RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 250
CURRENT ADP: ~300 overall
ANALYSIS: Outside of followers, wins can be found relatively cheaply with a job-secure but lesser-quality starter on a good team. A perfect example would be Anibal Sanchez, the clear fourth rotation arm in Washington.
The Nationals' top three starters--Max Scherzer, Patrick Corbin, and Stephen Strasburg--are being drafted fourth, 50th, and 59th on average, but Sanchez is going just 287th overall. There are reasons to be wary of Sanchez's 2.83 ERA from last season, given his terrible ratios the previous year, but even his 3.62 FIP made for a 90 FIP- (which is above average).
Sanchez's 10.5% swinging strike rate was just below the league's 10.7 average, which might indicate some regression from a 24.4 K% which was a couple points higher than the league's 22.3 average, but the difference is not massive. Even a league-average ERA from Sanchez on a club like Washington could be good for plenty of wins.
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