BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~70 Overall
Current ADP: ~85
Christian Kirk generated nearly 3,000 receiving yards during his three years at Texas A&M (2,856) while averaging 78 receptions and 8.6 touchdowns-per-season during his collegiate career. That provided the motivation for Arizona to deploy the 47th overall pick on Kirk during the 2018 NFL draft.
Kirk's established his presence last September, collecting a season-high eight targets, and generating his highest reception and yardage totals of the season (7 catches/90 yards). He was second only to Calvin Ridley among rookies in targets (68) before a broken foot abruptly ended his season in Week 13. That prevented him from continuing the promising usage and production that he had attained since Week 6.
Kirk had averaged 6.8 targets per game during those final 10 matchups while accruing 6+ in each contest. If you discard his 8-yard performance in Week 10, Kirk also averaged 61 yards-per-game during his last 10 contests. His pace would have resulted in 57 receptions and 787 yards throughout 16 games. That output would have placed him third among first-year receivers in both categories, and would also have led the Cardinals in receiving yardage.
He still tied for third among newcomers with 43 receptions and was fourth in yardage (590) despite the condensed season. Kirk also accrued those numbers despite the debilitating constraints of Arizona's substandard coaching and impracticable offensive approach. But Kirk Kingsbury's adaptation of the Air Raid offense will supply Kirk with an opportunity to utilize his strengths. He should also benefit from his previous experience with this strategic approach during his tenure at A&M, which includes a reunion with former teammate Kyler Murray. 65 receptions and 900 yards are attainable if Murray can overcome the deficiencies of Arizona’s offensive line.
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