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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Week 7 - Monkey Knife Fight

Welcome to Week 7 of the NFL Season! The season is moving right along and has gotten very exciting and that means our friends at Monkey Knife Fight are offering some fantastic props for us to play.

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, NFL DFS games in the industry. There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of in a couple of these games including the Lions at Falcons, Panthers at Saints, and Seahawks at Cardinals.

Lions @ Falcons Fantasy Challenge

Recommended Prop Pick:

Kenny Golladay, Todd Gurley, and Calvin Ridley more than 59.5 fantasy points

This game should see plenty of fireworks considering the total is 55. Kenny Golladay is likely to be the beneficiary of several targets in this game as he is currently earning seven targets per game. He will be going up against a defense that is allowing nearly 45 fantasy points to the wide receiver position on the season, which ranks fifth-worst in the league. They do this by allowing nearly 218 receiving yards per game to wideouts and have also given up seven receiving touchdowns to the position, which is tied for fifth-worst in the league.

Todd Gurley is not someone I would normally recommend, but I like him in this spot vs. the Lions. He is currently averaging nearly 17 carries and two receptions per game, which is solid volume for a running back. He will be facing a Lions Defense that has allowed an average of 30 fantasy points per game to the running back position, which is ranked sixth-worst in the league. They have allowed an average of over 5.2 yards per carry and have also given up five scores on the ground to backs. Add in the fact that the Falcons are also favored in this game and Gurley could get some added carries near the end of the game.

Calvin Ridley is an absolute beast and should be included in this prop. He is currently averaging 9.5 targets per game and that should bode well for him vs. the Lions. The Lions are allowing over 40 fantasy points per game to wide receivers, which ranks seventh-worst in the league. They have given up six receiving touchdowns, which is especially significant as this is where Ridley has shined by hauling in five touchdowns through the Falcons' first six games.

Play the Fantasy Challenge Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Panthers @ Saints More or Less Contest

Recommended Prop Pick:

Drew Brees less than 280.5 passing yards and Teddy Bridgewater more than 275.5 passing yards

Is Drew Brees capable of going over this total? Sure. Is he going to have to go over this total at home against the Panthers? Not likely. The Panthers have one of the worst run defenses in football. They are currently allowing 4.85 yards per carry to running backs. They are also allowing nearly 104 rushing yards per game to backs, which tells me this is likely to be the Alvin Kamara and even the Latavius Murray show. The Saints should come out in this game looking to establish the run at home early and often and should be able to find plenty of success with this method of attack. The Saints are also 7.5 point favorites as the game currently sits, which is a pretty big number. It likely means the Saints won't be forced to throw late in order to attempt a comeback.

Bridgewater will likely have to throw for the Panthers to find success in this game. New Orleans has a strong run defense as they are currently only allowing running backs to rush for 88 yards per game. They are also only allowing 3.6 yards per carry. This strength does not carry over to their passing game, however, as they are allowing quarterbacks to throw for over 255 yards per game. As mentioned above, the Saints are 7.5 point favorites, which means Carolina will likely be trying to catch up for quite a bit of time in this game. If this happens, Bridgewater has the weapons in Mike Davis, D.J. Moore, and Robby Anderson to throw over this total much the way he did vs. Tampa Bay in a Week 2 contest, which saw the Panthers lose 31-17.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

Seahawks @ Cardinals More or Less Contest

Recommended Prop Pick:

Russell Wilson more than 295.5 passing yards and Kyler Murray more than 267.5

This game has all the makings of a shootout with two bad defenses and a game total of 56. Russell Wilson has been on absolute fire in 2020 as he is currently averaging over 300 passing yards per game. He has two of the best weapons in the game at wide receiver in Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf, which only helps build a case for him in this matchup. While the Cardinals are only allowing 248 passing yards per game, they have not faced an offense anywhere near as reliant on the pass as this Seahawks offense. Arguably the best quarterback this Cardinals team has faced was Matt Stafford in Week 3, and he promptly threw for 270 passing yards. Wilson should be able to get over the total in this spot.

Kyler Murray will be facing the worst secondary in the league and must be played as a more than in this spot. The Seahawks are currently allowing quarterbacks to throw for a whopping 377 passing yard per game. They are also allowing wide receivers to go off for over 274 receiving yards per game. Kyler Murray should be able to have a monster game throwing the ball to DeAndre Hopkins and Christian Kirk. It should also be noted that the Seahawks only allow running backs to rush for 75.6 yards per game, which means the offense should rely heavily on the arm of Murray in this game.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 



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Thursday Night Football Prop Picks for Monkey Knife Fight: Eagles vs Giants

The NFL season is back, and we cannot waste our opportunity to make some cash. We’ve seen crazy upsets so far, and we’ve seen a lot of money won. Tonight, we have another shot with the Philadelphia Eagles hosting the New York Giants.

On MKF, there are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash. You're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money.

As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of.

 

Eagles vs Giants: More or Less Contest

Thus far, both of these defenses have played particularly well against the pass. Neither squad is allowing more than 235.5 yards per game through the air. Despite that, I’m taking the over for Carson Wentz. He’s only cleared this mark twice in six games, but this is also the best matchup he’s had thus far. Outside of cornerback James Bradberry, this Giants Defense leaves much to be desired. I think he can sling the ball around a little bit.

In order to keep up with Wentz, Daniel Jones is going to have to throw the ball, and that’s easier to do on this Philadelphia defense. Similar to the Giants, they only have cornerback Darius Slay that scares you in the secondary. The over/under for this game is set at 45, and that feels low despite how beaten up these two rosters are. I’m expecting a little bit of a shootout between the two sides.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Eagles vs Giants: More or Less Contest

Tight ends Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert are still out. Running back Miles Sanders will not be playing, and the wide receiver room has been zapped of talent. Fulgham has 23 targets in his last two games, and he’s caught at least six balls in each game. This number feels pretty easily achievable.

In his last two games, Freeman has hardly been efficient, but he’s getting plenty of volume with 35 carries over the last two weeks. He’s cleared 60 in each game, and I think he’s going to get the volume to clear the mark set for him again. This is a good Eagles front, but with Malik Jackson out with an injury, I think they can get enough push to get him over this relatively low bar.

Play the More or Less Contest on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Eagles vs Giants: More or Less Contest

  • Carson Wentz OVER 18.5 fantasy points
  • Daniel Jones UNDER 16.5 fantasy points
  • Travis Fulgham OVER 13.5 fantasy points

I think the Eagles are going to be able to move the ball through the air, and with Sanders out, I think we see even more work from Wentz. On top of his work through the air, I think we see Wentz as a key part of the ground game this week. He’s scored a rushing touchdown in four out of six games, and that can help buoy a day for fantasy.

Choosing the under on Jones here comes exclusively from his inability to take care of the ball. In 19 games under center, he has thrown 18 interceptions, and he has 22 fumbles charged to his name. Even against an Eagles Defense that isn’t the most talented, they have the players to take advantage of sloppy play.

Similar to his receptions prop, I’m comfortable taking Fulgham at this number because there is little to no competition for him to compete with. It does rely on him breaking a big play or catching a touchdown, but with the volume he’s going to get, I think he’s able to get there.

 

Play the More or Less Contest on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Eagles vs Giants: Rapid Fire Contest

I’m doubling down on my calls. For all of the Eagles’ struggles, I truly believe they’re the better team in this matchup, and they can make more plays happen. I think Freeman’s going to have a slow night, and his entire fantasy value is going to be tied to his ability to get in the endzone. I don’t think that happens. Wentz has struggled from a football perspective, but he’s still maintaining more fantasy value than Jones. That’s all that matters here.

Play the Rapid Fire Contest on Monkey Knife Fight



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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Thursday (10/22/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

The NFC East has the makings of one of the worst divisions in the modern history of the NFL and Thursday night brings an NFC East matchup between the New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles. The teams may not be great but there are still chances to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Giants are 1-5, coming off their first win of the season, 20-19 over the Washington Football Team. With star running back Saquon Barkley injured, the Giants are having a really hard time moving the ball – their average of 4.7 yards per play is only better than the Washington Football Team and the New York Jets.

It’s not like the season has been a raging success for Philadelphia either. The Eagles are 1-4-1 and just lost starting running back Miles Sanders to a knee injury and tight end Zach Ertz to an ankle injury and they join an ever-growing list of injured Eagles. That doesn’t leave quarterback Carson Wentz with an ideal supporting cast but this is the NFC East, no one is running on all cylinders.

Nevertheless, here are some angles to consider for Thursday night’s NFL game on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

N.Y. GIANTS-PHILADELPHIA

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Carson Wentz LESS THAN 247.5 PASSING YARDS

The Eagles quarterback is averaging a modest 233.5 passing yards per game this season and his offense is depleted by injuries. He has thrown for 248 or more yards twice in six games. The Giants are average in terms of pass defense, allowing 235.5 passing yards per game and 6.5 net yards per pass attempt. Unless the Eagles somehow show that they are more explosive offensively, it could be hard for Wentz to reach what seems like an entirely reasonable number.

Daniel Jones MORE THAN 230.5 PASSING YARDS

Danny Dimes threw for more than 240 yards in his first two starts of the season but has struggled to throw the ball in the past four weeks, reaching a season-low 112 passing yards against Washington last week. Philadelphia’s defense is better than average against the pass, allowing 229.7 passing yards per game and 6.0 average net yards per pass attempt. With some expectation that the Giants may be trailing, maybe he bounces back and reaches this achievable threshold.

Travis Fulgham MORE THAN 64.5 RECEIVING YARDS

The real wildcard in the Philadelphia offense is Fulgham, a 25-year-old who had zero catches on three targets for the Lions in 2019 but has suddenly landed in the Philadelphia lineup and has put up 18 catches for 284 yards and three touchdowns on 26 targets in the past three games. He looks like he’s going to be Carson Wentz’s favorite target.

RAPID FIRE

Travis Fulgham -1.5 fantasy points vs. Devonta Freeman

Two players who have been thrust into prominent roles. A series of injuries opened the door for Fulgham to step into the Eagles lineup and he’s been so productive that he’s now indispensable. Freeman was a free agent waiting for the right opportunity to come along when Saquon Barkley tore his ACL. Freeman rushed for a season-high 61 yards last week but it has been a grind – he’s averaging 3.2 yards per carry.

Boston Scott +1.5 fantasy points vs. Darius Slayton

Philadelphia’s starting running back, Miles Sanders, left last week’s game with a knee injury and that opens the door for Scott to be Philadelphia’s lead back, with Corey Clement providing support in the backfield. Slayton is averaging 67.7 receiving yards per game and he has scored three touchdowns in six games. He also happens to be nursing a foot injury so if he’s slowed down at all that could open the door for Boston Scott to escape with a win in this matchup.

 



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MLB DFS Prop Picks for Tuesday (10/20/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

The first pitch of the World Series goes tonight and that means more props to play on Monkey Knife Fight.

Even though it was a shortened 60-game season, with an expanded playoff, the teams with the two best records managed to reach the World Series.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are the team that consistently has one of the highest payrolls in the sport. They have been seeking their first World Series crown since 1988 and they have been close, losing the World Series in both 2017 and 2018.

On the other hand, the Tampa Bay Rays are a bargain enterprise have never won the World Series, losing in their only appearance in the championship round in 2008.

Here are some angles to consider for the first game of the World Series on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

TAMPA BAY-LOS ANGELES

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MORE OR LESS

Clayton Kershaw LESS THAN 6.5 STRIKEOUTS

There are few players in this series that come with the wildcard credentials of Kershaw. He may be the best pitcher of this generation but he has also struggled at times in the postseason and has recorded seven or more strikeouts in two of his past 10 postseason starts. However, the Rays are a team that tends to strike out. During the regular season, their strikeout rate of 26.9% was the second-highest rate in baseball and it’s gone up to 29.9% in the postseason. Still, can Kershaw be trusted?

Tyler Glasnow LESS THAN 5.5 STRIKEOUTS

Glasnow recorded 18 strikeouts in 11 innings through his first two playoff starts this year but has seven strikeouts in 8 1/3 innings since. The Dodgers also happen to sit on the other end of the spectrum for strikeouts. Their strikeout rate of 20.3% was the third lowest rate in baseball.

Mookie Betts MORE THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

The star Dodgers right fielder is hitting .311 with an .852 OPS in the playoffs and while he has yet to hit a home run, he’s consistently getting on base, and that includes reaching on multiple hits plus walks in nine of 12 postseason contests.

RAPID FIRE

Randy Arozarena -0.5 fantasy points vs. Yandy Diaz

Diaz, the Rays’ third baseman, is hitting .125 with a .489 OPS in the playoffs, compared to Arozarena, who is the hottest hitter in baseball. Arozarena has hit .382 with a 1.288 OPS in 14 playoff games. Take Arozarena against anyone right now but especially against Diaz.

Cody Bellinger -0.5 fantasy points vs. Brandon Lowe

Bellinger has been coming on for the Dodogers and while he’s hitting a mediocre .250, he has a .911 OPS, has walked eight times and driven in 10 runs in 12 playoff games. Lowe, on the other hand, is mired in a terrible slump, hitting .115 with a .360 OPS in the playoffs. The regular season was different, Lowe was the much more dangerous hitter, but it’s hard to go against their recent results.

Corey Seager +0.5 fantasy points vs. Mookie Betts

As good as Betts has been in the playoffs, hitting .311 with an .852 OPS, it’s not as good as Seager who has six home runs, 15 RBI, a .298 batting average and 1.124 OPS in 12 postseaason contests. Betts has been good but Seager has been great.

 

HOME RUN DERBY

Looking for a trio of players that might combine for more than 0.5 home runs? Try Randy Arozarena, Corey Seager, and Cody Bellinger, a trio that has combined for 16 home runs in the playoffs.



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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Monday Night Football Week 6 - Monkey Knife Fight

Welcome to Week 6 of the NFL Season! The season is moving right along and has gotten very exciting and that means our friends at Monkey Knife Fight are offering some fantastic props for us to play.

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, NFL DFS games in the industry. There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

Let's take a look at some of the props Monday Night Football has to offer this week.

 

Chiefs @ Bills

More or Less Contest(s)

Recommended Prop Picks:

Patrick Mahomes more than 319.5 passing yards: This should be a solid matchup for Mahomes on Monday night. The Bills are currently allowing quarterbacks to throw for 274 passing yards per game, but are only giving up 83 rushing yards per game to running backs. Mahomes is averaging nearly 295 passing yards per game. He has also put up some monster games of 302, 385, and 340 passing yards. I expect this to be another one of those games.

