BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~120 Overall
Current ADP: ~150
I do expect this ADP to rise significantly as we get closer and closer to draft season since Ballage has been practicing with the starters in Miami, but I believe Kenyan Drake is still going to start the year as the starter. Once that becomes clear, Ballage's ADP will probably stabilize somewhere around the 10th round, probably?
I still like Ballage at that point, because I believe he's definitely going to make an impact on this team. Even if we don't get a full-on committee between Ballage and Drake, we're going to get significant snaps for the second-year back.
The biggest reason? Because look, we've all collectively bought into some Kenyan Drake hype that doesn't need to exist. He's a fine back, but there were weeks last year where Frank Gore was getting triple the carries. He didn't have 50 rushing yards in any game after October. He was involved in the passing game, but Ballage had more rushing attempts than him in two of the three December games where Ballage was playing significant snaps. Ballage looks primed to be a 10-12 carry guy this year for the Dolphins and against the Vikings he showed that he has the ability to break off long carries.
I'm also interested in the fact that Drake started getting used as a kick returner at the end of the year. The Dolphins have a new coaching staff, but that doesn't necessarily mean Drake won't be used on special teams. He's been a returner off and on in the NFL and in college, and if he winds up in that role, there's going to be more early-down work for Ballage to take.
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