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Hello once again everyone! We hit the Verizon 200 at The Brickyard in Indianapolis, Indiana this week and another edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Now, that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win. As for the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where 1st nets 40 points, 2nd is worth 39, 3rd is worth 38, and so on. Every lap led equals an extra 0.01 points. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Chase Elliott Over 38.5 Points. This was again not an easy choice as Elliott may not start all that high. It just depends on if he can improve what was a subpar practice on Saturday. Elliott even went so far as to race in the Xfinity Series on Saturday just to get some extra laps in. The No. 9 car probably needed this along with the news that his car did not fail inspection this week. At the very least, Elliott will not have to start from the rear of the field. It will be quite a sweat at times but take the over here once again. A first or second is a good possibility here.
Christopher Bell Over 32 Points. The Bell at some point will toll again for NASCAR drivers. It is forgotten that the No. 20 car excels at these ROVAL and road courses. Last week at Watkins Glen, he was one of the very few cars that went toe to toe with Kyle Larson and the Chase Elliott's of the world. What resulted was a bit too much contact but give Bell credit, he battled back for a fourth consecutive top ten result. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver did seem to have the best ability to handle the 750 HP package with smaller spoiler and downforce limits. Bell is likely to be right up there again on Sunday. Hey, for what it is worth, he did win at Daytona (Road) in February. Take the over.
Denny Hamlin Over 33.5 Points. The idea is great given the build and the Joe Gibbs Racing cars have looked better and better over the last several weeks. On the last road course, Hamlin finished fifth on the Watkins Glen course duplicating his Road America result. The risk here is palpable. Also, he does not really lead a lot of laps here with this build. That is not as much of a problem with only 82 laps. He could finish seventh and lead no laps. The honest assessment of value leads us to believe a top ten is likely but a sixth or seventh has greater odds. We will take a lean on the OVER but wow this will be some sweat again.
Kyle Larson Over 37.5 Points. The good thing is the prop total is still solid. The likelihood that Larson ends up on the podium is high. The podium means at least 38 points which mean once again the over is in play. Consider that Larson has won five times and finished second several more times, the chances are high here. Now, the laps-led pool is less with just 82 laps contested on Sunday but Larson is expected to qualify in the top-five. With that being said, it sets up Larson to finish well. He should be able to manage his tires pretty well on the ROVAL with this 750 HP setup. He has done well with it all year so why expect any different? Take the over.
Martin Truex Jr. Under 36 Points. This one could blow up exponentially. Honestly, Truex Jr. could very well win this race or come close. He really does believe Indianapolis is "the least favorite bleeping track NASCAR races on". That being said, he practiced exceedingly well. The concern was his ten-lap run was very good but his later laps began to slow down. He should qualify quite well but if there is a long run again. The question remains. Does he fade like last week at Watkins Glen? He lost over four seconds in the final ten laps to Chase Elliott and Kyle Larson. That is a lot of time in a short span. Does that kind of drop cause him to fall out of the top five? It seems unlikely but at least possible. Like a bad Kyle Busch prop idea we have, take the under here for the No. 19 car.
Some other drivers to look at:
Alex Bowman (under 29.5 points) -- Could very well finish outside the top-12 on this road course.
Aric Almirola (over 24 points) -- Has top-15 potential here at the Brickyard.
A.J. Almendinger (over 31 points) -- A top-ten finish is likely for the road driver who knows Indy best and maybe more.
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