Doug Martin (RB, TB) - Fantasy Football Draft Value

BALLER MOVE: Target ~65

CURRENT ADP: ~80

ANALYSIS: I'm all about the "take the suspended/injured guy and just try to make it to the playoffs" approach. Just look at how many times I've drafted Le'Veon Bell in the past three years. Yes, Doug Martin is suspended for three games, and that's not the only hurdle he'll have to clear in order to provide value in the seventh round or so, but here's why the Muscle Hamster is worth it.

I understand if you're someone like me who got burned by Martin in an injury-riddled 2016 season. However, I would kindly like to point you towards his 4.9 yards per carry and 33 receptions in a healthy 2015 season.

Sure, I know that Charles Sims and Jacquizz Rodgers present some competition for touches, and that's not even factoring in Mike Evans' and DeSean Jackson's inevitable sqwuaking about not touching the ball enough. But have you forgotten what Martin can do with just one small opening in an offensive line?

The three game suspension is of very little concern to me, especially if you can get a guy like this in the seventh round. The lack of touches would be scary, sure. But imagine the upside that this pick has if, in fact, Martin is in the best shape of his life and plays 13 games at his 4.9 yards per carry rate for a much better offensive team. You could be looking at an RB7 for the price of an RB30 come playoff time.

Yes, I do have a Doug Martin optimism issue, but let's go down on this ship together!