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NFL DFS Value Picks for DraftKings, FanDuel - Week 6 DFS Cash Games

We have made it to Week 6 of the NFL season, and for now, all 11 games on the main slate are still on track to play this week. There has been a covid scare with the Falcons, so keep an eye on the Falcons and Vikings game, which would take a couple of major plays off the board if it is canceled or postponed.

When looking at the Week 6 slate, there is a lot of value; if you have any questions, do not hesitate to chat it up with me on Twitter @bdentrek. The quarterback position is pretty straightforward if not paying for the top options (and you don't need to this week), which is always nice. There are a few cheaper running back options that are in play for cash, but at this time, as we wait for more news, the wide receiver "cheap" plays are not as obvious as usual. The tight end position has been extremely top-heavy, so pay up in cash for a Jonnu Smith or Mark Andrews, or go down to the value discussed below. This week's cash lineups can be pretty balanced, which will start Sunday with a solid floor and some upside.

This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, when you look at value plays for GPP, you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, pass attempts, targets, or carriers. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 6 of the 2020 NFL season.

 

Week 6 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays

Ryan Fitzpatrick, MIA vs NYJ | DK: $5,900, FD: $7,400

Just another week of cash game values and another week to play FitzmagiThis season, he has been a beacon scoring 25+ DK points 23 or more FD points in four straight games. It goes back even deeper than that for Fitzpatrick, who has been a top-12 scorer in 11 of his last 16 starts for the Dolphins. This week he gets the privilege of facing the Jets at home in Miami. The Jets currently rank 19 in the NFL versus the quarterback over 20 points per game. Fitzpatrick should be one of the top targets at quarterback this week when playing cash games.

Ryan Tannehill, TEN vs HOU | DK: $5,900, FD: $7,300

Tannehill is coming off a solid Tuesday night performance versus the Bills. He heads into Sunday's matchup with the division-rival Texans ready to continue crushing. He has scored at least 16 points in each game this season but has played much better at home as a Titans member. Over his last five home games, he is averaging nearly 28 fantasy points per game, and in his career versus Houston, he is averaging over 21 fantasy points per game. The Texans have played well versus the pass this season, but like most teams facing the Titans, they will likely be more focused on Derrick Henry and the running game. That will open things open for Tannehill in a close game where they have an implied team total of 28.5. It is that simple in cash this week at the quarterback position, play either Fitzmagic or Tannehill.

 

Week 6 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays

David Montgomery, CHI at CAR | DK: $5,800, FD: $5,900

This week it will not get much better when it comes to matchups for Montgomery than facing the Panthers. The Panthers are last in the NFL versus the run allowing over 35 fantasy points per game to the running back position. The Panthers Defense is allowing 112 rushing yards per game and over eight receptions per game. That fits right into Montgomery's wheelhouse as he has had at least 10 carries in every game this season and has had at least six targets in the last two games. The workload will be there for Montgomery as three-point underdogs, and you just can't beat the matchup for your cash lineups this Sunday.

Myles Gaskin, MIA vs NYJ | DK: $5,400 FD: $5,700

Gaskin heads into Sunday's matchup versus the Jets coming off his best game as a professional versus the 49ers. He now has touched the ball 20+ times in two of the last three games, and the game he did not, he still had 13 touches. He has actually had at least 13 touches in all five games this season. That is quite a consistent workload, a workload we look for in cash. He has a matchup versus the Jets where the Dolphins are 9.5 point favorites with a 28.5 point implied team total, meaning he should have plenty of chances to make his presence known. The Jets Defense should help as well, as they are ranked 27 versus running backs this season, allowing 110+ rushing yards per game, six receptions a game, and 30+ fantasy points per game to running backs. Gaskin is a strong play in his own right and is a great pivot off a popular Montgomery in tournaments.

Devonta Freeman, NYG vs WAS | DK: $4,900, FD: $5,600

We were on Freeman as a nice value last week, and there is no reason to look in his direction again this week. Last week we saw the second week where Freeman was the lead back for the Giants as he had 17 carries and caught two passes on three targets, putting up 16+ fantasy points. He now heads into a matchup versus a Washington Football Team that is middle of the pack versus running backs this season. They allow over 103 rushing yards, four receptions, and over 23 fantasy points per week to the running back position. The Giants are 2.5 point home favorites this week, and with a close game in the works, Freeman could see another 15+ carry day and potentially 20+ touches.

 

Week 6 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays

Terry McLaurin, WAS at NYG | DK: $5,700, FD: $6,900

Volume, volume, volume that is what McLaurin brings to the table for your cash game lineups. He brings the kind of volume that should be into the $6K range on DK but is priced a little more appropriately on FD. According to McLaurin's standards, he had a down week, but a lot can be blamed on his quarterback situation as Alex Smith looked very off. He had good chemistry with Kyle Allen before he left with an injury, but he has been practicing this week and will start on Sunday. That's great news for McLaurin, who has been targeted at least seven times in each game this season and goes up against a Giants Defense ranked 21 versus wide receivers this season. Look for McLaurin to return to form, put up a double-digit fantasy week, and bring a strong floor to your cash lineup.

Jamison Crowder, NYJ at MIA | DK: $6,100, FD: $6,600

There are not many that bring more consistent volume every week than McLaurin, but Crowder just may. He has had at least 10 targets in all three games he has played this season, with at least eight catches and 20+ points in each game. He is the main receiving weapon, mainly the only receiving weapon in the Jets offense. He faces a Miami Defense ranked 18 in the NFL versus the pass, and in a game where they are 9.5 point underdogs, Crowder should expect plenty of volumes yet again on his way to another double-digit fantasy point game.

Kenny Golladay, DET at JAX | DK: $6,200, FD: $7,200

Golladay missed the first few weeks of the season, but he has been the wide receiving stud we all expected since he returned. He has been targeted at least seven times in each game and has scored at least 15 fantasy points in each game. That is some serious cash game stability. This week he gets a nice matchup versus the Jaguars Defense, ranked 20 versus wide receivers this season. The Lions are 3.5 point favorites this week and have a massive 29 point implied team total. Expect Golladay to be a factor in that team total and, in doing so, make for a great cash game value.

 

Week 6 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays

Irv Smith Jr., MIN vs ATL | DK: $2,500, FD: $4,300

Going into the season, many analysts were preaching the value of Smith in drafts. Well, it took a couple of weeks, but Irv had a big game on Sunday, bringing in four of his five targets for 64 yards. Those are great numbers for a min-priced tight end. This week he gets one of the best matchups we can ask for when it comes to tight ends. He will be facing the Falcons Defense that is ranked 31 versus the tight end position in 2020. They allow nearly seven catches per game, 1.4 touchdowns per game, and over 18 fantasy points per game to the tight end position. Smith will free up a ton of cash this week and brings some really nice upside to your lineups at the same time.



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GPP DFS Value Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings (Week 6) - Daily Fantasy Football Advice

It's possible that my Week 6 GPP Value Plays have been influenced by Amazon Prime Day which was earlier this week. I didn't buy too much, but I did buy two items that were dramatically reduced. And a quick look at my Week 6 DFS value plays shows options that combined are fine cheaper than my usual suggestions.

As of time of submission, it appears that all games are systems go. There will not be any Covid-19 issues it appears this week (knock knock). So we have that going for us at least. And thank goodness because while I did make a profit last week, it was a very small one. And because Prime Day has come and gone, I need to make some money because the Mrs. and I like to have the holiday shopping at least started before Halloween and we have yet to do so. And I will be putting my money where my mouth is and everyone of the players highlighted below will be in at least one lineup of mine, if not many.

So even if didn't want to help you out, I have my own vested interests in finding week 6 GPP value picks. Here are four at each of the key positions that should put us both in position to make some dough on Sunday!

 

Week 5 Quarterback DFS GPP Value Play

Gardner Minshew II vs Detroit (DraftKings $6400, FanDuel $7200)

I really haven't highlighted Minshew much this year and I need to rectify that. Let's start with something many heard about, but still not enough did. And that was his Bud Light campaign. On the chance you missed it, here it is again.

There are so many great things here. For one, the fact that Minshew seems to care, or at least mockingly care about his fantasy status automatically elevates him above nearly every other quarterback. So rather than focus on all of the other great things about the tweet above, let's just focus on Minshew's chance for success this weekend.

The Lions are a popular pick to score quite a bit this weekend. But if the Lions are going to be scoring a lot of points, might it be possible that the Jaguars will try and keep up? The answer is obviously yes, especially given that the Detroit Lions have allowed the ninth-most passing TDs. Minshew has thrown two or more touchdowns in four of five games this year. In addition to his TD prowess, Minshew is averaging a very respectable 288 passing yards per game. Minshew can sometimes wilt under tough opposition, but the Lions are one of the ten worst teams in preventing fantasy points to the quarterback position.