Josh Allen less than 290.5 passing yards: This is a tough one for me, but I am going to roll with the less than because this number is so high and has jumped nearly fifty yards over the weekend. The Chiefs have not been allowing quarterbacks to torch them. They are only allowing close to 240 passing yards per game. While Allen is averaging nearly 318 passing yards per game, this is one of the best passing defenses he will have faced thus far.

Stefon Diggs more than 80.5 receiving yards: Diggs has gone over 80 receiving yards in four of the Bills' five contests. He is the most targeted receiver on the team with 51 targets through their first five games. This should be a great spot for him, especially considering the Bills are four-point underdogs. This means Allen could be throwing often and Diggs should certainly be the recipient of those targets.

Travis Kelce more than 6.5 receptions: Travis Kelce is one of the best tight ends in the league and has been targeted a whopping 46 times through the Chief's first five games and has caught at least six passes in all but one contest. This is very bad news for the Bills who rank dead last in the league in receptions allowed to the tight end position. They have given up a total of 39 receptions through the first five games, which averages out to nearly eight per game. Kelce should do very well under these circumstances.

Play the More or Less Contest on Monkey Knife Fight

Reception Collection Contest

Recommended Prop Pick:

Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, and Stefon Diggs more than 19.5 receptions

Each of these guys is in a prime spot on Monday night. We mentioned Diggs and Kelce's stats above, which is why I certainly like them in this spot. Those two alone could very easily haul in 16 passes between them in this game. Tyreek Hill is the next guy I want in this prop. He is averaging seven targets per game and is hauling in over four receptions per game. He will be facing a Bills Defense that is allowing over 13 receptions per game to wide receivers. Given that Hill will be the most targeted receiver on the Chiefs Monday night, I think he helps push this prop over the total.

Play the Reception Collection Contest on Monkey Knife Fight

Cardinals @ Cowboys

More or Less Contest(s)

Recommended Prop Picks:

Andy Dalton less than 288.5 passing yards: Andy Dalton steps in making his first start for the Cowboys and he may find it tough sledding moving the ball through the air. The Cardinals are only allowing quarterbacks to pass for 244.6 yards per game. That being said, they are allowing running back to rush for nearly 107 yards per game. Given that it is Dalton's first start for the Cowboys and the Cardinals struggle vs. the run, it makes sense for the Cowboys to come with a gameplan that features Zeke more so than the passing game.

Kyler Murray more than 288.5 passing yards: Kyler Murray has a great opportunity to carve up this Cowboys Defense much the way he carved up the Jets Defense a week ago. The Cowboys secondary has struggled mightily in 2020 as they are allowing over 180 receiving yards per game to the wide receiver position. They will have a hard time covering DeAndre Hopkins and Christian Kirk in this game. The Cardinals have also struggled to establish the run game from the backfield as Kenyan Drake and Chase Edmonds combined are only averaging 82 rushing yards per game. While Murray has been very effective with his legs in 2020, the Cowboys have been solid thus far against mobile quarterbacks as they have only given up 52 rushing yards while facing the likes of Russell Wilson and Daniel Jones.

Ezekiel Elliott more than 89.5 rushing yards: The Cowboys will likely come out with a plan to pound the rock in this game in order to take some of the pressure of Andy Dalton in his first start. The Cardinals have struggled vs. the running back position in 2020 as noted by 106.8 rushing yards per game allowed. They are also giving up nearly 4.5 yards per carry, which should mean solid numbers for Zeke and he could finally get over that 100-yard threshold.

Play the More or Less Contest on Monkey Knife Fight



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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Monday (10/19/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

For the third time in six weeks this season, there will be two NFL games played on Monday night. It’s easy to get used to this kind of action and it also means twice as many chances to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The first game sees the defending-champion Kansas City Chiefs visiting the emerging Buffalo Bills. The Chiefs are 4-1 but coming off a loss to the Las Vegas Raiders last week. The Bills are also 4-1 and coming off a lopsided loss at Tennessee.

The later game has the 3-2 Arizona Cardinals, third place in the NFC West, visiting the Dallas Cowboys. America’s Team is 2-3 yet still in first place in the NFC East. Both teams have some significant injuries to overcome.

Arizona has lost star pass rusher Chandler Jones for the rest of the season due to a torn biceps while Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott is done for the season after breaking his ankle against the Giants in Week 5. Andy Dalton takes over at quarterback for the Cowboys.

Here are some angles to consider for yet another Monday night NFL double-header on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

KANSAS CITY-BUFFALO

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Patrick Mahomes LESS THAN 319.5 PASSING YARDS

Mahomes is averaging 294.8 passing yards per game this season, throwing for more than 320 yards in two of five contests. The Bills Defense hasn’t been up to expectations to this point and still they have allowed 263.2 passing yards per game and 6.7 net yards per pass attempt. The status of injured Bills cornerback Tre’Davious White could play a big part in this but it’s asking a lot for Mahomes to throw for 320-plus.

Josh Allen LESS THAN 290.5 PASSING YARDS

While Allen is enjoying a breakthrough campaign, averaging 317.8 passing yards per game, the Chiefs aren’t going to be easy pickings. Kansas City has allowed just 225.5 passing yards per game, 6.5 net yards per pass attempt, so Allen will have to work for whatever he can accomplish in this game.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire LESS THAN 72.5 RUSHING YARDS

The Chiefs rookie is facing the prospect of losing playing time to newly-signed Le’Veon Bell but not this week. Even so, Edwards-Helaire is averaging 68.8 rushing yards per game and has been held under 65 yards in each of the past four games.

RAPID FIRE

Stefon Diggs -6.5 receiving yards vs. Travis Kelce

Diggs has made a seamless transition to the Bills offense and is averaging 101.8 receiving yards per game, a lofty total that is out of reach for tight ends, including Kelce, who is averaging 81.0 receiving yards per game. There may be an extra look or two towards Kelce with wide receiver Sammy Watkins out but not enough to prefer him over Diggs this week.

Cole Beasley +0.5 receptions vs. Tyreek Hill

Hill is a playmaker but he’s not a high-volume receiver. He hasn’t had more than five catches in any game this season and that makes him a risky selection as the favorite against Beasley, Buffalo’s effective slot receiver. Beasley is averaging 4.8 receptions per game so getting an extra half reception gives him a worthwhile lead in terms of value.

 

ARIZONA-DALLAS

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Andy Dalton LESS THAN 288.5 PASSING YARDS

This is a great opportunity for Dalton, the longtime Bengals starter who steps in as the Cowboys quarterback in the wake of Dak Prescott’s injury. Last season, in Cincinnati, Dalton passed for 289 yards or more four times in 13 games.

Kyler Murray LESS THAN 288.5 PASSING YARDS

The Cardinals quarterback is doing more in his sophomore season but he’s averaging 259.8 passing yards per game even after going for 380 yards against the Jets last week. Dallas’ defense has been pretty much average against the pass so far, allowing 248.6 passing yards per game and 6.8 net yards per pass attempt.

DeAndre Hopkins MORE THAN 6.5 RECEPTIONS

D-Hop had a season-low six receptions last week but is still averaging nine catches per game since landing in the desert. He’s easily the No. 1 receiver on the Cardinals depth chart and should be busy against Dallas.

Amari Cooper MORE THAN 69.5 RECEIVING YARDS

The Cowboys’ top receiver was invisible last week but had more than 80 yards receiving in the first four games of the season. Arizona has good numbers against the pass, allowing just 222.4 passing yards per game, 6.1 net yards per attempt, and while losing Chandler Jones likely means that the Cardinals won’t be as effective when rushing the passer, they will provide a tough test for the Cowboys. Still, Cooper has been a consistent threat for Dallas and should remain that way even after the quarterback change.

RAPID FIRE

Kenyan Drake +30.5 rushing yards vs. Ezekiel Elliott

Drake has been a disappointment for the Cardinals this season but is still active enough that he has averaged 62.8 rushing yards per game. Elliott has not been thriving in Dallas either, averaging 72.8 rushing yards per contest. Maybe there is a bigger role for Zeke with Dak Prescott sidelined but banking on more than a 30-yard gap against Drake is a big ask.



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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Week 6 - Monkey Knife Fight

Welcome to Week 6 of the NFL Season! The season is moving right along and has gotten very exciting and that means our friends at Monkey Knife Fight are offering some fantastic props for us to play.

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, NFL DFS games in the industry. There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of in a couple of these games including the Falcons at Viking and Texans at Titans.

 

Falcons @ Vikings More or Less Contest

Recommended Prop Pick:

Matt Ryan more than 300.5 passing yards and Kirk Cousins more than 280.5 passing yards

This game sets up to be a shootout as it has a total of 54.5 currently, which is one of the highest totals on the board. Matt Ryan has posted a couple of dud fantasy performances in the previous few weeks, but is still averaging nearly 295 passing yards per game. He will be facing a Vikings Defense that has allowed nearly 265 passing yards per game the previous four weeks. The fact that the Falcons are dogs here also helps with this prop as Ryan will likely be throwing late in the game, especially since they rank in the middle of the pack in rushing yards per game with 117.

As bad as the Vikings secondary is, the Falcons are even worse. They have allowed over 350 passing yards per game over the previous four weeks. While Cousins has yet to have that monster game in 2020, this could be the one as the Vikings are expected to be without Dalvin Cook. This could mean huge games for Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson. The reason behind this is because the Falcons have allowed over 210 receiving yards per game to wide receivers over the previous four weeks, which ranks second-worst in the league over that span.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Texans @ Titans Fantasy Challenge Contest

Recommended Prop Pick:

Derrick Henry, A.J. Brown, and Will Fuller over 57.5 Fantasy Points

This is one of my favorite games this week and I especially like it from a fantasy standpoint. Derrick Henry is one of the toughest and most obvious lead backs in the league and he has a stellar matchup vs. Houston this week. The Texans have allowed 543 rushing yards to backs over the previous four weeks, which is ranked worst in the league. They are allowing over 135 rushing yards per game and nearly 5.3 yards per carry to backs. This is an absolute smash spot for Henry who is averaging over 25 carries per game in 2020. He is also a major threat to score as he has posted four scores through his first four contests.

A.J. Brown is back and was a big reason for the Titans' success in Week 5. He hauled in seven of his nine targets for 82 yards and a score. He was clearly a favorite target of Ryan Tannehill as noted by the nine looks he received Tuesday night. The Texans have been average at best vs. wide receivers over the previous four weeks as they have allowed 165 receiving yards per game, but they have also allowed four touchdowns over that span and given up 51 receptions. Brown is an absolute beast and one of the biggest wide receivers in the league, which will also make him a handful for this Texans' secondary. He should be a solid play for this prop.

Will Fuller has put together a solid season thus far in 2020 as he has hauled in 22 of 30 targets for 332 yards and three scores. The Titans have allowed the 12th most receiving yards to wideouts over the previous four weeks, but keep in mind that they have only played three games in that span. They are actually allowing over 225 receiving yards per game to the position and have also given up four touchdowns. This is a prime spot for Fuller to take advantage of this secondary on at least one big deep play as he has grown accustomed to doing.

Bonus Play: One other player I really love in this game is Jonnu Smith. Smith has earned 27 targets through his first four games and managed to haul in 18 receptions for 221 yards. He has also been a monster in the endzone as he has hauled in five scores, including two games with two touchdowns each. Houston has been average vs. the tight end as they rank 12th in receptions allowed and 14th in yards allowed. He could certainly have a solid day in this one.

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Texans @ Titans Reception Collection Contest

Recommended Prop Pick:

A.J. Brown, Jonnu Smith, and Will Fuller over 17.5 receptions

I am going to recommend the same corps of players from this Texans/Titans game for the reception collection contest as well. It is a game that will likely be highly targeted in DFS and the same should hold true on MKF.

A.J. Brown returned to action last week and reeled in seven receptions on nine targets. Though Corey Davis' status should be monitored leading up to this game, Brown still garnered eight targets and five receptions Week 1 vs. Denver with both Davis and Adam Humphries present in the lineup. He should be the top target for Ryan Tannehill moving forward.

Jonnu Smith has seen the fifth-most targets per game at the tight end position with an average of nearly seven per game. He is also hauling in the fifth-most receptions among the position with nearly five per game. He has picked up the pace lately as he has seen 15 targets and caught 10 passes in the last two games combined. He will certainly be a focal point in this offense moving forward and should be able to find success vs. an average Texans' defense.

Will Fuller is the bonafide top receiver in Houston. He is currently averaging over seven targets per game and nearly six receptions per game. As aforementioned, he will be facing a Titans Defense that has been giving up chunks of yards to wideouts, but they have also allowed 16 receptions per game to the position. He should be in line for a solid day.

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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Sunday (10/18/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

Week 6 of the NFL season is upon us, which means a busy Sunday full of opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The season is now officially in bye week territory, and not just “Covid-19 cancelled the game so we’re calling it a bye” territory. Four teams had byes last week. Four more again this week and that includes the Raiders, Chargers, Saints, and Seahawks.

With a lighter schedule, you might think that the league would consider a bit of a balance between the early and late schedules but, of course, you would be wrong. There are nine games going early on Sunday afternoon, with just two games in the late afternoon window. I know, Brady vs. Rodgers is in that late window but it’s still a little tilted. Anyway, that should mean a better selection when looking at the early games on the Star Shootout.

Here are some Star Shootout angles to consider for Sunday’s NFL games on Monkey Knife Fight:

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STAR SHOOTOUT - EARLY GAMES

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Matt Ryan MORE THAN 294.5 PASSING YARDS

It’s been a brutal season for the Falcons, and not so great for this week’s opposition, the Minnesota Vikings. Ryan has averaged 294.4 passing yards per game this season but that number is inflated by his 450 yards passing in Week 1. He has been held to 285 passing yards or fewer in each of the past four games. Minnesota’s pass defense hasn’t been very good, at least in part because of injuries in the secondary, and they’re allowing 271.4 passing yards per game, 7.5 net yards per pass attempt. That is vulnerable enough for Ryan to have success through the air.

