BALLER MOVE: Target ~220
CURRENT ADP: 237.3
ANALYSIS: In 2015, Mitch Moreland got back to the 20 HR mark he attained in 2013, but he also, surprisingly, made across-the-board improvements to his slash line. In 2013 (his last time eclipsing 500 PA), Moreland hit .232/.299/.437, but those numbers jumped up to .278/.330/.482 last year.
Moreland set career highs in RBI (85), wRC+ (115) and wOBA (.348), but his walk rate actually declined while he still struck out a ton (21.7% K rate). However, he made better contact, especially on pitches in his wheel house. He wasn't afraid to go the other way, either, hitting .321 with six homers to the opposite field.
There's no doubting Moreland's power, but the issue going forward is his average. If you take away the month of June, during which he hit .323, his average would only be .266. Steamer currently projects Moreland for a .253/.313/.432 slash line with 63 R, 20 HR and 70 RBI. Those are fair projections, but Moreland losing OF elgibility will hurt his draft value. Among first basemen, Moreland finished 21st in fantasy points. Unless you play in a deep league with CI slots, give Moreland a pass on draft day.
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