Now add the two additional layers that Minshew is likely to be low owned and is also very affordable. When it comes to the week 6 GPP DFS values, Gardner you're one of the best around.

 

Week 5 Running Back DFS GPP Value Play

La'Mical Perine vs. Jets (DraftKings $4000, FanDuel $4600)

Perine offers us a nice opportunity at the absolute minimum and second lowest salary on the sites respectively. Obviously when choosing players priced that low, we should keep our expectations in check. But I absolutely love Perine's upside this week. And while I'm not a Gator fan, seeing his college highlights gets me juiced for his possibilities this weekend:

I'm making the presumption that you heard Leveon Bell was released, but that happened after the sites assigned salary, leaving Perine at a rock-bottom cost. But the Dolphins are a pretty ideal matchup. They allowed a TD less than every 16 RB touches. In addition to enabling RBs to find the endzone, Miami has allowed 4.97 yards per carry and 6.81 yards per target.

We know what we're getting with Frank Gore as he continues to be nemesis of Father Time. And unfortunately, Perine will still be playing under Adam Gase. However, that might not be the case for much longer. And whomever the Jets head coach is, even if its Adam Gase, is going to need to determine if Perine is the long term answer. Perine was not given a whole lot of opportunities even when was Bell out. But now that he is officially gone, I do expect the Jets to increase his workload. And at such minimal cost, Im willing to take a chance it's this weekend.

 

Week 5 Wide Receiver DFS GPP Value Play

Darnell Mooney vs Carolina (DraftKings $3000, FanDuel $5000)

I talked about this play in my GPP stacks article earlier this week:

Meanwhile, Mooney has slowly and quietly pushed Anthony Miller out of Bears' WR2 spot. He has seen 19 targets the last three weeks. If Foles can be just a little more accurate, I would not be surprised to see Mooney catch six passes for 60 yards and a touchdown this weekend. That would be the rookie's best professional game yet but my guess is that this is only the beginning.

 

Week 5 Tight End DFS GPP Value Play

Irv Smith Jr. vs Falcons (DraftKings $2500, FanDuel $4300)

When you go this cheap, even a couple of catches for 20 yards earns you a profit. Smith is not even priced within the Top 25 TEs this week! Yet he could easily be a top-20 play at the position this week.

Now in his second season, Smith is starting to flash some of the potential that many believe will lead to a big year next year. He might arrive earlier than expected. If he continues to run passing routes on more than 70 percent of the Vikings pass plays, like he did on Sunday night against Seattle, he'll be a fantasy asset sooner rather than later.

Add in the fact that no defense playing this week is giving up more fantasy points to TEs than Atlanta and this is an incredible buying opportunity. It is the absolute definition of a GPP value play.



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NFL DFS Value Picks for DraftKings, FanDuel - Week 5 DFS Cash Games

We have made it to Week 5 of the NFL season, and it is another bumpy week. We are still waiting on a lot of news. Some games may be postponed, injury news, and more. Stay tuned to RotoBaller as they will update you with all the news you need, but we will get this cash game party started for now. We have 12 games for now, and we only have seven-game lines set from the oddsmakers due to so many question marks. We will attack this slate with the information we know and be prepared to pivot when needed.

When looking at the Week 5 slate, there is a lot of value, but the question is, "is it the good value?" Some of the names discussed below will make you plug your nose, but they fall in the value line from a cash game perspective. They have the floor they bring to the lineup, and they allow one to spend up a lot on major players for the week. More value plays than just the ones below, so make sure to ask all the questions you have this week. If you have any questions, do not hesitate to chat it up with me on Twitter @bdentrek.

This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, when you look at value plays for GPP, you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, pass attempts, targets, or carriers. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 5 of the 2020 NFL season.

 

Week 5 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays

Teddy Bridgewater, CAR at ATL | DK: $5,900, FD: $7,100

Teddy B is coming off a monster Week 4 game where he had three touchdowns and put up over 27 fantasy points. This week he has an even better matchup versus the Falcons. The Falcons rank last in the NFL versus quarterbacks, allowing nearly 354 passing yards per game, over three passing touchdowns, for over 35 fantasy points per game. Teddy brings a strong floor into the game and averaging around 17.5 fantasy points per game and now has this matchup vs the Falcons with an implied team total of 26. It should be a back and forth game in the dome, and Teddy should get his along the way, making for strong cash value if not paying up for the "big boys" this week.

Kyle Allen, WAS vs LAR | DK: $4,100, FD: $6,000

Most will think I am crazy for recommending Allen, but this is strictly a price-point play. Do we not remember when Allen played last year in the same price range? He was a cash game lock and flourished. We discuss floor in cash and a starting quarterback who will be playing from behind and throwing a lot brings that floor you are looking for at an insanely low price for a quarterback. The Rams are middle of the pack versus quarterbacks and are allowing nearly 20 fantasy points per game. Even in the Football Teams losses, Haskins has been throwing a ton; he has just been very inaccurate. Look for Allen to check down a lot to Antonio Gibson, make better passes to Logan Thomas, and continue to feed Terry McLaurin. It is not a sexy play, but the volume will be there, and 15+ points are very attainable at a nearly free price point for cash.

 

Week 5 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays

Mike Davis, CAR at ATL | DK: $6,400, FD: $6,800

Davis continues to eat in the Panthers offense as the new "CMC." He has scored 20+ points in back-to-back games and should flourish again this week versus the Falcons. The Falcons offense is ranked 22 on the season versus running backs and allows 8.5 receptions per game on the season. That screams Davis production. He has received six or more targets in all three of his starts and has brought in at least five. Last week was his lowest week as he had eight catches in each of his previous two games. He has 21 touches in back-to-back games as well, and that should not change this week. The volume and game flow will be largely in Davis's favor, and he should be a major cash play this week.

Antonio Gibson, WAS vs LAR | DK: $5,000 FD: $5,800

We have seen Gibson's workload increase over the last couple of weeks, and it appears the time is now for Gibson to explode. He has put up double-digit fantasy points in three straight weeks, including 20+ points last week. He had 17 touches last week, and there is no reason he should not be inline for 15+ touches again this week. The Football Team will be playing from behind, and Allen loves checking down to his running backs. Last week Gibson had five targets, and he should surpass that against a Rams team that allows over five receptions per game to the opposing running backs. This could be the Gibson breakout game, especially in PPR formats, so enjoy the $5000 price tag.

Devonta Freeman, NYG at DAL | DK: $4,600, FD: $5,500

After Freeman's first full week of practice, we saw him insert himself as the lead back in the Giants offense. His snap count increased from 15 in Week 3 to 37 in Week 4. He saw 15 total touches, which could definitely increase going into a potentially high scoring affair on Sunday. The idea of a strong cash game floor is volume or touches, and if you can get a running back at Freeman's price with 15+ touches, it's hard to ignore that. The Cowboys are allowing over 130 rushing yards a game and over 24 fantasy points per game on the season. The Giants are nine-point underdogs with a team total near 23, so they should be playing a lot of catchups, leading to more dump-offs. Freeman had four catches on four targets last week, and an increase there could lead to cash game gold.

 

Week 5 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays

Tee Higgins, CIN at BAL | DK: $4,900, FD: $5,400

The Bengals head into a very tough matchup with the Ravens on Sunday, and many will think targeting players in this game is a bad idea. Well, they are incorrect. The Bengals' beauty is they are throwing well over 40 times a game and now will be in a game as 13 point underdogs and will be throwing a ton to try and keep up. Higgins has been a benefactor to the Bengals' game flow model in recent weeks, yet his price tag still brings great value. He has been targeted at least six times in the three games he has played in this season. He is averaging four catches and 50 yards receiving on the season and has scored double-digit fantasy points in back-to-back weeks. He has surpassed AJ Green as Joe Burrow's second wide receiving option and should be in for a heavy workload again this weekend.

Zach Pascal, IND at CLE | DK: $4,600, FD: $5,300

Pascal has slowly seen his workload increase in recent weeks, and with Paris Campbell out of the way, he should continue to be more productive. Last week he saw eight targets, only three resulting in catches, but was that close to a big game. Now he heads into a matchup versus the very suspect passing defense of the Browns. The Cowboys, Ravens, Bengals have torched the rank 30th in the NFL in pass defense and, and even Dwayne Haskins did not look horrible. The Colts have a team total near 24, and they should be able to score relatively easy on Sunday; Pascal will have a major impact on their success.

Olamide Zaccheaus, ATL vs CAR | DK: $3,000, FD: $4,800

Zaccheaus is strictly in play IF Julio Jones is out on Sunday. Two weeks ago, with a banged-up receiving core, we saw Zaccheaus collect four catches on six targets, but last week with Julio out, he really was productive with eight catches on nine targets. The Falcons will be hosting the Panthers on Sunday in a game that should be a shootout. Jones and Ridley are both banged up, and if one misses Sunday's game, Zaccheaus becomes a free square for all your cash game and even GPP lineups.