Ben Roethlisberger LESS THAN 273.5 PASSING YARDS

This may come down to just how much the Steelers need to throw the ball because they haven’t had to chuck it that much on their way to a 4-0 record. Roethlisberger is averaging 254 passing yards per game and while the Browns Defense has allowed 296.4 passing yards per game, which is among the highest in the league, they are only giving up 6.5 net yards per pass attempt, which is right around league average.

Teddy Bridgewater LESS THAN 265.5 PASSING YARDS

The Panthers passing game has been surprisingly potent as Bridgewater is averaging 292 passing yards per game. However, the Bears Defense is good, really good. They have allowed 230.8 passing yards per game, which is good. They have allowed 5.7 net yards per pass attempt which is great, ranking third in the league. All that suggests that it could be a challenging day for Bridgewater.

Derrick Henry MORE THAN 105.5 RUSHING YARDS

This is a big number even for great runner like Henry. He is averaging 94 rushing yards through the first four games and has gone for more than 106 yards twice. He’s also going up against a Texans team that is surrendering 4.7 yards per carry and 160.4 rushing yards per game, they will certainly be vulnerable against the league’s most forceful runner. So even with that huge number, this might be the right matchup for Henry to get the job done.

RAPID FIRE

Allen Robinson -0.5 receptions vs. Julio Jones

After griping early in the season about not getting enough looks, Robinson has 27 catches on 39 targets in the past three games. Jones has missed the past couple of games with a hamstring injury and before that was targeted four times in each of the previous two games. That health uncertainty makes Robinson the safer play as a favorite.

Deshaun Watson +1.5 fantasy points vs. Lamar Jackson

As bad as the Texans have been overall, Watson is still productive enough, passing for more than 290 yards and 1.8 touchdowns per game. He also goes against a Titans teams that has been of the bend-don’t-break style of defense, so they have given up some yardage. Jackson has been good this season but not as electric as he was in 2019. There isn’t enough of an advantage going against Philadelphia’s defense to like Jackson as the favorite here.

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - LATE GAMES

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Aaron Rodgers LESS THAN 305.5 PASSING YARDS

Rodgers is having a fantastic season, which includes 13 touchdown passes in four games and he is averaging 303.5 passing yards per contest. He faces a Buccaneers Defense that is better than average, allowing 239.8 passing yards per game and 6.1 net yards per pass attempt.

Tom Brady LESS THAN 290.5 PASSING YARDS

Brady has been productive in Tampa Bay, even though he’s had some key players miss time with injuries. He is averaging 275 passing yards per game and faces a Packers team allowing 247.5 passing yards per game and 6.8 net yards per pass attempt, which is fairly mediocre overall. This game could turn into a shootout between two legendary quarterbacks but they also could throw for 275 yards and three touchdowns apiece.

Aaron Jones MORE THAN 68.5 RUSHING YARDS

Jones is awesome, averaging 93.5 rushing yards per game this season, but he is facing a Bucs defense that is as sturdy against the run as any team in the league, allowing just 2.7 yards per carry and an average of 58.4 rushing yards against per game. A slight lean towards the over.

Chris Godwin LESS THAN 16.5 FANTASY POINTS

Godwin has missed the past two games with a hamstring injury so that makes it difficult to count on a huge day in his return to action and producing at least 17 fantasy points, even with a PPR format, is still a big day.

RAPID FIRE

Davante Adams -0.5 receptions vs. Jamison Crowder

A bit of a running trend here is that some top receivers have been missing time recently due to hamstring injuries and that goes for Adams, who has missed the past two games and left early in Week 2. But, Adams is also the primary target for Aaron Rodgers and that included 17 targets and 14 catches in Week 1. Crowder is quite productive, and has 22 catches on 33 targets in the three games that he has played this season but there is a difference between being the No. 1 receiving option for Aaron Rodgers and the No. 1 receiving option for Joe Flacco.



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MLB DFS Prop Picks for Thursday (10/15/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

The playoff baseball run continues, with two more championship series games going tonight. That means lots of opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Los Angeles Dodgers lost the first two games of their series with the Atlanta Braves but scored 11 runs in the first inning of Game 3 on their way to a 15-3 win. They’re back in the series and looking to even up in Game 4.

The Tampa Bay Rays were fortunate to have a 3-0 series lead and the Houston Astros managed to get a 4-3 win to stay alive in Game 4. Can the Rays finish the job in Game 5?

Here are some angles to consider for the Thursday’s baseball games on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

HOUSTON-TAMPA BAY

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Brandon Lowe LESS THAN 1.5 RUNS + RBI

While Lowe was one of the most productive second basemen in baseball this season, he’s mired in a horrible slimp. In the past nine games, he’s 1-for-32, so it’s pretty tough to count on him contributing to multiple runs.

George Springer LESS THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

While Springer is a valuable player for the Astros, he has managed to walk just once in the playoffs, leading to him reaching base multiple times in three of 10 postseason games.

Randy Arozarena MORE THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

How ridiculous has Arozarena’s playoff run been? He has put up multiple total bases in nine of 11 playoff games, slugging a ridiculous .907. He’s the best offensive threat in the Tampa Bay lineup.

Jose Altuve MORE THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

Following a brutal regular season and a slow start to the postseason, Altuve has picked up in a hurry. He’s 11-for-25 (.440 AVG) in the past six games, hitting five home runs. He’s an adventure in the field but that doesn’t appear to be messing with him at the plate.

RAPID FIRE

Willy Adames +0.5 hits + walks vs. Alex Bregman

Adames is hitting just .129 in the playoffs but he’s not afraid to take walks, giving him a .325 on-base percentage, which is almost respectable. Bregman has been okay, hitting .270 with a .386 on-base percentage but that’s not enough of an edge to like Bregman minus a half hit and walk against Adames.

Jose Altuve -0.5 total bases vs. Joey Wendle

Two players at opposite ends of the spectrum right now. Wendle is 2-for-17, with just two singles, in the past six games. Compared to Altuve, who has five home runs in the past six games, this doesn’t seem like a fair fight.

 

LOS ANGELES-ATLANTA

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Clayton Kershaw LESS THAN 5.5 STRIKEOUTS

He’s been pushed back a couple of days because of back issues but the Dodgers ace has been effective, recording at least six strikeouts in four of his past five starts. This is more a concern about his health, that maybe he’s not going to get pushed too late into this game.

Ronald Acuna Jr. LESS THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

The Braves star outfielder is just 1-for-16 in the past five games and while he will take a walk, it’s a bit of a challenge to count on him reaching base multiple times in Game 4.

Mookie Betts LESS THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

Betts started the playoffs with multiple total bases in the first five games of the postseason but has been held to one or fewer in the past three games. He has hit one home run in 135 career playoff plate appearances.

Corey Seager MORE THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

In the past five games, Seager has gone 10-for-20, which makes it easy enough to like him for a couple of bases.

RAPID FIRE

Max Muncy +0.5 total bases vs. Justin Turner

In the playoffs, Muncy is slugging .538, while Turner is really struggling, slugging .167 in eight playoff games.

Freddie Freeman +0.5 total bases vs. Corey Seager

As great as Seager has been, it’s still tough to consider Freeman as an underdog. He slugged .640 during the regular season and while it’s .481 in the playoffs, he’s been hitting against the Dodgers.



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MLB DFS Prop Picks for Monday, October 12th - Monkey Knife Fight

The MLB playoffs are now well underway, and Monday features a pair of intriguing ALCS games. Although full-season fantasy leagues have been finished for more than a week now, fantasy players still have opportunities to make money with DFS.

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, MLB DFS games in the industry. There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

The Astros vs. Rays props are too close to call for my taste, but the Braves vs. Dodgers game features props worth considering. I'll be making MKF picks every Monday, so check back again next week for more opportunities.

 

Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Hit Parade

Freddie Freeman, Dansby Swanson, Cody Bellinger more than 3.5 total hits

Freddie Freeman: 

53 batters have seen at least 100 fastballs above 96 mph since the beginning of last season, and none have posted a higher xwOBA against those pitches than Freddie Freeman (.504). Dropping that qualifier to 50 pitches expands the sample to 254 batters, and Freeman still ranks in the top-five, making him one of the best (if not the best) power-fastball hitter in baseball. Freeman will face off against a pitcher with a 97 mph average fastball velocity in Walker Buehler, and Buehler throws the pitch 54% of the time. Combined with the fact the Freeman has been arguably the best hitter in the National League with a resume that includes a .462 OBP that’s well-supported by a .341 xBA, a 28% chase rate, and an 8.5% swinging-strike rate, and Freeman’s relatively favorable matchup against Walker Buehler gives him a solid chance of reaching base multiple times on Monday. 

Dansby Swanson:

If Freddie Freeman is the league’s best high-velocity fastball hitter, Dansby Swanson isn’t far behind. Since the start of 2019, Swanson has posted a .302 xBA and a .710 xSLG against fastballs faster than 96 mph, good for a top-10 xBA among hitters who have seen at least 100 of those pitches. Swanson also owns a 9.8% swinging-strike rate and 22.8% chase rate against curveballs (Buehler’s best pitch by swinging-strike rate), and that strength should help insulate Swanson from strikeouts on Monday. All of that means that Swanson should pick up a hit or two on Monday, making him a solid addition to this prop.

Cody Bellinger:

Cody Bellinger feasts on fastballs outside of the strike zone. Only 11 hitters posted an xBA above Bellinger’s .309 mark against fastballs outside of the strike zone this season (min. 100 results), and his matchup against Braves starting pitcher Max Fried is favorable in that regard as Fried threw his fastball 42% of the time this season with more than half of those coming outside of the strike zone. A lefty-on-lefty matchup with Fried isn’t ideal for Bellinger, but the platoon shouldn’t have too much of an impact on Bellinger’s production. Indeed, Bellinger’s xBA against fastballs outside of the strike zone from southpaws sits .264 since he entered the league in 2017  -- still good for a top-30 mark this season better than any other hitter on the Dodgers. Combined with the fact that Bellinger is a generally excellent hitter who finished the season with a .339 xBA over his last 50 PA, Bellinger’s solid matchup makes him a strong fit for this prop.

 

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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Tuesday (10/13/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

Tuesday night brings more NFL action and that always means more chances to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Buffalo Bills are in control atop the AFC East – how long since we could say that? – with a 4-0 record. The odd thing about it is that the Bills offense has been so good, averaging 6.4 yards per play which ranks fourth in the league, that it has masked a defense that has now been as good as advertised. Buffalo’s defense is allowing 5.9 yards per play, which is not quite middle of the pack defensively.

The story of the Tennessee Titans isn’t so much about what’s happening on the field (though they are allowing 6.5 yards per play defensively, second-worst in the league), it’s that they have had a big Covid-19 breakout and have thrown schedules into chaos. Their Week 4 game was turned into a bye week. This week they are playing on Tuesday. Their facility has been opening and closing based on news of positive tests. It’s hard to imagine this is all conducive to playing their best football.

Even so, the Titans have a premier running game, when most of the league is focused on passing, and that zig appears to be working while others are zagging. Will it work well enough to knock the Bills from the ranks of the undefeated?

Here are some angles to consider for the Tuesday night NFL game on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

BUFFALO-TENNESSEE

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Josh Allen MORE THAN 290.5 PASSNG YARDS

Buffalo’s breakthrough star quarterback is averaging 331.5 passing yards per game through four weeks and Week 4 was the first time that he was held under 290 yards, finishing with 288 yards against the Raiders. Because of positive Covid-19 tests, Tennessee has played just three games right now, allowing 256.3 passing yards per contest, and 7.1 net yards per pass attempt, both of which are below average relative to the rest of the league.

Ryan Tannehill MORE THAN 240.5 PASSING YARDS

Tennessee’s quarterback is viewed as more of a game manager, and that’s fine. He has averaged 269.7 passing yards per game this season and 259.8 per game in 10 starts for the Titans last season. Buffalo’s games have been a little bit like pinball, with the Bills and their opponents both able to move the ball, so Buffalo’s defense has allowed 280.3 passing yards per game, which is quite high, and 6.7 net yards per pass attempt, which is below average defensively. With the potential return of Titans wide receiver A.J. Brown, all the more reason to lean into Tannehill for at least 241 passing yards.

Derrick Henry LESS THAN 100.5 RUSHING YARDS

The engine that drives the Tennessee offense, Henry averaged 102.7 rushing yards per game last season and is up to 106.3 per game early in 2020. The Bills are allowing 4.4 yards per carry, which is right at league average, but the Bills have been leading most of the time so their opponents tend not to run a whole lot, and Buffalo’s 101 rushing yards allowed per game is significantly better than average. It should be a competitive game but maybe not one in which the Titans are running out the clock, so banking on more than 100 rushing yards, even from Henry, is asking a lot.

Jonnu Smith MORE THAN 4.5 RECEPTIONS

The Titans tight end is a valuable complementary piece and has 13 catches in three games (4.33 per game) this season. With A.J. Brown returning to action, maybe there won’t be quite as many looks for Smith but given the choice between four or fewer or five or more, this leans towards the over.

RAPID FIRE

Stefon Diggs -0.5 receptions vs. A.J. Brown

Diggs has transitioned seamlessly to Buffalo and he’s averaging 6.5 catches per game in his first four games for the Bills. Brown was a rising star as a rookie last season but suffered a knee injury in Week 1 and is just set to make his return to the lineup. If Brown is at full strength, maybe this becomes a closer matchup but with him just coming back from injury, it’s easier to side with Diggs.

Jonnu Smith +4.5 receiving yards vs. John Brown

Both are nice complementary pieces to their teams’ respective offenses. Smith can get down the field better than most tight ends and when the Titans are churning out yards on the ground, it’s nice to have a tight end who can take advantage of easy play action. Brown is a quality threat coming off a 2019 season in which he recorded a career-high 1,060 receiving yards. He’s a little banged-up with a calf injury right now and that might swing the balance towards Smith.



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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Sunday (10/11/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

Week 5 of the NFL season is upon us and it brings a relatively full schedule for Sunday’s action which means lots of chances to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

This is the first official bye week on the schedule, so the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers are off this week. Oh, and various Covid-19 positive tests have moved Denver and New England to Monday evening and Buffalo at Tennessee to Tuesday night. These are choppy waters to navigate but the league is managing to keep just enough water out of the boat, for now.

So, aside from scheduling quirks, it is worth noting that offensive numbers are up this season. Overall, teams are gaining 5.7 yards per play, with 6.6 net yards per pass and 4.4 yards per carry. Last season, it was 5.5 yards per play with 6.3 yards per pass and 4.3 yards per carry. In 2019, 36.0% of drives ended with an offensive score. In 2020, it’s 42.0%.

