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Break The Slate: DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Picks - Week 7

Hi there, RotoBallers, and welcome back to Break The Slate! If you read this article regularly, then you know what we're about here, but if you are a new reader, let me quickly summarize our goals with this article. We'll spend each week discussing a few plays at each position for the DraftKings main slate that can add tournament-winning upside and/or juicy value to our NFL DFS rosters. I'll highlight my favorite players and breakdown my reasoning behind them.

I try to update the article on Saturdays to reflect any significant injuries or late-breaking news, as the landscape of the slate can change quickly in the NFL, and I definitely recommend you checking those out. Hits and misses were the theme of Week 6, with Derrick Henry and Ronald Jones II coming through huge for us at the RB position, while players like DeVante Parker and Jonnu Smith hurt us due to injuries. Week 7 is shaping up to be a fun slate and I'm excited to dig in! Remember, the NFL is ever-evolving from week to week, which gives us an opportunity to apply what we've learned on the next slate.

These DraftKings lineup recommendations are based on matchups, projected ownership, overall upside/talent levels, opportunity, and other factors such as Vegas odds, home-field advantage, and more. There are quite a few great plays available, so read on to find out which players are the best for Week 7. Be sure to also check out our weekly FanDuel DFS lineup picks and lots of other great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win big! Good luck with your DraftKings DFS lineups, let's Break The Slate together!

 

DraftKings DFS Quarterbacks - Week 7 Picks

Josh Allen - BUF @ NYJ ($7,700)

Josh Allen's evolution was one of the hot topics over the first month of the season, but he's now logged a couple of relatively disappointing outings in his last two starts. Allen gets the mother of all bounce-back matchups against the abysmal New York Jets this week. He destroyed the Jets in Week 1, posting 33.2 DK points on 312 yards passing and 57 yards rushing that resulted in 3 TDs. There's reason to believe Allen will get back on track against a New York defense that's allowing opposing QBs to complete passes at nearly a 72% clip and is relinquishing over eight yards per attempt. Another reason to consider the Bills signal caller - especially in GPPs - is that his ownership should be noticeably depressed with all the other eye-catching QB options that are available on this slate.

Kyler Murray - SEA @ ARI ($7,100)

While Josh Allen will be contrarian, Kyler Murray will be chalk city this week. However, it's hard to argue with the play, as Murray's combination of production and matchup is hard to ignore. The second-year QB leads the position in rushing yards with 370 and has accounted for 6 TDs on the ground this season. He's also proven efficient when asked to throw the ball, posting 1,487 yards and 10 TDs. The matchup is a great one, as the Seahawks have been routinely shredded by opposing QBs. Seattle has allowed the fourth-most DK points in the NFL to the QB position and ranks 31st in the league in passing yards allowed. This game comes in with a "high and tight" O/U and point spread...and there's lots of paths that lead to this one turning into a true shootout.

Joe Burrow - CLE @ CIN ($5,500)

Those of you looking to pay down at the QB position might want to consider Cincy rookie Joe Burrow. The LSU product has looked every bit the part of a number-one draft pick, despite, ya know...playing for the Bengals. Burrow has thrown for 1,617 yards - the eighth-most in the NFL - and toasted the Browns for 316 yards and 3 TDs in their Week 2 matchup. Speaking of TDs, the rookie hasn't thrown for one in his last two games, so I think we can expect some positive regression in that department at some point. As for the matchup, it's an intriguing one, as the Browns rank bottom-five in the NFL in completions, passing yards, and passing TDs allowed.

 

DraftKings DFS Running Backs - Week 7 Picks

Alvin Kamara - CAR @ NO ($7,900)

Alvin Kamara in Week 7 reminds me a lot of Derrick Henry in Week 6...we have an uber-talented player in an absolute smash matchup. Yes, of course he could "fail", but why overthink it?

Kamara has posted 150.6 DK points this season - the most by a RB - and has combined for 20-or-more carries/targets in every Saints game to this point. He'll square off against a Panthers Defense that's allowed the second-most DK points in the NFL to the RB position, are tied with Houston for the most TDs allowed (8) in the league, and - perhaps most importantly in Kamara's case - are relinquishing a ridiculous 85.5% catch rate to RBs out of the backfield.

Aaron Jones - GB @ HOU ($7,200)

Speaking of Derrick Henry's Week 6 matchup...Aaron Jones wins the prize egg this week, as he's set to square off against a struggling Houston Texans Defense. The Texans contained Henry for a decent portion of the game last week before eventually allowing him to explode for 212 yards on the ground. It was the fourth time this season they've allowed a 100-plus yard rusher. Houston ranks dead last in the NFL in DK points, rushing yards, and rushing TDs allowed to the RB position. It's an appetizing matchup for Jones, a player with a lower floor than most "elite" RBs, but a guy that carries as much upside as anyone in the league, as evidenced by his 48.6 DK point performance against the Lions in Week 2.

Jerick McKinnon - SF @ NE ($5,800)

The revolving door at the RB position continues for the San Francisco 49ers, as Raheem Mostert went down yet again last week. With Tevin Coleman on IR, Jerick McKinnon will once again be asked to step into the lead role for this Niners backfield. He performed well in two games as the top option in San Fran, rushing for 92 yards and 2 TDs on 28 carries, and catching 10 of 12 targets for 82 yards, in Weeks 3 and 4. There are a couple of reasons to be skittish here...Niners rookie JaMychal Hasty received nine carries when Mostert left last week and the matchup against the New England Patriots is a tough one. Taking those drawbacks into account, McKinnon is an explosive, dual-threat back with a sub-$6k price tag. He's worth a long look.

DraftKings DFS Wide Receivers - Week 7 Picks

DeAndre Hopkins - SEA @ ARI ($8,200)

I'm normally a fan of paying down at WR, but as with Alvin Kamara this week, some spots are just too good to ignore. Arizona's DeAndre Hopkins is such an example. Hopkins tops the WR salary scale, but draws what can only be described as a smash matchup against the Seattle Seahawks this week. Seattle's secondary is a shell of its former self. The team that was once upon a time a matchup that we went out of our way to avoid with WRs is now one that we want to target. The Seahawks rank dead last in the NFL in DK points, receiving yards, and catches allowed to the WR position. It will be tough for them to slow down Nuk, a player that has been outstanding in his new Arizona home, and has went for over 130 receiving yards in three of the Cards six contests on an average of 12.2 targets per game. Seattle is a true funnel defense that's allowing just 3.73 yards per carry on the ground, so we can expect the Arizona passing attack to be deployed often in this matchup.

Terry McLaurin - DAL @ WAS ($5,800)

I honestly feel as though I could include Terry McLaurin in this column every week. He remains frozen in this mid-to-high-$5k price range, despite being one of the most explosive receivers in the game. McLaurin's production is undoubtedly hurt by both Washington's QB situation and overall offense, though his volume has stayed consistent despite the revolving door at QB. McLaurin has been targeted 58 times this season (11.6 targets per game), which is good for the fifth-most targets in the league. He and the WFT offense draw a "circle it on your calendar" matchup against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 7. The 'Boys struggles on defense this season have been well documented, but just to reinforce how bad it is, this Dallas unit ranks in the bottom-five in the NFL in DK points, receiving yards, TDs, and yards per target allowed to the WR position. We're targeting upside at WR and "The Jet" has both the talent and usage needed to crush his salary in this matchup.

Mike Williams - JAX @ LAC ($4,700)

This year has been the weirdest one that many of us have ever seen, so in true 2020 fashion, we're talking about the LA Chargers passing attack. A combination of injuries to Tyrod Taylor, Austin Ekeler, and a large portion of the LA defense has forced rookie Justin Herbert into action earlier than expected. The results have been surprisingly-good, at least from a fantasy perspective. Mike Williams has a pretty non-existent fantasy floor, but I love his upside in GPP formats. Williams had a nice game LA's last time out, racking up 109 yards and 2 TDs on five catches in an overtime loss to New Orleans. Keenan Allen left that game early, so Williams did see an uptick in usage, but the upside is there even if Allen returns this week. His juicy aDOT of 18.2 is one of the highest in the league and he's accounted for 27.7% of the Chargers air yards this season. He'll face a Jags secondary that's allowing nine yards per catch to opposing WRs. This definitely isn't a "safe" play, but is one that could pay big dividends in large-field tournaments.

 

DraftKings DFS Tight Ends - Week 7 Picks

Travis Kelce - KC @ DEN ($6,300)

If you've played NFL DFS regularly this season, chances are you're pretty frustrated with the TE position. I know I certainly am, as the position has consistently been a weak spot in my lineups. Hopefully, we can change that this week, as we finally get Travis Kelce back on the main slate. The KC tight end has been the most consistent producer at the position this season, churning out an average of 19.3 DK points per game. That consistency can be attributed to his steady role in this high-powered Chiefs offense. Kelce leads the NFL in TE targets (53), receptions (37), yards (470), and TDs (5). The matchup against Denver isn't a standout one, but the Broncos have allowed 73% catch rate to opposing TEs this season. Kelce's talent and usage in this offense make him virtually matchup proof and a solid bet to end any drought you might be experiencing at the TE position.

Austin Hooper - CLE @ CIN ($4,000)

Remember Austin Hooper? You know, the guy that signed the highest TE deal in history over the offseason. Nobody would blame you if you forgot about Hooper, as he was basically non-existent in this Browns offense for the first month of the season. However, Cleveland must have realized how much they're paying the guy, because he's actually getting some looks as of late. Hooper has been targeted 23 times over Cleveland's last three games, snagging 15 catches for 143 yards and a TD. This production is what fantasy forecasters had in mind for him this year and he has a great chance to keep it going this week against the Bengals, a team that ranks 30th in the NFL in receiving yards allowed to the TE position.



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Break The Slate: DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Picks - Week 6

Hi there, RotoBallers, and welcome back to Break The Slate! If you read this article regularly, then you know what we're about here, but if you are a new reader, let me quickly summarize our goals with this article. We'll spend each week discussing a few plays at each position for the DraftKings main slate that can add tournament-winning upside and/or juicy value to our NFL DFS rosters. I'll highlight my favorite players and breakdown my reasoning behind them.

I try to update the article on Saturdays to reflect any significant injuries or late-breaking news, as the landscape of the slate can change quickly in the NFL, and I definitely recommend you checking those out. It was a really nice slate for us in Week 5, especially at the WR position, as our highlighted players CeeDee Lamb, Robby Anderson, and Darius Slayton all killed it for us, while our sneaky pick of Teddy Bridgewater at QB also paid dividends. Of course not everything worked out, as Dak Prescott left early with a season-ending injury and our attempt to gain some floor at TE with George Kittle failed miserably. That's how it goes in NFL DFS kids. Week 6 is shaping up to be an interesting - though perhaps frustrating - slate. As I write this, the juiciest matchup of the week - ATL vs MIN - is facing the possibility of being delayed due to COVID-19 concerns! As a result, I'll leave Falcons and Vikings players out of this week's column, but will circle back around to that matchup in the Saturday Updates section, when we'll (hopefully) know more about the status of that game. Remember, the NFL is ever-evolving from week to week, which gives us an opportunity to apply what we've learned on the next slate.