 

Week 5 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays

Evan Engram, NYG at DAL | DK: $4,600, FD: $5,500

In recent weeks, we have seen that going bargain hunting for a tight end is not as fruitful as it used to be. For that reason, we will spend up a little more than usual and grab the tight end in a game with one of the highest team totals on the slate. Engram has five or more targets in all four games this season, including seven or more in three of four. He is coming off a 10 target game where he caught six for only 35 yards. If he busts one or finds the end zone, we are groovy. He faces a Cowboys Defense this weekend that has been atrocious versus the passing game and ranks 26 versus tight ends. They allow six and a half catches a game to tight ends and over 18 fantasy points per game. Daniel Jones should be looking Engram's way a lot, making for strong cash gameplay.

Eric Ebron, PIT vs PHI | DK: $4,000, FD: $5,100

If you would like to save a little from Engram, then Ebron is your man. He is coming off back to back games where he saw at least five targets. He will be facing a Philadelphia Defense that has been torched by opposing tight ends this season. The Eagles D is ranked 30 versus the tight end allowing six and a half catches, over one touchdown, and over 20 fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends. Ebron will get some nice red-zone chances and could be in line for a strong Sunday in a game the Steelers should dominate.



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GPP DFS Value Plays for FanDuel, DraftKings (Week 5) - Daily Fantasy Football Advice

If you need a reason to read my Week 5 GPP Value Plays look no further than my Week 4 recommendation of Joe Mixon. I'd say he did pretty well last week, right?

Of course, I also recommended Mike Gesicki at tight end, so I'll hold off on the victory lap at this time. Besides, I'm not quite in the mood to bask in glory given that Covid-19 seems to threaten my first and forever love, better known as NFL football, a little more each week. It appears we might still get all the games scheduled for this week in this week, but this slate has shrunk quite a bit since the beginning of the week. And that was in addition to byes starting this week!

Thus once again the need to find GPP value picks becomes critical for Week 5! Here are my week 5 GPP Value plays, picks that should produce but should also be relatively low owned and won't cost you too much salary cap.

 

Week 5 Quarterback DFS GPP Value Play

Jimmy Garoppolo vs Dolphins (DraftKings $5500, FanDuel $6700)

DFS players by nature try to avoid injury risks. And Garoppolo has been quite the injury risk lately. However, the most recent news reports are that he will play this weekend.

Despite starting, Jimmy G should be extremely low owned this weekend. He has admittedly done next to nothing so far this year. And most of his performances last year were also rather pedestrian. However, every now and then he puts up a huge game against a weaker secondary. His two games against Arizona last year are a perfect example. In those two games, he threw for nearly 750 yards combined and eight touchdowns. As mentioned Arizona did not have a very good secondary last year.

But Miami's secondary hasn't exactly been impenetrable this year either. They have given up the seventh-most fantasy points to quarterbacks this year. And San Francisco is getting healthier and healthier. Garoppolo has a full arsenal of weapons at his disposal for the first time since....well, maybe last season's Arizona game! With Garoppolo priced like a WR2 at best, he presents an incredible value this week.

 

Week 5 Running Back DFS GPP Value Play

Chase Edmonds vs.Jets (DraftKings $4700, FanDuel $5900)

A lot of folks are predicting a Kenyan Drake bounce-back this week. And it makes sense. Drake is only 26 years old and has never seen even 200 carries in a single season. After averaging 5.2 yards-per-carry with the Cards last year, his current 3.8 YPC has to improve, right? But maybe Drake really wasn't that good last year and got lucky. In fact, while with Miami last year, he averaged a similar 3.7 YPC. Food for thought, no?

Because Edmonds easily has been the more productive running back. Well, okay, his rushing numbers and Drake's are very close. But Edmonds has seen 17 targets to Drake's five. Even if Drake gets going on the ground, Edmonds should still see plenty of looks. The Jets have given up 27 points or more in all four of their games this year. There will be plenty of opportunities to go around! And with the Jets allowing 30.48 PPR fantasy points to RBs each week, it would not surprise me to see both Edmonds and Drake notch double-digit fantasy points this weekend. And given the $2K in savings on DK in particular and the few hundred on Fan Duel that Edmonds provides over Drake, I'd prefer to take Edmonds.

 

Week 5 Wide Receiver DFS GPP Value Play

Brandon Aiyuk vs Miami (DraftKings $5200, FanDuel $5600)

Perhaps I chose Aiyuk because I wanted an excuse to include this:

Or perhaps I chose Aiyuk because in his last three games he has 16 targets. And he has scored each of his last two games.

Maybe I chose him because I love the thought of pairing him with Jimmy Garoppolo in a mini-stack.

Or could it be because the Dolphins have given up the seventh-most fantasy points to WRs this year?

Admittedly, it might just be that at only $5200/$5600, I love the upside value play that Aiyuk presents. The real truth however is it doesn't make a darn difference why I included Aiyuk here. You are going to want him in your lineup this weekend.

 

Week 5 Tight End DFS GPP Value Play

Ian Thomas vs Falcons (DraftKings $3400, FanDuel $4700)

We are going deep in the hole with this one. Based on his salary, the sites don't even view Thomas as mid-level TE2 this week. However, Thomas is coming off his best game yet this season. He both scored and matched his 2019 high of five targets last week. Yes, now in his third season, we know that Thomas can sometimes disappear.

However, he also has the occasional big game. And we saw what Robert Tonyan did against the decimated Falcons secondary on Monday night, right? I don't think Thomas gets a hat trick of scores like Tonyan did. But against Atlanta who has given up the most TE fantasy points this year, he should be able to at least get one.



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Week 4 DFS GPP Value Plays - FanDuel, DraftKings Daily Fantasy Football

The Week 4 slate on Draftkings and FanDuel is going to be missing quite a few studs! We began the slate with none of the Green Bay or Atlanta studs because they play on Monday Night. We then had the already old news that none of the Titans or Steelers will be available. And then just in the last 24 hours, we found out that a number of other studs won't be playing either like Michael Thomas.

It just means that the need to find value picks becomes even more important in Week 4!

Here are my week 4 GPP Value plays, picks that should produce but should also be relatively low owned and won't cost you too much salary cap.

 

Week 4 Quarterback DFS GPP Value Play

Deshaun Watson vs.  Vikings (DraftKings $6600, FanDuel $7800)

My suspicion is that many will roster both sides of the SEA/MIA game. Some will pay the premium for Russel Wilson while others will prefer to skimp on the position and hope for a little Fitzmagic. In addition to that game, I think most fill flock to the QB edges this week. Jackson/Mahomes/Josh Allen will see heavy ownership, as will much cheaper players like Mayfield, Burrow, and Stafford. But that leaves us with some very low ownership on some of the mid-salary QB options and that includes Watson.

Watson has not had any big games yet. He also hasn't had any really bad ones either. And that's despite being sacked by Baltimore four times in between KC and Pittsburgh who are both currently in the top ten stingiest defenses when it comes to allowing quarterback fantasy points. The Vikings meanwhile are allowing the third-most yards per pass attempt.

This is the first game this season that the Texans are projected to win, with a team implied total of around 28. I don't always agree with the oddsmakers, but I do see the Texans scoring four touchdowns this week. Watson accounts for at least three of 'em, and at this price, that's the definition of a value play.

 

Week 4 Running Back DFS GPP Value Play

I really wanted to include Devin Singletary here. LVR has been the league-worst at preventing fantasy points to RBs. But I included him here last week. Secondly, I was shocked to see the name under Singletary at $100 cheaper! And that was...

Joe Mixon vs. Jaguars (DraftKings $5800, FanDuel $6800)

This is an absolute eye-opening salary for Mixon, but I get it. Mixon is off to a miserable start and has yet to crack the endzone, 70 rushing yards, 20 carries, or even a moderate 4.0 yard per carry average in a single week this season. Despite being drafted typically near the end of the first round during preseason fantasy drafts, he's been a low-end RB2 at best. And yet, I can't shake this feeling that he suddenly rewards his owners this week.

Yes, the Bengals have one of the worst offensive lines this year, but they weren't particularly good last year either. Yet Mixon still had over 1400 combined yards and eight touchdowns last season. Some of the issues has been a rookie quarterback and game script. However, Joe Burrow is getting better and I think the Bengals can control this game. Jacksonville just got gashed by Myles Gaskin last Thursday and I think we can agree that Mixon is the far more polished running back, right?

We are in the valley of Mixon's salary costs right now. Expect his salary to climb back up the mountain and soon.

 

Week 4 Wide Receiver DFS GPP Value Play

Jarvis Landry at Cowboys (DraftKings $5100, FanDuel $5700)

Earlier this week I detailed all the reasons why I like the Cleveland passing game this week. I continue to feel much the same as I did and it's worth the read. In fact, since then I read that Dallas has the highest opponent's drop rate in the league. This means as bad as they have been, they could have been even worse! However, one thing I would like to reverse my field on is that I am starting to like Jarvis Landry as the non-chalk option behind Beckham over Hooper.

