BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~180 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~225
ANALYSIS: Is he a Dragon Ball Z fused concoction of Terrell Owens and Randy Moss? No. However, Bryan Edwards is talented and the training camp hype going his way is somewhat legitimate. Edwards is constantly propped up by his extremely early (17.8 years old) breakout age (a threshold metric for when a WR took a certain % of his college team's targets/TDs/yards in a particular season).
While this is certainly not a bad thing, breaking out is only part of the story. Edwards has the stature of a traditional alpha perimeter WR which is still a sought-after archetype for modern NFL teams and especially a Raiders offense that is desperate for more than just fine production. He was extremely productive throughout his time in South Carolina as a usage monster who produced nearly 50% of their WR stats.
While Henry Ruggs III was drafted earlier and was also more productive as a rookie (though neither were very productive in general), Ruggs III is not the type of receiver Edwards is. Ruggs III's presence provides value in keeping defenses honest but he can become a decoy quite easily. Edwards is the chain-mover, red-zone target who can become a major fantasy boon if health and Jon Gruden's ego don't get in the way.
Gruden has whispered his frustration with backlash from the Ruggs III pick and intends to prove dissenters wrong. Whether that comes to fruition or lasts very long is something to wait and see but the facts at hand display Edwards as the most talented WR in the room and far more valuable for fantasy.
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