BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~120 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~136
ANALYSIS: There is an overwhelming sentiment echoed that Duke Johnson will never be a lead back, primarily due to him not receiving over 100 carries in a season since his rookie year. Most NFL coaches typically prefer larger backs like teammates Carlos Hyde and David Johnson to carry the load for them because of their archaic mindsets but when push comes to shove, backs like Duke Johnson can get it done.
Duke Johnson had a typical season in 2019. He carried the ball 83 times for 410 yards and two scores while adding 44 catches for 410 yards and three more touchdowns through the air. The Texans made an offseason splash when they traded for running back David Johnson, a player who has battled injuries over the past few seasons but is also a very talented pass-catcher in his own right. The presence of David Johnson could cut into Duke's work in the passing game, but it is hard to believe David will be back to his best days this deep into his career and after we've seen from him lately.
Duke is currently being selected as the RB46 with an overall ADP inside the 12th round. By no means am I advocating to take Duke Johnson in the Top-75 or anything but at his price or even anywhere past pick 120 in most drafts, particularly PPR, you should absolutely be taking Duke. His upside is that of a low-end RB1 as we saw in 2017.
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