Landry has been toughing it out and is getting healthier each week. But you might want to buy Landry now before that window shuts. Dallas will still be without their top two CBs and have thus really struggled against slot receivers. It started with Cooper Kupp in week 1 who was targeted five times and finished with four catches for forty yards. Things got worse in week 2 when Russell Gage caught six passes for 46 yards and a touchdown. Things really bottomed out last week when Tyler Lockett torched Dallas with nine catches, 100 yards, and three touchdowns.

Just a reminder, Jarvis Landry plays the slot. And one of the issues with Landry this season is that Cleveland has yet to be in a situation where they are forced to pass against a bad secondary. I think we can describe this week's CLE/DAL game as exactly that.

 

Week 4 Tight End DFS GPP Value Play

Mike Gesicki, Dolphins at Seahawks (DraftKings $5100, FanDuel $5700)

Speaking of game script, can we agree that Seattle is going to score quite a few points on Miami this weekend? Let's skip the debate whether it will be Russell Wilson's arm or a strong ground game. The point is Miami is going to need to pass to keep up with Seattle. And we know that it's not the Miami WRs grabbing the attention right now but the running game. However, Gesicki is very quietly off to a fantastic start. He's probably not going to continue his torrid pace to put up double-digit touchdowns, but he should be able to maintain his pace for over 60 catches and nearly 1,000 receiving yards.

Meanwhile, we know the Seattle secondary has been atrocious as well. They are giving up the second-most yards per pass attempt (8.5), somewhat ironically only behind Miami (8.8). Gesicki is averaging over six targets per game so far this year. Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews should see the majority of ownership because we know they will be heavily targeted. Should Gesicki see six passes his way this Sunday, expect a huge game, one that will easily make him a great week 4 GPP value play.

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NFL DFS Value Plays (Cash Games) for Week 4 on FanDuel and DraftKings

We have made it to Week 4 of the NFL season, and we have a 12-game slate on tap. The Titans/Steelers game has been postponed due to COVID, so do not play that game. There are not as many clear cut values at some positions like week's past, but that can obviously change as more injury news is released, so be ready to adjust accordingly. For now, cash games look to be quite balanced, and there is a ton of value for that type of build.

When looking at the running backs and wide receivers on the slate, there are many ways to go. There are some really strong plays to pay up for as usual, but in cash games, there are some strong values in the mid-price ranges that can lead to a strong, balanced cash lineup. We have many high totals to target, and the people in the desert have figured out, we have a lot of scoring this year. There are a few most target games in those high total situations and then some to break down more. If you have any questions, do not hesitate to chat it up with me on Twitter @bdentrek.

This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, when you look at value plays for GPP, you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, pass attempts, targets, or carriers. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 4 of the 2020 NFL season.

 

Week 4 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays

Ryan Fitzpatrick, MIA vs SEA | DK: $5,400, FD: $7,100

Fitzmagic, in a cash lineup, let's go!!!!! The Dolphins head into their Week 4 matchup vs the Seahawks as seven-point underdogs and a game total of nearly 55. There should be points aplenty, and the Dolphins should have to play catchup. In the last two weeks, Fitzpatrick has been the QB5 and QB12, and that would be excellent again this week. He will be facing a Seahawks Defense that is not the Legio of Boom anymore. They have been quite bad. On average this season, they are allowing nearly 440 passing yards per game, two touchdown passes, and over 33 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Coming off back to back 25+ point weeks should not be difficult to duplicate for Fitzpatrick in this great matchup. He should be a cash lock this week.

Joe Burrow, CIN vs JAX | DK: $6,300, FD: $7,400

I guess I will keep writing up Burrow as a cash value as long as he is priced appropriately and throws the ball as much as he has this season. He has brought a great floor into each matchup and has backed that up by scoring at least 17 fantasy points in all three games and 20+ in each of his last two. He will be facing a Jaguars team that has allowed an average of 2.3 passing touchdowns per game this season and 23 fantasy points per game to the opposing quarterback. Burrow is averaging 47 pass attempts per game and is also not afraid to run the ball when he has too. The Bengals are three-point favorites and have an implied team total of 26, so expect Burrow to be quite active yet again.

 

Week 4 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays

James Robinson, JAX at CIN | DK: $6,500, FD: $6,600

Robinson was handed the starting running back reins after Week 1 and has run wild with them. In his two games as the full-time starter, Robinson has put up over 20 fantasy points and is in line for another strong week versus the Bengals. The Bengals Defense allows over 155 rushing yards, over a touchdown per game, and over 28 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs. They rank 25th in the NFL against running backs, and that will not likely change this week. Robinson has the ability to run with the rock but also is a solid pass-catching back. He will be inline for 15+ touches and likely will receive over 20 touches if this game is the back and forth game many expect it to be.

Kenyan Drake, AZ at CAR | DK: $6,000 FD: $7,000

Drake let many down last week in a great spot, but it will be hard to stay away in a matchup vs the Panthers this week. The Panthers allow 115 rushing yards per game this season but, more impressively, are allowing nearly 11 receptions and over two touchdowns per game to runnings backs. They rank 31st in the NFL to start the season vs the running back position allowing over 40 fantasy points per game. It goes back even farther as the Panthers ranked last in the NFL over their last nine games, allowing 2.1 rushing touchdowns per game and 144.1 rushing yards per game. Drake has at least 16 carries in each game and at least 18 touches in each game this season, making for a  hard fade this week vs the Panthers.

Mike Davis, CAR vs AZ | DK: $5,700, FD: $6,300

Davis jumped into the Christian McCaffrey roll last week and did not disappoint, putting up 20+ fantasy points. Now, he heads into his Week 4 matchup vs the Cardinals looking to smash again. He is facing a Cardinals team that ranks 20th to start the season vs running backs allowing 25+ fantasy points per game. Davis has been targeted out of the backfield at least eight times in the last two games and also has five red-zone targets in his last three games. He brings massive upside and a strong floor in a matchup the Panthers should be behind in most of the game.

 

Week 4 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays

Tyler Boyd, CIN vs JAX | DK: $6,100, FD: $6,000

Tyler Boyd rolls into Sunday's shootout flying high as one of Burrow's major receiving targets. Boyd has been targeted at least five times in all three games this season and eight times in the last two games. He has hauled in at least seven catches and scored at least 20 fantasy points in the last two games. The Bengals should be throwing a lot again this week in their matchup vs the Jaguars, and Boyd appears to be the new WR1 for Burrow. Enjoy the strong floor and GPP upside.

DeVante Parker, MIA vs SEA | DK: $5,700, FD: $6,500

Parker will look to eat on Sunday vs the Seahawks. He has five catches in back to back games and has managed double-digit fantasy production in both games. He goes up against a Seahawks defense that ranks last in the NFL to start the season vs the wide receiver position. They were just torched by the Cowboys and could be in line for another tough game Sunday. The Dolphins are not the Cowboys, but Fitzpatrick has no problem slinging it around. The Dolphins are touchdown dogs with a team total of 24. They will be playing catchup most of the game, and Parker should find his way to a ton of targets on Sunday.

Brandin Cooks, HOU vs MIN | DK: $4,500, FD: $5,300

It has been a very up and down start to the season for Cooks, but this may be the week he breaks out. The Texans have had a heck of a start to the season taking on the Chiefs, Ravens, and Steelers. Now they get a much better matchup, at home vs the Vikings. A Vikings Defense that ranks 29th on the season vs wide receivers, allowing nearly two touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers. Even with the slow start, Cooks is receiving almost six targets per game and put up over 14 points in his home matchup vs the Ravens. Cooks and the Texans have a 29 point implied team total and should be in line for many targets and a really strong game at a great value on Sunday.

 

Week 4 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays

Dalton Schultz, DAL vs CLE | DK: $4,300, FD: $4,900

Schultz heads into Sunday's matchup vs the Browns with an extremely strong floor, a strong cash game floor. Since taking over as the Cowboys starter, he has at least six targets in each game with four or more catches in both. He will be facing a Cleveland defense that has been torched by the tight end position and is ranked 29th in the NFL vs the tight end position. Heck, they were torched by Drew Sample. The Bengals are allowing over seven targets and one touchdown per game to the tight end position. The Cowboys have an implied team total nearing 31 and will be scoring aplenty, meaning red-zone targets and many targets in general coming Schultz way on Sunday.

Logan Thomas, WAS vs BAL | DK: $3,500, FD: $4,900

Rinse and repeat. Thomas is a cash game tight end value yet again this week. Sure he has not had the results we would have hoped for, but he is 12th at the TE position in fantasy points, and if you believe in implied stats, he is 5th in implied points at the tight end position. It's a nice way saying he is running bad and/or his quarterback is not helping him at all. He has had the chance with at least seven targets in each game, and that is all we can ask for. He is facing a Ravens Defense tied with the Browns ranking 29th vs the tight end position. They are allowing seven catches and close to a touchdown per game to tight ends this season. The Washington Football Team is a 15 point underdog and will be throwing from behind all game, meaning more and more targets for Thomas. The floor is strong, and he is just one touchdown catch away from being massive cash game value.