These DraftKings lineup recommendations are based on matchups, projected ownership, overall upside/talent levels, opportunity, and other factors such as Vegas odds, home-field advantage, and more. There are quite a few great plays available, so read on to find out which players are the best for Week 6. Be sure to also check out our weekly FanDuel DFS lineup picks and lots of other great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win big! Good luck with your DraftKings DFS lineups, let's Break The Slate together!

 

DraftKings DFS Quarterbacks - Week 6 Picks

Matthew Stafford - DET @ JAX ($6,300)

What a difference a week makes! We go from a plethora of options in Week 5, to very few legitimate ones in Week 6. There are several elite QBs available on this slate, but the problem lies in their matchups, as none of the available spots scream out as true slam-dunk situations.

One matchup that is juicy is Matt Stafford squaring off against the Jags. The Jacksonville organization is pathetic in several areas, but defending the pass has proven to be their most glaring weakness on the field this season. The Jags defense ranks dead last in the NFL in Yards Per Attempt (8.83), and stand 28th in the league in both passing yards and TDs allowed.

Stafford has yet to post a true "spike" game, but there are signs that it's coming. The Lions signal caller's Average Target Depth is 10.0 yards, which trails only Aaron Rodgers and Kirk Cousins among QBs that have started every game for their team. He's also been boosted by the return of his top WR, Kenny Golladay, who has injected this Detroit offense with some life after missing the first two games of the season. The expected game environment is juicy, with both a tight point spread (DET -3.5) and high point total (54.0).

*SATURDAY UPDATE: A weird week at the QB position, as for the first time this season I find myself actually looking to pay down. With the ATL vs MIN game appearing set to go after some COVID concerns earlier in the week (we'll touch on several plays from this matchup), Kirk Cousins ($6.1k) immediately pops into consideration against an ATL defense that has allowed the most DK points in the NFL to the QB position. Taking Week 1 out of the equation, Ryan Fitzpatrick ($5.9k) is averaging 27.35 DK points over Miami's last four games and he squares off against a Jets secondary that is allowing 8.25 yards per attempt. Tennessee's Ryan Tannehill ($5.9k) continues to be relentlessly efficient and posted 30 DK points on just 28 attempts Tuesday night against Buffalo. The price is right...with volume being the only concern in a matchup against the Texans that figures to be a "ride Derrick Henry" game for Tennessee.

 

DraftKings DFS Running Backs - Week 6 Picks

Derrick Henry - HOU @ TEN ($7,300)

While there are very few slam-dunk spots at the QB position, there are some juicy matchups available for RBs this week. Tennessee's Derrick Henry has a dream "usage + matchup" situation against the Houston Texans. Henry has received a massive 101 carries this season, which ranks second in the NFL behind Josh Jacobs' 105 in total carries, despite the Titans only playing four games. His eye-popping carry per game average of 25.25 leads the league, while his 28 Red Zone rushing attempts is also atop the NFL.

Henry hasn't exactly been ultra-efficient - his average of 3.7 yards per carry is pretty pedestrian - but he should find some easy sledding this week against a Texans Defense that has allowed the most rushing yards in the NFL (706) and is relinquishing a massive 5.19 yards per carry to the RB position - the fourth-highest average in the league.

James Robinson - DET @ JAX ($6,800)

We touched on this DET vs JAX matchup at the QB position with Matthew Stafford and James Robinson presents us with an opportunity to grab another piece of exposure in this game. The Lions have been brutally-bad against the run. Detroit has allowed an average of 32.8 DK points per game to opposing runners and is relinquishing a staggering 5.57 yards per carry on the ground, a mark that tied for worst in the league.

Robinson underwhelmed last week, posting just 11.0 DK points against Houston. However, his usage remained encouraging, as he toted the rock 13 times and was targeted seven times in the pass game. Volume is king in DFS and Robinson has now touched the ball 17 or more times in all five of Jacksonville's game this season. This matchup against Detroit is a juicy rebound spot.

Ronald Jones II - GB @ TB ($6,000)

Do any of you guys wanna join the #FreeRonaldJones campaign with me? Jones II is a talented back that has finally been given a chance to shine thanks to Leonard Fournette's absence and Tampa's banged-up receiving corps. He's made the most of the opportunity, rushing for over 100 yards in each of the Bucs' last two games, while also corralling nine of 14 targets. We're hoping that Jones II has worked his way into Bruce Arians' good graces with his performances over the last couple of weeks and that an expected-to-return Fournette will just be a footnote in this offense, as Green Bay offers a surprisingly good matchup. The Packers are allowing a very chunky 4.76 yards per carry to the RB position, and rank 31st in the NFL in both catch % and yards per target allowed to RBs.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: Lots to unpack here at RB...we love Aaron Jones' ($7.6k) talent, but the matchup against Tampa Bay presents his biggest challenge to date. Alexander Mattison ($7.2k) feels like one of the larger decisions on this slate. With pricing delayed due to the Tuesday night game, DKings was able to adjust his price, which means we (thankfully) won't see a 70%-owned-$5k Mattison. He'll step right in to Dalvin's Cook role in a dreamy matchup against an ATL defense that's relinquishing nearly 140 total yards per game to the RB position. With some very good options available at RB this week, I'll neither be "all in" or "all out" on Mattison, but will definitely grab some exposure in this smash spot, while the RB on the other side of this matchup, Todd Gurley II ($6.3K), presents a unique pivot opportunity against a Vikes defense that allowed 561 yards on the ground this season. Carolina's Mike Davis ($7.0k) continues to produce "CMC Lite" numbers thanks to his huge role in this Panthers offense. The matchup against Chicago isn't great this week, but the volume/production is hard to ignore. On the other side of CHI vs CAR, David Montgomery ($5.8k) might not actually be good at football, but he's getting all the work he can handle out of the Bears backfield in the absence of Tarik Cohen and will square off against a Panthers Defense that is dead last in the NFL in DK points allowed the the RB position. Two strong standouts in the mid-$5k range are Antonio Gibson ($5.5k) and Myles Gaskin ($5.4k), players whose price tags don't really reflect the amount of volume they are consistently receiving in their respective offenses. With Denver's Melvin Gordon ($6.0k) now officially ruled "Out", Phillip Lindsay ($4.3k) becomes the most intriguing salary saver at the position.

DraftKings DFS Wide Receivers - Week 6 Picks

DeVante Parker - NYJ @ MIA ($6,300)

The ATL vs MIN is a treasure trove at the WR position, but since we're in wait-and-see mode on that game, we'll slide down the salary scale to Miami's DeVante Parker at $6.3k. Parker hasn't been the target monster that he was last season, but he's proven himself to be extremely efficient this year by posting double-digit DK output in each of Miami's last four games. He turned three targets into 50 yards and a TD last week against the Niners and recorded 10 catches for 110 yards on 12 targets in Week 4 against Seattle. We can consider Parker's target counts of the last two weeks outliers and I expect him to fall somewhere in the middle against the Jets. New York's Pierre Desir has little chance of slowing down Parker and this surprisingly-good Dolphins air attack. The Jets Defense ranks last in the league in allowed catch % to the WR position (71.9%) and stands 30th in the NFL in yards per target (9.88).

Kenny Golladay - DET @ JAX ($6,200)

We've already touched on Matt Stafford and James Robinson in this matchup. You can toss Kenny Golladay in the mix to complete a nice little game stack. Golladay missed the first two games of the year with a hamstring injury, but he's been productive since returning in Week 3, snagging 10 of 15 targets for 109 yards and 2 TDs in over two games. He'll square off against a Jags secondary that's been routinely gashed this season and is coming off allowing an 8/161/1 torch job to Brandin Cooks last week. Jacksonville is relinquishing nearly nine yards per target to opposing wideouts and will throw barely-drafted rookie Chris Claybrooks at Golladay in this game.

Tee Higgins - CIN @ IND ($4,700)

Obviously, we want to look for terrific matchups when constructing DFS rosters, but sometimes - especially when trying to take down a GPP - we must be willing to consider a player that's in perhaps a less-than-plus matchup due to talent, price, or usage. In Bengals rookie WR Tee Higgins, we find all three of those. Higgins has developed rapidly at the pro level and despite being targeted 30 (!) times over Cincy's last four games, his DK salary has remained frozen in this $4.5-5k price range (his price has actually decreased $200 from last week!). The volume is hard to ignore, but more importantly, Higgins is receiving quality targets. He has a healthy aDOT of 14.0 and has accounted for 25.2% of the Bengals' Air Yards this season. This Colts Defense isn't one we want to go out of our way to target, but second-year CB Rock Ya-Sin's 57.7 PFF Grade isn't enough to scare me off the cheap upside that Higgins brings to the table.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: With ATL vs MIN set to go, receivers in this matchup jump to the top of our Week 6 target list...Calvin Ridley ($7.8k) is perhaps better with Julio Jones ($6.7k) in the lineup, while both Adam Thielen ($7.3k) and Justin Jefferson ($6.0k) draw a dream matchup against a Falcons secondary that has succeeded in stopping NO ONE this season and is 31st in the NFL in yards per target allowed to the WR position. Philly funnels offenses to the air, which should put the explosive, yet inconsistent, Marquise Brown ($6.5k) on our GPP radars. The Jets offense is gross, but Jamison Crowder ($6.1k) has been a true standout, breaking the 20-DK point mark every time he's suited up this season. Both Terry McLaurin ($5.7k) and A.J. Brown ($5.6k) are high-upside options, especially at this price point. D.J. Chark's availability might not be known until Sunday morning, but if he can't go, Laviska Shenault ($5.2k) would immediately jump into my player pool. Chase Claypool ($5.2k) broke the slate last week, but I'm not scared to go right back to the well with Diontae Johnson now ruled out for Week 6. The same can be said for Houston's Brandin Cooks ($5.0k), who gets another winnable matchup against the Titans on the heels of a monster performance in Week 5.

 

DraftKings DFS Tight Ends - Week 6 Picks

Mark Andrews - BAL @ PHI ($6,500)

Mark Andrews' fantasy production has generally depended on his unbelievable efficiency. However, Andrews heads into Week 6 on the heels of his highest-volume game of the season last week against the Bengals. The Ravens stud TE was targeted nine times against Cincy, posting a rock-solid 6/56/1 stat line. Volume is the largest concern with the talented Andrews (he was only targeted three times in Week 4), but we have to feel confident that the opportunities will be there this week against Philly's true funnel defense. The Eagles are allowing just 3.35 yards per carry on the ground, which routinely forces opponents to the air. Opposing pass attacks have found success with TEs against Philly, as the Eagles have allowed the highest completion rate (86.5%) in the NFL to the position.

Jonnu Smith - HOU @ TEN ($5,200)

It seems like forever since we had a chance to roster Jonnu Smith on the Main Slate. I'm jumping at the opportunity to get the Titans TE back in my lineups this week. The matchup is neutral-at- best, with Houston ranking middle of the pack statistically against the TE position, but I'm willing to bet on Smith's elite volume (6.75 targets per game) and eye-opening athletic ability (12.3 yards per catch) at this palatable price tag.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: The TE position is a wasteland this week from my perspective and I will be leaning heavily on the two players highlighted in this week's original writeup.



