BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~45 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~53
ANALYSIS: Green Bay Packers running back AJ Dillon entered last season as a high-end backup with upside but proved he's even more valuable than that. He finished as the RB21, rushing 187 times for 803 yards and five touchdowns, adding 34 receptions for 313 yards and two touchdowns through the air.
Additionally, his running mate Aaron Jones finished as the RB11, proving both can succeed. At 6'0" and 247 lbs, the 2020 second-round pick is built to excel as a power runner. Despite their offseason transactions, Vegas has the Green Bay Packers projected to win 11.5 games, placing them in positive game scripts, where Dillons' punishing style of play is most effective.
These transactions included the departure of Davante Adams, who leaves behind 169 vacated targets. Some of these will go to other receivers. However, you can also expect an increase for the backfield, meaning more receptions for both backs.
Even if Jones inherits the larger share, this will open up additional carries for Dillon. The 24-year-old finished with the 22nd most touches (carries + receptions) last season and is set up for even more volume, especially if Jones were to miss time.
Dillon is ranked the RB19 in Rotoballer's rankings with an ADP of 55 overall via FantasyPros consensus rankings, giving you the chance to draft a running back who offers guaranteed top-24 production with top-15 upside at his floor.
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