X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Champ or Chump: Jose Reyes and Jed Lowrie

With only two weeks left in the regular season, it is not an exaggeration to say that anything can happen. Power hitters could hit for a high batting average if the ball bounces their way. A pure speedster could win a league by hitting an unlikely pair of homers on the last day of the season. A Chump like Matthew Boyd could nearly throw a no-hitter.

In such a volatile environment, the best fantasy owners can hope to do is maximize the chances of something good happening. Unheralded players with favorable lineup positions, such as Jose Reyes and Jed Lowrie, are therefore the perfect players to look into as you seek to finish strong. Let's take a closer look at what these two can offer fantasy owners.

Ownership rates provided are from Yahoo! leagues.

Featured Promo: Want a free RotoBaller Premium Pass? Check out these sports betting promo offers from the top sportsbooks! All new sign-ups get a free bonus offer on their first deposit, and a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! Sign Up Now!

 

The Fantasy Jury is Out

Jose Reyes (SS/3B, NYM) 52% Owned

Reyes's triple slash line isn't terribly exciting (.244/.316/.415), but the fact that it includes 14 homers and 22 steals will appeal to certain owners. The Mets have hit him either first or second in every game he's started since August 13th, allowing him to supplement his power-speed combo with a useful dose of counting stats. The resulting package contributes in four out of the five standard roto categories, giving him broader appeal than the average category specialist.

The one missing ingredient is batting average, where Reyes's .261 BABIP seems a little low. Reyes has upped his FB% from a career mark of 36% to 42.3%, justifying some of the drop off from his career BABIP of .308. Furthermore, his IFFB% is very high (17%). His career mark is 13.3%, but he hasn't approached that figure since 2014 (14.1%). Late-career Reyes hits too many pop-ups, making it difficult for him to maintain a plus BABIP.

His grounders also aren't as productive as they used to be. Reyes has a BABIP on ground balls of just .231 against a career mark of .261, a difference explained by his lowest average exit velocity on ground balls (80.7 mph) in the Statcast era. The mark is awkward, as they are hit too softly to get past infielders but too hard to produce infield hits. He's also lost several steps since his prime, reducing his upside on the ground. Reyes's flies and liners are performing at roughly his career marks taken together, so the additional fly balls and less productive grounders suggest that Reyes will remain a low-BABIP hitter for the rest of his career.

The additional flies are a net boon for Reyes's fantasy value, as they are the only reason he contributes in the power categories. His average airborne exit velocity of 88.6 mph is well below league average, while his rate of Brls/BBE (2.8%) is low. This is nothing new for Reyes, who averaged 87 mph in the air last season and 85.9 mph in 2015. His Brls/BBE ratio (4.3%) was nearly double its current number last year, but in 2015 it was only 0.2%. That's horrible! The infielder's HR/FB (8.5%) is below average as a result, but he hits enough flies to hit his fair share of homers anyway.

With only five CS on the year, Reyes's running game is the safest reason to roster him in fantasy. He also has positive plate discipline metrics (9.2% BB%, 14% K%) and indicators (7.4% SwStr%, 90.9% Z-Contact%) that suggest his batting average will not completely fall off a cliff. Add in eligibility at shortstop (77 games), third base (34), and second base (17), and you get a guy who could probably help at least one team in every league.

Verdict: Champ

Jed Lowrie (2B, OAK) 17% Owned

Lowrie's profile is similar to Reyes's, except that he sacrifices the latter's speed for a better batting average. He's hit .279/.360/.458 with 14 HR this season, proving adequate in both homers and batting average. Oakland has hit him third in all but one game he's started since August 22nd, allowing him to compile enough counting stats to matter in fantasy. Once again, we are looking at a batter with four category production.

Lowrie's batting average is the result of strong plate discipline and a .315 BABIP. His 11.1% BB% is excellent, dramatically increasing his value in leagues using OBP as a category. Better yet, the underlying 24.1% chase rate suggests that Lowrie can keep it up for the foreseeable future. His 15.6% K% is also supported by a SwStr% of 8.1%, helping him make the most of his elevated BABIP.

Lowrie's .315 BABIP is the result of a LD% of 26.7%. Normally we'd say that such a high figure is completely unsustainable, but anything is possible given the short remaining sample. He also managed an elevated LD% last season (25.5%), lending additional support to the idea that he can keep it up for another two weeks. Lowrie has a fly ball-heavy profile (43.8% FB%), but his IFFB% (7.3%) is much lower than Reyes's. This allows him to project for a better BABIP. Lowrie's other balls in play are performing as expected, so what he's doing now is sustainable as long as he keeps hitting line drives.

Like Reyes, Lowrie makes up for what he lacks in raw power by putting a large number of baseballs into the air. His 91.6 mph average airborne exit velocity and 6.2% rate of Brls/BBE are a hair below average, but both represent substantial improvements over his performance last season (89 mph and 1.1% rate of Brls/BBE). His 7.3% HR/FB could therefore have a little bit of upside over the final two weeks, especially since the league average has swelled to double that figure.

