BALLER MOVE: Target ~135
CURRENT ADP: 169
ANALYSIS: Over the past two seasons, Ian Kinsler has averaged 25 HR, 14 SB, and 104 R, but it feels like he’s being heavily penalized in fantasy drafts for last season’s .236 batting average. That was the first time he hit below .275 since 2012, and it was largely fueled by a .244 BABIP that doesn’t pass the smell test.
Other than an increased pop-up rate, his batted ball profile didn’t change much from the previous year, when he hit .288 with a .314 BABIP. He’s also moving to a better team context with the Angels. Kinsler has fallen even beyond his extremely modest 169 ADP in many of both the mock and actual drafts I’ve seen this year. Considering that Kinsler has an .800 OPS in 45 plate appearances this spring, it seems like Kinsler is well on his way to being a low-end 2B1.
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