BALLER MOVE: Target ~210
CURRENT ADP: 234
ANALYSIS: Max Kepler burst onto the scene last season, smashing 17 home runs in only 113 games with the Twins. There are still some holes in his approach, but at 24 years of age, there is room for growth. Kepler had stretches of good and bad play; in April and September, he hit .202 with only one homer. Between his recall on June 1 and the final day of August, though, he hit .247 with 16 home runs in 335 plate appearances. Kepler’s extremely low .261 BABIP last season should rise to around league average, giving his stats a bump across the board. His 33 percent hard hit rate is above league average, so although his .189 ISO may drop, it shouldn’t not fall far. He still needs to improve against lefties and increase his walk rate, but if Kepler can make the necessary changes, he could hit over 20 home runs and steal a dozen bases.
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