line has been horrendous. They get very little push in the running game and are 31st in the league with 15 sacks allowed. I'm betting on the talent the Ravens have on defense, and if they can't come away with multiple sacks this weekend, it may be time to move them out of the elite tier.

After getting shellacked in the first half against the Bills, the Rams defense has really started to wake up. They were getting no pressure on the quarterback early in the season, but are now fifth in the NFL in sacks and 17th in pressure rate, which is a major improvement over the last two weeks. They now get to face the aforementioned Washington offense, which should be no contest for this Rams defense. With Jalen Ramsey more than capable of making life hard on Terry McLaurin, Haskins will need to consistently move the ball with his other options on offense. I simply don't seem that happening against a Rams defense that is playing fast and hungry. They got to Daniel Jones five times on Sunday, and I expect more of the same this week. Remember, Dwayne Haskins was on the verge of being benched for Kyle Allen. One mediocre game doesn't all of the sudden make him a much better quarterback.

 

Tier 2 Defenses

Rank Tier DST Week 5 Opponent Confidence Rating
5 2 San Francisco 49ers Defense  vs. MIA 11.1
6 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense @ CHI 10.6
7 2 Indianapolis Colts Defense vs. CLE 10.1
8 2 Arizona Cardinals Defense @ NYJ 9.8

As I mentioned above, the 49ers just suffered yet another defensive injury, but they are also second in the NFL with a 30.9% pressure rate and held the Eagles to under 300 yards of total offense. The good news for the 49ers is that there is a chance they get linebacker Dre Greenlaw and cornerbacks Emmanuel Moseley, K'Waun Williams, and Ahkello Witherspoon back in time for the game against Miami. While those won't help their decimated pass rush, getting some starters back in the secondary will be crucial for a match-up against pass-happy Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Dolphins. The Harvard graduate as thrown the third-most interceptions in the league, but the Dolphins have only allowed six sacks per game, so that San Francisco pressure rate will be put to the test. I expect the 49ers to grind this game out on the ground, not giving Miami a chance to run as many plays as they did this weekend. That will lead to this being a low-scoring game with a Fitz interception or two thrown into the mix for a solid overall game at the office of the Niners defense.

While the Chargers put up 31 points against the Bucs on Sunday, only 24 of those came against the defense, and, as mentioned above, scoring is up across the league, so we can't judge a defense only by the amount of points they give up. The Bucs limited the Chargers to 324 total yards; yet, 125 of them came on two touchdowns passes by Justin Herbert. Now, those still count, but that means, outside of two big plays, the Bucs held the Chargers to 199 yards on 48 plays, or 4.1 yards per play. The only reason I bring that up is that the Chicago Bears with Nick Foles are not the kind of explosive offense to take advantage of the Bucs' tendency to give up big plays. However, they also aren't the type of offense to give up a ton of sacks, as they held the Colts high-pressure defense to only one. They also only put up 11 points in a loss. I don't think the Bears are going to do much damage on offense and the Bucs are currently fourth in the NFL in sacks and 3rd in pressure rate (29.9%), so they'll likely get to Foles once or twice and at least pressure him into some bad throws since I expect the Bears to be playing from behind.

Losing Nick Chubb is a major blow for the Browns offense. Yes, they still have Kareem Hunt, but those two as a tandem never gave the defense a chance to breathe. While Hunt is explosive, he doesn't have Chubb's power inside and isn't as effective in goal-line situations. The rushing offense is absolutely crucial to the Browns' success because it puts less pressure on the erratic play of Baker Mayfield. In Sunday's win, the Browns ran for 307 of their 508 total yards. That's going to be a lot harder to do against a Colts defense that is 6th in the NFL with 3.6 yards allowed per attempt and tops in the league by allowing only 26.7% of drives end in points. If the Browns aren't able to control the game on the ground and use it to set up play-action then Mayfield is going to have to put more weight on his own shoulders against a Colts defense that is 4th in the league in pressure rate (27.9%), tied for 8th in sacks, and tied for 10th in quarterback hurries. A game where Baker throws more usually means more interceptions and less high-scoring offense, especially against a defense that isn't allowing many points to begin with.