The game is opening up and that means more crooked numbers.

Here are some Star Shootout angles to consider for Sunday’s NFL games on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - EARLY GAMES

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Patrick Mahomes LESS THAN 307.5 PASSING YARDS

As great as Mahomes is, this is a huge number, one that he has surpassed once in four games this season. Mahomes is averaging 283.5 passing yards per game and takes on a Raiders squad that is allowing 250.3 passing yards per game. While the Raiders are allowing 7.3 net passing yards per attempt there is a reasonable chance that the Chiefs will have the lead and Mahomes won’t have to chuck it a lot in order to keep that lead.

Matt Ryan LESS THAN 299.5 PASSING YARDS

Another large number to cover. Although Matty Ice has passed for 311.5 yards per game this season, the Carolina Panthers have surrendered 227 passing yards per game and 6.1 net yards per attempt, both of which are better than average.

Deshaun Watson LESS THAN 297.5 PASSING YARDS

Does Houston’s coaching change from Bill O’Brien to Romeo Crennel make the passing game more prolific? Watson threw for a season-high 300 yards last week and goes up against a Jacksonville team that allows 8.0 net passing yards per attempt while surrendering 261 passing yards per game.

Teddy Bridgewater MORE THAN 294.5 PASSING YARDS

While Bridgewater is looking comfortable in the Panthers offense, the reason for this lofty total is largely because he’s facing an Atlanta defense that has been terrible defensively. Bridgewater is averaging 286.8 passing yards per game but has thrown for more than 295 just once in his first four starts with the Panthers. He is going against an Atlanta defense that has allowed 341.5 passing yards per game (second highest in the league) and 7.8 net yards per pass attempt (fifth-highest rate in the league).

Josh Jacobs LESS THAN 79.5 RUSHING YARDS

In the Raiders’ two wins this season, Jacobs is averaging 90.5 rushing yards per game. In their two losses, that average dips to 59.5 rushing yards per game. So, who is on the Raiders’ schedule this week? A road game (okay) at…Kansas City (gulp). That could be a tough one.

Terry McLaurin LESS THAN 78.5 RECEIVING YARDS

The Washington wide receiver has been on a tear, accruing 326 receiving yards in the past three games. Washington is shifting to quarterback Kyle Allen, which isn’t ideal, and they face a Rams Defense that is one of the best against the pass this season, allowing just 229.8 passing yards per game and 5.6 net passing yards per attempt. With a backup quarterback of questionable quality stepping into the lineup against that defense, it could be difficult for McLaurin to get loose.

RAPID FIRE

James Conner +7.5 rushing yards vs. James Robinson

Robinson, the undrafted rookie out of Illinois State, has been a wonderful find for the Jaguars and is averaging 71.3 rushing yards per game through the first four weeks. Conner is coming off back-to-back 100-yard rushing games and his season average is 74.7 rushing yards per game, due to his atypical Week One performance (nine yards on six carries). Conner does face a Philadelphia Eagles Defense that should be better against the run than the Houston Texans Defense going against Robinson but not by enough to like Robinson by more than seven yards.

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - LATE GAMES

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Dak Prescott MORE THAN 319.5 PASSING YARDS

The question isn’t so much whether the Cowboys are capable of passing for at least 320 yards, because Prescott has thrown for at least 450 yards in three straight games, but it’s a matter of whether they will need throw that much. Facing the winless Giants, if the Cowboys get out to a comfortable lead that would reduce their need to throw. Expect him to throw under 450 this week, but 320-plus is still possible.

Jimmy Garoppolo MORE THAN 272.5 PASSING YARDS

Coming back from a high ankle sprain, Jimmy G threw for 248.6 yards per game last season and 259 yards in the season opener before getting hurt midway through Week 2. It’s not an easy under, though, because the 49ers are taking on a Miami Dolphins team that has allowed 285 passing yards per game and a league-high 8.2 net yards per pass attempt.

Ezekiel Elliott LESS THAN 91.5 RUSHING YARDS

It’s been a disappointing season so far for Zeke, averaging 68.3 rushing yards per game, and while the Giants aren’t good, they aren’t bad against the run, allowing 3.6 yards per carry.

 

RAPID FIRE

DeVante Parker +0.5 receptions vs. Odell Beckham

Parker, the Dolphins wideout, is averaging six catches per game, compared to four per game for Beckham, and both are facing top-tier pass defenses – Parker and the Dolphins go against the San Francisco 49ers (5.3 net yards per pass attempt) while Beckham and the Browns face the Indianapolis Colts (5.0 net yards per pass attempt).

George Kittle -0.5 receptions vs. Amari Cooper

Last week, Kittle caught all 15 passes sent in his direction and, this week, goes against a Dolphins Defense that has struggled against the pass. Cooper caught a dozen passes last week and is averaging 9.3 receptions per game this season but faces a Giants Defense that has been competent against the pass (221.5 passing yards per game, 6.3 net yards per pass attempt).



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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Week 5 - Monkey Knife Fight

Welcome to Week 5 of the NFL Season! The season is moving right along and has gotten very exciting and that means our friends at Monkey Knife Fight are offering some fantastic props for us to play.

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, NFL DFS games in the industry. There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of in a couple of these games including the Panthers at Falcons and Colts at Browns.

 

Panthers @ Falcons More or Less Contest

Recommended Prop Pick:

Matt Ryan more than 300.5 passing yards and Teddy Bridgewater more than 294.5 passing yards

Matt Ryan is averaging 311.5 passing yards per game and is always a threat to go over 300 yards thanks to the atrocious defense in Atlanta. He will be facing a Panthers Defense that has been somewhat strong against the pass as they currently rank inside the top 10 in terms of passing yards allowed to quarterbacks, but they have yet to face an offense like this. Thus far, the Panthers have faced Derek Carr, Tom Brady, Justin Herbert, and Kyler Murray. None of these quarterbacks possess the ability to throw for massive totals quite like Ryan. This game has a projected total of 54.5, which means there should be plenty of back and forth action, especially with the lack of ability of the aforementioned Falcons Defense.

Teddy Bridgewater should have a field day against this defense. The Falcons are currently allowing 353.75 passing yards per game to quarterbacks, which is ranked second-worst in the league. Bridgewater should be able to find success throwing the ball to Mike Davis especially. The Falcons are allowing running backs an average of over 64 receiving yards per game, which is ranked third-worst in the league. Davis has seen 23 targets and hauled in 21 for 140 yards since taking over for the injured Christian McCaffrey. Davis is just one of the reasons I like the more than here. Atlanta is also allowing the fourth-most yards to receivers as well, which means DJ Moore and Robby Anderson are definitely in play for Bridgewater as well. While it may be surprising that the Panthers are three-point underdogs, this should also help Teddy get over the total Sunday.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

Panthers @ Falcons Fantasy Challenge

Recommended Prop Pick:

Mike Davis, Robby Anderson, and Calvin Ridley more than 59.5 fantasy points

Mike Davis is in a great spot to start with this prop pick as he has essentially taken over the role of Christian McCaffrey in the Panthers' offense. Since taking over the lead back role in Carolina, Davis has been a machine in the passing game as he has hauled in 26 receptions for 146 receiving yards and a score. The Falcons are one of the worst teams in terms of receptions allowed to backs as they have given up 34 receptions for 257 yards and three scores. Add in the fact that Davis will be the lead ball carrier for Carolina in this game, and he makes for a smash play in this scenario.

The Falcons woes in their pass defense are well-noted as they have given up the fourth-most receiving yards to wide receivers thus far in 2020 by allowing 822 yards. Robby Anderson is quickly becoming a favorite target of Teddy Bridgewater as he has earned 34 targets through the first four games and turned those into 377 receiving yards and a score. He has also gone over 100 receiving yards in the previous two games and racked up 99 receiving yards Week 1. He is another must-use in this sport for me.

Calvin Ridley laid an egg on Monday Night Football, but I am not ready to abandon ship on him for this week's matchup. Julio Jones has missed time this season for an injured hamstring, and as of this writing, he has yet to practice this week. This will make Ridley the top-dog in Atlanta and he should be able to have success vs. a defense that has yet to face an offense as high-powered as Atlanta's. Ridley has also secured 21 of his 40 targets thus far for 349 receiving yards and four touchdowns. Even if Julio does play, I still like Ridley to capitalize in a game that current;y has the third-highest total on the board at 54.5.

Play the Fantasy Challenge Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Colts @ Browns More or Less Contest

Recommended Prop Pick:

Philip Rivers less than 240.5 passing yards and Baker Mayfield less than 246.5 passing yards 

This game could be a defensive struggle as both teams come in with solid defenses. While the Browns are allowing the third-most passing yards per game to quarterbacks, that number is heavily skewed as Dak Prescott threw for over 500 passing yards last week while attempting a furious comeback at home. Before that game, the Browns were only allowing 245 passing yards per game to quarterbacks. Rivers is not the same Rivers of old and he also is not loaded with weapons at the receiver position as he has lost Parris Campbell and T.Y. Hilton is a shell of his former self thus far. On the whole, Rivers is averaging just 246 passing yards per game, and this total is also skewed thanks to a Week 1 performance where he threw for 363 yards against Jacksonville. I think the Colts come out and try to run the ball as well as get the tight ends involved in this game, which could result in a low-scoring affair and Rivers going under the total.

Baker Mayfield will have a tall task before him on Sunday afternoon. He will be going up against a Colts Defense that is ranked first overall in the league in terms of passing yards allowed to quarterbacks as they are only allowing 176 yards per game. Mayfield is also averaging just 182 passing yards per game on the season. While the Browns did lose Nick Chubb to injury last week and could rely a bit more on the passing game this week, this total is just a bit too much to ask from Mayfield vs. this defense. Just last week, Mayfield faced the Cowboys awful secondary and only managed to throw for 165 yards. In fact, he has only gone over the 200-yard threshold once this season, so it is not likely he eclipses this total here vs. this Colts Defense.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight



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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Thursday (10/8/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

Thursday night football brings a rematch between quarterbacks Nick Foles and Tom Brady, who last met on the field when Foles guided Philadelphia to a championship against New England in February of 2018.

The teams for the quarterbacks have changed. Brady has moved to Tampa Bay this season and has 1,122 passing yards and 11 touchdowns in his first four games with the Bucs.

After a stint in Jacksonville, Foles landed in Chicago this year and he still watched Mitch Trubisky win the Bears’ starting quarterback job out of training camp. Foles is getting his chance and struggled last week against Indianapolis in his first start of the season.

Both teams are 3-1 through the first four weeks of the season, so there is a lot on the line in this game.

Here are some angles to consider for the Thursday night NFL game on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

TAMPA BAY-CHICAGO

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Tom Brady LESS THAN 265.5 PASSING YARDS

Brady is averaging 280.5 passing yards per game with the Bucs, including 369 in Week 4 against the Chargers. He has lost tight end O.J. Howard and wide receiver Chris Godwin is out, so the Buccaneers aren’t fully loaded when it comes to the passing game. The Bears Defense has been effective, allowing 230.3 passing yards per game and 5.9 net yards per attempt. Even with a couple of safeties injured, it could be tough for Brady to air it out against Chicago’s defense.

Nick Foles MORE THAN 248.5 PASSING YARDS

In his first start of the season, last week against Indianapolis, Foles threw for 249 yards and he has passed for at least 249 yards in five of nine starts in the previous two seasons. He goes against a Bucs defense that is allowing 247.8 passing yards per game and 6.6 net passing yards per attempt, both of which put Tampa Bay in the middle of the pack when it comes to pass defense. It’s fair to figure that the underdog Bears may have more opportunities to pass in this game, so lean towards the over.

Allen Robinson MORE THAN 78.5 RECEIVING YARDS

After a slow start through the first couple of weeks, after which Robinson expressed his frustration, he has busted out in the past two games, catching 17 passes for 224 yards on 23 targets. He is the most reliable receiving option for Foles and should be able to stay productive against the Bucs.

 

RAPID FIRE

Allen Robinson -10.5 receiving yards vs. Mike Evans

Evans has run very hot and cold this season, going for more than 100 yards twice and finishing with exactly two yards twice. With Godwin out, Evans surely would be a big part of Tampa Bay’s passing attack. As noted above, Robinson has emerged in the past two weeks, getting the looks befitting a legitimate number one receiver.

Ronald Jones II -19.5 rushing yards vs. David Montgomery

While Jones has averaged 63.5 rushing yards per game, he ran for 111 yards last week when Leonard Fournette was out of the lineup and Fournette will be out again this week. The Bears defense is allowing 115 rushing yards per game and 4.2 yards per carry, which is better than average but still leaves some room for Jones to run. On the other hand, Montgomery has averaged 54.5 rushing yards per game this season but he takes that average to face a Bucs defense that is allowing just 2.7 yards per carry, the second-lowest average in the league.

Scott Miller -1.5 fantasy points vs. Anthony Miller

Tom Brady likes his undersized white slot receivers so it should come as no surprise that Scott Miller has put up 83 receiving yards in back-to-back games. Since a decent performance in Week 1, Anthony Miller has managed five catches for 57 yards on 11 targets in the past three weeks.



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Thursday Night Football Prop Picks for Monkey Knife Fight: Bears vs Buccaneers

The NFL season is back, and we cannot waste our opportunity to make some cash. We’ve seen crazy upsets so far, and we’ve seen a lot of money won. Tonight, we have another shot with the Chicago Bears hosting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

On MKF, there are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash. You're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money.

As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of.

 

Bears vs Buccaneers: More or Less Contest

With a total score of around 44.5 points, Las Vegas thinks this won’t be a high-scoring game, and I tend to agree. The Bears’ defense has the pieces to slow down this Tampa Bay offense, especially in the secondary. In addition to that, the Buccaneers will be without Chris Godwin (hamstring) and LeSean McCoy (ankle), and their other pass catchers are all dealing with injuries right now as well. I think it’s a low-scoring game, and we see these two teams just slog it out all night. 

