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ANALYSIS: Yuli Gurriel arrived in the Majors with more hype than most other Cuban players due to his age and lineage, but the jury is still out on his ceiling. Last season, a 1.7 WAR in 139 games limited him to a decent but not great profile, but in fantasy, there is still surplus value to be had. In AVG leagues a close to .300 batting line places him at the top at the position, whereas a .332 OBP might limit his play. Add this to a 3.9 BB% and owners should not expect a patient hitter, but a low K% at 11 means a free swinger with an increased bat on ball profile.
At a CI spot, Gurriel looks like a smart play for a few reasons. First, when compared to others in the profile (David Freese, Ryan McMahon, etc.) Gurriel should play more often. Second, while not a top power hitter with 19 home runs in 139 games, Gurriel plays well when coupled with 70+ RBIs and runs. Finally, context matters. Gurriel plays in a dominant Houston line-up meaning the chances will come. Expect the player to take advantage of who he bats around (Josh Reddick and Evan Gattis) to rack up fantasy production.
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