It's pretty clear after four weeks that you play your defenses against the Jets. Even the Browns Defense that had lost nearly every impact starter other than Bradley Chubb still put up a reasonable performance. Believe it or not, this Cardinals defense is better. They are tied for 6th in the league with 11 sacks and are 15th in drives that end in a score. They're relatively average in both rushing and passing defense, but they have been a bit weaker against the run this year,  a fact which shouldn't hurt them much against Frank Gore and the Jets. The Cardinals will also likely get safety Budda Baker back this week, which only makes them a stronger play. On the other side of the ball, I simply can't see the Jets Defense stopping Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins, provided the veteran receiver is healed enough from a foot injury that clearly hampered him against Carolina. If the Cardinals are scoring points, that will put the Jets in catch-up mode, and they simply don't have the offensive line to consistently protect Darnold in that situation. The young signal-caller has made some great plays this year, but is also making more head-scratching mistakes as a result of his dismal supporting cast. I expect more of the latter on Sunday.

 

Tier 3 Defenses

Rank Tier DST Week 5 Opponent Confidence Rating
9 3 Buffalo Bills Defense @ TEN 9.5
10 3 Kansas City Chiefs Defense vs. LV 9.4
11 3 Tennessee Titans Defense vs. BUF 8.5
12 3 Cleveland Browns Defense vs. IND 8.2
13 3 New Orleans Saints Defense vs. LAC 7.9
14 3 Denver Broncos Defense @ NE 7.4
15 3 Houston Texans Defense vs. JAX 7.1

The Bills defense is starting to come around. They kept Raiders star Josh Jacobs in check for much of Sunday afternoon and stifled an admittedly banged up Raiders offense until a garbage-time touchdown at the end of the game. However, this is a different task. The Bills are still only 16th in the NFL in yards allowed per carry with 4.4, and the Titans will bring bruiser Derrick Henry with them on Sunday. Now, the Titans offensive line hasn't been great and they're currently 27th in the league with only 3.8 yards per attempt, but we know Henry's talent and the Bills also lost linebacker Matt Milano to injury on Sunday, so if he's unable to play, this advantage swings even more to Tennessee. With news that wide receiver A.J. Brown is on track to return Week 5, this becomes a more dangerous Titans offense. Considering they've only allowed four sacks on the year, I don't expect the Bills to get to Ryan Tannehill that much, which means this could be a slow, low-scoring game that won't yield too many fantasy points. UPDATE: With more Titans testing positive for COVID, this game has a real chance to be postponed or outright canceled (with Tennessee forfeiting) since the Titans have already had a bye. Get a back-up option ready. 

The Chiefs just came out of that Monday night game with a dominating win over the Patriots, even though it was a version without Cam Newton. However, the Chiefs defense is 9th in the NFL in pressure rate, fifth in the NFL in sacks, and third in interceptions. That opportunistic nature is going to be important against a Raiders offensive line that's banged up and looked to tire in the second half against the Bills. What's more, it's unclear if the Raiders will get Henry Ruggs or Bryan Edwards back for this game, leaving Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow as the main pass-catching options. If that's the case, the Chiefs defense may move up in the rankings, but I think Derek Carr will be throwing in catch-up mode all game long, which will lead to garbage points, but also a lot of turnovers and sacks.

The Bills offense has been on fire to start the season, but they've also not played a defense that is the same caliber as the Titans. Add to that that the Titans had extra days to prepare for this Bills team, and you could see the first rough Sunday for this Buffalo offense. The Bills offensive line is without Jon Feliciano and also lost Brian Winters on Sunday; that's not great for a line that is already 18th in the league in sacks allowed. The Titans may only have four sacks, but they are 5th in the NFL in pressure rate and second in quarterback knockdowns, so they are likely going to be in Josh Allen's face. The quarterback's near-injury and horrible fourth-quarter sack on Sunday show that there are still chinks in his armor. If the Titans can get pressure on him, they can turn some of that Hero Ball mentality into some turnovers, which will be crucial in what should be a low-scoring game. UPDATE: With more Titans testing positive for COVID, this game has a real chance to be postponed or outright canceled (with Tennessee forfeiting) since the Titans have already had a bye. Get a back-up option ready. 

