BALLER MOVE: Target ~350
CURRENT ADP: 411
ANALYSIS: Joe Musgrove's 4.77 ERA in 109 1/3 IP wasn't great, but the underlying 4.03 xFIP suggests that he deserved better. He was particularly enticing over 31 1/3 IP as a reliever last year, during which he compiled a 51.9% GB% and 25.8% K% (44.9% and 21.2%, respectively, for the season). If he can translate his success as an RP to his anticipated starting role with the Pirates, he'll be worth owning in all formats.
With 15 GS and 30+ IP out of the bullpen, Musgrove should qualify as both a starter and reliever in all formats. The .315 BABIP and 16.4% HR/FB he allowed seem a little bit unlucky, while his stuff suggests a fantasy-friendly K% that he admittedly hasn't shown yet. Add it all together, and Pirates fans may be asking "Gerrit who?" by the end of 2018.
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