Corey Davis (WR, TEN) - 2020 Fantasy Football Draft Sleeper

4 years ago by Antonio Losada

BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~170 Overall

CURRENT ADP: 180+ (Undrafted)

ANALYSIS: Believe it or not, Corey Davis is Tennessee's WR2 entering the 2020 season. Rewind 12 months back to the summer of 2019 and tell me who you thought would lead the Titans offense at the receiver position. You would have mention Davis' name before I could even finish the question. Tennessee's offense was rather mediocre last season during its Marcus Mariota-led span of games. It wasn't until the arrival of season-savior Ryan Tannehill and the explosion of both Derrick Henry and A.J. Brown that the Titans got their stuff together.

Now, check Brown's splits at Week 11's bye. Before W11: 89.4 fantasy points in 10 games; after W11: 127.7 fantasy points in six games. Davis went the opposite way, logging 77.4 before the bye and only 37.7 after it. That, precisely, is what is making him a cheap asset during this draft-season. It is hard to pencil Davis as a league-winner after last year's drop in production, that's right. But Davis is just entering his age-25 season, and is only two years removed from finishing almost as a WR2 in 2018 (he was the 28th-best WR).

While Tennessee just declined Davis' fifth-year contract option and might eventually move on from him, that means that Davis will 1) be playing in a contract year, which will see him give everything he's got in him this season and 2) be the no. 2 receiver of an offense that if it wasn't for Brown's "unexpected" arrival would be depleted of talent at the WR position. Let's be serious for a minute: do you trust an Adam Humphries comeback more than one from Davis? It isn't happening in my mind, nor in PFF's projections: Davis' expected targets/receptions/yards in 2020 are 80/50/650 while Humphries stand at 70/50/500.Too good to pass on the former at his current ADP.

Davis is getting off the board very few times as he's getting completely overlooked in most--if not all--leagues. When drafted, he's got an ADP of WR81 yet he's projected to finish the year as the WR65 overall with 145 PPR points over the year. Davis has the 26th-best ROI among players at the position given his ADP and projection, and the 13th-highest among WRs not getting drafted these days. Clear last-round target to stash in your lineup with upside to bouncing back and getting into the WR3/FLEX realm.