The Browns defense is decidedly average when it comes to pressure rate (16th) and quarterback knockdowns (30th), but they are tops in the league in quarterback hurries and 8th in yards allowed per rushing attempt at 3.9 yards. Those last two stats are particularly important in this game because Phillip Rivers remains relatively immobile, and the Colts will try to win this on the ground. TY Hilton has looked like a shell of his former self and has yet to top 87 yards in a game since Andrew Luck retired. If the Colts can't get Jonathan Taylor going against a solid run defense, then I expect a fair share of stalled drives and punts. The Colts offensive line is good enough to prevent many sacks, but I expect an interception from the Browns and a really ugly game without many points scored.

The Saints secondary is beyond banged up right now, and Justin Herbert actually looks pretty good. However, the loss of Austin Ekeler hurts the Chargers offense enough to keep the Saints in play in deeper leagues. The Saints had done a decent job containing the Lions, limiting them to 281 yards on the day, 112 of which came on two scoring drives when the game was essentially already decided. Still, this is a team that's 27th in the league in pressure rate and 28th in drives ending in points allowed with 53.1%, so there is cause for concern. If the Saints secondary, particularly Marshon Lattimore, can come back healthy on Sunday, then I like them to take advantage of a banged-up Chargers team and a rookie quarterback. If not, I would stay away from this game.

This ranking is assuming that Cam Newton misses another week since he was diagnosed with COVID-19, which has a 14-day quarantine period. With Brian Hoyer or Jarrett Stidham under center, this offense simply isn't scary. The Broncos defense is banged up enough that I'm not sure they can contain a well-coached Patriots offense for the entire game, so I just don't see a lot of upside in the matchup, especially with how the Broncos offense but their defense in bad positions throughout the entire game against the Jets. However, I think a few turnovers are in store with those either of those players at quarterback, and I can't envision this being a high-scoring, or exciting, football game.

Don't look now, but we have a Replacement Coach Narrative. After the Texans fired Bill O'Brien, there was a report that the Texans players felt a sense of relief. They will now be playing for Romeo Crennell, the defensive coordinator, who appears well-loved in the locker room. However, that's not reason enough to want to play them. What is the reason is that the Jaguars are 27th in the league in sacks allowed and the Texans are tied for 10th in the league in sacks. The Texans blitz the 7th most in the league, which could confuse a mediocre Jaguars offensive line and cause issues for Gardner Minshew, who already has four interceptions on the year. I expect the Texans to be fired up and think they could dominate the Jaguars in this game.

 

Tier 4 Defenses

Rank Tier DST Week 5 Opponent Confidence Rating
16 4 Dallas Cowboys Defense vs. NYG 7.0
17 4 New York Jets Defense vs. ARI 6.6
18 4 Seattle Seahawks Defense vs. MIN 6.5
19 4 Chicago Bears Defense vs. TB 5.2
20 4 Philadelphia Eagles Defense @ PIT 4.9
21 4 Washington Football Team Defense vs. BAL 4.5
22 4 Miami Dolphins Defense @ SF 4.2

Yes, I know the Cowboys are playing the Giants, but they just gave up over 500 yards to the Browns and have given up 1,722 yards through four games, over 430 per game. The fact that they're playing the Giants gives them some upside for sacks and turnovers, but this is also a really bad defense that could give up 20+ points easily in this game.

The Jets run defense is solid, but they're secondary is not equipped to handle Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins. They may notch a sack or two, which can keep them interesting in super deep leagues, but this isn't a match-up I would be targeting.

Jamaal Adams appears to be another week away from returning, so that makes the Seahawks secondary vulnerable to Adam Thielen and emerging Justin Jefferson. I expect the Seahawks to score at will against Minnesota, which will lead to lots of garbage time points and yards for the Vikings offense. The Seahawks will likely get enough sacks to keep them in deep league consideration, but I don't love the play this week.

