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Corey Seager (SS, LAD) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~120-130

CURRENT ADP: ~149 overall

ANALYSISCorey Seager has entered his full, post-hype faze. Seager used to be the belle of the ball as the young SS primed to take off. He lost most of 2018 due to injury, and his 2019 suffered because of it. With few remaining believers, Seager's ADP is right inside the top 150, the 18th SS off the board.

Before the lost 2018 due to Tommy John surgery, Seager was elite in 2017 and 2016. '17 Seager had one of the best batted-ball profiles in the game: 87th percentile in exit velocity, 91st percentile in hard-hit percentage, 91st percentile in xwOBA, and 95th percentile in expected batting average. That followed up a '16 much the same: 87th exit velocity, 86th hard-hit, 92nd xwOBA, and 97th percentile in xBA.

Sure, 2019 Seager was not a premiere fantasy player, but 2020 Seager very well could be. Last season, Seager saw his batted-ball profile suffer, but some other data suggests a bounce back. His plate discipline trumped what he did in those two elite seasons. His zone contact percentage was higher than in '17, and his whiff rate lower. His chase rate was lower than it was in '16. And Seager saw lower groundball rates and weak-percentage contact than in either of those previous seasons.

Seager has a reputation as a man who can't stay in the lineup even though he's played in more than 130 games in three of his four big-league seasons. He is healthy heading into 2020, and a vital part of a monstrous Dodgers' lineup. With shortstops like Elvis Andrus and Amed Rosario currently being drafted before him, Seager is a fantastic draft value at his current ADP.


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