BALLER MOVE: Target ~300
CURRENT ADP: 339
ANALYSIS: The Mets’ rotation was a mess last season due to injuries, but something good came from it— we got to see Robert Gsellman make his major league debut. He made eight appearances (seven starts), and held his own with a 2.42 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and a 42:15 K:BB ratio. Throughout his minor league career he wasn’t a big strikeout guy, as he relied on limiting his walks, inducing soft contact and getting hitters to ground out. He held a 54.2 percent ground ball rate last season (fifth among starters who qualified) and a microscopic 3.6 percent HR/FB rate.
After allowing nine earned runs through his first three starts, Gsellman settled in for his last four and flashed his potential. In those outings, he threw two quality starts (one out away from three), allowing only three runs while striking out 25 and walking six over 24 innings. He did not allow a homer in those games, either. If he can get his 3.02 BB/9 down to his minor league average of 2.42, Gsellman will be able to excel as the fifth starter in New York. He is the odds on favorite to get that spot over Seth Lugo and Zach Wheeler.
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