BALLER MOVE: Target ~103
CURRENT ADP: ~121
ANALYSIS: If we take a look at Philip Rivers’ fantasy finishes over the last three seasons, it seems as if he has been unremarkable at best. He finished as QB-10, QB-12, and QB-14 from 2014 to 2016, with him having thrown for the second most interceptions in the NFL last season (21).
Rivers is currently being priced at his floor due to recency bias. Let’s not forget that he was throwing to Tyrell Williams, Travis Benjamin, an ageing Antonio Gates, and a rookie Hunter Henry (tight end is one of the hardest positions to transition from college to the NFL). Now, he gets a chance at redemption with Keenan Allen returning from a torn ACL and Clemson standout Mike Williams likely to be lining up outside at some point in the regular season. Further, Henry and Gates provide enough touchdown upside that it is a very realistic possibility for Rivers to eclipse 40-plus scores.
Rivers has averaged 38 pass attempts per game over the last three seasons and should have a great chance of bouncing back into the top-10 of fantasy quarterbacks. Take him in the eleventh round as a solid QB2 to pair with a high upside quarterback as insurance.
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