Lowrie is no longer the utility man he once was, so he's only eligible at second base in most formats. Still, it is rare to find a three-hole hitter with power and a reasonable batting average this late in the campaign. Scoop him up if you need a competent middle infielder.

Verdict: Champ

 

 

More Player Outlooks

 

Premium Tools & DFS Research

Get a free trial of our powerful MLB Premium Tools. Our famous DFS Optimizer & Lineup Generator, daily Matchup Ratings, expert DFS Lineups/Cheat Sheets, and more.

Sign Up Now!




LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

WIN MORE IN 2024

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Alexis Diaz fantasy baseball closers rankings draft sleepers waiver wire pickups

MLB Closers and Saves: Fantasy Baseball Depth Charts

Saves are an important component for many fantasy baseball leagues. Closers are one of the most volatile positions in fantasy baseball, and one of the highest turnover positions in MLB. Each year, closers drop like flies and many MLB teams make in-season changes due to injuries or poor performance. In addition to closers and saves, relief... Read More


Do These Prospects Matter for Fantasy Baseball?

The 2023 fantasy baseball season has been highlighted by the promotion of nearly two-dozen top prospects to the major leagues to impact fantasy rosters. This week's edition features one player who was called up as the piece was being written. Will these strong performers join the ranks of those who have moved to the majors... Read More


clayton kershaw fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers MLB injury news

articles report test

this is a test


Starting Pitcher Waiver Wire Pickups for Fantasy Baseball - Week 24

Welcome back! It's Week 24 of our fantasy baseball Starting Pitcher Waiver Wire Pickups series! There are just two precious weeks left, and every start is becoming more and more important as most of the fantasy baseball world is in playoff matchups. If you've made it this far, there's a good chance you don't really... Read More


Aaron Nola - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Starts & Sits for MLB Week 23 - All Starting Pitcher Matchups for Fantasy Baseball

Welcome back RotoBallers! Big week in fantasy leagues as we approach the end of the season and playoffs! As always, we are here with our starting pitcher starts and sits series to help you set those winning lineups for the week ahead! For those who are not familiar, RotoBaller puts out a weekly grid of... Read More


Gunnar Henderson - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Prospects, Draft Sleepers

Points League Hitters: Waiver Wire Pickups for Fantasy Baseball - Week 24

Welcome to Week 24 and our fantasy baseball waiver wire hitters. We'll be doing this roundup of points leagues every week here at RotoBaller, with waiver wire targets and streaming pitchers being evaluated in terms of the different scoring systems of ESPN, Yahoo!, CBS, and Fantrax. Player values can vary wildly from platform to platform,... Read More


Brayan Bello - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Two-Start Pitcher Streamers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 24

Yo, it's Jon Anderson, continuing to run the show here in terms of late-summer fantasy baseball writing. There are just two weeks left of streaming pitchers, so let's make it count! This weekly fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups column aims to identify starting pitchers expected to make two starts in the upcoming fantasy baseball week,... Read More


Fantasy Baseball Week 24 Injury News and Updates: Tyler Glasnow, Ozzie Albies, Starling Marte, Anthony Rizzo, Zack Wheeler

September is now more than half over. The baseball season is slowly coming to a close. At this point, fantasy players are pushing for their league titles or just playing for pride. Major League Baseball teams continue to do the same and injuries continue to happen, now with the dreaded term "done for the season"... Read More


Joe Musgrove - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (9/17/22)

Happy Saturday, RotoBallers, we're back for another weekend of MLB betting picks! Make sure you're following my Twitter, as I can't guarantee that I'll always be able to get the added plays written here in the article, but I will typically add whatever else I'm playing throughout the day. The entire RotoBaller team has been... Read More


DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (9/17/22): Today's Top MLB DFS Lineups

Today's MLB slates are split up as is the norm for September baseball. Half the guys I think will play will not, so you have to be as flexible as Gumby to play MLB DFS in September, but that also means that there is a lot of money out there should you dare to dive... Read More


Max Fried - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (9/15/22)

Happy Friday, RotoBallers, we're back for another weekend of MLB betting picks! Make sure you're following my Twitter, as I can't guarantee that I'll always be able to get the added plays written here in the article, but I will typically add whatever else I'm playing throughout the day. The entire RotoBaller team has been... Read More


Robbie Ray - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Injury News, Draft Sleepers

DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (9/16/22): Today's Top MLB DFS Lineups

Fridays are big MLB DFS days and offer a nice respite from the NFL, who command our attention on Thursdays, Sundays, and Mondays. This slate, like most Friday slates, is a big one as all MLB teams are in action today and 28 of those teams are on tonight's 14-game DFS slate. This was a... Read More


kyle farmer fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers MLB injury news

Top Hitter Streamers and Starts for Fantasy Baseball - Week 24

There are only two weeks left of fantasy baseball! It's going to be very sad when the season comes to an end, but the impending end of the season means that these are the most important, and therefore most fun weeks of the year – for those of you still competing, at least. I have... Read More


TODAY’S MOST VIEWED PLAYERS

rotating JS ad test

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF