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We have a small four-game slate to deal with on Thursday night, with one game in Mexico City. With the line in the Ravens and Jets game creeping towards 17 now, these NBA games should prove to be the most entertaining content in the sports world. Let's see if we can find a few values based on the MKF prop lines.
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Kevin Love (CLE) UNDER 2.5 Three Pointers Made
This is a pure numbers play. This isn't a terrible matchup for Love against a fairly immobile LaMarcus Aldridge and company, but the Cavs are just a bad team. When you play on a bad team, open shots are harder to come by. Love has made more than 2 three pointers just once in his last seven games. I'll play the odds here.
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Luka Doncic (DAL) OVER 2.5 Three Pointers Made
The Pistons don't seem to have a body on their roster that can match up with all parts of Doncic's game. Then again, who really does? The volume of outside shots that the emerging start puts up bodes really well for a line like this. I think Doncic will be less likely to try to exploit the Pistons inside with Blake Griffin and Andre Drummond lurking down there. Three makes from downtown seems very doable in this spot.
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Nikola Jokic (DEN) OVER 19.5 Points
Jamal Murray is questionable for this game, and if he were to be out, this points line for Jokic should be higher. The Joker gains 9% of usage when Murray is off the court, and he plays much more of a passing, mid-range forward when that happens. I think that bodes really well for a matchup with Hassan Whiteside, who really only wants to stay in the paint. Jokic has a chance to hit this prop with Murray playing, but really should have no problem reaching 20 points if his point guard sits.
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