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Garage Guys NFL DFS Preview Show: DraftKings Lineup Picks for Week 6

Join Chase Holden (@GarageGuyChase), and Drew Deen (@ChefBoiRDeen) as they provide you with fresh NFL DFS analysis in their Week 6 NFL DFS Preview Show presented by RotoBaller.

Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well!

Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210, XM 87) - every weekday morning between 6-7 AM ET, and every weekend morning as well from 6-8 AM ET. You can also find new weekly shows on the site under RotoBaller Radio podcasts.

 

Who To Target in Week 6 NFL DFS

Garage Guy Chase and Chef BoiRDeen discuss some of their favorite Quarterback, Wide Receiver, Running Back, and Tight End NFL DFS lineup picks on DraftKings for Week 6 of the NFL season.

Be sure to also check out all of our other weekly NFL DFS Articles and analysis to help you set your optimal DFS lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. 

Thanks for listening to today's episode! Be sure to tune in throughout the week, and to also follow RotoBaller on Twitter, YouTube, and iTunes for the latest fantasy news and analysis.

For any and all fantasy NFL questions, find Chase and Drew on Twitter (@GarageGuyChase, @ChefBoiRDeen) and subscribe to the Garage Guys Fantasy Sports YouTube Channel for more NASCAR and NFL Fantasy Football talk.

As always, for the best in fantasy sports entertainment be sure to check out the latest Garage Guys Fantasy Sports Podcast episode on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, and Spotify.

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Break The Slate: DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Picks - Week 5

Hi there, RotoBallers, and welcome back to Break The Slate! If you read this article regularly, then you know what we're about here, but if you are a new reader, let me quickly summarize our goals with this article. We'll spend each week discussing a few plays at each position for the DraftKings main slate that can add tournament-winning upside and/or juicy value to our NFL DFS rosters. I'll highlight my favorite players and breakdown my reasoning behind them.

I try to update the article on Saturdays to reflect any significant injuries or late-breaking news, as the landscape of the slate can change quickly in the NFL, and I definitely recommend you checking those out. It was a really solid slate for us in Week 4, especially at the RB position, as our highlighted players Alvin Kamara, Dalvin Cook, and Mike Davis all killed it for us. Week 5 is shaping up to be an interesting slate and I can't wait to dive in! Remember, the NFL is ever-evolving from week to week, which gives us an opportunity to apply what we've learned on the next slate.

These DraftKings lineup recommendations are based on matchups, projected ownership, overall upside/talent levels, opportunity, and other factors such as Vegas odds, home-field advantage, and more. There are quite a few great plays available, so read on to find out which players are the best for Week 5. Be sure to also check out our weekly FanDuel DFS lineup picks and lots of other great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win big! Good luck with your DraftKings DFS lineups, let's Break The Slate together!

 

DraftKings DFS Quarterbacks - Week 5 Picks

Dak Prescott & Daniel Jones - NYG @ DAL ($7,400 & $5,400)

I'm listing these two together because this is a game that we should be heavily focused on. Dak Prescott is obviously the preferred play here, as he's having an unbelievably-productive season and leads all QBs in DraftKings points scored through four weeks. On paper this isn't a great matchup for Prescott...the Giants have allowed the sixth-fewest DK points in the NFL to the QB position. However, we all know that games aren't played on paper and looking at the QBs New York has faced brings a different perspective to that stat. We can also count on Dallas' turnstile defense to force Prescott and the offense to stay aggressive throughout this one.

Speaking of the Cowboys' barely-there defensive unit...Daniel Jones is an interesting salary saver this week and a unique way to get some exposure to this matchup. Jones' game log isn't pretty, but he's faced one of the toughest QB-matchup schedules in the league thus far (Steelers, Bears, 49ers, Rams). Things are going to get MUCH EASIER for the second-year pivot this week, as the Cowboys have relinquished over 1,000 passing yards and 11 TDs to opposing QBs, and have yet to hold an opponent to under 20 real points this season.

Teddy Bridgewater - CAR @ ATL ($5,900)

DFS is a format where we want to unapologetically target teams with flaws. Atlanta has lots of problems, but their secondary is the biggest. Through four weeks the Falcons are dead last in the NFL in DK points allowed to the QB position, while relinquishing the most passing TDs and second-most passing yards in the league. We suspected that Teddy Bridgewater would come in and be something of a "game manager" for Carolina this year, but Teddy B has topped 34 pass attempts in three of Carolina's four games this season and should continue to be pressed into carrying a heavier load during Christian McCaffrey's absence. This matchup carries a high projected point total (54) and tight point spread (ATL -2.5), which adds up to Bridgewater being one of the most intriguing value plays on the slate.

 

DraftKings DFS Running Backs - Week 5 Picks

Clyde Edwards-Helaire - LV @ KC ($6,800)

Perhaps the most highly-touted rookie fantasy prospect heading into the year, Clyde Edwards-Helaire made a huge splash in the season-opener against Houston, rushing for 138 yards and a TD. Edwards-Helaire has failed to cross the century mark on the ground since, but his steady workload in this explosive Chiefs offense - especially in the passing game - is very encouraging. CEH was targeted just twice in that Week 1 game, but he's received 17 looks over KC's three subsequent games. He draws a smash matchup against a Raiders defense that has relinquished 276 receiving yards (the second-most in the NFL) to opposing RBs this season. Las Vegas is also being gashed on the ground, allowing a massive 5.36 yards per carry, a mark that ranks 29th in the NFL.

James Robinson - JAX @ HOU ($6,700)

The Houston Texans run defense is a spot that I've targeted relentlessly this year. It paid off again last week, as one of our highlighted players in this column, Dalvin Cook, smoked Houston for 130 yards and 2 TDs on 27 carries. Through four weeks the Texans have relinquished 651 rushing yards to opposing RBs - the most in the NFL - and have allowed a 100-yard rusher in three of their four games. Jacksonville's James Robinson has turned into an under-the-radar bell cow in the absence of Leonard Fournette. Robinson has handled a staggering 84% of Jacksonville's backfield touches through four weeks, with touch counts of 17/19/17/21 this season.

 

DraftKings DFS Wide Receivers - Week 5 Picks

CeeDee Lamb - NYG @ DAL ($6,000)

We've already touched on this matchup at the QB position (and have one more play still to come!), but I don't think you can get too much exposure to this Dallas offense at the moment. Amari Cooper is certainly the top option in this high-powered passing attack, but he will draw shadow coverage from New York's James Bradberry (a player that's been the lone bright spot in this Giants secondary), which should pave the way for CeeDee Lamb to do some damage out of the slot against NY's rookie slot corner Darnay Holmes, who has been consistently torched this year. Lamb is proving to be everything Dallas hoped he would be when they spent a first-round pick on him earlier this year. The rookie has been targeted 29 times through four games (second in targets to Cooper) and has responded with 21 catches for 309 yards and 2 TDs.

Robby Anderson - CAR @ ATL ($5,900)

After years of being in the purgatory that is the New York Jets offense, Robby Anderson has seemingly found a nice home in Carolina with his former college coach Matt Rhule. Anderson has been a key cog in this Panthers attack and leads Carolina in WR targets with 34 through their first four games. He's not only seeing heavy volume, he's also been productive, posting 377 yards and a TD on 28 catches. Anderson's mouth has to be watering at the prospect of facing the joke that is the Falcons secondary this week. Atlanta's attempt at retooling their defensive backfield this offseason has failed miserably, as they rank bottom-five in the NFL in DK points (167.50), receiving yards (822), and yards per target (9.79) allowed to the WR position. Like life in Jurassic Park, offenses will find a way against this Falcons pass defense and they are fresh off a Sunday-night trouncing at the hands of a Green Bay pass-catching corps that was without their top-two options.

Darius Slayton - NYG @ DAL ($4,800)

Darius Slayton is our last player from the Giants vs Cowboys matchup, and man, he is in a potential blowup spot. Slayton has failed to crack 10 DK points since a 31.2 DK point explosion in the season opener, but the volume has been there, with target counts of: 7/7/6 over NY's last three. He also carries a healthy aDOT of 12.40, an attractive stat against this Cowboys Defense that has struggled to stop anything - they've allowed the second-most DK points in the NFL to the WR position - but that has been especially susceptible to deep threats and is allowing nearly 9.50 yards per targets to opposing WRs. This is a list of some of the outings Dallas has allowed to opposing WRs through four games: Robert Woods - 6/105/0, Calvin Ridley - 7/109/2, DK Metcalf - 4/110/1, Tyler Lockett - 9/100/3, OBJ - 5/81/2.

 

DraftKings DFS Tight Ends - Week 5 Picks

George Kittle - MIA @ SF ($6,600)

Honestly, this is a "frustration write-up". I'm a fan of trying to save salary at TE, but the position has been so consistently gross this season that I'm considering paying all the way up for George Kittle this week, simply in an attempt to get some sort of meaningful production from the roster spot. When he's healthy, Kittle is a safe bet to produce. He returned from a knee injury to lay the smack down on Philly last week, dropping a ridiculous 15/183/1 stat line on Sunday Night Football. The matchup against Miami isn't great on paper - they rank fifth in the NFL in DK points allowed to the TE position - but let's be honest, if the Niners continue to scheme Kittle the ball in the fashion they did last week, the Dolphins aren't going to contain him.

Eric Ebron - PHI @ PIT ($4,000)

If you just read the Kittle write-up, then you know that he absolutely trucked the Eagles last week. He's not the only tight end to do so...Philly is allowing a ridiculous 9.20 yards per target to the TE position this season, while also relinquishing a league-worst 86.7 catch percentage to opposing TEs. Eric Ebron's numbers certainly haven't been gaudy this season, but his role in this Steelers offense continues to evolve, as his targets have steadily increased each week. Ebron went from a single look in Week 1, to five in Week 2, and seven in Pittsburgh's most recent game, which he converted into five catches for 52 yards and a TD. He's ran pass routes on 94.4% of his snaps and (hopefully) represents a ray of hope in what's been a dark season for value tight ends.



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Garage Guys NFL DFS Preview Show - DraftKings Lineup Picks for Week 5

Join Chase Holden (@GarageGuyChase), and Drew Deen (@ChefBoiRDeen) as they provide you with fresh NFL DFS analysis in their Week 5 NFL DFS Preview Show presented by RotoBaller.

Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well!

Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210, XM 87) - every weekday morning between 6-7 AM ET, and every weekend morning as well from 6-8 AM ET. You can also find new weekly shows on the site under RotoBaller Radio podcasts.

 

Who To Target in Week 4 NFL DFS

Garage Guy Chase and Chef BoiRDeen discuss some of their favorite Quarterback, Wide Receiver, Running Back, and Tight End NFL DFS lineup picks on DraftKings for Week 4 of the NFL season.

Be sure to also check out all of our other weekly NFL DFS Articles and analysis to help you set your optimal DFS lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. 