The Bears defense simply doesn't have the bite it's had in year's past. They are 28th in the league in pressure rate and have a mediocre eight sacks over four games. They rarely blitz and simply aren't getting pressure with their front four, especially against a Bucs offensive line that has allowed five total sacks in four games. With the way Tom Brady just torched a better Chargers secondary, I wouldn't feel comfortable lining up the Bears against him this week, even with Chris Godwin likely to miss another week.

The Eagles defense woke up against an injured Niners team on Sunday night, and I think this defense is one to keep an eye on now that they're starting to get healthy. I'm just not interested in them this week. Facing Nick Mullens, Jerrick McKinnon, and the Niners, even with George Kittle, is much different than facing this Steelers offense. Additionally, I think the Steelers defense is going to have a field day with the Eagles offensive line, which will likely lead to turnovers and a lot of bad spots for the Eagles defense. That's never good for fantasy production.

Michael Thomas is likely to return this week, and the Chargers just allowed 38 points to a Tampa Bay offense without Chris Godwin. Are you really confident in rolling them out against a fully healthy Saints offense?

Washington gets a tremendous amount of pressure, which keeps them from the bottom tier, but this isn't going to be a game you want to play them. They are banged up on the defensive line and don't have the secondary talent to keep this Ravens team from running up 30+ points.

The Dolphins squeeze into the bottom of this tier because we still don't know who is suiting up for San Francisco. If Jimmy Garropollo, Raheem Mostert, and/or Deebo Samuel come back, this is an entirely different offense and one that I am not comfortable attacking with the Dolphins and their mediocre pass rush.

 

Tier 5 Defenses

Rank Tier DST Week 5 Opponent Confidence Rating
23 5 Los Angeles Chargers Defense @ NO 3.9
24 5 Atlanta Falcons Defense vs. CAR 3.1
25 5 Cincinnati Bengals Defense @ BAL 2.5
26 5 Jacksonville Jaguars Defense @ HOU 2.4
27 5 Carolina Panthers Defense vs. ATL 1.5
28 5 New York Giants Defense @ DAL 0.8
29 5 Minnesota Vikings Defense @ SEA 0.4
30 5 Las Vegas Raiders Defense @ KC 0.3
31 5 Detroit Lions Defense BYE 0.0
32 5 Green Bay Packers Defense BYE 0.0


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OwnersBox NFL DFS Lineup Picks for Week 5 - Daily Fantasy Football

Hey there RotoBallers! If you haven't had a chance to check out the weekly fantasy offerings over at OwnersBox, now is the time! OwnersBox is a new weekly fantasy platform that offers plenty of game setups to fulfill your desire to draft throughout the season! Over at OwnersBox,  you can participate in snake drafts and select 1, 2, 3, or 4-week tournament-style bracket contests.

In this article, I will be providing you with my weekly fantasy football lineup picks on OwnersBox for contests that start in Week 5. I will pick out two players at each position: a short-term option (for one-week drafts) and a long-term option (for drafts lasting between two and four weeks).

Be sure to also check out our other great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win big no matter what your preferred weekly fantasy platform happens to be. If you sign up for OwnersBox this week, you'll get $25 free in OwnersBucks, which can be redeemed to play in real money games.

 

OwnersBox Quarterbacks

One-Week Drafts:

Russell Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) vs. MIN

Wilson's fantastic early-season schedule continues with a Week 5 home matchup against a very beatable Minnesota pass defense. The Vikings rank ninth in pass defense DVOA but have allowed the 15th-most fantasy points per game to the quarterback position. That number is strengthened by the fact that they have done a decent job limiting touchdown passes from the opposition but have allowed three of their four opponents to rack up at least 300 passing yards. Wilson is a top-notch play this week.

Also consider: Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) vs. CIN

 

Two-to-Four-Week Drafts:

Dak Prescott (Dallas Cowboys) vs. NYG, vs. ARI, @WAS, @PHI

A poor Dallas defense coupled with an elite group of pass-catchers has Prescott in the early running to finish as the overall QB1 in 2020. His upcoming schedule is soft and there is plenty of potential for shootouts along the way. The Giants rank just 24th in pass defense DVOA according to Football Outsiders. The only concern is Dallas building a big lead but their weak defense may allow the Giants to keep up on the scoreboard, which is what we want.

