X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Champ or Chump: Eric Thames & Francisco Lindor

Fantasy championships are never won in April, but it still feels good to be at the top of the standings. Eventually things will stabilize, making it more challenging to make a significant jump in a short period of time. When that happens, you definitely want to be in the hunt instead of an also-ran.

Chances are, whoever is currently enjoying the top spot in your league has at least one of the two fast starters mentioned below. Eric Thames has returned from his South Korean exile to put up video game numbers, while Francisco Lindor has looked like the best player in the AL not named after a fish. Neither has a track record commiserate with his current performance, so you might be able to convince their owners to move them for a fraction of their value.

As always, ownership rates provided are from FleaFlicker formats.

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers received five total writing awards and 13 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association, tops in the industry! Congrats to all the award winners and nominees including Best MLB Series, NFL Series, NBA Writer, PGA Writer and Player Notes writer of the year. Be sure to follow their analysis, rankings and advice all year long, and win big with RotoBaller! Read More!

 

The Fantasy Jury is Out

Eric Thames (1B/OF, MIL) 89% Owned

Thames entered the 2017 campaign as something of an unknown after becoming a superstar in Korea, but the early results have been incredible: .426/.491/.1.000 with seven homers in just 53 PAs. Obviously his .448 BABIP and 46.7 percent HR/FB are unsustainable, but this is still a profile worth investing in.

Let's start with his KBO numbers. KBO play equates roughly to the Double-A level, which is advanced enough to test a player's skill. Thames slugged .321/.427/.679 with 40 big flies last year, a fantastic line that actually disappointed in the wake of his 2015 performance (.381/.497/.790 with 47 bombs and 40 SB). The steals were likely a mirage, as he never stole a lot of bases in the minors, majors, or Korea outside of 2015. Still, fantasy owners would be drooling over an American League prospect who put up these numbers at Double-A.

The sample size is small, but his advanced MLB metrics also suggest that Thames is the real deal. His 41.7 percent FB% is the mark of a prototypical slugger, while his ability to pull 46.7 percent of his fly balls should make it easier to post an above average HR/FB. Add in an extremely hitter friendly home park, and Thames looks like a 40+ HR bat. He has always had pop, but this is a new level for him.

His plate discipline has also improved considerably. The last time we saw Thames at the MLB level, he struck out an unacceptable 30 percent of the time while posting a BB% of just 5.2 percent. Now, his strikeouts are down to 20.8 percent on the back of a 7.1 percent SwStr%. His BB% is also up to 9.4 percent thanks to a 22.6 percent chase rate. His low 39.1 percent Swing% means that he will take a few too many strike threes, but Thames's greatest weakness has become a strength.

The slightly better than average strikeout rate will prevent Thames's batting average from becoming a fantasy liability, as he seems like a guy who should fall considerably short of a .300 BABIP. He is pulling 75 percent of his grounders right now, a number that almost guarantees opposing teams will shift him nearly every time he's up. He also has a LD% of 25 percent that seems destined to regress toward the league average. All things considered, Thames is probably a .270 hitter.

That's good enough to not hurt you, and 40 bombs would make him a great fantasy asset. Thames started the year as an OF in fantasy but has played mostly first base, giving him eligibility at two spots plus CI. He has played in two games as an outfielder this year too, so he may retain OF status going forward. Milwaukee also hits him in the two slot, which generates plenty of R + RBI opportunities. Don't pay for him as if he can hit .400 with 60 homers, but by all means let his current owner think he's selling high if you can get a discount on him.

Verdict: Champ

 
Francisco Lindor (SS, CLE) 96% Owned

Once a glove-first prospect with little fantasy appeal, Lindor solidified his status as one of the top players in the game with a .301/.358/.435 line with 15 HR and 19 SB last season. This year is starting even better, as Lindor is hitting .358/.415/.684 with four dingers and a steal in 66 PAs. Only the power is in question, as Lindor has already proven himself as a high-average hitter with some wheels.

For all of the talk of a fly ball revolution, most players who historically hit grounder after grounder are still doing so in 2017. Not Lindor. After two seasons of a sub-29 percent FB%, Lindor is elevating the baseball 50 percent of the time this year. He cracked 15 homers last year on volume of PAs (684) alone, so any growth in FB% would make Lindor a legitimate 20/20 threat.

The additional fly balls may cost Lindor a few points of BABIP, but his career .334 mark has some surplus fantasy owners would love to trade in for more power. His .280 BABIP on grounders last year seems sustainable based on his legs, while his .661 mark on line drives seems luck-neutral. Lindor also puts the ball in play, as last year's 12.9 percent K% helped him make the most of his plus BABIP. Lindor might not be a .350 hitter, but .300+ should be no problem even with more flies in his profile.

