Welcome back, RotoBallers!
Merry Christmas to all that celebrated yesterday. We got a pretty entertaining slate of basketball that included the biggest Xmas Day upset in 30 years!
Even better, we get six more games on Thursday as a follow-up. Let's see if we can find some value plays on Monkey Knife Fight to keep the fun (and profits) coming!
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Spencer Dinwiddie (BKN) OVER 26.5 Points
Here's the headline pick. Don't overthink this one. Kyrie Irving is out, and Dinwiddie IS the entire Nets offense when that's the case. Check his game log and try to explain to me why this point line is 26.5, because I would've put it at 30, at least. Fire him up!
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Ish Smith (WAS) UNDER 5.5 Assists
The natural reaction to Isaiah Thomas serving his suspension is likely to place OVER picks on the Wizards guards. Ish Smith is the de facto backup to Thomas. However, Bradley Beal sports a usage over 40% in situations like these, and he handles the ball so much that it takes away from Smith's assist potential. He's failed to surpass four dimes in each of the past three games. I'll stick with that trend here.
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Dwight Powell (DAL) UNDER 6.5 Rebounds
Powell's minutes and rebounds really spiked when his superstar teammate, Luka Doncic, left with an injury a couple of weeks ago. Doncic is questionable to return on Thursday, and this line is set as if he's still out for sure. Powell's rebounding floor is low no matter what, so I could definitely see him falling short even with Doncic out. However, if Doncic plays, this line is definitely too high. It's a pretty number as of Thursday morning.
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Andrew Wiggins (MIN) OVER 19.5 Points
Wiggins has quietly improved greatly for the 'Wolves this season. With Karl-Anthony Towns questionable for Thursday night, this line could look even better with him ruled out. Either way, 20 points is nothing for Wiggins in 2019, and I'm very confident betting on the over against the Kings.
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