A Week 6 matchup against Arizona is a likely shootout spot while Washington is allowing the eighth-most fantasy points per game to QBs. Dak finishes up this stretch with a road game against the Eagles. Philly represents another quality matchup in what should be another high-scoring affair. The Eagles pass defense is only allowing the seventh-fewest fantasy points per game but that has been aided by poor fantasy outputs in a Week 1 matchup against the since-benched Dwayne Haskins Jr. and the Nick Mullens/C.J. Beathard combo last week. Their Weeks 2 and 3 opponents, Joe Burrow and Jared Goff, combined to throw for 579 yards and five touchdowns.

Also consider: Ben Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) vs. PHI, vs. CLE, @TEN, @BAL

 

OwnersBox Running Backs

One-Week Drafts:

Alvin Kamara (New Orleans Saints) vs. LAC 

Kamara had a quiet day (by his standards) in Week 4 but still managed to finish with 83 rushing yards and a score. Calling that output a "quiet day" just goes to show how dominant he is. The Saints expect to get Michael Thomas back from a high-ankle sprain this week but there's a good chance he could be limited or deployed in a decoy role. I want to wait and see him play for a week before getting concerned that he is fully back and ready to cut into Kamara's share in the passing game. The Chargers have an average defense against the run, ranking 13th in DVOA.

Also consider: Chris Carson (Seattle Seahawks) vs. MIN

 

Two-to-Four-Week Drafts:

Clyde Edwards-Helaire (Kansas City Chiefs) vs. LV, @BUF, @DEN, vs. NYJ

Edwards-Helaire hasn't really had a big breakout performance, mostly thanks to him scoring just one touchdown despite seeing 85 total touches through four games. Look for him to find the end zone again in a plus matchup against a Raiders run defense that is just 30th in DVOA through four games. CEH will take on the Bills on the road in Week 6 in what should be a high-scoring game. Buffalo's defense has not been very good against the run the past few seasons and ranks just 20th in run defense DVOA through four games.

Week 7 brings a home game against the division-rival Broncos. Denver has been solid against the run this year but that doesn't cause much concern against an explosive Kansas City offense. The Jets in Week 8 is a smash spot for CEH. Expect the Chiefs to build a big lead over New York and run heavily in the second half of the contest.

Also consider: Ezekiel Elliott (Dallas Cowboys) vs. NYG, vs. ARI, @WAS, @PHI

 

OwnersBox Wide Receivers

One-Week Drafts:

Adam Thielen (Minnesota Vikings) @SEA

Thielen draws a dream matchup against a Seattle secondary that hasn't been able to stop anybody this season. The Seahawks are allowing the most fantasy points per game to WRs and, even better, have an explosive offense that will force the Vikings to pass frequently in what will be a shootout.

Look for some more slick moves like these from Thielen this weekend.

Adam Thielen

Also consider: DeAndre Hopkins (Arizona Cardinals) @NYJ

 

Two-to-Four-Week Drafts:

Keenan Allen (Los Angeles Chargers) @NO, vs. NYJ, @MIA, vs. JAX

Allen has enjoyed playing with rookie signal-caller Justin Herbert. While I may back off on Allen if Tyrod Taylor is reinstalled as the starter, we will proceed as though Herbert is the team's starting quarterback over the next four games. Allen will take on a Saints secondary in Week 5 that has allowed a WR touchdown in each of the past four games. The Jets are tough against the run and weak vs. the pass, which will funnel extra work Allen's way in Week 6. Allen should have little trouble getting open against the Dolphins in the following week as Miami is allowing the eighth-most fantasy points per game to the wide receiver position. Jacksonville's pass defense ranks dead last in DVOA.

