BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~ 300
CURRENT ADP: ~340 overall
ANALYSIS: Last year, Anthony Santander received his first extended stint with the Orioles, and he did not disappoint. In 93 games, his stat line read .261-20-46-59-1. If we combine his 48 games in Triple-A, Santander had a really nice season with 25 home runs, 76 runs, and 87 RBI. The switch-hitting outfielder maintained a solid 36.2% hard-hit rate with an 8.5% deserved barrels rate and a .387 xwOBAcon in his first year.
Some may point to the ball as having helped Santander, but it is not the end-all-be-all as he made some very nice gains at the plate in 2019. He saw his contact rates rise from his previous stint in the bigs and also saw his whiff rate drop. The increase in contact can help Santander take the next step. In 2019, he had a groundball rate of 40.3% and a flyball rate of 27.2%; even with all those groundballs, he was able to hit 20 home runs and that was due to a 21% HR/oFB. When he elevates the ball, he hits it with authority. The continued increase in contact with more fly balls could lead to a massive home run jump.
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