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Hello everybody and welcome! We hit the "Monster Mile" at Dover for the Drydene 400 this week and another edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Now, that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where 1st nets 40 points, 2nd is worth 39, 3rd is worth 38, and so on. Every lap led equals an extra 0.01 points. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Martin Truex Jr. Over 37.5 Points. This is a high-risk prop because Truex Jr. has to basically finish third or better or finish fourth and lead at least 51 laps. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver led 248 laps in all last week at Darlington. Truex Jr. tamed the track and dominated it. Simply, this was more than just another win. He has shown the ability to win in any situation. Again, the Toyota may show to be the top build this week to go with. It is a high point total to sweat but take the over on Truex Jr. anyway on Sunday afternoon.
Tyler Reddick Over 28 Points. Reddick's lower-point total carries more solid possibilities on Sunday as the Richard Childress Racing driver begins 12th at Dover. The Drydene 400 suits their build pretty well. That Reddick number is low enough to take a shot at. He just has to finish 13th to push and 12th to win again. Reddick has four top-ten finishes in his last six races and could benefit from the confidence he showed even at Darlington (12th-place finish). The No. 8 may end up right around the top ten once again this Sunday.
William Byron Over 32.5 Points. The idea is to take risks and ride the Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver's consistency. He has now finished in the top-10 in ten consecutive races. This weekend at Dover could very well be at 11 given how well the No. 24 is running. Byron starts third on Sunday and expects to be able to stay in the top ten. He just has to finish eighth or better. While Byron has not dominated a race as he did at Homestead, what he has done is consistently stay near the front. If he can do that again on Sunday, Byron will stay out of trouble and likely lead to another strong finish. Take the over.
Kevin Harvick Over 34.5 Points. This is still low for Kevin Harvick on Sunday as he seems to save his best for tracks like Kansas, Talladega, Darlington, and even Dover. Harvick has won three times in the past and had one of those in 2020. Furthermore, this build again is a solid boost for the Stewart-Haas Racing driver. He finished sixth last week at Darlington and accumulated 35.1 points to hit the over again. That makes three times in four weeks that Harvick has been on the radar. Take Harvick again with the over as he could come in right around 35 points or more on Sunday.
Erik Jones Under 25 Points. Jones is a dicey pick on Sunday. Think about it. A 16th is a push here so basically Jones has to finish 17th or worse without leading any laps. The latter part seems likely enough. Since Bristol, Jones has had results of 18th or worse in every single race. At Dover, three times in a row Jones has finished outside the top-ten with minimal place differential. If anything, Jones starts outside the top-20 on Sunday. This presents the look of another poor showing by the Richard Petty Motorsports driver. Take the under once more on Jones.
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