BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~140 Overall
Current ADP: ~155
Not only is Andrews a tight end from a team that will feature a scrambling demon at the quarterback position, a nice new running back in Mark Ingram, and that as a unit was the most run-heavy team during the second half of the last season. He's also a second-year tight end that could go either path in his development after a great rookie season.
There are a few reasons to believe in him beating his ADP expectations. Evan Engramposted 722 yards in his rookie season, 577 in his second. George Kittle 515 and then 1377 in 2018. Hunter Henry logged 478 and then 579. Normally, although second-year TE production is a little bit of a crapshoot, the ones who produce over the bar as rookies tend to sustain the production and mostly improve it during their second season and going forward.
Andrews finished his rookie campaign beating Hayden Hurst (Baltimore's first-round selection) by a mile with 552 yards on 50 targets and 34 receptions for three touchdowns. That amounted to a staggering 11.04 Yds/Tgt, only behind OJ Howard (TEs with min. 20 receptions). All in all, he finished the season as the TE17 in PPR points. If he can improve even a little on his rookie production he will become a way-under-the-radar value pick given how little attention he's receiving.
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