Thanks for listening to today's episode! Be sure to tune in throughout the week, and to also follow RotoBaller on Twitter, YouTube, and iTunes for the latest fantasy news and analysis.

For any and all fantasy NFL questions, find Chase and Drew on Twitter (@GarageGuyChase, @ChefBoiRDeen) and subscribe to the Garage Guys Fantasy Sports YouTube Channel for more NASCAR and NFL Fantasy Football talk.

As always, for the best in fantasy sports entertainment be sure to check out the latest Garage Guys Fantasy Sports Podcast episode on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, and Spotify.

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Break The Slate: DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Picks - Week 4

Hi there, RotoBallers, and welcome back to Break The Slate! If you read this article regularly, then you know what we're about here, but if you are a new reader, let me quickly summarize our goals with this article. We'll spend each week discussing a few plays at each position for the DraftKings main slate that can add tournament-winning upside and/or juicy value to our NFL DFS rosters. I'll highlight my favorite players and breakdown my reasoning behind them.

I try to update the article on Saturdays to reflect any significant injuries or late-breaking news, as the landscape of the slate can change quickly in the NFL, and I definitely recommend you checking those out. It was a real "boom or bust" slate for us in Week 3, as featured players like Russell Wilson, Dak Prescott, Jeff Wilson Jr., and Tyler Lockett exploded for us...while other highlighted players like Diontae Johnson, Kenyan Drake, and Dallas Goedert either left their games injured or underperformed. Remember, the NFL is ever-evolving from week to week, which gives us an opportunity to apply what we've learned on the next slate.

These DraftKings lineup recommendations are based on matchups, projected ownership, overall upside/talent levels, opportunity, and other factors such as Vegas odds, home-field advantage, and more. There are quite a few great plays available, so read on to find out which players are the best for Week 4. Be sure to also check out our weekly FanDuel DFS lineup picks and lots of other great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win big! Good luck with your DraftKings DFS lineups, let's Break The Slate together!

 

DraftKings DFS Quarterbacks - Week 4 Picks

Russell Wilson - SEA @ MIA ($7,800)

"If it ain't broke, don't fix it" is quickly becoming my mantra at the QB position this season. In the past it would often make sense to pay down at the position, but with DK's current compressed QB pricing, I'm more willing to go ahead and take the "best available" route.

Seattle's Russell Wilson certainly falls in that category, as he's putting together an MVP-caliber season thus far. For years, fantasy players have been praying that the Seahawks' coaching staff would unleash Wilson and it looks as though the time has finally come. He's answered the bell, posting 925 passing yards and a league-high 14 TD passes. The onslaught should continue this week, as Russ is set to square off against a Miami Dolphins Defense that is allowing nearly nine yards per attempt (worst in the league) and stands 29th in the NFL in DK points allowed to the QB position. As if things didn't set up well enough for Wilson already, there's also a strong chance that this Seattle offense will be without starting RB Chris Carson.

Josh Allen - BUF @ LV ($7,300)

I start work on this column fairly early in the week, so it's tough to get an ultra-accurate handle on where ownership will shake out (check the Saturday Updates section), but as I write this, Josh Allen is currently projected at around 6-8% ownership. If this holds, we're looking at a true leverage spot with the Bills QB.

Maybe folks are reluctant to roster Allen against a Raiders defense that just held Cam Newton to 12.2 DK points in Week 3? Maybe many just aren't ready to trust Allen? Whatever the case may be, I'm ready to jump on a less-than-10% owned Josh Allen that is averaging 35.6 DK points through three games. Make no mistake, this isn't a terrific matchup against a Raiders defense that has only allowed three passing TDs in their first three games. However, I'm willing to "bet on talent and usage" with Allen in this spot. He ranks inside the top-six in the NFL in passing attempts, completion %, yards, yards per attempt, and QB rushing attempts.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: As for the QB's in the original writeup, Russ will be extremely popular, while Allen's ownership is still trending at less than 10% :). This week presents the most viable QB options that we've seen on a slate this season. I feel that both Lamar Jackson ($8.1k) and Patrick Mahomes ($7.4k) go without saying. Also above $7k, Dak Prescott ($7.2k) is right in the mix with Wilson and Allen as my favorite QB play on the slate, while Kyler Murray ($7.0k) brings a nice floor every week due to his rushing ability. As we dip below $7k, Deshaun Watson ($6.6k) has opened the season with three incredibly tough matchups, but draws a true breakout spot this week against a struggling Vikings Defense. Cincinnati continues to let rookie Joe Burrow ($6.3k) sling the rock...he's second in the NFL in pass attempts (141) and squares off against a Jags defense that's allowing nearly 8.50 yards per attempt. If you need to save salary at QB, Miami's Ryan Fitzpatrick ($5.4k) is far and away my favorite value option on the slate and a unique pivot from Russell Wilson. FitzMagic has went over 25 DK points in his last two outings and faces a Seattle defense that has been slaughtered by the pass this year.

 

DraftKings DFS Running Backs - Week 4 Picks

Alvin Kamara - NO @ DET ($8,000)

As a lifelong Tennessee Vols fan, I'm always willing to die on the Alvin Kamara hill. My guy was obviously playing hurt last year and we saw a dip in his production as a result. This season, AK looks healthy and fresh, which has sent his fantasy numbers skyrocketing.

Kamara is coming off a huge 13-target game against Green Bay in Week 3 and leads the NFL in RB targets at 31, which he's converted into 27 receptions for 285 yards and 3 TDs (all of which are leading the league for the RB position). His role in the pass game was given a boost by the absence of Michael Thomas last week, but even if Thomas returns against Detroit, Kamara will still be heavily targeted in this offense. As for when he carries the ball, he'll be squaring off against a Lions run defense that ranks dead last in the NFL in yards per carry (6.10) allowed to opposing RBs.

Dalvin Cook - MIN @ HOU ($7,600)

Week 3 was a slate in which I wasn't really interested in paying up at RB, but Week 4 is shaping up as a "spend up" kind of slate, as my attention directly goes to the aforementioned Alvin Kamara and Minnesota's Dalvin Cook.

Cook wasn't bad through the first two weeks of the season, but last week against the Titans was the first time this year we collectively said, "Ok, this is Dalvin Cook!". He blasted off for 181 yards and a TD on 22 carries against Tennessee, while also snagging two of five targets for 18 yards. Both the rushing attempts and the targets were season highs, and I expect these to become somewhere around the norm as the year progresses. Cook draws a smash matchup against a Texans Defense that has looked completely lost. Houston ranks bottom-five in the NFL in DK points, rushing yards, and yards per carry allowed to the RB position. Minnesota is not a team that will be shy about running the football and we should see Cook get all the work he can handle this week.

Mike Davis - ARI @ CAR ($5,700)

There's only one Christian McCaffrey, but Mike Davis turned in his best CMC impression last week. In McCaffrey's absence, Davis garnered the workhorse role for Carolina, racking up 13 rushing attempts and NINE(!) targets. Of course, Davis didn't produce CMC-like numbers, but his 46 rushing yards, eight catches for 45 yards and a TD totals are nothing to sneeze at. This week he draws a matchup against a Cardinals Defense that is one of just two teams in the league allowing over 10 yards per target to the RB position and should be considered no better than "matchup neutral" on the ground. With Davis' huge workload in the Carolina passing game, he's an intriguing option thanks to DK's full-PPR scoring format.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: Love the three players mentioned in the original writeup - and with Michael Thomas officially OUT for New Orleans, Kamara becomes basically a "set it and forget it" play for me - but there are other solid options available. Everyone is in love with this Dallas passing attack (me too!), though Ezekiel Elliott ($7.8k) has still received 20 or more touches in every game this season. Austin Ekeler's ($7.1k) usage is somewhat solidified as long as Justin Herbert remains the starter, but his matchup against the Bucs is a brutal one. James Robinson ($6.5k) and Clyde Edwards-Helaire ($6.4k) stand out in the mid-$6k range, while Darrell Henderson Jr. ($5.8k) has quietly wrestled away the lead back role from Malcolm Brown in this resurgent Rams offense. If you're going to #ValueTown this week, Myles Gaskin ($5.0k) is coming off a 27-touch game in Week 3 and Ronald Jones II ($4.7) seemingly has a path to meaningful usage with Leonard Fournette ruled OUT for the Bucs.

 

DraftKings DFS Wide Receivers - Week 4 Picks

Will Fuller - MIN @ HOU ($5,900)

As you've probably gathered after reading the QB and RB sections of this week's column, I'm targeting high-priced plays at both positions. As a result, I'll be bargain shopping at WR in Week 4. He is undoubtedly a "boom or bust" type of play (and not one for those of you with a weak stomach), but I'm intrigued with Houston's Will Fuller at $5.9k this week.

I'm the first to admit that it always feels gross when you click Fuller's name, but I'm looking at this as a pure "give myself a shot at huge upside and not worry about the floor" play. When healthy, Fuller is the unquestioned leader of this Texans receiving corps, garnering 15 combined targets in the two games he's been active. He draws a greenlight matchup against a banged-up Minnesota secondary that ranks bottom-five in the league in DK points, receiving yards, TDs, and yards per target allowed to the WR position.

DeVante Parker - SEA @ MIA ($5,700)

For a guy that remembers the "Legion of Boom" days, it feels really weird to say that the Seattle Seahawks are a secondary that we want to target, but that is unquestionably the case. The Seahawks are HEMORRHAGING production to the WR position...ranking dead last in the NFL against the position basically across the board (DK points, receptions, yards, TDs, and yards per target).

After a legitimate breakout season in 2019, Miami's DeVante Parker has been slowed by a hamstring injury a bit to start this year. However, Parker has resumed practicing in full over the last two weeks and has had 10 days to rest after a five-catch, 69-yard outing against the Jags last Thursday. We know there's explosive chemistry between he and Miami QB Ryan Fitzpatrick...and this matchup offers a true breakout spot for Parker.

Hunter Renfrow - BUF @ LV ($4,600)

For some reason, the Raiders have pretty much refused to get Hunter Renfrow consistently involved in this offense. However, due to injuries to basically every starter in the Raiders' receiving corps, Renfrow was pushed into duty last week against New England. He responded (as he always does) by catching six of nine targets for 84 yards and a TD (and was called down on the 1 on another). We can debate Renfrow's athletic ability...but the dude can play football and we're assuming that he'll receive a high workload if all the Raiders WRs miss this week's game.

