RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Target in Late Rounds
CURRENT ADP: 181 STD, 131 PPR
ANALYSIS: Last year, 22-year-old Kenny Stills ranked third in the league in catch percentage (min. 50 receptions), and his 14.8 yards per reception was the most of anyone with at least a 70% catch rate. The only other players that had at least 14 yards per catch and a 70% catch rate last year were Odell Beckham Jr and Randall Cobb.
For two years, Stills was stuck behind Jimmy Graham, Marques Colston and Brandin Cooks on the Saints' depth chart, but Mickey Loomis shipped Stills off to Miami in the offseason in exchange for linebacker Dannell Ellerbe and a third round pick. The Dolphins followed this move by trading Mike Wallace to the Vikings.
We saw what Stills can do after Cooks went down in Week 11. In the final six games, Stills caught 32 passes for 500 yards. Over a full season, that would put him at roughly 85 catches and 1,330 yards. He had nine receptions on 14 targets of 20 or more yards downfield, the highest deep ball catch rate in the league. In comparison, Wallace had just six catches on 24 deep targets.
Jarvis Landry and Greg Jennings are more of possession receivers, and DeVante Parker had foot surgery that could keep him out for part of the regular season. As a result, Stills has a golden opportunity to grab a more substantial role in Miami than he had in New Orleans. It’s not hard to like what could be with a Ryan Tannehill-led offense that seems to be trending upwards.
Stills currently has an ADP well outside the first 10 rounds. For a guy that could easily nab 900 yards and has flashed some excellent skills in his young career, he represents a great bargain.
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