Unless Tampa gets up big and the Bears are forced to throw, I think this under is pretty easy. Foles struggled against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 4, and he didn’t start moving the ball until late in the game when the Colts were playing prevent defense. This Buccaneers’ defense is playing really good ball right now, and, with limited receiving weapons, I don’t have confidence in Foles’ ability to move the ball with ease.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Bears vs Buccaneers: More or Less Contest

  • Allen Robinson OVER 5.5 receptions
  • Ronald Jones OVER 69.5 rushing yards

In the last two games, Robinson has been feasting for the Bears. He’s caught 17 balls for 224 yards and two touchdowns. He’s been the most reliable producer on this offense, and Foles was looking his way constantly as he had a nearly 25 percent target share. The Buccaneers don’t have the secondary to slow him down, so I think he clears this mark with ease.

On the other side, we’re taking the over for Jones for a couple of reasons. One is that running back Leonard Fournette (ankle) is doubtful to play with an injury. The second is Jones figures to get a stable number of touches in the running game that, even if he’s inefficient, he should be able to clear this number. His offensive line has also been playing really well to this point in the season, and I think that can continue.

Play the More or Less Contest on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Bears vs Buccaneers: More or Less Contest

  • Tom Brady UNDER 265.5 passing yards
  • Nick Foles UNDER 248.5 passing yards
  • Allen Robinson OVER 5.5 receptions

I’ve already covered everything in this category, but I’m just doubling down on the confidence I have here. I think the Buccaneers win this game in an ugly fashion. I think the over/under of 44.5 is too high, and we’re going to see them have to grind out this win. The Bears held the high-flying Atlanta Falcons to just 238 yards through the air. I don’t think Brady and the Bucs top this mark. 

I will die on the hill that Foles was not a massive upgrade over Trubisky, and the benching of him made no sense at the time it occurred. Foles last week struggled to move the ball against the Colts, and he only had three points until late in the fourth quarter. The Buccaneers have been playing strong defense to start the year, and I think they can slow down Chicago tonight.

Robinson might be the safest bet in this game. When the Bears move the ball through the air, it’s through Robinson. He’s had 23 targets in the last two games, and, when they were moving the ball late last week, they were force-feeding him touches. They may not get him 10 targets, but I think he’ll still have a good amount of them. I love him again in this group.

Play the More or Less Contest on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Bears vs Buccaneers: Rapid Fire Contest

  • Tom Brady more passing yards than Nick Foles & Ronald Jones more rushing yards than David Montgomery

The Brady one is a reasonable one to have confidence in due to how the offense has looked thus far. Other than garbage-time throwing, the Bears just haven’t moved the ball well. Brady and the Bucs should be able to outpace Foles. Jones has to outdo Montgomery in a pretty big way for it to happen, but it’s not that outlandish for it to occur. The Bears are struggling to run the football, and the Bucs are playing great defense up front. I’ll take Jones here.

Play the Rapid Fire Contest on Monkey Knife Fight



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MLB Prop Picks for Tuesday, October 6th - Monkey Knife Fight

Welcome to the Divisional Round of MLB. The next week (and month) should be a very exciting one in MLB and we here at Rotoballer will provide some MKF picks to get you through the postseason.

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, MLB DFS games in the industry. There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

Let's take a look at some of today's contests.

 

Star Shootout Late Games: More or Less Contest

More or Less Contest - Tyler Glasnow less than 7.5 strikeouts and Walker Buehler less than 6.5 strikeouts

Glasnow certainly has the stuff to reach eight strikeouts in this game as he has reached this total in eight of his 11 starts this season, but the Yankees have been hitting the ball well lately. Over the previous two weeks, the Yankees are only posting a K rate of 23.7% vs. right-handers, which is ranked 11th-best in baseball. They are also walking at a rate of 15.5%, which is tops in baseball over that same span. While I think Glasnow will have success and be able to go roughly six IP in this game, the strikeout total might be just a bit high in this prop. For this reason, I also like the over 15.5 pitching out for Glasnow in the 3/3 More or Less Contest.

Buehler has only reached seven strikeouts in one of his eight starts in 2020 and will be facing a very good Padres lineup. Over the previous two weeks, the Padres are only striking out at a clip of 17.6% vs. right-handed pitching, which ranks sixth in baseball over the span. Buehler also faced these Padres once back on August 3rd and only managed to strike out three across his five IP.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Yankees @ Rays: More or Less Contest

Tyler Glasnow less than 7.5 strikeouts and Deivi Garcia more than 4.5 strikeouts

Glasnow shows up in a couple of contests tonight (as does Walker Buehler) and I also like his counterpart in this contest, Devi Garcia. Garcia has managed to strike out at least six in all of his starts but one in 2020. He will be facing a Rays team that has been striking out quite a bit vs right-handed pitching recently. Over the previous two weeks, the Rays have a K rate of 29.4% vs. right-handers, which is third-worst in baseball. They are also only posting a SLG of .397, which is ranked 19th in baseball over that same span. Garcia should be able to go deep enough (he has gone at least six IP in all but two starts) to get over the hump here.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 



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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Monday (10/5/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

Don’t say Covid-19 never gave you anything good because at the very least you’re getting a Monday Night doubleheader in Week 4 of the National Football League. Twice as many games, twice as much fun and opportunities to win playing props on Monkey Knife Fight.

It’s not good news for the Patriots, who were already facing a daunting matchup in Kansas City but are now going without starting quarterback Cam Newton, who tested positive for Covid-19 last week. The defending-champion Chiefs have looked like a juggernaut early in the season so the Patriots could hardly afford to show up at less than their best but that is the way it looks going into the early Monday nightery.

The original Monday night game has the Atlanta Falcons going to Green Bay. The Falcons are reeling, unable to hold massive leads in back-to-back losses, leaving them at 0-3. Green Bay has started the season 3-0 and look even better than last year’s team that seemed a little lucky on their way to 13 wins. Here are some angles to consider for the Monday night schedule on Monkey Knife Fight.

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

NEW ENGLAND-KANSAS CITY

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Patrick Mahomes MORE THAN 299.5 PASSING YARDS

Watching Mahomes play it feels like he only gets held under 300 yards if he (or the Chiefs) feel like easing up once they have a big lead. Maybe they won’t race out to a big lead against New England, because the Patriots are good too, but New England is also allowing 7.4 net yards per pass attempt, the sixth-highest average in the league.

Brian Hoyer MORE THAN 230.5 PASSING YARDS

The Patriots will presumably have to throw quite a bit if they are going to keep pace with the Chiefs. Even is a slowed-down type of attack, Hoyer can’t just hand the ball off all night and hope that’s enough. In his career, Hoyer has had 32 games in which he played more than 90% of the offensive snaps, and threw for more than 230 yards in 23 of them.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire MORE THAN 76.5 RUSHING YARDS

The Patriots are allowing 4.6 yards per carry and Edwards-Helaire is averaging 4.4 yards per carry through the first three weeks so let’s compromise and say he can expect to gain about 4.5 yards per carry. Does he get 19 carries? Edwards-Helaire has had 25, 10, and 20 carries in the first three games so that’s a close call but I’ll lean towards yes.

RAPID FIRE

Travis Kelce +0.5 receiving yards vs. Tyreek Hill

Through three games this season, Kelce is averaging 75.7 receiving yards per game and Hill is averaging 74.0 receiving yards per game. They are both vital components in the Chiefs attack. Given the choice between them, Kelce does appear to be safer, with maybe not quite as much boom or bust potential as Hill.

Julian Edelman -0.5 receptions vs. Sammy Watkins

While Edelman is batting a knee injury, he is still going to be a fixture in the Patriots passing attack. He only had two catches last week but has been targeted 24 times in three games. Watkins is a big part of the Chiefs attack, too, with 15 catches on 20 targets in three weeks, but Kansas City has more options.

 

ATLANTA-GREEN BAY

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Matt Ryan LESS THAN 313.5 PASSING YARDS

Matty Ice has been averaging 320.3 passing yards per game and the Falcons will likely be losing, so there is little reason to believe he won’t be throwing a lot at Green Bay. That’s a big number to cover, though, considering his past two games are under 275 yards passing.

Aaron Rodgers MORE THAN 290.5 PASSING YARDS

Rodgers has looked rejuvenated this season, averaging 295.7 passing yards per game, and faces a Falcons team that has been surrendering leads because they can’t defend the pass, allowing 350.3 passing yards per game. Can Rodgers go for 290-plus if Green Bay gets out to an early lead is the question.

Calvin Ridley MORE THAN 80.5 RECEIVING YARDS

Julio Jones is battling a hamstring injury, and Ridley has his own ankle injury that he’s dealing with, but he’s averaging 116.3 receiving yards per game this season, with 21 catches on 35 targets in three games. He’s a big part of the Falcons attack under any circumstances.

RAPID FIRE

Todd Gurley +25.5 rushing yards vs. Aaron Jones

While Jones is averaging 101 rushing yards per game, he’s been held to 70 or fewer yards in two of those three games. If he is held to less than 70 yards that would mean Gurley would have to come in under 44 yards at the most and while Gurley might be mostly washed, he can produce more than that.

Russell Gage +0.5 receptions vs. Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Six times in his career, MVS has recorded at least four receptions. That’s not a huge number to begin with and it might not be enough to outduel Gage, who had 15 catches in the first two games before having to leave Week 3 early due to a concussion. Gage is good to go on Monday night and the Falcons will be throwing the ball.



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MLB DFS Prop Picks for Monday, October 5th - Monkey Knife Fight

Baseball is back after a weekend-long hiatus, and Monday features a pair of intriguing ALDS games. Although full-season fantasy leagues have been finished for more than a week now, fantasy players still have opportunities to make money with DFS.

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, MLB DFS games in the industry. There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

The props available for the Astros vs. A's game are a little too close to call for my taste, but the Yankees vs. Rays game features some attractive props that DFS players should consider. I'll be making MKF picks every Monday, so check back again next week for more opportunities.

 

New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays

More or Less Contest #4

Gerrit Cole more than 18.5 total pitching outs, Blake Snell more than 6.5 strikeouts, DJ LeMahieu more than 1.5 total bases.

Gerrit Cole more than 18.5 total pitching outs: 

Gerrit Cole is one of the best pitchers in baseball, and he only has to record one out in the seventh inning to hit the over on this prop. That’s a mark Cole has exceeded in each of his last four starts and seven of his 12 total starts this season. Plus, Cole got at least one out in the seventh inning in 22 of his 38 starts (58%) of his starts last season, including in all five of his postseason outings. Cole lasted only four innings in his most recent start against the Rays on August 31, but that was with Gary Sanchez behind the plate and before Cole embarked on a hot streak featuring a 1.32 ERA with a 16.2% swinging-strike rate over 34 innings. Combined with the fact that the Tampa Bay offense has posted a pedestrian .325 wOBA for the regular season, Cole’s track record of dominance and recent hot streak with Kyle Higashioka catching makes him worth betting on.

Blake Snell more than 6.5 strikeouts:

Snell has picked up at least seven strikeouts in four of his six starts with at least 80 pitches this year, and the Yankees appear unlikely to keep Snell from reaching that mark again on Monday. Snell relies primarily on his slider and curveball to generate strikeouts, and the New York offense has been only roughly average against those pitches with a 14.2% swinging-strike rate and a .266 xwOBA. Further working in Snell’s favor is that Monday’s game comes as a road game for the Yankees and the team posted a paltry .668 OPS away from Yankee Stadium this season compared to a league-best .907 mark at home. That advantage should allow Snell to work relatively deep into the game, bolstering his already solid chances of collecting more than six strikeouts.

DJ LeMahieu more than 1.5 total bases:

LeMahieu accumulated at least two total bases in 32 of his 52 games this year and 99 of his 154 games in 2019, giving him a 63.5% rate of two or more total bases in a game since the start of last season. And as good as Blake Snell is, LeMahieu matches up fairly well against the 27-year-old. For one, LeMahieu has mashed against lefties over the past two seasons with a combined .615 slugging percentage against southpaws. Also working in LeMahieu’s favor is Snell’s reliance on fastballs. Snell tends to throw his fastball around 50% of the time, and LeMahieu has posted a solid .563 xSLG against the pitch this season. A road game against an ace certainly isn’t an ideal matchup for LeMahieu, but the 32-year-old should manage to pick up at least two total bases on Monday and is worth picking in MKF as a result.

 

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

More risk-averse DFS players may prefer to opt for more or less contest #2 for this game (Gerrit Cole more than 18.5 total pitching outs, Blake Snell more than 16.5 total pitching outs), where taking the overs on total pitching outs for both pitchers is also an attractive bet for the reasons outlined above. Similarly, DFS players with higher risk tolerances would likely do well to double-down on the pitching matchup in this game, taking the overs in the second more or less contest and the positions recommended for more or less contest #4.



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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Week 4 - Monkey Knife Fight

Welcome to Week 4 of the NFL Season! The season is moving right along and has gotten very exciting and that means our friends at Monkey Knife Fight are offering some fantastic props for us to play.

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, NFL DFS games in the industry. There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of in a couple of these games including the Seahawks at Dolphins, Saints at Lions, and Patriots at Chiefs.

 

Seahawks @ Dolphins More or Less Contest

Recommended Prop Pick:

Russell Wilson more than 290.5 passing yards and Ryan Fitzpatrick more than 272.5

Russell Wilson has been lighting up defenses to start the 2020 season as noted by his 925 passing yards and 14 touchdowns through his first three games. He has thrown for over 300 yards in two of those three games and threw for 288 in the other. He will be facing a Dolphins Defense that has allowed an average of 281 passing yards per game. Keep in mind, these numbers were put up by the likes of Josh Allen, Cam Newton, and Gardner Minshew III. Wilson should come in and be able to shred this defense with Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf. Chris Carson is also worth monitoring, and if he is out, the Seahawks would be even more likely to throw the ball.

While Fitzpatrick has only thrown for 679 through the first three games, he has yet to face an abomination of a defense like the Seahawks' secondary. The Seahawks are allowing nearly 440 passing yards per game by quarterbacks. Let that sink in for a moment, 440! The Dolphins have some solid weapons in the passing game with the likes of DeVante Parker, Preston Williams, and Myles Gaskin for Fitzpatrick to throw the ball too. The Seahawks have also been solid against the run as they have only allowed running backs to rush for 126 yards through the first three games, so running the ball for Miami may not be much of an option. The Dolphins are also 6.5 point underdogs in this game, which means the game script could line up for Fitzpatrick to be throwing the ball a bit more.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

Saints @ Lions More or Less Contest

Recommended Prop Pick:

Matthew Stafford more than 288.5 passing yards and Drew Brees less than 290.5 passing yards 

Stafford is having a solid start to the 2020 season as he has thrown for over 800 passing yards and five scores. He lines up in a great spot Sunday to go over this total. First, the Lions are underdogs in this game and will likely be forced to throw the ball more. This is not such a bad thing for Detroit as they essentially have no running game to speak of as they rank 11th-worst in the league in rushing yards. The Saints Defense has been bad against the pass as well as they have allowed nearly 270 passing yards per game. Stafford should be able to find plenty of success against this defense by throwing the ball to the likes of T.J. Hockenson (Saints are last in yards allowed to tight ends), Kenny Golladay, and Marvin Jones Jr.