He draws a matchup that looks ugly at first glance, but this Buffalo pass defense is far from unbeatable. The Bills rank 26th in the NFL in DK points allowed to the WR position and have been routinely burned by slot receivers, with Cooper Kupp posting a 9/107/1 stat line last week.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: Of course, Will Fuller popped up on the injury report Thursday with a hamstring concern (SHOCKER), but Fuller did practice fully Friday and remains an intriguing GPP target for those that wake up Sunday morning feeling dangerous. If you want to pivot from Fuller while still targeting this matchup against Minnesota, Brandin Cooks ($4.5k) is a "boom or bust" value option. DeAndre Hopkins ($8.5k) is a game-time decision - though he always seems to play through injury - while Michael Thomas ($7.6k) has officially been ruled OUT. Thomas' absence strengthens the case for Alvin Kamara at RB and brings Emmanuel Sanders ($4.8k) squarely into consideration as a value WR...while the injury-ridden Saints will also be without both of their starting CBs, which opens the door for a player like Kenny Golladay ($6.0k). A similar situation in Tampa Bay, as Chris Godwin ($6.5k) has been officially ruled OUT, clearing a path to volume for Mike Evans ($6.4k), though the matchup against a tough Chargers secondary is less-than-optimal...on the other side of that game, Keenan Allen ($6.5k) is also in a tough matchup, but continues to be peppered with targets (a ridiculous 29 targets in Herbert's two starts!). The dynamic duo of Tyler Lockett ($7.0k) and D.K. Metcalf ($6.8k) are both strong (but popular) options in this fully-clicking Seahawks passing attack. The same can be said for the Dallas receiving corps, as Amari Cooper ($6.7k), Michael Gallup ($6.2k), and CeeDee Lamb ($5.4k) deserve serious consideration, while Odell Beckham Jr. ($5.8k) is an interesting way to bring back Cowboys stacks. The Bengals' pass-happy nature brings both Tyler Boyd ($6.1k) and Tee Higgins ($4.5k) into play as unique options.

 

DraftKings DFS Tight Ends - Week 4 Picks

T.J. Hockenson - NO @ DET ($4,800)

The frustration that usually comes with rostering T.J. Hockenson is directly tied to Matthew Stafford's stubborn refusal to look his way. Hockenson finally received some volume in Week 3, as he was targeted seven times against the Cardinals. Hopefully, he'll receive a similar workload this week against a Saints Defense that has struggled mightily against opposing TEs. New Orleans ranks last in the NFL in DK points allowed to the position and has allowed the most catches, yards, and TDs in the league to TEs.

Evan Engram - NYG @ LAR ($4,400)

Remember when Evan Engram was good? Yeah, I know...it's been awhile. It seemed as though Engram was on the path to stardom there for a minute, but the Giants athletic TE has been continuously besieged with injuries over the last couple of years. He's actually been healthy this season and just hasn't been able to produce. It's not for lack of volume, as Engram has been targeted 20 times through three games. With explosive options basically nill at the low-end of the TE salary scale, I'm willing to gamble that Engram finally capitalizes on his opportunities against a Rams Defense that allowed three TDs to Bill tight ends last week.

SATURDAY UPDATE: Once again, the TE position is pretty gross this week. Despite his boom/bust nature, Mark Andrews ($6.0k) stands out as my favorite spend-up option against a Washington defense that's 27th in the league in DK points allowed to the position. Miami's Mike Gesicki ($5.1k) is a "tight end" in name only and is running pass routes on 96% of the snaps he plays. In a Dallas offense that everyone wants to target, Dalton Schultz ($4.3k) presents a contrarian way to get exposure to the 'Boys. Logan Thomas ($3.5k) continues to under-produce relative to his volume, but at this price tag it's tough to ignore a TE that trails only Travis Kelce and Darren Waller in total targets.



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NFL DFS Preview Show - DraftKings Lineup Picks for Week 4

Join Chase Holden (@GarageGuyChase), and Drew Deen (@ChefBoiRDeen) as they provide you with fresh NFL DFS analysis in their week 4 NFL DFS Preview Show presented by RotoBaller.

Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well!

Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210, XM 87) - every weekday morning between 6-7 AM ET, and every weekend morning as well from 6-8 AM ET. You can also find new weekly shows on the site under RotoBaller Radio podcasts.

 

Who To Target in Week 4 NFL DFS

Garage Guy Chase and Chef BoiRDeen discuss some of their favorite Quarterback, Wide Receiver, Running Back, and Tight End NFL DFS lineup picks on DraftKings for Week 4 of the NFL season.

Be sure to also check out all of our other weekly NFL DFS Articles and analysis to help you set your optimal DFS lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. 

Thanks for listening to today's episode! Be sure to tune in throughout the week, and to also follow RotoBaller on Twitter, YouTube, and iTunes for the latest fantasy news and analysis.

For any and all fantasy NFL questions, find Chase and Drew on Twitter (@GarageGuyChase, @ChefBoiRDeen) and subscribe to the Garage Guys Fantasy Sports YouTube Channel for more NASCAR and NFL Fantasy Football talk.

As always, for the best in fantasy sports entertainment be sure to check out the latest Garage Guys Fantasy Sports Podcast episode on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, and Spotify.

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Break The Slate: DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Picks - Week 3

Hi there, RotoBallers, and welcome back to Break The Slate! If you read this article regularly, then you know what we're about here, but if you are a new reader, let me quickly summarize our goals with this article. We'll spend each week discussing a few plays at each position for the DraftKings main slate that can add tournament-winning upside and/or juicy value to our NFL DFS rosters. I'll highlight my favorite players and breakdown my reasoning behind them.

I try to update the article on Saturdays to reflect any significant injuries or late-breaking news, as the landscape of the slate can change quickly in the NFL, and I definitely recommend you checking those out. After a sluggish start in Week 1, we came out firing in Week 2, with Aaron Jones and Dak Prescott leading the way for this article! Remember, the NFL is ever-evolving from week to week, which gives us an opportunity to apply what we've learned on the next slate.

These DraftKings lineup recommendations are based on matchups, projected ownership, overall upside/talent levels, opportunity, and other factors such as Vegas odds, home-field advantage, and more. There are quite a few great plays available, so read on to find out which players are the best for Week 3. Be sure to also check out our weekly FanDuel DFS lineup picks and lots of other great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win big! Good luck with your DraftKings DFS lineups, let's Break The Slate together!

 

DraftKings DFS Quarterbacks - Week 3 Picks

Russell WilsonDak Prescott - DAL @ SEA ($7,300 & $7,200)

The clear top-two QB options on the Week 3 slate for me, I'm listing Russ and Dak together here since they are playing each other and are only separated by $100 in salary. If you read this article last week, you know we were zeroed in on Prescott against the Atlanta Falcons and I'm willing to go right back to the well on the Cowboys signal caller against a Seattle defense that trails only Atlanta in DK points relinquished to the QB position, is dead last in the league in points allowed to wide receivers, and just lost two defensive starters last week.

On the other side of this matchup, Russell Wilson sure looks like an MVP candidate through two games. Rather it be by choice or circumstance, Seattle has #LetRussCook so far, and Wilson is averaging 34.6 DK points per game as a result. He draws a Dallas defense that is fresh off a baptizing at the hands of Matt Ryan. This game carries an O/U of 56 - the highest projected total on the Main Slate - and is one we should heavily target this week.

Mitchell Trubisky - CHI @ ATL ($5,700)

I'm not under the illusion that Mitch Trubisky is good at football, but his shortcomings aside, this is a spot that warrants consideration. Despite his overall failures as a franchise quarterback, Trubisky has posted some slate-winning fantasy scores in his career and has exceeded 30 DK points five times since 2018. So while he's definitely a boom/bust option, the potential for a big game is there.

Obviously, we're not targeting Trubisky simply on his own merit. We're looking his way because of his dream matchup against the Atlanta Falcons, a defense that has allowed just over 78 DK points to the QB position through two weeks...the most in the NFL. The Falcons rebuilt secondary has been a complete bust to this point, as the trio of Isaiah Oliver, A.J. Terrell, and Darqueze Dennard has struggled mightily.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: Outside of Wilson and Prescott, the two QBs that really stick out for me are Kyler Murray ($6.8k) and Cam Newton ($6.7k). I don't see myself getting too cute at the QB position this week.

 

DraftKings DFS Running Backs - Week 3 Picks

Miles Sanders - CIN @ PHI ($6,400)

After missing Week 1 with a hamstring injury, there was plenty of uncertainty surrounding what type of workload Miles Sanders would see in Week 2. Any concerns were quickly put to bed, as Sanders stepped right into the workhorse role for the Eagles by playing 77% of their offensive snaps, carrying the ball 20 times for 95 yards and a TD, while also catching three of seven targets for 36 yards. As a result of this strong 2020 debut, Sanders' DK price has jumped a whopping...$400?!?

In addition to his utterly reasonable price tag, Sanders draws a juicy matchup against a Bengals Defense that has allowed the most rushing yards in the NFL through two games. Cincy ranks 30th in the league in both DK points allowed (76.50) and yards per carry (5.51) to the RB position. Despite Philly's struggles to open the season, this sets up as a true smash spot for Miles Sanders.

Kenyan Drake - DET @ ARI ($6,000)

After years stuck in the purgatory that is the Miami Dolphins backfield, Kenyan Drake was finally set free last season following a trade to the Arizona Cardinals. He was a revelation for the Cards, rushing for 643 yards and eight TDs over the final eight games of the season. Drake has been slightly underwhelming through two games this year - and his reasonable DK price tag reflects that -but he heads into a true breakout spot against the Detroit Lions in Week 3.

We highlighted this matchup for Aaron Jones last week and you know what happened. I'll continue targeting this soft Lions run D for the foreseeable future, as they are bleeding yards to opposing backs. Detroit ranks dead last in the league in yards allowed per carry to the RB position (6.92) and stands 31st in total rushing yards allowed. Drake should also have some positive TD regression coming his way, as Kyler Murray has ran for three TDs through two weeks.

Jeff Wilson Jr. - SF @ NYG ($4,000)

I don't know that Jeff Wilson Jr. is a true "slate breaker", but he's an interesting salary saver this week. Wilson has been buried on the Niners unbelievably-deep and ever-rotating RB depth chart, but will be forced into duty this week due to injuries to both Raheem Mostert and Tevin Coleman.

Jerick McKinnon has looked explosive for San Fran as he works his way back from injury, but he's posted solid stat lines thanks to EXTREME efficiency, having garnered only six carries and six targets through two games. Will McKinnon see an increased workload this week? Probably - though I think San Fran will exercise caution with him on this MetLife field turf - but I look for Wilson to get more run than most expect and wouldn't be surprised to see him with 10-12 touches including work at the goal line.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: This week's writeup didn't touch on the "higher end" RBs on the slate, and while I think Miles Sanders is the "best" play at the position in a vacuum, he'll be extremely popular. That puts players like Ezekiel Elliott ($8.3k), Derrick Henry ($7.8k), and Dalvin Cook ($7.6k) in the unique position of being sort of "quasi-pivot plays" with obvious upside. Although we're extremely focused on this Seattle passing attack, Chris Carson ($6.6k) is an interesting player if you want to target that matchup from a different angle. Indy's Jonathan Taylor ($7.0k) shined in the workhorse role last week by garnering 28 touches and we can expect more of the same against the hapless Jets. There are some value options like Devin Singletary ($4.9k) and Antonio Gibson ($4.7k) that stick out as nice salary savers.

 

DraftKings DFS Wide Receivers - Week 3 Picks

DK Metcalf & Tyler Lockett - DAL @ SEA ($6,500 & $6,400)

It's a Seahawks BONANZA! We're running a HUGE special on Seattle receivers this week! Pick your favorite or play BOTH for the low, low price of $12.9k!!!

