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Chris Hogan (WR, NE) - Fantasy Football Draft Value

BALLER MOVE: Target ~90

CURRENT ADP: ~115

ANALYSIS: There are a lot of mouths to feed in New England, but Hogan posted respectable numbers on a scant 58 targets a year ago. Give him 80 targets at the same rate of production and he finishes at WR28 just ahead of Kenny Stills. Give him 100 targets and he finishes at WR11 just ahead of Tyreek Hill. The guy is efficient, to put it mildly.

Granted, the hype may be getting out of control since news broke of teammate Julian Edelman’s torn ACL. The volume concerns aren’t totally gone with the addition of Brandin Cooks, the return of Rob Gronkowski, and what figures to be a heavy involvement of RBs in the passing game. But seeing 160 targets from 2016 vanish from the 2017 depth chart means that Chris Hogan has a chance to be on the field most of the time, on an offense led by Tom Brady.

I want a piece of that action and Hogan is still as cheap a piece as you’re likely to find. If he slips to round 10, pounce. I’d add that if you’ve already drafted a team or two, pounce.

 


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