I do not think Drew Brees is going to be forced to throw the ball much in this game. The Lions have a defense that has given up 439 rushing yards to backs through the first three weeks, which is ranked third-worst in the league. They have also only given up 752 passing yards to quarterbacks, which ranks 12th-best in the league. The Saints will likely enter this game with a plan of getting the ball to Alvin Kamara and Latavius Murray out of the backfield. This could and should prove to be a strong enough combination to where Brees will not rack up a ton of passing attempts and yards. The Saints are also four-point favorites in this game, which also leads to more running.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

Patriots @ Chiefs More or Less Contest

Recommended Prop Pick:

Patrick Mahomes more than 292.5 passing yards and Cam Newton more than 226.5 passing yards

We are going with a third more or less contest this week simply because I do not feel especially confident in the fantasy challenges. There is too much uncertainty or too many options to choose from in the games this week to determine exactly where specific production will come from outside of a few obvious spots across the slate.

Mahomes will be going up against a Patriots Defense that allowed Russell Wilson to carve them up for 288 passing yards. Mahomes is just too good to go under on a prop like this. The Pats have allowed an average of 247 passing yards per game to quarterbacks, but aside from Wilson, have only faced Ryan Fitzpatrick and Derek Carr. We all know Mahomes is a different animal as he has thrown for 300 yards in his previous two games, with his most recent performance being a 385-yard day vs. a Ravens Defense that was previously allowing just 232 passing yards per game. In his previous three games against the Patriots, Mahomes has averaged 310 passing yards per game. He will want to make another statement in this game and we should look for him to put up more than the total.

Cam Newton is going to have to perform as he did against the Seahawks when he threw for 397 yards, and I think he will. While the Chiefs are only allowing 220 passing yards per game, they have gone up against Justin Herbert and Lamar Jackson in their previous two games, which are not known as the most prolific passers. In Week 1, they allowed Deshaun Watson to throw for over 250 passing yards and I would expect a similar performance from Newton here. The Patriots are seven-point underdogs in this game, which is a rare occurrence and should lead to some extra passing, especially considering they do not have an established runner outside of Newton himself and possibly Sony Michel.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 



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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Sunday (10/4/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

Week 4 of the NFL season is upon is and some trends are starting to show early in the season.

You can take advantage of those trends, play props, and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

Early in this season, the passing yardage is a bit higher than in previous seasons, with teams averaging more than 247 passing yards per game in 2020 compared to 235 yards per game in 2019.

This is continuing a trend towards more passing but it’s worth keeping an eye on. Some of these passing yardage props can look awfully high when viewed through a historical lens but, if teams are consistently passing more than they have in the past, those numbers might be more achievable.

It’s also a bit of a strange week – it wouldn’t be 2020 without something unusual happening – and suddenly the Tennessee Titans and Pittsburgh Steelers are on a bye after the Titans had a Covid-19 outbreak. No one ever said managing a pro sports league through a pandemic would be easy.

Here are some angles to consider for the Sunday NFL schedule on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - EARLY GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Dak Prescott LESS THAN 320.5 PASSING YARDS

The Cowboys quarterback hasn’t been shy to air it out, throwing for 922 yards in the past two weeks. He goes against a Browns team that has allowed 253.7 passing yards per game and 5.8 net passing yards per attempt through the first three games. That’s decent enough pass defense to keep Prescott from going over what is a large number to cover.

Russell Wilson MORE THAN 295.5 PASSING YARDS

It’s been an incredible start to the season for Seattle’s star quarterback, as he has thrown 14 touchdown passes and is averaging 308.3 passing yards per contest. The Seahawks travel to Miami where the Dolphins have allowed 265.7 passing yards per game and only three teams have allowed a higher net yards per pass attempt that the Dolphins are 7.7 yards per attempt (and one of those teams is Seattle!).

Drew Brees LESS THAN 285.5 PASSING YARDS

After passing for just 160 yards in Week One, the veteran Saints quarterback has recovered, throwing for 600 yards in the past two weeks. He’s still going to be without top wide receiver Michael Thomas and tight end Jared Cook, so Brees may have to get creative in the passing game against a Detroit team with decent numbers against the pass, including 237 passing yards per game and 6.8 yards per attempt.

Teddy Bridgewater LESS THAN 270.5 PASSING YARDS

While Bridgewater has averaged 290.3 passing yards per game, that has been boosted by throwing for 367 yards at Tampa Bay in Week 2. This week, he faces an Arizona team that is allowing 224.7 passing yards per game and 6.2 net passing yards per attempt, both better-than-average defensive numbers.

RAPID FIRE

Kenyan Drake +4.5 rushing yards vs. Ezekiel Elliott

After running for just 34 yards against Seattle last week, Zeke is due to bounce back, though he is going up against a Browns Defense that is allowing 3.7 yards per carry. Drake has been a steady contributor for the Cardinals and gets a shot at a Carolina defense that is surrendering 4.9 yards per carry. That defensive difference makes Drake a lively underdog in this week’s matchup.

Keenan Allen +0.5 receptions vs. Alvin Kamara

Coming off a week in which he was targeted 19 times, catching 13 passes, against Carolina, Allen is the focal point of the Chargers passing game. Kamara was targeted 14 times last week against Green Bay, catching 13, as the Saints like to get him in open space but he also has the option of carrying the ball so Allen should be an intriguing underdog in this matchup.

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - LATE GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Patrick Mahomes MORE THAN 292.5 PASSING YARDS

Watching Mahomes play it feels like he only gets held under 300 yards if he (or the Chiefs) feel like easing up once they have a big lead. Maybe they won’t race out to a big lead against New England, because the Patriots are good too, but New England is also allowing 7.4 net yards per pass attempt, the sixth-highest average in the league.

Josh Allen MORE THAN 279.5 PASSING YARDS

The Bills quarterback has passed for at least 310 yards in each of his three games thus far. Are the Raiders the team to suddenly keep him in check? It doesn’t really look like it. The Raiders have allowed 242.3 passing yards per game, which is a little better than average but at a clip of 7.1 net yards per pass attempt which is higher than average. Those mixed results look like a mediocre defense and it should take better than mediocre to slow down Allen.

Josh Jacobs MORE THAN 80.5 RUSHING YARDS

The Raiders running back is averaging 84 rushing yards per game this season, 87.6 per game for his career, and faces a Bills team that has allowed just 106 rushing yards per game, the seventh-fewest in the league, but 4.6 yards per carry which is slightly worse than average.

RAPID FIRE

Travis Kelce -0.5 receiving yards vs. Tyreek Hill

Through three games this season, Kelce is averaging 75.7 receiving yards per game and Hill is averaging 74.0 receiving yards per game. They are both vital components in the Chiefs attack. Given the choice between them, Kelce does appear to be safer, not quite as much boom or bust potential as Hill.

Cooper Kupp +0.5 receptions vs. Stefon Diggs

Both receivers are crucial to their respective teams’ offenses. Kupp started slowly in  Week One but has been building up in the past two weeks, catching nine passes on 10 targets against Buffalo in Week 3. Diggs was a major factor for the Bills in the first two weeks before he was held to four catches on six targets in a tough matchup against the Rams last week. Kupp gets the Giants this week while Diggs faces the Raiders so both receivers ought to have an opportunity to be productive. Getting the extra half reception for Kupp as the underdog is worthwhile.

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MLB Prop Picks for Friday, October 2nd - Monkey Knife Fight

Welcome to the Wildest Wild Card Round MLB has ever seen. The next week (and month) should be a very exciting one in MLB and we here at Rotoballer will provide some MKF picks to get you through the postseason.

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, MLB DFS games in the industry. There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

The game we are going to focus on today is the Marlins at Cubs.

 

Marlins @ Cubs: More or Less Contest

More or Less Contest - Yu Darvish more than 7.5 strikeouts and Sixto Sanchez more than 3.5 strikeouts

Yu Darvish has been excellent in 2020 and now gets an opportunity to pitch in the postseason for the first time since the 2017 World Series where he struggled mightily in Game 7 for the Dodgers. I think he comes into this game with a chip on his shoulder and gets over the total here. He has reached this total in six of his 11 starts this season and just narrowly missed it in three other starts. The Marlins are striking out at a rate of nearly 24% vs. right-handers over the previous two weeks and are also only posting a wRC+ of just 62, so Darvish should be in line for a solid day.

Sixto Sanchez has burst onto the scene in 2020 and will be making his postseason debut today. He has a wicked sinker ball and has struck out 33 batters across his first 39 IP. He will be going up against a Cubs team that has been striking out at a clip of 25.4% vs. right-handers over the previous two weeks, which ranks 15th-worst in the league. They also are only posting a 72 wRC+ mark vs. righties and have a mediocre 9.0% walk rate vs. them over the previous two weeks. Sixto should hopefully be able to take advantage of this and last long enough to get over the hump with four strikeouts.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

More or Less Contest: Yu Darvish more than 17.5 pitching outs and Sixto Sanchez more than 14.5 pitching outs

Yu Darvish more than 17.5 pitching outs: The pitching outs prop is a new prop for the postseason and adds a nice little wrinkle to the more or less slate. This prop essentially amounts to Darvish making it through six IP and I think he is capable of doing that today. As mentioned above, the Marlins are only posting a wRC+ of 62 vs. right-handers over the previous two weeks, which ranks dead-last in baseball. They are also posting just a 6.8% walk rate over that same span, which is ranked sixth-worst. This tells me that Darvish should be able to navigate six innings, and he has also gone at least six in every start but his first this season.

Sixto Sanchez more than 14.5 pitching outs: Sanchez needs to make it through five IP in this game and I think he will be able to hit the mark. He has reached this total in five of his seven starts this season. The Cubs, as aforementioned, have not hit righties well over the previous two weeks and that is a big reason I like this over. The Marlins also have a bottom-five pen in terms of ERA and WHIP, so as long as Sixto does not get killed in the early going, they may be more likely to stick with him, especially since this is not an elimination game for the Marlins.

 



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Thursday Night Football Prop Picks for Monkey Knife Fight: Jets vs Broncos

The NFL season is back, and we cannot waste our opportunity to make some cash. We’ve seen crazy upsets so far, and we’ve seen a lot of money won. Tonight, we have another shot with the New York Jets playing host to the Denver Broncos.

On MKF, there are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash. You're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money.

As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of.

 

Denver Broncos @ New York Jets: More or Less Contest

This game is the classic Thursday game that we’ve all come to abhor. The Jets look like one of the worst teams in recent memory, and they draw a matchup with the broken and battered Broncos. Quarterback Sam Darnold is missing several receiving weapons, and his stud rookie tackle Mekhi Becton (shoulder) has a strong chance that he misses tonight’s game. Give me the under, and, if I miss, I’ll live.

If you have a friend that’s a Broncos’ fan, call them and ask them if they’re ok. After an offseason that saw them coming in with so much excitement, all of that hype has been thoroughly derailed. With numerous injuries to starters and a limited amount of practice time, you just can’t have faith in Rypien to hit the over here. This number is low, but I just have no faith in either quarterback here.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Denver Broncos @ New York Jets: More or Less Contest

This one is pretty easy math for me. When Crowder has been healthy, he’s been the primary target of Darnold. Over the last two years, in the 14 games he’s played with Darnold, he’s averaged 5.5 receptions per game, and this receiving corps is just decimated with injuries right now. Darnold will have no choice but to throw the ball to Crowder all night to move the ball.

Similar to Crowder, I just think that Denver’s entire offense will be running through Gordon. Before the team’s Week 3 performance, Gordon had gone for 70 plus yards in each of the first two games. With Rypien under center, it’s unlikely that they’ll be letting him cut completely loose, and Gordon will probably see 20+ carries on the night. I think he clears 65.5.

Play the More or Less Contest on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Denver Broncos @ New York Jets: More or Less Contest

  • Sam Darnold UNDER 218.5 passing yards
  • Jerry Jeudy OVER 4.5 receptions
  • Melvin Gordon OVER 65.5 rushing yards
  • Jamison Crowder OVER 60.5 receiving yards

This Jets’ team is flat out bad. They’re awful. The offensive line was improved, but they’re dealing with a lot of injuries. The pass-catchers are all injured or underwhelming. Whatever promise that Darnold had when he entered the league has been spoiled in the last two years. I have no faith in his ability to hit even this small number.

I love getting Jeudy at this number. Jeudy has caught at least four balls in all three games this season, and he’s seen at least seven targets in all three games. His issue is not with getting open. He just needs to focus on his concentration drops. I think Rypien will be very conservative in this game, and Jeudy will be a primary beneficiary of that. 

I mentioned before where I fall on this one. Denver wants to run the ball and play defense under Vic Fangio. Gordon is the perfect type of back to do that. Tonight, I think he has an opportunity to clear this mark with ease. He won’t be the most efficient player, but the sheer volume that he’s going to get will push him over this number.

Crowder has never been a big yardage guy. In Week 1 of last season, he had 14 catches for 99 yards. He’s dealt with an injury the last couple of weeks, but, now that he’s back, he’s the team’s number one option. 60.5 isn’t an overwhelming mark, but I think he can hit against this Denver defense that has their own slew of injuries. 

Play the More or Less Contest on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Denver Broncos @ New York Jets: Rapid Fire Contest

  • Sam Darnold more passing yards than Brett Rypien & Jerry Jeudy +1.5 more receptions than Jamison Crowder

This one we’re getting a little weird. I’m comfortable with Darnold with leading in passing yards, but it’s the second category that we have to get a little frisky. Crowder is the 1.5 reception favorite in this category. Crowder can finish with 10 catches and lose if Jeudy gets to nine. I think Jeudy accomplishes that. I’ll take Darnold and Jeudy to cover on this one.