All jokes aside, I love both DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett in this spot against a Dallas defense that has allowed the sixth-most DK points in the NFL to the WR position. We've already touched on the QBs in this game and the receivers on both sides are also high-upside options. I'm always interested in offenses with concentrated usage and this dynamic duo fits the bill. Of Russell Wilson's 63 pass attempts this season, Metcalf and Lockett have received 30 combined targets.

Diontae Johnson - HOU @ PIT ($5,400)

Volume, volume, volume. It's one of the most important factors in this DFS game that we love and the only thing that's better than volume is cheap volume. That's what I'm seeing in Pittsburgh's Diontae Johnson and his extremely affordable $5.4k price tag. Johnson has received a MASSIVE 23 targets in the Steelers first two games which translates to a 31.5% target share on Big Ben's pass attempts. He's capitalized on the opportunity, racking up 149 yards and a TD on 14 catches en route to an average of 17.0 DK points per game. We'll also want to keep an eye on the injury status of JuJu Smith-Schuster who is listed as "Questionable" at the time of this writing.

CeeDee Lamb - DAL @ SEA ($5,400)

CeeDee Lamb is yet another target from this Dal/Sea clash. The Cowboys were overjoyed when the talented Lamb slid to them in the draft and his impact has been immediate. Playing primarily from the slot, the rookie has been on the field for nearly 83% of Dallas' offensive snaps and has been targeted 15 times through two games. He'll face a Seahawks Defense that ranks dead last in the NFL in both DK points (147.00) and receiving yards (731) allowed to the WR position...and it's not particularly close.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: With Julio Jones ($7.4k) in doubt, both Calvin Ridley ($7.2k) and Russell Gage ($5.1k) should be in serious consideration (I actually like both even if Julio does play). I'll have tons of Amari Cooper ($6.5k), as he's perhaps my favorite WR on the slate. Allen Robinson II ($6.2k) could have a field day against a horrible Falcons secondary. A.J. Green ($6.0k) leads the NFL in total Air Yards and Terry McLaurin ($5.9k) offers nice upside at a mid-range price. With Parris Campbell out, TY Hilton ($5.6k) is the unquestioned top-dog in Indy.

 

DraftKings DFS Tight Ends - Week 3 Picks

Dallas Goedert- CIN @ PHI ($4,900)

We know that Zach Ertz remains a key piece in this Philly offense, but his younger counterpart Dallas Goedert has actually received more targets than Ertz over the Eagles' first two games of the season. Goedert's 17 targets is tied for third-most in the NFL for a tight end. He should continue to see steady work, as rookie WR Jalen Reagor's thumb injury is yet another blow to an already-thin Philly receiving corps.

Logan Thomas - WAS @ CLE ($3,700)

The man that's tied with Dallas Goedert for the third-most TE targets in the league is Washington's Logan Thomas. He's yet to rack up big yardage, but Thomas has snagged eight of his 17 targets this season and carries a 26% target share in this Washington offense. He'll square off against a Cleveland Browns Defense that stands 31st in the NFL in DK points allowed to the TE position and relinquished a combined 11 catches, 87 yards and a TD to Cincinnati Bengals' TEs last week.



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Break The Slate: DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Picks - Week 2

Hi there, RotoBallers, and welcome back to Break The Slate! If you read this article regularly, then you know what we're about here, but if you are a new reader, let me quickly summarize our goals with this article. We'll spend each week discussing a few plays at each position for the DraftKings main slate. I'll highlight my favorite players and breakdown my reasoning behind them.

I try to update the article on Saturdays to reflect any significant injuries or late-breaking news, as the landscape of the slate can change quickly in the NFL. After a sluggish start in Week 1, we're looking to get things firing in Week 2! Remember, the NFL is ever-evolving from week to week, which gives us an opportunity to apply what we've learned on the next slate.

These DraftKings lineup recommendations are based on matchups, projected ownership, overall upside/talent levels, opportunity, and other factors such as Vegas odds, home-field advantage, and more. There are quite a few great plays available, so read on to find out which players are the best for Week 2. Be sure to also check out our weekly FanDuel DFS lineup picks and lots of other great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win big! Good luck with your DraftKings DFS lineups, let's Break The Slate together!

 

DraftKings DFS Quarterbacks - Week 2 Picks

Dak Prescott - ATL @ DAL ($6,800)

Not exactly a spectacular start to the Mike McCarthy era for the Dallas Cowboys, as they went down to the Rams on Sunday Night Football. Despite the loss, I'm still encouraged by Dak Prescott's prospects in Week 2. The matchup is much better than the one he faced last week, as a home game against the Atlanta Falcons - one that carries the highest O/U of the week (52.5) - offers a true breakout spot for Dak and this 'Boys offense.

Atlanta tried to retool their struggling secondary during the offseason, but those changes didn't appear to be an upgrade in Week 1, as Russell Wilson shredded this Falcons unit to the tune of 322 yards and 4 TDs while completing 31 of 35 pass attempts. Wilson's 34.78 DK point total against Atlanta was the most allowed to a QB on the main slate. In addition to the patchwork Atlanta secondary, they are also a fairly stark funnel defense, as they've been efficient at stopping the run over the course of last season and in Week 1 of 2020. They allowed just 2.69 yards per carry to the Seattle rushing attack last week, which should force Dak to the air sooner rather than later. Throw in the fact that Atlanta's offense is more than capable of putting up points on this spotty Dallas defensive unit and we have all the makings of a good old-fashioned shootout.

Josh Allen - BUF @ MIA ($6,700)

Maybe it's just my personal perception, but it feels like Josh Allen continues to be overlooked. Personally, I'm pumped to roster the big Bills QB in Week 2 against a retooling Miami defense. The Dolphins secondary certainly appears to be upgraded this year, but this defensive unit proved unable to stop Cam Newton on the ground last week, as Newton rolled the Dolphins for 75 yards with his legs - the second-most yards rushing allowed to a QB on the Main Slate - and 2 TDs on 15 attempts.

This matchup should be right down Allen's alley, as he once again looked great when running the ball in the opener, notching 57 yards and a TD on 14 attempts. His 14 carries trailed just...Cam Newton's 15 for most by a QB in Week 1. While we can expect Allen to produce some fantasy goodness on the ground due to the juicy nature of this matchup, let me also remind you that his 316 passing yards last week was a career high for a Buffalo offense that appears to be trending in the right direction.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: I feel as though it goes without saying that both Lamar Jackson ($8.2k) and Patrick Mahomes ($7.7k) are always in play (especially on a week with all this unbelievable value spread throughout the slate!). I'll be keeping my QB pool tight with those two, the two QBs mentioned in the original writeup, and Matt Ryan ($6.6k) being the signal callers that I'll turn to on this slate.

 

DraftKings DFS Running Backs - Week 2 Picks

Aaron Jones - DET @ GB ($7,100)

There's some volatility that comes with rostering Aaron Jones, but I like the upside he brings to GPP rosters. That's especially true in this spot against a Detroit run defense that is now without Snacks Harrison and looked soft against the Bears in Week 1. The Lions relinquished a massive 5.25 yards per carry to Chicago rushers, the fourth-most in the NFL last week and now must face a Packers team that's favored by 6.5 points at Lambeau Field.

We know Jones' usage in this Packers offense can be frustrating from a fantasy perspective, but his workload last week is encouraging. He toted the rock 16 times against Minnesota, but perhaps more importantly from a DK scoring perspective, he was targeted six times in the passing game (with four of those coming in the Red Zone).

Jonathan Taylor - MIN @ IND ($5,700)

Nothing groundbreaking here, as Jonathan Taylor will be one of the most popular RBs on this slate. However, not all chalk is created equal and Taylor is a play that we should roster with confidence. Many were excited about the talented rookies prospects in Indy already, but his stock is now undoubtedly through the roof with Marlon Mack's season-ending Achilles injury suffered in Week 1. Taylor will lose some work to Nyheim Hines, but the exciting thing about his debut last week was that he was targeted six times in just over two quarters of action, corralling every one of them for 67 yards and we can expect Colts QB Phillip Rivers to continue peppering his backfield with checkdowns. The matchup against the Vikes sounds worse than it truly is. Minnesota relinquished a massive 4.96 yards per carry to Green Bay backs in Week 1, while also allowing an 81.8% catch rate to Packers running backs in the pass game.

Benny Snell Jr. - DEN @ PIT ($4,500)

This one we'll have to keep an eye on as the week progresses, as Benny Snell's DFS viability is directly tied to James Conner's injury status. Snell stepped into the Steelers backfield due to Conner's absence Monday night and rumbled for 113 yards on 19 carries against the Giants. If Conner is unable to go in Week 2, we can project that Snell would once again step into the workhorse role for Pittsburgh against a Denver Broncos Defense that allowed 116 rushing yards to the RB position in their opener.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: A you will see throughout the Saturday Updates this week, this slate offers perhaps the most "viable value" that I have ever seen! This is true at both the RB and WR positions, so a lot of these guys I'm simply just going to list, because diving into reasoning would basically double the size of this article. First, circling back around to the original write-up, it looks as though James Conner will give it a go, so we can scratch Benny Snell off our list. The top of the RB board is juicy, with Derrick Henry ($7,900) being perhaps my favorite "spend up" option, while both Ezekiel Elliott ($8.2k) and Dalvin Cook ($7.6k) are also in play. Miles Sanders ($6.0k) is returning for the Eagles...he and Kenyan Drake ($5.9k) might be forgotten men as all eyes turn to Jonathan Taylor this week, and are very intriguing contrarian options in GPPs. As we slide down the salary scale two options really stick out, with Ronald Jones II ($5.2k) going from a difficult Week 1 matchup against the Saints to a very easy Week 2 matchup against the Panthers. It's easy to forget about Jones on this star-studded Bucs offense, but he received 20 touches in the season opener, while Leonard Fournette only garnered five carries. At the same price, Melvin Gordon III ($5.2k) draws an extremely difficult matchup against the Steelers, but figures to get tons of work with Phillip Lindsay now officially ruled "Out".

 

DraftKings DFS Wide Receivers - Week 2 Picks

Davante Adams - DET @ GB ($8,100)

Davante Adams is a no-brainer if you're spending up at WR this week. The Packers stud blitzed Minnesota in the opener, posting 14 catches on 17 targets for 156 yards and 2 TDs. Adams' position as Aaron Rodgers' favorite target means that he'll continue to be fed 10+ plus targets per game. In addition to his monster usage percentage, he draws a dream-scenario matchup this week against a Detroit Lions secondary that could be missing all three of their starting CBs. If that indeed happens, Adams would be covered by second-year reserve Amani Oruwariye.

Amari Cooper - ATL @ DAL ($6,300)

We've already touched on some reasons why Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott is a strong play this week and I'm also on board with his top wideout, Amari Cooper. Cooper sticks out to me as grossly underpriced at just $6.3k. He handled himself nicely in a tough matchup against Jalen Ramsey last week, picking up 81 yards on 10 catches. Perhaps more impressive than his final stat line is the fact that he was targeted 14 times. Cooper should once again be Prescott's main target as he draws a juicy matchup against Falcons rookie AJ Terrell, who was shredded by Seattle in Week 1 and allowed six catches for 100 yards and a TD on passes thrown his way in coverage. Lots of factors point to a shootout in this one and Cooper should be a main cog in this Cowboys offense that's projected to score 28.5 points by oddsmakers.