Lindor hits second for one of the best teams in the AL, generating plenty of counting stats for his fantasy owners. It is still too soon to say that the increase in FB% is real, but Lindor is elite if it is. What's better in fantasy than a five-category stud?

Verdict: Champ

 

More Player Outlooks




LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

WIN MORE IN 2024

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Alexis Diaz fantasy baseball closers rankings draft sleepers waiver wire pickups

MLB Closers and Saves: Fantasy Baseball Depth Charts

Saves are an important component for many fantasy baseball leagues. Closers are one of the most volatile positions in fantasy baseball, and one of the highest turnover positions in MLB. Each year, closers drop like flies and many MLB teams make in-season changes due to injuries or poor performance. In addition to closers and saves, relief... Read More


Do These Prospects Matter for Fantasy Baseball?

The 2023 fantasy baseball season has been highlighted by the promotion of nearly two-dozen top prospects to the major leagues to impact fantasy rosters. This week's edition features one player who was called up as the piece was being written. Will these strong performers join the ranks of those who have moved to the majors... Read More


clayton kershaw fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers MLB injury news

articles report test

this is a test


Starting Pitcher Waiver Wire Pickups for Fantasy Baseball - Week 24

Welcome back! It's Week 24 of our fantasy baseball Starting Pitcher Waiver Wire Pickups series! There are just two precious weeks left, and every start is becoming more and more important as most of the fantasy baseball world is in playoff matchups. If you've made it this far, there's a good chance you don't really... Read More


Aaron Nola - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Starts & Sits for MLB Week 23 - All Starting Pitcher Matchups for Fantasy Baseball

Welcome back RotoBallers! Big week in fantasy leagues as we approach the end of the season and playoffs! As always, we are here with our starting pitcher starts and sits series to help you set those winning lineups for the week ahead! For those who are not familiar, RotoBaller puts out a weekly grid of... Read More


Gunnar Henderson - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Prospects, Draft Sleepers

Points League Hitters: Waiver Wire Pickups for Fantasy Baseball - Week 24

Welcome to Week 24 and our fantasy baseball waiver wire hitters. We'll be doing this roundup of points leagues every week here at RotoBaller, with waiver wire targets and streaming pitchers being evaluated in terms of the different scoring systems of ESPN, Yahoo!, CBS, and Fantrax. Player values can vary wildly from platform to platform,... Read More


Brayan Bello - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Two-Start Pitcher Streamers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 24

Yo, it's Jon Anderson, continuing to run the show here in terms of late-summer fantasy baseball writing. There are just two weeks left of streaming pitchers, so let's make it count! This weekly fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups column aims to identify starting pitchers expected to make two starts in the upcoming fantasy baseball week,... Read More


Fantasy Baseball Week 24 Injury News and Updates: Tyler Glasnow, Ozzie Albies, Starling Marte, Anthony Rizzo, Zack Wheeler

September is now more than half over. The baseball season is slowly coming to a close. At this point, fantasy players are pushing for their league titles or just playing for pride. Major League Baseball teams continue to do the same and injuries continue to happen, now with the dreaded term "done for the season"... Read More


Joe Musgrove - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (9/17/22)

Happy Saturday, RotoBallers, we're back for another weekend of MLB betting picks! Make sure you're following my Twitter, as I can't guarantee that I'll always be able to get the added plays written here in the article, but I will typically add whatever else I'm playing throughout the day. The entire RotoBaller team has been... Read More


DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (9/17/22): Today's Top MLB DFS Lineups

Today's MLB slates are split up as is the norm for September baseball. Half the guys I think will play will not, so you have to be as flexible as Gumby to play MLB DFS in September, but that also means that there is a lot of money out there should you dare to dive... Read More


Max Fried - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (9/15/22)

Happy Friday, RotoBallers, we're back for another weekend of MLB betting picks! Make sure you're following my Twitter, as I can't guarantee that I'll always be able to get the added plays written here in the article, but I will typically add whatever else I'm playing throughout the day. The entire RotoBaller team has been... Read More


Robbie Ray - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Injury News, Draft Sleepers

DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (9/16/22): Today's Top MLB DFS Lineups

Fridays are big MLB DFS days and offer a nice respite from the NFL, who command our attention on Thursdays, Sundays, and Mondays. This slate, like most Friday slates, is a big one as all MLB teams are in action today and 28 of those teams are on tonight's 14-game DFS slate. This was a... Read More


kyle farmer fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers MLB injury news

Top Hitter Streamers and Starts for Fantasy Baseball - Week 24

There are only two weeks left of fantasy baseball! It's going to be very sad when the season comes to an end, but the impending end of the season means that these are the most important, and therefore most fun weeks of the year – for those of you still competing, at least. I have... Read More


TODAY’S MOST VIEWED PLAYERS

rotating JS ad test

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF