RADIO
Baller Move: Add in leagues with 14 or more teams.
Percentage Owned: Owned in 47% of all formats.
Analysis: Even though it's only been three starts, Andrew Triggs has completely stymied opposing batters thus far in 2017. Triggs has yet to allow an earned run (he's allowed three unearned runs) in 17.2 innings pitched. He has induced a high number of ground balls with a 57.1% GB% and mitigated hard contact with a 21.4% Hard%.
Obviously, Triggs' flawless earned run average and 0.85 WHIP will regress eventually, as will his .196 BABIP. His 80% LOB% is well above his career rate of 67.5% and he hasn't even allowed a home run yet. Even if all of these statistics normalize, that doesn't mean Triggs' play will completely plummet. He's currently running a 13% strikeout rate, which is a little more than 10% below his 2016 rate. That is bound to increase, especially since he is generating strong whiff rates on his cutter and slider. A boost in strikeouts, plus his already great ground ball rates, will help offset the other categories that will regress. Moving forward, expect an ERA around his 4.08 xFIP or a bit lower.
With all of this, fantasy owners in shallower mixed leagues shouldn't go out of their way to add Triggs. The righty's play is best suited for deeper, 14-team leagues or AL-only formats.
