BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~300
CURRENT ADP: ~366 overall
ANALYSIS: It has appeared for quite some time that Homer Bailey's days of being fantasy relevant were in the rearview, but he went on a nice little run at the end of last season that put him back on the radar. After some initial struggles following a trade to Oakland, he put up a 2.25 ERA across 48 innings in his last eight starts. During that time, he recorded a 24% SwK and 62% ground ball rate on his cutter, and his four-seam fastball was extremely effective as well.
After signing a one-year, $7 million deal with Minnesota, Bailey finds himself in a good situation for 2020. He'll have one of the top offenses in the league supporting him and will pitch roughly one-third of his games against weak AL Central offenses - the Royals, Indians, and Tigers. Bailey can't reasonably be expected to just pick up where he left off at the end of last year, but he can provide decent value at his 340 ADP, especially considering the Twins have the easiest schedule in baseball now.
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