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Week 3 DFS GPP Value Plays - FanDuel, DraftKings Daily Fantasy Football

The Week 3 slate on DraftKings and FanDuel is going to be a lot of fun. There is an exponential number of viable strategies this week. You can go with chalky big-name options in the Seahawks-Cowboys tilt.  Or you can go with some of the low-cost alternative stacks I detailed yesterday. Or you can create a line-up of entirely mid-range options. There are more possibilities than even the Onceler's thnead offers!

But unlike the Onceler I know you'll be smart enough to realize that resources are not infinite. Therefore, you need your picks not to just produce, but to produce more than they cost. At the same time, we are talking about GPPs, so you need to find values where others might not be looking.

Here are my week 3 GPP Value plays, one that should produce but should be relatively low owned. Let's start with a player I would not have considered a week ago at this time, but comes with my strong recommendation.

 

Week 3 Quarterback DFS GPP Value Play

Justin Herbert vs. Panthers (DraftKings $5900, FanDuel $7200)

Herbert might seem like an overly aggressive pick this week. However, I watched large chunks of the Chargers/Chiefs game. Herbert's play left me quite impressed. You can watch his composure and playmaking ability for yourself:

Of course, my belief that he looked good is my opinion only. But here's a fact. No one has been as bad as Carolina this year in giving up fantasy points to quarterbacks. And that's understating it. They are not only the worst in the league, but they have also given up 16 more quarterback fantasy points than the next worst team, the Raiders. The gap between the Raiders and the 11th most generous team (Atlanta) is smaller than the gap between the Panthers and the Raiders.

In his first professional start, Herbert completed two-thirds of his passes for 311 yards. I think he does even better in his second.

 

Week 3 Running Back DFS GPP Value Play

Devin Singletary vs. Rams (DraftKings $4900, FanDuel $5900)

Priced outside of the top 25 running backs this week on both sites, Singletary might be my favorite play on the Week 3 slate. We already know Zack Moss has been ruled out for this week. Singletary was already the more effective runner (4.5 YPC to Moss's 2.8) and has consistently out-snapped Moss the last two weeks. And now Singletary will have the backfield without Moss?

Wait, it gets better! The Bills will be hosting the Rams, who have given up the ninth-most fantasy points to running backs. In addition, the game script will likely favor Singletary as well. We know that Sean McVay's offenses can score in a hurry and my guess is that the Bills will try to keep the Rams offense off the field for as long as they can by slowly running the ball. It would not surprise me to see Singletary see 20 carries on Sunday. He doesn't even need to average the 5+ yards a carry he did last year. 90 yards and touchdown will give you plenty of value at his ridiculously low price.

 

Week 3 Wide Receiver DFS GPP Value Play

CeeDee Lamb at Seahawks (DraftKings $4500, FanDuel $5600)

I mentioned previously that this game will be the chalky play. And with an over/under of 57 points on this game, it's no surprise. However, there is no need to spend up for the big names when you get a piece of this game at a fraction of the cost.

Any time you pick a team's WR3, you are taking some risk. Yet Lamb saw nine targets last week, catching six of those for 106 receiving yards. Lamb will be far less owned than at least five or six of the other players from this game and comes with a lower price tag to boot.

 

Week 3 Tight End DFS GPP Value Play

Logan Thomas at Cardinals (DraftKings $3700, FanDuel $4900)

We might need to start charging Thomas rent for this space. Once again I am featuring him here. However, his price on both sites is slowly rising.  And there's a reason his price is rising and it won't stay this low for long. Thomas has 17 targets over the first two weeks and should continue to see passes his way this weekend, especially against the Browns.

Cleveland has been really bad against tight ends this year. They have given up a league-worst 50.6 fantasy points to tight ends so far this year after finishing second-worst last season. With George Kittle out due to injury and both Mark Andrews and Travis Kelce's game not on the main slate, there is zero reason to pay up at tight end in week 3. And no tight end has higher upside value than Thomas on Sunday.

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NFL DFS Value Plays (Cash Games) for Week 3 on FanDuel and DraftKings

We are two weeks into the season and oh what a Week 2 it was around the NFL. Injuries galore were the name of the game and that means there will be a lot of backups having to step up this week. Many will run to those "new starters" as value plays, but not all will be as great as most will hope. Sometimes the old saying of the stick with what was working holds true, even in DFS. We will look to target some of the "new starters", but I will be looking for the discounts of players we know and can trust while sprinkling in some of the "new starters".

When looking at the running backs and wide receivers on the slate, there are a lot of ways to go. There are some really strong plays to pay up for as usual, but in cash games, there are some strong values in the mid-price ranges that can lead to a strong, balanced cash lineup. There are a few games that really stand out to target once again while sprinkling in some other values. This article will point you in the direction of some of the values that will allow you to pay up for some of the better commodities. If you have any questions do not hesitate to chat it up with me on Twitter @bdentrek.

This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets, or carries. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 3 of the 2020 NFL season.

 

Week 3 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays

Joe Burrow, CIN at PHI | DK: $6,200, FD: $7,400

Burrow rolls into Philadelphia in Week 3 coming off of two monster performances to start his NFL career. The Bengals are 4.5 point underdogs with a game total of 46.5. There should be points aplenty and Burrow should be a major part of the scoring. He is averaging 48.5 pass attempts per game in his first two games while also averaging 7.5 rush attempts per game. He will be facing an Eagles Defense that has allowed two passing touchdowns per game so far this season and close to 19 points per game on average. Burrow will walk into Sunday with a strong workload which should lead to a solid floor with more upside if he can sneak in an extra touchdown pass or two.

Mitchell Trubisky, CHI @ ATL | DK: $5,700, FD: $7,500

Trubisky has been doing Trubisky things to start the season. He had a really strong Week 1 and then let most down in Week 2. You never really know what Trubisky we will get from week to week. What we do know is Trubisky faces one of the best offensive matchups in football this week in facing the Falcons in Atlanta. On the season the Falcons are allowing 386 passing yards per game, 2.5 touchdown passes per game, and nearly 40 fantasy points per game to the opposing quarterbacks. Over their last nine games, they are allowing nearly 275 passing yards per game as well. Mitchell will be able to run at times, dump off to the running backs and find some wide-open receivers on his way to a big fantasy week. Some may say he is risky for cash, but his price point and floor tell a different story.

 

Week 3 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays

Chris Carson, SEA vs DAL | DK: $6,600, FD: $7,700

There are some cheaper running backs this week that many will run to, but Carson and Sanders are two in the mid-priced range that makes for extremely strong cash plays. Carson heads into Week 3 coming off back to back 20+ point fantasy performances and takes on a Cowboys team who is allowing well over 20 fantasy points per game to running backs this season. The SEA/DAL game has the highest total of the week at 56.5 and in Carson's last 6 high scoring games he is averaging 22 fantasy points per game. Carson is more valuable in the DK PPR format but still brings a major upside to FD. Lock him into your cash games this week.

Miles Sanders, PHI vs CIN | DK: $6,400 FD: $7,400

After missing Week 1, Sanders returned in Week 2 and re-established himself as the lead back in Philadelphia. He carried the ball 20 times while catching three passes on seven targets. He will bring another strong floor of 20+ touches into Sunday's matchup vs the Bengals. So far on the season, the Bengals are allowing nearly 180 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns per game to running backs. Sanders will be the focal point of the Eagles offense once again and is everything you want in a cash game running back.

Mike Davis, CAR at LAC | DK: $5,100, FD: $6,000

Davis will be a very popular target this week and rightfully so as the Panthers should be playing from behind all game as they are 6.5 point underdogs to the Chargers. Davis stepped in for the injured Christian McCaffrey last weekend and caught eight passes on his way to over 15 fantasy points. The dump-offs should be there all Sunday for the Panthers so Davis should be in line for another solid Sunday. He is mainly in play on DK for the PPR upside, but still a strong price on FD to stay in consideration. He will be popular and I may find myself taking the Sanders and Carson value above and the taking cheaper wide receivers and tight ends.

 

Week 3 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays

Russell Gage, ATL vs CHI | DK: $5,100, FD: $5,600

The Falcons head into Sunday's game as 3.5 point home favorites with a team total over 25. That already bodes well for a third straight productive game for Gage. The other factor in Gage's favor is the fact Julio Jones is battling a hamstring and is questionable to play. The Falcons offense has been all air attack this season and Gage has benefitted greatly with targets of 12 and nine in his first two games. He has averaged at least five targets in each of his last five games including eight red-zone targets over the last three games. He is facing a decent Bears Defense, but a defense that did let Matt Stafford and the Lions have some success in Week 1 without Kenny Golladay. Look for the volume to be there for Gage and that makes him a nice cash game value.

