BALLER MOVE: Target ~320
CURRENT ADP: 357
ANALYSIS: After sitting out all of 2015 to help his elbow fracture properly heal, Tyler Anderson became an afterthought in the Rockies organization. He went through a brief rehab assignment to begin the 2016 season, starting in High-A and ending with three starts in Triple-A Albuquerque. Once he got the call-up to the majors he never went back, ending the year with Colorado and leading the team in ERA. Over 19 starts in the best hitters park in the majors Anderson held a 3.54 ERA, supported by a 3.59/3.64 FIP/xFIP. His numbers were surprisingly better at home (3.00 ERA, 78 IP) than on the road (4.71 ERA, 36.1 IP).
Anderson has been able to succeed by limiting hard contact. His 24.2 percent soft contact rate placed him second in the league among starters who qualified, and his 85.1 mph exit velocity was the best mark in the majors. His 3.54 K/BB rate would have also placed him in the top-25 among starters. If Anderson can up his strikeouts a bit (7.79 K/9 last season) he can easily out-perform his current ADP. Jon Gray gets the most buzz in Colorado, but Anderson could be the more intriguing Rockies pitcher.
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