BALLER MOVE: Target In Your Final Round
Current ADP: ~290
Once your draft is approaching its conclusion, the vast majority of players that you had originally planned to target will no longer be available. However, that should not persuade you to become apathetic about your final selections, because the final rounds still contain players who provide the potential of outperforming their anemic ADPs by considerable margins.
Williams is a prime example of a player whose combination of skills could translate into significant production if the pathway to an extensive workload suddenly develops during this season. Aaron Jones should emerge as the Packers’ RB1, and he possesses the explosiveness to flourish as the team’s feature back. But he has also missed eight games during his first two seasons. If Jones would become unavailable for any reason, Williams might be the recipient of a massive workload.
That would involve ascending beyond the unexceptional Jamaal Williams on Green Bay’s depth chart. However, the veteran Williams has consistently delivered a restricted statistical ceiling (3.7 yard-per-carry average). Matt LaFleur might prefer the favorable blend of size, decisiveness, and acceleration that Dexter Williams can deliver, rather than settling for the limitations that exist with Jamaal Williams.
That decision would have added significance since LaFleur should increase Green Bay's rushing play percentage beyond last years' 32.5%. Selecting Dexter Williams allows you to make exceptional use of a late-round pick while other owners mentally disengage during the closing moments of your draft.
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