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Hello everybody and welcome! We hit the speedway at Darlington for the Goodyear 400 this week and another edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Now, that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where 1st nets 40 points, 2nd is worth 39, 3rd is worth 38, and so on. Every lap led equals an extra 0.01 points. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Martin Truex Jr. Over 33.5 Points. This is a more attractive prop than Truex Jr. gets for most weeks. Maybe it is Darlington but maybe most do not realize how well he thrives on this build. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver starts from the fourth position and could easily finish near the top five which is more than enough points to nab the over. The elevated heat (85-90 degrees on Sunday) should benefit Truex Jr. as well. His tire management typically is among the best on the circuit. This could be a race where Truex Jr. could even win.
Tyler Reddick Over 28 Points. Reddick's lower-point total carries some big possibilities on Sunday as the Richard Childress Racing driver begins tenth at Darlington. The Goodyear 400 expects a good deal of unexpected to occur. That Reddick number is low enough to take a shot at. He just has to finish 13th to push and 12th to win. Reddick has four top-ten finishes in his last five races and could benefit from his build being a little more suited at Darlington. With a likely multitude of cautions, Reddick should be able to dial his car in for shorter runs. If he gets enough of a push, maybe even a top-five or close is not out of the question.
William Byron Under 32 Points. The idea is to take some risks and assume William Byron might just fall back a bit more than expected on Sunday. He starts from the fifth position and normally fares well on tracks like this. The Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver did slip back seven positions last week at Kansas. This is more of a question of build and fading late in the race again. The "HMS Caravan" may have more of a problem than usual at Darlington with their race cars. That keyword is may. Will it be enough to knock him outside the top ten? It is plausible.
Kevin Harvick Over 34.5 Points. This is again low for Kevin Harvick on Sunday as he seems to save his best for tracks like Kansas, Talladega, and yes Darlington. Harvick has won three times in the past and had one of those in 2020. Furthermore, this build helps the Stewart-Haas Racing driver. There is a chance he could easily lead 50-100 laps during the Goodyear 400. A top-five finish is a coin flip given his track record. Again, 36 points mean a fifth-place finish. Take the over as the top-five start should lend itself to a good result.
Austin Dillon Over 27 Points. Dillon is an interesting choice on Sunday as he starts in ninth and showed the ability to stay around and in the top ten. The Richard Childress Racing driver finished eighth at Talladega sandwiched in between two tenth place finishes. Again, no one cares about place differential. All Dillon has to do is finish 14th to push and 13th to hit the over. That may not be as difficult to do given the potential attrition factor. The projections suggest double-digit cautions on Sunday afternoon. Dillon has an outside chance to even top 30 points. The chances of him leading a lap are still small though but take the over.
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