Adam Humphries, TEN at MIN | DK: $3,900, FD: $4,600

The Titans head to Minnesota for a very promising offensive matchup on Sunday. It has become even more promising for Humphries as AJ Brown has been ruled out for Sunday, making Humphries the potential WR2 opposite a banged-up Corey Davis. Humphries has already received six or more targets in each of his first two games and has received five or more targets in his last three games. He will be going up against a Vikings Defense that has allowed five receiving touchdowns already this season and is the 31st ranked pass defense in the NFL thru two weeks. Humphries is the ultimate cash game value on both sites this week.

Diontae Johnson, PIT vs HOU | DK: $5,400, FD: $6,300

Somehow Johnson is still priced way too cheap this week. He has received at least 10 targets in the first two games and is coming off a monster 8-92-1 game vs the Broncos. Going back to last season he has been targeted at least seven times in a game. Johnson has gained the trust of Big Ben and will face a Houston defense coming off games versus the Chiefs and Ravens. They are beaten down to start the season and should be chasing Johnson around all game. The targets will be there for Johnson again on Sunday and he will be in line for another double-digit scoring game leading to cash game goodness.

 

Week 3 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays

Drew Sample, CIN at PHI | DK: $3,500, FD: $4,800

Last week Sample arose as the Bengals main tight end target after C.J. Uzomah left with a season-ending injury. After Uzomah's departure, Sample was targeted nine times, hauling in seven for 45 yards. NINE TARGETS!!!! We already mentioned above that his quarterback Joe Burrow has been throwing it and throwing it and throwing it a ton to start the season and that should not change this Sunday. They will be facing the Eagles who 28th in the NFL this season versus the tight end allowing 4.5 catches and two touchdowns a game to the tight end position. Sample should see a large number of targets this week on his way to cash game value once again.

Logan Thomas, WAS @ CLE | DK: $3,700, FD: $4,900

Some may say Thomas let us down last week versus Arizona, and yes it was not great, but at the same time, he still saw nine targets but only made four catches. That was the second straight week Thomas saw at least eight targets and there is a good chance he sees eight or more again this week. The Browns are the 31st ranked defense versus the tight end this season, allowing 9-74-1.5 per game to the tight end position. Those are beastly numbers and would shatter Thomas' price. The Washington Football Team is once again a heavy underdog and that should lead to the team playing from behind and bringing on all the targets for Thomas. Do not be afraid to go back to Thomas this Sunday.



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NFL DFS Value Plays (Cash Games) for Week 2 on FanDuel and DraftKings

Week 1 is in the books and what a wild week it was. We saw a few expected shootouts, a few disappointing games, and a large cash game cash line. If you did not have DeVante Adams and/or Josh Jacobs it was a long week for your cash lineups. This week there are some nice options in cash games, especially when it comes to value. With some injuries that have taken place and some that may still be lingering, the door is open for some lower-priced backups to take center stage and help us cash this week.

We now have one week, one whole week of information to go off of and use to make some educated Week 2 picks. There is going to be chalk running back or two, due to some Monday night injuries. There are a couple of value running backs this week, but a lot of the value is at wide receiver and tight end. There is a chance of four or more WR that will be extreme value this week and that will allow for the major running backs and other top-end cash game options. These are the values we must take advantage of and realize that some chalk is good chalk, and in cash, we do not mind the chalk.

This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets, or carries. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 2 of the 2020 NFL season.

 

Week 2 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays

Kyler Murray, AZ vs WAS | DK: $6,100, FD: $8,000

Murray is coming off a monster Week 1 where he threw for 230 and a score as well as rushing for 91 and another touchdown. Murray being able to do it on the ground and in the air is everything we look for in a cash game quarterback. He heads into Week 2 facing a Washington Football Team that had a strong performance vs the Eagles. The Eagles offensive line is depleted and the WAS D was able to take advantage and slow down Carson Wentz and company.

Even though WAS D was strong last week they still allowed Wentz to throw for 270 and two scores. They have allowed 2.6 passing touchdowns per game over their last nine games. Over the last four games, the WAS D has allowed 3.5 passing touchdowns per game, and opposing quarterbacks have scored 27.6 PPG on average. Murray comes in cheaper this week in a home matchup that he should be able to exploit. Fire up Murray in cash and stack with his monster target DeAndre Hopkins.

Dwayne Haskins, WAS @ AZ | DK: $5,100, FD: $6,500

Let's stay in the desert and roster Haskins as a cash game punt at QB. In his Week 1 comeback win he managed to throw for 178 yards and a touchdown with 17 yards rushing thrown on top. He fumbled the ball once which cost him a couple of points and finished with 13 points. We will want more in cash and facing the Cardinals will give Haskins that chance.

Haskins will be getting better and better this season and should feast against a Cardinals Defense that allowed 2.2 passing touchdowns (29th) and 296.9 passing yards (32nd) per game over the last nine games. The Cardinals D allowed two passing touchdowns in Week 1 and nearly 20 fantasy points. The Football Team should be playing from behind and possibly playing keep up most of the game which should lead to plenty of pass attempts for Haskins. He is only in play if you are punting your QB in cash.

 

Week 2 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays

Benny Snell Jr., PIT vs DEN | DK: $4,500, FD: $4,600 (all depends on Conner's status)

What's the sound you hear? That's the sound of the Chalk Train coming and Benny Snell is driving the train. Snell is coming off a monster Monday night game vs the Giants where he carried the rock 19 times for 113 yards. He was not apart of the passing game like usual as the Steelers were in complete control. Snell looked great pounding the rock and should be in line for another strong workload on Sunday.

In Week 1 the Broncos faced the Titans and Derrick Henry led all of football with 31 carries. The Titans kept running it as the Broncos had no real answer. They allowed 141 rushing yards and 26 total points which we know should have been 36 based on all the missed kicks. The Steelers run the ball 16% more in games the are leading and they should be leading on Sunday. For cash games, we are looking for running backs with a strong share of the workload and we saw in Week 1 that Snell will be a major contributor with James Conner out with another injury.

Jonathan Taylor, IND vs MIN | DK: $5,700 FD: $5,800

Marlon Mack got the start in Week 1 and sadly left with an injury and we have now found out that he is out for the rest of the season. Insert Taylor. After Mack went out Taylor received nine carries but more importantly six targets that he converted to six catches. When you do the quick math that means Taylor received 15 touches in a backup role. Reich has already announced Taylor as the starter with Nyheim Hines backing up.

Taylor faces the Vikings who have given up over 125 rushing yards per game over the last nine games. The season started off even worse as the Vikings D was torched by the Packers allowing 139 rushing yards and nine receptions to the backs for a total of 32.6 FPPG. Hines will have his fair share of touches just like he did in Week 1, but with Taylor starting and likely locking into 15 touches for sure with the potential for 20+ is tremendous in cash games at his discounted price.

Raheem Mostert, SF at NYJ | DK: $6,400, FD: $6,500

Mostert is coming off a Week 1 matchup where he had 15 carries and four catches on five targets and the workload should just go up this Sunday against the Jets. The Niners receiving core is depleted and star tight end George Kittle is banged up and will likely be playing at less than 100%. Mostert can be a major factor on the ground and in the passing game, adding to a strong cash game floor. (Kittle has been ruled out, raising Mostert's floor.)

The Niners are also -7 road favorites so one would assume game flow will play into the hands of the Niners and the running game. If they have to pass to the backs, the Jets allowed eight catches to opposing running backs last week and over 20 fantasy points. Mostert makes for a stronger play on DK with the PPR format, but his price tag and likelihood of 20+ touches make him cash viable on FD as well.

 

Week 2 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays

Parris Campbell, IND vs MIN | DK: $4,500, FD: $5,300

There have been many preaching the talents of Campbell all offseason and they were on full display in Week 1. He hauled in eight balls on nine targets. Campbell is a strong 1B to TY Hilton's 1A. The Colts will be hosting the Vikings this weekend, just a week after the Vikings were torched by Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. The Packers had three wide receivers go off last week and the Colts should be in line to do the same this week.

The Vikings D ranked 31st in the NFL last week versus the pass, allowing a total of 315 yards and four touchdowns. They have ranked 29th in the NFL over the last four games. If we go back even further they are 31st in the NFL allowing over 170 yards per game to opposing receivers. Lastly, the Colts will be without Jack Doyle this week which may lead to more targets for Campbell. Look for Hilton to bounce back and Campbell to have another heavy workload.

Diontae Johnson, PIT vs DEN | DK: $4,500, FD: $5,800

Similar to Campbell, Johnson is another mega-value this week, especially in cash. He comes into Sunday's matchup with the Broncos just a week removed from a 10 target, six catch game vs the Giants. Johnson has been targeted at least seven times in his last three games and there is obviously an early connection between Big Ben and Johnson.

