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All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Drew's article is available for free to all readers as a special this week.
Week 2 is underway with a high-scoring matchup from the Thursday night matchup between the Bengals and Browns now in our rearview mirror. We now look to the full slate of Sunday games to secure the bag.
Before getting too far into the post, please refer to this post as an introductory piece before continuing. We are going with a Remember the Titans theme for Week 2 just like my DFS Rankings piece.
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Introduction to Chef's Special Betting Picks
***Read only if it is your first week here***
This week I will layout a little more information than usual since it is week 1. Last year I handicapped the entire season and had a solid year finishing up 20+ units. If you are new or unfamiliar with the terminology, I will explain (also use Google if you need it).
In a nutshell, it is a way to measure the size of a bet for players of all bankroll sizes. For example, @Uncle_Leo may have a standard bet size of $10, @GarageGuyChase may have a standard bet size of $25, and @ThunderDanDFS may have a standard bet size of $50.
The weight of a unit would mean different financial gain for all of these players but tracks how well someone is doing betting as a sports bettor. For all of you basic bois, let's use my results from last year as an example - see below:
- NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total Bets [7-2 on 4&5U plays]
- Mr. Uncle Leo would be the following: 22.5U x $10 = $225 in the green on the season
- Mr. Garage Guy would be the following: 22.5U x $25 = $562.50 in the green on the season
- Mr. Danny Boi would be the following: 22.5U x $50 = $1125 in the green on the season.
So, let's discuss the trend. Everyone finished in the green. However, Mr. Danny Boi being up 22.5U means something much more financially positive than Mr. Uncle Leo. With that being said, I performed equally for all parties.
Drew Deen's (@ChefBoiRDeen) Week 2 Betting Card
Here, I will post my Week 2 picks. Staying consistent with your unit size is crucial. Without it, it will seem as if I am doing better or worse than I actually am because some wins/losses will be weighted differently than the others.
2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total Bets [7-2 on 4&5U plays]
2020 NFL Best Bets - (-8.25u) 2-7
Last week was not an ideal start - especially with the Colts letting us down early. The good news is that we played on the lower side of the 1-5 unit scale with almost all of the bets being 1 unit. For context, my average bet last season was 2.5-3U per bet. Time to get to work - loving the late game teasers. This usually screams trap, and I'm falling for it for sure! First 4-5U play of the season! These went 7-2 last year.
- Giants +6 vs Bears - Risk 2.2U to win 2U
- Rams +1.5 vs Eagles - Risk 1.65U to win 1.5U
- Buffalo -5.5 vs Miami - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
- Steelers -7 vs Denver - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
- Ravens -7 vs Texans - Risk 1.15U to win 1U
- Cardinals -7 vs Washington - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
- AZ/KC 6.5 PT Teaser (AZ -0.5, KC -2) - Risk 4.6U to win 4U
- PIT/TEN 6 PT Teaser (PIT -1 , TEN -1) - Risk 2.2U to win 2U
- BUF/BAL ML Parlay - Risk 1.85U to win 1.5U
- BAL/KC 6.5 PT Teaser (BAL -1, KC -2) - Risk 1.72U to win 1.5U
- BAL/AZ 6 PT Teaser (BAL - 1.5, AZ -1) - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
Chef's Yolo Parlay: Bucs/Bills/Cards/Ravens/Chiefs ML Parlay - risk .5U to win 2.2U (check 7pt teaser payout versus ML parlay payout - varies depending on book)
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