Also consider: Tyreek Hill (Kansas City Chiefs) vs. LV, @BUF, @DEN, vs. NYJ

 

OwnersBox Tight Ends

One-Week Drafts:

George Kittle (San Francisco 49ers) vs. MIA

Kittle announced he was back from an early-season knee injury in style in Week 4, ripping the Eagles for 15 catches, 183 yards, and a touchdown. He draws a cake matchup against the Dolphins in Week 5. Miami isn't giving up very many points to tight ends this season but they haven't exactly faced many big names at the position. Kittle should continue to stand out as the 49ers' preferred option in the passing attack this week.

Also consider: Darren Waller (Las Vegas Raiders) @KC

 

Two-to-Four-Week Drafts:

Travis Kelce (Kansas City Chiefs) vs. LV, @BUF, @DEN, vs. NYJ

The Raiders have been tough on tight ends this season but Kelce has traditionally fared well against them, catching four touchdowns in their previous six meetings. Buffalo has been generous to the position, allowing the sixth-most fantasy points per game, including Mike Gesicki's huge eight-catch, 130-yard, one-touchdown outing in Week 2. The Broncos in Week 7 are allowing the 14th-most fantasy points to TEs while the Jets have allowed three touchdowns to tight ends over their past three games.

Also consider: Jonnu Smith (Tennessee Titans) vs. BUF, vs. HOU, vs. PIT, @CIN



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NFL Matchup Ratings Tool - Weekly Player Projections

 
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The King's Week 5 Fantasy Football Lineup Rankings (Premium Content)


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Thursday Night Football DFS Lineup Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings

Week 5 of the NFL season is just beginning as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Chicago Bears! The Buccaneers and Bears game currently has a 44.5 over/under with the Bucs being favored by 3.5 points.

In this article, I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for Thursday Night Football on October 8th, 2020 (Week 5). These lineups can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on FanDuel. Lineup construction can differ greatly from FanDuel to DraftKings with the biggest difference being the Captain and MVP slots. On DK, you'll pay 1.5x the salary of a player in order to roster them as your captain while the price doesn't change on FanDuel.

If you have any questions you can follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with myself and other NFL DFS analysts any time you'd like!

 

DFS Quarterbacks

The last time we saw these two quarterbacks playing against each other in a meaningful game was in Super Bowl LII when Nick Foles led the Philadelphia Eagles past the New England Patriots. Fast forward a few years and here we are seeing them battle it out on Thursday Night Football with brand new teams. Nick Foles supplanted Mitch Trubisky as the starter in Chicago and takes on a tough task going up against a Bucs secondary that has generated five interceptions and 14 sacks through the first four games of the season. Foles gives the Bears a little more security at the position and did a great job leading a major comeback against the Falcons but this will be a daunting challenge as he looks to keep up with Brady.

Tom Brady had a big day last Sunday as he threw for 369 yards and five touchdowns against the Chargers. On the season, Brady has thrown for 1,122 yards and 11 touchdowns while only being picked off four times. While he is out Chris Godwin and Justin Watson, he will have reliable targets in Mike Evans and Scotty Miller to throw too in addition to Ronald Jones II and Rob Gronkowski. The Bears Defense has done well defending the pass as they are limiting opposing offenses to just 230 passing yards and holding opposing quarterbacks to 12.4 fantasy points scored per game.

Other plays: With both quarterbacks having tough matchups, it might be tough to trust both of them in cash games. Brady has the overall better matchup in this game and is trustworthy in casg games while Foles is viable in tournaments.

 

DFS Running Backs

The running back situations for both teams seem to be pretty straight forward for this Thursday night game. With Leonard Fournette labeled as doubtful and LeSean McCoy listed as out, it looks like Ronald Jones II will see most of the workload in the running game. Jones is coming off of a big-time performance as he had 111 yards on 20 carries while hauling in six catches on nine targets. With a workload like this, it is hard to fade him in any format. Taking on the backup duties will be Ke'Shawn Vaughn. Vaughn saw some targets against the Chargers and even hauled in a catch for a touchdown so he does have some appeal in large tournament formats. The Bears are in the middle of the pack when it comes to rushing defense as they are allowing 115 yards per game on the ground which means this seems to be a solid matchup for the Bucs rushing attack.

The Bears rely heavily on