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Sunday afternoon features the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 from Loudon, New Hampshire. Monkey Knife Fight has an extremely easy fantasy point system: 0.1 points for each lap led and then a set amount of points for their position (20 for 1st place, 19 for 2nd place, 18 for 3rd, and so on).
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Pick 1: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Kyle Busch MORE 19.5 Fantasy Points and Kyle Larson MORE 20.5 Fantasy Points
The younger Busch brother and Larson are expected to be two of the better fantasy point producers at New Hampshire on Sunday and we are fortunate to have both leading off here but...
For a driver like Kyle Busch, this is less of a risk? Does that sound crazy? Not really. Busch has been on a roll of late and is a threat to win almost every week lately. The Joe Gibbs Racing Driver has an average finish of 11.4 on intermediate tracks in the past three seasons. Busch has a better driving rating on these tracks (101.7) than Kyle Larson (98.8). That is shocking but true. Busch has finished well late in long runs as well. This bodes excellent for Busch and it does not hurt that the No. 18 is on the pole this week at Loudon. He has four consecutive podium finishes and the potential to lead quite a few laps. Take the MORE here.
Kyle Larson is so close to leading the points race despite having the best car so far in 2021. Think of some of the crazier things that can happen to a driver. The Hendricks Motorsports Racing Driver last week had his teammate unexpectedly collide with him. The week before at Pocono saw Larson about to win when disaster struck. He blew a tire ending his chances at the victory and barely nailed his prop. Thank god for laps led. Larson led a whopping 269 laps at Atlanta last time around but lost to Ryan Blaney as long runs on high-wear tire tracks have not been as kind to the No. 5. Again, last week Larson was the victim of being behind slower traffic too often. The dirty air killed any chances of him contending. He starts tenth this week and will look to get closer to the front and quickly. The mile track may help that more than Atlanta did last week. Take the MORE and more Pepto Bismol again.
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Pick 2: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Chase Elliott LESS 16.5 Fantasy Points, Kevin Harvick LESS 15.5 Fantasy Points
This prop is a nasty one because of how Elliott and Harvick have not fared quite like expected. What does one do?
Chase Elliott scares anyone because out of nowhere, he can contend at a race. Elliott starts third this week and should be in a good position to contend for at least a top-five finish. The problem is the Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver has two top tens in three races at New Hampshire recently but has come nowhere near a win. He has led just 3.54% of the laps at the track which is not great for the No. 9 driver. The thought process is he may fall back some as the Joe Gibbs Racing cars seem to be a little bit faster than Elliott's car. Unexpected results can always happen but without the benefit of leading many laps, Elliott will have to finish fifth or better to hit the prop. Take the LESS here.
These point totals are interesting with Kevin Harvick. He just never has shown that speed from even earlier in the season. It is hard to believe but Harvick had 21 wins in the last three seasons including nine in 2020. He does have six top-five results but nothing to indicate a win is likely. Earlier in the year, the Stewart-Haas Racing driver had four consecutive top-six finishes including sixth at Dover (another 1-mile track). That seems like a distant memory. Last week, Harvick ended up 11th at Atlanta as he just did not have the speed or grip to contend. Expect more of the same this week so take the LESS here.
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