It is not just pure volume to target Johnson, it is also the bad Broncos secondary. Last week Ryan Tannehill and the Titans carved them up. The receivers alone had 187 receiving yards and nearly 40 fantasy points. The Broncos have ranked 21st over the last four games against the pass and that should not be changing this week. The volume alone is huge for Johnson this week and the matchup is just icing on the cake.

Robert Woods, LAR @ PHI | DK: $6,400, FD: $6,700

Woods is what I like to refer to as PPR goodness. Woods was targeted eight times last week for six catches and over 100 yards vs the Cowboys. He has become the clear number one in the Rams offense. This week he goes up against an Eagles Defense who is beaten up a bit and just let the Washington Football Team throw all over them in the second half last week. Woods has been targeted at least eight times in the last three games including five red-zone targets over that stretch. Look for Woods to be a safety valve for Goff and rack up more PPR goodness on Sunday.

 

Week 2 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays

Jonnu Smith, TEN vs JAX | DK: $4,200, FD: $4,900

It was quite fun watching most of the world wake up and realize just how good Jonnu is after his Monday night performance in Denver. He was targeted seven times, catching four and scoring a touchdown on his way to a strong performance for a tight end. He was the TE2 last season to Delanie Walker, but with Walker out of town, it is the Jonnu show. AJ Brown is banged up and if he is limited that is even bigger for Smith. No need to pay up at the tight end in cash and Jonnu is as high as I would go.

Logan Thomas, WAS @ AZ | DK: $3,600, FD: $4,700

When WAS came back and beat the Eagles they shocked many and a large piece of that comeback was their tight end, Thomas. He was targeted eight times, hauling in four and scoring a touchdown. He now heads into one of the best tight end matchups on the planet. We targeted the Cardinals defense versus the tight end all last season and that is not going to change. The Niners tight ends caught six passes in Week 1 and that was with Kittle being a ghost in the second half. The Cardinals have allowed nearly a touchdown and 60 receiving yards to tight ends over the last nine games. Washington should be playing from behind once again this week and that means more passes going Thomas's way. He makes for a great cash game punt at tight end this week.



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Week 2 DFS GPP Value Plays - FanDuel, DraftKings Daily Fantasy Football

Week 2 of the NFL season is upon us! Along with overreactions that come with week 2 are my DFS GPP Value Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings. Notice that's a period not an exclamation point. That's because we all need to just relax and calmly digest what we saw in week 1.

Saquon Barkley will produce more fantasy points, I promise. Gardner Minshew is not going to complete such a high percentage of passes. And the Redskins are not going to win 16 games this season. No way. So let's all back away from the edge a little bit. Or don't. Because those people avoiding those under-producers and flocking to the high-producers from week 1 provide plenty of opportunity for those of us in GPPs.

Week 1 brings us a new slate, but for now I will often continue to reference some of last year's performances. And that starts with our first Week 2 value play for GPPs.

 

Week 2 Quarterback DFS GPP Value Play

Jimmy Garoppolo @ New York Jets  (Fanduel $7100 DraftKings $5700)

It amazes me how quickly Garoppolo went from "savior" to "afterthought". The knock of Jimmy G is that he rarely has the big game. He never brings the "high ceiling" that we as GPP players crave. In his seven year career, he's had give games of 300 or more.

But 2019 was the first year that Garoppolo played even 10 games, let alone the full 16 he played last year! And guess what, three of those five 300+ yard games came last year. And he has had slate-breaking games like when he passed for four TDs and 424 yards against Arizona last year. Can we put an end to the myth that his upside is limited?

Sure, he's match-up dependent. He's not going to have big games against teams like the Ravens, but he's taking on the Jets this weekend. The Jets passing defense was middle of the pack last year. They got off to a rough start last week, allowing the fourth most fantasy points to the QB position. There is no reason that Garoppolo can't pass for 300+ yards against this Jets Defense and throw a couple touchdowns. Priced as a mid-level QB2 at best, don't be surprised when Jimmy Grapes squishes the Jets with QB1 numbers.

 

Week 2 Running Back DFS GPP Value Play

Mark Ingram @ Houston (Fanduel $6200, DraftKings $5400)

After the JK Dobbins show last week, both seasonal and DFS players are jumping off Ingram like rats on the Titanic. That will make him very low-owned and those folks obviously don't know the Ravens like I do. One of the reasons the Ravens carry a bushel of RBs on their roster every year is they want to keep teams guessing which one is getting the rock on any given play. There is a reason the Ravens ran the fourth most plays with 2-RB formations last year. The Ravens have even said so publicly:

Call it a gut call if you wish, but I think Ingram sees a lot more touches this Sunday. We know Ingram can be a beast, coming off another 1K yard season to go with his ten touchdowns. And against the Houston defense who gave up the fifth most fantasy points to RBs last year, I really like his chances.

 

Week 2 Wide Receiver DFS GPP Value Play

Parris Campbell vs Minnesota (Fanduel $5300, DraftKings $4500)

Campbell's price went up this week, but he's still a great value on both sites. He caught six of nine targets last weekend, which was tied for team lead in targets. He is also taking on the Vikes at home this weekend. Yes, that same Vikings Defense that got torched by the Packers and gave up more fantasy points to WRs last week than any other team. The Vikes might not be the worst this week, but I don't see them suddenly be the stingiest either. Grab Campbell at a discounted rate while you can.

 

Week 2 Tight End DFS GPP Value Play

Logan Thomas vs Arizona  (Fanduel $4700, DraftKings $3600)

I've got a new horse in my TE1 rankings and that is Logan Thomas. He caught four of eight targets for 37 yards and a touchdown, out-targeting every other Washington pass catcher except Terry McLaurin. With the up-tempo Arizona Cardinals offense next on the docket, Washington will likely be forced into a high-scoring game and/or find themselves playing from behind. Either of these options leads me to believe that Thomas will have another strong showing worthy of any of the top dozen TEs this week.

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NFL DFS Value Plays for Week 1 on FanDuel and DraftKings

Week 1 is finally here! There was a time when the idea of NFL Week 1 seemed like a pipe dream, but we are here. It is obviously a bit different this season as there was no preseason action, practices were a bit different, and just the overwhelming cloud surrounding these times in our lives. Even with all those hurdles, we are finally here. I will be with you weekly, giving you my top cash game values to help build your winning cash game lineups.

With no preseason there are more question marks than ever entering Week 1. There are rookies that I would love to use this week that I feel have more GPP appeal than Cash with the question marks. There were obviously roster changes as well as coaching changes this offseason that can definitely change the way the teams play. Week 1 will be about navigating the minefields and taking much safer plays in cash.

This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets, or carries. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 1 of the 2019 NFL season.

 

Week 1 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays

Carson Wentz, PHI @ WAS | DK: $6,300, FD: $7,700

Wentz heads into Week 1 healthy, well supposedly healthy. He was dealing with a soft tissue injury during camp but is supposed to be good to go for Week 1. This is a really good thing as the Eagles have a great matchup to start the season versus division rival Washington Football Team. Last year Wentz averaged close to 25 points per game versus WAS and over his career has averaged at nearly 19 a game. Seems like a solid floor for cash to me. It gets better as WAS D in 2019 allowed 2.3 passing touchdowns per game and adding Chase Young is not enough to make they will suddenly shut down the passing game.

It gets better as the Eagles have thrown the ball 16% more when favored and they walk into Sunday's action as 6.5 point road favorites with a 25.5 team total. Wentz will have an interesting starting receiving core of DeSean Jackson, JJ Arcega-Whiteside, and Greg Ward, but that does not matter as he will have his man Zach Ertz and his double in Dallas Goedert at tight end. Wentz brings a really strong floor into the Week 1 action with a nice ceiling, everything we want in a cash game quarterback without having to break the bank.

Cam Newton, NE vs MIA | DK: $6,100, FD: $7,300

When looking at cash game quarterbacks we look for favored quarterbacks in strong matchups and it really helps if they can run a little as that helps with their production floor. Cam may not run like he used to, but we do know he loves running it in for touchdowns when they get close to the goal line and we know the Patriots loved doing that with Tom Brady as well. He heads to South Beach to open the season against a Miami team that struggled mightily versus the passing game last season.

They allowed 2.3 passing touchdowns per game and over 280 passing yards per game. The Dolphins did strengthen their defense with CB Byron Jones, LB Kyle Van Noy, and DE Emmanuel Ogbah. The Patriots love to run the ball if in the lead, but will also want to prove a point with Brady out of town. Week in and week out Cam brings a strong floor into his games and Week 1 sets up as a nice matchup to do just that in cash games.

 

Week 1 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays

Antonio Gibson, WAS vs PHI | DK: $4,000, FD: $4,600

Gibson will be the chalk of chalk when it comes to cash games this week. When WAS released Adrian Peterson the fantasy world went abuzz with Gibson love. The rookie out of Memphis was more of a wide receiver the running back, but WAS has their mindset as using him in the backfield. Regardless of how many carries he gets, his passing catching ability really strengthens his floor.

