BALLER MOVE: Target ~170
CURRENT ADP: 313
ANALYSIS: Justin Turner, 30, had only eclipsed 400 PA once in his career (2011), and only got a shot in 2014 after injuries to Hanley Ramirez and Juan Uribe depleted the Dodgers' depth. He responded by hitting .340 in 322 AB. Considering his .404 BABIP, many folks called for regression. But one year after posting 21.4 runs above average, Turner posted 20.9. In just 117 more PA, he hit nine more homers (16) and drove in 17 more runs (60). Sure, the average plummeted, but a .294 average is still solid. He was especially helpful in OBP-leagues, finishing third among 3B (.370).
Turner had microscopic surgery on the left knee this offseason, but should be ready for Spring Training. Look for him to post similar numbers to those of last year, with a slightly depressed on-base percentage. That would leave him just outside the top-10 for third basemen for 2016.
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