We head into Tuesday with 4 game slate featuring Game 2 of the ALDS matchups and the start of the two NLDS matchups. There are some interesting pitching options, and that should allow for some nice offensive spots to attack. Probably can not get much more offensive than last night, but we can try and get the right spots that pop off enough for us to cash.
When looking at the slate, it comes down to which stacks to build around. The Astros and Dodgers should be the top stacks of the night and for an excellent reason. They are not stacks I am looking to avoid fully. To eat some of that chalk, it is all about finding some of the lower-priced options. Those options that I am interested in would be the Yankees, Rays, and Marlins. Using a few from those three teams, you will be able to eat some chalk and still have a successful night.
This article will provide you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 10/6/2020. The lineup will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports. If you have any questions or comments, contact me on Twitter @bdentrek.
DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers
Framber Valdez - P, HOU at OAK ($8,900)
Valdez gets the ball in Game 2 as he tries to get the Astros the 2-0 series lead over the A's. Valdez had an outstanding season with a 3.57 ERA but an even better 2.85 FIP and 2.94 xFIP. He struck out 26.4% of the batters he faced while only walking 6.6%. More importantly, was his consistency down the stretch scoring 20+ DK points in eight of his final 10 outings. He pitched out of the bullpen in the Wild Card Series and was strong there, throwing five shutout innings with five strikeouts for 22.9 DK points. He faces an A's team that struck out 24.2% of the time vs LHP in 2020 with a .220 average and a .152 ISO. He faced Oakland once this season, throwing seven strong innings allowing one earned run and striking out nine. Please give me all the Framber today.
Sandy Alcantara - P, MIA at ATL ($7,300)
Alcantara takes the bump for Game 1 vs the Braves and will likely be quite overlooked today. He is the ace of the Marlins staff for a reason, and he has shown why this season. After the COVID break, the Marlins had he had a really rough start getting back into the group. After that, it was business as usual. He made five starts, allowing no more than three earned runs in any starts and two earned runs or less in four of five starts. He had a 2.30 ERA over that stretch with a 3.75 xFIP. He also had a 23.8% strikeout rate, 4.7% barrel rate, 35.3% hard-hit rate, and only one home run. Including his one postseason start vs the Cubs, Alcantara has scored at least 17.9 or more DK points in all by two starts this season. The Braves offense has many thumps, but Alcantara will be up to the task and makes for a nice SP2.
Other Options: Deivi Garcia (NYY at TB) $7,200
DraftKings DFS Infielders
Sean Murphy - C, OAK vs Framber Valdez ($3,900)
Previously we discussed the strong September for Murphy, where he hit .277 with a .362 ISO, an impressive 20.3% BB rate, 17.6% barrel rate, and 41.2% hard-hit rate. Murphy was one of the hottest hitters in baseball, especially catchers that no one was really talking about. Well, they should be after his start to the postseason. Murphy has hit safely in all four postseason games, including home runs in back to back games. He faces the lefty Valdez today, dominant this season, but Murphy may be up to the task. Murphy had a .206 ISO, 441 SLG, 33.3% HR/FB, and a 42.9% hard-hit rate on the season. He is likely the cheapest starting catcher and may have as much upside as the rest.
Many will flock to Freeman, and I get it, but let's save some money and play the first baseman in the same game as Freeman. Cooper comes into Game 1, riding an eight-game hitting streak. He finished the season on a six-game hitting streak where he hit .280 with a 41.2% hard-hit rate. The hot bat continued vs the Cubs, where he even went deep in the clinching Game 2. He has a tough matchup vs Fried, but Cooper has to be looking forward to it as he mashed LHP this season. He hit .350 with a .425 ISO and a 30.8% HR/FB. Cooper brings major salary relief with a lot of upsides. His teammate Jesus Aguilar is also in play, but Cooper is my guy tonight.
Other Options: Freddie Freeman (ATL vs MIA) $5,400
Rake Cronenworth was limping a bit heading into the postseason, but that did not stop the Padres from rolling out their rookie second baseman, and he has not disappointed. Cronenworth has hit safely in all three postseason games for the Padres, going 5-9 with a home run and a triple. He has scored at least 11 DK points in all three games. He has a tough matchup vs Buehler and the Dodgers bullpen tonight but makes for a nice pivot of the likely popular Altuve at second base.
The Astros are going to be a popular stack and rightfully so vs Manaea tonight. Similar to many of the Astros, Bregman struggled this season. After his stint on the IL, he hit .226 with a .208 ISO and a 14.1% BB rate. He started to showcase some of his power and extra-base hit ability, which has carried over to the playoffs. He has hit safely in the last two playoff games, a big home run in Game 1 vs the A's. Bregman has always hit LHP well, including a .319 average, .255 ISO, and .408 wOBA this season. Look for Bregman and his teammates to have a big night vs Manaea.
Other Options: Edwin Rios (LAD vs SD) $2,700
The summer of Seager continues into October and is in line for another nice night tonight vs Davies. Seager hit .307 with a .278 ISO, a 15.8% barrel rate, and a 55.4% hard-hit rate on the season. He was even better vs RHP with a .322 average and a .301 ISO. He is pricey tonight but has a solid matchup vs Davies, who has allowed three earned runs or more in four of his last five starts and has allowed at least one home run in each of those four starts. Seager is pricey, and the Dodgers will be popular, but he is a piece of chalk I do not mind rostering tonight.
DraftKings DFS Outfielders
There are many expensive options in the outfield, but you should not need my help there, so I will highlight some values that stand out. Pham continues to be mispriced this postseason. He finished the season hitting safely in six of eight games once returning from the IL. Then he comes into the postseason and goes 6-13 with two doubles and scoring at least five DK points in each game. He is also running as he stole two bases. He has a tough matchup vs Buehler, but his price point makes for strong salary relief with major upside.
Khris Davis- OF, OAK at Framber Valdez ($3,000)
Krush Davis did not have a great season, we all know that, but he has shown up when the A's need him most. He finished the season hitting safely in two of his final three games and now has hits in all three of the playoff games he has played in with two home runs. On the season, he hit .303 vs LHP and will look to stay hot this postseason vs Valdez at major savings tonight.
Randy Arozarena - OF, TB vs Deivi Garcia ($3,600)
Last night it appeared everyone finally realized just how good Arozarena had been this season....well, we already knew. We have been playing the way to cheap Rays outfielder for some time, and we should be inline to roster him again tonight. He went 3-4 last night with a home run and now is 7-12 with four extra-base hits in his three playoff games, scoring at least 10 points in each game. Garcia is a strong, young arm, but also has shown flaws. The Rays are one of my lower owned stacks I want to target, and the value of Arozarena is near the top of my Rays targets.
DraftKings DFS Stacks
- Houston Astros at Oakland A's (Sean Manaea, LHP)
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres (Zach Davies, RHP)
- Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees (Deivi Garcia, RHP)