Goran Dragic (PG/SG, MIA) - 2016 Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

BALLER MOVE: Draft in rounds 4-6

CURRENT ADP: 52.3

ANALYSIS: Goran Dragic had his worst statistical season in five years last season while still playing around the same amount of minutes (32 MPG). The immediate reaction is to assume that he’s aging and the decline has to do with that. As a result, he is being taken behind the likes of Rajon Rondo and Ricky Rubio. These two guards will probably see less opportunities this season because of their crowded back courts, while Dragic no longer has to deal with the Dwyane Wade show.

I would argue that the main reason for Dragic’s decline last year was mainly because of how good DWade was. The Miami Heat did not need Goran to do much more than he did during the regular season because they still managed to finish third in the east. Now that Wade is gone much more of the burden will fall on Dragic’s shoulders and I fully expect him to get back into borderline All-Star form.

The Heat are going to be a Dragic-Whiteside medley of pick and rolls surrounded by a bunch of unproven guards and wings figuring out where they belong.  While guys like Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, and Tyler Johnson are fun to dream on, they're not to the point of being true creators on offense in the NBA.  The only constant and steady playmaker that coach Erik Spoelstra can trust will be his 30-year-old Slovenian point guard.