Parris Campbell - MIN @ IND ($4,500)

Many of us were excited about Parris Campbell heading in to last season, but the burner out of Ohio St. suffered through a rookie season that was marred by a seemingly never ending string of injuries. Campbell drew the start in the slot for Indy last week and looked like the receiver that we were pining for in 2019. He was tied with T.Y. Hilton for the team-high in targets with nine, bringing in six catches for 71 yards. He'll square off against a Vikings secondary that allowed a ridiculous 82.40 DK points to the WR position last week - the second-most points allowed to the position in Week 1 - and was routinely torched from the slot position. It's tough to predict if Campbell's usage in the Colts' offense is for real or simply a Week 1 outlier, but he was on the field for nearly 83% of Indy's offensive snaps last week, so we have to love the potential volume that he brings to the table at just $4.5k.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: Ok...the WR position is absolutely nuts this week, with viable plays throughout the salary scale. I'll be heavily targeting the ATL/DAL game here and will look to mix and match combinations of Julio Jones ($7.4k), Calvin Ridley ($6.8k), Cooper, Michael Gallup ($5.6k), Russell Gage ($4.8k), and CeeDee Lamb ($4.7k) in TONS of lineups (the large majority of them will be in stacks with Dak or Matt Ryan) and I really can't emphasize enough what a great game environment this should be, with concentrated usage and explosiveness on both of these offenses. Minnesota's Adam Thielen ($7.2k) is a great way to run back Taylor, Campbell, or TY Hilton ($5.7k) lineups. Not sure what to make of the Tampa Bay injury report, but with Chris Godwin listed as "Doubtful", Mike Evans ($6.4k) screams UNDERPRICED UPSIDE, while Scotty Miller ($4.1) might be Tom Brady's new "favorite". JuJu Smith-Schuster ($6.5k) is a different player with Big Ben at QB and Diontae Johnson ($4.5k) was targeted 10 times (!) on Monday night.  There were some injury concerns around LA's Mike Williams ($4.2k) before the opener, but he looked good (in spite of Tyrod) last week and the Chargers will most likely be playing catch-up against the Chiefs. Tennessee will lean on Derrick Henry this week, but with AJ Brown officially "Out", Corey Davis ($4.0k) will be their top receiver. There are even a couple of viable plays below $4k this week, as injuries should thrust both Quintez Cephus ($3.8k) and Breshad Perriman ($3.8k) into larger roles for the Lions and Jets.

 

DraftKings DFS Tight Ends - Week 2 Picks

Mark Andrews - BAL @ HOU ($6,300)

Mark Andrews picked up right where he left off last season in Week 1 against the Browns. Andrews continued to be ruthlessly efficient, grabbing five of six targets for 58 yards and 2 TDs. With Hayden Hurst off to the Falcons, Andrews solidified atop the Baltimore TE depth chart and was on the field for a more-than-last-year 71% of the Ravens offensive snaps. We would love to see more volume, but we must also consider that the Ravens were in control of the game early and let off the gas as a result. Andrews draws an intriguing matchup this week against the Houston Texans, a defense that yielded a 100% catch rate to the TE position in Week 1 and allowed 50 yards and a TD on six TE targets.

Logan Thomas - WAS @ ARI ($3,600)

I'm personally always looking for an opportunity to pay down at the TE spot and Logan Thomas represents perhaps the best value at the position in Week 2. We had heard murmurs out of the Washington Football Team's training camp that Thomas might surprise this year and he looked good in Week 1, grabbing four of eight targets for 37 yards and a TD. That stat line doesn't blow us away, but the volume is there. Thomas gets a matchup against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 2, a team that was epically-bad against the TE position in 2019 and allowed the most fantasy points to opposing TEs by a wide margin last season.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: With Kenny Golladay out once again, TJ Hockenson ($5.2k) becomes intriguing, though Matt Stafford seems to refuse to throw him the ball. The Chargers offense looked #NotGood in Week 1, but Hunter Henry ($5.1k) was one of the bright spots and appears to be a favorite target of Tyrod Taylor. We know that Zach Ertz is the man in Philly, but Dallas Goedert ($5.0k) actually received more targets than Ertz in Week 1, converting his nine looks into a big 8/101/1 line against Washington. Hayden Hurst ($4.6k) disappointed as a popular play in his Atlanta debut, but you guys know how much I love this ATL/DAL game and he's in a tremendous bounce-back spot this week.



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DraftKings NFL DFS Primetime Slate Picks for Week 1

We have finally arrived at week 1 of the NFL season and we are excited to see the primetime slate back up over on Draftkings. Below, I will go over my favorite plays from this three-game slate. We have some great matchups with some big-time names and I look forward to breaking this down for you!

All of these options are cash game and tournament viable unless I specifically say otherwise. If you have never played NFL DFS, here are a few thoughts that will help you construct your lineups. Stacking has been a staple in DFS for quite some time now and it is important to consider stacking when it comes to building tournament lineups. When playing NFL DFS, there are a lot of things to consider especially the game script and the overall flow of each game.

If you feel that a certain will be behind in the game, that could mean that there will be more passing plays which result in PPR points and yards. If a team is up early, you could anticipate a heavy dose of the running game in the second-half which means the featured running back could see more touches. Best of luck with your lineups and let's get to it!

 

NFL DFS DraftKings Primetime Slate

  • Dallas Cowboys (-134) @ Los Angeles Rams (+125)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (-250) @ New York Giants (+210)
  • Tennessee Titans (-154) vs. Denver Broncos (+140)

 

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Dak Prescott ($6,900 DK) - Dak carries the highest price point out of all of the quarterbacks on this slate but he also has arguably one of the best-receiving trios in the league. In the off-season, the Cowboys added college stud receiver CeeDee Lamb to their receiving room which already had two young receiving stars in Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup. The Rams do have a solid secondary led by Jalen Ramsey but with much of the defense's attention going to Zeke and the ground game, this should allow for Dak and company to take several shots downfield. 

Ben Roethlisberger ($6,400 DK) - Roethlisberger is back for the 2020 season and the Steelers offense as a whole is ready to go. Roethlisberger’s 2019 season was cut short due to an elbow issue but the longtime Steelers QB is ready to show that he is healthy and can still sling it. He is in a very favorable matchup against the Giants as they allowed 30 passing touchdowns in 2019 which was tied for the second-most allowed in the league. 

Jared Goff ($5,600 DK) - While Goff might not carry the highest upside out of all of the quarterbacks on this slate, he is certainly viable for your lineups. He is one of the lower-priced quarterbacks but Goff presents a good floor which could be good for your cash game lineups. In his last five games of the 2019 regular season, Goff averaged 23.3 DK points per game while throwing 11 touchdowns and only four interceptions during that stretch. 

 

NFL DFS Running Backs

James Conner ($6,300 DK) - Mike Tomlin came out and announced that James Conner is the bell-cow back for the Pittsburgh Steelers this season. Conner is a do-it-all kind of back that when healthy, excels in both on the ground and in the passing game. Before Conner was injured last season, he recorded over three catches per game and saw double-digit rushing attempts in his first eight games played. The matchup against New York is favorable as the Giants allowed opposing teams to gain 113 yards per game on the ground last season. 

Derrick Henry ($ 7,500 DK) - Derrick Henry could be one of the best overall plays on the slate. Even with him being priced up at $7,500, he has monster upside in this matchup. The Broncos will be without defensive star Von Miller which hurts both their rushing and passing defense. The Broncos allowed 111 yards per game on the ground while Tennessee while Henry averaged 110 yards per game in 18 games played last season. Tennessee is a run-heavy team and with the game script likely being in Henrys’ favor, he could see more touches as they drain the clock late in the game. 

Ezekiel Elliott ($7,700) - If you are looking to spend up at running back, Zeke could be the way to go. He offers a little bit of salary savings compared to Saquon but has one of the higher ceilings on the slate. Zeke totaled over 1,300 yards and 14 rushing touchdowns in 16 regular-season games last season. Dallas is more improved on offense by adding CeeDee Lamb to their receiving corps which will now force defenses to make the tough choice of stopping Zeke and the ground game or shift the focus to the big-time playmaking ability of the receivers. The Rams struggled defensively against the run last season as they were the 24th ranked defenses against opposing running backs. 

 

NFL DFS Wide Receivers

JuJu Smith-Schuster ($6,400)- With Big Ben back in the saddle at quarterback, JuJu could have a monster game. In the two games last year that they played together, JuJu was targeted 16 times for over 150 receiving yards. In the 2018 season, JuJu set career highs in receptions, yards, and touchdowns so the rapport and chemistry with Roethlisberger is there. The Giants secondary really struggled last year as they allowed the second-most receiving touchdowns in the league (22) and the fifth most receiving yards (2,680) to opposing receivers.

Cooper Kupp ($6,300)- Cooper Kupp must be in good spirits heading into this game Sunday night. He just finalized an extension for three years, $48 million which ensures that Goff will have his favorite pass-catching option for years to come. Kupp had a very strong season last year going for 1,161 receiving yards and hauling in 10 total touchdowns. He was on a hot streak as he closed out the final five games of the season recording a touchdown in every game. The chemistry with Goff is undeniable as he led the team in both receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns in the 1029 season. 

Jerry Jeudy ($4,300)- Jeudy was one of the top receivers in college at Alabama and could be thrust into the spotlight rather quickly come Monday night. The top receiving option for the Broncos, Courtland Sutton, suffered an injury earlier this week and is questionable for the game so this is a situation that is worth monitoring. Knowing this, Jeudy could be one of the bigger beneficiaries in terms of targets and snaps as he would replace Sutton as the top receiving threat for Denver. 

 

NFL DFS Tight Ends

Evan Engram ($4,300) - Engram is coming off of a Lisfranc injury but was a target monster last season for the Giants. In his nine games played last year, Engram saw 68 targets which means he saw an average of 7.5 targets per game. The Giants will lean on Engram with the lack of true receiving weapons on the outside which makes Engram a great play in all formats. 

Jonnu Smith ($4,300) - With Delanie Walker out of the picture, Jonnu Smith could see a larger role in this Titans offense as he assumes the starting tight end job. Last season, Smith averaged 6.5 DK points per game which isn’t stellar but factoring in that the Broncos Defense allowed the fourth-most receiving yards last season to opposing tight ends (974 yards), he could have a nice week 1 game at his price point.

 

NFL DFS Defense/Special Teams

Pittsburgh Steelers ($3,800)- The Steelers had one of the better fantasy defenses all last season. They averaged 11 DK points per game but a lot of those points came from their ability to create turnovers. They were second in the league when it came to interceptions (20) and were the best defense when it came to generating sacks (54).

Tennessee Titans ($3,000)- At $3,000, the Titans look to look to be in a great spot to use from a fantasy standpoint. While they were an average defense in terms of points allowed and yardage, they square off against a Denver offense that struggled in both the ground and passing game. Denver addressed their needs at the receiver position by drafting Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler but Tennessee added a strong defensive presence in Jadaveon Clowney which should help their pass rush. 