Play the Rapid Fire Contest on Monkey Knife Fight



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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Thursday (10/1/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

It has been popular to complain about the quality of Thursday night matchups in the NFL and sometimes those complaints are overblown but maybe not this week as the winless Denver Broncos visit the winless New York Jets.

No matter how bad the teams are, they still offer opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Broncos are 0-3 but were competitive in two of them before a 28-10 loss to Tampa Bay last week. Denver is also turning to Brett Rypien at quarterback. Is it a good sign when a team is on their third starting quarterback of the season in Week 4?

At full strength, the Jets offense is still subpar but they are missing running back Le’Veon Bell and wide receiver Breshad Perriman. Wide receiver Jamison Crowder has also been out but is questionable for Thursday night. If he plays, Crowder should be a factor because he’s a rare proven commodity for quarterback Sam Darnold.

It doesn’t sound like the sexiest NFL matchup because it isn’t, so get some money down on props and make this one a little more exciting.

Here are some angles to consider for the Thursday night Broncos-Jets matchup on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

DENVER-N.Y. JETS

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Sam Darnold LESS THAN 226.5 PASSING YARDS

The Broncos have surrendered 277.7 passing yards per game through the first three weeks, the fourth-highest total in the league, but they are allowing 6.6 net yards per pass attempt, which is around league average. So they maybe vulnerable defensively, but maybe not quite as bad as the raw passing yardage suggests. Nevertheless, Darnold has thrown for just 187.3 yards per game this season and averaged 232.6 passing yards per game last season. This is a mixed bag, really, but it’s hard to put much faith in the Jets passing game.

Brett Rypien LESS THAN 204.5 PASSING YARDS

Rypien, the 24-year-old nephew of former Washington quarterback Mark Rypien, had a productive career as a four-year starter at Boise St., where he did throw for more than 270 yards per game. The Jets Defense is probably better than the Mountain West defenses that Rypien faced and they have allowed 239 passing yards per game this season, with 6.9 yards per pass attempt. It might seem negative to be expecting less than from both quarterbacks, with entirely reasonable totals, but this does not project to be an offensive showcase.

RAPID FIRE

Jerry Jeudy +0.5 receptions vs. Noah Fant

Both have emerged as favorite targets for Broncos quarterbacks this season. Jeudy, the 15th pick in this year’s draft, has 13 catches on 24 targets and has shown some elusiveness after the catch. Fant, a first-round pick in 2019, has 14 catches on 21 targets, which is close enough to prefer Jeudy in this matchup.

Frank Gore +14.5 rushing yards vs. Melvin Gordon

Gordon has averaged 58 rushing yards per game through the first three weeks, with 14 carries per game, a respectable 4.1 yards per carry. He should get more carries against the Jets, a team allowing 4.3 yards per carry. Gore has run for 48 yards per game on 14 carries per game, just 3.4 yards per attempt. The Broncos Defense is allowing 3.8 yards per carry. So, there is a clear edge for Gordon but if the game is close and the usage is close, it might be difficult for Gordon to exceed Gore’s total by 15 yards.

A couple of wildcards when it comes to usage for these veteran running backs. Phillip Lindsay is still battling turf toe, and may remain out of the lineup but, if he plays, he’ll take touches away from Gordon. For the Jets, rookie La’Miical Perine has 41 yards on 10 carries in the past two weeks as he starts to get involved in the offense, but he has also been limited in practice this week, so maybe Gore will still get the full starter’s workload.

Noah Fant -1.5 fantasy points vs. K.J. Hamler

Hamler is a promising rookie wide receiver who has six catches for 78 yards on 12 targets in the past two weeks (after missing Week One) and, at some point this season, will likely be a more dangerous threat than Fant but, right now, Fant leads Broncos receivers in receptions, yards, and touchdowns.

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MLB DFS Prop Picks for Wednesday (9/30/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

The Major League Baseball playoffs are in full swing and with eight games going Wednesday there will be many opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

With so many games on the schedule, you can pick and choose the numbers that make the most sense to you.

Here are some angles to consider for the full slate of MLB playoff games on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - EARLY GAMES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Jose Berrios MORE THAN 4.5 STRIKEOUTS

After a slow start to the season, the Twins starter rounded into form and he recorded at least five strikeouts in five of his last seven starts in the regular season. The Astros did have the lowest strikeout rate (19.7%) in the league this year but Twins starter Kenta Maeda whiffed five in five innings in Game One.

Jason Heyward MORE THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

The veteran Cubs outfielder had a strong season, which included a .392 on-base percentage and .848 OPS. He reached base multiple times in 24 of 50 games in which he appeared. Going against the Brewers, that’s enough opportunity to like Heyward to reach base twice.

Alex Bregman LESS THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

It was a down season for Bregman and he managed to reach base multiple times in 17 of 42 games in which he appeared this season.

RAPID FIRE

Ian Happ +0.5 hits + walks vs. Anthony Rizzo

Happ has been surprisingly productive for the Cubs and his .361 on-base percentage is better than Rizzo’s .342 OBP. That’s not a huge difference in one game but it’s also enough reason to like Happ as the underdog.

Kyle Tucker +0.5 runs + RBI vs. Jesus Aguilar

This is a close matcup, without the underdog getting an extra half run + RBI. Tucker is averaging 1.29 runs plus RBIs per game this season while Aguilar is averaging 1.27 per game. Getting that half run as an underdog makes Tucker the easy choice.

 

TORONTO-TAMPA BAY

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MORE OR LESS

Tyler Glasnow MORE THAN 7.5 STRIKEOUTS

Even if the Toronto Blue Jays have a better-than-average strikeout rate, and they do, Glasnow has been a strikeout machine, recording at least eight strikeouts in seven of his past eight starts.

RAPID FIRE

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. -0.5 fantasy points vs. Travis Shaw

Gurriel is one of the most reliable bats in the Blue Jays lineup, had an .882 OPS this season, and had a couple of hits in Game One. Shaw had a .717 OPS this season which is pretty low-end for a major league regular.

 

N.Y. YANKEES-CLEVELAND

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Carlos Carrasco LESS THAN 6.5 STRIKEOUTS

Carrasco is a quality starter and averaged 6.8 strikeouts per start which probably isn’t enough to like him for at least seven against a Yankees team that has a low strikeout rate (21.7%) and already crushed Cleveland ace Shane Bieber in Game One.

Masahiro Tanaka MORE THAN 4.5 STRIKEOUTS

While Tanaka isn’t an ace starter, he has had five consecutive starts with at least five strikeouts (including four straight starts with precisely five) and might as well ride that streak against a suspect Cleveland lineup.

D.J. LeMahieu MORE THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

The American League batting champion had a .421 on-base percentage this season so in four plate appearances, the lean would be towards going over 1.5 hits plus walks but if he gets to the plate five times, LeMahieu really should be able to reach base a couple of times.

Jose Ramirez MORE THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

The most dangerous bat in the Cleveland lineup, Ramirez had a career-high .607 slugging percentage this season. If he gets at least four at-bats, he should absolutely finish with multiple total bases.

RAPID FIRE

Aaron Judge -0.5 fantasy points vs. Aaron Hicks

Both Yankees outfielders are productive players but Judge has a much higher ceiling. During the season, Judge had an .891 OPS while Hicks had a solid .793 OPS. Judge is also hitting higher in the Yankees lineup (second in the order in Game One against Cleveland) so take the better hitter who has a better chance to get to the plate more often.

 

MILWAUKEE-LOS ANGELES

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Walker Buehler LESS THAN 5.5 STRIKEOUTS

As good as Buehler is, he has had some injury issues and hasn’t been going very deep into games, going six innings just once. That makes it a little difficult to bank on at least six strikeouts, even against a Brewers lineup that has a higher strikeout rate (26.6%).

Christian Yelich MORE THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

The star Brewers outfielder got off to a terrible start to the season but has gradually been coming around. If the Brewers are going to do anything in the postseason, they will need Yelich to produce as he has in the past.

Corey Seager MORE THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES

The Dodgers shortstop had an outstanding season, the best of his career, which included a .585 slugging percentage. If he gets at least four at-bats, he should be expected to accrue at least a couple of bases.

Cody Bellinger LESS THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS

This was a strangely ineffective season for Bellinger, and his .333 on-base percentage doesn’t fit easily with reaching base multiple times in a single game.

 

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MLB Prop Picks for Tuesday, September 29th - Monkey Knife Fight

Welcome to the Wildest Wild Card Round MLB has ever seen. The next week (and month) should be a very exciting one in MLB and we here at Rotoballer will provide some MKF picks to get you through the postseason.

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, MLB DFS games in the industry. There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

A couple of games we can look at today include the Yankees at Indians and Astros at Twins.

 

Yankees @ Indians: More or Less Contest

More or Less Contest - Shane Bieber less than 8.5 strikeouts and Gerrit Cole less than 8.5 strikeouts

Under most circumstances, I would go over on Shane Bieber here as he has just been an absolute machine in 2020, but the postseason is a different animal. The Yankees enter this series only striking out at a rate of 18.8% vs. right-handers, which is ranked third-best in baseball over that span. Every at-bat is going to be crucial in this game and the Yankees will certainly show patience at the plate as noted by their second-best BB rate vs. righties over the previous two weeks. The Indians also have one of the best pens in baseball, so they will not be timid about using them in the later innings, especially with a lead, as the minimal rest between games this year means starters may be asked to make quick turnarounds.

The Indians are in the same mold as the Yankees are they are only striking out at a rate of 22.3% vs. right-handers, which is ranked 11th-best over the previous two weeks. They have also been walking at a rate of 11.7%, which is third-best over the previous two weeks just behind the Yankees, so their patience at the plate should play a key role in this total. Cole has also only gone over this total in two of his previous five starts and also has an ERA of 3.67 on the road vs. a 2.09 at home this season.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

Astros @ Twins: More or Less Contest

More or Less Contest - Kenta Maeda less than 6.5 strikeouts and Zack Greinke more than 4.5 strikeouts 

While Maeda has reached this total at a frequent pace in 2020, he was facing some high strikeout teams such as the Tigers, White Sox, and Brewers. In fact, he faced one of these teams in seven of his 11 starts this season. Now, he faces an Astros team that is a veteran of the postseason and knows how to work at-bats. The Astros are also the best team in baseball over the previous two weeks in terms of strikeouts vs. right-handed pitchers as they currently boast a rate of just 16.5%. They are also walking 9.2% vs. righties over that same span, which is ranked 12th-best in baseball.

Greinke is in a good position to be able to go over this total. He has reached at least five strikeouts in eight of his 11 starts in 2020. He will also be facing a Twins team that has been striking out at a rate of 26.8% vs. right-handers over the previous two weeks, which ranks 10th-worst in baseball. The Twins are also entering the postseason cold (by their standards) vs. righties as they are only posting a wRC+ of 90 in the last two weeks.

Play the More or Less Contest on Monkey Knife Fight

 



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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Monday (9/28/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

An epic Monday night matchup finishes up Week 3 in the NFL and it provides plenty of opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Baltimore Ravens host the defending Super Bowl champions, the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Chiefs have mostly looked good early in the 2020 campaign, earning a comfortable win against Houston in Week One then rallying to knock off the Los Angeles Chargers in overtime in Week Two. They have such an explosive attack, as they showed in last year’s playoffs, that they can’t be counted out no matter how far behind on the scoreboard.

While the Baltimore Ravens may not seem as explosive, they have also put up 71 points in two comfortable wins to start the season. The Chiefs may be the defending champs but, coming into the 2020 season, the Ravens are as much a Super Bowl contender as any team.

Here are some angles to consider for the NFL Monday night matchup on Monkey Knife Fight:

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'BALLER'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 

 

KANSAS CITY-BALTIMORE

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Patrick Mahomes LESS THAN 295.5 PASSING YARDS

Mahomes is obviously great but this is a big number to cover. In his past 11 games, including the playoffs last season, he has thrown for more than 295 yards just three times. Going against a Ravens Defense that has allowed 210.5 passing yards per game through the first two weeks, it’s tough to just count on Mahomes for nearly 300 yards passing. He could get there but it sure seems more likely that he comes in under.

Lamar Jackson LESS THAN 249.5 PASSING YARDS

Jackson is obviously great and even if this isn’t a big number, it’s pretty big for a typical Jackson performance. In his past 15 games, including playoffs, he has thrown for 250 or more yards twice. Twice. The Chiefs Defense may be a tad vulnerable, allowing 269 passing yards per game but it’s not like Jackson has the premier receiving corps to start airing it out.

Travis Kelce LESS THAN 70.5 RECEIVING YARDS

This number is right in line with Kelce’s recent production. He has 140 receiving yards through the first two games of this season and averaged 69 receiving yards per game last season. But the Ravens pass defense is surely better than average, allowing just 5.2 net yards per attempt (second-best in the league), so it would seem to follow that Kelce should be leaning towards less than his average yardage.

Mark Andrews LESS THAN 60.5 RECEIVING YARDS

As much as Andrews can be a preferred target for Jackson, especially in the red zone, he’s not a high-volume receiver and has gone for more than 60 yards twice in his past 12 games. Kansas City may be a little more vulnerable to a passing attack but they also held Andrews to three catches for 15 yards in Week 3 last season so let’s stay pessimistic, friends.

RAPID FIRE

Travis Kelce -1.5 receptions vs. Tyreek Hill

It’s certainly possible that Hill could have a bigger impact as a downfield threat but he’s not as reliable as Kelce in the passing game. In the first two weeks of the season, Kelce has 15 receptions on 20 targets, averaging 7.5 receptions per game. Hill has 10 catches on 17 targets, averaging 5.0 receptions per game.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire -11.5 rushing yards vs. Mark Ingram

Ingram is something of a commodity with a diminishing value at the moment. He averaged 67.9 rushing yards per game last season but is sitting at just 42 rushing yards per game after the first two games this season. Edwards-Helaire, the Kansas City rookie, rushed for 138 yards in Week One, but just 38 yards in Week Two, as the Chiefs used him more as a receiver than they had the previous week. Given their respective roles right now, though, Edwards-Helaire would seem to have the higher ceiling.

Tyreek Hill -1.5 fantasy points vs. Mark Andrews

While Andrews might be slightly more likely to score a touchdown, he is not targeted as often, nor does he accumulate catches at the same rate as Hill so side with the Chiefs wide receiver in this matchup.

