BALLER MOVE: Target ~115 overall
CURRENT ADP: Standard 139, PPR 135
ANALYSIS: Coby Fleener finished last season as the 6th best fantasy tight end. He is currently being drafted as the 14th TE in most standard and PPR leagues. The main reason is that Fleener clearly seems to be the second option at the position behind Dwayne Allen. This is despite the fact that Fleener has played in 32 regular season games to Allen's 14 over the past two seasons.
During those years he had stat lines of 51/608/4 and 51/774/8 in 2013 and 2014, respectively. Fleener finished both seasons as a reliable TE2 option because he was consistently targeted by Andrew Luck, finishing third on the team behind T.Y. Hilton and Reggie Wayne in '13 and second behind Hilton in '14. Because Fleener will be expected to split tight end duties throughout the season with Allen it makes it difficult to trust him as a week to week TE1.
However, with his consistent play and availability he should be one of the better TE2 options in the league, especially with the ascending Luck and Colts offense. Fleener's eight receiving touchdown tied him for the team lead last season and made him a boom or bust proposition from a fantasy point of view. Fleener has been Luck's safety valve since their days together at Stanford and that will not be changing anytime soon.
The only question is whether or not the Colts will feature him more to see if he can take the next step to being a potential 1,000 yd receiving option. If not, expect much of the same production which is still pretty damn good for a back up tight end.
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