BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~140 Overall
Current ADP: ~160
Ongoing concerns about Allen’s deficiencies as a passer have lingered in the aftermath of last season’s 52.8 completion percentage. However, any apprehension about drafting the second-year signal-caller should be overshadowed by his scoring potential as a dual-threat performer. This provides the prospects of significant production during any given week.
After unquestioned struggles in Weeks 1-6 Allen returned from an elbow issue to become a highly productive fantasy asset in Weeks 12-17, He accumulated 1,242 of his 2,074 passing yards for the season during that six-game sequence (207 per game), while also accruing eight of his 10 touchdowns. Allen also generated 476 yards on the ground (79 per game) and produced five of his eight rushing touchdowns during that span.
The Bills altered their offensive approach to capitalize on Allen’s strengths following his injury, which helped Allen lead all quarterbacks in longest completed air distance (LCAD) 63.9 and average intended air yards (IAY) (11) according to Next Gen Stats.
He should benefit from talent enhancements along a rebuilt offensive line, while the Bills have also fortified Allen’s receiving arsenal by adding John Brown and Cole Beasley. Allen's ability to launch deep throws should result in downfield connections with Brown and Robert Foster, while Beasley’s reliability on shorter routes can boost Allen’s efficiency.
Combining these factors with his ability to operate as a tangible rushing threat should elevate his fantasy scoring above a large percentage of signal-callers who are being selected before him. That provides further rationale to seize Allen.
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