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NFL DFS Prop Picks for Week 3 - Monkey Knife Fight

Welcome to Week 3 of the NFL Season! The season is moving right along and has gotten very exciting and that means our friends at Monkey Knife Fight are offering some fantastic props for us to play.

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, NFL DFS games in the industry. There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of in a couple of these games including the Cowboys at Seahawks and Titans at Vikings.

 

Cowboys @ Seahawks More or Less Contest

Recommended Prop Pick:

Dak Prescott more than 298.5 passing yards and Russell Wilson more than 289.5 passing yards

This game is projected to be a shootout as the 57 total suggests and I tend to agree with it. Dak threw for 450 passing yards in a game with a similar total vs. the Atlanta Falcons a week ago. The Seahawks have not been able to stop the pass thus far in 2020 as they are currently allowing 423.5 passing yards per game to the quarterback position, which is ranked worst in the league. The Seahawks have also been solid vs. the running back position as they have only allowed 92 rushing yards through the first two weeks, so Ezekiel Elliott could also struggle to get it going, which would lead Dallas to pass more frequently.

The Cowboys have also struggled against the pass as they allowed Matt Ryan to carve them up in Week 2 for 273 passing yards in a game that the Falcons were ahead until the very end. The Cowboys have allowed quarterbacks to throw for an average of 274 per game, which ranks in the bottom half of the league. Wilson has also thrown for 610 yards in his first two games in 2020 and certainly will have the opportunity to go over here.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

Cowboys @ Seahawks Fantasy Challenge

Recommended Prop Pick:

Amari Cooper, Tyler Lockett, and Chris Carson more than 61.5 fantasy points

Given the high total in this game, it only makes sense to go right back to it with a fantasy challenge. There should be an abundance of fantasy points scored in this game, so hopefully, we can key in on some of the main players and get over the total.

Amari Cooper is leading the Dallas Cowboys in targets through the first two games with 23 targets and the next closest is CeeDee Lamb with 15. Cooper is clearly the favorite target in this offense and that is going to be a good thing vs. this secondary. As aforementioned, the Seahawks have allowed the most passing yards to quarterbacks through the first two games and they have also allowed 731 receiving yards to wide receivers, which ranks worst in the league as well. They have also given up the most receptions with 50. Both of these along with the two receiving touchdowns they have allowed lead to them allowing an average of 67.5 fantasy points per game to the position, which, you guessed it, ranks last in the league.

Tyler Lockett is also the leading target earner in Seattle as he has garnered 16 targets through the first two games. He has also hauled in 15 of those targets for 159 receiving yards and a touchdown through the first two weeks. He will be going up against a Cowboys secondary that was torched for 189 yards and three touchdowns by wide receivers in Week 2. The Cowboys allowed Falcons' receivers to score nearly 53 fantasy points, which was the fifth-worst performance allowed.

The Cowboys have also allowed the ninth-most rushing yards to running backs over the first two weeks of the season, which is the reason I like to include Chris Carson in this prop. Carson has carried the ball 23 times through the first two games, but has also been heavily involved in the passing game as he has caught nine balls for 81 yards and three touchdowns. Seattle is currently favored in this game by 4,5 points, so it is very possible Carson could see a great deal of usage down the stretch to help close the game out. Also, if Dallas is up in this game, Carson could be relied upon in the passing game, so he could prove to be a dual-threat in this contest.

Play the Fantasy Challenge Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Titans @ Vikings Fantasy Challenge

Recommended Prop Pick:

Derrick Henry, Corey Davis, and Dalvin Cook over 59.5 fantasy points 

We are going to add in a little more fun to this week's prop picks by using a second Fantasy Challenge Contest. This one is between the Titans and Vikings who currently have a game total sitting at 49.5 points. Both of these defenses have given up some fantasy points on the season and we are going to try and take advantage of that in this contest.

Derrick Henry is the definition of a workhorse. He has totaled 56 rushing attempts and 200 rushing yards through his first two games and gets a matchup vs. a Vikings Defense that has been surprisingly bad vs. running backs in 2020. They have allowed 280 rushing yards to running backs through the first two games, which ranks them fourth-worst in the league. They have also allowed two rushing touchdowns and are giving up an average of 28.5 points per game to the position.

The Vikings have also been awful vs. the pass, which is why I like Corey Davis in this spot. Davis was targeted eight times in Week 1 when A.J. Brown was on the field and then targeted five times in Week 2 when Brown was absent, so he should get plenty of looks in this game regardless of Brown's status. The Vikings have given up 405 receiving yards and five touchdowns to wide receivers thus far in 2020. This adds up to them allowing 53.5 points per game to the position, which ranks second-worst in the league behind only the Seattle Seahawks. This should be a great spot to add Davis to your lineups and prop picks.

Dalvin Cook is the best fantasy option on the Vikings and looks to be a must use in this contest. Cook has amassed 26 carries for 113 rushing yards and three touchdowns. These stats may not be eye-popping, but the Vikings were down much of the game against the Colts and Packers, which means the rushing attempts were not as frequent. They enter this game as 2.5 point dogs, so the game could be close throughout, which should mean good things for Cook. The Titans have also struggled against the run thus far as they have given up 211 yards on the ground to running backs through the first two weeks. In Week 2, the Titans allowed James Robinson to rush for 102 yards and a score. The Titans have allowed 27.5 points per game to the running back position, which has them ranked in the bottom half of the league.

Play the Fantasy Challenge Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 



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MLB DFS Prop Picks for Friday, September 25th - Monkey Knife Fight

Welcome to the final edition of Friday Night MLB Monkey Knife Fight! We have hit some solid props along the way this season and hopefully have a couple more left in the tank for tonight.

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, MLB DFS games in the industry. There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

As it pertains to MLB on MKF, I like to start with pitcher strikeout totals and give a breakdown of my rationale on those first. Next, I will offer up some options to pair with the pitcher totals in case you want to dive into some 3/3, 4/4, or 5/5 type of contests. Friday, September 25th presents a big slate of games to choose from. We can look to attack the Pirates at Indians and Cubs at White Sox.

 

Pirates @ Indians: More or Less Contest

More or Less Contest - Carlos Carrasco more than 6.5 strikeouts and Mitch Keller less than 5.5 strikeouts

Carrasco should be able to get over this total vs. the Pirates tonight. Pittsburgh has been striking out at a clip of 27.1% vs. right-handed pitching over the previous two weeks, which ranks second-worst in baseball. They are also only posting a wRC+ of 58, which is third-worst in baseball over that span. The bottom line is that the Pirates have been awful vs. righties over the past two weeks and Carrasco just managed to strike out a similarly bad Tigers team 11 times in his most recent start.

Keller has only reached this total once in 2020 and he barely got over it with six strikeouts vs. a Cardinals team that is striking out at a rate of 28.8% vs. righties over the previous two weeks, which is third-worst in baseball. The Indians are a much taller task for Keller as they are only striking out at a rate of 24.2%. The Indians have the 10th-best BB rate vs. righties over the past two weeks with a rate of 9.9% and Keller has struggled in that department by allowing 10 BB in just over 18 IP. It is not a good matchup for Keller tonight.

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

More or Less Contest: Ceasar Hernandez more than 1.5 hits/walks

Cesar Hernandez more than 1.5 hits/ walks- Hernandez has been the most consistent hitter on the Indians and has also been hot as of late. Over the past two weeks, Hernandez is slashing .375/.412/.521. He has also reached this total in six of his previous 10 games. He is also hitting better at home in 2020 and hitting right-handers better as well. He checks all the boxes to go over on this prop.

Cubs @ White Sox: More or Less Contest

More or Less Contest - Yu Darvish more than 7.5 strikeouts and Dylan Cease more than 4.5 strikeouts

Darvish is getting the White Sox at the right time and should be able to get over the total. He has struck out at least 8 in five of his last six starts and just missed the total by one strikeout in the other game. He is facing a White Sox team that is currently striking out at a rate of 27.9% vs. right-handers over the previous two weeks, which is ranked sixth-worst in baseball. The White Sox are also only walking at a clip of 6.9%, so Darvish should be a solid more than pick here.

Dylan Cease has been a bit of a bugaboo for me as it pertains to strikeouts props in 2020. That being said, he is in a good spot for this game as the Cubs are in a free fall currently. Over the previous two weeks, the Cubs are posting a wRC+ of just 58 vs. right-handed pitching, which is ranked fourth-worst in the league. They are also striking out at a rate of 26%, which has them ranked 13th-worst in the league. Cease also struck out five Cubs the last time he faced them on 8/23. Cease is also posting a 1.77 ERA at home, so there could be plenty of opportunity for him to go a bit deeper into the game.

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MLB DFS Prop Picks for Thursday, September 24th - Monkey Knife Fight

We are nearing the end of the MLB regular season, but that does not mean we can't continue to take advantage of some awesome prop picks.

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, MLB DFS games in the industry. There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

Now, to the games at hand:

 

Orioles @ Red Sox: More or Less Contest

More or Less Contest - Martin Perez more than 4.5 strikeouts and Alex Cobb less than 3.5 strikeouts

Martin Perez has had some ups and downs in 2020, but has a solid matchup vs. the Orioles. The Orioles have been absolutely awful vs. left-handed pitching over the previous two weeks. They are positing a K rate of 29.9%, which is ranked fifth-worst in the league. They are also only posting a wRC+ mark of 24, which is ranked second-worst in the league. Perez has also reached this total in three of his previous four games.

Alex Cobb has not been great in 2020 as he has posted an ERA near five and a WHIP of 1.37. He will be facing a Red Sox team that has not been striking out much vs. right-handed pitching over the previous two weeks as noted by their K rate of just 20.7%, which is good for eighth-best in baseball. Cobb is also only posting a 17.3% K rate vs. Red Sox hitters that have faced him.

Play the More or Less Contest on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Marlins @ Braves: More or Less Contest

More or Less Contest - Ian Anderson more than 5.5 strikeouts and Pablo Lopez more than 4.5 strikeouts

Ian Anderson gets a good matchup vs. the Marlins on Thursday night. The Marlins have been striking out at a rate of 26.1% vs. right-handers over the previous two weeks and are also only posting a wRC+ mark 83, which means Anderson should be able to navigate this lineup. Anderson has also reached this total in four of his five starts in 2020.

Pablo Lopez's prop is a tad scarier only because the Braves have not been striking out as much as we would like vs. right-handers over the previous two weeks. Their mark currently sits at just 20.6%, but Lopez certainly has the stuff to reach five strikeouts in this matchup. He has gone over 4.5 strikeouts in four of his last five starts. While the one start he did not hit five was vs. Atlanta, he did manage to strike out eight Braves back on 8/14. I am going to trust the stuff of Lopez and go with the more than here.

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NHL DFS Prop Picks for 9/23/20 - Monkey Knife Fight

The puck drops on Game Three of the Stanley Cup Final Wednesday, a great opportunity to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The Tampa Bay Lightning rebounded in Game Two of the Cup Final, jumping out to a 3-0 lead and hanging on for a 3-2 victory to even up the series after the Dallas Stars took the opening game of the series with a 4-1 victory in Game One.

Through the first two games, the Lightning have carried more of the play, with 59% of score-adjusted shot attempts and 55% of expected goals during 5-on-5 play. Can they continue that territorial edge in Game Three?

Here are some prop angles to consider for Wednesday’s Tampa Bay-Dallas matchup on Monkey Knife Fight:

TAMPA BAY-DALLAS

View Contest

MORE OR LESS

Anton Khudobin MORE THAN 27.5 SAVES

Throughout the postseason, Khudobin is averaging 30.2 saves per 60 minutes and he has 28 or more saves in five straight games. The Lightning have generated 30.6 shots per 60 minutes in the playoffs, with the opposition recording 27.94 saves per 60 minutes. All of this steers towards the over.

Andrei Vasilevskiy LESS THAN 27.5 SAVES

While Vasilevskiy has played very well in the playoffs, posting a .929 save percentage, he also doesn’t face a lot of shots so Vasilevskiy has averaged 24.5 saves per 60 minutes in the postseason. He has recorded 27 or fewer saves in seven of the past eight games. From the Stars’ perspective, they have generated 29.21 shots per 60 in the playoffs, with opposing goaltenders averaging 26.23 saves per game. Given the typical shot distributions that Khudobin and Vasilevskiy have faced in the playoffs, it’s reasonable to see one recording more than 27 saves and one with fewer than 28 saves.

Nikita Kucherov MORE THAN 0.5 ASSISTS

Tampa Bay’s playmaking winger leads the playoffs with 22 assists and 28 points in 21 games but this isn’t an automatic over because Kucherov has put up those 22 assists in just 11 games, recording zero assists in the other 10 games. This is a slight lean more than an overpowering angle but it’s tough to ignore Kucherov’s overall productivity.

Victor Hedman 3.5 SHOTS ON GOAL + BLOCKS

Tampa Bay’s star defender has been attacking more offensively in the playoffs, averaging 3.19 shots on goal per game in the postseason. Paired with 40 blocked shots (1.90 per game) makes it pretty easy to like Hedman for at least four shots on goal plus blocks in Game Three.

RAPID FIRE

John Klingberg -0.5 fantasy points vs. Miro Heiskanen 

Heiskanen has had a breakout performance in the postseason, producing 23 points in 23 games, generating 49 shots on goal. At the same time, he has slumped recently, with just two assists in the past seven games so that does open the door for Klingberg, who has long been the most productive blueliner for Dallas but started slowly in the postseason. Nevertheless, Klingberg has picked up his production lately, with six assists in the past four games and has 19 points and 39 shots on goal in 22 playoff games.

Brayden Point -0.5 fantasy points vs. Jamie Benn

Point has been a dynamic offensive leader for the Lightning, taking on even more responsibility with Steven Stamkos out of the lineup, and Point has 26 points and 55 shots on goal in 19 playoff games. He has been battling an injury suffered against the Islanders in the Eastern Conference Final so he has been held off the scoresheet in two of the past three games. Benn has turned in a vintage playoff performance, producing 18 points and 62 shots on goal in 23 games though he has been held without a point in each of the first two games of the Stanley Cup Final.

As a reminder, here are point totals when it comes to MKF fantasy hockey points:

OFFENSE:

Goals = 3

Assists = 2

Shots on Goal = 1

Blocked Shots = 1

Shootout Goals = 1

GOALIE:

Goals against = -1 pt

Save= 0.2 pts

 

 

 

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