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Break The Slate: DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Picks - Week 1

Hi there, RotoBallers, and welcome back to Break The Slate! If you read this article last year then you know what we're about here, but if you are a new reader, let me quickly summarize our goals with this article. We'll spend each week discussing a few plays at each position for the DraftKings main slate. I'll highlight my favorite players and breakdown my reasoning behind them.

I try to update the article on Saturdays to reflect any significant injuries or late-breaking news, as the landscape of the slate can change quickly in the NFL. Let me also say that Week 1 specifically is the most unpredictable week of the NFL season, especially this year, as we've had no preseason games and limited-fashion training camps.

These DraftKings lineup recommendations are based on matchups, projected ownership, overall upside/talent levels, opportunity, and other factors such as Vegas odds, home-field advantage, and more. There are quite a few great plays available, so read on to find out which players are the best for Week 1.Be sure to also check out our weekly FanDuel DFS lineup picks and lots of other great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win big! Good luck with your DraftKings DFS lineups, let's Break The Slate together!

 

DraftKings DFS Quarterbacks - Week 1 Picks

Lamar Jackson - CLE @ BAL ($8,100)

As usual, there are tons of viable QB options this week, but I want to kick things off by touching on the reigning NFL MVP. Lamar Jackson was like a video game come to life last year, finishing the season with over 3,100 passing yards and 1,200 rushing yards, as well as posting 43 total TDs. While it might be tough to replicate the massive output from last year, we have to believe the Ravens will give Jackson every opportunity to succeed, as Coach John Harbough has fully committed to his unique QB and OC Greg Roman's aggressive offensive scheme.

While I'm often content to pay down at QB and target stacks, the two exceptions to that rule are Jackson and KC's Patrick Mahomes. In this spot, we can grab Jackson against a Cleveland defensive unit that, while talented, is playing under both a new head coach and defensive coordinator with no preseason games to work things out. NFL players are pros and will pick up new schemes fairly quickly, but it wouldn't be at all surprising to see multiple blown assignments against this well-oiled Ravens offensive machine in Week 1 and I expect it to result in some big plays for Jackson.

Cam Newton - MIA @ NE ($6,100)

I'm gonna kinda talk out of both sides of my mouth here at the QB position, as one of the reasons that I like the aforementioned Lamar Jackson is due to his matchup against a Browns Defense that is learning a new scheme. Weirdly, my other QB selection is Cam Newton, who is...learning a new scheme.

There are obviously a lot of unknowns when it comes to Cam and his new role in New England. However, we do know that New England possesses one of the brightest offensive coordinators in the NFL in Josh McDaniels, we know that Newton is a former MVP that is undoubtedly talented (when healthy), and we know that this Miami defense - while upgraded during the offseason - allowed the most passing TDs in the league last year (39). So, while there are certainly some question marks here, I like the price vs. upside that Newton offers in GPPs.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: Not much to add here, as most of my main builds will consist mainly of the two QBs highlighted in the original write-up. There are, of course, other solid options on this slate, with both QBs in the Seattle (Russell Wilson - $7.0k) vs Atlanta (Matt Ryan - $6.7k) matchup sticking out. A couple of players in less-than-great matchups, but that still have upside, are the often-overlooked duo of Josh Allen ($6.5k) and Matt Stafford ($6.2k).

 

DraftKings DFS Running Backs - Week 1 Picks

Christian McCaffrey - LV @ CAR ($10,000)

CMC is such an obvious target that I started to not even take up any article space with him, but I will touch on him briefly just because he is such a key player on this slate. The price tag is MASSIVE and that's really the only downside to McCaffrey in this spot, as rostering him will require some sacrifices throughout the rest of your lineup. Carolina brought in a new coaching staff and QB, but we shouldn't expect CMC's role to change dramatically, as this Panthers offense will continue to run through him. Volume is gold in NFL DFS and McCaffrey is the king. If you can fit him in, play him.

Austin Ekeler - LAC @ CIN ($7,000)

Ekeler shined in the absence of Melvin Gordon at the start of last season and still posted some very strong fantasy games even after Gordon returned. With the disgruntled Gordon now in Denver, the door has been opened for Ekeler's volume to once again increase. While I don't expect him to become a traditional "workhorse" type of back that gets 20+ carries a game, I believe the elevated groundwork in combination with his prominent role in the passing game (with Tyrod The Checkdown God now at QB) should put him in line for 20-ish touches per game. He draws a matchup against a Bengals Defense that struggled last year and allowed the second-most yards per target in the NFL to opposing RBs in 2019.

Joe Mixon - LAC @ CIN ($6,700)

We touched on Austin Ekeler above, but I also like the RB on the other side of this game, as Joe Mixon slowly morphed into a true workhorse as last season progressed. All eyes will be on Cincy's top draft pick Joe Burrow, but Bengals HC Zac Taylor really wants to use Mixon in a similar fashion to how he utilized Todd Gurley while with the Rams, and Mixon's usage reflected that during the latter portion of last season, as he averaged nearly 24 touches per game during the back half of the year. While the Chargers Defense is rugged overall, they allowed 4.29 YPC to opposing RBs last season. The bigger concern here is the pace at which the Chargers want to play (molasses-like), but Mixon's talent and usage will give him a great chance to post a DK-friendly score.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: Lots of great options at RB this week, with the big decision obviously being CMC and his massive price tag. If you can't get McCaffrey in, Minnesota's Dalvin Cook ($7.9k) is a juicy "consolation prize" and is one of the league's last true workhorse backs, while the back on the other side of the GB/MIN matchup, Aaron Jones ($6.9k), also brings tons of explosive upside to the table. Raiders second-year RB Josh Jacobs ($6.8k) should see plenty of ground work in a nice matchup against Carolina, though his lack of receiving work last season is a bit concerning with DK scoring...the same can be said for Seahawks lead back Chris Carson ($6.2k). Not a lot of discount options to love at the position, but Sony Michel ($4.6k), James Robinson ($4.0k), and Antonio Gibson ($4.0k) stick out as viable deep dive plays.

DraftKings DFS Wide Receivers - Week 1 Picks

Chris Godwin - TB @ NO ($7,100)

While I certainly view Tom Brady as an overall upgrade for the TB Bucs at the QB position, I don't know if that's the case when it comes to the fantasy production of receivers Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, as Jameis Winston - while undoubtedly mistake-prone - was a capable passer and very aggressive downfield.

All that said, Godwin is on my radar this week in large part due to the current injury status of Mike Evans. Evans missed time down the stretch last season with a hamstring injury and is basically being referred to as a "Game Time Decision" for the season opener against the Saints. It's a situation I'll closely monitor, as Evans' absence would vault Godwin into "must play" territory.

D.K. Metcalf - SEA @ ATL ($5,800)

A common theme you'll see in this article throughout the season is my strategy when it comes to the WR position. I view it as a very volatile position, so I'm often unwilling to pay up for big-time WRs (of course there are always exceptions in DFS). When you combine this mindset with my tendency to spend up for volume at the RB position, we'll often be targeting players that can be labeled as "boom or bust" at the WR spot.

Seattle's second-year wideout D.K. Metcalf is a great example of that strategy this week, as the Seahawks offensive philosophy of establishing the run (puke) can often limit his output, but his talent - coupled with Russell Wilson's ability - makes it possible to outperform his reasonable $5,800 price tag. In addition to his freakish athletic ability, he also gets a juicy matchup (in a dome) against an Atlanta secondary that lost their best cover man in Desmond Trufant and allowed the second-most yards per target in the NFL last year. Metcalf finished last season with a healthy aDOT of 13.0 and is an explosive deep threat in a matchup that could evolve into a shootout.

Terry McLaurin - PHI @ WAS ($5,600)

McLaurin was one of the breakout stars of Week 1 last year and I'm willing to roll with him again this week. He enters the season as Washington's unquestioned number-one option (led Washington with a massive 20% target share last season) and has proven himself to be an explosive player that can post splash games for us (1,295 Total Air Yards in 2019). He lit this Philly secondary up last year posting DK scores of 26.5 and 27.0 in their two meetings. The Eagles' big offseason acquisition of Darius Slay does loom large, as the possibility of Slay shadowing McLaurin isn't ideal, but this is truly a "bet on talent, usage, and upside at a reasonable price" type of play that we're willing to gamble on in GPPs.

SATURDAY UPDATE: Mike Evans is listed as "Doubtful", which makes Chris Godwin one of the best options on the board and brings Scotty Miller ($4.0k) and/or Justin Watson ($3.8k) into the value-plays picture. I feel like the upside and floor of both Michael Thomas ($9.0k) and Davante Adams ($7.3k) is obvious and both standout as tremendous plays if you are paying up at WR. Lots of solid mid-range options this week, with Adam Thielen ($6.7), DJ Moore ($6.6k), and Allen Robinson ($6.5k) sticking out from the pack for me. Indy's TY Hilton ($5.8k) jumps out as a tremendous sub-$6k option, while both Marvin Jones Jr. ($5.5k) and DeSean Jackson ($4.9k) should benefit from injuries, but will be chalk city.

 

DraftKings DFS Tight Ends - Week 1 Picks

George Kittle - ARI @ SF ($7,200)

Like Christian McCaffrey at RB, George Kittle looms large over his position. The Niner is the unquestioned top option at TE this week, with the combination of his talent, usage, and a matchup against a Cardinals Defense that was dead last in the NFL against the TE position last year making him very difficult to ignore. The downside here is his huge price tag, though I usually like to "go long or short" at TE, meaning I'll spend all the way up for a smash play or completely punt the position. If you are in a position to fit Kittle into your roster builds don't hesitate to fire him up.

Hayden Hurst - SEA @ ATL ($4,300)

The only team that was worse against TEs than the Arizona Cardinals last season was the Seattle Seahawks, and while Seattle has tried to sure up its secondary during the offseason, I'm still intrigued with new Falcons TE Hayden Hurst in this spot. Hurst is an obviously talented player but dealt with multiple injuries while with the Ravens, which landed him firmly behind Mark Andrews on the depth chart. He gets a chance at a fresh start in an explosive Falcons offense and will be tasked with replacing free-agent loss Austin HooperHooper was a huge fantasy producer for Atlanta last season and we can assume that they will attempt to slip Hurst into the same pass-catching-heavy role in this high-powered offense.

SATURDAY UPDATE: It looks like Mark Andrews ($6.0k) should be in line for more snaps thanks to the departure of Hayden Hurst. Philly's Zach Ertz ($5.8k) is always a target monster, but his volume should be even higher than normal due to the Eagles banged-up receiving corps. Miami's Mike Gesicki ($4.5k) has all the physical tools to be a top-tier TE and his production started to reflect that at the end of last season. He's an intriguing, contrarian option in GPP formats. Lots of us like to punt the TE position and the Jets Chris Herndon ($3.3k) is perhaps our best bet for production at a dirt-cheap price tag, as Sam Darnold loves throwing to tight ends and New York's wide-receiving corps is spotty at best.

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