If Gibson can get 10-15 carries and 5+ targets he will outproduce his price tag in a big way. WAS is also a 6.5 point home underdog which means they should be playing from behind, throwing more, and potentially even more dump-offs to Gibson. He is a near must play this week in cash unless some crazy news comes out about playing time and/or usage for Gibson.

Chris Carson, SEA @ ATL | DK: $6,200 FD: $7,200

In cash games you will want to get Christian McCaffrey into your lineups and will likely play Gibson as well, that leaves running back for the FLEX spot. Carson is a name that should be in consideration at his cheap price point. The Seahawks heads into Sunday's game as 2 point road favorites with a team total of 24.5. The game should be a back and forth battle that should keep the Seahawks running the ball and even dumping it off to Carson.

The Falcons have struggled with running backs in recent years, especially backs that can catch the ball. Towards the end of last season, the Falcons allowed runnings back to score close to 22 points per game on 18 carries and five receptions. Carson should see plenty of action on Sunday and brings a strong cash game floor into action.

Kerryon Johnson, DET vs CHI | DK: $4,400, FD: $5,600

Am I absolutely in love with this play? Nope, but I am a realist and I do realize a starting running back in a close game brings a great floor into cash games at his price tag. Johnson is the starting running back for the Lions with Deandre Swift injured and newly signed Adrian Peterson still getting acclimated to the team.

Johnson will face a Bears team that allowed nearly one rushing touchdown per game last season as well as allowing 41% more fantasy points to running backs over their last nine road games. This is purely a pricepoint, meets potential volume play for Johnson. He should get a bulk of the touches and put up double-digit fantasy performance, outperforming his cheap price tag.

 

Week 1 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays

Terry McLaurin, WAS vs PHI | DK: $5,700, FD: $6,500

McLaurin heads into Week 1 as Dwayne Haskins go-to wide receiver and should receive many many targets this season. With WAS being near touchdown home dogs there is reason to suspect a lot of pass attempts for Haskins and many should be targeted at McLaurin. When Haskins took over as the starter in Week 8, McLaurin was targeted 6.62 times per game and caught 4.25 passes per game.

He scored double-digit fantasy points in five of the eight games including two monster games to finish out the season. Over the Eagles last nine games on the road they have allowed 33% more fantasy points to wide receivers. Washington should be throwing plenty in this matchup and McLaurin should be a major benefactor on Sunday.

Allen Lazard, GB @ MIN | DK: $4,900, FD: $5,500

Lazard enters the 2020 season as the WR2 in the Green Bay offense. That could be a major player in a game that could see a bit of a back and forth shootout. Devante Adams can not catch everything and Aaron Jones will not run the ball 40+ times. Aaron Rodgers will sling it around the field and try and take advantage of a suspect Minnesota secondary.

A secondary that allowed almost 173 receiving yards to wide receivers last season, which was 25th in the NFL. Lazard may be a bit risky for cash games, but at his price point, especially on DK, he brings a nice floor to your roster.

Greg Ward, PHI @ WAS | DK: $4,200, FD: $4,800

With all the injuries to the Eagles receiving core, Ward should slide right back into a role he flourished in to finish the 2019 season. He started the last three games last season and saw at least five targets per game. He is currently WR2 on the Eagles depth chart and should be apart of a very productive offensive day for the Eagles.

Wentz can look to Ward in a lot of shorter yardage situations, but Ward can also stretch the field when the defense is focused on DJax on the other side. Ward is uber-cheap this week and allows you to roster CMC and Michael Thomas when he is paired with one of these other value plays.

 

Week 1 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays

Hayden Hurst, ATL vs SEA | DK: $4,300, FD: $5,200

Let's head back to the potential shootout in Atlanta and look into the new Falcons tight end, Hurst. The Falcons acquired Hurst and he is in line to take over where Austin Hooper left off. Matt Ryan has been a fan of targeting his tight ends, especially in the red zone and that could lead to a lot of fantasy goodness for Hurst. The buzz out of Falcons camp (I hate saying that, but that is all we have this season) is they are loving Hurst and he is building a strong connection with Ryan.

Last season the Seahawks were a sieve to tight ends and that could continue Sunday as they focus on Julio and Ridley on the outsides. They allowed over 75 receiving yards to tight ends last season and in games where they were favored, usually meaning the opponent had to keep up, they allowed 28% more fantasy points to the tight end position. Usually, I will pay down at TE, but if the funds are available Hurst is in play.

Chris Herndon, NYJ @ BUF | DK: $3,300, FD: $4,800

Throughout the draft season, I have been a major Herndon fan. Honestly, I have been a creepy Jets offense fan. The Jets do not have a ton of options in the passing game after Jamison Crowder and newly added Breshad Perriman. Herndon should be a major piece of the Jets offense and should also be used as a nice safety valve for Sam Darnold. Herndon is your cash punt at tight end if you are looking to punt.



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Week 1 DFS GPP Value Plays For FanDuel And DraftKings

Week 1 of the NFL season is upon us! And with that comes the debut of my DFS GPP Value Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings!

You might be asking who am I? Well, I'm not Prisoner 24601 nor am I Troy McClure. However, you RotoBallers might know me from my KBO DFS previews earlier this summer. I know KBO DFS previews didn't generate the level of clicks that NFL DFS does. However, those that did read know I had a knack for finding low-priced gems that then produced at the plate.

And the good news is I like and know football even better than I do the KBO.

Week 1 brings us a clean slate, but with little to go on you'll understand that will I reference some of last year's performances. Whodathunk we would miss preseason games? Let's get to the games however that do matter this week.

 

Week 1 Quarterback Value Play for GPPs

Dwayne Haskins vs Philadelphia Eagles  (Fanduel $6500 DraftKings $5000)

I know, we're starting right off with the bottom of the barrel. No starting QB is priced lower than Haskins. I do like the reports I am hearing coming out of Redskins camp on Haskins. But that's all very subjective. Far less subjective is how unimpressive the Philadelphia secondary is. They gave up the 12th most completions last year and the 11th most passing TDs.

Haskins is not going to throw for 350 yards or four touchdowns. But against this secondary, he should be able to throw for around 275 yards and two scores. And at this low price, that's plenty of profit with still plenty of space for some studs.

 

Week 1 Running Back Value Play for GPPs

David Montgomery @ Detroit Lions (Fanduel $5900, DraftKings $5900)

Do you know who was even worse than the Eagles secondary? That's right, the Lions rush defense. How'd you guess? The Lions gave up the fifth-most fantasy points to running backs last year. The Lions did add CB Jeff Okudah with the third overall pick, but I still see the front seven struggling with the run.

With the injury scare that Montgomery had earlier this preseason, I expect many to steer clear. And it is certainly possible that Montgomery is not much more than a decoy. However, now in his second year, I think Montgomery takes another step forward this season. And against this questionable Lion front seven he's a great value pick.

 

Week 1 Wide Receiver Value Play for GPPs

Miles Boykin vs Cleveland Browns (Fanduel $4800, DraftKings $4100)

This is not the first time nor the last you are going to hear me whipping the reins on the Miles Boykin bandwagon. I love how far he fell in every one of my seasonal drafts, but it should not have happened. So allow me to repeat some of the same things I've said elsewhere this preseason.

Recall that Boykin was a sparkling SPARQ darling, notching the same top-level scores as J.J. Watt and some other wide receiver named Calvin Johnson. Johnson turned out to be pretty good at this wide receiver thing. Boykin is a tall 6’4″ but has the speed of his shorter brethren. Would you believe me if I told you that Boykin’s athletic profile is higher than D.K. Metcalf?  And recall that Metcalf was a bit of a marvel as well. But I think that might actually be the best comparison for Boykin.

So the talent is there, he just needs the opportunity. And with Seth Roberts out of Baltimore, his opportunity is now. He should be the WR2 in Baltimore. Last year Marquise Brown played 563 snaps while Boykin was on the field for 425. Expect a far more equitable number this year. Furthermore, as the bigger target, I think Boykin also adds six or more touchdown grabs this year. He's not going to be a WR1, but at $4100 that's going to be a heck of bargain this weekend.

 

Week 1 Tight End Value Play for GPPs

Irv Smith Jr. vs Green Bay Packers (Fanduel $4800, DraftKings $3100)

I might not be whipping the reins as hard as I am on Boykin, but I will definitely be leading the charge on Irv Smith this year as well. Stefon Diggs is now in Buffalo, which means there are 94 targets up for grabs this year. Will Smith get the majority of those? No. But I'd expect at least three or four more targets per game headed Smith's way. And some could be of the huge chunk variety. The Vikings have been experimenting at camp this summer with lining Smith up on the outside.

Priced just barely above the minimum, Smith makes for a great punt play and one of my favorite value plays this weekend.



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